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TFM&A presentation
Ged Mirfin & Neil Geoghegan Business Link Northwest
Jim Godman Experian




© Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. Experian and the marks used herein are service marks or registered trademarks of Experian Limited.
 Other product and company names mentioned herein may be the trademarks of their respective owners. No part of this copyrighted work
 may be reproduced, modified, or distributed in any form or manner without the prior written permission of Experian Limited.
Contents



              Introductions

              Objectives / overview:
                x   How Experian Business Marketing could help Business Links
                    recognise and predict change utilising intelligence to mitigate the
                    impact of the economic downturn
                x   How Experian Business Marketing could we help Business Link
                    generate this intelligence
                x   How Experian Business Marketing could help Business Link process
                    & share the intelligence


              Technical overview – Business Links Business Performance Index
               (BPI)
              Questions



                               © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.              2
Introduction: Key objectives of presentation



             Broader understanding of Business Intelligence (BI)
                            and its uses throughout the region



             The use and application of data to inform and drive
                               effective evidence based policy




                       Identify how we get the “best reward” for
                                                     our efforts




                          © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.   3
Supplying the intelligence




              How could Business Link
            supply the intelligence required
               to respond to the current
                economic environment

              Business Performance Index
                              (BPI)
                       © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.   4
The impact of poor data management




   60% of Public Sector organisations around the world
   think that inaccurate and incomplete data costs them
   money in terms of wasted resources, lost productivity
   and/or wasted marketing spend.
                         “The impact poor data management has on your organisation.”
                                                                                            Experian QAS
                                                                       International Research White Paper
                                                                                          September 2005



                       © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                                        5
Business Link’s Data Strategy
“BLNW’s Key Strategic Objectives”



  Business Link North West Strategy
   statement 2008/09 (Data Related)
    x   “To be recognised as the leader on
        regional business intelligence”
    x   “To play a vital role in informing business
        support policy making”




                                 © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.   6
History of the BPI




                                                                                                   Experian National Business
               Business Link                                                                         Database Entries for
                Universe of                                                                               North West
               Company Data
                                                                                                             536k
                      100k

   Business Link had 100k company records in its            Experian profiled Business Link data and found 536k businesses (both Ltd. And
    database.                                                 unincorporated) at location level in its National Business Database for the North West.
   The companies had been assisted by Business              Business Link acquired the data from Experian. Each Experian record had in excess
    Link over the last 20 months                              of 150 data characteristics (appends)
   The data captured was used to satisfy contract           The extra data records allowed a significant level of analytics to be done. The data
    outputs and as such was very specific                     had access to classification systems (Yell and Thompson Directories) and allowed
                                                              detailed segmentation
   We needed to increase the data set both in terms
    of size and data richness                                One of the Primary data attributes was “Risk Scores and Financial Performance data”


                                                           © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                                         7
We incorporated Business Link universe and
Experian’s National Business Database into the BPI




                                                                Experian National Business
      Business Link                                               Database Entries for
       Universe of                                                     North West
      Company Data
                                                                          536k
         100k




                        © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                        8
We incorporated Business Link universe and
Experian’s National Business Database into the BPI




  Section of database
  unique to Business
  Link – Lifestyle and
    Grey economy
      businesses                           Consolidates North
                                            West Business
                                               Universe
                         15k       85k


                                                              436k




                               © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.   9
Key Data Attributes of BLNW’s Business
Performance Index



            Is “real time” data and is updated monthly


            Is the first (B2B) business profiling system in the public sector


            Offers real time intelligence to support our efforts to address the
             current market conditions

            Data is very granular and can be segmented to very specific levels


            Key data segmentation is geographic (down to postcode) and
             sectoral (RES, SIC group, Yell classification code, Thompson
             directory classification code)

                            © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.          10
Business Support Criteria powered by
Experian’s National Business Database


                                                               Relevant
                          Shared Partner
                                                               Sector &
                               Data                           Geography


                                                                                Business
               Commercial                                                       Financials
              Classification
                                     Business
                                     Support
                                      Criteria                                    Size of
                                                                                 Business
                   Risk



                               Company                           Age of
                                Status                          Business




                                © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                11
Experience + Evidence = Intelligence


                                       Experience-                                            Intelligence
                                        influenced                                               based
            Policy Making Experience

                                                                    Aim: Move away
                                                                    from Anecdotal &
                                                                      Judgmental to
                                                                     Evidence-based
                                                                    Policy formulation




                                        Opinion-                                              Evidence-
                                         based                                                influenced

                                                      Policy Making Evidence

                                              © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                  12
Benefits to Key Stakeholders

      Marketing       Operations                  Executive                           Stakeholder &         NWDA
                                                                                      Partner Orgs.
          “                                                “



      Advanced      Vastly Improved               Delivering                          Sharing of Key    One Version of
      Customer       Lead Quality                 Strategic                           Data across the     the Truth
    Segmentation”                                 Priorities                             Region”




    INTERNAL        The Business Support Environment                                                    EXTERNAL




                                      © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                                      13
Impact Analysis – Key Achievements to Date
   Marketing: Dramatically Improved Response Rates from Direct Marketing Activity
      x   Has allowed BLNW to Build increased penetration amongst service users through improved segmentation and targeting
      x   Achieved 14.29% conversion rate rate from Large Scale Direct Mail Activity (35,000) – resulting in c.5,000 new users of
          Business Link Products & Services over a 2 Month period
   Operations: Has given Adviser Teams Access to High quality Leads in Increased Volumes
      x   Has Improve take-up of intensive assists for Broker Team by increasing lead generation – Diaries of Advisers full 3
          Months in Advance
      x   Access to a Much Wider Universe of Businesses than previously allowing BLNW to widen the net amongst the Business
          Community including struggling Businesses who may have previously been reluctant to access Business support
          resulting in improved penetration and enhanced service delivery to key sectors and user groups
   Executive: Meeting of Strategic Priorities: To be recognized as the leader on regional business intelligence
    and playing a vital role in informing business support policy making
      x   Delivering Strategic Priorities 18 Months Ahead of Schedule
      x   Enhancement both Reputation and Policy Influencing Role of BLNW within Business Support Community
         Business Support Community Partners & Stakeholder Orgs: Has allowed BLNW to Make Definitive
          Pronouncements about the effectiveness of its Services Delivery to the NW Business Community
          including Membership & Cluster Orgs, Local Councils, Politicians & Opinion Leaders
      x   Has allowed BLNW to contextualize the impact of its service delivery against a robust evidence base benchmarking
          effective performance and identifying gaps
      x   In return has allowed Business Support Community Partners & Stakeholders to contextualize their own activity and
          whilst at the same time providing a more robust evidence base to test and measure the impact of policies and activities
          and monitor more effectively key trends in Business Activity in their Geography/Sector
   Northwest Development Agency: Provision of relevant and up-to-date information on emerging business
    trends allowing the NWDA to service requests from Government, Political Parties & Lobbying Orgs
      x   BLNW Data recognized as the Primary Source of Business Intelligence in the Northwest Region
      x   Creation of Rapid Response Framework with BLNW Data Warehouse(s) at Core
      x   Delivery of Strategic Business Trend Data to Key Decision-Makers have become Key Forecasting Indices
      x   Data at this level of granularity is available to no other RDA

                                                     © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                              14
Commercial Delphi risk


  Risk Category                                                          Description
 Failed/serious
                  Administrator or receiver appointed, bankrupt proprietor, dissolved business
 adverse info

                  High value of unsatisfied CCJs, accounts overdue, start-up business with adverse data,
 Maximum risk
                  proprietor with adverse data or maiden accounts show loss

                  Large company with weak balance sheet, medium sized firm with very weak balance sheet,
 High risk
                  combination of above average risk features, start-up with adverse trading

                  Large company with very weak balance sheet, medium to small firms with (high levels of credit
 Above average
                  search, payment difficulty, weak balance sheets), start-up firm without adverse information

                  Large business with weaker balance sheet/modest loss, SMEs with steady trading, small firms
 Below average
                  with directors with good record, no adverse data

                  Well established, accounts filed, mid to large firms with £1m of assets and £5m of turnover,
 Low risk
                  good record, directors with strong records

 Minimum risk     Large well established firms, strong balance sheets, low value of public information




                                         © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                           15
What does the North West region look like?


                                                      Below                      Above                           Maximum   Dissolved/Ser
                   Very Low Risk     Low Risk                                                        High Risk
                                                   Average Risk               Average Risk                         Risk    ious Adverse
                                                                                                                                Info


     North West       7.76%          11.62%         23.37%                       22.88%              11.31%      20.16%      2.91%

     Merseyside
                      7.50%          9.50%          20.03%                       24.32%              12.11%      24.01%      2.53%


    Warrington &
     Cheshire         7.17%          10.62%         23.82%                       20.80%              15.32%      20.79%      1.48%


       Cumbria       11.67%          16.65%         29.24%                       24.19%              6.80%       10.28%      1.18%

     Lancashire       8.45%          14.20%         27.70%                       24.77%              8.31%       14.24%      2.34%

     Manchester       7.07%          10.74%         21.31%                       21.94%              11.57%      23.06%      4.31%


                                                     © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                                   16


This information is based on data provided by Experian. The data has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
The Power of the BPI: Project Rapier – Liverpool Vision’s objective of
    spending £10M to save 40 businesses in the retail sector by end Q1 2009


                                                                                                          How do you Identify a…
   £729.71

                                                                                                         …company that is at least of
                           Liverpool (13,704)                                                             Above Average Risk
   £48,309
                                                                                                         which is based in Liverpool
                                                                                                         which Employs 50 or more
                        Employs 50 or more (207)                                                          Employees at Site
  £151,515
                                                                                                         specifically in the Central
                                                                                                          Ward
                             Central Ward (66)
                                                                                                         which is in the Retail Sector
    £2.5M                           In Retail                                                         
                                   Sector (4)
                                                                                                          whose payment profile is
                                                                                                          deteriorating.
                                  Deteriorating
                                Payment Profile (1)
     £10M




                                                      © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                                       17


This information is based on data provided by Experian. The data has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
And that business was?




                                    Zavvi payment profile was 20 days
                                           better than industry sector average
                                           from Jan 2008 – June 2008
                                           In July Zavvi payment profile was in
                                           line with sector average (20 days
                                           beyond terms)
                                           By September the profile was 60
                                           days beyond terms, October was 80
                                           days. Zavvi went into receivership in
                                           December
                                    What is the true cost of poor data -
                                     £10m?


                     © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                 18
Is the position worsening?
- North West view




          0




     Notes: We can see that number of companies whose credit score is declining is more than twice the
      October 07 result
     The spike in July has been superseded by the December result


                                                © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                       19


This information is based on data provided by Experian and has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
Is the position worsening?
- Merseyside view




          0




     Notes: As with the North West result the Merseyside shows a significant worsening in December




                                                © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                       20


This information is based on data provided by Experian and has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
What does a Local Authority Look like when
compared to the North West Region?
North West
                                                                                                                                  Dissolved / Serious
                                                              Above Average
  Very Low Risk      Low Risk     Below Average Risk                                                   High Risk   Maximum Risk         Adverse
                                                                  Risk
                                                                                                                                      Information


     7.76%           11.62%            23.37%                       22.88%                              11.31%        20.16%            2.91%




Merseyside
                                                                                                                                  Dissolved / Serious
  Very Low Risk      Low Risk     Below Average Risk       Above Average Risk                          High Risk   Maximum Risk         Adverse
                                                                                                                                      Information


     7.50%            9.50%             20.03%                       24.32%                             12.11%        24.01%             2.53%




Sefton
                                                                                                                                   Dissolved / Serious
  Very Low Risk      Low Risk     Below Average Risk        Above Average Risk                         High Risk   Maximum Risk          Adverse
                                                                                                                                       Information


     11.4%            11.0%             18.6%                          8.9%                              13.7%         27.0%              1.0%




                                                       © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                                                     21


 This information is based on data provided by Experian and has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
What does the risk profile look like for Sefton?




Sefton
                                                                                                                               Dissolved / Serious
  Very Low Risk      Low Risk      Below Average Risk      Above Average Risk                       High Risk   Maximum Risk
                                                                                                                               Adverse Information



     7.16%            9.99%             21.03%                     23.12%                            9.43%        27.52%             1.75%



                                                    © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                                              22


 This information is based on data provided by Experian and has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
What does the risk profile look like for Sefton?

Sefton
                                                                                                                                Dissolved / Serious
   Very Low Risk       Low Risk      Below Average Risk      Above Average Risk                      High Risk   Maximum Risk
                                                                                                                                Adverse Information



      7.16%             9.99%               21.03%                    23.12%                          9.43%        27.52%             1.75%



Sefton – Maximum Risk Businesses

                   Number of
 Risk Micro Band                  Percentage
                   Companies



       1             1,147          40.6%

       2              329           11.6%

       3              399           14.1%

       4              576           20.4%

       5              375           13.3%




                                                     © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                                            23


 This information is based on data provided by Experian and has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
What does the risk profile look like for Sefton?

Sefton
                                                                                                                                Dissolved / Serious
   Very Low Risk       Low Risk      Below Average Risk     Above Average Risk                       High Risk   Maximum Risk
                                                                                                                                Adverse Information



      7.16%             9.99%               21.03%                   23.12%                           9.43%        27.52%             1.75%



Sefton – Maximum Risk Businesses

                   Number of
 Risk Micro Band                  Percentage
                   Companies



       1             1,147          40.6%

       2              329           11.6%
                                                                   Drill into the highest of the high risk
       3              399           14.1%
                                                                            Businesses in Sefton
       4              576           20.4%

       5              375           13.3%




                                                     © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                                             24


 This information is based on data provided by Experian and has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
What does the risk profile look like for Sefton?

   Sefton
                                                                                                                                       Dissolved / Serious
      Very Low Risk      Low Risk      Below Average Risk       Above Average Risk                          High Risk   Maximum Risk         Adverse
                                                                                                                                           Information


         7.16%            9.99%             21.03%                       23.12%                              9.43%        27.52%            1.75%



   Sefton – Maximum Risk Businesses

                      Number of
    Risk Micro Band                  Percentage
                      Companies



          1             1,147          40.6%

          2              329           11.6%

          3              399           14.1%

          4              576           20.4%

          5              375           13.3%




                                                            © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                                                    25


This information is based on data provided by Experian. The data has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
The top 25 businesses by headcount from the
highest Micro-Band of Sefton’s maximum risk band
             by geographical location
               Where are these Entities located?




              This information is based on data provided by Experian. The data has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.


                                    © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.                                                         26
Business Link approach
- The Rapid Response Framework

              Stratified response to the current economic climate – 3
               Access Routes & 2 Activity Levels
              Level 1: Simple phone Hotline to provide a rapid response to
               Business Support Agencies in the North west who have
               specific issues
              Level 2: Web Enabled multi partner access to BLNW
               Database through Extranet facility. Regulated access with
               registered stakeholders to provide relevant data and an
               analytical tool
              Level 3: Complex Data Analytics provided from BLNW Data
               Team to provide partners with the information required to
               make Strategic Decisions
              For light touch intervention activity targeted marketing
               campaigns sensitive to the issues a company with a
               worsening risk profiles score. – specialist telephone advice,
               email contact or web-based toolkits
              For companies / groups facing significant problems more
               direct intervention activity through Target Adviser Teams or
               through Partner Organisation
              Each activity making best use of Business Support products


                                 © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.   27
Benefits of using the BPI


               The BPI system allowed us to “Flag” the companies we assist and
                                         monitor their “improvement” over time


                    This monitoring allowed us to review the effectiveness of our
                    activities and can be analysed regionally as well as by RES


                    Each product had a different flag which will allow us to record
                  the respective effectiveness of the different products available


             System allowed us to compare the performance of companies, that
       have had our support, with the rest of the economy on a like-for-like basis


                It enabled us to develop our products using and evidence based
                                                        development framework


                               © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.          28
Risks & key considerations




            Data Protection (DPA) is a key issue – currently Business Link
             are investigating the steps required to allow us to share data
             whilst ensuring that we are compliant with DPA

            By focussing on the high risk businesses we run the risk of
             ignoring less risky businesses which could reduce Business
             Support to a “healthy” section of the Economy

            The service will require significant development within Business
             Link and a focus will need to be placed on data integrity

            Business Link can offer a unique perspective on events in the
             North West Business community and could add anecdotal
             evidence to the BPI to make it more robust


                           © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.        29
Questions?

   © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.   30
© Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved.   31

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Tfm&A Presentation Business Links Case Study Final Ged Amends Wed 19th Feb

  • 1. TFM&A presentation Ged Mirfin & Neil Geoghegan Business Link Northwest Jim Godman Experian © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. Experian and the marks used herein are service marks or registered trademarks of Experian Limited. Other product and company names mentioned herein may be the trademarks of their respective owners. No part of this copyrighted work may be reproduced, modified, or distributed in any form or manner without the prior written permission of Experian Limited.
  • 2. Contents  Introductions  Objectives / overview: x How Experian Business Marketing could help Business Links recognise and predict change utilising intelligence to mitigate the impact of the economic downturn x How Experian Business Marketing could we help Business Link generate this intelligence x How Experian Business Marketing could help Business Link process & share the intelligence  Technical overview – Business Links Business Performance Index (BPI)  Questions © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 2
  • 3. Introduction: Key objectives of presentation Broader understanding of Business Intelligence (BI)  and its uses throughout the region The use and application of data to inform and drive  effective evidence based policy Identify how we get the “best reward” for  our efforts © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 3
  • 4. Supplying the intelligence How could Business Link supply the intelligence required to respond to the current economic environment Business Performance Index (BPI) © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 4
  • 5. The impact of poor data management 60% of Public Sector organisations around the world think that inaccurate and incomplete data costs them money in terms of wasted resources, lost productivity and/or wasted marketing spend. “The impact poor data management has on your organisation.” Experian QAS International Research White Paper September 2005 © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 5
  • 6. Business Link’s Data Strategy “BLNW’s Key Strategic Objectives”  Business Link North West Strategy statement 2008/09 (Data Related) x “To be recognised as the leader on regional business intelligence” x “To play a vital role in informing business support policy making” © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 6
  • 7. History of the BPI Experian National Business Business Link Database Entries for Universe of North West Company Data 536k 100k  Business Link had 100k company records in its  Experian profiled Business Link data and found 536k businesses (both Ltd. And database. unincorporated) at location level in its National Business Database for the North West.  The companies had been assisted by Business  Business Link acquired the data from Experian. Each Experian record had in excess Link over the last 20 months of 150 data characteristics (appends)  The data captured was used to satisfy contract  The extra data records allowed a significant level of analytics to be done. The data outputs and as such was very specific had access to classification systems (Yell and Thompson Directories) and allowed detailed segmentation  We needed to increase the data set both in terms of size and data richness  One of the Primary data attributes was “Risk Scores and Financial Performance data” © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 7
  • 8. We incorporated Business Link universe and Experian’s National Business Database into the BPI Experian National Business Business Link Database Entries for Universe of North West Company Data 536k 100k © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 8
  • 9. We incorporated Business Link universe and Experian’s National Business Database into the BPI Section of database unique to Business Link – Lifestyle and Grey economy businesses Consolidates North West Business Universe 15k 85k 436k © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 9
  • 10. Key Data Attributes of BLNW’s Business Performance Index  Is “real time” data and is updated monthly  Is the first (B2B) business profiling system in the public sector  Offers real time intelligence to support our efforts to address the current market conditions  Data is very granular and can be segmented to very specific levels  Key data segmentation is geographic (down to postcode) and sectoral (RES, SIC group, Yell classification code, Thompson directory classification code) © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 10
  • 11. Business Support Criteria powered by Experian’s National Business Database Relevant Shared Partner Sector & Data Geography Business Commercial Financials Classification Business Support Criteria Size of Business Risk Company Age of Status Business © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 11
  • 12. Experience + Evidence = Intelligence Experience- Intelligence influenced based Policy Making Experience Aim: Move away from Anecdotal & Judgmental to Evidence-based Policy formulation Opinion- Evidence- based influenced Policy Making Evidence © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 12
  • 13. Benefits to Key Stakeholders Marketing Operations Executive Stakeholder & NWDA Partner Orgs. “ “ Advanced Vastly Improved Delivering Sharing of Key One Version of Customer Lead Quality Strategic Data across the the Truth Segmentation” Priorities Region” INTERNAL The Business Support Environment EXTERNAL © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 13
  • 14. Impact Analysis – Key Achievements to Date  Marketing: Dramatically Improved Response Rates from Direct Marketing Activity x Has allowed BLNW to Build increased penetration amongst service users through improved segmentation and targeting x Achieved 14.29% conversion rate rate from Large Scale Direct Mail Activity (35,000) – resulting in c.5,000 new users of Business Link Products & Services over a 2 Month period  Operations: Has given Adviser Teams Access to High quality Leads in Increased Volumes x Has Improve take-up of intensive assists for Broker Team by increasing lead generation – Diaries of Advisers full 3 Months in Advance x Access to a Much Wider Universe of Businesses than previously allowing BLNW to widen the net amongst the Business Community including struggling Businesses who may have previously been reluctant to access Business support resulting in improved penetration and enhanced service delivery to key sectors and user groups  Executive: Meeting of Strategic Priorities: To be recognized as the leader on regional business intelligence and playing a vital role in informing business support policy making x Delivering Strategic Priorities 18 Months Ahead of Schedule x Enhancement both Reputation and Policy Influencing Role of BLNW within Business Support Community  Business Support Community Partners & Stakeholder Orgs: Has allowed BLNW to Make Definitive Pronouncements about the effectiveness of its Services Delivery to the NW Business Community including Membership & Cluster Orgs, Local Councils, Politicians & Opinion Leaders x Has allowed BLNW to contextualize the impact of its service delivery against a robust evidence base benchmarking effective performance and identifying gaps x In return has allowed Business Support Community Partners & Stakeholders to contextualize their own activity and whilst at the same time providing a more robust evidence base to test and measure the impact of policies and activities and monitor more effectively key trends in Business Activity in their Geography/Sector  Northwest Development Agency: Provision of relevant and up-to-date information on emerging business trends allowing the NWDA to service requests from Government, Political Parties & Lobbying Orgs x BLNW Data recognized as the Primary Source of Business Intelligence in the Northwest Region x Creation of Rapid Response Framework with BLNW Data Warehouse(s) at Core x Delivery of Strategic Business Trend Data to Key Decision-Makers have become Key Forecasting Indices x Data at this level of granularity is available to no other RDA © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 14
  • 15. Commercial Delphi risk Risk Category Description Failed/serious Administrator or receiver appointed, bankrupt proprietor, dissolved business adverse info High value of unsatisfied CCJs, accounts overdue, start-up business with adverse data, Maximum risk proprietor with adverse data or maiden accounts show loss Large company with weak balance sheet, medium sized firm with very weak balance sheet, High risk combination of above average risk features, start-up with adverse trading Large company with very weak balance sheet, medium to small firms with (high levels of credit Above average search, payment difficulty, weak balance sheets), start-up firm without adverse information Large business with weaker balance sheet/modest loss, SMEs with steady trading, small firms Below average with directors with good record, no adverse data Well established, accounts filed, mid to large firms with £1m of assets and £5m of turnover, Low risk good record, directors with strong records Minimum risk Large well established firms, strong balance sheets, low value of public information © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 15
  • 16. What does the North West region look like? Below Above Maximum Dissolved/Ser Very Low Risk Low Risk High Risk Average Risk Average Risk Risk ious Adverse Info North West 7.76% 11.62% 23.37% 22.88% 11.31% 20.16% 2.91% Merseyside 7.50% 9.50% 20.03% 24.32% 12.11% 24.01% 2.53% Warrington & Cheshire 7.17% 10.62% 23.82% 20.80% 15.32% 20.79% 1.48% Cumbria 11.67% 16.65% 29.24% 24.19% 6.80% 10.28% 1.18% Lancashire 8.45% 14.20% 27.70% 24.77% 8.31% 14.24% 2.34% Manchester 7.07% 10.74% 21.31% 21.94% 11.57% 23.06% 4.31% © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 16 This information is based on data provided by Experian. The data has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
  • 17. The Power of the BPI: Project Rapier – Liverpool Vision’s objective of spending £10M to save 40 businesses in the retail sector by end Q1 2009 How do you Identify a… £729.71  …company that is at least of Liverpool (13,704) Above Average Risk £48,309  which is based in Liverpool  which Employs 50 or more Employs 50 or more (207) Employees at Site £151,515  specifically in the Central Ward Central Ward (66)  which is in the Retail Sector £2.5M In Retail  Sector (4) whose payment profile is deteriorating. Deteriorating Payment Profile (1) £10M © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 17 This information is based on data provided by Experian. The data has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
  • 18. And that business was?  Zavvi payment profile was 20 days better than industry sector average from Jan 2008 – June 2008  In July Zavvi payment profile was in line with sector average (20 days beyond terms)  By September the profile was 60 days beyond terms, October was 80 days. Zavvi went into receivership in December  What is the true cost of poor data - £10m? © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 18
  • 19. Is the position worsening? - North West view 0  Notes: We can see that number of companies whose credit score is declining is more than twice the October 07 result  The spike in July has been superseded by the December result © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 19 This information is based on data provided by Experian and has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
  • 20. Is the position worsening? - Merseyside view 0  Notes: As with the North West result the Merseyside shows a significant worsening in December © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 20 This information is based on data provided by Experian and has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
  • 21. What does a Local Authority Look like when compared to the North West Region? North West Dissolved / Serious Above Average Very Low Risk Low Risk Below Average Risk High Risk Maximum Risk Adverse Risk Information 7.76% 11.62% 23.37% 22.88% 11.31% 20.16% 2.91% Merseyside Dissolved / Serious Very Low Risk Low Risk Below Average Risk Above Average Risk High Risk Maximum Risk Adverse Information 7.50% 9.50% 20.03% 24.32% 12.11% 24.01% 2.53% Sefton Dissolved / Serious Very Low Risk Low Risk Below Average Risk Above Average Risk High Risk Maximum Risk Adverse Information 11.4% 11.0% 18.6% 8.9% 13.7% 27.0% 1.0% © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 21 This information is based on data provided by Experian and has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
  • 22. What does the risk profile look like for Sefton? Sefton Dissolved / Serious Very Low Risk Low Risk Below Average Risk Above Average Risk High Risk Maximum Risk Adverse Information 7.16% 9.99% 21.03% 23.12% 9.43% 27.52% 1.75% © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 22 This information is based on data provided by Experian and has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
  • 23. What does the risk profile look like for Sefton? Sefton Dissolved / Serious Very Low Risk Low Risk Below Average Risk Above Average Risk High Risk Maximum Risk Adverse Information 7.16% 9.99% 21.03% 23.12% 9.43% 27.52% 1.75% Sefton – Maximum Risk Businesses Number of Risk Micro Band Percentage Companies 1 1,147 40.6% 2 329 11.6% 3 399 14.1% 4 576 20.4% 5 375 13.3% © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 23 This information is based on data provided by Experian and has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
  • 24. What does the risk profile look like for Sefton? Sefton Dissolved / Serious Very Low Risk Low Risk Below Average Risk Above Average Risk High Risk Maximum Risk Adverse Information 7.16% 9.99% 21.03% 23.12% 9.43% 27.52% 1.75% Sefton – Maximum Risk Businesses Number of Risk Micro Band Percentage Companies 1 1,147 40.6% 2 329 11.6% Drill into the highest of the high risk 3 399 14.1% Businesses in Sefton 4 576 20.4% 5 375 13.3% © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 24 This information is based on data provided by Experian and has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
  • 25. What does the risk profile look like for Sefton? Sefton Dissolved / Serious Very Low Risk Low Risk Below Average Risk Above Average Risk High Risk Maximum Risk Adverse Information 7.16% 9.99% 21.03% 23.12% 9.43% 27.52% 1.75% Sefton – Maximum Risk Businesses Number of Risk Micro Band Percentage Companies 1 1,147 40.6% 2 329 11.6% 3 399 14.1% 4 576 20.4% 5 375 13.3% © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 25 This information is based on data provided by Experian. The data has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
  • 26. The top 25 businesses by headcount from the highest Micro-Band of Sefton’s maximum risk band by geographical location Where are these Entities located? This information is based on data provided by Experian. The data has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West. © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 26
  • 27. Business Link approach - The Rapid Response Framework  Stratified response to the current economic climate – 3 Access Routes & 2 Activity Levels  Level 1: Simple phone Hotline to provide a rapid response to Business Support Agencies in the North west who have specific issues  Level 2: Web Enabled multi partner access to BLNW Database through Extranet facility. Regulated access with registered stakeholders to provide relevant data and an analytical tool  Level 3: Complex Data Analytics provided from BLNW Data Team to provide partners with the information required to make Strategic Decisions  For light touch intervention activity targeted marketing campaigns sensitive to the issues a company with a worsening risk profiles score. – specialist telephone advice, email contact or web-based toolkits  For companies / groups facing significant problems more direct intervention activity through Target Adviser Teams or through Partner Organisation  Each activity making best use of Business Support products © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 27
  • 28. Benefits of using the BPI The BPI system allowed us to “Flag” the companies we assist and  monitor their “improvement” over time This monitoring allowed us to review the effectiveness of our  activities and can be analysed regionally as well as by RES Each product had a different flag which will allow us to record  the respective effectiveness of the different products available System allowed us to compare the performance of companies, that  have had our support, with the rest of the economy on a like-for-like basis It enabled us to develop our products using and evidence based  development framework © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 28
  • 29. Risks & key considerations  Data Protection (DPA) is a key issue – currently Business Link are investigating the steps required to allow us to share data whilst ensuring that we are compliant with DPA  By focussing on the high risk businesses we run the risk of ignoring less risky businesses which could reduce Business Support to a “healthy” section of the Economy  The service will require significant development within Business Link and a focus will need to be placed on data integrity  Business Link can offer a unique perspective on events in the North West Business community and could add anecdotal evidence to the BPI to make it more robust © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 29
  • 30. Questions? © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 30
  • 31. © Experian Limited 2009. All rights reserved. 31