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          An Analysis of the Potential Impact
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          of Higher Admissions Standards on
          Currently Admitted Students in Fall
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                             2011
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             Applying State of Louisiana Standards

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                                [July, 22, 2011]

               Dillard, University, Office of Institutional Research


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The adjustment of admissions standards for entry into institutions of higher education

may affect the quality and quantity of students admitted to various institutions. It is

assumed that Dillard University is no different. Changes in the admissions standards for

entry into Dillard may alter the composition of its student body over time.



At the request of Office of Enrollment Management, the Office of Institutional Research

initiated a narrowly focused assessment of the impact higher admissions standards would

have on new first-time freshmen admitted to Dillard for the Fall 2011 semester. To that

end, analyses were performed on 1700 plus individuals admitted for that term. The

question raised is how many students would not be admitted to Dillard based on adjusted

admissions criteria?



Raising admissions standards may have direct and indirect impacts on the institution.

Directly, the cohorts admitted after implementation of new standards may differ

significantly from those already attending the university. Indirectly, over time, the

retention and graduation rate may increase. Also, expectations of a more challenging

academic environment may accompany the entry of higher achieving students. And,

given the potential impacts cited above, the latent issue is what impact higher standards

would likely have on overall enrollment, especially in the short-term?



The Office of Enrollment Management proposed two sets of criteria for assessing the

potential impact, (1) State of Louisiana Regional Institutions Admission Criteria; and (2)




Page | 2
State of Louisiana Statewide Institutions Admission Criteria. Specifications for these

criteria are listed below:


Regional Institutions Admission
Criteria
High school GPA of 2.0 or greater
OR
ACT composite score of 20 or
greater OR
High School graduation rank 50%
of class AND
Require no more than one
developmental course




Statewide Institutions Admission
Criteria
High school GPA of 2.5 or greater
OR
ACT composite score of 23 or
greater OR
High School graduation rank 25%
of class AND
Require no more than one
developmental course




Methodology

The data analyzed in this report were obtained from the Dillard University admissions

database on July 15, 2011. The data contain 1756 records. The records are freshmen

applicants admitted to the university. Table1 shows that of the 1756 students, 1722

submitted their high school grade point average (GPA); 1223 submitted ACT scores; and,

414 submitted class rankings. While high school class rank is a part of the criteria, since

only 24 percent of admits submitted their class rank scores no analysis was performed on

this data element. Moreover, for the purpose of this analysis persons in need of

Page | 3
developmental course are defined as those who score 17 or less on the ACT English

section and 19 or less on the ACT Math section. Persons who score below these numbers

on both sections are classified as requiring more than one developmental course.




Table 1.
Dillard University
Office of Institutional Research
Distribution of Admitted Students by High School GPA, ACT Composite Score, and Class
Rank
Fall, 2011
                                           Number of              Percent of
                                           Admits                 Admits
High School
GPA                                                        1722                    98.1
No High School
GPA                                                          34                      1.9
Total                                                      1756                   100.0

ACT Scores                                                 1223                    69.6
No ACT Scores                                               533                    30.4
Total                                                      1756                   100.0



Class Rank                                                  414                    23.6
No Class Rank                                              1342                    76.4
Total                                                      1756                   100.0


Findings

The impact of the admissions criteria vary according to the individual decision rules of

each criterion, as well as the combination of two or more of them. The results indicate

that, under the regional requirements, GPA alone would have little impact on the

admissibility of current students. Table 2 shows that 1705 (97 %) of current admits meet

the 2.00 or above GPA requirement. Since the rule states 2.00 or greater GPA or a 20 or

Page | 4
greater ACT composite score, there would be little change in admits even when

composite scores are considered. On the other hand, had the rule stated “and” rather than

“or” the impact would be significantly different. Excluding the 553 cases without ACT

scores, of the 1233 that submitted scores, 445 (36%) of those individuals would qualify

on ACT alone. This represents 25% of the total cohort. 439 individuals would qualify

under either criterion.

 Table2.
 Dillard University
 Office of Institutional Research
 Impact of Regional Institutions Admission Criteria on 2011 Freshmen Admits
                                   Number
                                   of          Percent of
                                   Admits      Admits
 2.00 Plus GPA                         1705        97.1
 Less than 2.00 GPA                      17         1.0
 No GPA                                  34         1.9
 Total                                 1756       100.0



 ACT Composite
 20 or greater                         445        25.3
 19 or
 less                                  778        44.3
 No
 score                                 533        30.4
                                      1756       100.0

 ACT Composite
 Submitted Score
 20 or greater                         445        36.4
 19 or
 less                                  778        63.6
                                      1223       100.0

                                 ACT Composite           ACT Composite        Grand
                                                         19 or
                                 20 or greater           less                 Total
 2.00 Plus GPA                         439                    769                1208
 Less than 2.00 GPA                      6                      9                   15

Page | 5
Total                                 445                  778                1223




After examining the impact of the first two criteria, an analysis was performed on the

third criterion, need for developmental courses. The results in Table3 show that when the

requirement of no more than one developmental course is applied, the number of eligible

admits with a GPA greater than 2.00 declines by 452, meaning only 1253 of the original

group are admissible.   Overall, the proportion of current admits that are eligible drops to

71 percent.

Table3.
Dillard University
Office of Institutional Research
Impact of Regional Institutions Admission Criteria on 2011 Freshmen Admits
Developmental Courses
                           No              One                  Two           Total
                           Developmental Developmental          Developmental
2.00 Plus GPA                       281                  475             452     1208
Less than 2.00 GPA                     6                    6              3        15
Total                               287                  481             455     1223


The data clearly show that current Dillard admits would not be affected by the rules

pertaining to regional institutions if the requirement did not include no more than one

remedial course. That requirement would eliminate more than one-quarter of admits.

This figure more than likely represents an undercount of the number that would be

ineligible, as this analysis only eliminates those admits who submitted ACT scores. As

indicated earlier over 500 cases did not have ACT scores at the time the data were drawn.




Page | 6
The more stringent statewide rules would reduce the number of current admits even more

whether ACT requirements were omitted. Table 4 shows that one-in- five (20%) admits

would not qualify under the 2.5 GPA rule. 1403 or 80 percent would remain eligible.

However, if ACT scores were the lone criteria, only 8% would be eligible. Additionally,

138 (8%) would be eligible under either criteria.

Table4.
Dillard University
Office of Institutional Research
Impact of Statewide Institutions Admission Criteria on 2011 Freshmen Admits
                                  Number
                                  of          Percent of
                                  Admits      Admits
2.50 Plus GPA                         1403        79.9
Less than 2.50 GPA                     319        18.2
No GPA                                   34         1.9
Total                                 1756      100.0



ACT Composite
23 or greater                         149           8.5
22 or
less                                 1074         61.2
No
score                                 533         30.4
                                     1756        100.0

ACT Composite
Submitted Score
20 or greater                         149         12.2
19 or
less                                 1074         87.8
                                     1223        100.0

                                 ACT Composite            ACT Composite       Grand
                                                          22 or
                                 23 or greater            less                Total
2.50 Plus GPA                          138                     870               1008
Less than 2.50 GPA                      11                     204                215
Total                                  149                    1074               1223


Page | 7
Table 5 shows that when the no more than one developmental course criterion is applied,

an additional 355 admits would be ineligible. Thus, bringing the total number of

ineligible admits to 708 (40%).

Table5.
Dillard University
Office of Institutional Research
Impact of Statewide Institutions Admission Criteria on 2011 Freshmen Admits
Developmental Courses
                                  No                    One               Two           Total
                                  Developmental         Developmental     Developmental
2.50 Plus GPA                         263                   390                   355      1008
Less than 2.50 GPA                     23                    91                   101       215
Total                                 286                   481                   456      1223


Like the previous analysis, the results indicate that most current Dillard admits would

qualify for statewide admission based on grade point average alone, but that number

would be reduced significantly after application of the developmental criterion.

Conclusion

This report began by asking the question whether higher admissions standards would

impact the admissibility of current admits to Dillard. In conclusion, State of Louisiana

admission standards would have a significant impact on reducing the number of admits to

Dillard. A large minority of Dillard’s current admits would not be eligible under state

requirements. The primary obstacle to students gaining eligibility would be the

requirement that admits require no more than one developmental course. As a large

majority of Dillard’s admits would meet state GPA requirements, a large segment would

not meet test score requirements. Thus the adoption and implementation of standards

similar to the state would in all likelihood have an immediate short-term effect on student

enrollment. While this report narrowly focuses on admits and is not intended to provide a


Page | 8
comprehensive assessment of the impact higher admissions standards are likely to have

on the university, nevertheless, it is plausible to conclude that any act that results in a

significant decline in student enrollment is likely to have a ripple effect throughout the

university. That being said, what are some of potential impacts such a policy is likely to

have on the institution?

The current fiscal stress which the university is experiencing would be exacerbated by a

significant decline in enrollment, which is likely to occur due to the likelihood of a

shrinking pool of admits, even if the yield rate holds constant. Fewer enrollees is likely

to affect tuition and fee revenues generated. That may perhaps necessitate some type of

action to replace lost revenues that may occur. Additionally, lower enrollment may

trigger another round of academic program reviews to identify viable programs,

deployment of faculty and staff resources, as well as facilities utilization. These are but a

few entities that may be affected by a change in admissions standards. This report

recommends that any attempt to adopt and implement more challenging admissions

standards take a comprehensive approach and investigate the potential such standards are

likely to have on various components of the university.




Page | 9

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An Analysis of the Potential Impact of Higher Admissions Standards on Currently Admitted Students in Fall 2011

  • 1. qwertyuiopasdfghjklzxcvbnmqwertyui opasdfghjklzxcvbnmqwertyuiopasdfghj klzxcvbnmqwertyuiopasdfghjklzxcvbn An Analysis of the Potential Impact mqwertyuiopasdfghjklzxcvbnmqwerty of Higher Admissions Standards on Currently Admitted Students in Fall uiopasdfghjklzxcvbnmqwertyuiopasdfg 2011 hjklzxcvbnmqwertyuiopasdfghjklzxcvb Applying State of Louisiana Standards nmqwertyuiopasdfghjklzxcvbnmqwert [July, 22, 2011] Dillard, University, Office of Institutional Research yuiopasdfghjklzxcvbnmqwertyuiopasdf ghjklzxcvbnmqwertyuiopasdfghjklzxcv bnmqwertyuiopasdfghjklzxcvbnmqwer tyuiopasdfghjklzxcvbnmqwertyuiopasd fghjklzxcvbnmqwertyuiopasdfghjklzxcv bnmqwertyuiopasdfghjklzxcvbnmqwer tyuiopasdfghjklzxcvbnmrtyuiopasdfghj klzxcvbnmqwertyuiopasdfghjklzxcvbn mqwertyuiopasdfghjklzxcvbnmqwerty uiopasdfghjklzxcvbnmqwertyuiopasdfg hjklzxcvbnmqwertyuiopasdfghjklzxcvb
  • 2. The adjustment of admissions standards for entry into institutions of higher education may affect the quality and quantity of students admitted to various institutions. It is assumed that Dillard University is no different. Changes in the admissions standards for entry into Dillard may alter the composition of its student body over time. At the request of Office of Enrollment Management, the Office of Institutional Research initiated a narrowly focused assessment of the impact higher admissions standards would have on new first-time freshmen admitted to Dillard for the Fall 2011 semester. To that end, analyses were performed on 1700 plus individuals admitted for that term. The question raised is how many students would not be admitted to Dillard based on adjusted admissions criteria? Raising admissions standards may have direct and indirect impacts on the institution. Directly, the cohorts admitted after implementation of new standards may differ significantly from those already attending the university. Indirectly, over time, the retention and graduation rate may increase. Also, expectations of a more challenging academic environment may accompany the entry of higher achieving students. And, given the potential impacts cited above, the latent issue is what impact higher standards would likely have on overall enrollment, especially in the short-term? The Office of Enrollment Management proposed two sets of criteria for assessing the potential impact, (1) State of Louisiana Regional Institutions Admission Criteria; and (2) Page | 2
  • 3. State of Louisiana Statewide Institutions Admission Criteria. Specifications for these criteria are listed below: Regional Institutions Admission Criteria High school GPA of 2.0 or greater OR ACT composite score of 20 or greater OR High School graduation rank 50% of class AND Require no more than one developmental course Statewide Institutions Admission Criteria High school GPA of 2.5 or greater OR ACT composite score of 23 or greater OR High School graduation rank 25% of class AND Require no more than one developmental course Methodology The data analyzed in this report were obtained from the Dillard University admissions database on July 15, 2011. The data contain 1756 records. The records are freshmen applicants admitted to the university. Table1 shows that of the 1756 students, 1722 submitted their high school grade point average (GPA); 1223 submitted ACT scores; and, 414 submitted class rankings. While high school class rank is a part of the criteria, since only 24 percent of admits submitted their class rank scores no analysis was performed on this data element. Moreover, for the purpose of this analysis persons in need of Page | 3
  • 4. developmental course are defined as those who score 17 or less on the ACT English section and 19 or less on the ACT Math section. Persons who score below these numbers on both sections are classified as requiring more than one developmental course. Table 1. Dillard University Office of Institutional Research Distribution of Admitted Students by High School GPA, ACT Composite Score, and Class Rank Fall, 2011 Number of Percent of Admits Admits High School GPA 1722 98.1 No High School GPA 34 1.9 Total 1756 100.0 ACT Scores 1223 69.6 No ACT Scores 533 30.4 Total 1756 100.0 Class Rank 414 23.6 No Class Rank 1342 76.4 Total 1756 100.0 Findings The impact of the admissions criteria vary according to the individual decision rules of each criterion, as well as the combination of two or more of them. The results indicate that, under the regional requirements, GPA alone would have little impact on the admissibility of current students. Table 2 shows that 1705 (97 %) of current admits meet the 2.00 or above GPA requirement. Since the rule states 2.00 or greater GPA or a 20 or Page | 4
  • 5. greater ACT composite score, there would be little change in admits even when composite scores are considered. On the other hand, had the rule stated “and” rather than “or” the impact would be significantly different. Excluding the 553 cases without ACT scores, of the 1233 that submitted scores, 445 (36%) of those individuals would qualify on ACT alone. This represents 25% of the total cohort. 439 individuals would qualify under either criterion. Table2. Dillard University Office of Institutional Research Impact of Regional Institutions Admission Criteria on 2011 Freshmen Admits Number of Percent of Admits Admits 2.00 Plus GPA 1705 97.1 Less than 2.00 GPA 17 1.0 No GPA 34 1.9 Total 1756 100.0 ACT Composite 20 or greater 445 25.3 19 or less 778 44.3 No score 533 30.4 1756 100.0 ACT Composite Submitted Score 20 or greater 445 36.4 19 or less 778 63.6 1223 100.0 ACT Composite ACT Composite Grand 19 or 20 or greater less Total 2.00 Plus GPA 439 769 1208 Less than 2.00 GPA 6 9 15 Page | 5
  • 6. Total 445 778 1223 After examining the impact of the first two criteria, an analysis was performed on the third criterion, need for developmental courses. The results in Table3 show that when the requirement of no more than one developmental course is applied, the number of eligible admits with a GPA greater than 2.00 declines by 452, meaning only 1253 of the original group are admissible. Overall, the proportion of current admits that are eligible drops to 71 percent. Table3. Dillard University Office of Institutional Research Impact of Regional Institutions Admission Criteria on 2011 Freshmen Admits Developmental Courses No One Two Total Developmental Developmental Developmental 2.00 Plus GPA 281 475 452 1208 Less than 2.00 GPA 6 6 3 15 Total 287 481 455 1223 The data clearly show that current Dillard admits would not be affected by the rules pertaining to regional institutions if the requirement did not include no more than one remedial course. That requirement would eliminate more than one-quarter of admits. This figure more than likely represents an undercount of the number that would be ineligible, as this analysis only eliminates those admits who submitted ACT scores. As indicated earlier over 500 cases did not have ACT scores at the time the data were drawn. Page | 6
  • 7. The more stringent statewide rules would reduce the number of current admits even more whether ACT requirements were omitted. Table 4 shows that one-in- five (20%) admits would not qualify under the 2.5 GPA rule. 1403 or 80 percent would remain eligible. However, if ACT scores were the lone criteria, only 8% would be eligible. Additionally, 138 (8%) would be eligible under either criteria. Table4. Dillard University Office of Institutional Research Impact of Statewide Institutions Admission Criteria on 2011 Freshmen Admits Number of Percent of Admits Admits 2.50 Plus GPA 1403 79.9 Less than 2.50 GPA 319 18.2 No GPA 34 1.9 Total 1756 100.0 ACT Composite 23 or greater 149 8.5 22 or less 1074 61.2 No score 533 30.4 1756 100.0 ACT Composite Submitted Score 20 or greater 149 12.2 19 or less 1074 87.8 1223 100.0 ACT Composite ACT Composite Grand 22 or 23 or greater less Total 2.50 Plus GPA 138 870 1008 Less than 2.50 GPA 11 204 215 Total 149 1074 1223 Page | 7
  • 8. Table 5 shows that when the no more than one developmental course criterion is applied, an additional 355 admits would be ineligible. Thus, bringing the total number of ineligible admits to 708 (40%). Table5. Dillard University Office of Institutional Research Impact of Statewide Institutions Admission Criteria on 2011 Freshmen Admits Developmental Courses No One Two Total Developmental Developmental Developmental 2.50 Plus GPA 263 390 355 1008 Less than 2.50 GPA 23 91 101 215 Total 286 481 456 1223 Like the previous analysis, the results indicate that most current Dillard admits would qualify for statewide admission based on grade point average alone, but that number would be reduced significantly after application of the developmental criterion. Conclusion This report began by asking the question whether higher admissions standards would impact the admissibility of current admits to Dillard. In conclusion, State of Louisiana admission standards would have a significant impact on reducing the number of admits to Dillard. A large minority of Dillard’s current admits would not be eligible under state requirements. The primary obstacle to students gaining eligibility would be the requirement that admits require no more than one developmental course. As a large majority of Dillard’s admits would meet state GPA requirements, a large segment would not meet test score requirements. Thus the adoption and implementation of standards similar to the state would in all likelihood have an immediate short-term effect on student enrollment. While this report narrowly focuses on admits and is not intended to provide a Page | 8
  • 9. comprehensive assessment of the impact higher admissions standards are likely to have on the university, nevertheless, it is plausible to conclude that any act that results in a significant decline in student enrollment is likely to have a ripple effect throughout the university. That being said, what are some of potential impacts such a policy is likely to have on the institution? The current fiscal stress which the university is experiencing would be exacerbated by a significant decline in enrollment, which is likely to occur due to the likelihood of a shrinking pool of admits, even if the yield rate holds constant. Fewer enrollees is likely to affect tuition and fee revenues generated. That may perhaps necessitate some type of action to replace lost revenues that may occur. Additionally, lower enrollment may trigger another round of academic program reviews to identify viable programs, deployment of faculty and staff resources, as well as facilities utilization. These are but a few entities that may be affected by a change in admissions standards. This report recommends that any attempt to adopt and implement more challenging admissions standards take a comprehensive approach and investigate the potential such standards are likely to have on various components of the university. Page | 9