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FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH POVERTY:
A COMPARATIVE STUDY OF
DETERMINANTS OF POVERTY IN BRAZIL
AND KOREA
Ana Paula Gomes Matias – M 13089
Professor Advisor: Choi Youseok
STATE OF THE PROBLEM
• Brazil and South Korea have experienced rapid and
remarkable improvement in economic growth; however,
social problems and social inequality also increased. Both
countries present a high rate of relative poverty (World
Bank, 1990, 2013; OECD, 2013)
• Hardly ever can we find a comparative study of poverty in
countries with different historical background, as, for
example, a country in East Asia and one South America
(Coes, 2007).
PURPOSE OF THE STUDY AND
RESEARCH QUESTION
OBJECTIVES:
(1)Attempts to look at aspects of poverty to identify the profile of
poor households in Brazil and South Korea;
(2)Examines the differences and similarities between Brazil and
South Korea regarding factors that determine poverty.
RESEARCH QUESTIONS:
(1) What are the determinants of poverty in individual household
level in Brazil and Korea?
(2) What are the differences and similarities of determinants of
poverty status in Brazil and Korea?
RESEARCH METHOD
- An empirical quantitative analysis were made through two
data sets: the Brazilian household survey (PNAD 2012) and
the Korean Social Welfare Panel (KoWePS 2012).
- Samples: Heads of households - Brazil sample, the total
head of households sample are 110, 509 individuals and
Korea sums 7,532 individuals.
RESEARCH METHOD
• Dependent variable: “Poverty status” whether the head of
household is poor or non- poor
• Independent variable: Demographic and socio economic
characteristics of households such as the householder’s
gender, age, marriage status, number of family members,
education level, work status, work sector (formal, informal
or self employment), region (rural or urban and housing
access
• Research analysis:
Descriptive Analysis & Logistic Regression Analysis
RESULTS
Characteristics/ HHKorea Regression coefficient Standard Error (S.E.)
Male (female) -.187* .095
Age (70 +)
15 – 29 -.378 .236
30 – 39 -.559*** .106
40 – 49 -.648*** .090
50 – 59 -.505*** .090
60 - 69 -.155 .088
Spouse (non-spouse) -.374*** .098
Education (high School)
Under high school .702*** .078
Over College .414*** .088
Working (not working) -3.577*** .155
Work sector (formal)
Informal 2.110*** .162
Self Employment 2.318*** .160
Family size -.411*** .034
Housing access (rented)
Owned dummy -.527*** .082
Ceded/others dummy .268*** .122
Urban (rural ) -.584*** .076
-2 Log likelihood 6625.748
*p<.05, **P<.01, ***p<.001
The categories in parenthesis are reference.
LogisticRegressionAnalysis:Korea
RESULTS
Characteristics/ HH Brazil Regression coefficient
Standard Error
(S.E.)
Male ( female ) -.272*** .017
Age (70 +)
15 – 29 .111*** .032
30 – 39 .027 .029
40 – 49 .043 .029
50 – 59 .029 .029
60 - 69 .033 .032
Spouse (non-spouse ) .324*** .029
Education (high School)
Under high school .663*** .020
Over College -1.295*** .044
Working (not working) -.483*** .018
Work sector (formal)
Informal -.268*** .023
Self Employment -.099*** .019
Family size .544*** .006
Housing access (rented)
Owned -.261*** .022
Ceded/others .340*** .033
Urban (rural ) -.994*** .021
-2 Log likelihood 103237.344
*p<.05, **P<.01, ***p<.001
The categories in parenthesis are reference.
LogisticRegressionAnalysis:Brazil
Brazil and South Korea significant
results by Logistic regression analysis
BRAZIL KOREA
• Gender – Male heads of households are less likely to be
poor than female;
• Age – The category 15 – 29 years was the only
significant and they are more likely to be poor comparing
to people over 70 years old;
• Marital Status – People who are married are more
likely to be poor than single householder´s
• Education - People who are high educated (over
college) are less likely to be poor. On the other hand,
people who have low level of education classified as
under high school are more likely to be poor.
• Work - People who are working are less likely to be
poor. Regarding the work sector, people who have
informal and self-employed work comparing to
formal are less likely to be poor (contradict result)
• Family size– Larger household’s size was found to have
a higher probability of being poor
• Housing Access - People who have house that is
ceded or in other condition are more likely to be
poor than people who have their house rented. But,
people who own a house are less poor than people who
rent the house.
• Area - urban area comparing to rural area are less poor
• Gender - Male compared to female is less likely to be
poor;
• Age – People who are in age between 30 to 39; 40 to 49
as well as 50 to 59 years old are less likely to be poor
than people who are 70 years old or over;
• Marital Status – People who are marriage comparing to
single people are less likely to be poor
• Education – The model shows that people who have a
higher level of education are more likely to be poor
(contradict result)
• Work – Heads of households who working are less likely
to be poor than people who are not working. And people
who are self-employed or have a informal work have a
probability to be poor comparing to people who have
formal work
• Family size – Large household’s size are less
likely to poor comparing the small one’s.
• Housing Access – High probability of being poor
people who live in a house ceded by someone or
other unknown circumstances than people who owned a
house. Householder´s who owned a house are less likely
to be poor.
• Area – people who live in urban are comparing to rural
area less poor.
CONCLUSION
Determinants of Poverty similarities &
differences
BRAZIL KOREA
Poor people live
in big family size
Adolescent and
young (20s) age are
the poorest
High level of Low
education among
poor heads of
households
High level of
poor elderly
people (over 70
age)
Poor people live in
small family size
Female head of
households
High level of
working poor
(informal workers)
High rate of
unemployment
Rural areas
Ana Paula G. Matias

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Factors associated with poverty ppt thesis_ana_p (2)

  • 1. FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH POVERTY: A COMPARATIVE STUDY OF DETERMINANTS OF POVERTY IN BRAZIL AND KOREA Ana Paula Gomes Matias – M 13089 Professor Advisor: Choi Youseok
  • 2. STATE OF THE PROBLEM • Brazil and South Korea have experienced rapid and remarkable improvement in economic growth; however, social problems and social inequality also increased. Both countries present a high rate of relative poverty (World Bank, 1990, 2013; OECD, 2013) • Hardly ever can we find a comparative study of poverty in countries with different historical background, as, for example, a country in East Asia and one South America (Coes, 2007).
  • 3. PURPOSE OF THE STUDY AND RESEARCH QUESTION OBJECTIVES: (1)Attempts to look at aspects of poverty to identify the profile of poor households in Brazil and South Korea; (2)Examines the differences and similarities between Brazil and South Korea regarding factors that determine poverty. RESEARCH QUESTIONS: (1) What are the determinants of poverty in individual household level in Brazil and Korea? (2) What are the differences and similarities of determinants of poverty status in Brazil and Korea?
  • 4. RESEARCH METHOD - An empirical quantitative analysis were made through two data sets: the Brazilian household survey (PNAD 2012) and the Korean Social Welfare Panel (KoWePS 2012). - Samples: Heads of households - Brazil sample, the total head of households sample are 110, 509 individuals and Korea sums 7,532 individuals.
  • 5. RESEARCH METHOD • Dependent variable: “Poverty status” whether the head of household is poor or non- poor • Independent variable: Demographic and socio economic characteristics of households such as the householder’s gender, age, marriage status, number of family members, education level, work status, work sector (formal, informal or self employment), region (rural or urban and housing access • Research analysis: Descriptive Analysis & Logistic Regression Analysis
  • 6. RESULTS Characteristics/ HHKorea Regression coefficient Standard Error (S.E.) Male (female) -.187* .095 Age (70 +) 15 – 29 -.378 .236 30 – 39 -.559*** .106 40 – 49 -.648*** .090 50 – 59 -.505*** .090 60 - 69 -.155 .088 Spouse (non-spouse) -.374*** .098 Education (high School) Under high school .702*** .078 Over College .414*** .088 Working (not working) -3.577*** .155 Work sector (formal) Informal 2.110*** .162 Self Employment 2.318*** .160 Family size -.411*** .034 Housing access (rented) Owned dummy -.527*** .082 Ceded/others dummy .268*** .122 Urban (rural ) -.584*** .076 -2 Log likelihood 6625.748 *p<.05, **P<.01, ***p<.001 The categories in parenthesis are reference. LogisticRegressionAnalysis:Korea
  • 7. RESULTS Characteristics/ HH Brazil Regression coefficient Standard Error (S.E.) Male ( female ) -.272*** .017 Age (70 +) 15 – 29 .111*** .032 30 – 39 .027 .029 40 – 49 .043 .029 50 – 59 .029 .029 60 - 69 .033 .032 Spouse (non-spouse ) .324*** .029 Education (high School) Under high school .663*** .020 Over College -1.295*** .044 Working (not working) -.483*** .018 Work sector (formal) Informal -.268*** .023 Self Employment -.099*** .019 Family size .544*** .006 Housing access (rented) Owned -.261*** .022 Ceded/others .340*** .033 Urban (rural ) -.994*** .021 -2 Log likelihood 103237.344 *p<.05, **P<.01, ***p<.001 The categories in parenthesis are reference. LogisticRegressionAnalysis:Brazil
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  • 10. Brazil and South Korea significant results by Logistic regression analysis BRAZIL KOREA • Gender – Male heads of households are less likely to be poor than female; • Age – The category 15 – 29 years was the only significant and they are more likely to be poor comparing to people over 70 years old; • Marital Status – People who are married are more likely to be poor than single householder´s • Education - People who are high educated (over college) are less likely to be poor. On the other hand, people who have low level of education classified as under high school are more likely to be poor. • Work - People who are working are less likely to be poor. Regarding the work sector, people who have informal and self-employed work comparing to formal are less likely to be poor (contradict result) • Family size– Larger household’s size was found to have a higher probability of being poor • Housing Access - People who have house that is ceded or in other condition are more likely to be poor than people who have their house rented. But, people who own a house are less poor than people who rent the house. • Area - urban area comparing to rural area are less poor • Gender - Male compared to female is less likely to be poor; • Age – People who are in age between 30 to 39; 40 to 49 as well as 50 to 59 years old are less likely to be poor than people who are 70 years old or over; • Marital Status – People who are marriage comparing to single people are less likely to be poor • Education – The model shows that people who have a higher level of education are more likely to be poor (contradict result) • Work – Heads of households who working are less likely to be poor than people who are not working. And people who are self-employed or have a informal work have a probability to be poor comparing to people who have formal work • Family size – Large household’s size are less likely to poor comparing the small one’s. • Housing Access – High probability of being poor people who live in a house ceded by someone or other unknown circumstances than people who owned a house. Householder´s who owned a house are less likely to be poor. • Area – people who live in urban are comparing to rural area less poor.
  • 11. CONCLUSION Determinants of Poverty similarities & differences BRAZIL KOREA Poor people live in big family size Adolescent and young (20s) age are the poorest High level of Low education among poor heads of households High level of poor elderly people (over 70 age) Poor people live in small family size Female head of households High level of working poor (informal workers) High rate of unemployment Rural areas
  • 12. Ana Paula G. Matias