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Air Quality In Our Public Lands:
 Opportunities for Co-benefits


        Trent Wickman
       US Forest Service
Why Should I Be Interested in Air Pollution?
                                              Stippling and
Very small amounts of air pollution can           Necrosis
                  affect forest health.

                      Healthy Black                           Tissue Injury
                      Cherry Leaves




                    Visitors rank breathing fresh, clean air
                    as a principle reason for visiting the
                    national forests. Poor air quality and
                    impaired visibility are an economic drag
                    on local communities who rely upon
                    tourism.
Who are the Federal Land Managers?
              (FLMs)
 •  USDA Forest Service –
    Class I Wildernesses
 •  National Park Service -
    Class I National Parks
 •  US Fish and Wildlife
    Service - Class I National
    Wildlife Refuges
Tools to Address Air Quality Impacts
     Wilderness Act
     Clean Air Act
Wilderness Act - maintain Wilderness character and
     natural conditions.

     The Act defines Wilderness as follows:

•    "...lands designated for preservation and protection in their natural
     condition..." Section 2(a)
•    "...an area where the earth and its community of life are untrammeled
     by man..." Section 2(c)
•    "...an area of undeveloped Federal land retaining its primeval character
     and influence, without permanent improvement or human habitation..."
     Section 2(c)
•    "...generally appears to have been affected primarily by the forces of
     nature, with the imprint of man's work substantially unnoticeable..."
     Section 2(c)
•    "...has outstanding opportunities for solitude or a primitive and
     unconfined type of recreation..." Section 2(c)
•    "...shall be devoted to the public purposes of recreation, scenic,
     scientific, educational, conservation and historic use." Section 4(b)
Federal Clean Air Act
 The Federal Land Manager and the Federal
official charged with direct responsibility for
management of such lands shall have an
affirmative responsibility to protect the air
quality related values (including visibility) of any
such lands within a class I area and to consider,
in consultation with the Administrator, whether a
proposed major emitting facility will have an
adverse impact on such values. [CAA Section
165(d)(2)(B)]
Air Quality Impacts to the Forests
•    Acid Deposition
•    Mercury Deposition
•    Ozone (smog)
•    Visibility


 So What?
Air Quality Impacts to the Forests

•    Acid Deposition
•    Mercury Deposition
•    Ozone (smog)
•    Visibility
pH

5.5
5.4
5.3
5.2                                                 ash river
5.1                                                 fernberg
                                                    wolf ridge
 5                                                  hovland
4.9                                                 marcell

4.8
4.7
4.6
  1978   1983   1988   1993    1998   2003   2008
Figure 3: Sulfate Deposition During 1999* and Largest Sulfur Dioxide Point Sources**
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




19841985 1986
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




19851986 1987
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




19861987 1988
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




19871988 1989
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




19881989 1990
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




19891990 1991
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




19901991 1992
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




19911992 1993
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




19921993 1994
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




19931994 1995
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




19941995 1996
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




19951996 1997
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




19961997 1998
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




19971998 1999
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




19981999 2000
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




19992000 2001
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




20002001 2002
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




20012002 2003
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




20022003 2004
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




20032004 2005
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




20042005 2006
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




20052006 2007
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




20062007 2008
Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition
                                    1985-2008




20072008 2009
Air Quality Impacts to the Forests

•    Acid Deposition
•    Mercury Deposition
•    Ozone (smog)
•    Visibility
Why is Mercury Important ?
What it s All About !
What are We Doing About It?
          Monitoring




                 Fernberg Station
Trend reversal
•  Work done by Monson and others have
   shown a recent increasing trend in mercury
   in fish in the Great Lakes states after many
   years of decrease
•  Deposition data does not appear to explain
   the change in trend
•  Climate?
Air Quality Impacts to the Forests

•    Acid Deposition
•    Mercury Deposition
•    Ozone (smog)
•    Visibility
Last NAAQS proposal had a REAL secondary std!
Air Quality Impacts to the Forests

•    Acid Deposition
•    Mercury Deposition
•    Ozone (smog)
•    Visibility
What Do IMPROVE Data Show ?

          BWCAW, Minnesota




    Clear Day             Hazy Day

Natural Visibility   Degraded Visibility
> 125 miles          < 30 miles
What Does the Visibility Data Show
        for the BWCAW?



                       BWCAW profile is in
                       between that seen at
                       the typical Eastern
                       site and the typical
                       Western site
So What?
What can be done about this?
Fernberg Air Monitoring Site
Where does it come from?
Contribution to 20% Worst Visibility Days at BWCAW in 2018

                                   Outstate Minnesota EGU
                                                                                         Outstate Minnesota EGU
                                             8%
                13%                                                                      Outstate Minnesota other point
                                                    Outstate Minnesota other point       Outstate Minnesota NH3
                                                                 8%
                                                                                         Outstate Minnesota off road
                                                                                         Outstate Minnesota on road
                                                             Outstate Minnesota NH3
                                                                       4%                Outstate Minnesota area

12%                                                                                      Tw in Cities - all sources
                                                               2%
                                                                                         Wisconsin
                                                                1%                       Iow a
                                                             3%                          North Dakota
                                                                                         Missouri
                                                             Twin Cities - all sources
                                                                                         Illinois
                                                                        3%
                                                                                         Indiana
10%                                                                                      Canada
                                                         Wisconsin                       Michigan
                                                            9%                           South and West US
  2%
                                                                                         Eastern US
      2%                                                                                 World minus US and Canada
                                             Iowa
           2%    4%
                      Missouri   North Dakota 7%
                        4%           5%
Regional Haze Glidepath
            25.0
                       Baseline Conditions
                       20% Worst Days
            20.0                             2018 RPG: 18.6
                                                   dv


            15.0
Deciviews




                                                                                   Natural Conditions
                                                                                    20% Worst Days

            10.0
                   Baseline Conditions
                     20% Best Days
             5.0

                                                                                   Natural Conditions
                                                                                     20% Best Days
             0.0
                2000          2010            2020        2030       2040   2050      2060
                                                              Year
Regional Haze - NE Minnesota plan
 NE Minnesota Emission Reduction Target
 Year                        Total Emitted (tpy)
 2002 – Combined SO2 and NOX        95,562
 2012 Goal – 20% Reduction          76,450
 2018 Goal – 30% Reduction          66,894

 This area (St. Louis, Lake, Cook, Carlton, Itasca and
 Koochiching) was targeted because they have a much
 larger impact on the Class I areas than emissions
 from farther away. In addition, the taconite facilities
 may be currently uncontrolled or under-controlled
 for SO2 or NOX,
MPCA Plan - Air sources of mercury will have a 93%
 emission reduction goal from 1990 levels by 2025
Change in NOx
Cross Connections
•  S: highest contributor to haze and acid rain,
   also enhances Hg methylation
•  N: contributes to acid rain, artificial
   fertilization, ozone formation and haze
•  Climate change
   –  bleeding organic carbon out of wetlands and
      hence also increasing acidity and Hg in lakes
   –  increasing temps also make ozone problem
      worse regardless of emission reductions
What to Do?
•  Its all about N, S, and Hg - with overlay of climate
   change (CO2)

•  Sources and culpability are known

•  Haze program and Mercury TMDL are declining
   emission programs

•  This is BOTH a local and a regional/national story

•  Don t care how or why emission reductions are
   made - Time to act is now
Am I the problem or is it the industrial source
               down the road?
Solution – Sustainable Living
•      The agency (MPCA) recommends that more
     effort be focused on education and partnerships
     -- as well as specific actions to encourage
     conservation, efficiency and the use of cleaner
     renewable energy sources -- to begin to reduce
     greenhouse gas emissions. Increasing
     renewable energy production and reducing
     energy use will not only reduce carbon dioxide,
     but will also reduce many other pollutants such as
     fine particles, ozone, nitrogen oxides and sulfur
     dioxide.
      From: Air Quality in Minnesota — Challenges and Opportunities
      2007 Report to the Legislature

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Wickman - Air Quality in Our Public Lands: Opportunities for Co-Benefits

  • 1. Air Quality In Our Public Lands: Opportunities for Co-benefits Trent Wickman US Forest Service
  • 2. Why Should I Be Interested in Air Pollution? Stippling and Very small amounts of air pollution can Necrosis affect forest health. Healthy Black Tissue Injury Cherry Leaves Visitors rank breathing fresh, clean air as a principle reason for visiting the national forests. Poor air quality and impaired visibility are an economic drag on local communities who rely upon tourism.
  • 3. Who are the Federal Land Managers? (FLMs) •  USDA Forest Service – Class I Wildernesses •  National Park Service - Class I National Parks •  US Fish and Wildlife Service - Class I National Wildlife Refuges
  • 4. Tools to Address Air Quality Impacts Wilderness Act Clean Air Act
  • 5. Wilderness Act - maintain Wilderness character and natural conditions. The Act defines Wilderness as follows: •  "...lands designated for preservation and protection in their natural condition..." Section 2(a) •  "...an area where the earth and its community of life are untrammeled by man..." Section 2(c) •  "...an area of undeveloped Federal land retaining its primeval character and influence, without permanent improvement or human habitation..." Section 2(c) •  "...generally appears to have been affected primarily by the forces of nature, with the imprint of man's work substantially unnoticeable..." Section 2(c) •  "...has outstanding opportunities for solitude or a primitive and unconfined type of recreation..." Section 2(c) •  "...shall be devoted to the public purposes of recreation, scenic, scientific, educational, conservation and historic use." Section 4(b)
  • 6. Federal Clean Air Act The Federal Land Manager and the Federal official charged with direct responsibility for management of such lands shall have an affirmative responsibility to protect the air quality related values (including visibility) of any such lands within a class I area and to consider, in consultation with the Administrator, whether a proposed major emitting facility will have an adverse impact on such values. [CAA Section 165(d)(2)(B)]
  • 7.
  • 8. Air Quality Impacts to the Forests •  Acid Deposition •  Mercury Deposition •  Ozone (smog) •  Visibility So What?
  • 9. Air Quality Impacts to the Forests •  Acid Deposition •  Mercury Deposition •  Ozone (smog) •  Visibility
  • 10.
  • 11. pH 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 ash river 5.1 fernberg wolf ridge 5 hovland 4.9 marcell 4.8 4.7 4.6 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008
  • 12. Figure 3: Sulfate Deposition During 1999* and Largest Sulfur Dioxide Point Sources**
  • 13.
  • 14. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 19841985 1986
  • 15. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 19851986 1987
  • 16. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 19861987 1988
  • 17. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 19871988 1989
  • 18. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 19881989 1990
  • 19. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 19891990 1991
  • 20. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 19901991 1992
  • 21. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 19911992 1993
  • 22. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 19921993 1994
  • 23. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 19931994 1995
  • 24. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 19941995 1996
  • 25. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 19951996 1997
  • 26. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 19961997 1998
  • 27. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 19971998 1999
  • 28. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 19981999 2000
  • 29. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 19992000 2001
  • 30. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 20002001 2002
  • 31. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 20012002 2003
  • 32. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 20022003 2004
  • 33. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 20032004 2005
  • 34. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 20042005 2006
  • 35. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 20052006 2007
  • 36. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 20062007 2008
  • 37. Inorganic Nitrogen Wet Deposition 1985-2008 20072008 2009
  • 38.
  • 39. Air Quality Impacts to the Forests •  Acid Deposition •  Mercury Deposition •  Ozone (smog) •  Visibility
  • 40. Why is Mercury Important ?
  • 41. What it s All About !
  • 42. What are We Doing About It? Monitoring Fernberg Station
  • 43. Trend reversal •  Work done by Monson and others have shown a recent increasing trend in mercury in fish in the Great Lakes states after many years of decrease •  Deposition data does not appear to explain the change in trend •  Climate?
  • 44. Air Quality Impacts to the Forests •  Acid Deposition •  Mercury Deposition •  Ozone (smog) •  Visibility
  • 45. Last NAAQS proposal had a REAL secondary std!
  • 46. Air Quality Impacts to the Forests •  Acid Deposition •  Mercury Deposition •  Ozone (smog) •  Visibility
  • 47. What Do IMPROVE Data Show ? BWCAW, Minnesota Clear Day Hazy Day Natural Visibility Degraded Visibility > 125 miles < 30 miles
  • 48. What Does the Visibility Data Show for the BWCAW? BWCAW profile is in between that seen at the typical Eastern site and the typical Western site
  • 49. So What? What can be done about this?
  • 51. Where does it come from?
  • 52. Contribution to 20% Worst Visibility Days at BWCAW in 2018 Outstate Minnesota EGU Outstate Minnesota EGU 8% 13% Outstate Minnesota other point Outstate Minnesota other point Outstate Minnesota NH3 8% Outstate Minnesota off road Outstate Minnesota on road Outstate Minnesota NH3 4% Outstate Minnesota area 12% Tw in Cities - all sources 2% Wisconsin 1% Iow a 3% North Dakota Missouri Twin Cities - all sources Illinois 3% Indiana 10% Canada Wisconsin Michigan 9% South and West US 2% Eastern US 2% World minus US and Canada Iowa 2% 4% Missouri North Dakota 7% 4% 5%
  • 53.
  • 54. Regional Haze Glidepath 25.0 Baseline Conditions 20% Worst Days 20.0 2018 RPG: 18.6 dv 15.0 Deciviews Natural Conditions 20% Worst Days 10.0 Baseline Conditions 20% Best Days 5.0 Natural Conditions 20% Best Days 0.0 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 Year
  • 55. Regional Haze - NE Minnesota plan NE Minnesota Emission Reduction Target Year Total Emitted (tpy) 2002 – Combined SO2 and NOX 95,562 2012 Goal – 20% Reduction 76,450 2018 Goal – 30% Reduction 66,894 This area (St. Louis, Lake, Cook, Carlton, Itasca and Koochiching) was targeted because they have a much larger impact on the Class I areas than emissions from farther away. In addition, the taconite facilities may be currently uncontrolled or under-controlled for SO2 or NOX,
  • 56. MPCA Plan - Air sources of mercury will have a 93% emission reduction goal from 1990 levels by 2025
  • 58. Cross Connections •  S: highest contributor to haze and acid rain, also enhances Hg methylation •  N: contributes to acid rain, artificial fertilization, ozone formation and haze •  Climate change –  bleeding organic carbon out of wetlands and hence also increasing acidity and Hg in lakes –  increasing temps also make ozone problem worse regardless of emission reductions
  • 59. What to Do? •  Its all about N, S, and Hg - with overlay of climate change (CO2) •  Sources and culpability are known •  Haze program and Mercury TMDL are declining emission programs •  This is BOTH a local and a regional/national story •  Don t care how or why emission reductions are made - Time to act is now
  • 60. Am I the problem or is it the industrial source down the road?
  • 61. Solution – Sustainable Living •  The agency (MPCA) recommends that more effort be focused on education and partnerships -- as well as specific actions to encourage conservation, efficiency and the use of cleaner renewable energy sources -- to begin to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Increasing renewable energy production and reducing energy use will not only reduce carbon dioxide, but will also reduce many other pollutants such as fine particles, ozone, nitrogen oxides and sulfur dioxide. From: Air Quality in Minnesota — Challenges and Opportunities 2007 Report to the Legislature