Scottish Independence Poll (January 2012)

Paste co- brand logo hereScottish Public Opinion MonitorJanuary 2012 31.1.12

Paste co- Technical details brand logo here 2• This presents the topline results from Scotland• Results are based on a survey of 1,005 respondents conducted by telephone• Fieldwork dates: 27th January – 29th January 2012• Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using census data; tenure using SHS 2007-2008 data; and public-private sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly Public Sector Employment series data• Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of “don’t know” categories• Results are based on all respondents (1,005) unless otherwise stated© Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential

Paste co-Half of Scots oppose independence, while around two in five brand logo heresupport independence 3 Q: Do you agree that Scotland should be an independent country? All All who are certain to vote Undecided Undecided 13% Yes 11% Yes 37% 39% 50% 50% No No Base: All (1,005); All certain to vote (780). Data collected among 1,005 Scottish adults 18+, 27-29 January 2012 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential

Paste co-Those who oppose independence are more likely to have brand logo heremade their mind up 4 Q: Do you agree that Scotland should be an independent country? Support independence Oppose independence May change Definitely May change Definitely mind decided mind decided 18% 31% 69% 82% Base: All who would vote Yes (374); All who would vote No (499). Data collected among 1,005 Scottish adults 18+, 27-29 January 2012 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential

Paste co-Almost half of Scots think the referendum should be held brand logo herewithin the next 18 months 5When do you think the referendum should be held? Support independence All Oppose independence Within the next 18 31% months i.e. by 2% 5% Summer 2013 63% 9% Within next the 18 months After Summer 2013 but before Autumn 16% i.e. by Summer 2013 2014 11% After summer 2013 but before Autumn 2014 Autumn 2014 39% Autumn 2014 8% 47% After Autumn 2014 8% 22% After Autumn 2014 10% Never/shouldnt be held Never/shouldnt be 0% held 4% Dont know 5% Dont know 4% 15% 0% 25% 50% 75%Base: All (1,005); All who support independence (374); All who oppose independence (499). Data collected among 1,005 Scottish adults18+, 27-29 January 2012© Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential

Paste co- brand logo hereThank youmark.diffley@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3269 @IpsosMORIScot 31.1.12christopher.mclean@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3264© Ipsos MORI This work was carried out in accordance with the requirements of the international quality standard for market research, ISO 20252:2006.

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Scottish Independence Poll (January 2012)

by Ipsos MORI on Jan 31, 2012

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Scottish Independence Poll (January 2012) — Presentation Transcript