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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                     22nd December 2011

                                                                     MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 27920. It moved
                       Gold          Silver            Crude
                      (4 Feb-12)   (5 Mar-12)        (19 Jan-12)
                                                                     higher during the day to touch an intra-day high of 28106. However,
                                                                     Gold failed to sustain at higher levels and selling pressure was
 Open                    27,920        53,519              5,160     witnessed in the evening trade. It touched an intra-day low of
 High                    28,106        54,184              5,242     27733. It ended the day with modest losses to close at 27809.

 Low                     27,733        52,937              5,125     The RSI remains placed below its average, which would lead to
 Close                   27,809        53,148              5,214     selling pressure at higher levels. However, the Stochastic is placed
                                                                     above its average, which would lead to buying support at lower
 Prev. Close             27,867        53,487              5,153
                                                                     levels. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line is
 % Change                -0.21%        -0.63%             1.18%      placed at 32.13, indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX GOLD
                                                                     faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the
Source – MCX
                                                                     supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels.
                       Volume (In 000's)
                                                                     MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 53519. It moved
                      21/12/2011    20/12/2011           % Chg.      higher during the afternoon session to touch an intra-day high of
                                                                     54184. However, it failed to sustain due to selling pressure in the
 Gold (gms)             51,102.0      36,711.0           39.20%      evening session and touched an intra-day low of 52937. It ended
 Silver (kgs)            2,278.5       1,653.8           37.78%      the day with moderate losses to close at 53148.
 Crude (bbl)            24,299.6      20,207.2           20.25%
                                                                     The RSI remains placed below its average, which would lead to
Source – MCX                                                         further selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed above its
                                                                     average and is also placed near the over sold zone, which would
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                             lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and buying support at
                                                                     lower levels. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line
                      21/12/2011    20/12/2011           % Chg.      has witnessed is placed at 32.25, indicating sellers have an upper
Gold                 1,425,996.0   1,020,621.9           39.72%
                                                                     hand. MCX Silver faces resistance at 54754, 61708, 61884 and
                                                                     64605 levels, while the supports are placed at 52725, 52365, 51226
Silver               1,218,745.3     880,475.3           38.42%      and 50223 levels.
Crude                1,258,621.4   1,031,084.5           22.07%
                                                                     MCX CRUDE (JAN 12) - Crude opened higher at 5160 level. It
Source – MCX                                                         moved lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 5125 but
                                                                     managed to bounce back due to short covering and buying support.
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                         It touched an intra-day high of 5242. It ended the day with moderate
                                                                     gains to close at 5214.
                      22/12/2011    21/12/2011           % Chg.

Gold (oz)               1,610.00      1,612.40           -0.15%      The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                                     average, which would lead to buying support. The ADX and -DI line
Silver (oz)                29.04           29.20         -0.57%
                                                                     are moving sideways, while the +DI line is moving higher and is
Crude (bbl)                98.89           98.67          0.22%      placed at 36.55 indicating buyers have an upper hand. It faces
Dollar Index               79.69           79.83         -0.18%      resistance at 5342, 5360 and 5380 levels, while the supports are
                                                                     placed at 5200, 5174, 5115 and 5008 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                   Intra-day Resistance                           Intra-day Support
  Commodities                      Close           Pivot Point            R1                R2      R3              S1             S2         S3

 CRUDE JAN 12                       5214                 5194           5262           5311        5428           5145           5077        4960

   GOLD FEB 12                     27809                27883          28032          28256      28629           27659          27510       27137

 SILVER MAR 12                     53148                53423          53909          54670      55917           52662          52176       50929


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US Economic Calendar:

      Thursday                     Friday                        Tueday                     Wednesday                     Thursday
       Dec. 22                     Dec. 23                       Dec. 27                     Dec. 28                       Dec. 29
                                                                                     EIA Petroleum Status
GDP Data                  Durable Goods Orders          Consumer Confidence                                        Jobless Claims Data
                                                                                     Report
                                                        State Street Investor        Bank Reserve                  Pending Home Sales
Jobless Claims Data       New Home Sales
                                                        Confidence Index             Settlement                    Index
                          Personal Income and           ICSC-Goldman Store           MBA Purchase
Consumer Sentiment                                                                                                 Money Supply Data
                          Outlays                       Sales                        Applications




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        4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price
movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a
company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable
basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
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                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 221211

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 22nd December 2011 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 27920. It moved Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-12) (5 Mar-12) (19 Jan-12) higher during the day to touch an intra-day high of 28106. However, Gold failed to sustain at higher levels and selling pressure was Open 27,920 53,519 5,160 witnessed in the evening trade. It touched an intra-day low of High 28,106 54,184 5,242 27733. It ended the day with modest losses to close at 27809. Low 27,733 52,937 5,125 The RSI remains placed below its average, which would lead to Close 27,809 53,148 5,214 selling pressure at higher levels. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average, which would lead to buying support at lower Prev. Close 27,867 53,487 5,153 levels. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line is % Change -0.21% -0.63% 1.18% placed at 32.13, indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the Source – MCX supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 53519. It moved 21/12/2011 20/12/2011 % Chg. higher during the afternoon session to touch an intra-day high of 54184. However, it failed to sustain due to selling pressure in the Gold (gms) 51,102.0 36,711.0 39.20% evening session and touched an intra-day low of 52937. It ended Silver (kgs) 2,278.5 1,653.8 37.78% the day with moderate losses to close at 53148. Crude (bbl) 24,299.6 20,207.2 20.25% The RSI remains placed below its average, which would lead to Source – MCX further selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average and is also placed near the over sold zone, which would Turnover (In Lacs) lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and buying support at lower levels. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line 21/12/2011 20/12/2011 % Chg. has witnessed is placed at 32.25, indicating sellers have an upper Gold 1,425,996.0 1,020,621.9 39.72% hand. MCX Silver faces resistance at 54754, 61708, 61884 and 64605 levels, while the supports are placed at 52725, 52365, 51226 Silver 1,218,745.3 880,475.3 38.42% and 50223 levels. Crude 1,258,621.4 1,031,084.5 22.07% MCX CRUDE (JAN 12) - Crude opened higher at 5160 level. It Source – MCX moved lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 5125 but managed to bounce back due to short covering and buying support. Global Market (Nymex - $) It touched an intra-day high of 5242. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 5214. 22/12/2011 21/12/2011 % Chg. Gold (oz) 1,610.00 1,612.40 -0.15% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective average, which would lead to buying support. The ADX and -DI line Silver (oz) 29.04 29.20 -0.57% are moving sideways, while the +DI line is moving higher and is Crude (bbl) 98.89 98.67 0.22% placed at 36.55 indicating buyers have an upper hand. It faces Dollar Index 79.69 79.83 -0.18% resistance at 5342, 5360 and 5380 levels, while the supports are placed at 5200, 5174, 5115 and 5008 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE JAN 12 5214 5194 5262 5311 5428 5145 5077 4960 GOLD FEB 12 27809 27883 28032 28256 28629 27659 27510 27137 SILVER MAR 12 53148 53423 53909 54670 55917 52662 52176 50929 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Thursday Friday Tueday Wednesday Thursday Dec. 22 Dec. 23 Dec. 27 Dec. 28 Dec. 29 EIA Petroleum Status GDP Data Durable Goods Orders Consumer Confidence Jobless Claims Data Report State Street Investor Bank Reserve Pending Home Sales Jobless Claims Data New Home Sales Confidence Index Settlement Index Personal Income and ICSC-Goldman Store MBA Purchase Consumer Sentiment Money Supply Data Outlays Sales Applications Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com