1. 1) Aloha, we’re conducting a short survey about the upcoming election in Hawaii this November--including the race for Governor that includes David
Ige, Mufi Hannemann, and Duke Aiona [candidate name order rotated]. In the November election, will you most likely vote early, vote on Election
Day, are you not sure when or where you will vote, or are you not likely to vote?
2) If you vote in the race for Governor between Democrat David Ige, Independent candidate Mufi Hannemann, Liberatarian Jeff Davis, and
Republican Duke Ainoa [candidate name order rotated], what would you do?
3) If the election for Governor were only between David Ige and Duke Aiona [candidate name order rotated], with no other candidates, what would
you do?
4) There will also be an election for U.S. Senate between Brian Schatz and Cam Cavasso [candidate name order rotated]. If you vote in that race,
what would you do?
5a) First Congressional District Only: There will also be an election for U.S. Congress in the First Congressional District between Mark Takai and
Charles Djou [candidate name order rotated]. If you vote in that race, what would you do?
5b) Second Congressional District Only: There will also be an election for U.S. Congress in the Second Congressional District between Tulsi
Gabbard and Kawika Crowley [candidate name order rotated]. If you vote in that race, what would you do?
2. 6) Please think back to the Primary elections that took place in August. Did you vote in the Democratic primary, the Republican primary, or neither
one?
7) If Voted in Democratic Primary Only: In the Democratic primary for Governor, did you vote for David Ige, or Neil Abercrombie [candidate name
order rotated]?
8) There will also be a number of proposed amendments to Hawaii’s Constitution on the November ballot… One of them would amend Hawaii’s
constitution to allow the state to use public funds to help pay for privately run early education programs for children in the years before they start
Kindergarten. Would you most likely vote for this amendment, vote against this amendment, or not vote either way on this amendment?
9) Another proposed amendment would require the state’s Judicial Selection Commission to publicly disclose its list of nominees who are being
considered as new judges in Hawaii. Currently, the Commission is not required to disclose its list of nominees, but is allowed to do so if it chooses to.
Would you most likely vote for this amendment, vote against this amendment, or not vote either way on this amendment?
10) Another proposed amendment would raise the mandatory retirement age for state justices and judges from 70 years of age, to 80. This would
allow older state judges to remain in their positions for a longer time. Would you most likely vote for this amendment, vote against this amendment, or
not vote either way on this amendment?
11) In general, when you are considering how you will vote on a constitutional amendment ballot question, what is the top source of information you
use to help you make up your mind? Is it news reports about the ballot measures? Is it information provided by groups that are either supporting or
opposing the measures? Is it conversations you have with friends or family? Or is it simply reading the questions as they appear on the ballot? …Or,
do you generally not vote on constitutional amendment ballot questions?
3. Demographic Questions
1) Gender
2) Age
3) Ethnicity
4) Political ideology
5) Party I.D.
6) Have you, or a member of your immediate family such as a spouse, sibling, parent, or child, served in the U.S. Military?
7) Are you, or a member of your immediate family a member of a labor union?
8) Annual household income
4. September 11 - 14, 2014
VOTER SCREEN
Aloha, we’re conducting a short survey about the
upcoming election in Hawaii this November--
including the race for Governor that includes David
Ige, Mufi Hannemann, and Duke Aiona [candidate
name order rotated]. In the November election, will
you most likely vote early, vote on Election Day, are
you not sure when or where you will vote, or are
you not likely to vote?
Vote early 48%
Vote on Election Day 34%
Not sure when or where Voting 9%
Not Voting 9% Not Surveyed Further
Resulting Sample of Likely Voters = 1,055
Margin of Error +/- 3.0%
75% Landlines, 25% Cellphones
If you vote in the race for Governor between
Democrat David Ige, Independent candidate Mufi
Hannemann, Liberatarian Jeff Davis, and
Republican Duke Ainoa [candidate name order
rotated], what would you do?
Ige 43%
Aiona 39%
Hannemann 8%
Davis 2%
Unsure 8%
Likely
Voters
5. Hannemann and Davis supporters and Unsure: Sample = 191
If the election for Governor were only between
David Ige and Duke Aiona [candidate name order
rotated], with no other candidates, what would you
do?
Ige 29%
Aiona 33%
Neither 11%
Unsure 27%
If you vote in the race for Senate between Brian
Schatz and Cam Cavasso [candidate name order
rotated], what would you do?
Schatz 62%
Cavasso 25%
Undecided 13%
6. First Congressional District Likely Voters = 551
Margin of Error +/- 4.2%
There will also be an election for U.S. Congress in
the First Congressional District between Mark Takai
and Charles Djou [candidate name order rotated]. If
you vote in that race, what would you do?
Takai 42%
Djou 46%
Unsure 12%
Second Congressional District Likely Voters = 504
Margin of Error +/- 4.4%
There will also be an election for U.S. Congress in
the Second Congressional District between Tulsi
Gabbard and Kawika Crowley [candidate name
order rotated]. If you vote in that race, what would
you do?
Gabbard 70%
Crowley 17%
Unsure 13%
7. There will be a number of proposed amendments to Hawaii’s Constitution on the
November ballot… One of them would amend Hawaii’s constitution to allow the
state to use public funds to help pay for privately run early education programs for
children in the years before they start Kindergarten. Would you most likely vote for
this amendment, vote against this amendment, or not vote either way on this
amendment?
Vote For 40%
Vote Against 45%
Won't Vote on Question 3%
Unsure 12%
Another proposed amendment would require the state’s Judicial Selection
Commission to publicly disclose its list of nominees who are being considered as
new judges in Hawaii. Currently, the Commission is not required to disclose its list of
nominees, but is allowed to do so if it chooses to. Would you most likely vote for this
amendment, vote against this amendment, or not vote either way on this
amendment?
Vote For 70%
Vote Against 13%
Won't Vote on Question 5%
Unsure 11%
8. Another proposed amendment would raise the mandatory retirement age for state
justices and judges from 70 years of age, to 80. This would allow older state judges
to remain in their positions for a longer timWould you most likely vote for this
amendment, vote against this amendment, or not vote either way on this
amendment?
Vote For 25%
Vote Against 61%
Won't Vote on Question 3%
Unsure 10%
In general, when you are considering how you will vote on a constitutional
amendment ballot question, what is the top source of information you use to help
you make up your mind? Is it news reports about the ballot measures? Is it
information provided by groups that are either supporting or opposing the
measures? Is it conversations you have with friends or family? Or is it simply
reading the questions as they appear on the ballot? …Or, do you generally not vote
on constitutional amendment ballot questions?
News Reports 46%
Political Information 15%
Friends/Family 10%
Directly from the Ballot Question 20%
Usually Don't Vote on Amendments 2%
Unsure 8%
9. Now, please think back to the Primary elections that
took place in August. Did you vote in the
Democratic primary, the Republican primary, or
neither one?
Democratic 72%
GOP 15%
Neither 13%
Democratic Primary Voters: Sample = 761
In the primary for Governor, did you vote for David
Ige or Neil Abercrombe [candidate name order
rotated]
Ige 64%
Abercrombie 32%
Unsure 4%
10. FULL SAMPLE DEMOGRAPHICS
Male 47%
Female 53%
Under 50 29%
50 and older 72%
Caucasian 38%
Japanese 27%
Filipino 8%
Hawaiian 9%
Chinese 7%
Hispanic 1%
Other/Mixed 10%
Liberal/progressive 25%
Moderate 33%
Conservative 26%
Unsure 15%
Democrat 55%
Republican 23%
Independent 19%
Unsure 3%
11. Have you, or a member of your immediate family
such as a spouse, sibling, parent, or child, served in
the U.S. Military?
Yes 63%
No 35%
Refused 2%
Are you, or a member of your immediate family a
member of a labor union?
Yes 31%
No 64%
Refused 5%
Annual Household Income
Less than $50,000 26%
$50,000 - $100,000 30%
More than $100,000 21%
Refused 23%
Oahu_1 52%
Oahu_2 17%
Hawaii 15%
Maui 11%
Kauai 6%
12. SAMPLE DEMOGRAPHICS -- FIRST CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT
Male 48%
Female 52%
Under 50 30%
50 and older 70%
Caucasian 31%
Japanese 33%
Filipino 8%
Hawaiian 7%
Chinese 10%
Hispanic 1%
Other/Mixed 10%
Liberal/progressive 25%
Moderate 37%
Conservative 24%
Unsure 14%
Democrat 54%
Republican 22%
Independent 22%
Unsure 3%
13. Have you, or a member of your immediate family
such as a spouse, sibling, parent, or child, served in
the U.S. Military?
Yes 63%
No 36%
Refused 1%
Are you, or a member of your immediate family a
member of a labor union?
Yes 31%
No 64%
Refused 5%
Annual Household Income
Less than $50,000 22%
$50,000 - $100,000 29%
More than $100,000 24%
Refused 25%
14. SAMPLE DEMOGRAPHICS -- SECOND CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT
Male 45%
Female 55%
Under 50 27%
50 and older 73%
Caucasian 46%
Japanese 21%
Filipino 7%
Hawaiian 11%
Chinese 3%
Hispanic 1%
Other/Mixed 10%
Liberal/progressive 25%
Moderate 30%
Conservative 29%
Unsure 16%
Democrat 57%
Republican 24%
Independent 16%
Unsure 4%
15. Have you, or a member of your immediate family
such as a spouse, sibling, parent, or child, served in
the U.S. Military?
Yes 63%
No 35%
Refused 2%
Are you, or a member of your immediate family a
member of a labor union?
Yes 31%
No 64%
Refused 5%
Annual Household Income
Less than $50,000 31%
$50,000 - $100,000 32%
More than $100,000 18%
Refused 20%
Oahu_2 35%
Hawaii 31%
Maui 23%
Kauai 12%
29. There will be a number of proposed amendments to Hawaii’s Constitution on the
November ballot… One of them would amend Hawaii’s constitution to allow the
state to use public funds to help pay for privately run early education programs for
children in the years before they start Kindergarten. Would you most likely vote for
this amendment, vote against this amendment, or not vote either way on this
amendment?
Amendment_PreK * Gender Crosstabulation
Male Female
Vote For 43% 38%
Vote Against 47% 43%
Won't Vote on Question 2% 3%
Unsure 7% 16%
Amendment_PreK * Age Crosstabulation
Under 50 Fifty and older
Vote For 44% 40%
Vote Against 43% 46%
Won't Vote on Question 2% 3%
Unsure 11% 11%
Amendment_PreK * Ethnicity Crosstabulation
Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/Mixed
Vote For 42% 37% 51% 43% 42% 50% 35%
Vote Against 47% 50% 27% 35% 44% 38% 48%
Won't Vote on Question 3% 1% 4% 5% 2% 5%
Unsure 9% 12% 18% 17% 13% 13% 12%
30. Amendment_PreK * Ideology Crosstabulation
Liberal Moderate Conservative Unsure
Vote For 51% 37% 37% 37%
Vote Against 37% 52% 52% 32%
Won't Vote on Question 3% 2% 2% 4%
Unsure 9% 9% 8% 28%
Amendment_PreK * Party_ID Crosstabulation
Democrat Republican Independent Unsure
Vote For 43% 35% 42% 32%
Vote Against 45% 55% 42% 11%
Won't Vote on Question 2% 3% 3% 7%
Unsure 11% 7% 13% 50%
Amendment_PreK * Military_Family Crosstabulation
Yes No Refused
Vote For 42% 40% 20%
Vote Against 46% 44% 33%
Won't Vote on Question 2% 2% 7%
Unsure 9% 14% 40%
Amendment_PreK * Union_Family Crosstabulation
Yes No Refused
Vote For 38% 44% 25%
Vote Against 50% 44% 35%
Won't Vote on Question 2% 2% 6%
Unsure 11% 10% 33%
31. Amendment_PreK * Household_Income Crosstabulation
Less than
$50,000
$50,000 -
$100,000
More than
$100,000 Refused
Vote For 48% 43% 41% 35%
Vote Against 41% 45% 53% 43%
Won't Vote on Question 3% 1% 1% 4%
Unsure 9% 11% 6% 18%
Amendment_PreK * County_CD Crosstabulation
Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai
Vote For 38% 38% 46% 46% 39%
Vote Against 47% 46% 44% 33% 53%
Won't Vote on Question 4% 3% 3% 1%
Unsure 11% 13% 8% 20% 9%
Amendment_PreK * Amendment_Information Crosstabulation
News Reports
Political
Information Friends/Family
Directly from
the Ballot
Question
Usually Don't
Vote on
Amendments Unsure
Vote For 45% 32% 46% 42% 35% 18%
Vote Against 44% 54% 45% 49% 18% 27%
Won't Vote on Question 3% 2% 4% 24% 5%
Unsure 8% 12% 10% 5% 24% 50%
32. Another proposed amendment would require the state’s Judicial Selection
Commission to publicly disclose its list of nominees who are being considered as
new judges in Hawaii. Currently, the Commission is not required to disclose its list of
nominees, but is allowed to do so if it chooses to. Would you most likely vote for this
amendment, vote against this amendment, or not vote either way on this
amendment?
Amendment_JSC * Gender Crosstabulation
Male Female
Vote For 74% 68%
Vote Against 15% 12%
Won't Vote on Question 4% 6%
Unsure 7% 15%
Amendment_JSC * Age Crosstabulation
Under 50 Fifty and older
Vote For 67% 72%
Vote Against 13% 14%
Won't Vote on Question 4% 5%
Unsure 16% 8%
Amendment_JSC * Ethnicity Crosstabulation
Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/Mixed
Vote For 77% 65% 58% 69% 69% 50% 73%
Vote Against 14% 17% 14% 15% 11% 20% 6%
Won't Vote on Question 2% 5% 6% 6% 11% 10% 8%
Unsure 7% 13% 23% 9% 9% 20% 13%
33. Amendment_JSC * Ideology Crosstabulation
Liberal Moderate Conservative Unsure
Vote For 66% 73% 79% 56%
Vote Against 18% 17% 9% 9%
Won't Vote on Question 5% 5% 3% 9%
Unsure 11% 5% 9% 27%
Amendment_JSC * Party_ID Crosstabulation
Democrat Republican Independent Unsure
Vote For 68% 77% 73% 36%
Vote Against 17% 10% 11% 11%
Won't Vote on Question 5% 7% 3% 11%
Unsure 11% 6% 13% 43%
Amendment_JSC * Military_Family Crosstabulation
Yes No Refused
Vote For 72% 67% 47%
Vote Against 13% 16% 13%
Won't Vote on Question 6% 3% 13%
Unsure 9% 14% 27%
Amendment_JSC * Union_Family Crosstabulation
Yes No Refused
Vote For 72% 71% 52%
Vote Against 13% 15% 13%
Won't Vote on Question 4% 5% 10%
Unsure 10% 10% 25%
34. Amendment_JSC * Household_Income Crosstabulation
Less than
$50,000
$50,000 -
$100,000
More than
$100,000 Refused
Vote For 77% 73% 70% 59%
Vote Against 8% 15% 18% 16%
Won't Vote on Question 6% 4% 1% 8%
Unsure 9% 8% 11% 18%
Amendment_JSC * County_CD Crosstabulation
Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai
Vote For 70% 75% 78% 53% 66%
Vote Against 13% 11% 14% 17% 14%
Won't Vote on Question 5% 5% 4% 10% 7%
Unsure 12% 8% 4% 20% 14%
Amendment_JSC * Amendment_Information Crosstabulation
News Reports
Political
Information Friends/Family
Directly from
the Ballot
Question
Usually Don't
Vote on
Amendments Unsure
Vote For 76% 74% 63% 73% 50% 37%
Vote Against 13% 15% 14% 16% 5%
Won't Vote on Question 4% 4% 11% 6% 38% 4%
Unsure 7% 7% 13% 5% 13% 55%
35. Another proposed amendment would raise the mandatory retirement age for state
justices and judges from 70 years of age, to 80. This would allow older state judges
to remain in their positions for a longer timWould you most likely vote for this
amendment, vote against this amendment, or not vote either way on this
amendment?
Amendment_JudgeRetirement * Gender Crosstabulation
Male Female
Vote For 29% 23%
Vote Against 61% 62%
Won't Vote on Question 3% 3%
Unsure 8% 12%
Amendment_JudgeRetirement * Age Crosstabulation
Under 50 Fifty and older
Vote For 19% 28%
Vote Against 64% 61%
Won't Vote on Question 4% 2%
Unsure 13% 9%
Amendment_JudgeRetirement * Ethnicity Crosstabulation
Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/Mixed
Vote For 26% 28% 22% 27% 25% 13% 18%
Vote Against 62% 61% 55% 66% 58% 88% 67%
Won't Vote on Question 2% 2% 3% 4% 2% 4%
Unsure 10% 9% 21% 4% 16% 11%
36. Amendment_JudgeRetirement * Ideology Crosstabulation
Liberal Moderate Conservative Unsure
Vote For 30% 25% 26% 17%
Vote Against 55% 65% 65% 60%
Won't Vote on Question 3% 2% 3% 2%
Unsure 12% 8% 6% 21%
Amendment_JudgeRetirement * Party_ID Crosstabulation
Democrat Republican Independent Unsure
Vote For 28% 19% 28% 11%
Vote Against 60% 73% 59% 36%
Won't Vote on Question 2% 3% 2% 7%
Unsure 11% 4% 11% 46%
Amendment_JudgeRetirement * Military_Family Crosstabulation
Yes No Refused
Vote For 27% 24% 7%
Vote Against 61% 64% 57%
Won't Vote on Question 3% 1% 7%
Unsure 10% 11% 29%
Amendment_JudgeRetirement * Union_Family Crosstabulation
Yes No Refused
Vote For 24% 27% 17%
Vote Against 63% 62% 56%
Won't Vote on Question 3% 2% 8%
Unsure 10% 10% 19%
37. Amendment_JudgeRetirement * Household_Income Crosstabulation
Less than
$50,000
$50,000 -
$100,000
More than
$100,000 Refused
Vote For 27% 24% 27% 25%
Vote Against 62% 65% 65% 55%
Won't Vote on Question 3% 3% 1% 3%
Unsure 9% 8% 8% 17%
Amendment_JudgeRetirement * County_CD Crosstabulation
Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai
Vote For 24% 29% 25% 23% 36%
Vote Against 63% 59% 64% 59% 52%
Won't Vote on Question 3% 2% 3% 3% 5%
Unsure 10% 10% 8% 15% 7%
Amendment_JudgeRetirement * Amendment_Information Crosstabulation
News Reports
Political
Information Friends/Family
Directly from
the Ballot
Question
Usually Don't
Vote on
Amendments Unsure
Vote For 30% 28% 21% 18% 19% 16%
Vote Against 60% 57% 63% 75% 31% 43%
Won't Vote on Question 1% 3% 4% 3% 44% 7%
Unsure 8% 12% 12% 3% 6% 35%