The market cycle describes economic trends seen in many commercial settings and has four phases. The accumulation phase involves early buyers when prices are attractive but cautious. The markup phase sees rising volumes and valuations as sentiment turns bullish. The distribution phase is when traders start selling as the outlook shifts from bullish to mixed. The mark-down phase signals the start of a new accumulation phase as prices fall and investors exit positions, locking in profits. Overall, the market cycle analyzes general trends and patterns seen across different markets over time.
1. Market Cycles-Definition And Phases
A new market cycle that is industry-specific and not universal across all market segments can be
brought on by new technology or regulatory changes. The term "business cycle forecasting"
describes the methods and tools used to anticipate changes in the business cycle, notably at the
beginning of recessions. Let's see about the market cycle and its phases below: What is the
Market cycle?: The market cycle is a term used to describe economic trends seen in many
commercial settings. When certain securities belonging to the same class of assets do better than
others, it is also known as a stock market cycle. It can be because the securities underlying the
business model allow for growth under the current market conditions. Phases: The four phases
of a market cycle involve securities responding to different market conditions. They are:
Accumulation Phase: Early buyers include business insiders, value investors, and people who
obtained capital during the collapse. Prices are attractive, but caution is still present, and the
attitude is still negative. Some have given up and accepted losses, and the media still covers the
last slump. Markup Phase: The markup phase is characterized by a rise in market volumes,
rising valuations, and a selling climax due to the participation of fence-sitters and risk-averse
investors. Market sentiment switches from neutral to bullish or euphoric, with a last parabolic
price rise due to fence-sitters. Non-linear indicators significantly streamline and enhance the
quality of traders' jobs. Distribution Phase: The third stage of the market cycle, known as the
distribution phase, is when traders start to sell securities, and the outlook for the market shifts
from bullish to mix. Prices remain constant over several months but may accelerate due to
negative geopolitical or economic news. Mark-down phase: The mark-down phase is the final
phase of a market cycle, where security prices fall below what investors originally paid for them.
It also signals the start of the subsequent accumulation phase. As cycle analysis turns more
bearish, investors start to exit their positions and lock in profits, increasing the existing selling
pressure. Hence, these are the four phases of Market cycles. This cycle, usually called cycle
analysis stock market, is a general phrase used to describe trends or patterns that appear
throughout many markets or commercial contexts.