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Majestic  Group Members: By u ,  Shuo Huang Keqing Qu Chuan Tian WIN OR LOSE ?  Majestic  Fund Analysis  Term Project for Fin512
Contents ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction and objective ,[object Object],[object Object]
Strategy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Assumptions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Forecast Macro-economy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1.Test Forecasting Model previous 20y data from 1971-1989
H igh fitting degree and stability, it is a good model for forecasting
Forecast from 1990-2008
Forecast Result
Forecast Result
Find out P ro-cyclical I ndustries and C ounter-cyclical Industries Correlation between percentage of industry return and percentage  change of GDP Correlation > 0 Correlation < 0
 
 
 
Result of  pro-cyclical  industries and  counter-cyclical industries
Select Stocks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How we select stocks?
 
 
Stock select results:
Portfolio Performance
 
Risk Exposure
 
 
Industry Exposure
Industry exposure result
 
Conclusion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]

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