SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 65
Probability



   The Resource Center
What is probability?


   favorable cases
      total cases
       The Resource Center
In tossing a coin, events
           are:


      P ( Head) =                1/
                                         2

       P ( Tail ) =             1/
                                     2
          The Resource Center
Probability (Head or Tail)
        1/        +     1/       =1
             2               2

    Probability ( A or B)
       = P(A) + P(B)

   Probability                         1
                 The Resource Center
Example of 2 coins tossed


        Case 1: 2 H
        Case 2: 2 T
       Case 3: H & T
          The Resource Center
What is the probability of
  “a head and tail”?


    Favorable outcome
      Total outcome
             1/
            = 3
          The Resource Center
Wrong
 Case 1: HH
 Case 2 : TT
 Case 3 : HT
 Case 4 : TH
      2 / = 1/
So P = 4       2
    The Resource Center
With 3 coins, what is the
probability of only 1 head?
P (HTT) = 2
          (1/     )*(1/           1/ )   1/
                         = 8  2)*( 2
  Joint P = P(A) * P(B) * P(C)
 P (THT) and P (TTH) are also
            1/ each.
              8
           1/ + 1/ + 1/ = 3/
    So P = 8      8    8     8
                The Resource Center
2 dice are thrown

Find the probability that the
     sum of faces is 1
           P=0

  Probability
           The Resource Center
                                 0
Find the probability that
 the sum of faces is 2

      Probability =             1/
                                     36




          The Resource Center
Find the probability that
 the sum of faces is 12



      Probability =             1/
                                     36


          The Resource Center
Find the probability that
  the sum of faces is 6

Total Sum Set = { 2, 3, 4, 5, 6,
      7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12}
     So Probability =             1/
                                       11
            The Resource Center
Wrong
   Total outcomes = 6*6 = 36
      Favorable outcomes
{ (3,3), (2,4), (1,5), (4,2), (5,1) }
                   5/
              P = 36
Probability of all outcomes
    should be equal
              The Resource Center
2 dice are thrown



Find the probability that the
    sum is single digit
          The Resource Center
Prob ( Sum = 2) =            1/
                                  36

Prob ( Sum = 3) =            2/
                                  36

Prob ( Sum = 4) =            3/
                                  36

Prob ( Sum = 5) =            4/
                                  36

       The Resource Center
Prob ( Sum = 6) = 36          5/

    Prob ( Sum = 7) = 366/

    Prob ( Sum = 8) = 365/

    Prob ( Sum = 9) = 364/

            Total =
(1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 6 + 5 + 4)
              36
            The Resource Center
Alternatively
Prob ( Sum = 10) =           3/
                                  36

Prob ( Sum = 11) =           2/
                                  36

Prob ( Sum = 12) =           1/
                                  36


       The Resource Center
P ( Sum 10,11 or 12) = 36       6/

 P (Sum is not 10, 11 or 12)
            6/   30/
       = 1 - 36 = 36

  P(A c)   = 1 - P(A)
 Its easier to work out the
complement sometimes...
           The Resource Center
4 dice are thrown -

  probability that there are 3
  sixes and another number
Favorable outcome = 1*1*1*5*4
  Total outcomes = 6*6*6*6
          P = 20 / 6 4
            The Resource Center
Probability that a number
   is divisible by 2 is
          P=           1/
                            2




          The Resource Center
Probability that a number
   is divisible by 3 is
          P=           1/
                            3




          The Resource Center
Probability that a number
 is divisible by 2 or 3 is


     P=   1/       +   1/        =   5/
               2            3             6




           The Resource Center
Is it?
Probability that number is
   divisible by 2 or 3 is
  1/ + 1/ - 1/ = 4/ = 2 /
    2    3    6    6      3
        P (A B) =
 P(A) + P(B) - P(A B)
          The Resource Center
10 coins are tossed, what
is the probability that only
   one is a tail or head?



           The Resource Center
Prob of 1 H, 9 T is = 1/     but  210,

 there are 10 such cases. So
         prob = 10/2 10

  Prob of 9 H, 1 T is = 10/2 10

 Prob of one tail or head is =
   10/2 10 + 10/210 = 10/29


            The Resource Center
In a single toss of 4 coins
 what is the probability of
getting at least one head?
     P (no heads) =                     1/
                                             16.
    P (at least 1 head) =
       1-   1/         =     15/
                 16                16
            The Resource Center
In a single toss of 4 coins
 what is the probability of
 getting at most 1 head?
      P (no heads) = 16.         1/
                   1/
   P (1 H & 3 T) = 16 * 4.
       P (at most 1 H)
                       5/
  = P (0 H) + P (1 H) = 16
           The Resource Center
2 cards are successively
       drawn without
 replacement. Probability
that both are greater than
     2 & less than 9 is

          The Resource Center
There are 6 * 4 = 24 cards
    P (1st card) =              24/
                                      52

   P (2nd card) =                   23/
                                          51

   Joint P =     24/            *   23/
                        52                51



          The Resource Center
Probability of         1 st
                 ball blue
   & 2 nd white without

     replacement?



          The Resource Center
first ball blue =              4/   2/
                        10 = 5.
second ball    white = 9 6/ = 2/
                                 3
  Joint P =    2/ x 2/ = 4/
                 5    3     15



           The Resource Center
Probability of all 4 being
    blue - without
    replacement?




          The Resource Center
=   (7/        6/ )*(5/ )*(4/ )
          13)*( 12     11    10
                  7/
               = 143




              The Resource Center
Probability of all four not
    blue - without
    replacement?



          The Resource Center
=1-           7/
                      143
=      136/
                 143




The Resource Center
Probability that all are of
     same color?




          The Resource Center
All white =
6/        x   5/        x   4/          x     3/        =    3/
     13            12            11                10             143
Probability all same color =
P (all B) + P (all W) =                                     10/
                                                                  143




                        The Resource Center
The probability that a card
 drawn from a pack of 52
cards is a diamond/king?
 There are 13 diamonds and 4
kings, but one of them is a king
    of diamond. Therefore,
     P=  (13 + 4 - 1) /      16/
                        52 =     52
              The Resource Center
In a lottery of tickets
   numbered 1 to 50, 2
 tickets are drawn. The
probability that both are
    prime numbers is:

          The Resource Center
(15 prime numbers from 1 - 50)
                          15/
   P (1st being prime) = 50
  P (2nd being prime) = 4914/

  P (both prime) = 15*14 / 50*49



            The Resource Center
An AA gun can take max
 4 shots. P of hitting the
 plane at the 1 st, 2nd, 3rd

and 4 th shot are 0.4, 0.3,

0.2, 0.1 resp. P that the
  gun hits the plane is:
           The Resource Center
Probability of hitting the plane =
P (the plane is hit at least once)
 = 1 - (1-p1)(1-p2)(1-p3)(1-p4) =
   1 - (0.6)*(0.7)*(0.8)*(0.9) =
      (1 - 0.3024) = 0.6976

             The Resource Center
A contains 4 red and 5
white balls and B contains
3 red and 7 white balls. 1
ball is drawn from A and 2
      from B. Find the
probability that out of 3, 2
  are white and 1 is red.
           The Resource Center
P(2 W & 1 R) =
 P[(1 R from 1     st and 2 W from

                2 nd or

(1 W from 1   st,1 W and 1 R from

                 2 nd)]
  4/ )*(7/ )*(6/ )+ (5/ )*(7/ )*(3/ )
 ( 9      10     9      9    9     10
                   7/
                = 15
              The Resource Center
A speaks the truth in 75%
   and B in 80% of the
cases. In how many cases
 will they contradict each
 other narrating the same
          incident.
          The Resource Center
P(A and B contradict each
              other)
= P[(A tells truth and B tells a
                 lie)
                   or
P(A tells a lie and B tells truth)
      = 3 /4 * 1 /5 + 1 /4 * 4 / 5
               = 207/
             The Resource Center
P of two events E and F
are 0.25 and 0.50 resp. P
  of their simultaneous
occurrence is 0.14. P that
neither E occurs nor F is:
          The Resource Center
P (E U F) =
  0.25 + 0.50 - 0.14
        = 0.61.
Now, P (neither E nor F)
    = 1 - P(E U F)
   = 1 - 0.61 = 0.39

         The Resource Center
The probability that a leap
 year selected at random
 will contain 53 Sundays,
             is:


          The Resource Center
A leap year contains 366 days
and therefore, 52 weeks and 2
  days. Now, there can be 7
 different combinations of the
 remaining two days, where 2
   favour the required event.
        Hence, P = 2/7.
            The Resource Center
The probability of solving
a problem by A, B, and C
        1/ , 1/ and 1/
    are 2 3            4
    respectively. The
   probability that the
  problem is solved is:
          The Resource Center
P = 1 - P(that the problem
   remains unsolved)
 = 1 - (1-p1)(1- p2)(1- p3)
   =1-( 2 1/ )*(2/ )*(3/ )
                   3    4
          = 1 - 1 /4
           = 43/

          The Resource Center
If P that A and B will die
within a year are a and b
resp, P that only one of
them will be alive at the
    end of the year is:
          The Resource Center
Required probability
 = P(A dies & B alive) or
P(A is alive and B dies.) =
    a (1 - b) + (1 - a) b
       = a + b - 2ab.

          The Resource Center
In a row of 6 Mathematics
   books and 4 Physics
books, the probability that
 3 particular Maths books
    will be together is:

          The Resource Center
Taking 3 books as one book,
we have 8 books which can be
       arranged in 8! ways.
These 3 books can be arranged
 in 3! ways. Hence n(F) = 8!*3!
          Also n(T) = 10!.
                             1/
Therefore P = (8!*3!) / 10! = 15
            The Resource Center
N cadets stand in a row. If
all possible permutations
 are equally likely, P of 2
particular cadets standing
      side by side is:
P = [(N-1)! * 2!] / N! =            2/
                                         N
              The Resource Center
A can solve 90% of the
 problems given in a book
   and B can solve 70%.
What is P that at least 1 of
them will solve a problem,
    selected at random?
           The Resource Center
P(E) = 0.9, P(F) = 0.7
 Also P(E F) = P(E)*P(F) =
            0.63.
Hence required probability is
       0.9 + 0.7 - 0.63
            = 0.97
           The Resource Center
Bag X contains 3 B and 4
W balls. Bag Y contains 4
B and 2 W balls. A bag is
selected at random. From
the selected bag, 1 ball is
drawn. Find P that it is W.
          The Resource Center
P (drawing W from X) = 7.         4/

P (drawing W from Y) = 6    2/ .

Choosing either bag gives a
                    1/ .
     probability of 2
  Hence, total probability
     1/ (4/ + 2/ ) = 19/
   = 2 7        6        42

            The Resource Center
3 urns contain 2 W & 3 B
 balls, 3 W & 2 B and 4 W
& 1 B resp. A ball is drawn
   from an urn at random
 and it is W. What it P that
it was drawn from 1   st urn?

           The Resource Center
P=
                2/ )*(1/ )
               ( 5       3
------------------------------------------
 (2/5)*(1/3) + (3/5)*(1/3) + (4/5)*(1/3)
                  = 92/


                The Resource Center
X contains 5 W and 7 B
balls. Y contains 7 W and 8
  B. 1 ball is drawn from X
   and put into Y without
 noticing its colour. If now a
ball is drawn from Y, what is
         P that it is W?
            The Resource Center
P(transfer W ball from X & then
                            5/ * 8/
select W ball from Y) = 12 16
                 5/ .
              = 24
 P( transfer B ball from X and
  then draw B ball from Y) =
        7/ )*(7/ ) = 49/
       ( 12     16       192.
      Total probability is =
      5/ ) + (49/
     ( 24                89/
                  192) =     192
              The Resource Center

More Related Content

Viewers also liked

Discover How we Can Guarantee To Easily explode Your Sales while slashing You...
Discover How we Can Guarantee To Easily explode Your Sales while slashing You...Discover How we Can Guarantee To Easily explode Your Sales while slashing You...
Discover How we Can Guarantee To Easily explode Your Sales while slashing You...VisualBee.com
 
How to delete my facebook account
How to delete my facebook accountHow to delete my facebook account
How to delete my facebook accountVisualBee.com
 
Welcome to VisualBee
Welcome to VisualBeeWelcome to VisualBee
Welcome to VisualBeeVisualBee.com
 
PowerPoint Presentation ( bebeq )
PowerPoint Presentation ( bebeq )PowerPoint Presentation ( bebeq )
PowerPoint Presentation ( bebeq )VisualBee.com
 
MANAJEMEN KINERJA TINGGI Disusun oleh: Alfiatun Ali Murtadlo Dosen Pengampu ...
MANAJEMEN KINERJA TINGGIDisusun oleh:AlfiatunAli MurtadloDosen Pengampu ...MANAJEMEN KINERJA TINGGIDisusun oleh:AlfiatunAli MurtadloDosen Pengampu ...
MANAJEMEN KINERJA TINGGI Disusun oleh: Alfiatun Ali Murtadlo Dosen Pengampu ...VisualBee.com
 
2012. 9. 16 worship report
2012. 9. 16 worship report2012. 9. 16 worship report
2012. 9. 16 worship reportVisualBee.com
 
Review Of Probability
Review Of ProbabilityReview Of Probability
Review Of ProbabilityMALAKI12003
 
Probability Concepts Applications
Probability Concepts  ApplicationsProbability Concepts  Applications
Probability Concepts Applicationsguest44b78
 
Statistics - Probability theory 1
Statistics - Probability theory 1Statistics - Probability theory 1
Statistics - Probability theory 1Julio Huato
 
Seocamp2016 : javascript et indexation, où en est-on ?
Seocamp2016 : javascript et indexation, où en est-on ?Seocamp2016 : javascript et indexation, où en est-on ?
Seocamp2016 : javascript et indexation, où en est-on ?Madeline Pinthon
 
Mission en Conseil Emailing pour Brandalley - MBAMCI
Mission en Conseil Emailing pour Brandalley - MBAMCIMission en Conseil Emailing pour Brandalley - MBAMCI
Mission en Conseil Emailing pour Brandalley - MBAMCISelima Sellami
 
LinkedIn : Visibilité versus Viralité de vos publications
LinkedIn : Visibilité versus Viralité de vos publicationsLinkedIn : Visibilité versus Viralité de vos publications
LinkedIn : Visibilité versus Viralité de vos publicationsConsonaute
 

Viewers also liked (20)

Discover How we Can Guarantee To Easily explode Your Sales while slashing You...
Discover How we Can Guarantee To Easily explode Your Sales while slashing You...Discover How we Can Guarantee To Easily explode Your Sales while slashing You...
Discover How we Can Guarantee To Easily explode Your Sales while slashing You...
 
Riding.
Riding.Riding.
Riding.
 
Izvajdane ot 13
Izvajdane ot 13Izvajdane ot 13
Izvajdane ot 13
 
Jonah's First Year
Jonah's First YearJonah's First Year
Jonah's First Year
 
How to delete my facebook account
How to delete my facebook accountHow to delete my facebook account
How to delete my facebook account
 
Welcome to VisualBee
Welcome to VisualBeeWelcome to VisualBee
Welcome to VisualBee
 
Rules of reiki
Rules of reikiRules of reiki
Rules of reiki
 
PowerPoint Presentation ( bebeq )
PowerPoint Presentation ( bebeq )PowerPoint Presentation ( bebeq )
PowerPoint Presentation ( bebeq )
 
Slayt 1
Slayt 1Slayt 1
Slayt 1
 
Attitude
AttitudeAttitude
Attitude
 
Chapter 5: Tissues
Chapter 5:  TissuesChapter 5:  Tissues
Chapter 5: Tissues
 
MANAJEMEN KINERJA TINGGI Disusun oleh: Alfiatun Ali Murtadlo Dosen Pengampu ...
MANAJEMEN KINERJA TINGGIDisusun oleh:AlfiatunAli MurtadloDosen Pengampu ...MANAJEMEN KINERJA TINGGIDisusun oleh:AlfiatunAli MurtadloDosen Pengampu ...
MANAJEMEN KINERJA TINGGI Disusun oleh: Alfiatun Ali Murtadlo Dosen Pengampu ...
 
2012. 9. 16 worship report
2012. 9. 16 worship report2012. 9. 16 worship report
2012. 9. 16 worship report
 
Review Of Probability
Review Of ProbabilityReview Of Probability
Review Of Probability
 
Probability Theory 8
Probability Theory 8Probability Theory 8
Probability Theory 8
 
Probability Concepts Applications
Probability Concepts  ApplicationsProbability Concepts  Applications
Probability Concepts Applications
 
Statistics - Probability theory 1
Statistics - Probability theory 1Statistics - Probability theory 1
Statistics - Probability theory 1
 
Seocamp2016 : javascript et indexation, où en est-on ?
Seocamp2016 : javascript et indexation, où en est-on ?Seocamp2016 : javascript et indexation, où en est-on ?
Seocamp2016 : javascript et indexation, où en est-on ?
 
Mission en Conseil Emailing pour Brandalley - MBAMCI
Mission en Conseil Emailing pour Brandalley - MBAMCIMission en Conseil Emailing pour Brandalley - MBAMCI
Mission en Conseil Emailing pour Brandalley - MBAMCI
 
LinkedIn : Visibilité versus Viralité de vos publications
LinkedIn : Visibilité versus Viralité de vos publicationsLinkedIn : Visibilité versus Viralité de vos publications
LinkedIn : Visibilité versus Viralité de vos publications
 

Similar to Probability of Events

Brian Prior - Probability and gambling
Brian Prior - Probability and gamblingBrian Prior - Probability and gambling
Brian Prior - Probability and gamblingonthewight
 
Normal distribution for statistical analysis
Normal distribution for statistical analysis Normal distribution for statistical analysis
Normal distribution for statistical analysis Dr. Trilok Kumar Jain
 
Normal distribution for statistical analysis
Normal distribution for statistical analysis Normal distribution for statistical analysis
Normal distribution for statistical analysis Dr. Trilok Kumar Jain
 
C2 st lecture 9 probability handout
C2 st lecture 9   probability handoutC2 st lecture 9   probability handout
C2 st lecture 9 probability handoutfatima d
 
Probability - Question Bank for Class/Grade 10 maths.
Probability - Question Bank for Class/Grade 10 maths.Probability - Question Bank for Class/Grade 10 maths.
Probability - Question Bank for Class/Grade 10 maths.Let's Tute
 
Simple probability
Simple probabilitySimple probability
Simple probability06426345
 
Probability revision card
Probability revision cardProbability revision card
Probability revision cardPuna Ripiye
 
Probability By Ms Aarti
Probability By Ms AartiProbability By Ms Aarti
Probability By Ms Aartikulachihansraj
 
Probability and Python.pptx
Probability and Python.pptxProbability and Python.pptx
Probability and Python.pptxCHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
Week-7_Day-1_Complementary-Events_PPT.pptx
Week-7_Day-1_Complementary-Events_PPT.pptxWeek-7_Day-1_Complementary-Events_PPT.pptx
Week-7_Day-1_Complementary-Events_PPT.pptxDariusRosete
 
Questions of basic probability for aptitude test
Questions of basic probability for aptitude test Questions of basic probability for aptitude test
Questions of basic probability for aptitude test Dr. Trilok Kumar Jain
 
Questions of basic probability for aptitude test
Questions of basic probability for aptitude test Questions of basic probability for aptitude test
Questions of basic probability for aptitude test Dr. Trilok Kumar Jain
 
Aptitude Training - PROBABILITY
Aptitude Training - PROBABILITYAptitude Training - PROBABILITY
Aptitude Training - PROBABILITYAjay Chimmani
 

Similar to Probability of Events (20)

Probability
ProbabilityProbability
Probability
 
Probability
ProbabilityProbability
Probability
 
Brian Prior - Probability and gambling
Brian Prior - Probability and gamblingBrian Prior - Probability and gambling
Brian Prior - Probability and gambling
 
Mean of discrete probability
Mean of discrete probabilityMean of discrete probability
Mean of discrete probability
 
Normal distribution for statistical analysis
Normal distribution for statistical analysis Normal distribution for statistical analysis
Normal distribution for statistical analysis
 
Normal distribution for statistical analysis
Normal distribution for statistical analysis Normal distribution for statistical analysis
Normal distribution for statistical analysis
 
Probability Homework Help
Probability Homework HelpProbability Homework Help
Probability Homework Help
 
C2 st lecture 9 probability handout
C2 st lecture 9   probability handoutC2 st lecture 9   probability handout
C2 st lecture 9 probability handout
 
Probability - Question Bank for Class/Grade 10 maths.
Probability - Question Bank for Class/Grade 10 maths.Probability - Question Bank for Class/Grade 10 maths.
Probability - Question Bank for Class/Grade 10 maths.
 
Simple probability
Simple probabilitySimple probability
Simple probability
 
Probability revision card
Probability revision cardProbability revision card
Probability revision card
 
Math questions
Math  questionsMath  questions
Math questions
 
Practice Test 2 Solutions
Practice Test 2  SolutionsPractice Test 2  Solutions
Practice Test 2 Solutions
 
Probability
ProbabilityProbability
Probability
 
Probability By Ms Aarti
Probability By Ms AartiProbability By Ms Aarti
Probability By Ms Aarti
 
Probability and Python.pptx
Probability and Python.pptxProbability and Python.pptx
Probability and Python.pptx
 
Week-7_Day-1_Complementary-Events_PPT.pptx
Week-7_Day-1_Complementary-Events_PPT.pptxWeek-7_Day-1_Complementary-Events_PPT.pptx
Week-7_Day-1_Complementary-Events_PPT.pptx
 
Questions of basic probability for aptitude test
Questions of basic probability for aptitude test Questions of basic probability for aptitude test
Questions of basic probability for aptitude test
 
Questions of basic probability for aptitude test
Questions of basic probability for aptitude test Questions of basic probability for aptitude test
Questions of basic probability for aptitude test
 
Aptitude Training - PROBABILITY
Aptitude Training - PROBABILITYAptitude Training - PROBABILITY
Aptitude Training - PROBABILITY
 

More from VisualBee.com

Homenagem para luiz e marcos (shared using VisualBee)
Homenagem para luiz e marcos 
 (shared using VisualBee)Homenagem para luiz e marcos 
 (shared using VisualBee)
Homenagem para luiz e marcos (shared using VisualBee)VisualBee.com
 
PowerPoint Presentation (shared using VisualBee)
PowerPoint Presentation (shared using VisualBee)PowerPoint Presentation (shared using VisualBee)
PowerPoint Presentation (shared using VisualBee)VisualBee.com
 
PowerPoint Presentation (shared using http://VisualBee.com). (shared using Vi...
PowerPoint Presentation (shared using http://VisualBee.com). (shared using Vi...PowerPoint Presentation (shared using http://VisualBee.com). (shared using Vi...
PowerPoint Presentation (shared using http://VisualBee.com). (shared using Vi...VisualBee.com
 
The bible and I (shared using VisualBee)
The bible and I (shared using VisualBee)The bible and I (shared using VisualBee)
The bible and I (shared using VisualBee)VisualBee.com
 
bb (shared using VisualBee)
bb  
(shared using VisualBee)bb  
(shared using VisualBee)
bb (shared using VisualBee)VisualBee.com
 
Chua nhat III mua Thuong Nien - Nam C
Chua nhat III mua Thuong Nien - Nam CChua nhat III mua Thuong Nien - Nam C
Chua nhat III mua Thuong Nien - Nam CVisualBee.com
 
LA FE QUE AGRADA A DIOS
LA FE QUE AGRADA A DIOSLA FE QUE AGRADA A DIOS
LA FE QUE AGRADA A DIOSVisualBee.com
 
Martin Luther king JR
Martin Luther king JRMartin Luther king JR
Martin Luther king JRVisualBee.com
 
Diapositive 1 (shared using http://VisualBee.com).
Diapositive 1 (shared using http://VisualBee.com).Diapositive 1 (shared using http://VisualBee.com).
Diapositive 1 (shared using http://VisualBee.com).VisualBee.com
 

More from VisualBee.com (20)

Homenagem para luiz e marcos (shared using VisualBee)
Homenagem para luiz e marcos 
 (shared using VisualBee)Homenagem para luiz e marcos 
 (shared using VisualBee)
Homenagem para luiz e marcos (shared using VisualBee)
 
PowerPoint Presentation (shared using VisualBee)
PowerPoint Presentation (shared using VisualBee)PowerPoint Presentation (shared using VisualBee)
PowerPoint Presentation (shared using VisualBee)
 
PowerPoint Presentation (shared using http://VisualBee.com). (shared using Vi...
PowerPoint Presentation (shared using http://VisualBee.com). (shared using Vi...PowerPoint Presentation (shared using http://VisualBee.com). (shared using Vi...
PowerPoint Presentation (shared using http://VisualBee.com). (shared using Vi...
 
The bible and I (shared using VisualBee)
The bible and I (shared using VisualBee)The bible and I (shared using VisualBee)
The bible and I (shared using VisualBee)
 
bb bb b
bb bb bbb bb b
bb bb b
 
bb (shared using VisualBee)
bb  
(shared using VisualBee)bb  
(shared using VisualBee)
bb (shared using VisualBee)
 
bb
bbbb
bb
 
loki
lokiloki
loki
 
ASH WEDNESDAY
ASH WEDNESDAYASH WEDNESDAY
ASH WEDNESDAY
 
hijospreferidos
hijospreferidoshijospreferidos
hijospreferidos
 
yo
yoyo
yo
 
hijo preferido
hijo preferidohijo preferido
hijo preferido
 
Alcoholismo
AlcoholismoAlcoholismo
Alcoholismo
 
west love
west lovewest love
west love
 
jaa
jaajaa
jaa
 
Chua nhat III mua Thuong Nien - Nam C
Chua nhat III mua Thuong Nien - Nam CChua nhat III mua Thuong Nien - Nam C
Chua nhat III mua Thuong Nien - Nam C
 
LA FE QUE AGRADA A DIOS
LA FE QUE AGRADA A DIOSLA FE QUE AGRADA A DIOS
LA FE QUE AGRADA A DIOS
 
Martin Luther king JR
Martin Luther king JRMartin Luther king JR
Martin Luther king JR
 
Diapositive 1 (shared using http://VisualBee.com).
Diapositive 1 (shared using http://VisualBee.com).Diapositive 1 (shared using http://VisualBee.com).
Diapositive 1 (shared using http://VisualBee.com).
 
my cara de empanaaa
my cara de empanaaamy cara de empanaaa
my cara de empanaaa
 

Probability of Events

  • 1. Probability The Resource Center
  • 2. What is probability? favorable cases total cases The Resource Center
  • 3. In tossing a coin, events are: P ( Head) = 1/ 2 P ( Tail ) = 1/ 2 The Resource Center
  • 4. Probability (Head or Tail) 1/ + 1/ =1 2 2 Probability ( A or B) = P(A) + P(B) Probability 1 The Resource Center
  • 5. Example of 2 coins tossed Case 1: 2 H Case 2: 2 T Case 3: H & T The Resource Center
  • 6. What is the probability of “a head and tail”? Favorable outcome Total outcome 1/ = 3 The Resource Center
  • 7. Wrong Case 1: HH Case 2 : TT Case 3 : HT Case 4 : TH 2 / = 1/ So P = 4 2 The Resource Center
  • 8. With 3 coins, what is the probability of only 1 head? P (HTT) = 2 (1/ )*(1/ 1/ ) 1/ = 8 2)*( 2 Joint P = P(A) * P(B) * P(C) P (THT) and P (TTH) are also 1/ each. 8 1/ + 1/ + 1/ = 3/ So P = 8 8 8 8 The Resource Center
  • 9. 2 dice are thrown Find the probability that the sum of faces is 1 P=0 Probability The Resource Center 0
  • 10. Find the probability that the sum of faces is 2 Probability = 1/ 36 The Resource Center
  • 11. Find the probability that the sum of faces is 12 Probability = 1/ 36 The Resource Center
  • 12. Find the probability that the sum of faces is 6 Total Sum Set = { 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12} So Probability = 1/ 11 The Resource Center
  • 13. Wrong Total outcomes = 6*6 = 36 Favorable outcomes { (3,3), (2,4), (1,5), (4,2), (5,1) } 5/ P = 36 Probability of all outcomes should be equal The Resource Center
  • 14. 2 dice are thrown Find the probability that the sum is single digit The Resource Center
  • 15. Prob ( Sum = 2) = 1/ 36 Prob ( Sum = 3) = 2/ 36 Prob ( Sum = 4) = 3/ 36 Prob ( Sum = 5) = 4/ 36 The Resource Center
  • 16. Prob ( Sum = 6) = 36 5/ Prob ( Sum = 7) = 366/ Prob ( Sum = 8) = 365/ Prob ( Sum = 9) = 364/ Total = (1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 6 + 5 + 4) 36 The Resource Center
  • 17. Alternatively Prob ( Sum = 10) = 3/ 36 Prob ( Sum = 11) = 2/ 36 Prob ( Sum = 12) = 1/ 36 The Resource Center
  • 18. P ( Sum 10,11 or 12) = 36 6/ P (Sum is not 10, 11 or 12) 6/ 30/ = 1 - 36 = 36 P(A c) = 1 - P(A) Its easier to work out the complement sometimes... The Resource Center
  • 19. 4 dice are thrown - probability that there are 3 sixes and another number Favorable outcome = 1*1*1*5*4 Total outcomes = 6*6*6*6 P = 20 / 6 4 The Resource Center
  • 20. Probability that a number is divisible by 2 is P= 1/ 2 The Resource Center
  • 21. Probability that a number is divisible by 3 is P= 1/ 3 The Resource Center
  • 22. Probability that a number is divisible by 2 or 3 is P= 1/ + 1/ = 5/ 2 3 6 The Resource Center
  • 23. Is it? Probability that number is divisible by 2 or 3 is 1/ + 1/ - 1/ = 4/ = 2 / 2 3 6 6 3 P (A B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A B) The Resource Center
  • 24. 10 coins are tossed, what is the probability that only one is a tail or head? The Resource Center
  • 25. Prob of 1 H, 9 T is = 1/ but 210, there are 10 such cases. So prob = 10/2 10 Prob of 9 H, 1 T is = 10/2 10 Prob of one tail or head is = 10/2 10 + 10/210 = 10/29 The Resource Center
  • 26. In a single toss of 4 coins what is the probability of getting at least one head? P (no heads) = 1/ 16. P (at least 1 head) = 1- 1/ = 15/ 16 16 The Resource Center
  • 27. In a single toss of 4 coins what is the probability of getting at most 1 head? P (no heads) = 16. 1/ 1/ P (1 H & 3 T) = 16 * 4. P (at most 1 H) 5/ = P (0 H) + P (1 H) = 16 The Resource Center
  • 28. 2 cards are successively drawn without replacement. Probability that both are greater than 2 & less than 9 is The Resource Center
  • 29. There are 6 * 4 = 24 cards P (1st card) = 24/ 52 P (2nd card) = 23/ 51 Joint P = 24/ * 23/ 52 51 The Resource Center
  • 30. Probability of 1 st ball blue & 2 nd white without replacement? The Resource Center
  • 31. first ball blue = 4/ 2/ 10 = 5. second ball white = 9 6/ = 2/ 3 Joint P = 2/ x 2/ = 4/ 5 3 15 The Resource Center
  • 32. Probability of all 4 being blue - without replacement? The Resource Center
  • 33. = (7/ 6/ )*(5/ )*(4/ ) 13)*( 12 11 10 7/ = 143 The Resource Center
  • 34. Probability of all four not blue - without replacement? The Resource Center
  • 35. =1- 7/ 143 = 136/ 143 The Resource Center
  • 36. Probability that all are of same color? The Resource Center
  • 37. All white = 6/ x 5/ x 4/ x 3/ = 3/ 13 12 11 10 143 Probability all same color = P (all B) + P (all W) = 10/ 143 The Resource Center
  • 38. The probability that a card drawn from a pack of 52 cards is a diamond/king? There are 13 diamonds and 4 kings, but one of them is a king of diamond. Therefore, P= (13 + 4 - 1) / 16/ 52 = 52 The Resource Center
  • 39. In a lottery of tickets numbered 1 to 50, 2 tickets are drawn. The probability that both are prime numbers is: The Resource Center
  • 40. (15 prime numbers from 1 - 50) 15/ P (1st being prime) = 50 P (2nd being prime) = 4914/ P (both prime) = 15*14 / 50*49 The Resource Center
  • 41. An AA gun can take max 4 shots. P of hitting the plane at the 1 st, 2nd, 3rd and 4 th shot are 0.4, 0.3, 0.2, 0.1 resp. P that the gun hits the plane is: The Resource Center
  • 42. Probability of hitting the plane = P (the plane is hit at least once) = 1 - (1-p1)(1-p2)(1-p3)(1-p4) = 1 - (0.6)*(0.7)*(0.8)*(0.9) = (1 - 0.3024) = 0.6976 The Resource Center
  • 43. A contains 4 red and 5 white balls and B contains 3 red and 7 white balls. 1 ball is drawn from A and 2 from B. Find the probability that out of 3, 2 are white and 1 is red. The Resource Center
  • 44. P(2 W & 1 R) = P[(1 R from 1 st and 2 W from 2 nd or (1 W from 1 st,1 W and 1 R from 2 nd)] 4/ )*(7/ )*(6/ )+ (5/ )*(7/ )*(3/ ) ( 9 10 9 9 9 10 7/ = 15 The Resource Center
  • 45. A speaks the truth in 75% and B in 80% of the cases. In how many cases will they contradict each other narrating the same incident. The Resource Center
  • 46. P(A and B contradict each other) = P[(A tells truth and B tells a lie) or P(A tells a lie and B tells truth) = 3 /4 * 1 /5 + 1 /4 * 4 / 5 = 207/ The Resource Center
  • 47. P of two events E and F are 0.25 and 0.50 resp. P of their simultaneous occurrence is 0.14. P that neither E occurs nor F is: The Resource Center
  • 48. P (E U F) = 0.25 + 0.50 - 0.14 = 0.61. Now, P (neither E nor F) = 1 - P(E U F) = 1 - 0.61 = 0.39 The Resource Center
  • 49. The probability that a leap year selected at random will contain 53 Sundays, is: The Resource Center
  • 50. A leap year contains 366 days and therefore, 52 weeks and 2 days. Now, there can be 7 different combinations of the remaining two days, where 2 favour the required event. Hence, P = 2/7. The Resource Center
  • 51. The probability of solving a problem by A, B, and C 1/ , 1/ and 1/ are 2 3 4 respectively. The probability that the problem is solved is: The Resource Center
  • 52. P = 1 - P(that the problem remains unsolved) = 1 - (1-p1)(1- p2)(1- p3) =1-( 2 1/ )*(2/ )*(3/ ) 3 4 = 1 - 1 /4 = 43/ The Resource Center
  • 53. If P that A and B will die within a year are a and b resp, P that only one of them will be alive at the end of the year is: The Resource Center
  • 54. Required probability = P(A dies & B alive) or P(A is alive and B dies.) = a (1 - b) + (1 - a) b = a + b - 2ab. The Resource Center
  • 55. In a row of 6 Mathematics books and 4 Physics books, the probability that 3 particular Maths books will be together is: The Resource Center
  • 56. Taking 3 books as one book, we have 8 books which can be arranged in 8! ways. These 3 books can be arranged in 3! ways. Hence n(F) = 8!*3! Also n(T) = 10!. 1/ Therefore P = (8!*3!) / 10! = 15 The Resource Center
  • 57. N cadets stand in a row. If all possible permutations are equally likely, P of 2 particular cadets standing side by side is: P = [(N-1)! * 2!] / N! = 2/ N The Resource Center
  • 58. A can solve 90% of the problems given in a book and B can solve 70%. What is P that at least 1 of them will solve a problem, selected at random? The Resource Center
  • 59. P(E) = 0.9, P(F) = 0.7 Also P(E F) = P(E)*P(F) = 0.63. Hence required probability is 0.9 + 0.7 - 0.63 = 0.97 The Resource Center
  • 60. Bag X contains 3 B and 4 W balls. Bag Y contains 4 B and 2 W balls. A bag is selected at random. From the selected bag, 1 ball is drawn. Find P that it is W. The Resource Center
  • 61. P (drawing W from X) = 7. 4/ P (drawing W from Y) = 6 2/ . Choosing either bag gives a 1/ . probability of 2 Hence, total probability 1/ (4/ + 2/ ) = 19/ = 2 7 6 42 The Resource Center
  • 62. 3 urns contain 2 W & 3 B balls, 3 W & 2 B and 4 W & 1 B resp. A ball is drawn from an urn at random and it is W. What it P that it was drawn from 1 st urn? The Resource Center
  • 63. P= 2/ )*(1/ ) ( 5 3 ------------------------------------------ (2/5)*(1/3) + (3/5)*(1/3) + (4/5)*(1/3) = 92/ The Resource Center
  • 64. X contains 5 W and 7 B balls. Y contains 7 W and 8 B. 1 ball is drawn from X and put into Y without noticing its colour. If now a ball is drawn from Y, what is P that it is W? The Resource Center
  • 65. P(transfer W ball from X & then 5/ * 8/ select W ball from Y) = 12 16 5/ . = 24 P( transfer B ball from X and then draw B ball from Y) = 7/ )*(7/ ) = 49/ ( 12 16 192. Total probability is = 5/ ) + (49/ ( 24 89/ 192) = 192 The Resource Center