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ECONOMIC GROWTH IN
  MACROECONOMIC
     MODELS
     MODULE 40
LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH

   Long-run economic growth is the
    sustained rise in the quantity of
    goods and services the economy
    produces as opposed to the short
    run-ups and downs of the business
    cycle.
   The fluctuations of actual output
    compared to potential output are the
    result of the business cycle.
LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH

   Long-run economic growth depends
    almost entirely on rising productivity.
   Good macroeconomic policy strives
    to foster increases in productivity,
    which in turn lead to long-run
    economic growth.
LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE
      PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES CURVE

   The PPC is a graph that illustrates
    the trade-offs facing an economy
    that produces only two goods.
   Economic growth is shown as an
    outward shift of the PPC.
   In macroeconomics the PPC shows
    two different categories of goods:
    investment goods and consumer
    goods.
LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE
      PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES CURVE

   The     consumer      goods    include
    everything         purchased        for
    consumption by households.
   Investment goods include all forms
    of physical capital, which are goods
    used to produce other goods.
   The bowed out shape of the PPC
    reflects increasing opportunity costs.
LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE
      PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES CURVE

   The      PPC   shows     all   possible
    combinations     of    consumer    and
    investment goods that can be
    produced with full and efficient use
    of all the country’s resources.
   However, the PPC doesn’t tell us
    which of the possible points the
    country should select.
LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE
      PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES CURVE

   Choosing to produce at a point on
    the PPC that creates more capital
    goods for the economy will result in
    greater production possibilities in the
    future (and thus greater economic
    growth).
LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE
      PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES CURVE

   Over time, as an economy produces
    more goods and services, some of its
    capital is used up in that production.
   A loss in the value of physical capital
    due to wear, age, or obsolescence is
    called depreciation.
   Producing more consumer goods for
    the economy will result in a decrease
    in economic growth in the future.
LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE
      PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES CURVE

   If an economy were to produce more
    consumer goods than capital goods
    year after year, it would find its
    stock of capital goods depreciating
    and its PPC curve would shift inward
    over time, indicating a decrease in
    production possibilities.
LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE
      PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES CURVE

   The point where an economy
    chooses to produce depends on the
    values, politics, and other details
    related to the economy and people of
    the country.
   However, the choice made by the
    economy each year will affect the
    position of the PPC in the future.
LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE
      PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES CURVE

   An emphasis on producing consumer
    goods will make consumers better off
    in the short run, but will prevent the
    PPC from moving farther out in the
    future.
   An emphasis on investment goods
    will lead the PPC to shift out farther
    in the future, but will decrease the
    quantity of consumer goods available
    in the short run.
LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE
      PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES CURVE
   A    country’s      decision   regarding
    investment      in    physical    capital,
    human      capital, and technology
    affects its long-run economic growth.
   Governments can promote long-run
    economic growth by investing in
    physical       capital       such      as
    infrastructure, by promoting a well-
    functioning        financial     system,
    property rights, and political stability.
LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH
          AND THE AD-AS MODEL

   The long-run AS curve shows the
    quantity   of    aggregate   output
    supplied when all prices, including
    nominal wages, are flexible.
   It is vertical at potential output
    because in the long run a change in
    the aggregate price level has no
    effect on the quantity of aggregate
    output supplied.
LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH
        AND THE AD-AS MODEL
   While actual GDP is almost always
    above or below potential output,
    reflecting the current phase of the
    business cycle, potential output is
    the level of output around which
    actual aggregate output fluctuates.
   A     rise   in   potential    output
    corresponds to a rightward shift of
    the LRAS curve.
LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH
        AND THE AD-AS MODEL
   The same government policies that
    promote an outward shift of the PPC
    promote a rightward shift of the
    LRAS curve.
DISTINGUISHING BETWEEN LONG-RUN
    GROWTH AND SHORT-RUN FLUCTUATIONS

   Both the PPC model and the AD-AS
    model can help us distinguish
    between long-run growth and short-
    run fluctuations due to the business
    cycle.
DISTINGUISHING BETWEEN LONG-RUN
    GROWTH AND SHORT-RUN FLUCTUATIONS
   The points along the PPC are
    achievable if there is efficient use of
    the economy’s resources.
   If the economy experiences a
    macroeconomic fluctuation due to
    the business cycle, production falls to
    a point inside the PPC.
   On the other hand, long-run growth
    will appear as an outward shift of the
    PPC curve.
DISTINGUISHING BETWEEN LONG-RUN
GROWTH AND SHORT-RUN FLUCTUATIONS
DISTINGUISHING BETWEEN LONG-RUN
    GROWTH AND SHORT-RUN FLUCTUATIONS

   In the AD-AS model, fluctuations of
    actual aggregate output around
    potential output are indicated by
    shifts of AD or SRAS that result in
    short-run macroeconomic equilibrium
    above or below potential output.
   In this case, adjustments in nominal
    wages will eventually bring the
    equilibrium level of real GDP back to
    the potential level.
DISTINGUISHING BETWEEN LONG-RUN
    GROWTH AND SHORT-RUN FLUCTUATIONS

   Long-run    economic      growth   is
    represented in the AD-AS model as a
    rightward shift of the LRAS curve.
   This corresponds to an increase in
    the economy’s level of potential
    output.
DISTINGUISHING BETWEEN LONG-RUN
GROWTH AND SHORT-RUN FLUCTUATIONS

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Module 40 economic growth in macroeconomic models

  • 1. ECONOMIC GROWTH IN MACROECONOMIC MODELS MODULE 40
  • 2. LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH  Long-run economic growth is the sustained rise in the quantity of goods and services the economy produces as opposed to the short run-ups and downs of the business cycle.  The fluctuations of actual output compared to potential output are the result of the business cycle.
  • 3. LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH  Long-run economic growth depends almost entirely on rising productivity.  Good macroeconomic policy strives to foster increases in productivity, which in turn lead to long-run economic growth.
  • 4. LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES CURVE  The PPC is a graph that illustrates the trade-offs facing an economy that produces only two goods.  Economic growth is shown as an outward shift of the PPC.  In macroeconomics the PPC shows two different categories of goods: investment goods and consumer goods.
  • 5. LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES CURVE  The consumer goods include everything purchased for consumption by households.  Investment goods include all forms of physical capital, which are goods used to produce other goods.  The bowed out shape of the PPC reflects increasing opportunity costs.
  • 6. LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES CURVE  The PPC shows all possible combinations of consumer and investment goods that can be produced with full and efficient use of all the country’s resources.  However, the PPC doesn’t tell us which of the possible points the country should select.
  • 7. LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES CURVE  Choosing to produce at a point on the PPC that creates more capital goods for the economy will result in greater production possibilities in the future (and thus greater economic growth).
  • 8. LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES CURVE  Over time, as an economy produces more goods and services, some of its capital is used up in that production.  A loss in the value of physical capital due to wear, age, or obsolescence is called depreciation.  Producing more consumer goods for the economy will result in a decrease in economic growth in the future.
  • 9. LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES CURVE  If an economy were to produce more consumer goods than capital goods year after year, it would find its stock of capital goods depreciating and its PPC curve would shift inward over time, indicating a decrease in production possibilities.
  • 10. LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES CURVE  The point where an economy chooses to produce depends on the values, politics, and other details related to the economy and people of the country.  However, the choice made by the economy each year will affect the position of the PPC in the future.
  • 11. LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES CURVE  An emphasis on producing consumer goods will make consumers better off in the short run, but will prevent the PPC from moving farther out in the future.  An emphasis on investment goods will lead the PPC to shift out farther in the future, but will decrease the quantity of consumer goods available in the short run.
  • 12. LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES CURVE  A country’s decision regarding investment in physical capital, human capital, and technology affects its long-run economic growth.  Governments can promote long-run economic growth by investing in physical capital such as infrastructure, by promoting a well- functioning financial system, property rights, and political stability.
  • 13. LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE AD-AS MODEL  The long-run AS curve shows the quantity of aggregate output supplied when all prices, including nominal wages, are flexible.  It is vertical at potential output because in the long run a change in the aggregate price level has no effect on the quantity of aggregate output supplied.
  • 14. LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE AD-AS MODEL  While actual GDP is almost always above or below potential output, reflecting the current phase of the business cycle, potential output is the level of output around which actual aggregate output fluctuates.  A rise in potential output corresponds to a rightward shift of the LRAS curve.
  • 15. LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE AD-AS MODEL  The same government policies that promote an outward shift of the PPC promote a rightward shift of the LRAS curve.
  • 16. DISTINGUISHING BETWEEN LONG-RUN GROWTH AND SHORT-RUN FLUCTUATIONS  Both the PPC model and the AD-AS model can help us distinguish between long-run growth and short- run fluctuations due to the business cycle.
  • 17. DISTINGUISHING BETWEEN LONG-RUN GROWTH AND SHORT-RUN FLUCTUATIONS  The points along the PPC are achievable if there is efficient use of the economy’s resources.  If the economy experiences a macroeconomic fluctuation due to the business cycle, production falls to a point inside the PPC.  On the other hand, long-run growth will appear as an outward shift of the PPC curve.
  • 18. DISTINGUISHING BETWEEN LONG-RUN GROWTH AND SHORT-RUN FLUCTUATIONS
  • 19. DISTINGUISHING BETWEEN LONG-RUN GROWTH AND SHORT-RUN FLUCTUATIONS  In the AD-AS model, fluctuations of actual aggregate output around potential output are indicated by shifts of AD or SRAS that result in short-run macroeconomic equilibrium above or below potential output.  In this case, adjustments in nominal wages will eventually bring the equilibrium level of real GDP back to the potential level.
  • 20. DISTINGUISHING BETWEEN LONG-RUN GROWTH AND SHORT-RUN FLUCTUATIONS  Long-run economic growth is represented in the AD-AS model as a rightward shift of the LRAS curve.  This corresponds to an increase in the economy’s level of potential output.
  • 21. DISTINGUISHING BETWEEN LONG-RUN GROWTH AND SHORT-RUN FLUCTUATIONS