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Issues in Priority Setting ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],Source: Gassler, Polt, Rammer 2007
[object Object],Source: Gassler, Polt, Rammer 2007
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],„  ..most of these lists of technologies remain at a level which makes them only a poor guide for policy...“ Branscomb (1994) Lists of Technologies
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Evaluation in the Policy Cycle Foresight TA Technology  Roadmapping
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Dimensions of Evaluation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Scope and Limits of Evaluations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Approaches to Impact assessment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Approaches to Impact Assessment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Macro and Meso estimates of Return on R&D Source: Godin and Doré
Meso/Micro level: Social Rates of individual technologies Source: LINK (1999)
Mirco level: ‚Stylized results‘ from short-term ex-post CBA for individual projects .. clearly these differences are a guide for public investment ? Source: Bessette, 2003
Scope and Limits of Evaluations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Timing of expected economic effects from ATP projects (stylized) Economic Impacts -1  0  1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  or more years Announce Competetion Announce Award Complete Project Post-Project Period Short-Term Mid-Term Long-Term ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Total Economic Benefits Benefits  to Awardees ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Scope and Limits of Evaluations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Scope and Limits of Evaluations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Towards realistic expectations ,[object Object],[object Object]
Where shall we go from here? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Where shall we go from here? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Wp.Priority Setting, Paris 29 30 Oct. 07

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  • 15. Evaluation in the Policy Cycle Foresight TA Technology Roadmapping
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  • 19.
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  • 22. Macro and Meso estimates of Return on R&D Source: Godin and Doré
  • 23. Meso/Micro level: Social Rates of individual technologies Source: LINK (1999)
  • 24. Mirco level: ‚Stylized results‘ from short-term ex-post CBA for individual projects .. clearly these differences are a guide for public investment ? Source: Bessette, 2003
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Editor's Notes

  1. Why important that it is ‚conscious‘: because ‚patterns‘ and ‚specialisations‘ are emergent properties of a system
  2. Why important that it is ‚conscious‘: because ‚patterns‘ and ‚specialisations‘ are emergent properties of a system
  3. Why important that it is ‚conscious‘: because ‚patterns‘ and ‚specialisations‘ are emergent propoerties of a system
  4. Why important that it is ‚conscious‘: because ‚patterns‘ and ‚specialisations‘ are emergent propoerties of a system
  5. Why important that it is ‚conscious‘: because ‚patterns‘ and ‚specialisations‘ are emergent propoerties of a system
  6. Why important that it is ‚conscious‘: because ‚patterns‘ and ‚specialisations‘ are emergent propoerties of a system
  7. Why important that it is ‚conscious‘: because ‚patterns‘ and ‚specialisations‘ are emergent propoerties of a system
  8. Why important that it is ‚conscious‘: because ‚patterns‘ and ‚specialisations‘ are emergent properties of a system
  9. Why important that it is ‚conscious‘: because ‚patterns‘ and ‚specialisations‘ are emergent propoerties of a system
  10. To answer this question we must take a short look into the state of the art in evaluation
  11. Numerous studies have been carried out in recent decades about the impacts of R&D
  12. This is a task for the sociologists and the historians of science
  13. This is a task for the sociologists and the historians of science
  14. This is a task for the sociologists and the historians of science