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Epic research special report of 30th october 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
30th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance
Asian stocks dipped and the dollar hovered at three-week highs versus the yen after the U.S. Federal Reserve ended its quantitative easing program as expected, but laced its economic assessment with a tinge of optimism. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Ja- pan .MIAPJ0000PUS was down 0.5% in early Asian trade on Thursday. Tokyo's Nikkei bucked the trend and rose 0.3%, taking heart from a significantly weaker yen.
European stocks held on to small gains on Wednesday, as optimism ahead of a U.S. Federal Reserve policy announce- ment outweighed further gloom for the oil exploration in- dustry. Southern European shares lagged small gains in pan-European indexes on Wednesday as weak results from heavyweight bank BBVA offset optimism ahead of a Federal Reserve's policy announcement.
Wall Street Update
US stocks closed with slight losses on Wednesday, finishing off their lows of the session, after the Federal Reserve ended its simulative monthly bond-buying program and expressed confidence in US economic prospects. Major indexes were volatile following the central bank's state- ment, with the S&P 500 down as much as 0.8% before pull- ing back. Material shares were lower throughout the ses- sion, a decline in Facebook pressured the Nasdaq, but strength in energy and financial shares helped the market recover. The DJI average fell 31.44pts, or 0.18%, to 16,974.31, the S&P 500 lost 2.75pts, or 0.14%, to 1,982.3 and the Nasdaq dropped 15.07 points, or 0.33%, to 4,549.23.
Previous day Roundup
The market saw a stellar ending as investors eye outcome of Federal Reserve meeting and its stance on interest rates. Ahead of October F&O expiry, Nifty ended tad below 8100- mark, up 62.85pts at 8090.45 while the Sensex was up 217.35 points at 27098.17. About 1589 shares advanced, 1374 shares declined, and 115 shares were unchanged.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [up 101.88pts], Capital Goods [up 41.50pts], PSU [up 2.64pts], FMCG [up 90.19pts], Realty [up 42.69pts], Power [up 0.26pts], Auto [up 320.50pts], Healthcare [down 40.96pts], IT [up 148.83pts], Metals [up 296.79pts], TECK [up 74.17pts], Oil& Gas [up 126.78pts].
World Indices
Index
Value
% Change
D J l
16974.31
-0.18
S&P 500
1982.30
-0.14
NASDAQ
4549.23
-0.33
EURO STO
3022.42
-0.45
FTSE 100
6453.87
+0.81
Nikkei 225
15636.60
+0.53
Hong Kong
23759.40
-0.25
Top Gainers
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
HINDALCO
157.00
9.30
6.30
DLF
118.05
6.75
6.06
TATASTEEL
472.50
31.30
4.72
JINDALSTEL
156.20
5.65
3.75
TATAMOTORS
525.50
16.85
3.31
Top Losers
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
PNB
905.00
60.60
-1.80
BANKBARODA
904.00
15.70
-1.71
NTPC
145.75
2.00
-1.35
SUNPHARMA
829.60
9.05
-1.08
INDUSINDBK
690.75
7.20
-1.03
Stocks at 52 Weekβs High
Symbol
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
BAJAJ-AUTO
2,558.00
58.75
2.35
CIPLA
658.40
12.25
1.90
ESCORTS
169.50
-1.75
-1.02
GAIL
500.00
3.65
0.74
MARUTI
3,201.40
50.05
1.59
Indian Indices
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
NIFTY
8090.45
+62.85
+0.78
SENSEX
27098.17
217.35
+0.81
Stocks at 52 Weekβs Low
Symbol
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
- -
2. DAILY REPORT
30th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. PNB [FUTURE]
PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK closed below 100 sma. We advise to selling around 902-900 stop loss 912 for tgt 892-882
2. HINDALCO [FUTURE]
HINDALO strong on daily chart. We advise buying around 157-158 with stop loss 155.50 for target of 160.50-163
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. REL. INFRA
A long build up has been seen in Reliance Infra. It has closed upside and made a strong green bullish candle on daily charts, so we recommend you to buy it above 585 for the targets of 600-620 with the stop loss of 570.
MACRO NEWS Tech Mahindra has reported a 14.1 percent sequential growth in second quarter net profit at Rs 720 cr on strong operational performance but was impacted by forex loss. Profit in the previous quarter was Rs 630.7 cr. The Cabinet is likely to liberalize FDI in construction norms yesterday that, as announced by the Finance Min- ister in his interim budget, would halve the minimum built-up area requirement to 20,000 square meters. The minimum capitalization norm halved to USD 5 million if the project is being developed with an Indian partner. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday ended its monthly bond purchase program and signaled confidence the US economic recovery would remain on track despite signs of a slowdown in many parts of the global economy. Dr Reddy's reported a 17% drop in its Q2 profit due to higher costs, pushing its shares down nearly 3% on Wednesday. The company also bought the rights to sell the nicotine patch Habitrol in the U.S. from Novartis Consumer Health Inc. The Indian government has relaxed rules for foreign di- rect investment in the construction sector.
3. DAILY REPORT
30th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol
Op- tion
Type
Strike Price
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
Open Interest
NIFTY
PE
8,000
4.2
6,87,652
57,59,250
NIFTY
PE
8,100
29
4,44,169
22,41,200
NIFTY
PE
8,050
11.35
3,57,192
30,23,950
BANKNIFTY
PE
16,500
32
99,179
4,03,425
SBIN
PE
2,650
17.25
6,274
1,33,375
RELIANCE
PE
940
1.15
4,688
8,03,000
INFY
PE
3,800
2.7
4,492
2,11,125
DRREDDY
PE
3,000
7
3,903
81,000
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol
Op- tion
Type
Strike Price
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
Open Interest
NIFTY
CE
8,100
20
7,66,221
60,40,550
NIFTY
CE
8,000
90.4
3,25,703
24,44,000
NIFTY
CE
8,050
50.85
2,20,581
17,00,800
BANKNIFTY
CE
16,800
26.95
73,424
2,94,725
SBIN
CE
2,700
4.5
8,654
3,33,750
RELAINCE
CE
940
12.2
7,110
6,93,250
TCS
CE
2,500
17
6,510
3,24,500
DLF
CE
120
2.5
6,062
26,38,000
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
SELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
169524
6902.15
116604
4735.43
494645
20163.94
2166.73
INDEX OPTIONS
390889
15754.80
343604
13822.16
1809602
73345.47
1932.64
STOCK FUTURES
369469
13918.81
370994
13979.77
1324041
48360.14
-60.96
STOCK OPTIONS
68352
2583.04
70515
2668.16
81425
2974.83
-85.12
TOTAL
3953.28
STOCKS IN NEWS Results Today: Maruti Suzuki, Bharti Airtel, ICICI Bank, IDFC, ACC, Ambuja Cements, Glenmark Pharma, Titan, YES Bank, Ceat, MRF, HCC, Jubilant Foodworks, Allaha- bad Bank, Andhra Bank, IOB, Manappuram Finance, Gillette India, Granules India, JK Lakshmi, Mahindra Holidays, Snowman Logistics, NHPC, Ajanta Pharma, Astra Microwave, Balaji Tele, Castrol India, Century Plyboards, EIH, IFB Industries, OnMobile, P&G Hy- giene, Shriram City Union Finance, Taj GVK, TRF, Wheels India. IL&FS Engineering wins contract worth Rs 196 crore from WBSEDCL.
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty Future closed upside in the last trading session. We advise buying around 8100-8110 with strict stop loss 8050 the targets of 8150-8200
INDICES
R2
R1
PIVOT
S1
S2
NIFTY
8,125.92
8,108.18
8,080.22
8,062.48
8,034.52
BANK NIFTY
16,840.78
16,737.42
16,666.8 3
16,563.47
16,492.88
4. DAILY REPORT
30th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER DEC ABOVE 38300 TGTS 38500,38800 SL BE- LOW 38000
SELL SILVER DEC BELOW 37950 TGTS 37750,37450 SL ABOVE 38250
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD DEC ABOVE 27100 TGTS 27180,27280 SL BE- LOW 27010
SELL GOLD DEC BELOW 27000 TGTS 26920,26820 SL ABOVE 27095
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Premiums charged for physical delivery of gold shot up on Wednesday, in the wake of rumours that RBI or the ministry of finance might impose more restrictions on gold imports. Premiums had fallen to below $10 per ounce on Tuesday after Diwali holidays, as new gold arrived in the market. However, they went up again and quoted around $15 on Wednesday. Before Diwali, the finance ministry had said it would decide on putting more restrictions on gold imports after the festival. Trade and industry circles believe that in a day or two, more restrictions in the form of tightening im- port norms of 80:20 or fixing an import quota for star and premier trading houses or even linking import by star and premier trading houses to their past exports instead of im- ports as of now might be possible.
Lead prices drifted by 0.16% to Rs 123.90 per kg in futures trade yesterday due to sluggish demand from battery- makers in the spot market amid a weak global trend. At the MCX, lead for delivery in October declined 20 paise, or 0.16%, to Rs 123.90 per kg in business turnover of 96 lots. Metal prices for delivery in November fell by a similar mar- gin to Rs 124.85 per kg in a turnover of four lots. Besides sluggish demand from battery-makers in the spot market, a weak trend in base metals pack at the LME ahead of the outcome of US Federal Reserve's meeting, mainly kept pressure on lead prices in futures trade.
Zinc futures fell 0.29% to Rs 137.80 per kg yesterday as speculators reduced positions amid sluggish domestic de- mand and weak global trend. At the Multi Commodity Ex- change, zinc prices for delivery in October declined by 60 paise, or 0.29%, to Rs 137.80 per kg in a business turnover of 206 lots. Likewise, the metal prices for delivery in No- vember traded lower by 35 paise, or 0.25%, to Rs 138 per kg in 31 lots. The fall in zinc prices in futures trade was due to sluggish domestic demand in the spot market amid a weak trend in base metals at the London Metal Exchange before the US Federal Reserve concludes its policy meeting.
Nickel prices moved up by 0.78% or Rs 7.50 to Rs 965.10 per kg in futures trade yesterday as participants created speculative positions, driven by a firm global trend. Further, rising demand from alloy-makers in domestic spot markets also influenced metal prices. At the MCX nickel for delivery in November month shot up by Rs 7.50, or 0.78%, to Rs 965.10 per kg in business turnover of 192 lots.
5. DAILY REPORT
30th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY DHANIYA NOV ABOVE 12150 TGTS 12180,12230 SL 12100
SELL DHANIYA NOV BELOW 12090 TGTS 12060,12010 SL 12140
GUARSGUM
BUY GUARGUM NOV ABOVE 15920 TGTS 15970,16070 SL 15830
SELL GUARGUM NOV BELOW 15700 TGTS 15650,15550 SL 15790
NCDEX
NCDEX ROUNDUP
sugar production in 2014-15 crop marketing year that has started from November is expected to around 25.5 mil- lion tonnes, around 4% more than the current season. The national production estimate was arrived at after almost three-hour long meeting between sugarcane com- missioners of major producing states along with top un- ion food ministry officials yesterday.
Oil prices rose in Asia yesterday as dealers await the out- come of a US Federal Reserve meeting and the latest US supply report. US benchmark West Texas Intermediate for December delivery rose 26 cents to $81.68 while Brent crude for December was up 20 cents at $86.23 in mid-morning trade. A statement on the meeting's out- come will be released at 1800 GMT tomorrow. The US central bank is expected to announce an end to its vast asset-buying programme, which was credited with prop- ping up the world's biggest economy after the 2008 fi- nancial crisis.
The Centre has raised the minimum support price (MSP) of wheat by Rs 50 a quintal to Rs 1,450 a quintal for the 2015-16 crop marketing season, and that of mustard by an equal amount to Rs 3,100 a quintal. Wheat sowing begins in October and harvesting starts from April. The government procures wheat from farmers during April- June.
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
% Change
CASTOR SEED
4746
-0.02
CHANA
3050
+1.57
CORIANDER
12139
+0.41
COTTON SEED
1387
+0.14
GAUR SEED
5532
-0.61
JEERA
11935
-0.65
MUSTARDSEED
3737
+0.67
SOYBEAN
3272
+1.71
SUGAR M GRADE
2807
+0.07
6. DAILY REPORT
30th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
GBP/INR
BUY GBP-INR ABOVE 99.4500 TGT 99.6500,100.0000 SL 99.2000
SELL GBP-INR BELOW 99.3000 TGT 99.1000,98.8000 SL 99.5500
EUR/INR
BUY EUR-INR ABOVE 78.6000 TGT 78.8000,79.1000 SL 78.3500
SELL EUR-INR BELOW 78.4500 TGT 78.2500,78.1000 SL 78.7000
Currency Market Round up:
The Indian rupee ended slightly weaker on Wednesday as caution prevailed ahead of the outcome of the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy meeting later in the day, although broader sentiment remained positive following continued foreign inflows. The rupee moved in a tight range for much of the session. The Fed announces the end of its bond-buying pro- gram but also signal caution about the timing of any hikes in U.S. interest rates. The partially convertible rupee closed at 61.35/36 per dollar, slightly weaker from its close of 1.32/33 on Tuesday. The rupee weakened in intraday trade after some banks purchased dollars to meet month-end de- mand from importers, traders said. But the currency re- ceived support as Indian stocks gained for a second straight session to their highest closing level in five weeks.
The dollar was under light selling pressure and major gov- ernment bond yields were marginally lower, as currency and fixed income markets anticipated a soothing message from Fed when it ends its two-day policy meeting. The dol- lar stayed on the front foot on Thursday, holding near prior session highs as it basked in the afterglow of the Fed Re- serve's optimistic take on the U.S. economic recovery, rais- ing the odds of policy tightening sooner rather than later.
Oil prices closed higher on Wednesday for a second day in a row after data showed U.S. crude stockpiles rose less than expected last week, ending two weeks of builds that pres- sured the market.
U.S. benchmark 10-year debt yields rose to three-week highs on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve ended its asset purchase program and said recovery in the world's largest economy remained largely on track despite weak- ness in other parts of the world.
The Reserve Bank of India sets cut-off rate of 7.99 percent at overnight variable rate reverse repo auction. Indian banks' refinancing with RBI falls to 85.81 billion rupees. In- dian banks' cash balances with RBI at 3.71 trillion rupees.
RBI Reference Rate
Currency
Rate
Currency
Rate
Rupee- $
61.3175
Yen-100
56.7600
Euro
78.1430
GBP
99.0032
MCX COMMODITIES & CURRENCY
8. DAILY REPORT
30th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
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Disclaimer
TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
CONSENSUS FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, OCT. 27
10 AM
PENDING HOME SALES
--
-1.0%
TUESDAY, , OCT. 28
8:30 AM
DURABLE GOODS ORDERS
SEPT.
-0.9%
-18.4
9 AM
CASE/SHILLER HOME PRICES
AUG.
--
6.7%
10 AM
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
OCT.
87.3
86.0
WEDNESDAY, OCT. 29
NONE SCHEDULED
THURSDAY, OCT. 30
8:30 AM
WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS
OCT. 25
N/A
N/A
8:30 AM
GDP
Q3
3.1%
4.6%
FRIDAY, OCT. 31
8:30 AM
EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX
Q3
0.5%
0.7%
8:30 AM
PERSONAL INCOME
SEPT.
0.3%
0.3%
8:30 AM
CONSUMER SPENDING
SEPT.
-0.1%
0.5%
8:30 AM
CORE PCE PRICE INDEX
SEPT.
N/A
0.1%
9:55 AM
CONSUMER SENTIMENT
OCT.
N/A
86.4