Gadgets and Technology Trends to 2010

CSSA 2006 anthony fitzhenry

Microsoft - Bill Gates
said…
In the last decade technology has transformed the world of business in profound ways.
10 years ago;
e-mail was just emerging as the medium for business communication
e-commerce was in its infancy
most companies still relied on faxes and phone calls to conduct business
virtually no mobile phones

Today:
instantaneous communications everywhere
mobile access to e-mail is becoming the norm
Future:
faster networks
computer processing and storage will continue to increase in performance and decrease in price in accordance with Moore's Law
high-definition screens will be cheaper, lighter and more portable
mobile phones will rival today's desktop PCs for power and storage

All of these changes have overwhelmed the tools we use to do our day-to-day jobs.
Microsoft is focused on creating software
Windows Vista
Microsoft Office SharePoint Server 2007
Microsoft Office Outlook 2007
2007 Office System
Software that streamlines how we find, use and share business information.

Apple In 2005 ; Steve Jobs bows to Windows…finally

Apple In 2006 ; Apple & Intel…at last

Communications
In 2005; Europe overtook North America as the second-largest broadband market in the world.
In 2005; Nokia sold its 1 billionth cell phone since beginning in the 1980s. In Nigeria…
In 2005 , an estimated 18 million mobiles sold UK
In 2005; a Taiwanese company with a brand created less than four years ago, took over the mobile business of Siemens, one of Europe’s most traditional brands. Siemens paid them 350M euros to do this.
In 2005; eBay bought a company with no revenue model for $2.6 billion in cash and $1.5 b in stock.

In 2005 , Pope Benedict XVI sent his first text message-- "Let us go forth in the joy of the risen Lord and trusting in his permanent help--" to all TIM mobile phone users who subscribe to a service of the pope's daily messages.

Imaging
In 2005; exports of digital cameras from Japan fell for the first time
In 2005; The German photography giant Agfa failed
In 2005; r esearchers in Germany demo’d the worlds first digital projector in a cell phone

New uses for mobile phone images
In 2005 , A British chef bitten by the world's deadliest spider was saved after snapping a photo of it with his camera phone.

In 2005; NORRATH
a virtual economy…became the 61 st biggest economy in the world!
Gaming The phenomenon of growth in gaming…

Gaming
In 2005 , Sony’s EVERQUEST II virtual economy, became the 39 th largest economy in the world. And hackers showed their appreciation by fleecing the economy and causing 20% inflation in 24 hours.
In 2005, women over 40 accounted for the largest population of online gamers…bigger than teenage males.

2005 Killer Mobile device
Apple iPOD - Industry changing product
2005 Q4 Apples revenue US$5.7bn target US$4.7bn
330% year on year growth in sales
Bringing new meaning to an Apple a day…
sold >15M in last 90 days
166,000 a day
6 a second
POD casts

2005 Killer Mobile device
Sony PSP
20 Million in 2006
Sony announced that it would sell $250m in games and film content titles on PSP UMD format

Q4 2005 killer consumer products

More to come…prices will fall
In 2005 , in a rural Cambodian village where homes lack electricity, the night-time darkness is pierced by the glow from $100 windup laptops that children bring home from school.

Sub R1000.00 laptop in SA 2006?
2006 Feb; Quanta Computer Taipei, has announced it intends to build the $100 laptop computer for children in developing nations. It hopes to turn out 5 to 15 million $100 laptop computers each year, a business it believes is worth $20 million for the next five years.

Things have changed Who looks at key pad anymore?
In 2005 , a new computer keyboard offers blank keys. "If you look at a piano, it doesn't have notes on the keys,”

Trends
For consumers it’s all about;
Entertainment
Digital Home Platforms
High res TV
Mobility
Wi Max…PLC
Triple Play devices
Content
WEB 2.0
GOOGLE

Content
In 2005 , more than 4m people were using Internet 2 at 10 gigabits per second, roughly 20,000x faster than typical home broadband connection.
In 2005 , Universal and Twentieth Century Fox agreed to pay Microsoft $5 million plus a percentage of movie ticket sales for rights to Halo-- The Movie.

… information is instant everywhere
In 2006 ; In response to the Danish Muslim cartoons 1700 websites were hacked in 1 week in protest.
“ Everything I need to know I learn through googling”
Bad Astronomy and Universe Today Forum
www.bautforum.com - ToSeek - Moderator

… Disney bought Pixar Hollywood will be the connector between CE and computer

Google
In 2005 , the president of the French National Library, (13 million books), protested when Google announced a plan to scan 15 million English-language books.
“ This represents a greater peril than American movies, television or popular music.“

Google overtook Microsoft as most hated Galactic Domination!

What is the future for South Africa?

Population dynamics will shape trends
SA a typical emerging economy
19.8 m employable adults (44% of total)
12.3 m adults employed (62% of adults)
7.5 m adults unemployed (38% of adults)
Of the 700k new employees in 2005 most were under 30
Declining average consumer age will shape decisions differently

SA employee vs a developed economy employee

3 rd Generation Mobile Phone User
Triple Play Device:
Voice
Text
Video

… everyone is doing mobile
from: Farai Chinomwe [farai_ec@hotmail.com]
Sent: Monday, February 13, 2006 11:35 AM
To: Anthony Fitzhenry
Subject: helo
how r u ?well i hope ,i had been battling to get hold of u since the day i met you at the restaurant was at home last week end every thing is fine ,coz we are used to it and there is no any option ,its sore how life is at home ,well im asking you a big favour ,i want to help people at home with some other basic needs ,but i has been veri difficult for me since i had not been working and im still on the job hunt ,well if there is some thing u can do for me to get a job pliz do so ,music is veri veri slow and i had been just depening from other in the past ,which is veri tough ,if i can get a job i hope everi thing will be a little easier, education i have a certificate of in o levels well passed ,and i had work as a tour guider at the geat zimbabwe ruins after my o levels and here in south africa i work for blues room nite club in village walk ,primetime video,moyo .afrodiac restuarant.
looking forward to hear from you
have a nice day

The future SA
Trends will be set by consumer electronics through industry changing products
Entertainment…video and communications will be the connector between consumer device and IT
Consumer devices will be;
Mobile triple play devices
Connectivity prioritization
Quality
Price
Satellite, Cellular, Wireless, Blue tooth, Power Line Communications

Technology Outlook SA
Positive
Consumers embracing tech in 2006
Consumer demand boost in 2006
Costs are falling in 2006
Negative
Complexity remains too high
Apple, Sony, DSTV PVR model must be followed
Consumers will need high touch
Skills still light
Light on deployment capacity

Outlook for SA
The historic trend of developed markets leading will be overturned…emerging markets will lead trends
At the cutting edge of technology, trends in South Africa are as fast as anywhere
We will do it…our people are smart.

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Gadgets and Technology Trends to 2010

by cssa on May 16, 2007

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Gadgets and Technology Trends to 2010 — Presentation Transcript