Regression)Fallacies)
A)Case)of)Ability)Evalua7on
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p.200)
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Two)Real)Cases )
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2
2
2
1
2
2
1
1
1
2
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1 2)
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Two)Real)Cases
2006.4 score
2007.6score
Examinees in group A Examinees in group B
2007.4 score
2008.4score
Examinees took very similar tests twice
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In both the groups, mean values of performance are improved a little bit.
Two)Real)Cases
Examinees took very similar tests twice
2006.4 score 2007.6 score 2007.4 score 2008.4 score
lower class
mean
higher class
mean
middle class
mean
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total mean
Examinees in group A Examinees in group B
in both the groups, mean values of performance are improved a little bit.
We)can)s7ll)see)the)regression)fallacies,)although
score)level)1
score)level)2
score)level)3
score)level)4
score)level)1
score)level)2
score)level)3
score)level)4
lower class
mean
higher class
mean
total mean

Regression toward the mean with real data cases