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By Avanté Graves
      Jason McFarland
       Tetyana Ilashvili
      Anthony Harding
       Chrisin Headley

Group # 7 Project Management
      Due Date 2-19-13
   SWU President has decided to expand
    the current stadium
   Contractor has 270 days to complete
    the addition before next football
    season starts
   Consequences for being late include
    $10,000.00 penalty for every day late
    and ruining his company name.
   To ensure success Mr. Hill wants to be
    75% sure they will finish within 270
    days
   More than that he wants to finish
    early and wants cost figures for a
    target date of 250 days and 240 days.
Bob Hill wants a confidence of at lease 75% that the project will
be completed before the 270th day

If confidence is less then 75% then the project will be crashed.

Mr. Hill wants to see a comparison for target dates of 240 and
250 days along the cost difference.

1. Identify activity durations
2. Construct a network diagram
3. Determine the probability of completion in less than 270 days
4. If required crash project to desired duration and calculate
additional cost to the project.
Calculate the Expected time and Variance for each activity
                                              Time Estimates (Days)
                                                              a            m            b           t
                                                                                                 Expected
Activity              Description          Predecessors   Optimistic   Most Likely Pessimistic     Time     Variance   Crash Cost/Day ($)
           Bonding, insurance, tax
   A       structuring                                       20            30          40          30        11.1           $1,500
           Foundation, concrete footings
   B       for boxes                            A            20            65          80          60        100.0          $3,500
           Upgrading skyboxes, stadium
   C       seating                              A            50            60         100          65        69.4           $4,000
           Upgrading walkways,
   D       stairwells, elevators                C            30            50         100          55        136.1          $1,900
   E       Interior wiring, lathes              B            25            30          35          30         2.8           $9,500
   F       Inspection approvals                 E             1            1            1           1         0.0             $0
   G       Plumbing                            D,E           25            30          35          30         2.8           $2,500
   H       Painting                             G            10            20          30          20        11.1           $2,000
           Hardware/air conditioning/
   I       metal work                           H            20            25          60          30        44.4           $2,000
   J       Tile/carpeting/windows               H             8            10          12          10         0.4           $6,000
   K       Inspection                           J             1            1            1           1         0.0             $0
   L       Final detail work/ cleanup          I,K           20            25          60          30        44.4           $4,500

Expected activity time (t) : t= (a+4m+b)/6
Variance of activity completion time:
Variance = ((b-a)/6)2
Determine the critical path using the expected time
                                      Identify critical path




Activity   ES    EF       LS    LF    SLACK   Critical
   A        0    30        0    30     0         Y
   B       30    90       60    120    30        N
   C       30    95       30    95     0         Y
   D       95    150      95    150    0         Y
   E       90    120      120   150    30        N
   F       120   121      254   255   134        N
                                                         Expected days for completion: 260 days
   G       150   180      150   180    0         Y
   H       180   200      180   200    0         Y
   I       200   230      200   230    0         Y
   J       200   210      219   229    19        N
   K       210   211      229   230    19        N
   L       230   260      230   260    0         Y
Determine project standard deviation
                                                          Time Estimates (Days)
                                                              a            m            b           t
                                                                                                 Expected
Activity              Description          Predecessors   Optimistic   Most Likely Pessimistic     Time     Variance   Crash Cost/Day ($)
           Bonding, insurance, tax
   A       structuring                                       20            30          40          30        11.1           $1,500
           Foundation, concrete footings
   B       for boxes                            A            20            65          80          60        100.0          $3,500
           Upgrading skyboxes, stadium
   C       seating                              A            50            60         100          65        69.4           $4,000
           Upgrading walkways,
   D       stairwells, elevators                C            30            50         100          55        136.1          $1,900
   E       Interior wiring, lathes              B            25            30          35          30         2.8           $9,500
   F       Inspection approvals                 E             1            1            1           1         0.0             $0
   G       Plumbing                            D,E           25            30          35          30         2.8           $2,500
   H       Painting                             G            10            20          30          20        11.1           $2,000
           Hardware/air conditioning/
   I       metal work                           H            20            25          60          30        44.4           $2,000
   J       Tile/carpeting/windows               H             8            10          12          10         0.4           $6,000
   K       Inspection                           J             1            1            1           1         0.0             $0
   L       Final detail work/ cleanup          I,K           20            25          60          30        44.4           $4,500
                                                                                                             319.4
Determine confidence level for the project

                                                 Due date - Expected date of completion
                                     Z=
                                                                       σ

                                                 270                   -                  260
                                                                     17.87

                                     Z=         0.5595                ------>             0.71226




                                                                                Z=         Due date - Expected date of completion
Z=     Due date - Expected date of completion
                                                                                                                   σ
                             σ

                                                                                             270                   -                240
      270                    -                  250
                                                                                                                 17.87
                           17.87

                                                                                Z=         1.6785                ------>            0.95254
Z=   1.1190                ------>                0.8665
Analysis
                                   Crash project to 250 days




Activity    ES    EF    LS    LF   SLACK   Critical
   A        0     20    0     20     0        Y
   B        20    80    50   110     30       N
   C        20    85    20    85     0        Y
   D        85   140    85   140     0        Y
   E        80   110   110   140     30       N
   F       120   121   249   250    129       N       Crash A for 10 days down to 20 days
   G
   H
           140
           170
                 170
                 190
                       140
                       170
                             170
                             190
                                     0
                                     0
                                              Y
                                              Y
                                                           10 days*$1,500 = $15,000
   I       190   220   190   220     0        Y
   J       190   200   219   229     29       N
   K       210   211   249   250     39       N           Total extra cost = $15,000
   L       220   250   220   250     0        Y
Crash project to 240 days




Activity   ES     EF    LS    LF   SLACK   Critical
   A       0      20    0     20     0        Y
   B       20     80    40   100     20       N
   C       20     85    20    85     0        Y
   D       85    130    85   130     0        Y       Crash A for 10 days down to 20 days
   E       80    110   100   130     20       N
   F       120   121   239   240   119        N
                                                           10 days*$1,500 = $15,000
   G       130   160   130   160    0         Y       Crash D for 10 days down to 10 days
   H       160   180   160   180    0         Y
   I       180   210   180   210    0         Y            10 days*$1,900 = $19,000
   J       180   190   229   239    49        N
   K       190   191   239   240    49        N
   L       210   240   210   240    0         Y              Total cost = $34,000
Develop a network drawing for Hill Construction and determine the critical path.
How long is the project expected to take?




The project is expected to take 260 days.
   In order to crash the project to 250 days, task A can
    be reduced by 10 days which will have an additional
    cost of $15,000 with an 86% chance that the project
    will be completed by 270th day.

   To crash the project to 240 days, both tasks A and D
    can be reduced by 10 days that would create an
    additional cost of $34,000 for the project and
    increase the chance for completion to 95%.
   The project expected completion date is 260
    days.
   There is a 71.23% chance that the stadium will
    be in place with the 270 day deadline
   Pert can easily find the probability of finishing
    by any date Southwestern University is
    interested in.
   7 activites (A,C,D,G,H,I,L) are on the critical
    path.
   If any one of them is delayed for any reason,
    the entire project will be delayed
   5 activities (B,E,F,J,K) are not critical but have
    some slack time built in.
   This means Southwestern University can
    borrow from their resources, if needed,
    possibly to speed up the entire project
   A detailed schedule of activity starting and
    ending dates (See Schedule and Slack Table)
    Activity   ES    EF    LS    LF    SLACK   Critical
       A        0    20     0    20     0         Y
       B       20    80    40    100    20        N
       C       20    85    20    85     0         Y
       D       85    130   85    130    0         Y
       E       80    110   100   130    20        N
       F       120   121   239   240   119        N
       G       130   160   130   160    0         Y
       H       160   180   160   180    0         Y
       I       180   210   180   210    0         Y
       J       180   190   229   239    49        N
       K       190   191   239   240    49        N
       L       210   240   210   240    0         Y
 We would have to crash the project if it is below 75%
  confidence. According to the analysis on slide #7, with
  the expected date of completion being 260 days,
  there is only a 71.23% chance of it being finished
  within that deadline.
 Considering the chance of the stadium being finished
  in the 270 day deadline is only 71.32%, other deadlines
  need to be looked at and considered as well as taking
  advantage of the slack time built in to the activities
  that are not critical to the building process.
 In order to speed up the building process and make
  the deadline on time, the company may want to use
  the resources supplied to them.
   According to slide #7, there is a better chance
    of the building project being finished when
    the expected date of completion is 240 days
    at a 95.25% confidence. Crashing the project
    to 240 days seems to be the most beneficial
    according to time. The costs will increase,
    however, considering the only concern of the
    coach is to have the field ready for opening
    day, crashing the deadline to 240 days is what
    is best.

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Southwestern University Stadium Construction

  • 1. By Avanté Graves Jason McFarland Tetyana Ilashvili Anthony Harding Chrisin Headley Group # 7 Project Management Due Date 2-19-13
  • 2. SWU President has decided to expand the current stadium  Contractor has 270 days to complete the addition before next football season starts  Consequences for being late include $10,000.00 penalty for every day late and ruining his company name.  To ensure success Mr. Hill wants to be 75% sure they will finish within 270 days  More than that he wants to finish early and wants cost figures for a target date of 250 days and 240 days.
  • 3. Bob Hill wants a confidence of at lease 75% that the project will be completed before the 270th day If confidence is less then 75% then the project will be crashed. Mr. Hill wants to see a comparison for target dates of 240 and 250 days along the cost difference. 1. Identify activity durations 2. Construct a network diagram 3. Determine the probability of completion in less than 270 days 4. If required crash project to desired duration and calculate additional cost to the project.
  • 4. Calculate the Expected time and Variance for each activity Time Estimates (Days) a m b t Expected Activity Description Predecessors Optimistic Most Likely Pessimistic Time Variance Crash Cost/Day ($) Bonding, insurance, tax A structuring 20 30 40 30 11.1 $1,500 Foundation, concrete footings B for boxes A 20 65 80 60 100.0 $3,500 Upgrading skyboxes, stadium C seating A 50 60 100 65 69.4 $4,000 Upgrading walkways, D stairwells, elevators C 30 50 100 55 136.1 $1,900 E Interior wiring, lathes B 25 30 35 30 2.8 $9,500 F Inspection approvals E 1 1 1 1 0.0 $0 G Plumbing D,E 25 30 35 30 2.8 $2,500 H Painting G 10 20 30 20 11.1 $2,000 Hardware/air conditioning/ I metal work H 20 25 60 30 44.4 $2,000 J Tile/carpeting/windows H 8 10 12 10 0.4 $6,000 K Inspection J 1 1 1 1 0.0 $0 L Final detail work/ cleanup I,K 20 25 60 30 44.4 $4,500 Expected activity time (t) : t= (a+4m+b)/6 Variance of activity completion time: Variance = ((b-a)/6)2
  • 5. Determine the critical path using the expected time Identify critical path Activity ES EF LS LF SLACK Critical A 0 30 0 30 0 Y B 30 90 60 120 30 N C 30 95 30 95 0 Y D 95 150 95 150 0 Y E 90 120 120 150 30 N F 120 121 254 255 134 N Expected days for completion: 260 days G 150 180 150 180 0 Y H 180 200 180 200 0 Y I 200 230 200 230 0 Y J 200 210 219 229 19 N K 210 211 229 230 19 N L 230 260 230 260 0 Y
  • 6. Determine project standard deviation Time Estimates (Days) a m b t Expected Activity Description Predecessors Optimistic Most Likely Pessimistic Time Variance Crash Cost/Day ($) Bonding, insurance, tax A structuring 20 30 40 30 11.1 $1,500 Foundation, concrete footings B for boxes A 20 65 80 60 100.0 $3,500 Upgrading skyboxes, stadium C seating A 50 60 100 65 69.4 $4,000 Upgrading walkways, D stairwells, elevators C 30 50 100 55 136.1 $1,900 E Interior wiring, lathes B 25 30 35 30 2.8 $9,500 F Inspection approvals E 1 1 1 1 0.0 $0 G Plumbing D,E 25 30 35 30 2.8 $2,500 H Painting G 10 20 30 20 11.1 $2,000 Hardware/air conditioning/ I metal work H 20 25 60 30 44.4 $2,000 J Tile/carpeting/windows H 8 10 12 10 0.4 $6,000 K Inspection J 1 1 1 1 0.0 $0 L Final detail work/ cleanup I,K 20 25 60 30 44.4 $4,500 319.4
  • 7. Determine confidence level for the project Due date - Expected date of completion Z= σ 270 - 260 17.87 Z= 0.5595 ------> 0.71226 Z= Due date - Expected date of completion Z= Due date - Expected date of completion σ σ 270 - 240 270 - 250 17.87 17.87 Z= 1.6785 ------> 0.95254 Z= 1.1190 ------> 0.8665
  • 8. Analysis Crash project to 250 days Activity ES EF LS LF SLACK Critical A 0 20 0 20 0 Y B 20 80 50 110 30 N C 20 85 20 85 0 Y D 85 140 85 140 0 Y E 80 110 110 140 30 N F 120 121 249 250 129 N Crash A for 10 days down to 20 days G H 140 170 170 190 140 170 170 190 0 0 Y Y 10 days*$1,500 = $15,000 I 190 220 190 220 0 Y J 190 200 219 229 29 N K 210 211 249 250 39 N Total extra cost = $15,000 L 220 250 220 250 0 Y
  • 9. Crash project to 240 days Activity ES EF LS LF SLACK Critical A 0 20 0 20 0 Y B 20 80 40 100 20 N C 20 85 20 85 0 Y D 85 130 85 130 0 Y Crash A for 10 days down to 20 days E 80 110 100 130 20 N F 120 121 239 240 119 N 10 days*$1,500 = $15,000 G 130 160 130 160 0 Y Crash D for 10 days down to 10 days H 160 180 160 180 0 Y I 180 210 180 210 0 Y 10 days*$1,900 = $19,000 J 180 190 229 239 49 N K 190 191 239 240 49 N L 210 240 210 240 0 Y Total cost = $34,000
  • 10. Develop a network drawing for Hill Construction and determine the critical path. How long is the project expected to take? The project is expected to take 260 days.
  • 11.
  • 12. In order to crash the project to 250 days, task A can be reduced by 10 days which will have an additional cost of $15,000 with an 86% chance that the project will be completed by 270th day.  To crash the project to 240 days, both tasks A and D can be reduced by 10 days that would create an additional cost of $34,000 for the project and increase the chance for completion to 95%.
  • 13. The project expected completion date is 260 days.
  • 14. There is a 71.23% chance that the stadium will be in place with the 270 day deadline  Pert can easily find the probability of finishing by any date Southwestern University is interested in.
  • 15. 7 activites (A,C,D,G,H,I,L) are on the critical path.  If any one of them is delayed for any reason, the entire project will be delayed
  • 16. 5 activities (B,E,F,J,K) are not critical but have some slack time built in.  This means Southwestern University can borrow from their resources, if needed, possibly to speed up the entire project
  • 17. A detailed schedule of activity starting and ending dates (See Schedule and Slack Table) Activity ES EF LS LF SLACK Critical A 0 20 0 20 0 Y B 20 80 40 100 20 N C 20 85 20 85 0 Y D 85 130 85 130 0 Y E 80 110 100 130 20 N F 120 121 239 240 119 N G 130 160 130 160 0 Y H 160 180 160 180 0 Y I 180 210 180 210 0 Y J 180 190 229 239 49 N K 190 191 239 240 49 N L 210 240 210 240 0 Y
  • 18.  We would have to crash the project if it is below 75% confidence. According to the analysis on slide #7, with the expected date of completion being 260 days, there is only a 71.23% chance of it being finished within that deadline.  Considering the chance of the stadium being finished in the 270 day deadline is only 71.32%, other deadlines need to be looked at and considered as well as taking advantage of the slack time built in to the activities that are not critical to the building process.  In order to speed up the building process and make the deadline on time, the company may want to use the resources supplied to them.
  • 19. According to slide #7, there is a better chance of the building project being finished when the expected date of completion is 240 days at a 95.25% confidence. Crashing the project to 240 days seems to be the most beneficial according to time. The costs will increase, however, considering the only concern of the coach is to have the field ready for opening day, crashing the deadline to 240 days is what is best.