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The Changing Nature
        of Open Source
OW2con 2011
November 23-24
Paris

Cedric Thomas
CEO, OW2
0> The freedom to run the software for any purpose

1> The freedom to study how the software works
and to adapt it to your needs

2> The freedom to redistribute copies of the
software

3> The freedom to improve the software and
distribute your improvements to the public


                                        3
Open Source Achievement market share +- 50%
                   Apache server




                                                                    Apache has been the leader
                                                                    in web server platform since
                                                                    years. It dominates with
                                                                    over 50% of market share.




Image: http://www.chotocheeta.com/2009/03/06/apache-vs-litespeed-time-to-switch/

  © OW2 Consortium 2011                              www.ow2.org                              4
Open source software market >$8b
                      9



                      8



                      7



                      6



                      5
        Billion US$




                      4



                      3



                      2



                      1



                      0
                          Ligne 21




Source: IDC
http://www.businesswire.com/portal/site/home/permalink/?ndmViewId=news_view&newsId=20090729005107&newsLang=en
                                                                                5
Even VCs Like Open Source investments >$3b
                        VC



                                                             Since the first venture
                                                                investment in an open
                                                                source vendor in 1997:
                                                                 $3.2bn has been raised
                                                                 by 163 open source
                                                                    vendors
                                                                 through 378 separate
                                                                    funding deals.




Source:                      The                     541                      Group,                      2008
http://blogs.the451group.com/opensource/2009/04/08/the-past-present-and-future-of-vc-investment-in-open-source/
© OW2 Consortium 2011                               www.ow2.org                                                   6
And Red Hat Makes the S&P 500




                                NEW YORK, July 17
                                  /PRNewswire/ -- Red Hat Inc.
                                  (NYSE: RHT) will replace CIT
                                  Group Inc. (NYSE: CIT) in the
                                  S&P 500 after the close of
                                  trading on Friday, July 24.




© OW2 Consortium 2011   www.ow2.org                               7
Free Software                     Commercial Open Source




© OW2 Consortium 2011   www.ow2.org                   8
Weblogic               JOnAS
                             Websphere               Jboss
                                                     Glassfish
                              OpenText               Nuxeo
                              (Vignette)             Alfresco
                          (Documentum)               Drupal

                        Business Objects             SpagoBI
                              InfoBuilder            Jaspersoft
                                 Cognos              Penthao
Proprietary                                                         Open Source
 Leaders                  MS Sharepoint              Exo Platform   Challengers
                           (Hummigbird)              Liferay
                              (Plumtree)             netNUKE
                                    SAP              Compiere
                             (Peoplesoft)            OpenBravo
                                   (JDE)             Nexedit

                                  (Sonic)            PEtALS
                                    Tibco            Mule
                                     IBM             ServiceMix

                                    IBM              Bonita
                                  Oracle             JBPM
                                     W4              Shark
© OW2 Consortium 2011                       www.ow2.org                       9
Agenda

Commercial Open Source
  Defining moments
  OSS market growth
  OSS efficiency
  FLOSS became COS
                    The Case for Open Source
Commoditization Process
  Mature COS offerings
  Commodities
  Disruptive Innovation process
Open Source Opportunities
  The nature of COS
  Strategies
  The OW2 opportunity

© OW2 Consortium 2011        www.ow2.org       10
Free Software Makes Sense




© OW2 Consortium 2011   www.ow2.org
Open Source is
Economically Efficient

                                        What you give

                                        Software code

                        €
                                               $
                                        What you gain

                            £           Free expertise
                                         ¥
                                        Experience
                                        Market share
                                        (if you are a software vendor)

© OW2 Consortium 2011           www.ow2.org
Open Source is
Technically Efficient

                                Quality
                                Peer review
                                Reliability
                                State of the Art
                                Global knowledge sharing
                                Frequent releases


© OW2 Consortium 2011   www.ow2.org
Open Source is
Strategically Efficient

                        For Vendors

                        Accelerates time to market
                        Business ecosystems leverage

                        For Users

                        Avoids vendor lock-in
                        Stability and auditability


© OW2 Consortium 2011    www.ow2.org
Open Source is
Socially Efficient

                                 Grows local expertise
                                 Promote local software
                                 industry
                                 Empowers the
                                 commnunity
                                 Reduce technology
                                 lock-ins




© OW2 Consortium 2011   www.ow2.org
Open Source is Efficient


                                                         You can achieve...
                                                           More
                                                                    Leverage resources
                                                                     from the community
                                                              Better
                                                                    Benefit from the ideas
                                                                     and the experience
                                                                     of others
                                                              Faster
                                                                    Quick response from
                                                                     the community.
Image: http://ara.footblog.fr/615924/1-ER-TOUR-GROUPE-C-ITALIE-FRANCE/

 © OW2 Consortium 2011                          www.ow2.org                           16
Still a Challenge for Others

                                                        Quality not guarantied
                                                            Code is provided "as is"
                                                        Perceived legal risk
                                                            OSS license are unproven
                                                        No responsibility
                                                            Code perceived anonymous
                                                        Investment risk
                                                            Small vendor companies
                                                        Lack of stability
                                                            Frequent releases
                                                        Lack of roadmap
                                                            No strategic "owner"
                                                        Lack of internal competence
                                                            Self-training not a policy
Image: http://ara.footblog.fr/615924/1-ER-TOUR-GROUPE-C-ITALIE-FRANCE/

 © OW2 Consortium 2011                          www.ow2.org                              17
Agenda

Commercial Open Source
  Defining moments
  OSS market growth
  OSS efficiency
  FLOSS became COS
                     Open Source Disruption
Commoditization Process
  Mature COS offerings
  Commodities
  Disruptive Innovation process
Open Source Opportunities
  The nature of COS
  Strategies
  The OW2 opportunity

© OW2 Consortium 2011        www.ow2.org      18
Source:
Clayton M. Christensen, Innovator's Dilemma, Harper Business, New-York, 2000
                                                                                                                 19
Clayton M. Christensen and Michael E. Rayno, Innovator's Solution, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, 2003
aturity
                                                                                                        se r m
                                                                                                  End-u
          Performance




                                                                                                               Time

   Source:
             Clayton M. Christensen, Innovator's Dilemma, Harper Business, New-York, 2000
              Clayton M. Christensen and Michael E. Raynor, Innovator's Solution, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, 2003
      
                                                                                                                 20
Functionality, Reliability...




                                                                                                                         aturity
                                                                                                                se r m
                                                                                                          End-u




                                                                                                                       Time

   Source:
                     Clayton M. Christensen, Innovator's Dilemma, Harper Business, New-York, 2000
                      Clayton M. Christensen and Michael E. Raynor, Innovator's Solution, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, 2003
      
                                                                                                                         21
Functionality, Reliability...




                                                                                                                         aturity
                                                                                                                se r m
                                                                                                          End-u


                                                                                      gs
                                                                                   rin ,
                                                                              o ffe turess
                                                                           ts ec m
                                                                       tranrchit syste
                                                                    e n a co
                                                                 SSdular ss E
                                                                O o e
                                                                 M usin
                                                                  B




                                                                                                                       Time

   Source:
                     Clayton M. Christensen, Innovator's Dilemma, Harper Business, New-York, 2000
                      Clayton M. Christensen and Michael E. Raynor, Innovator's Solution, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, 2003
      
                                                                                                                         22
Agenda

Commercial Open Source
  Defining moments
  OSS market growth
  OSS efficiency
  FLOSS became COS
Commoditization Changing Nature of Open Source
                 Process
  Mature COS offerings
  Commodities
  Disruptive Innovation process
Open Source Opportunities
  The nature of COS
  Strategies
  The OW2 opportunity
                                                 23
Changing Nature of Open Source

 OSS Offering




     1980       2000   2020




                              24
Changing Nature of Open Source

 OSS Offering                 OSS Awareness




     1980       2000   2020       1980   2000   2020




                                         25
Changing Nature of Open Source

 OSS Offering                 OSS Awareness




     1980       2000   2020       1980   2000   2020
                              OSS Experience




                                  1980   2000   2020
                                          26
Changing Nature of Open Source

 OSS Offering                   OSS Awareness




     1980       2000     2020       1980   2000   2020
 OSS Strategic Ability          OSS Experience




     Passive OSS
      Disruption

     1980       2000     2020       1980   2000   2020
                                            27
Changing Nature of Open Source

 OSS Offering                      OSS Awareness




     1980       2000     2020          1980   2000   2020
 OSS Strategic Ability             OSS Experience


                   Proactive OSS
                      Default

      Disruption
     Passive OSS

     1980       2000     2020          1980   2000   2020
                                               28
Agenda

Commercial Open Source
  Defining moments
  OSS market growth
  OSS efficiency
  FLOSS became COS
                      A Profitable Strategy
Commoditization Process
  Mature COS offerings
  Commodities
  Disruptive Innovation process
Open Source Opportunities
  The nature of COS
  Strategies
  The OW2 opportunity
                                              29
Open Source is
a Strategic Decision




 For Users                For Vendors
   Avoids vendor lock-      Outsider's initiative
    in                       New rules weaken
   Investment                leaders
    protection
   Control
How do you make money
  with free software?




                        31
Free Software Makes Sense
Generic Open Source Business Model
                      Add-ons
Product      Solutions          Suites

     Packaging                                Service
                                          Training
 Certification
                                         Consulting

  Subscriptions                          Expertise

                                     Systems
            Support                  Integration
Insurance         On-Line
                  Services
Agenda

Commercial Open Source
  Defining moments
  OSS market growth
  OSS efficiency
  FLOSS became COS
Commoditization Process Challenges
                        New
  Mature COS offerings
  Commodities
  Disruptive Innovation process
Open Source Opportunities
  The nature of COS
  Strategies
  The OW2 opportunity
                                     35
Leverage Business Ecosystems

Value Chain
 Downstream flow of
  added value
 Vendor-Buyer
  relationships
 Quantitative rationale




Efficiency – Differentiation – Customer Ownership

                                © OW2 Consortium 2007   36
Leverage Business Ecosystems

Value Chain                                        Business
 Downstream flow of                                 Ecosystem
  added value                                        Value-added sharing
 Vendor-Buyer                                       Coopetition
  relationships                                       relationships
 Quantitative rationale                             Qualitative rationale




Efficiency – Differentiation – Customer Ownership          Network Externalities

                                © OW2 Consortium 2007              37
Leverage Open Source Sweet Spot

 Proprietary
 Models
                 Business




                                                                                                       Heal t h
Competition




                                                           U t i l i t i es




                                                                                         Gover nm
                 solution




                                            I nd ust r y
                                F i nance




                                                                              Ret ai l




                                                                                                                  E t c.
                                                                                                 ent


                                                                                                       C ar e
Cooperation    Infrastructure

 Open Source



Infrastructure: Used by everyone, Shared by everybody
         The bedrock of our information society

                                                                                         38
OSS mostly following
                       2010

                                Cloud
                              Computing




                        OSS mostly racing



                                            39
Leverage Cloud Computing Opportunities


 Open Cloud
  Requires                         OW2 to drive
 Open Source
                Open Source    open source
                    for
                Open Clouds        innovation
    Cloud
 Architecture                  for open cloud
   Requires
  Innovation                       architectrure




                              40
Opportunities in Progress

 Industry
   Automotive, Aeronautics
   Embedded, R&D mutualization
 Government
   Economies of scale
   Public software (Brazil)
 Future Internet
   Base R&D
   Infrastructure
 Etc.?
     ...

                                  41
Agenda

Commercial Open Source
  Defining moments
  OSS market growth
  OSS efficiency
  FLOSS became COS
Commoditization Process Thank you
  Mature COS offerings
  Commodities
  Disruptive Innovation process
Open Source Opportunities
  The nature of COS
  Strategies
  The OW2 opportunity
                                    42
www.ow2.org

    For more informations
       Please contact
    Cedric Thomas (CEO)‫‏‬
    cedric thomas @ ow2
              org
             43
44

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Economics of open source, OW2con11, Nov 24-25, Paris

  • 1.
  • 2. The Changing Nature of Open Source OW2con 2011 November 23-24 Paris Cedric Thomas CEO, OW2
  • 3. 0> The freedom to run the software for any purpose 1> The freedom to study how the software works and to adapt it to your needs 2> The freedom to redistribute copies of the software 3> The freedom to improve the software and distribute your improvements to the public 3
  • 4. Open Source Achievement market share +- 50% Apache server Apache has been the leader in web server platform since years. It dominates with over 50% of market share. Image: http://www.chotocheeta.com/2009/03/06/apache-vs-litespeed-time-to-switch/ © OW2 Consortium 2011 www.ow2.org 4
  • 5. Open source software market >$8b 9 8 7 6 5 Billion US$ 4 3 2 1 0 Ligne 21 Source: IDC http://www.businesswire.com/portal/site/home/permalink/?ndmViewId=news_view&newsId=20090729005107&newsLang=en 5
  • 6. Even VCs Like Open Source investments >$3b VC Since the first venture investment in an open source vendor in 1997: $3.2bn has been raised by 163 open source vendors through 378 separate funding deals. Source: The 541 Group, 2008 http://blogs.the451group.com/opensource/2009/04/08/the-past-present-and-future-of-vc-investment-in-open-source/ © OW2 Consortium 2011 www.ow2.org 6
  • 7. And Red Hat Makes the S&P 500 NEW YORK, July 17 /PRNewswire/ -- Red Hat Inc. (NYSE: RHT) will replace CIT Group Inc. (NYSE: CIT) in the S&P 500 after the close of trading on Friday, July 24. © OW2 Consortium 2011 www.ow2.org 7
  • 8. Free Software Commercial Open Source © OW2 Consortium 2011 www.ow2.org 8
  • 9. Weblogic JOnAS Websphere Jboss Glassfish OpenText Nuxeo (Vignette) Alfresco (Documentum) Drupal Business Objects SpagoBI InfoBuilder Jaspersoft Cognos Penthao Proprietary Open Source Leaders MS Sharepoint Exo Platform Challengers (Hummigbird) Liferay (Plumtree) netNUKE SAP Compiere (Peoplesoft) OpenBravo (JDE) Nexedit (Sonic) PEtALS Tibco Mule IBM ServiceMix IBM Bonita Oracle JBPM W4 Shark © OW2 Consortium 2011 www.ow2.org 9
  • 10. Agenda Commercial Open Source Defining moments OSS market growth OSS efficiency FLOSS became COS The Case for Open Source Commoditization Process Mature COS offerings Commodities Disruptive Innovation process Open Source Opportunities The nature of COS Strategies The OW2 opportunity © OW2 Consortium 2011 www.ow2.org 10
  • 11. Free Software Makes Sense © OW2 Consortium 2011 www.ow2.org
  • 12. Open Source is Economically Efficient What you give Software code € $ What you gain £ Free expertise ¥ Experience Market share (if you are a software vendor) © OW2 Consortium 2011 www.ow2.org
  • 13. Open Source is Technically Efficient Quality Peer review Reliability State of the Art Global knowledge sharing Frequent releases © OW2 Consortium 2011 www.ow2.org
  • 14. Open Source is Strategically Efficient For Vendors Accelerates time to market Business ecosystems leverage For Users Avoids vendor lock-in Stability and auditability © OW2 Consortium 2011 www.ow2.org
  • 15. Open Source is Socially Efficient Grows local expertise Promote local software industry Empowers the commnunity Reduce technology lock-ins © OW2 Consortium 2011 www.ow2.org
  • 16. Open Source is Efficient You can achieve... More Leverage resources from the community Better Benefit from the ideas and the experience of others Faster Quick response from the community. Image: http://ara.footblog.fr/615924/1-ER-TOUR-GROUPE-C-ITALIE-FRANCE/ © OW2 Consortium 2011 www.ow2.org 16
  • 17. Still a Challenge for Others Quality not guarantied Code is provided "as is" Perceived legal risk OSS license are unproven No responsibility Code perceived anonymous Investment risk Small vendor companies Lack of stability Frequent releases Lack of roadmap No strategic "owner" Lack of internal competence Self-training not a policy Image: http://ara.footblog.fr/615924/1-ER-TOUR-GROUPE-C-ITALIE-FRANCE/ © OW2 Consortium 2011 www.ow2.org 17
  • 18. Agenda Commercial Open Source Defining moments OSS market growth OSS efficiency FLOSS became COS Open Source Disruption Commoditization Process Mature COS offerings Commodities Disruptive Innovation process Open Source Opportunities The nature of COS Strategies The OW2 opportunity © OW2 Consortium 2011 www.ow2.org 18
  • 19. Source: Clayton M. Christensen, Innovator's Dilemma, Harper Business, New-York, 2000 19 Clayton M. Christensen and Michael E. Rayno, Innovator's Solution, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, 2003
  • 20. aturity se r m End-u Performance Time  Source:  Clayton M. Christensen, Innovator's Dilemma, Harper Business, New-York, 2000 Clayton M. Christensen and Michael E. Raynor, Innovator's Solution, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, 2003  20
  • 21. Functionality, Reliability... aturity se r m End-u Time  Source:  Clayton M. Christensen, Innovator's Dilemma, Harper Business, New-York, 2000 Clayton M. Christensen and Michael E. Raynor, Innovator's Solution, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, 2003  21
  • 22. Functionality, Reliability... aturity se r m End-u gs rin , o ffe turess ts ec m tranrchit syste e n a co SSdular ss E O o e M usin B Time  Source:  Clayton M. Christensen, Innovator's Dilemma, Harper Business, New-York, 2000 Clayton M. Christensen and Michael E. Raynor, Innovator's Solution, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, 2003  22
  • 23. Agenda Commercial Open Source Defining moments OSS market growth OSS efficiency FLOSS became COS Commoditization Changing Nature of Open Source Process Mature COS offerings Commodities Disruptive Innovation process Open Source Opportunities The nature of COS Strategies The OW2 opportunity 23
  • 24. Changing Nature of Open Source OSS Offering 1980 2000 2020 24
  • 25. Changing Nature of Open Source OSS Offering OSS Awareness 1980 2000 2020 1980 2000 2020 25
  • 26. Changing Nature of Open Source OSS Offering OSS Awareness 1980 2000 2020 1980 2000 2020 OSS Experience 1980 2000 2020 26
  • 27. Changing Nature of Open Source OSS Offering OSS Awareness 1980 2000 2020 1980 2000 2020 OSS Strategic Ability OSS Experience Passive OSS Disruption 1980 2000 2020 1980 2000 2020 27
  • 28. Changing Nature of Open Source OSS Offering OSS Awareness 1980 2000 2020 1980 2000 2020 OSS Strategic Ability OSS Experience Proactive OSS Default Disruption Passive OSS 1980 2000 2020 1980 2000 2020 28
  • 29. Agenda Commercial Open Source Defining moments OSS market growth OSS efficiency FLOSS became COS A Profitable Strategy Commoditization Process Mature COS offerings Commodities Disruptive Innovation process Open Source Opportunities The nature of COS Strategies The OW2 opportunity 29
  • 30. Open Source is a Strategic Decision  For Users  For Vendors  Avoids vendor lock-  Outsider's initiative in  New rules weaken  Investment leaders protection  Control
  • 31. How do you make money with free software? 31
  • 33. Generic Open Source Business Model Add-ons Product Solutions Suites Packaging Service Training Certification Consulting Subscriptions Expertise Systems Support Integration Insurance On-Line Services
  • 34.
  • 35. Agenda Commercial Open Source Defining moments OSS market growth OSS efficiency FLOSS became COS Commoditization Process Challenges New Mature COS offerings Commodities Disruptive Innovation process Open Source Opportunities The nature of COS Strategies The OW2 opportunity 35
  • 36. Leverage Business Ecosystems Value Chain  Downstream flow of added value  Vendor-Buyer relationships  Quantitative rationale Efficiency – Differentiation – Customer Ownership © OW2 Consortium 2007 36
  • 37. Leverage Business Ecosystems Value Chain Business  Downstream flow of Ecosystem added value  Value-added sharing  Vendor-Buyer  Coopetition relationships relationships  Quantitative rationale  Qualitative rationale Efficiency – Differentiation – Customer Ownership Network Externalities © OW2 Consortium 2007 37
  • 38. Leverage Open Source Sweet Spot Proprietary Models Business Heal t h Competition U t i l i t i es Gover nm solution I nd ust r y F i nance Ret ai l E t c. ent C ar e Cooperation Infrastructure Open Source Infrastructure: Used by everyone, Shared by everybody The bedrock of our information society 38
  • 39. OSS mostly following 2010 Cloud Computing OSS mostly racing 39
  • 40. Leverage Cloud Computing Opportunities Open Cloud Requires OW2 to drive Open Source Open Source open source for Open Clouds innovation Cloud Architecture for open cloud Requires Innovation architectrure 40
  • 41. Opportunities in Progress  Industry  Automotive, Aeronautics  Embedded, R&D mutualization  Government  Economies of scale  Public software (Brazil)  Future Internet  Base R&D  Infrastructure  Etc.?  ... 41
  • 42. Agenda Commercial Open Source Defining moments OSS market growth OSS efficiency FLOSS became COS Commoditization Process Thank you Mature COS offerings Commodities Disruptive Innovation process Open Source Opportunities The nature of COS Strategies The OW2 opportunity 42
  • 43. www.ow2.org For more informations Please contact Cedric Thomas (CEO)‫‏‬ cedric thomas @ ow2 org 43
  • 44. 44