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7907IBA Strategic case study presentation




                 Paul Maier
                Linda Fraser
               Aaron Howell
            Ramesh Ramachandran
United Airlines Strategic Analysis
Background
2008 Financial position
External environment
       STEEP analysis
       Issues and implications – Top five
       Industry analysis – Porters Five Forces Model
       Competitor assessment
Internal environment
       Capabilities
       Strengths and Weaknesses
       Financial trends and ratios
Strategy formulation
       Current strategy
       Future strategic options
Conclusion
References
United Airlines background

• 1926      One of the oldest carriers in USA

• 1978      Thrived under government protection

• 1993      Largest majority employee-owned corporation in
            the world

• 1997      Founding member of Star Alliance

• 2002/2006 Chapter 11 bankruptcy

• 2008      Posted biggest ever loss
2008 financial position
A case study of United airlines ending Dec 31 2008
(In millions except rates)

Operating revenues                                        $20,194
Total assets                                              $19,461
Net income (loss)                                         $ (5,348)
Revenue passenger miles                                    110,061
Revenue passengers                                                   63
Yield                                                          13.89₵
Passenger load factor                                          81.00%
   source : United States Securities and Exchange Commission 10-k report for United Airlines.
External environment
Social/Demographic
                            Cuts in corporate spending
                            Increased governance




Political/Legal                                              Technological
1978 deregulation                                            Video conferencing
Persian Gulf war                  STEEP                      Email
2001 Terrorist attack
Limited foreign ownership

                Environmental                   Economic
                                                Increase oil prices
                                                Recession
                                                Low cost carriers
                                                High leverage
General environment analysis,
 United’s General environment analysis,
    United’s issues and implications
         issues and implications
           Issue               Implication           Importance
Changing demographic of       Business vs. Leisure   High
travellers

Internet technology           Less air travel        High


                              Financial
Volatile fuel prices                                 High
                              vulnerability


Global recession              Less spend for air     Medium
                              travel

Increased competition (LCC)   Decreased              Medium
                              prices/increased
                              buyer power
Porters Five Forces Model
Threat of new entrants (Low)                  Threat of substitutes (Low)
High entry costs                              Video calling
Limited slots                                 Email
Highly regulated industry                     Internet communication
Economies of scale
                            Intensity of rivalry (High)
                            Limited customer loyalty
                            High fixed costs
                            Limited differentiation
                            High exit barriers

Supplier power (Med)                          Buyer power (High)
Limited manufacturers                         Highly competitive industry
                                              Zero switching costs
Competitor assessment
                  • Delta Airlines
                  • Continental Airlines
 Immediate        • US Airways             Alternative airline
competitors       • American Airlines           carriers
                  • Southwest Airlines




 Impending        • One World Alliance      Growing airline
competitors       • SkyTeam Alliance           alliances



 Invisible        • Bus services           Alternative modes
                  • Trains                  of transport and
competitors       • Technology              communication
Internal environment
Basic value chain

                                                               Support activities


                                                                 Firm infrastructure

                                             Human resource management

                                                              Technological development

                                                                          Procurement


                                                                                    Marketing and sales
                                         Outbound logistics
                     Inbound logistics
Primary activities




                                                                     Operations




                                                                                                          Service
Support value chain activities

    Firm Infrastructure   • Employee stock ownership



     Procurement          • Maintenance and spare parts



     Human resources      • Employee satisfaction



    Technological         • N/A
    Development
Primary value chain activities

    Operations           • Hub and spoke


                         • Brand position
    Marketing
                         • Premier services

    Service              • Customer service


    Outbound logistics   • N/A


    Inbound logistics    • N/A
Customer perceptions




Adapted from http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5YGc4zOqozo
Strategic
                 alliances




   High                         Strong
 employee      Strengths      operational
                               network
productivity



                4th largest
                carrier in
                  U.S.A.
Weak
            financial
          performance




         Weaknesses

Strong                  3rd party
unions                  provider
                        reliance
Financial trends and ratios


                   Profitability




     Liquidity &
      Leverage


                            Shareholders
                               return
Stock Price 2006-2008
60

50

40

30
                                                                             High
                                                                             Low
20

10

0
     Q1    Q2    Q3    Q4    Q1    Q2    Q3    Q4    Q1    Q2    Q3    Q4
     '06   '06   '06   '06   '07   '07   '07   '07   '08   '08   '08   '08
Revenue vs.
                                                        Key metrics
               Expenditure
         Operating Revenue (millions)
         Operating Expenses (millions
30,000                                    160

                                          140                                       F '06
25,000
                                                                                    F '07
                                          120
20,000                                                                              F '08
                                          100

15,000                                     80

                                           60
10,000
                                           40
 5,000
                                           20

    0                                       0
            FY 2006   FY 2007   FY 2008          Revenue   Available Load Factor Revenue
                                                Passenger Seat Miles     (%)     Passengers
                                                  Miles     (billion)             (million)
                                                 (billion)
Profitability                      Liquidity

250                                    0.9

                                       0.8
200
                                       0.7
150                            F '06
                                       0.6
                               F '07
100
                               F '08   0.5

 50                                    0.4

  0                                    0.3

                                       0.2
-50
      Profit Return Return             0.1
      Margin on       on
       (%) Assets Equity                0
              (%)    (%)
                                             Current Ratio    Quick Ratio
Leverage                                  Shareholders return


12                                             15

10
                                               10
8

                                                5
6
                                       F '06
                                       F '07
4
                                       F '08    0
                                                     Debt to Assets   Debt to Equity
2
                                                -5
0
     Price Earnings   Dividend Yield
-2        Ratio                                -10
Comparative expenses
              Jet Fuel              Staff Expenses         Maintenance
              Regional Affiliates   Purchased Services     Other
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
 0%
       United Airlines     Southwest Airlines        American Airlines   Delta Airlines
Strategic options
Current strategy
              Mission                                   Values
          To be recognised                             Focus on 5
       worldwide as the airline
              of choice
                   Integrated cost leadership/differentiation




 Priorities


   Payments


Performance
Strategic options
                                Decision
     Issue          Option                     Pros        Cons
                                Criteria
                                Customer                   Stock
                     Other                   Economy
Reduce financial                  loyalty,                 price,
                     airline                  of scale
   leverage                        Brand                  Labour
                     merger
                                 identity                relations


                                 Capacity                  Large
   Decrease         Harmonise                 Reduce
                                  issues,                 capital
operational costs      fleet                   costs
                                    Cost                  outlay



                       Cut                               Decreased
Optimise capacity                 Public     Increased
                    premium                               business
 and utilisation                perception    turnover
                      tiers                                service
Conclusion and recommendations

 Establish merger with
                                       Harmonise current fleet
complementary airline

                                         Increased revenue
  Achieve further
                                       generating operational
 economies of scale
                                                time

                                       Increased revenue and
  Reduce costs and
                                       improved shareholder
     leverage
                                              returns

    Future consideration should be given to sustainability
References
American Airlines 10K 2007 Retrieved 07 April 2007
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/4515/000000451508000016/aa022010k.htm
American Airlines 10K 2008 Retrieved 07 April 2008
http://www.secinfo.com/d4Dc.tv.c.htm
Chris Ayres (2009) Revenge is best served cold – on YouTube. Retrieved from
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/law/columnists/article2051377.ece
Delta Airlines 10K 2007 Retrieved 07 April 2007
http://images.delta.com.edgesuite.net/delta/pdfs/annual_reports/2009_10K.pdf
Delta Airlines 10K 2008 Retrieved 07 April 2008
http://www.secinfo.com/d4Dc.t1.x.htm
History of United Airlines Retrieved 15 April 2012
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_United_Airlines
Hitt M.A., Ireland R.D., and Hoskinson R.E. 2011 Strategic Management: Competitiveness & Globalization: Concepts and Cases.
9th Edition South-Western Cengage Learning
Pest Analysis Retrieved 15 April 2012
http://www.en.wikipedia.org/wiki/STEEP_analysis
Porters Five Forces Retrieved 15 April 2012
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Porter_five_forces_analysis
Southwest Airlines 10K 2007 Retrieved 07 April 2007
http://www.secinfo.com/dsvrp.t1hb.9.htm
Southwest Airlines 10K 2008 Retrieved 07 April 2008
http://www.southwest.investorroom.com/download/2008+Annual+Report.pdf
United Airlines Corporate Responsibility Report 2009 - 2010– Every Action Counts: Making lasting Connections Retrieved Sept 24 2010
http://www.eglobaltravelmedia.com.au/airline/united-airlines-releases-2009-2010-corporate-responsibility-report-%E2%80%93-every-action-
counts%C2%AE-making-lasting-connections.html
United Airlines 10K 2007 Retrieved 07 April 2012
 http://ir.unitedcontinentalholdings.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=83680&p=IROL-
secToc&TOC=aHR0cDovL2lyLmludC53ZXN0bGF3YnVzaW5lc3MuY29tL2RvY3VtZW50L3YxLzAwMDEwNDc0NjktMDgtMDAxOTUxL3RvYy9wYWdl&ListAll=1
United Airlines 10K 2008 Retrieved 07 April 2012 http://ir.unitedcontinentalholdings.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=83680&p=IROL-
secToc&TOC=aHR0cDovL2lyLmludC53ZXN0bGF3YnVzaW5lc3MuY29tL2RvY3VtZW50L3YxLzAwMDExMDQ2NTktMDctMDE5OTE5L3RvYy9wYWdl&ListAll=1
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Final show united airlines

  • 1.
  • 2. 7907IBA Strategic case study presentation Paul Maier Linda Fraser Aaron Howell Ramesh Ramachandran
  • 3.
  • 4. United Airlines Strategic Analysis Background 2008 Financial position External environment STEEP analysis Issues and implications – Top five Industry analysis – Porters Five Forces Model Competitor assessment Internal environment Capabilities Strengths and Weaknesses Financial trends and ratios Strategy formulation Current strategy Future strategic options Conclusion References
  • 5. United Airlines background • 1926 One of the oldest carriers in USA • 1978 Thrived under government protection • 1993 Largest majority employee-owned corporation in the world • 1997 Founding member of Star Alliance • 2002/2006 Chapter 11 bankruptcy • 2008 Posted biggest ever loss
  • 6. 2008 financial position A case study of United airlines ending Dec 31 2008 (In millions except rates) Operating revenues $20,194 Total assets $19,461 Net income (loss) $ (5,348) Revenue passenger miles 110,061 Revenue passengers 63 Yield 13.89₵ Passenger load factor 81.00% source : United States Securities and Exchange Commission 10-k report for United Airlines.
  • 8. Social/Demographic Cuts in corporate spending Increased governance Political/Legal Technological 1978 deregulation Video conferencing Persian Gulf war STEEP Email 2001 Terrorist attack Limited foreign ownership Environmental Economic Increase oil prices Recession Low cost carriers High leverage
  • 9. General environment analysis, United’s General environment analysis, United’s issues and implications issues and implications Issue Implication Importance Changing demographic of Business vs. Leisure High travellers Internet technology Less air travel High Financial Volatile fuel prices High vulnerability Global recession Less spend for air Medium travel Increased competition (LCC) Decreased Medium prices/increased buyer power
  • 10. Porters Five Forces Model Threat of new entrants (Low) Threat of substitutes (Low) High entry costs Video calling Limited slots Email Highly regulated industry Internet communication Economies of scale Intensity of rivalry (High) Limited customer loyalty High fixed costs Limited differentiation High exit barriers Supplier power (Med) Buyer power (High) Limited manufacturers Highly competitive industry Zero switching costs
  • 11. Competitor assessment • Delta Airlines • Continental Airlines Immediate • US Airways Alternative airline competitors • American Airlines carriers • Southwest Airlines Impending • One World Alliance Growing airline competitors • SkyTeam Alliance alliances Invisible • Bus services Alternative modes • Trains of transport and competitors • Technology communication
  • 13. Basic value chain Support activities Firm infrastructure Human resource management Technological development Procurement Marketing and sales Outbound logistics Inbound logistics Primary activities Operations Service
  • 14. Support value chain activities Firm Infrastructure • Employee stock ownership Procurement • Maintenance and spare parts Human resources • Employee satisfaction Technological • N/A Development
  • 15. Primary value chain activities Operations • Hub and spoke • Brand position Marketing • Premier services Service • Customer service Outbound logistics • N/A Inbound logistics • N/A
  • 16. Customer perceptions Adapted from http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5YGc4zOqozo
  • 17. Strategic alliances High Strong employee Strengths operational network productivity 4th largest carrier in U.S.A.
  • 18. Weak financial performance Weaknesses Strong 3rd party unions provider reliance
  • 19. Financial trends and ratios Profitability Liquidity & Leverage Shareholders return
  • 20. Stock Price 2006-2008 60 50 40 30 High Low 20 10 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 '06 '06 '06 '06 '07 '07 '07 '07 '08 '08 '08 '08
  • 21. Revenue vs. Key metrics Expenditure Operating Revenue (millions) Operating Expenses (millions 30,000 160 140 F '06 25,000 F '07 120 20,000 F '08 100 15,000 80 60 10,000 40 5,000 20 0 0 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 Revenue Available Load Factor Revenue Passenger Seat Miles (%) Passengers Miles (billion) (million) (billion)
  • 22. Profitability Liquidity 250 0.9 0.8 200 0.7 150 F '06 0.6 F '07 100 F '08 0.5 50 0.4 0 0.3 0.2 -50 Profit Return Return 0.1 Margin on on (%) Assets Equity 0 (%) (%) Current Ratio Quick Ratio
  • 23. Leverage Shareholders return 12 15 10 10 8 5 6 F '06 F '07 4 F '08 0 Debt to Assets Debt to Equity 2 -5 0 Price Earnings Dividend Yield -2 Ratio -10
  • 24. Comparative expenses Jet Fuel Staff Expenses Maintenance Regional Affiliates Purchased Services Other 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% United Airlines Southwest Airlines American Airlines Delta Airlines
  • 26. Current strategy Mission Values To be recognised Focus on 5 worldwide as the airline of choice Integrated cost leadership/differentiation Priorities Payments Performance
  • 27. Strategic options Decision Issue Option Pros Cons Criteria Customer Stock Other Economy Reduce financial loyalty, price, airline of scale leverage Brand Labour merger identity relations Capacity Large Decrease Harmonise Reduce issues, capital operational costs fleet costs Cost outlay Cut Decreased Optimise capacity Public Increased premium business and utilisation perception turnover tiers service
  • 28. Conclusion and recommendations Establish merger with Harmonise current fleet complementary airline Increased revenue Achieve further generating operational economies of scale time Increased revenue and Reduce costs and improved shareholder leverage returns Future consideration should be given to sustainability
  • 29. References American Airlines 10K 2007 Retrieved 07 April 2007 http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/4515/000000451508000016/aa022010k.htm American Airlines 10K 2008 Retrieved 07 April 2008 http://www.secinfo.com/d4Dc.tv.c.htm Chris Ayres (2009) Revenge is best served cold – on YouTube. Retrieved from http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/law/columnists/article2051377.ece Delta Airlines 10K 2007 Retrieved 07 April 2007 http://images.delta.com.edgesuite.net/delta/pdfs/annual_reports/2009_10K.pdf Delta Airlines 10K 2008 Retrieved 07 April 2008 http://www.secinfo.com/d4Dc.t1.x.htm History of United Airlines Retrieved 15 April 2012 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_United_Airlines Hitt M.A., Ireland R.D., and Hoskinson R.E. 2011 Strategic Management: Competitiveness & Globalization: Concepts and Cases. 9th Edition South-Western Cengage Learning Pest Analysis Retrieved 15 April 2012 http://www.en.wikipedia.org/wiki/STEEP_analysis Porters Five Forces Retrieved 15 April 2012 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Porter_five_forces_analysis Southwest Airlines 10K 2007 Retrieved 07 April 2007 http://www.secinfo.com/dsvrp.t1hb.9.htm Southwest Airlines 10K 2008 Retrieved 07 April 2008 http://www.southwest.investorroom.com/download/2008+Annual+Report.pdf United Airlines Corporate Responsibility Report 2009 - 2010– Every Action Counts: Making lasting Connections Retrieved Sept 24 2010 http://www.eglobaltravelmedia.com.au/airline/united-airlines-releases-2009-2010-corporate-responsibility-report-%E2%80%93-every-action- counts%C2%AE-making-lasting-connections.html United Airlines 10K 2007 Retrieved 07 April 2012 http://ir.unitedcontinentalholdings.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=83680&p=IROL- secToc&TOC=aHR0cDovL2lyLmludC53ZXN0bGF3YnVzaW5lc3MuY29tL2RvY3VtZW50L3YxLzAwMDEwNDc0NjktMDgtMDAxOTUxL3RvYy9wYWdl&ListAll=1 United Airlines 10K 2008 Retrieved 07 April 2012 http://ir.unitedcontinentalholdings.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=83680&p=IROL- secToc&TOC=aHR0cDovL2lyLmludC53ZXN0bGF3YnVzaW5lc3MuY29tL2RvY3VtZW50L3YxLzAwMDExMDQ2NTktMDctMDE5OTE5L3RvYy9wYWdl&ListAll=1

Editor's Notes

  1. In chapter 11, unless a separate trustee is appointed for cause, the debtor, as debtor in possession, acts as trustee of the businessA debtor in possession can acquire financing and loans on favourable terms by giving new lenders first priority on the business' earnings.The court may also permit the debtor in possession to reject and cancel contracts. Debtors are also protected from other litigation against the business through the imposition of an automatic stay. While the automatic stay is in place, most litigation against the debtor is stayed, or put on hold, until it can be resolved in bankruptcy court, or resumed in its original venue.
  2. Yield is a measure of average price paid per passenger mile, which is calculated by dividing passenger revenues by RPMsPassenger load factor is % of available seat miles sold.
  3. What about industrial relations- pilots and other staff can only work for certain hours and need rest breaks
  4. Changing demographics Less business travel due to corporate governance and electronic communicationInternet technology Less overall travel due to electronic communicationVolatile fuel prices Increasing and volatile fuel prices, 2008 59% fuel increase, $3.1 billion increase in overall costs (hedging/direct costs)Global recession Reduced spending overall due to global recessionIncrease competition More LCC, offering more choice, driving prices down, increasing consumer power
  5. InfrastructureEmployee Stock Ownership Plan provides job security for the so called new ownersWorkers have little control over the critical decisions of the firm. HRCEO Salary remains high even though Company is underperforming2500 salaried staff laid off in 2008, considering another 1400 in 2009Affiliated Unions unhappy with CEO salary & lay offs70% of employees are dissatisfied working for United
  6. Proclaim customer service, however customer perception difficult to control. 1 perceived bad decision can be costly.150,000 views within one day, half a million hits in 3 days, 5 million 1 month.MarketingGoal is to transport passengers from smaller airports to United HubsAcquiring points for the United Frequent Flyer program fro all 2000 daily flights.Travel Options by United was implemented in 2008 Introduction of ‘Premium Service’ Revenue streamsIncome remained comparable with financial year 2007Negative Cash flow Liquidity focuses on short term investment salesJet Fuel hedging produced a $100million Loss in FY 2008
  7. Chris Ayres of the LondonThe Timesnewspaper reported that within 4 days of the video being posted online, United Airline's stock price fell 10%, costing stockholders about $180 million in value. However, other analystshave questioned whether this price drop can be directly linked to the video
  8. 1.-Operates more than 3,000 flights a day to more than 230 destinations on United and United Express.-United’s hubs are strategically located at Chicago, Washington, Denver, Los Angeles, and San Francisco airports. These hubs provide direct international flights to international destinations such as China, Kuwait City, Europe, Australia, Latin America, and the Caribbean. In addition, these hubs also provide services to domestic destinations for the international passengers. Hub-and-spoke method makes operations streamlined for airlines than do the point-to-point method. -Due to the hub-and-spoke method, United’s passenger load factor is 81.2%, which is much better than many point-to-point airlines.2.-Star Alliance provides United with access to destinations that it cannot have access to otherwise.-These agreements enables United to provide increased flight frequencies, less waiting time to customers, and new standards of convenience thereby earning it a competitive advantage over other airlines.4.United is currently the fourth largest carrier in the United States by passenger revenue.Strong operational network.- Operates more than 3,000 flights a day to more than 230 destinations- One of the two U.S. carriers authorized to serve U.S. – Narita routes from any U.S. points and to serve Asia from Narita.- United is a hub-and-spoke companyStrategic alliances.- World’s most comprehensive strategic alliance ( Star Alliance).- Independent agreements with other air carriers outside the Star Alliance.Relatively high employee productivity.- Stronger revenue per employee, as compared to its competitors.Fourth largest carrier in the U.S. Now largest carrier in the world after the merging.Give United the power and resource to deal with the buyers and supplier threats.
  9. Weakening financial performance.- United incurred net loss of $5.3 billion in 2008 as compared to a minute net profit of $403 million in 2007.- Long-term stock performance has been lower than the industry’s average.- Stained United’s overall credit rating.- Burden with loans that most of its revenue is used for interest payments.- Inefficient cost management controls in place.- Difficult for the company to secure future loans for aircraft and other purchases.Heavy dependence on third party providers. United’s dependence on outside vendors may reduce the company’s revenues and increase its expenses.Customer call service centers, aircraft repair and maintenance and aircraft fueling operations.Strong unions.- Most of the United employees are members of professional unions.Main job of these unions is to facilitate pay increases and job security.United can lose millions of dollars a day, if one or more unions decide to go on a strike.Pilots are members of ALPA, flight attendants are members of AFA, mechanics are member of IBT, dispatchers are members of PAFCA, engineers are members of IFPTE, and even public contract employees are the members of IAM.
  10. Stock high price in FY 2007 of $51.60 in Q4 and low of $31.62 in Q2Stock high price in FY 2008 of $41.47 in Q1 and low of $2.80 in Q3
  11. Operating revenue increased by 12.95% from FY 2006 through to FY 2008 however operating expenses increased by 28.9% from FY 07 to FY 08 which led to United’s largest ever loss of $5.348 billion dollars.
  12. Largest expense across all airlines are fuel, followed by salaries.
  13. Focus on 5 (Hemisphere magazine.com 1/12/2009)On time performanceCleanlinessServiceCostRevenue
  14. Continue with cost/differentiationstrat. but tweak it slightlyMergeEconomy of scale – routes and milesReduce costs/leverage - revenues and milesReduce cost/leverage – revenues and equitySustainability, recycle, carbon emissions,