10th December,2013 daily Eexclusive Oryza newsletter shared by riceplus magazine

10th December , 2013

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TOP Contents - Tailored for YOU
Latest News Headlines…

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USDA Post Increases Colombia MY2012-13 Rice Production Forecast By 12%
Philippines Food Security Unaffected by Typhoon Haiyan, Department of Agriculture Says
Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap – Market Very Quiet Ahead of WASDE Report
Philippines Rice Stocks Decline to 2.4 Million Tons in November, 2013, Down 12% from Last Year
Political Blockade Cripples Bangladesh Rice Processing
Oryza Rice Currency Analysis for Today – Currencies Little Changed
Oryza Afternoon Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Remain under Pressure; Grains Firm as Traders
Finalize Positions ahead of Key USDA Report
Argentina Rice Lowest Offer in Recent Iraq Tender
Vietnam: Major Rice Export Destinations in October 2013
Oryza Overnight Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Begin the Week Slightly Lower, Led by Losses in
Wheat and Corn
Thailand, Vietnam Rice Sellers Lower Some of Their Quotes Today; Pakistan Rice Sellers Increase Some
of Their Quotes
Vietnam Exports 6.2 Million Tons of Rice in January 1 – December 5, 2013
Oryza Quick Glance at World News
Oryza Global Rice Quotes

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NEWS DETAILS:
USDA Post Increases Colombia MY2012-13 Rice Production Forecast By 12%
Dec 09, 2013

The USDA Post has increased Colombia’s paddy rice production in MY 2012-13 (April – March) to around 1.9
million tons, up about 12% from previous estimates of around 1.7 million tons based on expectations of higher
yield. The Post says that average paddy rice yields in Colombia are expected to increase around 12% from
about 4.1 tons per hectare to about 4.6 tons per hectare due to rains from the “La Niña” phenomena and
favorable weather conditions.
The Post says that average rice area is increasing in Colombia due to better prices (up about 12% compared to
2012). However, this is unlikely to translate into higher production in 2013-14 due to unpredictable weather
conditions in the eastern plains (where much of the expansion is taking place), production inefficiencies, slow
technology adoption, high input costs, deficient infrastructure and plant diseases, the Post says. Colombia’s
paddy rice production in MY 2013-14 is expected to increase by around 14,000 tons to about 1.926 million
tons, according to the Post.Meanwhile, the U.S. share of Colombia’s legal rice imports has almost reached

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100% after the implementation of the U.S.-Colombia Trade Promotion Agreement (CTPA), the Post says. The
tariff-rate-quota (TRQ) for the U.S. under 2013 CPTA stands at 82,555 tons and is likely to be covered
completely this year. However, illegal rice imports from neighboring countries Ecuador, Peru and Venezuela
remain a problem for the government. According to the Post, illegal rice imports by Colombia are estimated at
around 300,000 tons annually.
Tags: Colombia rice

Philippines Food Security Unaffected by Typhoon Haiyan, Department of
Agriculture Says
Dec 09, 2013

Food security in the Philippines is unlikely to be affected significantly by Typhoon Haiyan which hit the nation
on November 8, 2013, according to the Department of Agriculture (DA).The DA estimates rice losses due to
Typhoon Haiyan at around 147,000 tons, which is less than 1% of total annual rice production in the
Philippines. However, the DA has authorized imports of around 500,000 tons of rice last month to boost stocks.
The USDA Post in the Philippines says that the additional imports and food donations will help improve food
stocks in the country.The USDA Post also says that losses due to Typhoon Haiyan were relatively low because
affected areas were not highly productive, and a significant part of the fourth quarter rice crop in the affected
region had been harvested before the typhoon struck the Philippines.
Tags: Philippines Rice Production, Typhoon Haiyan

Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap – Market Very Quiet Ahead of WASDE Report
Dec 09, 2013

The U.S. cash market was very quiet ahead of tomorrow’s USDA World Agriculture Supply and Demand
Estimate however as of now most do not expect it to have much of an impact on cash prices.
Offers were unchanged today around $15.65-$16.66 per fob farm (about $345-$367 per ton), depending on
where they are located in the U.S. mid-South, for December through January shipment.
Bids from larger mills were decreased to around $15.00 per cwt (about $331 per ton) while bids from exporters
decreased to about $15.25 per cwt (about $336 per ton), both for December through January delivery, and as a
result there were no trades to report today.
Tags: U.S. rice market, U.S. rice prices

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Philippines Rice Stocks Decline to 2.4 Million Tons in November, 2013, Down 12%
from Last Year

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Total rice stocks in the Philippines stood at around 2.44 million tons on November 1, 2013, down about 12%
from around 2.78 million tons recorded during the same time last year, but up about 38% from the previous
month, according to the Bureau of Agricultural Statistics (BAS).According to BAS, household stocks (which
accounts for around 59.4% of total rice stocks in the country) stood at about 1.45 million tons on November 1,
2013, up about 0.6% from about 1.44 million tons seen during the same time last year. Rice stocks with the
National Food Authority or NFA (which accounts for around 14.5% of total rice stocks in the country) stood at
around 350,000 tons, down about 37.1% from last year, while rice stocks in commercial warehouses (which
account for around 26.1% of total rice stocks in the country) stood at around 640,000 tons, down about 18.6%
from last year.
Month-on-month, overall rice stocks in the Philippines have increased by about 37.7% from October 2013.
Household rice stocks are up about 60%. Commercial warehouse stocks are up about 33.5% from the previous
month levels. However, while NFA rice stocks, in which about 44% are imported rice, are down about 9% from
last month, according to the BAS.Total rice stocks in the Philippines as of November 1, 2013 are enough to last
for 72 days (including household stocks for 43 days, commercial warehouses stocks for 19 days, and NFA
stocks for 10 days), BAS says.
Tags: Philippines rice stocks

Political Blockade Cripples Bangladesh Rice Processing
Dec 09, 2013

More than half of Bangladesh’s annual production of rice comes from the aman crop, harvested in November
and

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December. Unfortunately, about 2,000 rice mills in Dinjapur, a region known for both its rice production and
rice milling, are sitting quietly inoperative due to road blockades orchestrated by the 18 Party Alliance, a rightleaning group of Bangladeshi political parties led by the Bangladesh National Party (BNP), according to local
media.
Farmers are not able to transport the rice to the millers while the blockade is in place.The cessation of rice
milling has left about 50,000 people without work. In an area where 72% of the population works in
agriculture, an extended blockade can have lasting economic repercussions on citizens.While some mills are
able to purchase rice through special arrangements or paying double the normal price, they are reluctant to
resume operations until there is more certainty about the rice supply around the country. Rice prices could
increase if this situation continues much longer, simply due to a dearth of available milled rice. Bangladesh
would also likely see increases in other food prices, as locally grown vegetables like radishes, kohlrabi, and
coriander have a shorter shelf-life, resulting in direct losses if farmers aren’t able to transport their goods to
market on a regular basis.India, too, is suffering from the blockades, as they are unable to access the clothing,
fish, and other items they frequently import from Bangladesh.Since late October, at least 73 people have died in
street violence amidst protests in Bangladesh, marking the most violent year in the country’s 42-year history.
Tags: Bangladesh rice production

Oryza Rice Currency Analysis for Today – Currencies Little Changed
Dec 09, 2013

U.S. dollar index was down -0.21% from the open today, when it traded at 80.144 at the close.
Euro was stronger +0.22% today by the close, trading around 1.3697 by end of day, after trading between an
intraday high of 1.3746 and low of 1.3694.
Thai baht was stronger +0.11%, trading at 32.120 at the close of business.
Indian rupee was +0.46% stronger, trading at 61.1350.
Brazilian real was +0.61% stronger than the open at today’s close, when it ended at 2.3178 reais per dollar.
Pakistan rupee was +0.14% stronger at 108.2100.
Vietnamese dong was +0.09% stronger, trading at 21120.
Mexican peso was +0.45% stronger today, when it traded at 12.8744 pesos per dollar by the close of business
today.
Chinese yuan was +0.17% stronger at 6.0727.
Argentine peso was -0.11% weaker at 6.2486 pesos per dollar.
Tags: foreign exchange rates

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Oryza Afternoon Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Remain under Pressure;
Grains Firm as Traders Finalize Positions ahead of Key USDA Report
Dec 09, 2013

Chicago rough rice futures for January delivery settled 3.5 cents per cwt (about $1 per ton) lower at $15.510 per
cwt (about $342 per ton). Rough rice futures remain under pressure following last week’s bearish development
on the charts. Today’s action appears to indicate that additional follow-through selling is underway and could
continue in the coming sessions. Rice futures were unable to capture support from the neighboring grain pits
despite strong gains in beans and corn as traders look to position themselves ahead of a key USDA report due
out tomorrow. The other grains were noted mostly higher today; soybeans finished the day about 1.4% higher at
$13.2550 per bushel; wheat finished about 0.1% lower at $6.5050 per bushel; and corn finished the day about
0.9% higher at $4.3800 per bushel.
U.S. stocks rose on Monday, with the S&P 500 rising above its record close, as Wall Street weighed when the
Federal Reserve would begin curbing its monetary stimulus and tracked budget negotiations on Capitol Hill.
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Jeffrey Lacker on Monday said he expects a taper discussion at
next week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting, while St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said
positive trends in the labor market make cuts to the Fed's $85 billion in monthly bond purchases more likely.
Lacker and Bullard spoke before central bankers go into their "blackout" period before the two-day FOMC
gathering that starts next Tuesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose. The S&P 500 rose above its all-time
finish of 1,807.23 set on Nov. 27, with financials and technology the best performing and utilities and consumer
discretionary faring the worst of its 10 major industry groups. The Nasdaq also rose. U.S. stock markets are
currently trading up about 0.1%, gold is trading about 0.5% higher, crude oil is seen trading about 0.1% lower,
and the U.S. dollar is seen trading about 0.2% lower at about 2:00pm Chicago time.
Turning to the daily continuation chart of Chicago rough rice futures for January delivery, technically the
market remains under pressure following a firm reversal noted last week. Prices remain in bearish territory and
have once again come to a rest just above the lower Bollinger band which current acts as the price target at
$15.482 per cwt (about $341 per ton). Some traders expect to see additional losses in coming sessions; however
prices will likely find psychological support at $15.500 per cwt (about $342 per ton) a level that will first have
to be broken on an attempt at a prolonged bearish move. Prices did fall below this threshold today but were
unable to maintain these levels and quickly bounced back above. Today’s action provides a negative outlook for
tomorrows trade direction as the market continues to put in lower lows than they had in the previous session.
The sessions trading range is noted as $15.415-$15.645 per cwt (about $340-$345 per ton).
Friday, there were 843 contracts traded, up from 841 contracts traded on Thursday. Open interest – the number
of contracts outstanding – on Friday decreased by 123 contracts to 8,618.
Tags: chicago rough rice futures, U.S. rice prices, U.S. rice market

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Argentina Rice Lowest Offer in Recent Iraq Tender
Dec 09, 2013

Argentina offered the lowest offer for long grain rice on an Iraqi rice tender for at least 30,000 tons of rice that
closed on December 8, according to media reports.
Of the long grain rice offers, 30,000 tons rice from Argentina was offered at $725 per ton cif. U.S. origin rice
was offered at $738 per ton cif, for 35,000 tons. And 30,000 tons ciffo of Brazil origin rice was offered at $754
per ton cif.
Tags: Argentina rice exports, U.S. Rice exports, Brazil rice exports, Iraq rice imports

Vietnam: Major Rice Export Destinations in October 2013
Dec 09, 2013

Vietnam’s rice exports of around 517,263 tons in October 2013 were up about 4% from the previous month
with most of the increase helped by higher exports to countries in Asia, Africa and Europe, according to the
USDA.Rice exports to Asia increased to around 319,910 tons in October 2013, up about 4.5% from around
306,079 tons exported in the previous month. Rice exports to Africa also increased to around 159,823 tons in

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October 2013, up about 12% from around 143,240 tons exported in September 2013. Vietnam’s rice exports to
Europe and CIS countries stood at around 26,172 tons in October 2013, up about 42% from around 18,432 tons
in the previous month.
These gains offset lower exports to other destinations. Vietnam’s rice exports to the Americas declined to
around 10,955 tons in October 2013, down about 60% from around 26,716 tons in the previous month, while
rice exports to Australia dropped to around 403 tons in October 2013, down about 75% from around 1,636 tons
in September 2013.Vietnamese 5% rice was the most popular rice for exports in October 2013, accounting for
around 165,537 tons or about 32% of total rice exports in the month. Vietnamese 25% rice accounted for around
108,971 tons or about 21% of total rice exports in October, while Vietnamese Jasmine rice accounted for
around 71,807 tons or about 14% of total monthly exports in October 2013.
Tags: Vietnam rice exports destination

Oryza Overnight Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Begin the Week Slightly
Lower, Led by Losses in Wheat and Corn
Dec 09, 2013

Chicago rough rice futures for January delivery are currently paused 1.5 cent per cwt (about $0.33 per ton)
lower at $15.530 per cwt (about $342 per ton) as of 8:00am Chicago time. The other grains are seen mostly
lower this morning ahead of floor trading in Chicago: soybeans are currently seen about 0.6% higher, wheat is
seen about 0.1% lower, and corn is paused about 0.1% lower.
U.S. stock index futures were mildly higher on Monday, with risk sentiment getting a second wind from strong
China data after Friday's U.S. jobs number. News that Chinese annual inflation slowed to 3% in November
from 3.2% saw the benchmark Shanghai Composite rise above 2,240 points to trade near a three-month high.
This followed data on Sunday that showed China had its biggest trade surplus in almost five years last month,
with robust export growth far exceeding import growth. Investors now await another raft of Chinese data on
Tuesday, including November industrial production, retail sales and fixed-asset investment. Shares in both Asia
and Europe remained boosted by Friday's non-farm payrolls report, which showed that 203,000 jobs were
created in the U.S. in November, many more than expected. The jobless rate fell to a five-year low, and other
data showed consumer confidence hit a five-month high. U.S. stock index futures are currently trading about
0.2% higher, gold is currently trading about 01%higher, crude oil is seen trading slightly higher, and the U.S.
dollar is currently trading about 0.1% lower at 8:00am Chicago time.
Tags: chicago rough rice futures

Thailand, Vietnam Rice Sellers Lower Some of Their Quotes Today; Pakistan Rice
Sellers Increase Some of Their Quotes
Dec 09, 2013

Thailand rice sellers lowered their quotes for 25% broken rice, A1 super broken rice by about $5 per ton each
and lowered their quotes for Hommali rice by about $20 per ton today. Vietnam rice sellers lowered their quotes

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for 5% broken rice by about $5 per ton to about $425 - $435 per ton. Pakistan rice sellers increased their quotes
for 5% broken rice by about $10 per ton to about $385 - $395 per ton. India rice sellers kept their quotes
unchanged.
5% Broken Rice
Thai 5% rice is quoted around $390 - $400 per ton, about a $35 per ton discount to Viet 5% rice shown around
$425 - $435 per ton, down about $5 per ton from Friday.
Indian 5% rice is quoted around $415 - $425 per ton, about a $30 per ton premium over Pak 5% rice quoted
around $385 - $395 per ton, up about $10 per ton from Friday.
25% Broken Rice
Thai 25% rice is quoted about $365 - $375 per ton, down about $5 per ton from Friday and about a $35 per ton
discount to Viet 25% rice shown around $400 - $410 per ton.
Indian 25% rice is quoted about $375 - $385 per ton, about a $40 per ton premium over Pak 25% rice quoted
around $335 - $345 per ton.
Parboiled Rice
Thai parboiled rice is quoted around $455 - $465 per ton.
Indian parboiled rice is quoted around $395 - $405 per ton, about a $35 per ton discount to Pak parboiled rice
last quoted around $430 - $440 per ton.
100% Broken Rice
Thai broken rice, A1 Super, is quoted around $330 - $340 per ton, down about $5 per ton from Friday and about
a $45 per ton discount to Viet broken rice shown around $375 - $385 per ton.
Indian broken sortexed rice is quoted about $315 - $325 per ton, about a $10 per ton discount to Pak broken
sortexed rice quoted around $325 - $335 per ton.
Tags:
Asia rice quotes, Thailand rice quotes, Vietnam rice quotes, Pakistan rice quotes, India rice quotes

Vietnam Exports 6.2 Million Tons of Rice in January 1 – December 5, 2013
Dec 09, 2013

Vietnam’s rice exports from the beginning of the year to December 5, 2013 stands at around 6.2 million tons,
down about 18% from around 7.6 million tons of rice exported in the full calendar year 2012, according to the
Vietnam Food Association (VFA).Vietnam’s rice exports are likely to decline this year despite lower prices.
Average export price of Vietnamese rice in January 1 – December 5, 2013 stands at around $432 per ton (FOB),
down about 5% from around $456 per ton in the full calendar year 2012.Vietnam exported about 59,601 tons of
rice during December 1-5, 2013, which suggests rice exports in December 22013 are likely to be low, mainly
due to higher prices.
Average export price in December 2013 so far stands at around $510 per ton (FOB), up about 11% from about
$458 per ton (FOB) recorded in December 2012, and up about 15% from about $443 per ton (FOB) recorded in
last month.Domestic paddy prices in the Mekong Delta for common stock stand at around VND 5,850 - 5,950

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per kilogram (about $277 - $282 per ton, using current exchange rates). Vietnamese 5% broken domestic rice
prices stand at around VND 7,750 - 7,850 per kilogram (about $367 - $372 per ton, using current exchange
rates), while Vietnamese 25% broken rice prices stand at around VND 7,550 - 7,650 per kilogram (about $357 $362 per ton, using current exchange rates).
Tags: Vietnam rice exports 2013, Vietnam Food Association (VFA)

Oryza Quick Glance at World News
Dec 09, 2013

Financial Times –
*Thailand’s Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra dissolved the lower house of parliament and called national
elections in an effort to end political protests that have brought the capital to a standstill.
*Chinese consumer price index rose 3% year-on-year, down from its 3.2% pace in October and comfortably
below the official 3.5% target for 2013.
*Japan's gross domestic product in the three months to September showed that economic output increased at an
annualized rate of 1.1%, compared with an initial estimate of 1.9% announced in November.
*Leading U.S. technology companies, including Apple, Google and Facebook, have called on Washington to
stop spy agencies from collecting huge amounts of telephone and internet data and to limit the powers that
compel them to hand over such information.
*North Korea’s state news agency has confirmed the purge of supreme leader Kim Jong Un’s uncle and top
adviser, accusing him of seeking to undermine the country's leadership while pursuing a “depraved” lifestyle.
*The U.S. Federal Reserve is closer to a strategy for the wind down of its $85 billion-a-month asset-buying
programme, although the odds of a December slowing are finely balanced.
*Americans who are buying insurance plans over online exchanges, under what is known as Obamacare, will
have limited access to some of the nation’s leading hospitals, including two world-renowned cancer centers.
*Business leaders have welcomed the first global trade deal in the WTO’s 18-year history as a boost to the
bottom line and the global economy. The “trade facilitation” deal approved by the WTO’s 159 member
countries at the weekend is meant to streamline customs procedures and ease the flow of goods around the
world.
Wall Street Journal*South Korea said it plans to expand its air-defense identification zone to cover an area of ocean contested with
China, a response to Beijing's recent move to create an air-defense zone in the East China Sea.
*Local election results showed India's ruling Congress party's popularity has plummeted, casting new doubts on
the political prowess of its heir-apparent, Rahul Gandhi, and adding momentum to the opposition Bharatiya
Janata Party's campaign as the world's largest democracy heads toward national elections next year.
*Hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians took to the streets here for a second weekend, blockading government
buildings, and demanding that President Viktor Yanukovych fire his cabinet and reject plans to form a closer
alliance with Russia.
*U.S. Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel announced Sunday that he would travel to Pakistan on Monday. The visit
will be the first visit by senior American official since Pakistan Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif appointed a new
Pakistan Army chief of staff, General Raheel Sharif.

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*China's trade surplus rose to $33.8 billion in November from $31.1 billion the month before. Exports staged a
rebound, rising 12.7% from November last year, well ahead of October's 5.6% growth, in what many
economists see as a positive sign for the global economy and China.
*QBE, the Australian insurer, said that it now expected to report a US$250 million full year loss due to
increased claims in the U.S., a goodwill impairment charge of $600 million, and write-downs related to a
restructuring of one of its businesses.
*Russia is undertaking a series of long-delayed and politically sensitive economic overhauls aimed at boosting
efficiency as the country struggles with the longest period of economic stagnation yet in Vladimir Putin's 13year reign, according to a top official.
*Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said any comprehensive deal reached between global powers and
Iran to curb its nuclear program must include Tehran's commitment to cease its threats against the Jewish state
and to end support for militant Lebanese and Palestinian groups.
New York Times*Amid highly public tensions with the U.S. over a long-term security deal, Afghanistan’s president looked to
forge closer ties with neighboring Iran, agreeing in principle to start negotiating an economic and security “pact
of friendship,” Afghan officials said.
*Venezuelans went to the polls on Sunday to elect hundreds of mayors around the country in a vote seen as an
early test of the fledgling president, Nicolás Maduro, and his ability to carry the country further along the
socialist path laid out by his predecessor and mentor, Hugo Chávez.
*The vast majority of business economists believe the Federal Reserve will begin to pull back on its massive
economic stimulus program in the first three months of 2014, according to a November survey done by the
National Association of Business Economists.
*More than 70 heads of state and government are expected in South Africa this week to attend funeral events
for former president Nelson Mandela, with most due to attend a huge memorial service in Johannesburg on
Tuesday, officials said.
*Greece’s Parliament early on Sunday approved a budget for 2014, which outlines 3.1 billion euros ($4.2
billion) in state spending cuts and €2.5 billion in additional tax revenue, which also predicts a timid return to
growth after six years of recession despite the reluctance of many government lawmakers to impose further
cutbacks on a country reeling from economic hardship.
*Yemen LNG has evacuated some foreign staff after an explosion last week at its plant at Balhaf, a company
employee and a spokesman for French stakeholder Total said.
Tags: World news

Oryza Global Rice Quotes
December 9th, 2013
Long grain white rice - high quality
Thailand 100% B grade
410-420
Vietnam 5% broken 425-435
↓
India 5% broken
415-425
↔
Pakistan 5% broken 385-395
↑
Cambodia 5% broken 455-465
↔

↔

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U.S. 4% broken
585-595
Uruguay 5% broken 625-635
Argentina 5% broken 625-635

↔
↔
↔

Long grain white rice - low quality
Thailand 25% broken 365-375
↓
Vietnam 25% broken 400-410
↔
Pakistan 25% broken 335-345
↔
Cambodia 25% broken
430-440
↔
India 25% broken
375-385
↔
U.S. 15% broken
565-575
↔
Long grain parboiled rice
Thailand parboiled 100% stxd
455-465
Pakistan parboiled 5% broken stxd 435-445
India parboiled 5% broken stxd
395-405
U.S. parboiled 4% broken
660-670
↔
Brazil parboiled 5% broken 590-600
↔
Uruguay parboiled 5% broken
NQ ↔

For Advertising SPECS & RATES
↔
↔
↔

Contact: Advertising Department
Mujahid Ali
mujahid.riceplus@gmail.com

Long grain fragrant rice
Thailand Hommali 92%
975-985
↓
Vietnam Jasmine
615-625
↔
India basmati 2% broken
1515 -1525 ↔
Pakistan basmati 2% broken NQ ↔
Cambodia Phka Malis 905-915
↔
Brokens
Thailand A1 Super
330-340
↓
Vietnam 100% broken
375-385
↔
Pakistan 100% broken stxd 325-335
↔
Cambodia A1 Super 380-390
↔
India 100% Broken stxd
315-325
↔
Egypt medium grain brokens NQ ↔
U.S. pet food 390-400
↔
Brazil half grain
345-355
↔
Medium grain milled
U.S. Calrose 4% broken
620-630
↔
Egypt medium grain 6%
NQ ↔
All prices USD per ton, FOB vessel, oryza.com

+92 3

Contents published with permission of ORYZA News

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10th December,2013 daily Eexclusive Oryza newsletter shared by riceplus magazine

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10th December,2013 daily Eexclusive Oryza newsletter shared by riceplus magazine