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Session T6
Improving the
Reliability and
Achievability of the
Project Plan
Phil Shatz
Deltek Acumen Business Development
philshatz@deltek.com
// Deltek Acumen Licensees
Agenda
Acumen Market and Version 5 Features
Technip Case Study
Demo, if time allows
// DNA of Project-Led Organizations
q Two key factors
•  “Doing right projects…”
•  “Doing projects right…”
q Acumen has focused on enabling
projects to better plan and hence
execute CAPEX spend
q Prevent unforeseen contingency
drawdown.
Our Target Audience
Portfolio
Management
•  Business
intelligence
Project
Controls
•  CAPEX spend
Operations
•  Revenue
generation!
////
Acumen Fuse®:
Acumen Fuse®
q  Launched
•  1 January 2010
q  Focus
•  Project diagnostics
q  Objective
•  Structural integrity
Build Schedule Basis
Account for Risk &
Uncertainty
Accelerate & Optimize
Schedule
Team Validation and Buy In
S1 //
Schedule Basis!
S2 //
Critiqued!
S3 //
Risk-Adjusted!
S4 //
Optimized!
S5 //
Team Approved!
Initial Product
////
4 9 3 6 6 3
Acumen Fuse® Analyses
… and counting
Industry Adoption
//// We’re Making a Difference
Average gone from 50’s to low 60’s
Fuse Schedule Index™
Acumen Fuse®
Project Diagnostics
//// Acumen 5.0
Headline Features
Fuse
•  Diagnostics
•  Forensics
Risk
•  Simulation
•  Risk register
360
•  Acceleration
•  Remediation
Scheduling Scheduling
SmartGantt™ SmartGantt™
Duration
Realism
//// Logic Sensitivity
Delay Analysis
True insight into ‘pressure points’ in your schedule
//// 3D-Schedule Analysis
Trend Analysis
q Horizontal ribbons
q Excellent for drill down
q Single project trending
q Not designed to visualize
trending between updates…
//
November 29, 2013 12
//// S1 Scheduling
q Not re-inventing CPM
q Scheduling/analysis synergy
q Providing one-stop shop
•  Analysis
•  Schedule manipulation
November 29, 2013 13
Activity
Information
Logic
Risk Inputs WBS
New
Activities
New
Projects
CPM Scheduling Tool!
//// Benefit of Having S1 in Acumen
Closing the Loop
q Diagnose shortcomings and
improve schedule realism
§  Fuse cleansed
§  360 accelerated
§  Risk-adjusted (E.G. P75)
§  Re-calibrated
§  User-updated
q Reduces cycles
Scheduling
tool
Acumen
analytics
Schedule
improvement
November 29, 201315
////
Traditional Gantt Chart
q Huge amounts of data
q Excessive scrolling
q Manual color coding
q Tedious filter creation
SmartGantt
q Analysis consumption
q Automatic Analysis Filters
•  Metrics
•  Forensics
•  Risk exposure
q Predictive Visualization
SmartGantt™
Less Effort, More Insight
November 29, 2013 16
Acumen Risk™
Breaking the Mold
//// Acumen Risk™
Integrated Cost/Schedule Analysis
q Integrated risk register
q Very fast analysis
q Uncertainty Factor™
q Uses native schedule
q Intuitive reporting
Designed for collaborative
project risk workshops
//// Risk Reporting Done Properly
Risk Exposure Risk Contribution Factor™
//// Other Reports
Risk-Based Tornadoes Scatter Chart (JCL)
20
//// Risk Adviser™
Artificial Intelligence
q Assigning uncertainties is
inherently difficult
q Solved complexity with
uncertainty sliders
q Advice based on
•  Schedule quality
•  Historical performance
•  Value of user defined field
21
////
q Show risk dates
q Compare risk & deterministic
schedules
q Show hot spots
q Show true drivers vs
perceived risk
SmartGantt™
Intelligent Risk Reporting
November 29, 201322
Acumen 360™
//// Acumen 360™
Acceleration & Remediation
q Launched
•  October 2011
q Focus
•  Acceleration
•  Decision Support
Build Schedule Basis
Acumen Fuse®
Project Diagnostics
Account for Risk &
Uncertainty
Acumen 360™
Project Optimization
Team Validation and Buy In
S1 //
Schedule Basis!
S2 //
Critiqued!
S3 //
Risk-Adjusted!
S4 //
Optimized!
S5 //
Team Approved!
//// Acumen 360™
q In the US, one in four Fuse users
q Schedule recovery
q Three modes
•  Automatic: critical path
•  Targeted: user criteria
•  Interactive
o  Real-time analysis
o  Instant schedule changes
o  Deceleration too!
//// Schedule Realism Advisor™
Automatic Schedule Calibration
q Fuse ensures structural integrity but
doesn’t address realism
q Realism Advisor takes into account
•  Schedule quality
•  Historical performance
•  Metric e.g. cost overrun
•  Field e.g. risk exposure
Duration realism Structural integrity Scope firmness
November 29, 201327
Long Lead
Technip Case Study
Technip Subsea Case Study
using Acumen
11-Sept-13
Presenters: Cesar Ramos & Pat Smith
Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-13
Presenters
§ Cesar Ramos
§  Technip’s North American Subject Matter Expert for Planning/Scheduling &
Earned Value. He has a dual role as the Technip North American Onshore
Business Unit Leader. Has experience in Offshore & Subsea as well.
§ Pat Smith
§  Technip’s North American P6 Administrator. Also has a dual role as the
Technip North American Subsea Business Unit Leader. Has Onshore &
Offshore experience as well.
Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1330
Technip at a Glance
Technip is a world leader in project management, engineering
and construction for the energy industry.
From the deepest Subsea oil & gas developments to the largest
and most complex Offshore and Onshore infrastructures, our
38,000 people are constantly offering the best solutions and most
innovative technologies to meet the world’s energy challenges.
Present in 48 countries, Technip has state-of-the-art industrial
assets on all continents and operates a fleet of specialized
vessels for pipeline installation and subsea construction.
Technip shares are listed on the NYSE Euronext Paris exchange
and traded in the USA on the OTCQX marketplace (OTCQX:
TKPPY).
Quick Facts
§ Technip is active in three business segments: Subsea, Offshore and Onshore
§ 38,000 people in 48 countries
§ Industrial assets on five continents
§ A fleet of 28 vessels in operation and 8 more under construction
§ 2012 operating income from recurring activities: €821.7 million
§ 2012 revenues of more than €8.2 billion
§ Technip is listed on Euronext Paris (EURONEXT: FR0000131708)
Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1331
Technip & Acumen History
§  Technip started using Acumen Fuse in 2009.
§  Acumen was officially incorporated into Technip
North America’s Schedule Review Procedure in
2010.
§  Technip Schedule Review Procedure consists of
the following:
o  Compliance with Technip standards of EPC schedule
development
o  Compliance with PMBOK & AACE.
o  Technip follows Acumen Metrics [250] which include; PMI,
AACE, DCMA, & others
§  Technip has acquired the full Acumen Suite
which has Acumen Risk.
§  After a Technip/Acumen presentation in a
conference in Brazil 2013, Technip Corporation
has acquired over 25+ Acumen Licenses
Globally.
Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1332
Technip Subsea EPCI
Schedule Analysis
Acumen Analysis on 11-Oct-12
Started at 4:15pm and lasting a total of
2hrs 20min
33 Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-13
Recognizing the Need for Analysis
A full Subsea EPCI contract was awarded. As the project progressed,
delays started occurring to the project which delayed Engineering
Deliverables & began to impact Offshore Mobilization Date & Critical
Equipment Delivery.
§  Engineering Delays required forensic analysis of all possible impacts to these delays.
§  Initial analysis provided belief that the client had impact to these delays.
§  Upon further research the evidence was clear.
§  In order to support a change order, to prove the impact, the business unit required
supporting details and analysis.
§  The initial attempt was to review the depletion of float, that was caused by the client.
Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1334
Analyzing with Acumen
Once the need was recognized, a small peer group to explore the
limitations of Acumen. Gathering all files, the business unit had to
compare all project files to see how we could prove this.
§  Acumen Phase Analyzer does not produce overlapping graphs over a timeline. This was
confirmed by Acumen.
§  Acumen recommendation was to export to Excel for further graph modifications
§  The planner had saved all monthly updates as baselines. So as it was suggested that we
take every baseline and compare as snapshots.
§  With this we were able to emulate the graph functions out of Acumen as a timeline.
§  See example below Float Ribbon Analyzer [count per time]
Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1335
Implementing the Concept of Analysis
Each snapshot represented an updated cycle.
§ In order to emulate this function we had to do the following:
§  Imported 14 XER files to Acumen, one for each month
§  XER name is then the time stamp
§  Then produced a comparison of multi files named as months.
§  Acumen gives a timescaled graph
Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1336
Critical Float [count of activities]
Our immediate place to compare was the Float depletion & behavior.
§  As you can see in the example, there was a substantial jump in critical float count.
§  Gave cause for further investigation
Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1337
0 to 20 Days Float
[count of activities]
Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1338
Our next place to compare was further Float depletion & behavior.
§ 0 to 20 Days Float [count of activities] pulled up anomalies.
Ribbon & Trace Logic
Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1339
Ribbon & Trace Logic allowed us to dissect indicators.
§  Tracing the peak critical, then started looking at the IFC drawings.
Trace Logic Backwards Analysis
Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1340
Trace Logic allowed us to dissect indicators.
§  Here is where the indicator of Client Review cycles extended beyond contractual agreements.
Trace Logic Export to Excel
Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1341
Trace Logic export to Excel allows for further analysis.
§  Using Excel with combinations of Filters, Sorts, & Conditional Formatting allows us to find exact details.
TECHNIP SUBSEA EPCI
EARNED VALUE WORK
ANALYSIS
Phase II of Analysis
Utilizing the graphical impacts in
Acumen we were able to begin
researching detail impacts.
42 Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-13
Earned Value Work
Schedule Variance [EV-PV]
43 Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-13
Schedule Variance provides a comparison of “where we planned to be” vs “where we really are”.
§ Schedule Variance is using P6 values and is calculated as Earned minus Planned.
§ This variance shows a disparity of slipping on planned dates and is used to calculate a recovery index.
Earned Value Work
Estimate at Complete [EAC]
44 Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-13
Estimate at Completion provides necessary forecasting.
§ Estimate at Completion has 5 different calculations. However the most common is using the “Remaining
to Earn + Actual Costs”. Acumen brings in the P6 calculation of EAC.
§ Since the project is still in progression and has almost halfway remaining to complete, it is important to use
current performance to provide a valid means of forecasting.
§ This EAC can be used to forecast cost impacts where engineering delays, manufacturer delays due to
held up specs & data sheets as well as the impact of delaying the Pipe Lay Vessel and what that equates to
dollars.
Conclusion
As the results of the Float Analysis, Trace Logic Analysis, & Earned
Value Work, we were able to determine a cost impact to these delays.
These cost impacts to support the change order was submitted up to
contracts management for approval & submit to the client.
The analysis proven to be extremely useful & favorable.
The results still pending & confidential.
Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1345
Demonstration and Questions

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Project Controls Expo, 13th Nov 2013 - "Improving the Reliability and Achievability of the Project Plan" By Phil Shatz

  • 1. Session T6 Improving the Reliability and Achievability of the Project Plan Phil Shatz Deltek Acumen Business Development philshatz@deltek.com
  • 2. // Deltek Acumen Licensees
  • 3. Agenda Acumen Market and Version 5 Features Technip Case Study Demo, if time allows
  • 4. // DNA of Project-Led Organizations q Two key factors •  “Doing right projects…” •  “Doing projects right…” q Acumen has focused on enabling projects to better plan and hence execute CAPEX spend q Prevent unforeseen contingency drawdown. Our Target Audience Portfolio Management •  Business intelligence Project Controls •  CAPEX spend Operations •  Revenue generation!
  • 5. //// Acumen Fuse®: Acumen Fuse® q  Launched •  1 January 2010 q  Focus •  Project diagnostics q  Objective •  Structural integrity Build Schedule Basis Account for Risk & Uncertainty Accelerate & Optimize Schedule Team Validation and Buy In S1 // Schedule Basis! S2 // Critiqued! S3 // Risk-Adjusted! S4 // Optimized! S5 // Team Approved! Initial Product
  • 6. //// 4 9 3 6 6 3 Acumen Fuse® Analyses … and counting Industry Adoption
  • 7. //// We’re Making a Difference Average gone from 50’s to low 60’s Fuse Schedule Index™
  • 9. //// Acumen 5.0 Headline Features Fuse •  Diagnostics •  Forensics Risk •  Simulation •  Risk register 360 •  Acceleration •  Remediation Scheduling Scheduling SmartGantt™ SmartGantt™ Duration Realism
  • 10. //// Logic Sensitivity Delay Analysis True insight into ‘pressure points’ in your schedule
  • 11. //// 3D-Schedule Analysis Trend Analysis q Horizontal ribbons q Excellent for drill down q Single project trending q Not designed to visualize trending between updates…
  • 13. //// S1 Scheduling q Not re-inventing CPM q Scheduling/analysis synergy q Providing one-stop shop •  Analysis •  Schedule manipulation November 29, 2013 13 Activity Information Logic Risk Inputs WBS New Activities New Projects CPM Scheduling Tool!
  • 14. //// Benefit of Having S1 in Acumen Closing the Loop q Diagnose shortcomings and improve schedule realism §  Fuse cleansed §  360 accelerated §  Risk-adjusted (E.G. P75) §  Re-calibrated §  User-updated q Reduces cycles Scheduling tool Acumen analytics Schedule improvement
  • 16. //// Traditional Gantt Chart q Huge amounts of data q Excessive scrolling q Manual color coding q Tedious filter creation SmartGantt q Analysis consumption q Automatic Analysis Filters •  Metrics •  Forensics •  Risk exposure q Predictive Visualization SmartGantt™ Less Effort, More Insight November 29, 2013 16
  • 18. //// Acumen Risk™ Integrated Cost/Schedule Analysis q Integrated risk register q Very fast analysis q Uncertainty Factor™ q Uses native schedule q Intuitive reporting Designed for collaborative project risk workshops
  • 19. //// Risk Reporting Done Properly Risk Exposure Risk Contribution Factor™
  • 20. //// Other Reports Risk-Based Tornadoes Scatter Chart (JCL) 20
  • 21. //// Risk Adviser™ Artificial Intelligence q Assigning uncertainties is inherently difficult q Solved complexity with uncertainty sliders q Advice based on •  Schedule quality •  Historical performance •  Value of user defined field 21
  • 22. //// q Show risk dates q Compare risk & deterministic schedules q Show hot spots q Show true drivers vs perceived risk SmartGantt™ Intelligent Risk Reporting November 29, 201322
  • 24. //// Acumen 360™ Acceleration & Remediation q Launched •  October 2011 q Focus •  Acceleration •  Decision Support Build Schedule Basis Acumen Fuse® Project Diagnostics Account for Risk & Uncertainty Acumen 360™ Project Optimization Team Validation and Buy In S1 // Schedule Basis! S2 // Critiqued! S3 // Risk-Adjusted! S4 // Optimized! S5 // Team Approved!
  • 25. //// Acumen 360™ q In the US, one in four Fuse users q Schedule recovery q Three modes •  Automatic: critical path •  Targeted: user criteria •  Interactive o  Real-time analysis o  Instant schedule changes o  Deceleration too!
  • 26. //// Schedule Realism Advisor™ Automatic Schedule Calibration q Fuse ensures structural integrity but doesn’t address realism q Realism Advisor takes into account •  Schedule quality •  Historical performance •  Metric e.g. cost overrun •  Field e.g. risk exposure Duration realism Structural integrity Scope firmness
  • 29. Technip Subsea Case Study using Acumen 11-Sept-13 Presenters: Cesar Ramos & Pat Smith Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-13
  • 30. Presenters § Cesar Ramos §  Technip’s North American Subject Matter Expert for Planning/Scheduling & Earned Value. He has a dual role as the Technip North American Onshore Business Unit Leader. Has experience in Offshore & Subsea as well. § Pat Smith §  Technip’s North American P6 Administrator. Also has a dual role as the Technip North American Subsea Business Unit Leader. Has Onshore & Offshore experience as well. Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1330
  • 31. Technip at a Glance Technip is a world leader in project management, engineering and construction for the energy industry. From the deepest Subsea oil & gas developments to the largest and most complex Offshore and Onshore infrastructures, our 38,000 people are constantly offering the best solutions and most innovative technologies to meet the world’s energy challenges. Present in 48 countries, Technip has state-of-the-art industrial assets on all continents and operates a fleet of specialized vessels for pipeline installation and subsea construction. Technip shares are listed on the NYSE Euronext Paris exchange and traded in the USA on the OTCQX marketplace (OTCQX: TKPPY). Quick Facts § Technip is active in three business segments: Subsea, Offshore and Onshore § 38,000 people in 48 countries § Industrial assets on five continents § A fleet of 28 vessels in operation and 8 more under construction § 2012 operating income from recurring activities: €821.7 million § 2012 revenues of more than €8.2 billion § Technip is listed on Euronext Paris (EURONEXT: FR0000131708) Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1331
  • 32. Technip & Acumen History §  Technip started using Acumen Fuse in 2009. §  Acumen was officially incorporated into Technip North America’s Schedule Review Procedure in 2010. §  Technip Schedule Review Procedure consists of the following: o  Compliance with Technip standards of EPC schedule development o  Compliance with PMBOK & AACE. o  Technip follows Acumen Metrics [250] which include; PMI, AACE, DCMA, & others §  Technip has acquired the full Acumen Suite which has Acumen Risk. §  After a Technip/Acumen presentation in a conference in Brazil 2013, Technip Corporation has acquired over 25+ Acumen Licenses Globally. Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1332
  • 33. Technip Subsea EPCI Schedule Analysis Acumen Analysis on 11-Oct-12 Started at 4:15pm and lasting a total of 2hrs 20min 33 Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-13
  • 34. Recognizing the Need for Analysis A full Subsea EPCI contract was awarded. As the project progressed, delays started occurring to the project which delayed Engineering Deliverables & began to impact Offshore Mobilization Date & Critical Equipment Delivery. §  Engineering Delays required forensic analysis of all possible impacts to these delays. §  Initial analysis provided belief that the client had impact to these delays. §  Upon further research the evidence was clear. §  In order to support a change order, to prove the impact, the business unit required supporting details and analysis. §  The initial attempt was to review the depletion of float, that was caused by the client. Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1334
  • 35. Analyzing with Acumen Once the need was recognized, a small peer group to explore the limitations of Acumen. Gathering all files, the business unit had to compare all project files to see how we could prove this. §  Acumen Phase Analyzer does not produce overlapping graphs over a timeline. This was confirmed by Acumen. §  Acumen recommendation was to export to Excel for further graph modifications §  The planner had saved all monthly updates as baselines. So as it was suggested that we take every baseline and compare as snapshots. §  With this we were able to emulate the graph functions out of Acumen as a timeline. §  See example below Float Ribbon Analyzer [count per time] Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1335
  • 36. Implementing the Concept of Analysis Each snapshot represented an updated cycle. § In order to emulate this function we had to do the following: §  Imported 14 XER files to Acumen, one for each month §  XER name is then the time stamp §  Then produced a comparison of multi files named as months. §  Acumen gives a timescaled graph Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1336
  • 37. Critical Float [count of activities] Our immediate place to compare was the Float depletion & behavior. §  As you can see in the example, there was a substantial jump in critical float count. §  Gave cause for further investigation Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1337
  • 38. 0 to 20 Days Float [count of activities] Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1338 Our next place to compare was further Float depletion & behavior. § 0 to 20 Days Float [count of activities] pulled up anomalies.
  • 39. Ribbon & Trace Logic Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1339 Ribbon & Trace Logic allowed us to dissect indicators. §  Tracing the peak critical, then started looking at the IFC drawings.
  • 40. Trace Logic Backwards Analysis Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1340 Trace Logic allowed us to dissect indicators. §  Here is where the indicator of Client Review cycles extended beyond contractual agreements.
  • 41. Trace Logic Export to Excel Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1341 Trace Logic export to Excel allows for further analysis. §  Using Excel with combinations of Filters, Sorts, & Conditional Formatting allows us to find exact details.
  • 42. TECHNIP SUBSEA EPCI EARNED VALUE WORK ANALYSIS Phase II of Analysis Utilizing the graphical impacts in Acumen we were able to begin researching detail impacts. 42 Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-13
  • 43. Earned Value Work Schedule Variance [EV-PV] 43 Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-13 Schedule Variance provides a comparison of “where we planned to be” vs “where we really are”. § Schedule Variance is using P6 values and is calculated as Earned minus Planned. § This variance shows a disparity of slipping on planned dates and is used to calculate a recovery index.
  • 44. Earned Value Work Estimate at Complete [EAC] 44 Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-13 Estimate at Completion provides necessary forecasting. § Estimate at Completion has 5 different calculations. However the most common is using the “Remaining to Earn + Actual Costs”. Acumen brings in the P6 calculation of EAC. § Since the project is still in progression and has almost halfway remaining to complete, it is important to use current performance to provide a valid means of forecasting. § This EAC can be used to forecast cost impacts where engineering delays, manufacturer delays due to held up specs & data sheets as well as the impact of delaying the Pipe Lay Vessel and what that equates to dollars.
  • 45. Conclusion As the results of the Float Analysis, Trace Logic Analysis, & Earned Value Work, we were able to determine a cost impact to these delays. These cost impacts to support the change order was submitted up to contracts management for approval & submit to the client. The analysis proven to be extremely useful & favorable. The results still pending & confidential. Acumen Technip SS Case Studies - 11-Sept-1345