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NOV 2-4, 2016
Fortifying Big Data and Making
Insights Count
NOV 2-4, 2016
Ben Magnuson
@1N_Ben
NOV 2-4, 2016
The Data Driven Organization
NOV 2-4, 2016
Decision Making is Changing
§ B2B seeing substantial growth in marketing technology
and data
§ Companies more likely than ever to state their decision
making is data-driven
§ Leaders in companies “substantially outperforming their
competitors” are 166% more likely to make decisions
based on data*
*Source: IBM’s Analytics: A Blueprint for Value
There Is More to Data Than Numbers
§ Big Data – extremely large
sets of data, often
unstructured, used to find
patterns
§ Thick Data – ethnographic
and qualitative measurements
that introduce stories of value
NOV 2-4, 2016
What is measurable isn’t the
same as what is valuable.
– Tricia Wang, Ethnography Matters
“
The Data Takeover in Sports
§ The 2000s saw a data
revolution take over baseball
§ Talent evaluation positions
once held by former players
were going to 20-something
Harvard graduates
§ “The people that we’re hiring
and other baseball teams are
hiring, we’re competing with
the Apples and the Googles of
the world.” – Billy Beane,
interview in WSJ on 9/21/15
Sabermetrics, A History of Data in Baseball
1977: Bill James
publishes the first
edition of The Bill
James Baseball
Abstract
1981: Stats, Inc founded
to record detailed score
sheets for every
baseball game
2001: Bill James
introduces Win Shares
in his The New Historical
Baseball Abstract
2003: Michael Lewis
publishes Moneyball on
the use of analytics by
the Oakland As to find
value
Sabermetrics, A History of Data in Baseball
2003: Bill
James offered
position in
Boston front
office
2004: Red Sox win
world series
2009: Baseball-
Reference adds
Sean Smith’s
version of WAR
2011: Moneyball the
movie, starring Brad
Pitt, debuts
NOV 2-4, 2016
Interesting Color
Full Image
NOV 2-4, 2016
Mike Trout – 10.3 WAR
Miguel Cabrera - Triple
Crown Winner
2012 MVP Race
NOV 2-4, 2016
When Spreadsheets Aren’t Enough
§ The success of baseball analytics led to similar
movements in other major sports
§ While this introduced great new insights into game
strategies and team performances, there was a struggle
to introduce similar player valuations like WAR
Two Advanced Approaches
§ Football Outsiders
§ DVOA – A method of evaluating teams, units or players. It takes every single play during
the NFL season and compares each one to a league-average baseline based on situation.
§ When we say, "In 2014, Marshawn Lynch had a DVOA of 23.1%,” what we are really saying
is “In 2014, Marshawn Lynch, playing in Darrell Bevell’s offensive system with the Seattle
offensive line blocking for him and Russell Wilson selling the keeper when necessary, had
a DVOA of 23.1%.“
§ Pro Football Focus
§ Grades – PFF takes a different approach and tries to assess value by observing every
individual play and assigning a grade from -2 to +2
§ Tries to address the variability of different schemes and teammates by judging their
execution in each individual play
NOV 2-4, 2016
PFF Grading Process
Step 1: Every player
in every play is given
a grade from -2 to 2
Step 2: A second
scout grades the
same play
Step 3: Reconcile
the differences
Step 4: We verify by
sending tape to the
Pro Coach Network
NOV 2-4, 2016
Providing Context
NOV 2-4, 2016
Comparing Big and Thick Data
§ Relies on machine
learning
§ Reveals insights with a
particular range of
quantified data points
§ Loses resolution
§ Relies on human
learning
§ Reveals the social
context of connections
between data points
§ Loses scale
*Source – Tricia Wang, Ethnography Matters
Big Data Thick Data
NOV 2-4, 2016
Measuring Value - Review
§ Identify goals
§ Establish key metrics
§ Measure results
§ Optimize performance
Complementing Big Data: Case Studies
§ Target has been at forefront of
big data analysis and particularly
predictive analytics
§ Earlier in 2016, the Minnesota
Star-Tribune reported that Target
CEO Brian Cornell was visiting
customers homes “hoping to
understand such things as
consumers’ food choices, fashion
trends and shopping habits”
Case Study: Grocer
§ Harvard Business Review published a story on the CEO of a high-
end grocery chain in Europe that was seeing it’s sales decline
§ Customers were no longer shopping there as frequently or buying
as much
§ Conducted a survey, where customers said they were willing to
pay more for quality
§ If that was case, why weren’t they going to the high end store?
NOV 2-4, 2016
Case Study: Grocer
§ They ran an anthropological study where they
embedded recorders with their customers for 2 months
§ Found that the idea of the family dinner was frayed
§ Customers were shopping less because often on the go,
and shopping at smaller stores that offered quicker
meals
§ Revamped stores to have “mini-stores” within. Sales
improved.
NOV 2-4, 2016
Practical Applications of Thick Data
NOV 2-4, 2016
Classic Monochromatic
Full Image
NOV 2-4, 2016
Takeaways
§ Digital data insights is an active
experience
§ Find your KPIs and organize
your analytics to measure the
success of your goals
§ If the measurements are telling
you the what, but not the why,
use thick data techniques such
as interviewing and usability
testing
NOV 2-4, 2016
Questions?
NOV 2-4, 2016
Fortifying Big Data and Making
Insights Count

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#1NLab16 - Fortifying Big Data & Making Insights Count

  • 1. NOV 2-4, 2016 Fortifying Big Data and Making Insights Count
  • 2. NOV 2-4, 2016 Ben Magnuson @1N_Ben
  • 3. NOV 2-4, 2016 The Data Driven Organization
  • 4. NOV 2-4, 2016 Decision Making is Changing § B2B seeing substantial growth in marketing technology and data § Companies more likely than ever to state their decision making is data-driven § Leaders in companies “substantially outperforming their competitors” are 166% more likely to make decisions based on data* *Source: IBM’s Analytics: A Blueprint for Value
  • 5. There Is More to Data Than Numbers § Big Data – extremely large sets of data, often unstructured, used to find patterns § Thick Data – ethnographic and qualitative measurements that introduce stories of value
  • 6. NOV 2-4, 2016 What is measurable isn’t the same as what is valuable. – Tricia Wang, Ethnography Matters “
  • 7. The Data Takeover in Sports § The 2000s saw a data revolution take over baseball § Talent evaluation positions once held by former players were going to 20-something Harvard graduates § “The people that we’re hiring and other baseball teams are hiring, we’re competing with the Apples and the Googles of the world.” – Billy Beane, interview in WSJ on 9/21/15
  • 8. Sabermetrics, A History of Data in Baseball 1977: Bill James publishes the first edition of The Bill James Baseball Abstract 1981: Stats, Inc founded to record detailed score sheets for every baseball game 2001: Bill James introduces Win Shares in his The New Historical Baseball Abstract 2003: Michael Lewis publishes Moneyball on the use of analytics by the Oakland As to find value
  • 9. Sabermetrics, A History of Data in Baseball 2003: Bill James offered position in Boston front office 2004: Red Sox win world series 2009: Baseball- Reference adds Sean Smith’s version of WAR 2011: Moneyball the movie, starring Brad Pitt, debuts
  • 10. NOV 2-4, 2016 Interesting Color Full Image
  • 11. NOV 2-4, 2016 Mike Trout – 10.3 WAR Miguel Cabrera - Triple Crown Winner 2012 MVP Race
  • 12. NOV 2-4, 2016 When Spreadsheets Aren’t Enough § The success of baseball analytics led to similar movements in other major sports § While this introduced great new insights into game strategies and team performances, there was a struggle to introduce similar player valuations like WAR
  • 13. Two Advanced Approaches § Football Outsiders § DVOA – A method of evaluating teams, units or players. It takes every single play during the NFL season and compares each one to a league-average baseline based on situation. § When we say, "In 2014, Marshawn Lynch had a DVOA of 23.1%,” what we are really saying is “In 2014, Marshawn Lynch, playing in Darrell Bevell’s offensive system with the Seattle offensive line blocking for him and Russell Wilson selling the keeper when necessary, had a DVOA of 23.1%.“ § Pro Football Focus § Grades – PFF takes a different approach and tries to assess value by observing every individual play and assigning a grade from -2 to +2 § Tries to address the variability of different schemes and teammates by judging their execution in each individual play
  • 14. NOV 2-4, 2016 PFF Grading Process Step 1: Every player in every play is given a grade from -2 to 2 Step 2: A second scout grades the same play Step 3: Reconcile the differences Step 4: We verify by sending tape to the Pro Coach Network
  • 16. NOV 2-4, 2016 Comparing Big and Thick Data § Relies on machine learning § Reveals insights with a particular range of quantified data points § Loses resolution § Relies on human learning § Reveals the social context of connections between data points § Loses scale *Source – Tricia Wang, Ethnography Matters Big Data Thick Data
  • 17. NOV 2-4, 2016 Measuring Value - Review § Identify goals § Establish key metrics § Measure results § Optimize performance
  • 18. Complementing Big Data: Case Studies § Target has been at forefront of big data analysis and particularly predictive analytics § Earlier in 2016, the Minnesota Star-Tribune reported that Target CEO Brian Cornell was visiting customers homes “hoping to understand such things as consumers’ food choices, fashion trends and shopping habits”
  • 19. Case Study: Grocer § Harvard Business Review published a story on the CEO of a high- end grocery chain in Europe that was seeing it’s sales decline § Customers were no longer shopping there as frequently or buying as much § Conducted a survey, where customers said they were willing to pay more for quality § If that was case, why weren’t they going to the high end store?
  • 20. NOV 2-4, 2016 Case Study: Grocer § They ran an anthropological study where they embedded recorders with their customers for 2 months § Found that the idea of the family dinner was frayed § Customers were shopping less because often on the go, and shopping at smaller stores that offered quicker meals § Revamped stores to have “mini-stores” within. Sales improved.
  • 21. NOV 2-4, 2016 Practical Applications of Thick Data
  • 22. NOV 2-4, 2016 Classic Monochromatic Full Image
  • 23. NOV 2-4, 2016 Takeaways § Digital data insights is an active experience § Find your KPIs and organize your analytics to measure the success of your goals § If the measurements are telling you the what, but not the why, use thick data techniques such as interviewing and usability testing
  • 25. NOV 2-4, 2016 Fortifying Big Data and Making Insights Count