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Predictive analysis of Bihar election 2015

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The Bihar legislative assembly elections in October–November 2015 as the tenure of the current Legislative Assembly of Bihar ends on November 29, 2015. Initially, the Janata Parivar group (a group of six parties- Samajwadi Party, Janata Dal (United), Rashtriya Janata Dal, Janata Dal (Secular), Indian National Lok Dal and Samajwadi Janata Party (Rashtriya)), announced to fight the election jointly under Nitish Kumar's leadership which was joined by the Indian National Congress and the Nationalist Congress Party. But later the group was left by all except JD(U), RJD and INC. On the other hand, Bharatiya Janata Party led NDA front is fighting election alongside the Lok Janshakti Party, the Rashtriya Lok Samata Party and Hindustani Awam Morcha. All Left parties fight under the banner of Left Front.

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Predictive analysis of Bihar election 2015

  1. 1. (1 Aug 2015 to 26 Oct 2015) Predictive Analysis of Bihar Election 2015 Analysis Report By @vikashnsingh
  2. 2. About- Share of Voice (SOV%) Analysis •We tracked online mentions for Bihar Pools, from 1 Aug 2015 to 26 Oct 2015 •NDA occupies maximum online space with 49.9% SOV •Videos generate the most number of mentions with the maximum share enjoyed by RJD •The closest competitor (JD(U) + RJD + INC) with 45.3% SOV and mostly mentioned on News & Twitter *This predictive analysis is based on mentions in social media. As election is continue, so data may change accordingly. **As of now NDA is going to win the Bihar elections with 121 seats NDA 121 seats, (JD(U) + RJD + INC) 110 seats & CPI 12 seats Twitter Blog Forum News Video PositiveNegativeNetural JD(U) 6,275 9.5% 4,674 180 9 1,285 127 48% 10% 42% RJD 21,077 32.0% 7,155 565 66 12,999 292 24% 12% 54% INC 2,497 3.8% 1,516 79 7 891 4 42% 26% 32% NDA 32,876 49.9% 19,034 565 74 12,961 242 36% 17% 47% CPI 3,213 4.9% 573 81 6 2,547 6 45% 9% 46% Party Mention SOV% Platform Wise Mentions Sentiment Analysis
  3. 3. Social Media Activity Overall Sentiment
  4. 4. Buzz Graph & Word Cloud
  5. 5. Overall Popularity
  6. 6. Twitter Analysis Twitter Reach 5 billion estimated impressions from 429,281 Twitter mentions by 235,589 users
  7. 7. Twitter Analysis- Geo Search
  8. 8. Twitter Analysis- Geo Search
  9. 9. Most Authoritative
  10. 10. Most retweeted Tweets
  11. 11. Blogs
  12. 12. News, Forums & Videos
  13. 13. Thanks You (C) vikashnsingh

The Bihar legislative assembly elections in October–November 2015 as the tenure of the current Legislative Assembly of Bihar ends on November 29, 2015. Initially, the Janata Parivar group (a group of six parties- Samajwadi Party, Janata Dal (United), Rashtriya Janata Dal, Janata Dal (Secular), Indian National Lok Dal and Samajwadi Janata Party (Rashtriya)), announced to fight the election jointly under Nitish Kumar's leadership which was joined by the Indian National Congress and the Nationalist Congress Party. But later the group was left by all except JD(U), RJD and INC. On the other hand, Bharatiya Janata Party led NDA front is fighting election alongside the Lok Janshakti Party, the Rashtriya Lok Samata Party and Hindustani Awam Morcha. All Left parties fight under the banner of Left Front.

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