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You’re the one that I want… Oo Oo Oo A L P H A
Special Sponsor Tattoos (available at break)
Other Tattoo Choices…
Special Custom Tattoos… QUANT R / E HEDGER
BP’s Rap Sheet ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Trust Assets & Plans ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Pension Portfolio (U.S.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Staff 13 employees 1 to 3 contractors 2 vendors (Custody) Senior Investment  Managers   (4) Senior Operations  Manager   (1) Operations  Analysts   (3) Administrative Assistant (1) Investment  Committee Organization – U. S. Reps from: Finance H/R Tax Pensions Sr. Mgmt (7) Investment  Managers   (3) Group VP  Finance   VP Global Pensions Director, Trust Investments
Investment Committee Role ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Investment Committee Role ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],(Historical Experience)
Pensions 101 A Refresher Course
Pension Economics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Issues ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Pension Cost Benefits Promised Investment Return Levers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Pension Cost Benefits Promised Investment Return (Liabilities) Pension Finance
Pension Cost Benefits Promised Investment Return Pension Finance (Done Right!) Asset Mix Risk Alpha
The  Traditional  Sponsor  Model
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sponsor Investment Issues ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Typical Investment Goals ,[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Investment Program Design ,[object Object],[object Object],(Core/Niche, Style/Factor, U.S./International, etc.)
Equities Core Style Niche Int’l Equities Core Regional Emerging Fixed Interest Core International High Yield Other Real Estate Venture Capital Hedge Funds Typical Investment Program
[object Object],Typical Investment Process ,[object Object],Call Consultant, Repeat Selection Process ,[object Object],Managers, or Insurance Companies ,[object Object],Quartile Results
Appraisal - Typical Investment Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Summary - Typical Investment Model
[object Object],[object Object],So Why Change Anything? ,[object Object],A New Bonus Program ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
New Bonus Team Meeting
Initial Bonus Discussion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Some Real Issues Also Surfaced 1.  What was our team’s purpose? 3.  What value added  could  we provide? 2.  What value added  did  we provide? 4.  What about risk? Started to look a lot like our process for  reviewing a new manager?
Clarity Comes to the Pension Team 1.5% Value Added 2.0% Risk (residual) Incentive:  An 8% bonus So now what do we do? Time:   Rolling 3 year periods INFO RATIO  0.75 Fund Goals:
WE WERE   SHOCKED  &   APPALLED…
RETURNS  have  always   been the  name of the  game ,   NOT RISK !
Since when did RISK Become so darn IMPORTANT   ?
CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Asset Class Frontier: Traditional Investment Model
CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Cash  V/A Bond  V/A Asset Class Value Added: Traditional Investment Model
CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Cash V/A Bond V/A Asset Class Value Added: Asset  Class Allocation Drives The Total Fund Alpha! Traditional Investment Model
Slowly We Begin to See the Light…
Shake Up The Traditional Model CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Cash V/A Bond V/A
CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Bond V/A Shake Up The Traditional Model
CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Cash V/A Bond V/A Shake Up The Traditional Model
CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Bond V/A Cash V/A Shake Up The Traditional Model
V. A. CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Bond V/A Shake Up The Traditional Model
CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Bond V/A Cash V/A Shake Up The Traditional Model
CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Bond V/A Cash V/A Shake Up The Traditional Model
CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Bond V/A Cash V/A Shake Up  The  Traditional Model
Birth of  The Alpha  Philosophy
A Few Key Points  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],re-engineering returns  (i.e., return streams) to manage risk
The Alpha Philosophy Begins With Return (or Return Expectations) for a  manager or a portfolio TOTAL RETURN
Total Return Consists of  Two Components   --    The  Market  and  Alpha TOTAL RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN The Alpha Philosophy
Each Return Component Has A Unique Distribution of  Outcomes (most folks call this  Risk ) Residual Risk Market Risk  (Beta) TOTAL RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN The Alpha Philosophy
The Components Can Also Be Separated   (more about this later) TOTAL RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN ALPHA RETURN MARKET RETURN The Alpha Philosophy Resid Market (Beta) Surprise, Surprise …
Market Return can be an  Index, Benchmark, Sector, or any security universe. TOTAL RETURN MARKET RETURN (INDEX) ALPHA RETURN ALPHA RETURN MARKET RETURN (INDEX) The Alpha Philosophy Resid Market (Beta)
Summary - The Alpha Philosophy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Into Two Key Pieces   ,[object Object],Return Streams ,[object Object],Risk/Return Profile
Now Everyone  Join Hands and Repeat: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Okay, Can I hear a   Hallelujah & an Amen? Let’s try that again… uh1 uh2 uh3 Hal le lu jah & A men ARE YOU WITH ME?
Gee This  Alpha Philosophy  could   Improve The Way We  Build Portfolios ? ? ? ?
How Might This  Alpha Philosophy  Improve The Way We  Build Portfolios ? ? ? ? The New Bonus is in the Bag-come to me new bass boat…come to me.
Time Check: ,[object Object],[object Object]
Converting the  Philosophy into Reality
This process is a little “Tricky”: ,[object Object],[object Object]
Philosophy into Reality – Phase I TOTAL RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN Step 1:  Review: Total Return Comprised of    a Market and an Alpha Component (S&P 500)
TOTAL RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN MARKET RETURN Step 2:  To start remix, we need to eliminate      i.e.,   Sell Off the unwanted Market Return ,[object Object],Philosophy into Reality – Phase I Note: These are the  D- words (SHORT SALE)
TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN ALPHA RETURN Step 3:  Short Selling the Market cancels out (X) the  market portion of manager’s total return,  producing a Cash Type Return. (Referred to as the  Short Rebate ) MARKET RETURN MARKET RETURN Philosophy into Reality – Phase I  SHORT REBATE
Philosophy into Reality – Phase I  TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN CASH RETURN MARKET RETURN MARKET RETURN Result:  Alpha immediately becomes  “Ported” i.e., Transported to the  Cash Return number (such as LIBOR    or a T-Bill type return) PORTING ALPHA RETURN
Philosophy into Reality – Phase I TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN CASH RETURN MARKET RETURN MARKET RETURN Result:  Alpha is Ported to Cash PORTING ALPHA RETURN
Philosophy into Reality – Phase I TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN CASH RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN MARKET RETURN Result:  Alpha is Ported to Cash PORTING
Philosophy into Reality – Phase I  TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN CASH RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN MARKET RETURN Result:  Alpha is Ported to Cash PORTING
Philosophy into Reality – Phase I TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN CASH RETURN MARKET RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN Result:  Alpha is Ported to Cash PORTING
Philosophy into Reality – Phase I TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN CASH RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN MARKET RETURN Result:  Alpha is Ported to Cash PORTING
Philosophy into Reality – Phase I TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN CASH RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN MARKET RETURN Result:  Alpha is Ported to Cash PORTING
Philosophy into Reality – Phase I TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN CASH RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN MARKET RETURN Result:  Alpha is Ported to Cash PORTING
TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN CASH RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN MARKET RETURN Result:  Alpha is Ported to a Cash Return Bottom Line: We just created a “Synthetic” Cash Plus Strategy Philosophy into Reality – Phase I
Phase I – Alpha Porting NOTE :  Process is Country (Region) Specific    May Differ in Logistics, Rules, Process.  ,[object Object],[object Object],Absolute Return  Strategy
Time Perspective: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Creating  Customized  Strategies (This is the good part!) Phase II
ALPHA RETURN CASH RETURN Step 1:  We Start With the Philosophy to Reality - Phase II “ Synthetic” Cash Strategy from Phase I
FUTURES (SWAP) RETURN ALPHA RETURN CASH RETURN + Step 2:  To Reintroduce Desired Market Return    i.e., Exposure we buy futures or (use a    swap) The D-words again Philosophy to Reality - Phase II
+ ALPHA RETURN CASH RETURN ALPHA RETURN CASH RETURN Result #1:  Lots of colorful boxes FUTURES (SWAP) RETURN FUTURES (SWAP) RETURN Philosophy to Reality - Phase II
+ NEW MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN ALPHA RETURN CASH RETURN ALPHA RETURN CASH RETURN Result #2:  We have Created a  New  Synthetic     Market Return (or Asset Class)  Keeping  our Original Alpha FUTURES (SWAP) RETURN FUTURES (SWAP) RETURN Philosophy to Reality - Phase II
[object Object],[object Object],Active Strategies Any Asset Class (i.e. Return Stream) AND..... Summary –  Phase II Customized Alpha Porting ,[object Object],A Second Tier Decision
[object Object],Way to  Build New Specialty Products Summary – Phase II Alpha Porting ,[object Object],Achieve Aggregate Fund Alpha and Resid Goals
Investment Managers – Hiring Criteria ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Finding a Good Manager
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Keeping a Good Manager
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Best Excuses for Poor Performance
Sales People   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sales People ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Client Relations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
And Now Our Special Alpha Finale!
 
 

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Sacrs Nov2003

  • 1. You’re the one that I want… Oo Oo Oo A L P H A
  • 2. Special Sponsor Tattoos (available at break)
  • 4. Special Custom Tattoos… QUANT R / E HEDGER
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. Staff 13 employees 1 to 3 contractors 2 vendors (Custody) Senior Investment Managers (4) Senior Operations Manager (1) Operations Analysts (3) Administrative Assistant (1) Investment Committee Organization – U. S. Reps from: Finance H/R Tax Pensions Sr. Mgmt (7) Investment Managers (3) Group VP Finance VP Global Pensions Director, Trust Investments
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Pensions 101 A Refresher Course
  • 12.
  • 13. Pension Cost Benefits Promised Investment Return (Liabilities) Pension Finance
  • 14. Pension Cost Benefits Promised Investment Return Pension Finance (Done Right!) Asset Mix Risk Alpha
  • 15. The Traditional Sponsor Model
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. Equities Core Style Niche Int’l Equities Core Regional Emerging Fixed Interest Core International High Yield Other Real Estate Venture Capital Hedge Funds Typical Investment Program
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. New Bonus Team Meeting
  • 25.
  • 26. Some Real Issues Also Surfaced 1. What was our team’s purpose? 3. What value added could we provide? 2. What value added did we provide? 4. What about risk? Started to look a lot like our process for reviewing a new manager?
  • 27. Clarity Comes to the Pension Team 1.5% Value Added 2.0% Risk (residual) Incentive: An 8% bonus So now what do we do? Time: Rolling 3 year periods INFO RATIO 0.75 Fund Goals:
  • 28. WE WERE SHOCKED & APPALLED…
  • 29. RETURNS have always been the name of the game , NOT RISK !
  • 30. Since when did RISK Become so darn IMPORTANT ?
  • 31. CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Asset Class Frontier: Traditional Investment Model
  • 32. CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Cash V/A Bond V/A Asset Class Value Added: Traditional Investment Model
  • 33. CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Cash V/A Bond V/A Asset Class Value Added: Asset Class Allocation Drives The Total Fund Alpha! Traditional Investment Model
  • 34. Slowly We Begin to See the Light…
  • 35. Shake Up The Traditional Model CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Cash V/A Bond V/A
  • 36. CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Bond V/A Shake Up The Traditional Model
  • 37. CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Cash V/A Bond V/A Shake Up The Traditional Model
  • 38. CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Bond V/A Cash V/A Shake Up The Traditional Model
  • 39. V. A. CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Bond V/A Shake Up The Traditional Model
  • 40. CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Bond V/A Cash V/A Shake Up The Traditional Model
  • 41. CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Bond V/A Cash V/A Shake Up The Traditional Model
  • 42. CASH BONDS EQUITY Risk Return Equity Value Added Bond V/A Cash V/A Shake Up The Traditional Model
  • 43. Birth of The Alpha Philosophy
  • 44.
  • 45. The Alpha Philosophy Begins With Return (or Return Expectations) for a manager or a portfolio TOTAL RETURN
  • 46. Total Return Consists of Two Components -- The Market and Alpha TOTAL RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN The Alpha Philosophy
  • 47. Each Return Component Has A Unique Distribution of Outcomes (most folks call this Risk ) Residual Risk Market Risk (Beta) TOTAL RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN The Alpha Philosophy
  • 48. The Components Can Also Be Separated (more about this later) TOTAL RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN ALPHA RETURN MARKET RETURN The Alpha Philosophy Resid Market (Beta) Surprise, Surprise …
  • 49. Market Return can be an Index, Benchmark, Sector, or any security universe. TOTAL RETURN MARKET RETURN (INDEX) ALPHA RETURN ALPHA RETURN MARKET RETURN (INDEX) The Alpha Philosophy Resid Market (Beta)
  • 50.
  • 51.
  • 52. Okay, Can I hear a Hallelujah & an Amen? Let’s try that again… uh1 uh2 uh3 Hal le lu jah & A men ARE YOU WITH ME?
  • 53. Gee This Alpha Philosophy could Improve The Way We Build Portfolios ? ? ? ?
  • 54. How Might This Alpha Philosophy Improve The Way We Build Portfolios ? ? ? ? The New Bonus is in the Bag-come to me new bass boat…come to me.
  • 55.
  • 56. Converting the Philosophy into Reality
  • 57.
  • 58. Philosophy into Reality – Phase I TOTAL RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN Step 1: Review: Total Return Comprised of a Market and an Alpha Component (S&P 500)
  • 59.
  • 60. TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN ALPHA RETURN Step 3: Short Selling the Market cancels out (X) the market portion of manager’s total return, producing a Cash Type Return. (Referred to as the Short Rebate ) MARKET RETURN MARKET RETURN Philosophy into Reality – Phase I SHORT REBATE
  • 61. Philosophy into Reality – Phase I TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN CASH RETURN MARKET RETURN MARKET RETURN Result: Alpha immediately becomes “Ported” i.e., Transported to the Cash Return number (such as LIBOR or a T-Bill type return) PORTING ALPHA RETURN
  • 62. Philosophy into Reality – Phase I TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN CASH RETURN MARKET RETURN MARKET RETURN Result: Alpha is Ported to Cash PORTING ALPHA RETURN
  • 63. Philosophy into Reality – Phase I TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN CASH RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN MARKET RETURN Result: Alpha is Ported to Cash PORTING
  • 64. Philosophy into Reality – Phase I TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN CASH RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN MARKET RETURN Result: Alpha is Ported to Cash PORTING
  • 65. Philosophy into Reality – Phase I TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN CASH RETURN MARKET RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN Result: Alpha is Ported to Cash PORTING
  • 66. Philosophy into Reality – Phase I TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN CASH RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN MARKET RETURN Result: Alpha is Ported to Cash PORTING
  • 67. Philosophy into Reality – Phase I TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN CASH RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN MARKET RETURN Result: Alpha is Ported to Cash PORTING
  • 68. Philosophy into Reality – Phase I TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN CASH RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN MARKET RETURN Result: Alpha is Ported to Cash PORTING
  • 69. TOTAL RETURN CASH RETURN CASH RETURN MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN MARKET RETURN Result: Alpha is Ported to a Cash Return Bottom Line: We just created a “Synthetic” Cash Plus Strategy Philosophy into Reality – Phase I
  • 70.
  • 71.
  • 72. Creating Customized Strategies (This is the good part!) Phase II
  • 73. ALPHA RETURN CASH RETURN Step 1: We Start With the Philosophy to Reality - Phase II “ Synthetic” Cash Strategy from Phase I
  • 74. FUTURES (SWAP) RETURN ALPHA RETURN CASH RETURN + Step 2: To Reintroduce Desired Market Return i.e., Exposure we buy futures or (use a swap) The D-words again Philosophy to Reality - Phase II
  • 75. + ALPHA RETURN CASH RETURN ALPHA RETURN CASH RETURN Result #1: Lots of colorful boxes FUTURES (SWAP) RETURN FUTURES (SWAP) RETURN Philosophy to Reality - Phase II
  • 76. + NEW MARKET RETURN ALPHA RETURN ALPHA RETURN CASH RETURN ALPHA RETURN CASH RETURN Result #2: We have Created a New Synthetic Market Return (or Asset Class) Keeping our Original Alpha FUTURES (SWAP) RETURN FUTURES (SWAP) RETURN Philosophy to Reality - Phase II
  • 77.
  • 78.
  • 79.
  • 80.
  • 81.
  • 82.
  • 83.
  • 84.
  • 85.
  • 86. And Now Our Special Alpha Finale!
  • 87.  
  • 88.