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Bamboo nnovator 
1 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Wide-Moat Investing In the Asian Capital Jungle 
Navigating with the Bamboo Innovator approach 
11th Value Investing Seminar, Trani 
July 17-18, 2014 
KB Kee 
Managing Editor 
The Moat Report Asia 
www.moatreport.com 
www.twitter.com/bambooinnovator 
bambooinnovator@gmail.com 
The Da Vinci Flying Machine can be 
considered as Leonardo’s Magnum 
Opus in scientific design. Leonardo 
had designed the frame to be made 
with bamboo shoots. 
Marco Polo on bamboo: “… stronger 
than hemp… One of the engineering 
marvels of the world.” 
SSRN: http://ssrn.com/author=1174940 
Moat Report Asia publications: http://www.moatreport.com/updates/ 
BeyondProxy publications: http://www.beyondproxy.com/author/koon-boon-kee/ 
SMU profile: http://accountancy.smu.edu.sg/directory/Kee-Koon-boon 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
2 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
To Catch An Asian Snake: 
Detecting Accounting Frauds Ahead of the Curve 
Value Unplugged, Naples 
KB Kee 
Managing Editor 
The Moat Report Asia 
July 14-16, 2014 
www.moatreport.com 
www.twitter.com/bambooinnovator 
bambooinnovator@gmail.com 
SSRN: http://ssrn.com/author=1174940 
Moat Report Asia publications: http://www.moatreport.com/updates/ 
BeyondProxy publications: http://www.beyondproxy.com/author/koon-boon-kee/ 
SMU profile: http://accountancy.smu.edu.sg/directory/Kee-Koon-boon 
Krishna dances over the subdued poisonous 
Kaliya snake in river Yamuna, where only one 
solitary Kadamba tree grew on the river bank. 
From a Bhagavata Purana manuscript, c. 1640. 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
3 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Taiwan’s Bamboo Innovators 80: Who Are They? 
$93 billion 
MXAPJ 
$7.2 trillion 
13.7x 
Bamboo Innovators 
bend, not break, even 
in the most terrifying 
storm that would snap 
the mighty resisting 
oak tree. It survives, 
therefore it conquers. 
GreTai 
Bamboo Innovators 
Watchlist: 
Taiwan 80 
TaiEx 
Market Cap 
PE 
$880 billion 
17.7x 
Source: Bloomberg, 24 Jun 2014 
31.2x 
The Taiwan stock market (TaiEx) has approximately 800 
companies with total market cap of $870 billion, while the 
GreTai OTC market has around 700 companies with total 
market cap of $92 billion. TaiEx is ranked the #15 global stock 
exchange by trading value. 
5% 
Institutional subscribers get access to the Bamboo Innovator Index of 200+ companies and 
Watchlist of 500+ companies in Asia and the Database has eliminated companies with a higher 
probability of accounting frauds and misgovernance as well as the alluring value traps. 
Index 222 + Watchlist 312 = Bamboo Innovators 534 
Index Big Mid Small Micro TOTAL % 
Singapore 3 5 2 10 4.5% 
HK 8 10 7 1 26 11.7% 
Korea 2 9 14 1 26 11.7% 
Taiwan 2 14 8 24 10.8% 
Thailand 1 6 15 3 25 11.3% 
Indonesia 2 8 5 2 17 7.7% 
Malaysia 2 7 9 7 25 11.3% 
Philippines 2 6 2 10 4.5% 
India 2 14 9 25 11.3% 
ANZ 4 15 12 3 34 15.3% 
TOTAL 28 94 82 17 222 100.0% 
Watchlist Big Mid Small Micro TOTAL % 
Singapore 8 5 13 4.2% 
HK 1 9 9 19 6.1% 
Korea 3 14 19 4 40 12.8% 
Taiwan 2 21 29 4 56 17.9% 
Thailand 1 11 6 19 37 11.9% 
Indonesia 4 9 11 3 27 8.7% 
Malaysia 7 7 5 19 6.1% 
Philippines 8 5 13 4.2% 
India 5 28 25 2 60 19.2% 
ANZ 12 13 3 28 9.0% 
TOTAL 16 127 129 40 312 100.0% 
Big >$10bn, Mid $1-10bn, Small $200m-1bn, Micro <$200m 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator
Bamboo nnovator 
4 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Resilience: The Ability to Replicate & Scale from Scratch & 
The Indestructible Intangibles to Bounce Back From Crisis! 
$48B 
Sales 
$180B 
Mkt Cap 
“If you gave me $100 billion and 
said, ‘Take away the soft-drink 
leadership of Coca-Cola in the 
world,' I’d give it back to you and 
say it can’t be done.” - Buffett 
$68B 
Sales 
>$150B 
Value 
Robert Bosch (1861-1942) worked as apprentice at German 
companies, in US under Thomas Edison, in UK at Siemens 
1st breakthrough: Magneto ignition device (1887) 
2nd breakthrough: MID to vehicle engine (1897, 1902) 
Global expansion: 1898-1913 
WWI (1914): Lost it all! Factories and plants all destroyed! 
Never give up: Electric horn (1921), windshield wiper 
(1926), power brake system (1927) 
Boat engines, jet skis, garden and forestry equipment, gas 
engines, water pumps and emergency generators… 
2012: 11 billion spark plugs produced by Bosch 
Ownership: 8% Bosch family, 92% Foundation (1938 will) 
Burn and destroy all the 
tangible assets! 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator
Bamboo nnovator 
5 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
“The first rule is that you can’t 
really know anything if you just 
remember isolated facts and try 
and bang them back. If the facts 
don’t hang together on a 
latticework of theory, you don’t 
have them in a usable form. 
You've got to have models in 
your head. And you've got to 
array your experience - both 
vicarious and direct - on this 
latticework of models.” 
– Charles Munger, “A Lesson on 
Elementary, Worldly Wisdom As 
It Relates To Investment 
Management & Business ”, USC 
Business School, 1994 
Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator 
Bamboos Bend, Not Break in the wildest storms that would snap the mighty resisting 
oak trees; it survives and therefore it conquers. 
A “Good-to-Great” checklist 
approach might overlook the 
resilient Bamboo Innovators. 
After all, there are much 
larger impressive trees in the 
forest. By comparison a 
bamboo looks smaller, 
thinner, and fragile. The list of 
Bamboo Innovators is a 
surprising one; many of them 
are not the typical ones that 
one would come across. 
Empty hollow center 
The nutrients and moisture that 
would have been exhausted 
making and maintaining this 
empty center can be utilized for 
growth of other culms. From a 
builder’s viewpoint, the 
architecture of the bamboo culm 
presents a powerful configuration: 
fibers of greatest strength occur in 
increasing concentration toward 
the periphery of the plant. 
“Rootedness” in cultivating a culture of kindness, trust and 
cooperation to contend with and heal creative dissent and 
incentivize innovative experimentations R Rootedness 
E Emptiness 
S Sheath 
“Emptiness” like the empty hollow center of a bamboo in having 
(1) “indestructible intangibles” which in turn derives its strength 
from either a certain know-how or trust and support in the 
community; (2) a “core-periphery” network; and (3) an “open-innovation” 
business model in which both internal and external 
partners co-develop new products and creations. 
“Sheath” in leadership to create the context, adaptive-govern, 
coordinate, synthesize and weave diverse networks and groups who 
might otherwise be excluded into a coherent whole, rather than the 
typical command-and-control “positional/title-based” leadership. 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator
Bamboo nnovator 
6 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Search Methodology for Bamboo Innovators: 
“Emptiness” in Business Model 
Indestructible 
Intangibles 
 Proprietary know-how 
 Trust and support from 
community of customers, 
suppliers, partners 
Open Innovation 
 Both internal and external 
partners co-develop new products 
and services 
 Qualcomm (QCOM US) 
 Ecolab (ECL US) 
 Luxottica (LUX US) 
 Novozymes (NZYMB DC) 
 TSMC (2330 TT) 
 CSL Limited (CSL AU) 
220+ 
Bamboo 
Innovators 
U.S. 
Europe 
Asia 
Core-Periphery 
Network 
 Scaling by empowerment and 
decision-rights beyond the founder 
 Scaling by technology as an 
enabler and embedded into the 
business model design 
 RockTenn (RKT US) 
 Balchem (BCPC US) 
 O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY US) 
 Sherwin-Williams (SHW US) 
 Fastenal (FAST US) 
 Bosch, IMA SpA (IMA IM) 
 Novo Nordisk (NVO DC) 
 Inditex (ITX SM) 
 ASSA Abloy (ASSAB SS) 
 Yunnan Baiyao (000538 CH) 
 Kewpie (2809 JP) 
 DKSH (DKSH MK) 
 Major Cineplex (MAJOR TB) 
 Home Product Center (HMPRO TB) 
530+ 
Watch List 
~15,000* 
Listed Asian 
Stocks 
* Asia ex-Japan ex-China A-shares. 
Includes India, HK, Taiwan, Korea, 
Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, 
Indonesia, Philippines, Australia, 
New Zealand, with a market value 
of over $8.5 trillion. If Japan and 
China A-shares were included, the 
investment universe is expanded 
to over 20,000 stocks with a 
market value of over $15 trillion. 
3.7% 
1.8% 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator
Bamboo nnovator 
7 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
An Italian Bamboo Innovator: IMA SpA 
But the Asian Capital Jungle is Far More Complex…. 
Q: Why is it that throughout the financial crisis, Italy has 
remained Europe’s second-largest export economy, after 
Germany, despite Italy being ranked as the 80th place in the 
World Bank’s “Ease of Doing Business” survey because of 
his strong labor unions, seemingly boundless bureaucracy, 
organized crime, and endemic tax evasion? 
Hidden global champion: Do you know that 70% of the tea filter bags in the world are made 
from IMA’s automatic packaging machines? 
Intangible know-how in high-tech automatic machinery applications in packaging: World 
leader in the design and manufacture of automatic machines for the processing and packaging of 
pharmaceuticals (tablet, capsule filling, coating, freeze dry etc), cosmetics, tea, coffee and foods. 
IMA has filed about 1,200 patents worldwide and has launched many new machine models over 
the last years. Over 400 of its 3,600 workforce are designers committed to product innovation. 
Established in 1961 in Bologna (Emilia Romagna – the “Packaging Valley”), listed in Milan Stock 
Exchange since 1995 
760.9 million Euros for the fiscal year 2013 (export: 92%). 
Vacchi family 66.2%. 
Quiet innovator 
until 
exponential 
spurt 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
8 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Missing Cash in S-Chips (Singapore-Listed Chinese 
Companies): Left Side In, Right Side Out! 
 First, the controlling shareholders will engage in 
'propping' activities to artificially inflate the sales 
and assets of the listed firms through related-party 
transactions (RPTs) to entice the funds of investors 
who did their 'fundamental analysis' of the firms. 
Artificial accrued sales are booked under 'other 
receivables', while the bogus cash-based sales stay 
hidden in the 'cash & cash equivalents‘. 
 After 'propping', 'tunnelling' or expropriation of 
these assets out of the listed firm follows, 
engineered through related-lending and transfer 
activities which are rarely paid back by the 
controlling shareholders. These cash transfers are 
done artfully, often in short-term transactions in 
order to be qualified as 'cash equivalents'. That 
explains why most of the artificial cash balances in 
these firms typically earn low average interest rates, 
at below one per cent, when the typical bank rate in 
China varies between 5 and 10 per cent. 
 In other words, there is left-side in via propping, 
and right-side out via tunnelling. 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator
Bamboo nnovator 
9 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
The Case of Sino-Environment 
 Take the case of the high-profile and 'highly profitable' S-chip Sino- 
Environment. Footnote 12 of their 2008 Annual Report revealed that the 
average interest rate earned from their 728 million yuan (S$143 million) cash 
in the balance sheet is merely 0.56 per cent. In Footnote 13, the amount due 
and dividend receivable from its subsidiaries in the company accounts is 282 
million yuan. In their group accounts, the amount of non-trade receivables is 
240 million yuan out of the 276.5 million yuan in total receivables. 
 From Footnote 12, Sino-Environment possibly made dubious related-party 
acquisitions, financed by the IPO and secondary equity offerings, to cancel 
the artificial receivables that were created in collusion with the related 
parties, and booking the set-off as goodwill and intangible assets which 
stood at 228 million yuan. 
 In a Raju-deja vu fashion, property was involved. According to news articles 
reporting about the firm's situation, its chairman Sun Jiangrong reportedly 
tried to siphon away a 100 per cent stake in Chongqing Daqing Property, 
which owned properties in China worth 10 billion yuan, to his Hong Kong 
private firm called Top One Property Group, and later to a Chinese firm 
owned by his brother, Sun Shaofeng, the chairman of HK-listed China Green. 
 Wrote and submitted the article in Apr 2010. Published on 25 Nov 2010 
in Business Times Singapore 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator
Bamboo nnovator 
10 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Left Side In, Right Side Out! 
Sino-Environment-China Green (904 HK) Connection 
China Green 
Published article 
 Wrote and submitted the article in Apr 2010. Published on 25 Nov 2010 in Business Times Singapore 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator
Bamboo nnovator 
11 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Egana (48 HK) and Peacemark (304 HK): Durable Consumer 
Franchise & Value Stocks With Lotsa Cash in Balance Sheet? 
Egana (48 HK): HK$1.4 billion “cash and cash 
equivalents”; ~HK$1 billion are promissory 
notes due from related investment companies 
Peacemark (304 HK): HK$600 million net cash; 
HK$330 were “deposits” placed with related 
parties 
• Of the HK$1B, $693.7m was rolled over upon maturity for 
another one to three months. These promissory notes have 
been building up for years. This begs the question of how 
many times some of these notes have been rolled over, who 
the borrowers are, and what ability they have to repay. 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
12 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Dalang-mite: The Primacy of Governance Pitfall in Value 
Investing in Asia 
Q: Why are the faces and clothes of puppets 
in the wayang performance – a traditional 
Javanese show – painted with bright colors 
when the audience sitting behind the screen 
can only see their shadows? More 
importantly, why is the philosophy 
underlying the wayang performance critical 
for value investing in Asia? 
A: Colors of the puppets are not meant to be seen by the common masses; only the audience 
behind the stage, those who are closer to the puppet master, the dalang, have the privilege 
of seeing the true colors of the faces and costumes of the puppets. When a warrior like 
Arjuna or Bima is about to appear, the dalang places on that puppet a golden mask. The 
privileged few behind the screen close to the dalang know in advance that a war is about to 
begin before the front audience sees it over the screen and they have a deeper understanding 
of the feelings and behavior of the manipulator. 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
The Case of PT Davomas, Indonesia’s Second-Largest Cocoa 
Processor with MNC Customers 
Davomas was listed in the Jakarta Stock Exchange in 1994 and it grew to become the largest exporter of semi-processed 
chocolate products (cocoa powder and cocoa butter) in Indonesia with international trading houses and 
large chocolate manufacturers in Europe and US as their customers. Davomas became a darling stock with its growth 
prospects and technologically-advanced facilities. In Apr 2007, the main shareholders Tse Kam Bui and Husein Sutjiadi 
sold a 24.9% stake to a handful of investors at Rp400 per share, raising about IDR 610.2bn ($67m). Foreign institutional 
investors such as Templeton became significant shareholders. Davomas continues to enjoy glowing sell-side research 
reports such as the one on the right dated 25 Jan 2008. 
On May 2009, Davomas shares were suspended because it defaulted on its $238m 11% guaranteed senior bonds 
due 2011. Shareholders agreed to a restructuring plan involving an exchange offer for the original bonds and a $33m 
shareholder loan. The shareholder loan was from the secretive majority owner Tse Kam Bui who controls five BVI-registered 
companies that together hold a 51% stake in Davomas. The debt to the BVI companies was immediately 
repaid via a rights offering for those shareholders. The original bondholders took a 50% haircut and exchanged for 
$119m variable interest rate guaranteed secured bonds due 2014 and retained security over the assets of Davomas 
and the BVI companies. In March 2012, Davomas once again defaulted on its debt due 2014. In June 2012, Davomas 
shockingly reported new debt of IDR 2.87tr to PT Aneka Surya Agro (PT ASA), allegedly a supplier to Davomas. Although 
the debt represented more than four times equity and more than double its IDR 1.32tr in revenue, no other 
information about the transaction was given. 
The June 2012 debt restructuring called for the conversion of all outstanding debt into equity in Davomas. However, 
the debt-to-equity conversion requires the consent from the general meeting of shareholders and the shareholders’ 
meeting on Sep 2012 was cancelled due to confusion regarding the identity of the persons entitled to represent the 
majority shareholders, namely the secretive Tse Kam Bui. The irregularities in its financial statements remain 
unexplained. Later, it was suspected that PT ASA belongs to this secretive controlling owner, the dalang behind all the 
transactions. The aggrieved bondholders and shareholders are still demanding for justice. 
13 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
Microlife: Boring Global #1/#2 in Patient Monitoring Device 
(Digital Thermometer/Blood Pressure Monitor) 
ROE 21% with a unique solution-services business model protected by innovative worldwide patents 
Durable Franchise Value in Boring and 
Resilient Patient Monitoring Device – 
and a Quiet, Powerful Cost Consolidator 
Microlife’s manufacturing technology 
platform has enabled it to build a global 
durable franchise in the niche patient 
monitoring device market that has stable 
resilient growth and yet is experiencing 
potential disruptions led by Microlife’s new 
innovation in blood pressure monitoring 
protected by worldwide patents. Microlife has 
the potential to consolidate the market further. 
Worldwide Patents in Algorithm- 
Technology in Afib and MAM blood 
pressure measurement 
Microlife’s worldwide patents in algorithm-technology 
in blood pressure measurement has 
been commercialized into the WatchBP product 
series that is at the heart of its total solution 
service business model. This valuable intangible 
asset is not factored into long-term valuation. 
Potential Takeover Target by Omron, J&J 
Microlife’s long-term terminal value and 
downside risk will be protected by giants such 
as Omron, J&J (LifeScan), Bayer, Abbott etc who 
wish to swallow it up to possess its valuable 
manufacturing technology platform and 
worldwide patents. 
14 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Why is Microlife 
underappreciated still? 
Valuable Process IP/Know-How and 
(LifeScan), Bayer, Abbott 
Global #1 Market Share 
(Digital Thermometer) 
50% 
Worldwide Patents in Algorithm- 
Technology in Afib and MAM 
The innovative WatchBP with the Afib 
detection and MAM technology are not 
merely additional features; it “forces” 
the clinical community to adopt them as 
the standard, which in turn helps drive 
home-use penetration. It transforms the 
BPM product into a unique strategy. 
Worldwide Patents 
in Afib and MAM 
Total Solution Service 
Business Model 
Incorporates software 
development to create 
value-added services for 
health monitoring and 
collaborating with hospitals 
and governments on tele-healthcare 
Microlife’s ROE 21% (Why?) 
projects. 
Global #2 Market Share 
(Digital Blood Pressure 
Monitor) 
17-18% 
Quiet, Powerful Cost Consolidator 
Reliable manufacturing platform for 
over 30 years with in-house capabilities 
to combine Swiss design, high-precision 
electronics with clinical healthcare to 
produce world-class products with cost 
competitiveness. 
Sticky ODM Partner to 
Reputable Customers 
Diversified customer base to 
customers such as Wal- 
Mart, Costco, CVS, 
Walgreen’s; none accounts 
for >10% of sales. 
US #1 Market Share 
(Electric Flexible 
Heating Blankets) 
50% 
91% of Sales in 
Developed Markets 
(54% US, 37% Europe) 
EV/EBIT 9.7x 
EV/EBITDA 8.8x 
Dividend 5.6% 
Net Cash 23% MV 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
15 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Salient Points 
See Appendix for the Full and Complimentary Version of The Moat Report Asia 
(1) An undervalued hidden world champion: 
World’s #1 and #2 manufacturer of two healthcare equipment 
Decent valuation: EV/EBIT 9.7x, EV/EBITDA 8.8x 
Sustainable dividend yield: 5.6% 
Healthy net-cash balance sheet: 23% of market value 
Shareholder-friendly: Reduce 10% of shares outstanding in Sep 2012 to boost capital efficiency 
(2) It’s boring! It’s misunderstood! Why wide-moat (Part 1)?: 
Quiet powerful cost consolidator: Reliable manufacturing technology platform to build a global durable franchise 
in the niche patient monitoring device market that has stable resilient growth 
In-house capabilities to combine Swiss design, high-precision electronics and sensor components 
Core competence of having an algorithm to allow fast reading/filtering of signals and outputting the accurate 
results in a short period of time 
Worldwide patents in innovative algorithm technology in Afib and MAM to support its total solution service 
business model 
Valuable intangible asset is not factored into long-term valuation 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
Conversation with Management: Microlife’s Founder and 
Chairman LIN Kin-yuan (KY Lin) 
Q: “What is the secret to Microlife’s success in maintaining such high profitability in relatively 
mature - and even boring! – products that are seemingly simple to manufacture with low 
barriers to entry?” 
KY: “There’s big knowledge even in this seeming simple and boring digital and infrared 
thermometer products. The speed in measuring body temperature is not limited to the 
sensitivity of the sensor device but rather how the thermometer can rapidly reach the 
calibration point of the body temperature with different physical principles of thermometry. As 
these techniques involve specialized knowledge and industry secrets, they are protected by 
patents. Microlife is one of the rare few in the whole world to have the capability to produce 
models with read time of 1 to 60 seconds. This is something that the rest of our rivals can never 
match. For infrared ear thermometers, after shooting out the infrared energy to measure the 
temperature, the sensory parts must receive the signal and convert the radiant power to an 
electrical signal that can be displayed in units of temperature after being compensated for 
ambient temperature. It involves high-precision parts and complicated configuration and 
calculations before reaching an accurate standard. Thus, the barrier to entry is not low. 
Our R&D in Taiwan concentrates on high-tech electronics parts and components, such as the in-house 
manufacture of sensors, establishing the high-precision measurement platform, 
temperature micro-controller design. Our Europe medical R&D and clinical trial center artfully 
combines high-precision electronics with healthcare to produce world-class high-quality 
products and new innovations. 
It’s not easy to manufacture quality thermometers with cost competitiveness. The various 
components are expensive. IC chips are the most expensive, accounting for 10-15% of the total 
cost. LCD 10%, sensor 10%, pump 10%. We have economies of scale in procurement and 
manufacturing. We will continue to consolidate this market, albeit gradually. Our market share is 
around 40% five years ago and about 50% now. Our market share is higher for higher-end 
products, especially for the range of infrared products.” 
16 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Microlife’s KY Lin, 61 years old 
“There’s big knowledge even in this 
seeming simple and boring digital 
and infrared thermometer products… 
As these techniques involve 
specialized knowledge and industry 
secrets, they are protected by 
patents. Microlife is one of the rare 
few in the whole world to have the 
capability to produce models with 
read time of 1 to 60 seconds. This is 
something that the rest of our rivals 
can never match… For infrared…It 
involves high-precision parts and 
complicated configuration and 
calculations before reaching an 
accurate standard. Thus, the barrier 
to entry is not low.” 
Chinese-to-English translation by KB Kee. 
Any translation errors are mine. 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
17 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Atrial Fibrillation (Afib) and Stroke Prevention 
Microlife has worldwide patents in Afib in BPM 
http://well.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/06/25/longer-heart-monitoring-backed-for-stroke-patients/?_php=true&_type=blogs&_r=0 
http://well.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/12/30/with-a-fib-rhythms-higher-odds-of-stroke/?_php=true&_type=blogs&_r=0 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
18 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
WatchBP is the only solution announced by Italy’s medical 
society SIMG (Società Italiana di Medicina Generale) 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
Disruptive Technology with Clinical Use: The WatchBP is the potential disruptive 
technology in the blood pressure monitor market as it has increasingly gained the 
acceptance as the preferred clinical use with implemented guidelines given its 
patented measurement of Afib with hypertension to detect stroke and hear diseases 
in advance. The WatchBP also has professional analytical software to enable easy 
and accurate diagnosis. 
Logarithmic vs Exponential Growth: BPM has been a logarithmic growth market 
as incremental functional improvements are enhancers to the product. We believe 
that once the hospitals and clinics start to adopt WatchBP as the standard BPM, 
home-use could rise in an exponential manner. 
Empowerment Tool as an Active Participant in Managing Health: Microlife 
developed the WatchBP solution as a way to help physicians accurately diagnose and 
treat hypertension and empower patients to be an active participant in managing 
their health. Two things drive effective care; good data and patient 
accountability. The best medical decisions are made with the best data. Patients 
also need to believe that the doctor’s advice and treatment is meaningful, 
understandable, and important to their well-being. Microlife provides accurate, 
reliable, patient-centered solutions that engage patients and empowers them to 
manage their health. 
19 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Microlife: Why Wide Moat? Fundamental Dynamics Behind 21% ROE 
WatchBP as the potential disruptive technology 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
20 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Salient Points 
See Appendix for the Full and Complimentary Version of The Moat Report Asia 
Worldwide patents in algorithm in Afib: Not just a product, but a strategy! Why wide moat (Part 2): 
- “Forces” the clinical community to adopt them as the standard, which in turn helps drive home-use penetration. 
- Transforms the BPM product into a unique strategy that incorporates software development to create value-added services for 
health monitoring and collaborating with hospitals and governments on tele-healthcare projects. 
- Watch BP Afib was soft-launched in 2010. 50,000 units are sold in 2011, and the number doubled to 100,000 units in 2012 and 
around 250,000 in 2013, about 10% of group sales. 
Sticky ODM Partner to Reputable Customers, Yet Is Able to Build Its Own Brand, Demonstrating Bargaining 
Power! Why wide moat (Part 3): 
- Microlife has a diversified customer base as the ODM partner to reputable companies including Wal-Mart, Costco, CVS and none 
of the customers account for more than 10% of Microlife’s sales. 
- Microlife has demonstrated that it has bargaining power over its powerful customers with the ability to build its own brand since 
1998 (44% of sales in DT/BPM, 62% of overall sales). 
Long-term industry growth potentially switching gears from logarithmic to exponential growth: 
- Patient monitoring device (PMD) will be a niche resilient growth segment with the rise in aging population and chronic malady. 
Patients are increasingly aware of the need to manage their own health and home-use of BPM will be a long-term growth trend. 
Nearly half of hypertensive patients are inaccurately diagnosed and accurate blood pressure measurement is increasingly difficult 
due to the complexities of modern diseases. Standard BPM are increasingly not effective. Microlife’s unique WatchBP has the 
potential to disrupt the market with the adoption led by the clinical community and possibility to spread to home-use as patients 
seek a consistent and integrated healthcare experience 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
21 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Salient Points 
See Appendix for the Full and Complimentary Version of The Moat Report Asia 
Long-term downside protection in terminal value as takeover target: 
- Microlife’s long-term terminal value and downside risk will be protected by giants such as Omron, J&J (LifeScan), Bayer, Abbott etc 
who wish to swallow it up to possess its valuable manufacturing technology platform and worldwide patents in algorithm-technology 
in Afib and MAM blood pressure measurement. 
Microlife’s KY Lin, 61 
years old 
Stable long-term shareholdings and patient capital foster innovation: 
- The stable long-term shareholdings and patient capital by the founder KY Lin and the management team 
who together own around 48% of the equity has enabled Microlife to adopt a very long-term approach 
to building its business and cultivating new growth areas. While KY may sometimes be slightly over-optimistic 
and thinking too far ahead with his long-term opinions, this idealistic engineer-visionary-philosopher 
has done a fantastic job in continuously defying the odds of many skeptics by growing 
Microlife from a small startup into one of the world’s leading patient monitoring equipment company. 
- KY is the rare Asian entrepreneur who was persistent in building his own brand despite the threat of 
offending his ODM customers. KY was also early in cultivating and coordinating a global network with 
high-tech component, R&D and manufacturing in Taiwan, manufacturing, assembly and packaging in 
Shenzhen, China and medical R&D and clinical testing and accreditation lab center in Europe, including 
making the difficult decision to establish a direct marketing sales force in Europe and North America 
given the high cost. 
- Unlike most Asian business owners whose interest and focus in the core business starts to wane due to 
complacency from growing personal wealth and the inability to scale the core business, KY is genuinely 
passionate in the company’s ability to add value to the patients and society. The idea of the innovative 
WatchBP actually came from an in-depth conversation between European hypertension specialist 
Professor George Stergiou and KY. 
- Microlife can effectively run without KY with the long-term corporate culture and management system in 
place, yet KY can inject great value as the steward in new innovations; we believe that this combination is 
rare for an Asian company and deserves a valuation premium. 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
22 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Microlife 10-Year Price Chart 
Microlife breaks into 
Wal-Mart 
Tipping Point: 
WatchBP soft-launched 
in 
Switzerland and 
Europe 
Sep: Reduce share capital by 
10% to boost capital efficiency 
Oct: New MAM series in blood 
Anti-dumping saga in US against 
Chinese imports. Sales of Microlife’s 
Made-in-China Biddeford was affected 
and Microlife shifted its production 
facilities to Philippines. 
Sales from Microlife 
brand exceeded 
OEM/ODM business 
Microlife is listed in GTSM (GreTai Securities Market) on Mar 29, 2001. 
Source: http://investing.businessweek.com/research/stocks/charts/charts.asp?ticker=4103:TT 
pressure monitors 
UK’s NICE announces 
WatchBP to be used in 
hospitals; 10th 
consecutive A award 
for Most Transparent, 
Best Disclosure listed 
company; Frost & 
Sullivan award. 
WatchBP sales growth 
accelerated from 
50,000 in 2011, 
100,000 in 2012 to 
250,000 in 2013. 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
23 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Market Statistics and Financial Summary: 
PE 13x, EV/EBIT 9.7x, EV/EBITDA 8.8x, Dividend Yield 5.6% 
Financial Summary 
YE Dec, TWD mil 2010 2011 2012 2013 US$M 
Sales 5,622.9 5,124.4 5,367.8 5,896.7 196.7 
GP 2,067.8 1,794.9 2,005.9 2,201.5 73.4 
EBIT 582.3 464.1 676.0 705.9 23.5 
EBITDA 636.4 507.5 721.5 778.0 26.0 
Net Income 430.2 468.8 557.2 633.6 21.1 
CFO (Op Cashflow) 230.1 321.0 769.0 677.0 22.6 
Capex -92.9 -74.3 -41.0 -60.6 -2.0 
Profitability 
GP Margin 36.8% 35.0% 37.4% 37.3% 
EBIT Margin 10.4% 9.1% 12.6% 12.0% 
EBITDA Margin 11.3% 9.9% 13.4% 13.2% 
Net Margin 7.7% 9.1% 10.4% 10.7% 
GP/TA 46.4% 41.0% 44.4% 42.2% 
ROA 9.6% 10.7% 12.3% 12.1% 
CFO/Total Asset 5.2% 7.3% 17.0% 13.0% 
ROE 16.3% 16.9% 19.9% 20.9% 
Market Stats 
Date: Jun 24, 2014 
Share Price: TWD 74.2 
Market Cap: US$272m 
Shares Outstanding: 110m 
FX Rate: USDTWD 30.0 
Daily Liquidity: $0.3m 
52 Week: TWD 73.4-91.9 
Valuation Summary 
P/E (FY13): 13.1x 
P/Book (FY13): 2.73x 
P/Sales (FY13): 1.40x 
P/CFO (FY13): 12.2x 
EV/EBIT (FY13): 9.7x 
EV/EBITDA (FY13): 8.8x 
ROA (FY13): 12.1% 
ROE (FY13): 20.9% 
Div Yield: 5.66% 
Cash vs Accruals 2010 2011 2012 2013 
Capex% Sales -1.7% -1.4% -0.8% -1.0% 
AR Day 77 100 99 112 
Inventory Day 48 55 49 59 
AP Day 74 68 62 80 
CCC 51 87 86 91 
Leverage 
Mkt Value (TWD mil) 7,211 6,111 6,490 8,943 
Shares Outstanding 122.2 122.2 110.0 110.0 
Net Debt -1,424 -1,268 -1,371 -1,405 
Debt/Book Equity -53.9% -45.8% -49.0% -46.3% 
R.E.S.-ilence Factors in Value Creation 
R = “Rootedness” in innovative culture? 
E = “Emptiness” in business model durability & scalability? 
(1) Indestructible intangibles in know-how and trust and support from community? 
(2) Core-periphery business model via technology and empowerment? 
(3) Open innovation business model? 
S = “Sheath” leadership/ management quality? 
Ownership 
Management & family 46.9% 
Foreign investors 14.4% 
(Franklin Resource 11.1%) 
Domestic funds & fin 12.5% 
Risk Factors 
Industry dynamics 
Business transparency 
Accounting quality 
Corporate governance 
Catalysts/ Tipping point 
Valuations 
Liquidity 
 Microlife’s ROE has been steadily increasing 
from 16.3% to 20.9% due partly to better 
profit margin contribution from its 
innovative WatchBP products and rising net 
cash position. 
 Microlife has undertaken the unusual capital 
management program to retire 12.2m 
shares (10% of its shares outstanding) in Sep 
2012 to boost capital efficiency by utilizing 
the comfortable net cash position. Share 
price has since spiked up over 25%. The 
proactive shareholder-friendly stance 
backed by its strong net cash position should 
limit any downside in share price. 
 Note that net cash in FY13 has grown from 
$47M to $65M in 1Q14 
 1Q04 sales +4.6% but OP -1.2% with GP 
margin maintained at 37.7-37.9%, mainly 
due to a 8.6% increase in selling and 
marketing expenses. During 1Q14, Microlife 
forex gain has fallen to $0.5m from $16m in 
FY13. It also suffered a hedging loss of 
$0.9m as opposed to a gain of $0.3m in 
FY13. Overall, other income has dropped 
from $2m profit in FY13 to -$0.2m in 1Q14 
http://emops.twse.com.tw/server-java/t16sn02_e1?TYPEK=otc&step=current&co_id=4103 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
24 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
“Skate to where the puck is going to be”: From “Brands” to Inno-Facturers 
Microlife is Part of the Long-Term Valuation Re-rating Trend from Brands to Inno-Facturers 
Investors are always enamored by the brand story, sometimes 
right but often wrong, since, after all, there are few Coca Colas. 
In our view, the profit and valuation premium in the value chain 
will start to skate to the “Inno-facturers” and the hidden ODM 
innovators (the brand behind brands) consolidating the industry 
with their unique business models, while the “brands” start to slug 
it out amongst themselves. Brands without their own distribution 
network in emerging markets to equitize end customer relationship 
will suffer de-rating given the explosion in advertising/ marketing 
and distribution/ logistics costs, the attack of private labels and too 
many me-too brands everywhere. 
Investors will always misunderstand inno-factures. They are distinct from the usual low-cost manufacturers in emerging markets 
because of their “manufacturing technology platform” that creates both that option value to break new grounds in new 
markets/customers and to widen the moat to fend off the typical distracted/complacent Asian emperor owners who need to indulge in 
luxury lifestyle and property/non-core investments to feel alive since the underlying core business cannot be institutionalized. 
Increasing complexity and shorter design life-spans in a multitude of products mean that the “modular design” process of products 
requires plenty of technical interaction and tacit knowledge exchanges among brand companies, key component suppliers and 
formulation through their system integration and technological development abilities. ODMs have become an irreplaceable and integral 
part of the R&D and design process value chain. 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
The compounding effect of the neglected and misunderstood giant TSMC, a 
wide-moat ODM company with no “brand”, but enabler of fabless 
innovators such as Qualcomm and UK’s ARM. TSMC is up >25x since 1994 to 
a market value of $117bn. 
TSMC (2330 TT, MV $117bn) is now the largest ODM foundry in the world. When TSMC was established by Morris Chang in 1987, the 
market asked, “Who is TSMC going to manufacture the wafers for? The Intels and Texas Instruments are also manufacturers themselves and 
they would let TSMC manufacture their wafers only when they didn't have the capacity, the leftovers, or didn't want to manufacture the 
stuff themselves anymore. As soon as they got the capacity they would stop orders to TSMC, so it couldn't be a stable market. And when 
they didn't want to make the wafers anymore, the chances were that it was losing money for them. And so why would TSMC want to do it? 
Does TSMC want to take over the loss? And Taiwan is two generations behind in technological capabilities.” TSMC has the last laugh as it 
enabled fabless innovators such as Qualcomm and UK’s ARM to emerge. 
25 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
ODM Vs Brand in Valuation = Inno-Facturers Will Always Be Misunderstood 
The case of TSMC (2330 TT, MV $117bn), the ultimate ODM now nearly as valuable as Intel 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
26 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
5 Examples of Inno-Facturers in Asia Besides Microlife 
Example #1: Our Drinking Partner – The Asian Equivalent of Peter Lynch’s Multibagger Winner 
Crown Cork & Seal 
Example #2: Our Digital Entertainment Partner – Hidden Global Consolidator with 
Underappreciated GoPro Growth & More 
Example #3: Our Bakery Partner – The Middleby of Asia in Baking up Defensive Growth 
Example #4: Our Fashion Partner - Global #1 in Velcro fastener and “spec-in” partner to all top 
20 sports shoe brands 
Example #5: Our Eyecare Partner - World’s #1 ODM in Soft Lens (Global #5) and Hidden 
Champion in Color Lens That Giants Can’t Do Well 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
27 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Example #1: The Asian Equivalent of Peter Lynch’s 
Multibagger Winner Crown Cork & Seal? 
Blossoms in the Desert: Great Companies in Lousy Industries 
Peter Lynch: “Crown Cork & Seal makes soda cans, beer cans, paint cans, pet food containers, jugs for antifreeze, bottle 
caps, bottle washers, bottle rinsers, bottle crowners and can warmers. I probably don’t need to tell you that can making is a 
lousy industry with a thin margin… They never pay a dividend... Crown is a perfect company. A classic example of how to run 
an unexciting business and make it exciting for shareholders. We’d all be richer if we’d put all our money into Crown.” 
Peter Lynch managed the obscure Magellan Fund from 1977-May 
1990, growing AUM from $18m to $14bn with annualized return 
of 29%. Crown Cork & Seal is up over 670% for Peter Lynch. 
if we can invest BEFORE the wide 
economic moat is obvious?” 
$1.6 billion 
market cap 
John Connelly, a former Crown supplier, takes over as president in 1957 at a time when the company is 
reeling from a series of poor diversification and is on the verge of bankruptcy. In 32 years as chief executive 
of Crown, this blacksmith's son stubbornly went his own way. Other companies diversified with disastrous 
results but Connelly stuck single-mindedly to what he knew best: the manufacture of metal cans and caps. 
When he yielded to the infirmities of age in April 1989, it was an industry leader with 17,750 employees in 
28 countries and annual revenues of $1.9 billion. Connelly passed away at age 85 in July 1990. 
= ? 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
Global PC sales tank to 
lowest since 2008. PC is 
disrupted by the twin terrors of 
tablet (iPad was launched on 
Apr 2010) and smartphone. 
Despite industry slowdown, 
X has made market gains from 
further industry consolidation 
in PC peripherals. 
Non-PC weighting in sales 
has grown from 22% in 2011 to 
37% in 2Q13 and targeted at 
40-42% in 2013, led by growth 
in tablet and consumer 
electronics (eg sports DV cam). 
28 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Example #2: Hidden Global Consolidator With 
Underappreciated GoPro Growth & More 
Why overlooked and 
underappreciated? 
Association with PC Decline 
Global #1 
Sports DV 
Cam 
Tablet DKB 
+ Dual Cam 
DKB = Detachable keyboard 
Foundation for Cashflow and Growth 
Keyboard 
Global #1 
Market Share 
33% 
IP Security 
Cam 
Webcam 
Global #1 
Market Share 
20% 
Spinoff 
(Listing 
Nov13): 
Automotive 
Camera 
#3 Global Player in 
Power Supply 
(SPS/Adapter, LED 
Lighting); X owns 
53% 
Notebook Cam 
Global #1 
Market Share 
40% 
“We are the ‘Red Ocean’ magicians 
focusing on three simple low-margin 
peripheral products.. Westerners do 
not want to do these “Red Ocean” 
products; we do them exceedingly 
well.. And we are the global #1 in 
market share in keyboard, NB 
cam/webcam/DV cam.” - CEO 
Corporate Motto = No Quality, No Sales 
EV/EBIT 12x 
EV/EBITDA 9x 
Operating 
Cashflow 
>$200M 
Dividend 
Yield 5.75% 
Deep intangible know-how 
in design, 
development, 
engineering and 
manufacture of keyboard 
and camera modules 
Complete global logistics 
system of 44 JIT 
warehouses to deliver 
flexibility and speed in 
customer services and 
reduce inventory risk 
Wearable Sports DV Cam 
Wearable sports 
phenomenon pioneered by 
GoPro is a niche that has 
grown from sports into 
multiple areas including 
military and defense. 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
29 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Example #3: The Middleby of Asia In Baking Up Defensive Growth 
#1 in Asia in bakery equipment (80-90% of hypermarkets and 50% of bakery chains in China are 
X clients) = Strong cashflow foundation to expand to pizza and food service equipment 
Why is X 
underappreciated still? 
Structural Re-Rating of Niche 
Companies With Defensive Growth 
Globally, business models with (1) 
diversified client base, (2) steady revenue 
streams, (3) lean capex requirements that 
creates ample free cashflow are 
underappreciated. One of such business 
models is boring niche FMCG/ food service 
equipment companies. They possess 
defensive investment characteristics and 
high competitive quality due to their 
dominant market positions in a niche 
which is sought after in the currently still 
uncertain macro environment. 
Proven Unique Business Model to 
Consolidate Fragmented Market 
X’s unique business model in finding, 
winning and binding new customers with 
its innovative bakery intelligence and a 
strong and unique distribution/ marketing 
network supported by bakers should 
protect X to continue to consolidate the 
fragmented market and provide ample 
opportunities to continue its profitable 
growth. 
Middleby: Up 100X (1999-2014) to $5.7bn 
Bassoul in 2004: 
“My biggest 
marketing 
problem is our 
products last 
forever”. 
EV/EBIT 10.1x 
Earnings Yield 7% 
(FY13e) 
Div 4% 
Net Cash 
When Selim Bassoul took over Middleby as COO in mid-1999 and as CEO 
in Jan 2001, revenue were $132m, which shrank to $100m by the start 
of the 2001-03 recession. “We had very limited resources and capital, 
we were running out of cash, and we were highly reliant on three 
customers that generated more than 60% of our sales. We lacked 
innovation, and the products we were generating or creating were very 
‘me-too’ kitchen products across a very broad range, including mixers, 
refrigerators and ovens. Roughly 30% of the orders were not shipped on 
time. You could say we had a case study of a lousy company.” 
Middleby’s secret recipe in fueling growth in its kitchen gear even in 
recessions by creating and sustaining exceptional value for its 
customers: Love the customers, even the smallest ones. “At one time, 
McDonald’s was the small customer. This may sound basic but is not 
done by all our competitors.” 
“Whether you are a hypermarket or big bakery chain or a 
small independent artisan bakery shop, you can find the 
best equipment that you need at X. We are dedicated to 
making the best bakery machines since our establishment 
in 1983. We want to let more people eat the bread made 
from our bakery equipment. We want to represent Asia to 
become a global brand champion.” 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
30 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Example #4: Velcro Up For Defensive Growth 
Global #1 in Velcro fastener and “spec-in” partner to all top 20 sports shoe brands 
Dedication to innovation in creating and scaling up new applications 
Why is X 
underappreciated still? 
Proven Unique Business Model to 
Consolidate Fragmented Market 
X has emerged from the financial crisis 
much stronger than before after investing 
in building up its Pan-Asia production 
network and creating new product 
innovations, improving its margins and 
consolidating the fragmented industry 
further with its comprehensive array of 
patents in materials and manufacturing 
technology and 30 years of manufacturing 
and R&D experience under its belt. 
Globally, niche global champions with 
unique scalable business models, recurring 
revenue and cashflow from a quality 
clientele base and defensive growth 
features enjoy a structural re-rating in their 
valuation. 
Valuable Patent Portfolio and 
Potential Takeover Target by 
Nike/Adidas/Pou Chen 
X’s portfolio of over 110 patents and its 
deep know-how and experience over the 
past 30 years in manufacturing and R&D 
will prove valuable to the giants Nike/ 
Adidas and Pou Chen who might wish to 
acquire niche global champions to 
vertically integrate their business model 
and this intangible asset is not factored 
into the long-term valuation. 
ODM with R&D capabilities 
and “spec-in” long-term 
partnerships with all the top 
20 athletic sports shoe 
companies to develop new 
materials/designs and 
provide patented solutions 
Broad product offering 
protected by over 110 
patents and continuous 
product innovations to break 
out of price competition 
Global #1 
Market Share 
>10% 
Stable Margins, 
Strong Cashflow 
and Div Yield 
Pan-Asia production network 
(Taiwan, China, Viet, Isia) 
with plants near brand clients 
to provide rapid delivery and 
quality customer service 
EV/EBIT 10.6x 
EV/EBITDA 7.1x 
Div 3.9% 
CEO : “Winning in a price 
war is a transient race; 
continuous innovation in 
product quality is like a 
marathon and the 
sustainable way to win.” 
X 
X: Growing together with its major 
customers Nike and Adidas 
BUY Nike or Adidas or UnderArmor/ 
Lululemon/ Skechers? 
X supplies to all the top established 
and emerging brands 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
Proven Unique Flexible Manufacturing to 
Dominate Color Lens 
X’s flexible manufacturing system and know-how 
enabled it to produce color lens and 
complex orders in large scale. X has the 
potential to consolidate and dominate color 
lens, a product that the Big Four giants are 
unable to manufacture large-scale.. 
The color lens penetration rate in Japan is 
only 15-18%, below Taiwan’s and Korea’s 25- 
30%, China’s 30-35%. This should provide solid 
foundation for X to grow . 
Expiry of patents in silicon hydrogel lens 
in 2014/15 (US/Worldwide) 
With the impending expiry of patents in 
silicon hydrogel lens which make up 70% in US, 
40% in Europe and below 20% in Asia, X will be 
able to better exploit the opportunity to 
penetrate deeper into this lucrative market 
segment to drive ASP/margin improvement. X 
has already shipped its first silicon lens to Italy 
in 2013 and 2 of its Japanese clients have 
applied for a 2015 launch. 
Bausch&Lomb, Essilor, Hoya 
X has been regarded as a “thorn in the flesh” 
by the Big Four giants for its role in feeding the 
hundreds of mid-tier brands competing with 
them, particularly in color lens. X’s terminal 
value and downside risk will be protected by 
giants who wish to swallow it up to possess its 
valuable flexible manufacturing system and 
know-how to fill their own missing competency 
gaps. Non Big Four giants such as Essilor and 
Hoya will also be keen to acquire X. 
31 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Example #5: World’s #1 ODM in Soft Lens (Global #5) and Hidden 
Champion in Color Lens That Giants Can’t Do Well 
Why is X underappreciated still? 
Valuable Process IP/Know-How and 
Potential Takeover Target by Valeant- 
ODM = Original Design Manufacturing 
Q: Why can’t the giants (J&J, CibaVision, Cooper, Bausch & Lomb) 
mass-manufacture color lens but X is able to? 
Unique flexible production know-how in color lens 
and large-scale complex order that giants don’t have 
ROE 41% (Why?) 
(1) ROE (2) EV/EBIT (2)/(1) 
X 41.1% 20.6x 0.50 
Largan 31.5% 23.2 0.74 
Ginko 17.9% 32.9 1.84 
Interojo 16.3% 22.0 1.35 
Essilor 14.7% 19.2 1.31 
Carl Zeiss M 12.7% 13.6 1.07 
Cooper 12.2% 19.8 1.62 
Hoya 10.8% 12.7 1.18 
Seed 5.5% 17.0 3.06 
(2)/(1): Lower = Cheaper 
Among optical-related peers, X has the highest ROE at 
41%. While its valuation is not cheap with EV/EBIT (FY13) 
at 20.6x, when we compare EV/EBIT relative to ROE, X is 
the cheapest, by as much as 130-220% when compared to 
giants Cooper, Hoya, Essilor. 
Comparing EV/EBIT to ROE also makes good common 
sense since it is rare for wide-moat companies to sustain 
high ROEs and they deserve a valuation premium, while 
low EV/EBIT stocks ain’t cheap when their ROEs are even 
lower and value traps can be avoided. 
Sticky ODM 
customer 
relationship 
Own brand is 
#2 in with 
30% 
domestic 
market share 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
32 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
X: Unique Leader In Anti-Malaria & Chronic Pain + Staying Power in Cost Efficiency 
= The Next Dr Reddy’s/Lupin (Market Value $1.5 Billion to $6 Billion)? 
Why is X 
underappreciated still? 
Governance 
The pharmaceutical industry is 
complex and drug firms typically took 
advantage of informational asymmetry 
by engaging in aggressive accounting 
practices such as capitalizing R&D as 
intangibles or booking goodwill in 
M&As without proper impairment test 
to boost earnings. 
Rare are firms with conservative 
accounting practices such as X and 
they deserve a valuation premium. 
Supply Constraints in US Business 
X’s Indore (SEZ) plant, built for US 
formulation exports, received US FDA 
approval on 20 Jun 2012 but X 
volunteered to report quality issues in 
Nov 2012, resulting in re-inspection in 
Apr 2013 and approval in Sep 2013. X 
management estimates that the Indore 
facility will contribute revenue of INR 
4.5bn ($73m) per year (16% of FY13 
revenue) at full capacity. This approval 
will resolve earlier uncertainty and 
pave the way for scaling up the 
important US business. X’s export 
formulations to US to potentially triple 
to $100 million by FY15, a decent size 
to trigger the next wave of sharp re-rating 
upwards, as had been observed 
when Sun Pharma, Lupin, Dr Reddy’s 
scaled up their US business and getting 
huge jumps in valuation multiples. 
Step 1: Accounting Conservatism 
to Limit Downside Risk 
Goodwill, Intangibles, Long-Term 
Asset as % of Total Asset 
Torrent 
Cipla 
GSK 
Lupin 
Dr Reddy's 
Cadila 
We used accounting conservatism rather 
than a misleading “cheap” PE ratio or 
EV/EBIT to limit downside risk in valuation. 
We measure “Goodwill + Intangibles + Long- 
Term Asset as % of Total Asset”; the lower 
the number, the more conservative the 
accounting figures. 
Glenmark has continued to capitalize a 
significant part of R&D costs resulting in high 
intangible assets on the balance sheet. 
X, Torrent and Cipla stood out; X is the 
only Indian drug firm which expenses, and 
does not capitalize, all R&D. 
EV/EBIT 17.3x 
EV/EBITDA 15x 
30% 
25% 
20% 
15% 
10% 
5% 
0% 
IPCA 
Sun 
Glenmark 
Step 2: Staying Power in Cost 
Efficiency & Stability in Earnings 
Step 3: Unique Business Model 
for Long-Term Upside 
145.5 
DMFs/ ANDAs filed 
95.3 
78.4 
64.8 
44.1 
36.5 35.8 
160 
140 
120 
100 
80 
60 
40 
20 
0 
IPCA 
Dr Reddy's 
Lupin 
Cadila 
Glenmark 
Sun 
Torrent 
Cost efficiency provides the ability to stay 
competitive, have better control in the case 
of uncertain events like drug price controls 
and have stronger cashflow/balance sheet to 
strengthen the ability to carry out long-term 
R&D in higher value-added activities and 
seize inorganic growth opportunities. 
DMF/ANDA* is a measure to assess the 
extent of fully-integrated capabilities of a 
manufacturer, whether the launch of drug 
formulation is backed by its own API for cost 
efficiency. 
X, Dr Reddy’s and Lupin have the highest % 
of ANDAs backed by their own DMF filings. X 
also has 9 patent rights issued by the US 
Patent Office for its novel process of 
manufacturing of API, one of the few Indian 
drug firms with patents for its manufacturing 
process. 
4,000 
3,500 
3,000 
2,500 
2,000 
1,500 
1,000 
500 
0 
Institutional business revenue 
INR million 
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 
X has dominant market share in anti-malarial 
drug in India (~49% market share). 
ACT is the most common anti-malarial drug 
treatment and the AL drug accounts for 70% 
of ACT market. 
X has grown the institutional malaria 
business from zero 5 years ago to INR 4bn 
($65m), a feat made possible due to its fully-integrated 
capabilities. X is prequalified by 
WHO for six anti-malarial drugs. Of the five 
approved WHO players in AL drug segment, 
X is the only fully-integrated player, giving it 
>30% EBITDA margin, better pricing power 
compared to the competition, and significant 
advantage over other players in ramping up 
the business from the current 30% market 
share (vs Novartis 50%). X is also the only 
Indian player with substantial sales from 
Africa. 
X management believes the institutional 
business can grow from guided sales of INR 
4.6bn ($74m) in FY14 to INR 8bn ($129m) 
(28-30% of FY13 sales) over the next three to 
four years (FY17-18). 
* DMF (Drug Master File) is submitted to US FDA containing 
complete information on API (active pharmaceutical 
ingredient) or drug formulation. ANDA (Abbreviated New 
Drug Application) is an application to US FDA for US generic 
drug approval. 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
33 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Tencent (700 HK, MV $150bn): Biggest Error of Omission! 
Market Value Compounded from $900M in 2004 to $150B in 2014 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake 
(4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
34 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Tencent (700 HK, MV $150bn): Biggest Error of Omission! 
Just Another Copycat? Tencent Monetized IM When Western Giants Failed; 
“Emptiness” in Know-How and Trust from Community 
Tencent’s Pony Ma ripped off Instant Messaging (IM) service, QQ, off 
Israel’s ICQ in 2000 as a free online download. 
After burning US$1.1m, the two investors that Ma found were 
anxious to sell their shares. The company was shopped around for 
nearly any price to China’s largest portals, but no one wanted to waste 
money on a company doing IM. If the mighty AOL couldn’t make money 
off IM, who could? 
Lucky break? China Mobile decided to share a portion of revenue to 
third-party companies who could boost the number of people buying 
data plans. Pony Ma offered IM chat messaging at RMB 6c per month 
per user. Viola! Tencent started to push anything that a mobile user 
would pay: ringtones, wall paper, horoscopes. Pennies over mobile 
phones earned Tencent US$6m sales and US$1.2m profits in 2001. 
Tipping point came when Tencent offered virtual goods – avatars, 
outfits, pets, and emperor-kids spend pennies and hours collecting. 
Naspers paid US$30m to buyout 50% of Tencent in 2005 before its 
listing and now its 35% stake in Tencent is worth >US$50B. 
Tencent monetized IM when western giants failed and built chat not 
as a productivity tool but to be a community for bored kids to hang out. 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake 
(4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
35 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
“宁可不识字, 
不可不识人.” 
Assessment of Management Quality 
Linguistic/Textual Analysis and More… 
“I would rather not be able 
to read words than not be 
able to read people.” 
- Zeng Guofan, Qing statesman, in “Icy 
Discernment”, a book ranked alongside 
“Three Kingdoms”, “Sun Tzu: Art of War” 
and “Water Margins”. 
“以冰为镜,能查秋毫。” 
“邪正看眼鼻,真假看 
嘴唇;功名看气概,富 
贵看精神;主意看指爪 
,风波看脚筋;若要看 
条理,全在语言中。” 
梁启超:“五千年历史立德立言立功者只有 
两个人:范仲淹,曾国藩。五千年历史中事 
业有继衣钵得传者只有一个人:曾国藩。” 
Buffett: “Rittenhouse is still 
on the side of the angels.” 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
36 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Two Little Stories from Decade-Plus Journey 
Resilient 
Compounders 
Bamboo Innovators 
bend, not break, even 
in the most terrifying 
storm that snap the 
mighty resisting oak 
tree. It survives, 
therefore it conquers. 
(2) Detecting 
Accounting 
Frauds 
Ahead of the 
Curve 
(3) Tipping 
Point 
Analysis 
(1) 
“Emptiness” 
in Business 
Model & 
Wide Moat 
Analysis 
Inner 
Compass: 
Bamboo 
Innovator, 
Values, Self- 
Awareness 
(4) Icy 
Discernment 
(冰鉴) of 
Management 
Quality 
(1) Temasek invest S$500 million in 
services company with largest 
domestic market share in May 
2007, followed by another S$30 
million in Feb 2008. Darling 
stock, cannot go wrong? 
[Detecting Accounting Frauds 
Ahead of the Curve] 
(2) The small-built Chinese 
entrepreneur. Can anyone name 
an “old” S-Chip that is untainted? 
[Icy Discernment] 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
Up Close & Personal With ABC Learning’s “Fast Eddy” 
Fast Eddy: Education is a real sexy business in Australia and globally. Our govt supports education and especially us. There are also many cheap and good M&A 
targets lined up everywhere. Many of these centres are not well-run and the owners are not financially-savvy. But if they become part of our magic ABC brand 
and unique business system, they will be much more profitable. Also, after designing/ developing and refurbishing the centres (inc the acquired old haggard ones), 
they will be bright and sparkling, and parents will queue up for ABC – where else can they go? We have one-quarter of the market and that number can only go up 
and up., with or without your help, but together we can go faster and stronger. 
Billions of dollars from 
bankers and investors go to 
paying “developers” (largely 
related-party) for 
questionable contracts in 
designing/ developing and 
refurbishing the centres, and 
to fund M&As 
Developers pay back quietly 
the funds to ABC and the 
RMCs to boost their revenue 
and profits and help them to 
achieve their “budgeted” 
numbers 
37 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
M&As, 
via 123 
R M C 
Lease 
cost 
Parents Govt 
Questionable property owners, 
“special purpose vehicles” and trust 
fund eg AET 
Developers eg 
123, QMC 
Bankers and investors buy the story and 
lend/ invest billions of dollars in ABC via 
massive loans (many with market-based 
covenant terms) and new shares. ABC raised 
AUD 3.5b over 3.5 years 
After “some time” when payments run into 
problems, the panicky bankers and investors 
cry: Where is our money?? ABC runs into 
cashflow problems in its periodic payments, 
and its going-concern status is threatened 
Regional Management Companies (RMC) are 
“independent” entities employed by ABC to 
run the child care centres, inc collecting the 
fees from parents and government, and 
paying off the wages and other costs. RMC 
then pays back ABC license fees which ABC 
books as revenue. 
Parents are not enrolling their kids in ABC 
due to poor service as costs are cut 
Wages & other costs. 
Eddy says “Cut, cut, cut 
– we need to show 
them we make money 
fast” 
Day care fees is AUD 62 a day. Childcare 
rebate on family’s put-of-pocket expenses is 
50% up to AUD 7,500 a year which will be 
paid quarterly in arrears 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation 
2 
6 
7 
8 
Bankers, 
Investors 
9 
5 
3 
4 
1 
Until FY07, ABC submitted accounts that 
were net of RMC expenses. Things became 
shaky for Eddy after reporting standards 
changed and ABC reports gross revenue and 
breaks out the costs incurred by RMCs – 
Eddy sweats, a bit
Bamboo nnovator 
38 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
“Resilience: Why Things Bounce Back” by Andrew Zolli 
“This model posits moderate disruptions as a necessary, if painful mechanism by which systems are 
tempered, adapt, learn and reorganize. A resilient system isn’t one in which failures never occur; it’s one 
in which disruptions engender a healthy response— one which enables a system to “bounce forward” as 
much as bounce back. It is further assumed that there are epistemic constraints – limits to what we can 
know and prepare for in advance – and that surprises are inevitable, and that we’ll make mistakes.” 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
39 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
All Books by Robert Greene 
“The fools in life want things fast and easy – money, success, attention. Boredom is their great enemy 
and fear. Whatever they manage to get slips through their hands as fast as it comes in. You, on the 
other hand, want to outlast your rivals. You are building the foundation for something that can 
continue to expand. To make this happen, you will have to serve an apprenticeship. You must learn 
early on to endure the hours of practice and drudgery, knowing that in the end all of that time will 
translate into a higher pleasure – mastery of a craft and of yourself. Your goal is to reach the ultimate 
skill level – an intuitive feel for what must come next.” 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
40 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Appendix 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
Microlife: Boring Global #1/#2 in Patient Monitoring Device 
(Digital Thermometer/Blood Pressure Monitor) 
ROE 21% with a unique solution-services business model protected by innovative worldwide patents 
Durable Franchise Value in Boring and 
Resilient Patient Monitoring Device – 
and a Quiet, Powerful Cost Consolidator 
Microlife’s manufacturing technology 
platform has enabled it to build a global 
durable franchise in the niche patient 
monitoring device market that has stable 
resilient growth and yet is experiencing 
potential disruptions led by Microlife’s new 
innovation in blood pressure monitoring 
protected by worldwide patents. Microlife has 
the potential to consolidate the market further. 
Worldwide Patents in Algorithm- 
Technology in Afib and MAM blood 
pressure measurement 
Microlife’s worldwide patents in algorithm-technology 
in blood pressure measurement has 
been commercialized into the WatchBP product 
series that is at the heart of its total solution 
service business model. This valuable intangible 
asset is not factored into long-term valuation. 
Potential Takeover Target by Omron, J&J 
Microlife’s long-term terminal value and 
downside risk will be protected by giants such 
as Omron, J&J (LifeScan), Bayer, Abbott etc who 
wish to swallow it up to possess its valuable 
manufacturing technology platform and 
worldwide patents. 
41 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Why is Microlife 
underappreciated still? 
Valuable Process IP/Know-How and 
(LifeScan), Bayer, Abbott 
Global #1 Market Share 
(Digital Thermometer) 
50% 
Worldwide Patents in Algorithm- 
Technology in Afib and MAM 
The innovative WatchBP with the Afib 
detection and MAM technology are not 
merely additional features; it “forces” 
the clinical community to adopt them as 
the standard, which in turn helps drive 
home-use penetration. It transforms the 
BPM product into a unique strategy. 
Worldwide Patents 
in Afib and MAM 
Total Solution Service 
Business Model 
Incorporates software 
development to create 
value-added services for 
health monitoring and 
collaborating with hospitals 
and governments on tele-healthcare 
Microlife’s ROE 21% (Why?) 
projects. 
Global #2 Market Share 
(Digital Blood Pressure 
Monitor) 
17-18% 
Quiet, Powerful Cost Consolidator 
Reliable manufacturing platform for 
over 30 years with in-house capabilities 
to combine Swiss design, high-precision 
electronics with clinical healthcare to 
produce world-class products with cost 
competitiveness. 
Sticky ODM Partner to 
Reputable Customers 
Diversified customer base to 
customers such as Wal- 
Mart, Costco, CVS, 
Walgreen’s; none accounts 
for >10% of sales. 
US #1 Market Share 
(Electric Flexible 
Heating Blankets) 
50% 
91% of Sales in 
Developed Markets 
(54% US, 37% Europe) 
EV/EBIT 9.7x 
EV/EBITDA 8.8x 
Dividend 5.6% 
Net Cash 23% MV 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
42 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Table of Contents 
Executive Summary 
Price Chart, Market Statistics and Financial Summary 
Part 1: The Business Model 
Patient-monitoring device (PMD) industry 
Microlife’s major products 
Microlife: Background and tipping point 
Microlife: Revenue breakdown 
Microlife’s electrical flexible heating blanket business in America 
Microlife: Why wide moat? The fundamental dynamics behind it s21% ROE 
(1) Powerful cost consolidator; (2) Steady ODM partner; (3) Total solution-service 
(4) WatchBP as the potential disruptive technology 
Corporate developments and future roadmap 
Microlife Might Strike Potential Partnerships in Unconventional Channels 
Part 2: The Context: Why Now? 
Part 3: The Management 
Conversation with founder and chairman KY Lin 
Part 4: Valuation & Potential Risks 
Appendix 
“Alarm fatigue” from inaccurate blood pressure measurements 
Atrial fibrillation and stroke prevention 
WatchBP formally recommended by leading healthcare authority NICE 
Microlife’s other products 
Snapshot of Omron’s Healthcare Business 
Taiwan Bamboo Innovators 79 
3-4 
5-6 
7-18 
19-21 
22-34 
35-37 
38-44 
“There’s big knowledge even in this 
seeming simple and boring digital 
and infrared thermometer products… 
As these techniques involve 
specialized knowledge and industry 
secrets, they are protected by 
patents. Microlife is one of the rare 
few in the whole world to have the 
capability to produce models with 
read time of 1 to 60 seconds. This is 
something that the rest of our rivals 
can never match… For infrared…It 
involves high-precision parts and 
complicated configuration and 
calculations before reaching an 
accurate standard. Thus, the barrier 
to entry is not low.” 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
43 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Executive Summary 
Microlife (GTSM: 4103 TT) is the world’s largest manufacturer of digital thermometer with 50% global market share (20% under its own brand 
Microlife), the world’s #2 maker of blood pressure monitors with 17-18% market share (60% under its own brand Microlife) and the largest maker of 
electric flexible heating blankets in US with 50% market share. Founded in 1981, Microlife was listed on the GTSM (GreTai Securities Market) on Mar 
2001 and it has 2,400 employees. Key rivals include Japan’s Omron (6645 JP, MV $9.6bn), Germany’s medium-sized family-owned Beurer GmbH. 
1) What Makes It a Wide-Moat Business? 
Quiet, Powerful Cost Consolidator: It’s not easy to manufacture quality digital thermometers and blood pressure monitors with cost 
competitiveness. There’s big knowledge even in these boring and seemingly simple patient monitoring devices. Microlife’s reliable manufacturing 
technology platform for over 30 years has enabled it to build a global durable franchise in the niche patient monitoring device market that has stable 
resilient growth and yet is experiencing potential disruptions led by Microlife’s new innovation. A secret to Microlife’s success is its in-house 
capabilities to combine Swiss design, high-precision electronics and sensors components with clinical healthcare to produce world-class products with 
cost competitiveness. Microlife has competitive technology and patents especially its core competence of having an algorithm to allow fast 
reading/filtering of signals and outputting the accurate results in a short period of time. Microlife has the potential to consolidate the market further. 
Sticky ODM Partner to Reputable Customers, Yet Is Able to Build Its Own Brand, Demonstrating Bargaining Power: Microlife has a diversified 
customer base as the ODM partner to reputable companies including Wal-Mart, Costco, CVS and none of the customers account for more than 10% 
of Microlife’s sales. Microlife has demonstrated that it has bargaining power over its powerful customers with the ability to build its own brand since 
1998 (44% of sales in DT/BPM, 62% of overall sales). 
Worldwide Patents in Algorithm-Technology in Afib and MAM to Support the Total Solution Service Business Model: Microlife’s worldwide patents 
in algorithm-technology in blood pressure measurement has been commercialized into the WatchBP product series that is at the heart of its total 
solution service business model. This valuable intangible asset is not factored into long-term valuation. The innovative WatchBP with the Afib 
detection and MAM technology are not merely additional features; it “forces” the clinical community to adopt them as the standard, which in turn 
helps drive home-use penetration. It transforms the BPM product into a unique strategy that incorporates software development to create value-added 
services for health monitoring and collaborating with hospitals and governments on tele-healthcare projects. 
2) Genesis of the Idea – and Why It’s Featured This Month 
Long-term correlation with Omron: Microlife share price performance was closely correlated to Omron over the long-term until Abenomics in 4Q13 
resulted in Omron to outperform Microlife by over 50% despite Microlife gaining stronger growth momentum in its patented WatchBP Afib 
technology. The New Taiwan Dollar did not appreciate much against the Japanese Yen, with the range between TWDJPY 3.3-3.4 since Abenomics. 
Seasonality kicker: Microlife’s sales is traditionally the strongest during 3Q. The peak season for digital thermometers and blood pressure monitors 
is July-Oct and Aug-Oct for electric flexible heating technology blankets. 
Recent correction: Microlife is down nearly 20% from its recent high in end March 2014 on profit-taking by short-term investors. Share price is back 
to May 2013 level, representing an attractive opportunity to take position in this long-term durable franchise which has wide-moat from its 
manufacturing technology platform and know-how developed for over 30 years and is now seeking to disrupt the industry with its new algorithm-based 
innovation in blood pressure measurement that’s protected by worldwide patents. 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
44 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Executive Summary 
3) Why Is It Undervalued? Why Can It Double Over 4-5 Years? 
Microlife Vs Omron: In terms of EV/EBIT, Microlife is trading at 9.7x which is about 28% lower than Omron which is more diversified in industrial 
automation and electronic components. Omron’s lucrative healthcare business contributes around 11.5% to group sales and operating income. Both 
Microlife and Omron are attractive in their valuations given their resilient business model and growth profile. Microlife, however, has a far superior 
ROE at 20.9% that is nearly double that of Omron at 10.7%. When we compare EV/EBIT relative to ROE and ROA, Microlife is cheaper by as much as 
120-150% when compared to Omron. 
Short-term downside protection with 5.6% dividend yield and healthy net-cash balance sheet to provide fillip to share reduction program: Microlife 
has an attractive dividend yield at 5.6% and a strong balance sheet with net cash as percentage of book equity at 47%. Note that net cash in FY13 has 
grown from $47M to $65M in 1Q14. Microlife has undertaken the unusual capital management program to retire 12.2m shares (10% of its shares 
outstanding) in Sep 2012 to boost capital efficiency by utilizing the comfortable net cash position. Share price has since spiked up over 25%. The 
proactive shareholder-friendly stance backed by its strong net cash position should limit any downside in share price. 
Long-term downside protection in terminal value as takeover target: Microlife’s long-term terminal value and downside risk will be protected by 
giants such as Omron, J&J (LifeScan), Bayer, Abbott etc who wish to swallow it up to possess its valuable manufacturing technology platform and 
worldwide patents in algorithm-technology in Afib and MAM blood pressure measurement. 
4) Summary Investment Thesis 
The stable long-term shareholdings and patient capital by the founder KY Lin and the management team who together own around 48% of the 
equity has enabled Microlife to adopt a very long-term approach to building its business and cultivating new growth areas. While KY may sometimes 
be slightly over-optimistic and thinking too far ahead with his long-term opinions, this idealistic engineer-visionary-philosopher has done a fantastic 
job in continuously defying the odds of many skeptics by growing Microlife from a small startup into one of the world’s leading patient monitoring 
equipment company. KY is the rare Asian entrepreneur who was persistent in building his own brand despite the threat of offending his ODM 
customers. KY was also early in cultivating and coordinating a global network with high-tech component, R&D and manufacturing in Taiwan, 
manufacturing, assembly and packaging in Shenzhen, China and medical R&D and clinical testing and accreditation lab center in Europe, including 
making the difficult decision to establish a direct marketing sales force in Europe and North America given the high cost. Unlike most Asian business 
owners whose interest and focus in the core business starts to wane due to complacency from growing personal wealth and the inability to scale the 
core business, KY is genuinely passionate in the company’s ability to add value to the patients and society. The idea of the innovative WatchBP 
actually came from an in-depth conversation between European hypertension specialist Professor George Stergiou and KY. Microlife can effectively 
run without KY with the long-term corporate culture and management system in place, yet KY can inject great value as the steward in new 
innovations; we believe that this combination is rare for an Asian company and deserves a valuation premium. 
Patient monitoring device (PMD) will be a niche resilient growth segment with the rise in aging population and chronic malady. Patients are 
increasingly aware of the need to manage their own health and home-use of BPM will be a long-term growth trend. Nearly half of hypertensive 
patients are inaccurately diagnosed and accurate blood pressure measurement is increasingly difficult due to the complexities of modern diseases. 
Standard BPM are increasingly not effective. Microlife’s unique WatchBP has the potential to disrupt the market with the adoption led by the clinical 
community and possibility to spread to home-use as patients seek a consistent and integrated healthcare experience. 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
45 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Microlife 10-Year Price Chart 
Microlife breaks into 
Wal-Mart 
Tipping Point: 
WatchBP soft-launched 
in 
Switzerland and 
Europe 
Sep: Reduce share capital by 
10% to boost capital efficiency 
Oct: New MAM series in blood 
Anti-dumping saga in US against 
Chinese imports. Sales of Microlife’s 
Made-in-China Biddeford was affected 
and Microlife shifted its production 
facilities to Philippines. 
Sales from Microlife 
brand exceeded 
OEM/ODM business 
Microlife is listed in GTSM (GreTai Securities Market) on Mar 29, 2001. 
Source: http://investing.businessweek.com/research/stocks/charts/charts.asp?ticker=4103:TT 
pressure monitors 
UK’s NICE announces 
WatchBP to be used in 
hospitals; 10th 
consecutive A award 
for Most Transparent, 
Best Disclosure listed 
company; Frost & 
Sullivan award. 
WatchBP sales growth 
accelerated from 
50,000 in 2011, 
100,000 in 2012 to 
250,000 in 2013. 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
46 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Market Statistics and Financial Summary: 
PE 13x, EV/EBIT 9.7x, EV/EBITDA 8.8x, Dividend Yield 5.6% 
Financial Summary 
YE Dec, TWD mil 2010 2011 2012 2013 US$M 
Sales 5,622.9 5,124.4 5,367.8 5,896.7 196.7 
GP 2,067.8 1,794.9 2,005.9 2,201.5 73.4 
EBIT 582.3 464.1 676.0 705.9 23.5 
EBITDA 636.4 507.5 721.5 778.0 26.0 
Net Income 430.2 468.8 557.2 633.6 21.1 
CFO (Op Cashflow) 230.1 321.0 769.0 677.0 22.6 
Capex -92.9 -74.3 -41.0 -60.6 -2.0 
Profitability 
GP Margin 36.8% 35.0% 37.4% 37.3% 
EBIT Margin 10.4% 9.1% 12.6% 12.0% 
EBITDA Margin 11.3% 9.9% 13.4% 13.2% 
Net Margin 7.7% 9.1% 10.4% 10.7% 
GP/TA 46.4% 41.0% 44.4% 42.2% 
ROA 9.6% 10.7% 12.3% 12.1% 
CFO/Total Asset 5.2% 7.3% 17.0% 13.0% 
ROE 16.3% 16.9% 19.9% 20.9% 
Market Stats 
Date: Jun 24, 2014 
Share Price: TWD 74.2 
Market Cap: US$272m 
Shares Outstanding: 110m 
FX Rate: USDTWD 30.0 
Daily Liquidity: $0.3m 
52 Week: TWD 73.4-91.9 
Valuation Summary 
P/E (FY13): 13.1x 
P/Book (FY13): 2.73x 
P/Sales (FY13): 1.40x 
P/CFO (FY13): 12.2x 
EV/EBIT (FY13): 9.7x 
EV/EBITDA (FY13): 8.8x 
ROA (FY13): 12.1% 
ROE (FY13): 20.9% 
Div Yield: 5.66% 
Cash vs Accruals 2010 2011 2012 2013 
Capex% Sales -1.7% -1.4% -0.8% -1.0% 
AR Day 77 100 99 112 
Inventory Day 48 55 49 59 
AP Day 74 68 62 80 
CCC 51 87 86 91 
Leverage 
Mkt Value (TWD mil) 7,211 6,111 6,490 8,943 
Shares Outstanding 122.2 122.2 110.0 110.0 
Net Debt -1,424 -1,268 -1,371 -1,405 
Debt/Book Equity -53.9% -45.8% -49.0% -46.3% 
R.E.S.-ilence Factors in Value Creation 
R = “Rootedness” in innovative culture? 
E = “Emptiness” in business model durability & scalability? 
(1) Indestructible intangibles in know-how and trust and support from community? 
(2) Core-periphery business model via technology and empowerment? 
(3) Open innovation business model? 
S = “Sheath” leadership/ management quality? 
Ownership 
Management & family 46.9% 
Foreign investors 14.4% 
(Franklin Resource 11.1%) 
Domestic funds & fin 12.5% 
Risk Factors 
Industry dynamics 
Business transparency 
Accounting quality 
Corporate governance 
Catalysts/ Tipping point 
Valuations 
Liquidity 
 Microlife’s ROE has been steadily increasing 
from 16.3% to 20.9% due partly to better 
profit margin contribution from its 
innovative WatchBP products and rising net 
cash position. 
 Microlife has undertaken the unusual capital 
management program to retire 12.2m 
shares (10% of its shares outstanding) in Sep 
2012 to boost capital efficiency by utilizing 
the comfortable net cash position. Share 
price has since spiked up over 25%. The 
proactive shareholder-friendly stance 
backed by its strong net cash position should 
limit any downside in share price. 
 Note that net cash in FY13 has grown from 
$47M to $65M in 1Q14 
 1Q04 sales +4.6% but OP -1.2% with GP 
margin maintained at 37.7-37.9%, mainly 
due to a 8.6% increase in selling and 
marketing expenses. During 1Q14, Microlife 
forex gain has fallen to $0.5m from $16m in 
FY13. It also suffered a hedging loss of 
$0.9m as opposed to a gain of $0.3m in 
FY13. Overall, other income has dropped 
from $2m profit in FY13 to -$0.2m in 1Q14 
http://emops.twse.com.tw/server-java/t16sn02_e1?TYPEK=otc&step=current&co_id=4103 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
47 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Part 1: The Business Model 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
The global patient monitoring device (PMD) market is expected to grow 
from nearly $14.7 billion in 2013 to reach nearly $21.0 billion in 2018, a 
compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.4% for the period of 2013 to 2018. 
Factors behind the resilient growth of PMD: A decrease in the physical size 
of monitoring devices; enhanced utility, performance and sensitivity; usability 
and portability of devices; and increasing availability of remote/ wireless 
patient monitoring equipment and systems are factors leading to the growth 
of PMD. Other contributing factors include growth of aging population and 
that chronic malady has replaced infectious disease as the most common 
ailment faced by the populous. 
Digital thermometers: 55m digital thermometers are sold, of which 7m are 
infrared. The continued threat of SARS/MERS, malaria and dengue fever 
makes the boring and seemingly simple digital thermometers a critical must-have 
product in a stable-yet-growing market. Environmental initiatives such as 
the decision of the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and the 
American Hospital Association (AHA) to phase out the use of mercury 
diagnostic equipment by 2005 have resulted in a growing demand for infrared 
ear and pen-type digital thermometers. Infrared thermometers are 
increasingly popular due to their quick response, accuracy, safety and easy use 
as they are less invasive as compared to oral or anal procedures and are 
widely used by doctors and hospitals. 
Blood pressure monitors (BPM): In 2013, 45m BPM are sold (N America 
16m, Europe 15m, Asia 14m). ISH estimates that the CAGR of BPM is 6.7% as 
the number of people with hypertension will keep rising and home-use of 
BPM will be a long-term growth trend. Accurate blood pressure 
measurement is increasingly difficult due to the complexities of modern 
diseases. Standard BPM are increasingly not effective. 
48 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Patient-Monitoring Device (PMD) Industry 
Nearly half of hypertensive patients are incorrectly diagnosed! 
Market for Blood Pressure Monitors 
Types of PMD 
Blood pressure monitors; Digital thermometer 
Asthma monitoring device; Cardio monitoring device 
COPD device (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease) 
Blood gas analyzers; Glucose monitoring devices 
Respiratory and sleep disorder monitoring devices 
Fetal monitors; Neonatal monitors; 
Neuromonitors; Anaesthesia monitors 
“Over 70m adults are affected by hypertension or 
obesity, costing the U.S. economy an estimated $170bn 
in lost productivity and medical expenditures. Less than 
40% of hypertensive patients are under control and 
nearly 30m hypertensive patients are incorrectly 
diagnosed and are either over or under medicated.” 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
49 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Microlife: Major Products 
OBM = Own Brand Manufacturing = 44% of sales in DT/BPM, 62% of overall sales 
Sales 
36.6% 
Sales 
24.4% 
Global #2 
(17% m/s) 
Global #1 
(50% m/s) 
Sales 
34.2% 
US #1 
(50% m/s) 
OBM 
20% 
OBM 
60% 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
Microlife’s 30-Years Journey to Become Global #1 in Digital Thermometer and #2 in Blood Pressure Monitor 
1981 1985 1995 2000 2008/10 
Founded by 
KY Lin 
Digital 
thermometer; 
US FDA 
1998 2001 2005 2012 2013 
Microlife 
brand; BP 
received US 
FDA approval 
Digital blood 
pressure 
monitor 
began and 
received CE 
Mark 
Infrared ear 
thermometer 
gets FDA; 1- 
second 
infrared ear 
gun 
ERP 
system; 
IPO on 
GTSM 
2002 
Acquires 
electric flexible 
heating blanket 
Biddeford in 
US; launched 
asthma 
monitoring 
device 
Obtain 
certification to 
manufacture 
blood pressure 
monitors in 
Japan, the first 
non-Jap firm. 
Launch of iCare 
WatchBP 
soft-launched 
in 
Switzerland 
Sep: Reduce 
share capital 
to boost 
efficiency 
Oct: New 
MAM series 
in blood 
pressure 
monitors 
UK’s NICE announces 
WatchBP to be used 
in hospitals; 10th 
consecutive A award 
for Most 
Transparent, Best 
Disclosure listed 
company; Frost & 
Sullivan award 
2004 
Sales from 
Microlife 
brand 
exceeded 
OEM/ODM 
business 
2006 
Microlife 
breaks 
into Wal- 
Mart 
Microlife is the world’s largest manufacturer of digital thermometer with 50% global market share (20% under its own brand Microlife), 
the world’s #2 maker of blood pressure monitors with 17-18% market share (60% under its own brand Microlife) and the largest electric 
flexible heating blanket company in US with 50% market share (Microlife competes with Sunbeam which used to have 80% market share). 
Founded in 1981 by KY Lin, Microlife was listed on the GTSM (GreTai Securities Market) on Mar 2001 and it has 2,400 employees. Key rivals 
include Japan’s Omron (6645 JP, MV $9.6bn) whose healthcare business has FY13 sales of $810m and operating profit $68m, and 
Germany’s medium-sized family-owned Beurer GmbH (FY12 sales $208m) founded in 1919. 
Tipping Point in 2008/10 in launching the innovative WatchBP: The WatchBP is the world’s first blood pressure monitor that is able to 
detect atrial fibrillation (Afib) based on an embedded algorithm that calculates the irregularity index depending on the intervals between 
heartbeats, with the diagnosis further confirmed by performing an ECG. Hypertension with Afib is shown to be the most important risk 
factors of stroke development and heart disease. Microlife owns the worldwide patent for WatchBP and Afib detection. Microlife has 
managed to penetrate deeper into the institutional clients in hospitals, clinics and pharmaceutical companies such as Germany’s BI 
(Boehringer Ingelheim) and Bayer, Spain’s Lacer, Japan’s DS (Daiichi Sankyo), and France’s Servier, etc., who use the devices for improving 
clinical services. WatchBP was soft-launched in Switzerland in 2008 and the initial years were slow in sales with 50,000 units sold in 2011. 
With continued educational push and endorsement by reputable organizations to add credibility to the product and enhance its band value, 
sales have climbed to 100,000 units in 2012 and 250,000 units in 2013. Microlife’s “goal is like Intel to have ‘Powered by Microlife’ WatchBP 
solutions developed in partnership with the healthcare providers and regulators.” 
50 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Microlife: Background and Tipping Point 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
51 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Digital 
Blood 
Pressure 
Monitor, 
36.58% 
Others, 
4.80% 
Digital 
Thermome 
ter, 24.43% 
Electric 
Flexible 
Heating 
Blankets, 
34.19% 
US, 54% 
Other 
Countries, 
7% 
Europe, 
37% 
Taiwan, 
1% 
Microlife: Revenue Breakdown 
Revenue (by product segment and geography) 
Sales GP Market Share OBM Share OBM 
Digital Blood Pressure Monitor 36.6% 40% 17% 60% Microlife 
Electric Flexible Heating Blankets and 
Green Products 34.2% 40% 40% (US) >90% Biddeford 
Digital Thermometer 24.4% 25-30% 50% 20% Microlife 
Others 4.8% 
Overall 37.3% 
- Product segment: Blood pressure monitor (BPM) contributes the most to revenue and 
profits at 36.6% of group sales with a GP margin of around 40% and its own brand Microlife 
accounts for 60% of BPM sales. The electric flexible heating blankets business, sold mainly 
in America under the brand name of Biddeford, accounts for 34% of sales with comparable 
GP margin of 40% (more on this later). Digital thermometers contributes 24% of sales with 
GP margin of 25-30%. With the rising sales of the innovative and higher-margin WatchBP 
series of products, overall margin is expected to be maintained or rise. OBM = Own Brand 
Manufacturing = 44% of sales in DT/BPM, 62% of overall sales 
- Geography: 91% of sales are in developed markets – US 54%, Europe 37%. Sales to other 
countries such as Asia and Middle East is 7%; Taiwan 1%. Microlife has been strong in the 
developed markets where the penetration rate of home-monitoring devices are higher due 
to higher health-consciousness and greater self-care. More importantly, Microlife has been 
successful in penetrating as the ODM partner for top retailers in America such as Wal-Mart, 
Costco, CVS, Walgreen’s etc. In Europe, Microlife sells its products both under ODM and 
their own brand. In contrast, Microlife is weak in emerging markets where Omron 
dominates, particularly in the vast China market in which Omron is very aggressive in 
offering high rebates to their customers. In the developed markets, Microlife is comparable 
to Omron: Omron’s sales in US and Europe are $127m and $177m vs Microlife’s $106m and 
$73m respectively. 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Bamboo nnovator 
52 
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 
《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 
Microlife’s Electric Flexible Heating Blanket Business in America 
The steady demand: In America, the demand for electric blankets is estimated at 3.6-4.2m units every 
year; in Europe, 2m pieces; in China, 10m. 
Background on how Microlife break Sunbeam’s dominance: Microlife entered the electric flexible 
heating blanket market in 2002 after acquiring its bankrupt customer Biddeford Blankets for $2.5m and 
invested a further $5.7m in plants and equipment. However, the business lost $7.8m in 2002 with a $1.5m 
inventory write-off plus a $6.3m operation loss and another $5m loss in 2003. Microlife changed the cost 
structure of the company by shifting its production base from US to China in 2004 and competed head-on 
with Sunbeam whose market share plunged from 80% to 40%. Sunbeam is owned by Jarden Corp (JAH US, 
MV $7.8bn). Biddeford now has the #1 brand in US with 50% market share and sales of $67m and gross 
profit of $27m. 
The anti-dumping saga in 2010 and the shift in manufacturing facilities to Philippines: An anti-dumping 
saga on China imports in 2010 hit Biddeford. Microlife made the bold decision to relocate the 
plant to Philippines, registering losses in 2010. The first year of operations in 2011 was modest. Since then, 
things are back on track with two good years of performance. Biddeford has plans to grow in Europe and 
China after achieving stable growth. 
Why this simple small business has high barriers to entry: Biddeford is promoted as an energy saving 
alternative and supplement to the heater. They are designed with users’ safety in mind and have built-in 
temperature controllers that shuts off the heating coil and sensor wire automatically when a certain heat 
level is achieved. The key components in temperature controllers and sensor wire are manufactured in-house 
by Microlife and they are protected by patents, representing high barriers-to-entry and a wide 
moat. Even if one possesses the technology and cost efficiency, it’s not easy to penetrate into the supply 
chain of Wal-Mart and Costco and customer trust in the brand and safety is critical. 
Seasonal risk: Note that the sales are highly seasonal and geared towards the autumn months in US 
(Sep to Nov) in order for customers to receive their inventory in winter. 
(1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) 
(3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle
Wide-Moat Investing  in the Asian Capital Jungle

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Wide-Moat Investing in the Asian Capital Jungle

  • 1.
  • 2. Bamboo nnovator 1 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Wide-Moat Investing In the Asian Capital Jungle Navigating with the Bamboo Innovator approach 11th Value Investing Seminar, Trani July 17-18, 2014 KB Kee Managing Editor The Moat Report Asia www.moatreport.com www.twitter.com/bambooinnovator bambooinnovator@gmail.com The Da Vinci Flying Machine can be considered as Leonardo’s Magnum Opus in scientific design. Leonardo had designed the frame to be made with bamboo shoots. Marco Polo on bamboo: “… stronger than hemp… One of the engineering marvels of the world.” SSRN: http://ssrn.com/author=1174940 Moat Report Asia publications: http://www.moatreport.com/updates/ BeyondProxy publications: http://www.beyondproxy.com/author/koon-boon-kee/ SMU profile: http://accountancy.smu.edu.sg/directory/Kee-Koon-boon (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 3. Bamboo nnovator 2 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 To Catch An Asian Snake: Detecting Accounting Frauds Ahead of the Curve Value Unplugged, Naples KB Kee Managing Editor The Moat Report Asia July 14-16, 2014 www.moatreport.com www.twitter.com/bambooinnovator bambooinnovator@gmail.com SSRN: http://ssrn.com/author=1174940 Moat Report Asia publications: http://www.moatreport.com/updates/ BeyondProxy publications: http://www.beyondproxy.com/author/koon-boon-kee/ SMU profile: http://accountancy.smu.edu.sg/directory/Kee-Koon-boon Krishna dances over the subdued poisonous Kaliya snake in river Yamuna, where only one solitary Kadamba tree grew on the river bank. From a Bhagavata Purana manuscript, c. 1640. (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 4. Bamboo nnovator 3 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Taiwan’s Bamboo Innovators 80: Who Are They? $93 billion MXAPJ $7.2 trillion 13.7x Bamboo Innovators bend, not break, even in the most terrifying storm that would snap the mighty resisting oak tree. It survives, therefore it conquers. GreTai Bamboo Innovators Watchlist: Taiwan 80 TaiEx Market Cap PE $880 billion 17.7x Source: Bloomberg, 24 Jun 2014 31.2x The Taiwan stock market (TaiEx) has approximately 800 companies with total market cap of $870 billion, while the GreTai OTC market has around 700 companies with total market cap of $92 billion. TaiEx is ranked the #15 global stock exchange by trading value. 5% Institutional subscribers get access to the Bamboo Innovator Index of 200+ companies and Watchlist of 500+ companies in Asia and the Database has eliminated companies with a higher probability of accounting frauds and misgovernance as well as the alluring value traps. Index 222 + Watchlist 312 = Bamboo Innovators 534 Index Big Mid Small Micro TOTAL % Singapore 3 5 2 10 4.5% HK 8 10 7 1 26 11.7% Korea 2 9 14 1 26 11.7% Taiwan 2 14 8 24 10.8% Thailand 1 6 15 3 25 11.3% Indonesia 2 8 5 2 17 7.7% Malaysia 2 7 9 7 25 11.3% Philippines 2 6 2 10 4.5% India 2 14 9 25 11.3% ANZ 4 15 12 3 34 15.3% TOTAL 28 94 82 17 222 100.0% Watchlist Big Mid Small Micro TOTAL % Singapore 8 5 13 4.2% HK 1 9 9 19 6.1% Korea 3 14 19 4 40 12.8% Taiwan 2 21 29 4 56 17.9% Thailand 1 11 6 19 37 11.9% Indonesia 4 9 11 3 27 8.7% Malaysia 7 7 5 19 6.1% Philippines 8 5 13 4.2% India 5 28 25 2 60 19.2% ANZ 12 13 3 28 9.0% TOTAL 16 127 129 40 312 100.0% Big >$10bn, Mid $1-10bn, Small $200m-1bn, Micro <$200m (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator
  • 5. Bamboo nnovator 4 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Resilience: The Ability to Replicate & Scale from Scratch & The Indestructible Intangibles to Bounce Back From Crisis! $48B Sales $180B Mkt Cap “If you gave me $100 billion and said, ‘Take away the soft-drink leadership of Coca-Cola in the world,' I’d give it back to you and say it can’t be done.” - Buffett $68B Sales >$150B Value Robert Bosch (1861-1942) worked as apprentice at German companies, in US under Thomas Edison, in UK at Siemens 1st breakthrough: Magneto ignition device (1887) 2nd breakthrough: MID to vehicle engine (1897, 1902) Global expansion: 1898-1913 WWI (1914): Lost it all! Factories and plants all destroyed! Never give up: Electric horn (1921), windshield wiper (1926), power brake system (1927) Boat engines, jet skis, garden and forestry equipment, gas engines, water pumps and emergency generators… 2012: 11 billion spark plugs produced by Bosch Ownership: 8% Bosch family, 92% Foundation (1938 will) Burn and destroy all the tangible assets! (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator
  • 6. Bamboo nnovator 5 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 “The first rule is that you can’t really know anything if you just remember isolated facts and try and bang them back. If the facts don’t hang together on a latticework of theory, you don’t have them in a usable form. You've got to have models in your head. And you've got to array your experience - both vicarious and direct - on this latticework of models.” – Charles Munger, “A Lesson on Elementary, Worldly Wisdom As It Relates To Investment Management & Business ”, USC Business School, 1994 Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator Bamboos Bend, Not Break in the wildest storms that would snap the mighty resisting oak trees; it survives and therefore it conquers. A “Good-to-Great” checklist approach might overlook the resilient Bamboo Innovators. After all, there are much larger impressive trees in the forest. By comparison a bamboo looks smaller, thinner, and fragile. The list of Bamboo Innovators is a surprising one; many of them are not the typical ones that one would come across. Empty hollow center The nutrients and moisture that would have been exhausted making and maintaining this empty center can be utilized for growth of other culms. From a builder’s viewpoint, the architecture of the bamboo culm presents a powerful configuration: fibers of greatest strength occur in increasing concentration toward the periphery of the plant. “Rootedness” in cultivating a culture of kindness, trust and cooperation to contend with and heal creative dissent and incentivize innovative experimentations R Rootedness E Emptiness S Sheath “Emptiness” like the empty hollow center of a bamboo in having (1) “indestructible intangibles” which in turn derives its strength from either a certain know-how or trust and support in the community; (2) a “core-periphery” network; and (3) an “open-innovation” business model in which both internal and external partners co-develop new products and creations. “Sheath” in leadership to create the context, adaptive-govern, coordinate, synthesize and weave diverse networks and groups who might otherwise be excluded into a coherent whole, rather than the typical command-and-control “positional/title-based” leadership. (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator
  • 7. Bamboo nnovator 6 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Search Methodology for Bamboo Innovators: “Emptiness” in Business Model Indestructible Intangibles  Proprietary know-how  Trust and support from community of customers, suppliers, partners Open Innovation  Both internal and external partners co-develop new products and services  Qualcomm (QCOM US)  Ecolab (ECL US)  Luxottica (LUX US)  Novozymes (NZYMB DC)  TSMC (2330 TT)  CSL Limited (CSL AU) 220+ Bamboo Innovators U.S. Europe Asia Core-Periphery Network  Scaling by empowerment and decision-rights beyond the founder  Scaling by technology as an enabler and embedded into the business model design  RockTenn (RKT US)  Balchem (BCPC US)  O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY US)  Sherwin-Williams (SHW US)  Fastenal (FAST US)  Bosch, IMA SpA (IMA IM)  Novo Nordisk (NVO DC)  Inditex (ITX SM)  ASSA Abloy (ASSAB SS)  Yunnan Baiyao (000538 CH)  Kewpie (2809 JP)  DKSH (DKSH MK)  Major Cineplex (MAJOR TB)  Home Product Center (HMPRO TB) 530+ Watch List ~15,000* Listed Asian Stocks * Asia ex-Japan ex-China A-shares. Includes India, HK, Taiwan, Korea, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, Philippines, Australia, New Zealand, with a market value of over $8.5 trillion. If Japan and China A-shares were included, the investment universe is expanded to over 20,000 stocks with a market value of over $15 trillion. 3.7% 1.8% (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator
  • 8. Bamboo nnovator 7 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 An Italian Bamboo Innovator: IMA SpA But the Asian Capital Jungle is Far More Complex…. Q: Why is it that throughout the financial crisis, Italy has remained Europe’s second-largest export economy, after Germany, despite Italy being ranked as the 80th place in the World Bank’s “Ease of Doing Business” survey because of his strong labor unions, seemingly boundless bureaucracy, organized crime, and endemic tax evasion? Hidden global champion: Do you know that 70% of the tea filter bags in the world are made from IMA’s automatic packaging machines? Intangible know-how in high-tech automatic machinery applications in packaging: World leader in the design and manufacture of automatic machines for the processing and packaging of pharmaceuticals (tablet, capsule filling, coating, freeze dry etc), cosmetics, tea, coffee and foods. IMA has filed about 1,200 patents worldwide and has launched many new machine models over the last years. Over 400 of its 3,600 workforce are designers committed to product innovation. Established in 1961 in Bologna (Emilia Romagna – the “Packaging Valley”), listed in Milan Stock Exchange since 1995 760.9 million Euros for the fiscal year 2013 (export: 92%). Vacchi family 66.2%. Quiet innovator until exponential spurt (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 9. Bamboo nnovator 8 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Missing Cash in S-Chips (Singapore-Listed Chinese Companies): Left Side In, Right Side Out!  First, the controlling shareholders will engage in 'propping' activities to artificially inflate the sales and assets of the listed firms through related-party transactions (RPTs) to entice the funds of investors who did their 'fundamental analysis' of the firms. Artificial accrued sales are booked under 'other receivables', while the bogus cash-based sales stay hidden in the 'cash & cash equivalents‘.  After 'propping', 'tunnelling' or expropriation of these assets out of the listed firm follows, engineered through related-lending and transfer activities which are rarely paid back by the controlling shareholders. These cash transfers are done artfully, often in short-term transactions in order to be qualified as 'cash equivalents'. That explains why most of the artificial cash balances in these firms typically earn low average interest rates, at below one per cent, when the typical bank rate in China varies between 5 and 10 per cent.  In other words, there is left-side in via propping, and right-side out via tunnelling. (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator
  • 10. Bamboo nnovator 9 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 The Case of Sino-Environment  Take the case of the high-profile and 'highly profitable' S-chip Sino- Environment. Footnote 12 of their 2008 Annual Report revealed that the average interest rate earned from their 728 million yuan (S$143 million) cash in the balance sheet is merely 0.56 per cent. In Footnote 13, the amount due and dividend receivable from its subsidiaries in the company accounts is 282 million yuan. In their group accounts, the amount of non-trade receivables is 240 million yuan out of the 276.5 million yuan in total receivables.  From Footnote 12, Sino-Environment possibly made dubious related-party acquisitions, financed by the IPO and secondary equity offerings, to cancel the artificial receivables that were created in collusion with the related parties, and booking the set-off as goodwill and intangible assets which stood at 228 million yuan.  In a Raju-deja vu fashion, property was involved. According to news articles reporting about the firm's situation, its chairman Sun Jiangrong reportedly tried to siphon away a 100 per cent stake in Chongqing Daqing Property, which owned properties in China worth 10 billion yuan, to his Hong Kong private firm called Top One Property Group, and later to a Chinese firm owned by his brother, Sun Shaofeng, the chairman of HK-listed China Green.  Wrote and submitted the article in Apr 2010. Published on 25 Nov 2010 in Business Times Singapore (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator
  • 11. Bamboo nnovator 10 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Left Side In, Right Side Out! Sino-Environment-China Green (904 HK) Connection China Green Published article  Wrote and submitted the article in Apr 2010. Published on 25 Nov 2010 in Business Times Singapore (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator
  • 12. Bamboo nnovator 11 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Egana (48 HK) and Peacemark (304 HK): Durable Consumer Franchise & Value Stocks With Lotsa Cash in Balance Sheet? Egana (48 HK): HK$1.4 billion “cash and cash equivalents”; ~HK$1 billion are promissory notes due from related investment companies Peacemark (304 HK): HK$600 million net cash; HK$330 were “deposits” placed with related parties • Of the HK$1B, $693.7m was rolled over upon maturity for another one to three months. These promissory notes have been building up for years. This begs the question of how many times some of these notes have been rolled over, who the borrowers are, and what ability they have to repay. (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 13. Bamboo nnovator 12 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Dalang-mite: The Primacy of Governance Pitfall in Value Investing in Asia Q: Why are the faces and clothes of puppets in the wayang performance – a traditional Javanese show – painted with bright colors when the audience sitting behind the screen can only see their shadows? More importantly, why is the philosophy underlying the wayang performance critical for value investing in Asia? A: Colors of the puppets are not meant to be seen by the common masses; only the audience behind the stage, those who are closer to the puppet master, the dalang, have the privilege of seeing the true colors of the faces and costumes of the puppets. When a warrior like Arjuna or Bima is about to appear, the dalang places on that puppet a golden mask. The privileged few behind the screen close to the dalang know in advance that a war is about to begin before the front audience sees it over the screen and they have a deeper understanding of the feelings and behavior of the manipulator. (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 14. Bamboo nnovator The Case of PT Davomas, Indonesia’s Second-Largest Cocoa Processor with MNC Customers Davomas was listed in the Jakarta Stock Exchange in 1994 and it grew to become the largest exporter of semi-processed chocolate products (cocoa powder and cocoa butter) in Indonesia with international trading houses and large chocolate manufacturers in Europe and US as their customers. Davomas became a darling stock with its growth prospects and technologically-advanced facilities. In Apr 2007, the main shareholders Tse Kam Bui and Husein Sutjiadi sold a 24.9% stake to a handful of investors at Rp400 per share, raising about IDR 610.2bn ($67m). Foreign institutional investors such as Templeton became significant shareholders. Davomas continues to enjoy glowing sell-side research reports such as the one on the right dated 25 Jan 2008. On May 2009, Davomas shares were suspended because it defaulted on its $238m 11% guaranteed senior bonds due 2011. Shareholders agreed to a restructuring plan involving an exchange offer for the original bonds and a $33m shareholder loan. The shareholder loan was from the secretive majority owner Tse Kam Bui who controls five BVI-registered companies that together hold a 51% stake in Davomas. The debt to the BVI companies was immediately repaid via a rights offering for those shareholders. The original bondholders took a 50% haircut and exchanged for $119m variable interest rate guaranteed secured bonds due 2014 and retained security over the assets of Davomas and the BVI companies. In March 2012, Davomas once again defaulted on its debt due 2014. In June 2012, Davomas shockingly reported new debt of IDR 2.87tr to PT Aneka Surya Agro (PT ASA), allegedly a supplier to Davomas. Although the debt represented more than four times equity and more than double its IDR 1.32tr in revenue, no other information about the transaction was given. The June 2012 debt restructuring called for the conversion of all outstanding debt into equity in Davomas. However, the debt-to-equity conversion requires the consent from the general meeting of shareholders and the shareholders’ meeting on Sep 2012 was cancelled due to confusion regarding the identity of the persons entitled to represent the majority shareholders, namely the secretive Tse Kam Bui. The irregularities in its financial statements remain unexplained. Later, it was suspected that PT ASA belongs to this secretive controlling owner, the dalang behind all the transactions. The aggrieved bondholders and shareholders are still demanding for justice. 13 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 15. Bamboo nnovator Microlife: Boring Global #1/#2 in Patient Monitoring Device (Digital Thermometer/Blood Pressure Monitor) ROE 21% with a unique solution-services business model protected by innovative worldwide patents Durable Franchise Value in Boring and Resilient Patient Monitoring Device – and a Quiet, Powerful Cost Consolidator Microlife’s manufacturing technology platform has enabled it to build a global durable franchise in the niche patient monitoring device market that has stable resilient growth and yet is experiencing potential disruptions led by Microlife’s new innovation in blood pressure monitoring protected by worldwide patents. Microlife has the potential to consolidate the market further. Worldwide Patents in Algorithm- Technology in Afib and MAM blood pressure measurement Microlife’s worldwide patents in algorithm-technology in blood pressure measurement has been commercialized into the WatchBP product series that is at the heart of its total solution service business model. This valuable intangible asset is not factored into long-term valuation. Potential Takeover Target by Omron, J&J Microlife’s long-term terminal value and downside risk will be protected by giants such as Omron, J&J (LifeScan), Bayer, Abbott etc who wish to swallow it up to possess its valuable manufacturing technology platform and worldwide patents. 14 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Why is Microlife underappreciated still? Valuable Process IP/Know-How and (LifeScan), Bayer, Abbott Global #1 Market Share (Digital Thermometer) 50% Worldwide Patents in Algorithm- Technology in Afib and MAM The innovative WatchBP with the Afib detection and MAM technology are not merely additional features; it “forces” the clinical community to adopt them as the standard, which in turn helps drive home-use penetration. It transforms the BPM product into a unique strategy. Worldwide Patents in Afib and MAM Total Solution Service Business Model Incorporates software development to create value-added services for health monitoring and collaborating with hospitals and governments on tele-healthcare Microlife’s ROE 21% (Why?) projects. Global #2 Market Share (Digital Blood Pressure Monitor) 17-18% Quiet, Powerful Cost Consolidator Reliable manufacturing platform for over 30 years with in-house capabilities to combine Swiss design, high-precision electronics with clinical healthcare to produce world-class products with cost competitiveness. Sticky ODM Partner to Reputable Customers Diversified customer base to customers such as Wal- Mart, Costco, CVS, Walgreen’s; none accounts for >10% of sales. US #1 Market Share (Electric Flexible Heating Blankets) 50% 91% of Sales in Developed Markets (54% US, 37% Europe) EV/EBIT 9.7x EV/EBITDA 8.8x Dividend 5.6% Net Cash 23% MV (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 16. Bamboo nnovator 15 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Salient Points See Appendix for the Full and Complimentary Version of The Moat Report Asia (1) An undervalued hidden world champion: World’s #1 and #2 manufacturer of two healthcare equipment Decent valuation: EV/EBIT 9.7x, EV/EBITDA 8.8x Sustainable dividend yield: 5.6% Healthy net-cash balance sheet: 23% of market value Shareholder-friendly: Reduce 10% of shares outstanding in Sep 2012 to boost capital efficiency (2) It’s boring! It’s misunderstood! Why wide-moat (Part 1)?: Quiet powerful cost consolidator: Reliable manufacturing technology platform to build a global durable franchise in the niche patient monitoring device market that has stable resilient growth In-house capabilities to combine Swiss design, high-precision electronics and sensor components Core competence of having an algorithm to allow fast reading/filtering of signals and outputting the accurate results in a short period of time Worldwide patents in innovative algorithm technology in Afib and MAM to support its total solution service business model Valuable intangible asset is not factored into long-term valuation (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 17. Bamboo nnovator Conversation with Management: Microlife’s Founder and Chairman LIN Kin-yuan (KY Lin) Q: “What is the secret to Microlife’s success in maintaining such high profitability in relatively mature - and even boring! – products that are seemingly simple to manufacture with low barriers to entry?” KY: “There’s big knowledge even in this seeming simple and boring digital and infrared thermometer products. The speed in measuring body temperature is not limited to the sensitivity of the sensor device but rather how the thermometer can rapidly reach the calibration point of the body temperature with different physical principles of thermometry. As these techniques involve specialized knowledge and industry secrets, they are protected by patents. Microlife is one of the rare few in the whole world to have the capability to produce models with read time of 1 to 60 seconds. This is something that the rest of our rivals can never match. For infrared ear thermometers, after shooting out the infrared energy to measure the temperature, the sensory parts must receive the signal and convert the radiant power to an electrical signal that can be displayed in units of temperature after being compensated for ambient temperature. It involves high-precision parts and complicated configuration and calculations before reaching an accurate standard. Thus, the barrier to entry is not low. Our R&D in Taiwan concentrates on high-tech electronics parts and components, such as the in-house manufacture of sensors, establishing the high-precision measurement platform, temperature micro-controller design. Our Europe medical R&D and clinical trial center artfully combines high-precision electronics with healthcare to produce world-class high-quality products and new innovations. It’s not easy to manufacture quality thermometers with cost competitiveness. The various components are expensive. IC chips are the most expensive, accounting for 10-15% of the total cost. LCD 10%, sensor 10%, pump 10%. We have economies of scale in procurement and manufacturing. We will continue to consolidate this market, albeit gradually. Our market share is around 40% five years ago and about 50% now. Our market share is higher for higher-end products, especially for the range of infrared products.” 16 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Microlife’s KY Lin, 61 years old “There’s big knowledge even in this seeming simple and boring digital and infrared thermometer products… As these techniques involve specialized knowledge and industry secrets, they are protected by patents. Microlife is one of the rare few in the whole world to have the capability to produce models with read time of 1 to 60 seconds. This is something that the rest of our rivals can never match… For infrared…It involves high-precision parts and complicated configuration and calculations before reaching an accurate standard. Thus, the barrier to entry is not low.” Chinese-to-English translation by KB Kee. Any translation errors are mine. (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 18. Bamboo nnovator 17 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Atrial Fibrillation (Afib) and Stroke Prevention Microlife has worldwide patents in Afib in BPM http://well.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/06/25/longer-heart-monitoring-backed-for-stroke-patients/?_php=true&_type=blogs&_r=0 http://well.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/12/30/with-a-fib-rhythms-higher-odds-of-stroke/?_php=true&_type=blogs&_r=0 (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 19. Bamboo nnovator 18 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 WatchBP is the only solution announced by Italy’s medical society SIMG (Società Italiana di Medicina Generale) (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 20. Bamboo nnovator Disruptive Technology with Clinical Use: The WatchBP is the potential disruptive technology in the blood pressure monitor market as it has increasingly gained the acceptance as the preferred clinical use with implemented guidelines given its patented measurement of Afib with hypertension to detect stroke and hear diseases in advance. The WatchBP also has professional analytical software to enable easy and accurate diagnosis. Logarithmic vs Exponential Growth: BPM has been a logarithmic growth market as incremental functional improvements are enhancers to the product. We believe that once the hospitals and clinics start to adopt WatchBP as the standard BPM, home-use could rise in an exponential manner. Empowerment Tool as an Active Participant in Managing Health: Microlife developed the WatchBP solution as a way to help physicians accurately diagnose and treat hypertension and empower patients to be an active participant in managing their health. Two things drive effective care; good data and patient accountability. The best medical decisions are made with the best data. Patients also need to believe that the doctor’s advice and treatment is meaningful, understandable, and important to their well-being. Microlife provides accurate, reliable, patient-centered solutions that engage patients and empowers them to manage their health. 19 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Microlife: Why Wide Moat? Fundamental Dynamics Behind 21% ROE WatchBP as the potential disruptive technology (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 21. Bamboo nnovator 20 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Salient Points See Appendix for the Full and Complimentary Version of The Moat Report Asia Worldwide patents in algorithm in Afib: Not just a product, but a strategy! Why wide moat (Part 2): - “Forces” the clinical community to adopt them as the standard, which in turn helps drive home-use penetration. - Transforms the BPM product into a unique strategy that incorporates software development to create value-added services for health monitoring and collaborating with hospitals and governments on tele-healthcare projects. - Watch BP Afib was soft-launched in 2010. 50,000 units are sold in 2011, and the number doubled to 100,000 units in 2012 and around 250,000 in 2013, about 10% of group sales. Sticky ODM Partner to Reputable Customers, Yet Is Able to Build Its Own Brand, Demonstrating Bargaining Power! Why wide moat (Part 3): - Microlife has a diversified customer base as the ODM partner to reputable companies including Wal-Mart, Costco, CVS and none of the customers account for more than 10% of Microlife’s sales. - Microlife has demonstrated that it has bargaining power over its powerful customers with the ability to build its own brand since 1998 (44% of sales in DT/BPM, 62% of overall sales). Long-term industry growth potentially switching gears from logarithmic to exponential growth: - Patient monitoring device (PMD) will be a niche resilient growth segment with the rise in aging population and chronic malady. Patients are increasingly aware of the need to manage their own health and home-use of BPM will be a long-term growth trend. Nearly half of hypertensive patients are inaccurately diagnosed and accurate blood pressure measurement is increasingly difficult due to the complexities of modern diseases. Standard BPM are increasingly not effective. Microlife’s unique WatchBP has the potential to disrupt the market with the adoption led by the clinical community and possibility to spread to home-use as patients seek a consistent and integrated healthcare experience (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 22. Bamboo nnovator 21 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Salient Points See Appendix for the Full and Complimentary Version of The Moat Report Asia Long-term downside protection in terminal value as takeover target: - Microlife’s long-term terminal value and downside risk will be protected by giants such as Omron, J&J (LifeScan), Bayer, Abbott etc who wish to swallow it up to possess its valuable manufacturing technology platform and worldwide patents in algorithm-technology in Afib and MAM blood pressure measurement. Microlife’s KY Lin, 61 years old Stable long-term shareholdings and patient capital foster innovation: - The stable long-term shareholdings and patient capital by the founder KY Lin and the management team who together own around 48% of the equity has enabled Microlife to adopt a very long-term approach to building its business and cultivating new growth areas. While KY may sometimes be slightly over-optimistic and thinking too far ahead with his long-term opinions, this idealistic engineer-visionary-philosopher has done a fantastic job in continuously defying the odds of many skeptics by growing Microlife from a small startup into one of the world’s leading patient monitoring equipment company. - KY is the rare Asian entrepreneur who was persistent in building his own brand despite the threat of offending his ODM customers. KY was also early in cultivating and coordinating a global network with high-tech component, R&D and manufacturing in Taiwan, manufacturing, assembly and packaging in Shenzhen, China and medical R&D and clinical testing and accreditation lab center in Europe, including making the difficult decision to establish a direct marketing sales force in Europe and North America given the high cost. - Unlike most Asian business owners whose interest and focus in the core business starts to wane due to complacency from growing personal wealth and the inability to scale the core business, KY is genuinely passionate in the company’s ability to add value to the patients and society. The idea of the innovative WatchBP actually came from an in-depth conversation between European hypertension specialist Professor George Stergiou and KY. - Microlife can effectively run without KY with the long-term corporate culture and management system in place, yet KY can inject great value as the steward in new innovations; we believe that this combination is rare for an Asian company and deserves a valuation premium. (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 23. Bamboo nnovator 22 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Microlife 10-Year Price Chart Microlife breaks into Wal-Mart Tipping Point: WatchBP soft-launched in Switzerland and Europe Sep: Reduce share capital by 10% to boost capital efficiency Oct: New MAM series in blood Anti-dumping saga in US against Chinese imports. Sales of Microlife’s Made-in-China Biddeford was affected and Microlife shifted its production facilities to Philippines. Sales from Microlife brand exceeded OEM/ODM business Microlife is listed in GTSM (GreTai Securities Market) on Mar 29, 2001. Source: http://investing.businessweek.com/research/stocks/charts/charts.asp?ticker=4103:TT pressure monitors UK’s NICE announces WatchBP to be used in hospitals; 10th consecutive A award for Most Transparent, Best Disclosure listed company; Frost & Sullivan award. WatchBP sales growth accelerated from 50,000 in 2011, 100,000 in 2012 to 250,000 in 2013. (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 24. Bamboo nnovator 23 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Market Statistics and Financial Summary: PE 13x, EV/EBIT 9.7x, EV/EBITDA 8.8x, Dividend Yield 5.6% Financial Summary YE Dec, TWD mil 2010 2011 2012 2013 US$M Sales 5,622.9 5,124.4 5,367.8 5,896.7 196.7 GP 2,067.8 1,794.9 2,005.9 2,201.5 73.4 EBIT 582.3 464.1 676.0 705.9 23.5 EBITDA 636.4 507.5 721.5 778.0 26.0 Net Income 430.2 468.8 557.2 633.6 21.1 CFO (Op Cashflow) 230.1 321.0 769.0 677.0 22.6 Capex -92.9 -74.3 -41.0 -60.6 -2.0 Profitability GP Margin 36.8% 35.0% 37.4% 37.3% EBIT Margin 10.4% 9.1% 12.6% 12.0% EBITDA Margin 11.3% 9.9% 13.4% 13.2% Net Margin 7.7% 9.1% 10.4% 10.7% GP/TA 46.4% 41.0% 44.4% 42.2% ROA 9.6% 10.7% 12.3% 12.1% CFO/Total Asset 5.2% 7.3% 17.0% 13.0% ROE 16.3% 16.9% 19.9% 20.9% Market Stats Date: Jun 24, 2014 Share Price: TWD 74.2 Market Cap: US$272m Shares Outstanding: 110m FX Rate: USDTWD 30.0 Daily Liquidity: $0.3m 52 Week: TWD 73.4-91.9 Valuation Summary P/E (FY13): 13.1x P/Book (FY13): 2.73x P/Sales (FY13): 1.40x P/CFO (FY13): 12.2x EV/EBIT (FY13): 9.7x EV/EBITDA (FY13): 8.8x ROA (FY13): 12.1% ROE (FY13): 20.9% Div Yield: 5.66% Cash vs Accruals 2010 2011 2012 2013 Capex% Sales -1.7% -1.4% -0.8% -1.0% AR Day 77 100 99 112 Inventory Day 48 55 49 59 AP Day 74 68 62 80 CCC 51 87 86 91 Leverage Mkt Value (TWD mil) 7,211 6,111 6,490 8,943 Shares Outstanding 122.2 122.2 110.0 110.0 Net Debt -1,424 -1,268 -1,371 -1,405 Debt/Book Equity -53.9% -45.8% -49.0% -46.3% R.E.S.-ilence Factors in Value Creation R = “Rootedness” in innovative culture? E = “Emptiness” in business model durability & scalability? (1) Indestructible intangibles in know-how and trust and support from community? (2) Core-periphery business model via technology and empowerment? (3) Open innovation business model? S = “Sheath” leadership/ management quality? Ownership Management & family 46.9% Foreign investors 14.4% (Franklin Resource 11.1%) Domestic funds & fin 12.5% Risk Factors Industry dynamics Business transparency Accounting quality Corporate governance Catalysts/ Tipping point Valuations Liquidity  Microlife’s ROE has been steadily increasing from 16.3% to 20.9% due partly to better profit margin contribution from its innovative WatchBP products and rising net cash position.  Microlife has undertaken the unusual capital management program to retire 12.2m shares (10% of its shares outstanding) in Sep 2012 to boost capital efficiency by utilizing the comfortable net cash position. Share price has since spiked up over 25%. The proactive shareholder-friendly stance backed by its strong net cash position should limit any downside in share price.  Note that net cash in FY13 has grown from $47M to $65M in 1Q14  1Q04 sales +4.6% but OP -1.2% with GP margin maintained at 37.7-37.9%, mainly due to a 8.6% increase in selling and marketing expenses. During 1Q14, Microlife forex gain has fallen to $0.5m from $16m in FY13. It also suffered a hedging loss of $0.9m as opposed to a gain of $0.3m in FY13. Overall, other income has dropped from $2m profit in FY13 to -$0.2m in 1Q14 http://emops.twse.com.tw/server-java/t16sn02_e1?TYPEK=otc&step=current&co_id=4103 (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 25. Bamboo nnovator 24 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 “Skate to where the puck is going to be”: From “Brands” to Inno-Facturers Microlife is Part of the Long-Term Valuation Re-rating Trend from Brands to Inno-Facturers Investors are always enamored by the brand story, sometimes right but often wrong, since, after all, there are few Coca Colas. In our view, the profit and valuation premium in the value chain will start to skate to the “Inno-facturers” and the hidden ODM innovators (the brand behind brands) consolidating the industry with their unique business models, while the “brands” start to slug it out amongst themselves. Brands without their own distribution network in emerging markets to equitize end customer relationship will suffer de-rating given the explosion in advertising/ marketing and distribution/ logistics costs, the attack of private labels and too many me-too brands everywhere. Investors will always misunderstand inno-factures. They are distinct from the usual low-cost manufacturers in emerging markets because of their “manufacturing technology platform” that creates both that option value to break new grounds in new markets/customers and to widen the moat to fend off the typical distracted/complacent Asian emperor owners who need to indulge in luxury lifestyle and property/non-core investments to feel alive since the underlying core business cannot be institutionalized. Increasing complexity and shorter design life-spans in a multitude of products mean that the “modular design” process of products requires plenty of technical interaction and tacit knowledge exchanges among brand companies, key component suppliers and formulation through their system integration and technological development abilities. ODMs have become an irreplaceable and integral part of the R&D and design process value chain. (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 26. Bamboo nnovator The compounding effect of the neglected and misunderstood giant TSMC, a wide-moat ODM company with no “brand”, but enabler of fabless innovators such as Qualcomm and UK’s ARM. TSMC is up >25x since 1994 to a market value of $117bn. TSMC (2330 TT, MV $117bn) is now the largest ODM foundry in the world. When TSMC was established by Morris Chang in 1987, the market asked, “Who is TSMC going to manufacture the wafers for? The Intels and Texas Instruments are also manufacturers themselves and they would let TSMC manufacture their wafers only when they didn't have the capacity, the leftovers, or didn't want to manufacture the stuff themselves anymore. As soon as they got the capacity they would stop orders to TSMC, so it couldn't be a stable market. And when they didn't want to make the wafers anymore, the chances were that it was losing money for them. And so why would TSMC want to do it? Does TSMC want to take over the loss? And Taiwan is two generations behind in technological capabilities.” TSMC has the last laugh as it enabled fabless innovators such as Qualcomm and UK’s ARM to emerge. 25 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 ODM Vs Brand in Valuation = Inno-Facturers Will Always Be Misunderstood The case of TSMC (2330 TT, MV $117bn), the ultimate ODM now nearly as valuable as Intel (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 27. Bamboo nnovator 26 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 5 Examples of Inno-Facturers in Asia Besides Microlife Example #1: Our Drinking Partner – The Asian Equivalent of Peter Lynch’s Multibagger Winner Crown Cork & Seal Example #2: Our Digital Entertainment Partner – Hidden Global Consolidator with Underappreciated GoPro Growth & More Example #3: Our Bakery Partner – The Middleby of Asia in Baking up Defensive Growth Example #4: Our Fashion Partner - Global #1 in Velcro fastener and “spec-in” partner to all top 20 sports shoe brands Example #5: Our Eyecare Partner - World’s #1 ODM in Soft Lens (Global #5) and Hidden Champion in Color Lens That Giants Can’t Do Well (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 28. Bamboo nnovator 27 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Example #1: The Asian Equivalent of Peter Lynch’s Multibagger Winner Crown Cork & Seal? Blossoms in the Desert: Great Companies in Lousy Industries Peter Lynch: “Crown Cork & Seal makes soda cans, beer cans, paint cans, pet food containers, jugs for antifreeze, bottle caps, bottle washers, bottle rinsers, bottle crowners and can warmers. I probably don’t need to tell you that can making is a lousy industry with a thin margin… They never pay a dividend... Crown is a perfect company. A classic example of how to run an unexciting business and make it exciting for shareholders. We’d all be richer if we’d put all our money into Crown.” Peter Lynch managed the obscure Magellan Fund from 1977-May 1990, growing AUM from $18m to $14bn with annualized return of 29%. Crown Cork & Seal is up over 670% for Peter Lynch. if we can invest BEFORE the wide economic moat is obvious?” $1.6 billion market cap John Connelly, a former Crown supplier, takes over as president in 1957 at a time when the company is reeling from a series of poor diversification and is on the verge of bankruptcy. In 32 years as chief executive of Crown, this blacksmith's son stubbornly went his own way. Other companies diversified with disastrous results but Connelly stuck single-mindedly to what he knew best: the manufacture of metal cans and caps. When he yielded to the infirmities of age in April 1989, it was an industry leader with 17,750 employees in 28 countries and annual revenues of $1.9 billion. Connelly passed away at age 85 in July 1990. = ? (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 29. Bamboo nnovator Global PC sales tank to lowest since 2008. PC is disrupted by the twin terrors of tablet (iPad was launched on Apr 2010) and smartphone. Despite industry slowdown, X has made market gains from further industry consolidation in PC peripherals. Non-PC weighting in sales has grown from 22% in 2011 to 37% in 2Q13 and targeted at 40-42% in 2013, led by growth in tablet and consumer electronics (eg sports DV cam). 28 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Example #2: Hidden Global Consolidator With Underappreciated GoPro Growth & More Why overlooked and underappreciated? Association with PC Decline Global #1 Sports DV Cam Tablet DKB + Dual Cam DKB = Detachable keyboard Foundation for Cashflow and Growth Keyboard Global #1 Market Share 33% IP Security Cam Webcam Global #1 Market Share 20% Spinoff (Listing Nov13): Automotive Camera #3 Global Player in Power Supply (SPS/Adapter, LED Lighting); X owns 53% Notebook Cam Global #1 Market Share 40% “We are the ‘Red Ocean’ magicians focusing on three simple low-margin peripheral products.. Westerners do not want to do these “Red Ocean” products; we do them exceedingly well.. And we are the global #1 in market share in keyboard, NB cam/webcam/DV cam.” - CEO Corporate Motto = No Quality, No Sales EV/EBIT 12x EV/EBITDA 9x Operating Cashflow >$200M Dividend Yield 5.75% Deep intangible know-how in design, development, engineering and manufacture of keyboard and camera modules Complete global logistics system of 44 JIT warehouses to deliver flexibility and speed in customer services and reduce inventory risk Wearable Sports DV Cam Wearable sports phenomenon pioneered by GoPro is a niche that has grown from sports into multiple areas including military and defense. (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 30. Bamboo nnovator 29 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Example #3: The Middleby of Asia In Baking Up Defensive Growth #1 in Asia in bakery equipment (80-90% of hypermarkets and 50% of bakery chains in China are X clients) = Strong cashflow foundation to expand to pizza and food service equipment Why is X underappreciated still? Structural Re-Rating of Niche Companies With Defensive Growth Globally, business models with (1) diversified client base, (2) steady revenue streams, (3) lean capex requirements that creates ample free cashflow are underappreciated. One of such business models is boring niche FMCG/ food service equipment companies. They possess defensive investment characteristics and high competitive quality due to their dominant market positions in a niche which is sought after in the currently still uncertain macro environment. Proven Unique Business Model to Consolidate Fragmented Market X’s unique business model in finding, winning and binding new customers with its innovative bakery intelligence and a strong and unique distribution/ marketing network supported by bakers should protect X to continue to consolidate the fragmented market and provide ample opportunities to continue its profitable growth. Middleby: Up 100X (1999-2014) to $5.7bn Bassoul in 2004: “My biggest marketing problem is our products last forever”. EV/EBIT 10.1x Earnings Yield 7% (FY13e) Div 4% Net Cash When Selim Bassoul took over Middleby as COO in mid-1999 and as CEO in Jan 2001, revenue were $132m, which shrank to $100m by the start of the 2001-03 recession. “We had very limited resources and capital, we were running out of cash, and we were highly reliant on three customers that generated more than 60% of our sales. We lacked innovation, and the products we were generating or creating were very ‘me-too’ kitchen products across a very broad range, including mixers, refrigerators and ovens. Roughly 30% of the orders were not shipped on time. You could say we had a case study of a lousy company.” Middleby’s secret recipe in fueling growth in its kitchen gear even in recessions by creating and sustaining exceptional value for its customers: Love the customers, even the smallest ones. “At one time, McDonald’s was the small customer. This may sound basic but is not done by all our competitors.” “Whether you are a hypermarket or big bakery chain or a small independent artisan bakery shop, you can find the best equipment that you need at X. We are dedicated to making the best bakery machines since our establishment in 1983. We want to let more people eat the bread made from our bakery equipment. We want to represent Asia to become a global brand champion.” (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 31. Bamboo nnovator 30 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Example #4: Velcro Up For Defensive Growth Global #1 in Velcro fastener and “spec-in” partner to all top 20 sports shoe brands Dedication to innovation in creating and scaling up new applications Why is X underappreciated still? Proven Unique Business Model to Consolidate Fragmented Market X has emerged from the financial crisis much stronger than before after investing in building up its Pan-Asia production network and creating new product innovations, improving its margins and consolidating the fragmented industry further with its comprehensive array of patents in materials and manufacturing technology and 30 years of manufacturing and R&D experience under its belt. Globally, niche global champions with unique scalable business models, recurring revenue and cashflow from a quality clientele base and defensive growth features enjoy a structural re-rating in their valuation. Valuable Patent Portfolio and Potential Takeover Target by Nike/Adidas/Pou Chen X’s portfolio of over 110 patents and its deep know-how and experience over the past 30 years in manufacturing and R&D will prove valuable to the giants Nike/ Adidas and Pou Chen who might wish to acquire niche global champions to vertically integrate their business model and this intangible asset is not factored into the long-term valuation. ODM with R&D capabilities and “spec-in” long-term partnerships with all the top 20 athletic sports shoe companies to develop new materials/designs and provide patented solutions Broad product offering protected by over 110 patents and continuous product innovations to break out of price competition Global #1 Market Share >10% Stable Margins, Strong Cashflow and Div Yield Pan-Asia production network (Taiwan, China, Viet, Isia) with plants near brand clients to provide rapid delivery and quality customer service EV/EBIT 10.6x EV/EBITDA 7.1x Div 3.9% CEO : “Winning in a price war is a transient race; continuous innovation in product quality is like a marathon and the sustainable way to win.” X X: Growing together with its major customers Nike and Adidas BUY Nike or Adidas or UnderArmor/ Lululemon/ Skechers? X supplies to all the top established and emerging brands (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 32. Bamboo nnovator Proven Unique Flexible Manufacturing to Dominate Color Lens X’s flexible manufacturing system and know-how enabled it to produce color lens and complex orders in large scale. X has the potential to consolidate and dominate color lens, a product that the Big Four giants are unable to manufacture large-scale.. The color lens penetration rate in Japan is only 15-18%, below Taiwan’s and Korea’s 25- 30%, China’s 30-35%. This should provide solid foundation for X to grow . Expiry of patents in silicon hydrogel lens in 2014/15 (US/Worldwide) With the impending expiry of patents in silicon hydrogel lens which make up 70% in US, 40% in Europe and below 20% in Asia, X will be able to better exploit the opportunity to penetrate deeper into this lucrative market segment to drive ASP/margin improvement. X has already shipped its first silicon lens to Italy in 2013 and 2 of its Japanese clients have applied for a 2015 launch. Bausch&Lomb, Essilor, Hoya X has been regarded as a “thorn in the flesh” by the Big Four giants for its role in feeding the hundreds of mid-tier brands competing with them, particularly in color lens. X’s terminal value and downside risk will be protected by giants who wish to swallow it up to possess its valuable flexible manufacturing system and know-how to fill their own missing competency gaps. Non Big Four giants such as Essilor and Hoya will also be keen to acquire X. 31 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Example #5: World’s #1 ODM in Soft Lens (Global #5) and Hidden Champion in Color Lens That Giants Can’t Do Well Why is X underappreciated still? Valuable Process IP/Know-How and Potential Takeover Target by Valeant- ODM = Original Design Manufacturing Q: Why can’t the giants (J&J, CibaVision, Cooper, Bausch & Lomb) mass-manufacture color lens but X is able to? Unique flexible production know-how in color lens and large-scale complex order that giants don’t have ROE 41% (Why?) (1) ROE (2) EV/EBIT (2)/(1) X 41.1% 20.6x 0.50 Largan 31.5% 23.2 0.74 Ginko 17.9% 32.9 1.84 Interojo 16.3% 22.0 1.35 Essilor 14.7% 19.2 1.31 Carl Zeiss M 12.7% 13.6 1.07 Cooper 12.2% 19.8 1.62 Hoya 10.8% 12.7 1.18 Seed 5.5% 17.0 3.06 (2)/(1): Lower = Cheaper Among optical-related peers, X has the highest ROE at 41%. While its valuation is not cheap with EV/EBIT (FY13) at 20.6x, when we compare EV/EBIT relative to ROE, X is the cheapest, by as much as 130-220% when compared to giants Cooper, Hoya, Essilor. Comparing EV/EBIT to ROE also makes good common sense since it is rare for wide-moat companies to sustain high ROEs and they deserve a valuation premium, while low EV/EBIT stocks ain’t cheap when their ROEs are even lower and value traps can be avoided. Sticky ODM customer relationship Own brand is #2 in with 30% domestic market share (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 33. Bamboo nnovator 32 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 X: Unique Leader In Anti-Malaria & Chronic Pain + Staying Power in Cost Efficiency = The Next Dr Reddy’s/Lupin (Market Value $1.5 Billion to $6 Billion)? Why is X underappreciated still? Governance The pharmaceutical industry is complex and drug firms typically took advantage of informational asymmetry by engaging in aggressive accounting practices such as capitalizing R&D as intangibles or booking goodwill in M&As without proper impairment test to boost earnings. Rare are firms with conservative accounting practices such as X and they deserve a valuation premium. Supply Constraints in US Business X’s Indore (SEZ) plant, built for US formulation exports, received US FDA approval on 20 Jun 2012 but X volunteered to report quality issues in Nov 2012, resulting in re-inspection in Apr 2013 and approval in Sep 2013. X management estimates that the Indore facility will contribute revenue of INR 4.5bn ($73m) per year (16% of FY13 revenue) at full capacity. This approval will resolve earlier uncertainty and pave the way for scaling up the important US business. X’s export formulations to US to potentially triple to $100 million by FY15, a decent size to trigger the next wave of sharp re-rating upwards, as had been observed when Sun Pharma, Lupin, Dr Reddy’s scaled up their US business and getting huge jumps in valuation multiples. Step 1: Accounting Conservatism to Limit Downside Risk Goodwill, Intangibles, Long-Term Asset as % of Total Asset Torrent Cipla GSK Lupin Dr Reddy's Cadila We used accounting conservatism rather than a misleading “cheap” PE ratio or EV/EBIT to limit downside risk in valuation. We measure “Goodwill + Intangibles + Long- Term Asset as % of Total Asset”; the lower the number, the more conservative the accounting figures. Glenmark has continued to capitalize a significant part of R&D costs resulting in high intangible assets on the balance sheet. X, Torrent and Cipla stood out; X is the only Indian drug firm which expenses, and does not capitalize, all R&D. EV/EBIT 17.3x EV/EBITDA 15x 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% IPCA Sun Glenmark Step 2: Staying Power in Cost Efficiency & Stability in Earnings Step 3: Unique Business Model for Long-Term Upside 145.5 DMFs/ ANDAs filed 95.3 78.4 64.8 44.1 36.5 35.8 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 IPCA Dr Reddy's Lupin Cadila Glenmark Sun Torrent Cost efficiency provides the ability to stay competitive, have better control in the case of uncertain events like drug price controls and have stronger cashflow/balance sheet to strengthen the ability to carry out long-term R&D in higher value-added activities and seize inorganic growth opportunities. DMF/ANDA* is a measure to assess the extent of fully-integrated capabilities of a manufacturer, whether the launch of drug formulation is backed by its own API for cost efficiency. X, Dr Reddy’s and Lupin have the highest % of ANDAs backed by their own DMF filings. X also has 9 patent rights issued by the US Patent Office for its novel process of manufacturing of API, one of the few Indian drug firms with patents for its manufacturing process. 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Institutional business revenue INR million FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 X has dominant market share in anti-malarial drug in India (~49% market share). ACT is the most common anti-malarial drug treatment and the AL drug accounts for 70% of ACT market. X has grown the institutional malaria business from zero 5 years ago to INR 4bn ($65m), a feat made possible due to its fully-integrated capabilities. X is prequalified by WHO for six anti-malarial drugs. Of the five approved WHO players in AL drug segment, X is the only fully-integrated player, giving it >30% EBITDA margin, better pricing power compared to the competition, and significant advantage over other players in ramping up the business from the current 30% market share (vs Novartis 50%). X is also the only Indian player with substantial sales from Africa. X management believes the institutional business can grow from guided sales of INR 4.6bn ($74m) in FY14 to INR 8bn ($129m) (28-30% of FY13 sales) over the next three to four years (FY17-18). * DMF (Drug Master File) is submitted to US FDA containing complete information on API (active pharmaceutical ingredient) or drug formulation. ANDA (Abbreviated New Drug Application) is an application to US FDA for US generic drug approval. (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 34. Bamboo nnovator 33 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Tencent (700 HK, MV $150bn): Biggest Error of Omission! Market Value Compounded from $900M in 2004 to $150B in 2014 (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 35. Bamboo nnovator 34 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Tencent (700 HK, MV $150bn): Biggest Error of Omission! Just Another Copycat? Tencent Monetized IM When Western Giants Failed; “Emptiness” in Know-How and Trust from Community Tencent’s Pony Ma ripped off Instant Messaging (IM) service, QQ, off Israel’s ICQ in 2000 as a free online download. After burning US$1.1m, the two investors that Ma found were anxious to sell their shares. The company was shopped around for nearly any price to China’s largest portals, but no one wanted to waste money on a company doing IM. If the mighty AOL couldn’t make money off IM, who could? Lucky break? China Mobile decided to share a portion of revenue to third-party companies who could boost the number of people buying data plans. Pony Ma offered IM chat messaging at RMB 6c per month per user. Viola! Tencent started to push anything that a mobile user would pay: ringtones, wall paper, horoscopes. Pennies over mobile phones earned Tencent US$6m sales and US$1.2m profits in 2001. Tipping point came when Tencent offered virtual goods – avatars, outfits, pets, and emperor-kids spend pennies and hours collecting. Naspers paid US$30m to buyout 50% of Tencent in 2005 before its listing and now its 35% stake in Tencent is worth >US$50B. Tencent monetized IM when western giants failed and built chat not as a productivity tool but to be a community for bored kids to hang out. (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 36. Bamboo nnovator 35 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 “宁可不识字, 不可不识人.” Assessment of Management Quality Linguistic/Textual Analysis and More… “I would rather not be able to read words than not be able to read people.” - Zeng Guofan, Qing statesman, in “Icy Discernment”, a book ranked alongside “Three Kingdoms”, “Sun Tzu: Art of War” and “Water Margins”. “以冰为镜,能查秋毫。” “邪正看眼鼻,真假看 嘴唇;功名看气概,富 贵看精神;主意看指爪 ,风波看脚筋;若要看 条理,全在语言中。” 梁启超:“五千年历史立德立言立功者只有 两个人:范仲淹,曾国藩。五千年历史中事 业有继衣钵得传者只有一个人:曾国藩。” Buffett: “Rittenhouse is still on the side of the angels.” (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 37. Bamboo nnovator 36 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Two Little Stories from Decade-Plus Journey Resilient Compounders Bamboo Innovators bend, not break, even in the most terrifying storm that snap the mighty resisting oak tree. It survives, therefore it conquers. (2) Detecting Accounting Frauds Ahead of the Curve (3) Tipping Point Analysis (1) “Emptiness” in Business Model & Wide Moat Analysis Inner Compass: Bamboo Innovator, Values, Self- Awareness (4) Icy Discernment (冰鉴) of Management Quality (1) Temasek invest S$500 million in services company with largest domestic market share in May 2007, followed by another S$30 million in Feb 2008. Darling stock, cannot go wrong? [Detecting Accounting Frauds Ahead of the Curve] (2) The small-built Chinese entrepreneur. Can anyone name an “old” S-Chip that is untainted? [Icy Discernment] (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 38. Bamboo nnovator Up Close & Personal With ABC Learning’s “Fast Eddy” Fast Eddy: Education is a real sexy business in Australia and globally. Our govt supports education and especially us. There are also many cheap and good M&A targets lined up everywhere. Many of these centres are not well-run and the owners are not financially-savvy. But if they become part of our magic ABC brand and unique business system, they will be much more profitable. Also, after designing/ developing and refurbishing the centres (inc the acquired old haggard ones), they will be bright and sparkling, and parents will queue up for ABC – where else can they go? We have one-quarter of the market and that number can only go up and up., with or without your help, but together we can go faster and stronger. Billions of dollars from bankers and investors go to paying “developers” (largely related-party) for questionable contracts in designing/ developing and refurbishing the centres, and to fund M&As Developers pay back quietly the funds to ABC and the RMCs to boost their revenue and profits and help them to achieve their “budgeted” numbers 37 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 M&As, via 123 R M C Lease cost Parents Govt Questionable property owners, “special purpose vehicles” and trust fund eg AET Developers eg 123, QMC Bankers and investors buy the story and lend/ invest billions of dollars in ABC via massive loans (many with market-based covenant terms) and new shares. ABC raised AUD 3.5b over 3.5 years After “some time” when payments run into problems, the panicky bankers and investors cry: Where is our money?? ABC runs into cashflow problems in its periodic payments, and its going-concern status is threatened Regional Management Companies (RMC) are “independent” entities employed by ABC to run the child care centres, inc collecting the fees from parents and government, and paying off the wages and other costs. RMC then pays back ABC license fees which ABC books as revenue. Parents are not enrolling their kids in ABC due to poor service as costs are cut Wages & other costs. Eddy says “Cut, cut, cut – we need to show them we make money fast” Day care fees is AUD 62 a day. Childcare rebate on family’s put-of-pocket expenses is 50% up to AUD 7,500 a year which will be paid quarterly in arrears (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation 2 6 7 8 Bankers, Investors 9 5 3 4 1 Until FY07, ABC submitted accounts that were net of RMC expenses. Things became shaky for Eddy after reporting standards changed and ABC reports gross revenue and breaks out the costs incurred by RMCs – Eddy sweats, a bit
  • 39. Bamboo nnovator 38 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 “Resilience: Why Things Bounce Back” by Andrew Zolli “This model posits moderate disruptions as a necessary, if painful mechanism by which systems are tempered, adapt, learn and reorganize. A resilient system isn’t one in which failures never occur; it’s one in which disruptions engender a healthy response— one which enables a system to “bounce forward” as much as bounce back. It is further assumed that there are epistemic constraints – limits to what we can know and prepare for in advance – and that surprises are inevitable, and that we’ll make mistakes.” (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 40. Bamboo nnovator 39 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 All Books by Robert Greene “The fools in life want things fast and easy – money, success, attention. Boredom is their great enemy and fear. Whatever they manage to get slips through their hands as fast as it comes in. You, on the other hand, want to outlast your rivals. You are building the foundation for something that can continue to expand. To make this happen, you will have to serve an apprenticeship. You must learn early on to endure the hours of practice and drudgery, knowing that in the end all of that time will translate into a higher pleasure – mastery of a craft and of yourself. Your goal is to reach the ultimate skill level – an intuitive feel for what must come next.” (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 41. Bamboo nnovator 40 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Appendix (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 42. Bamboo nnovator Microlife: Boring Global #1/#2 in Patient Monitoring Device (Digital Thermometer/Blood Pressure Monitor) ROE 21% with a unique solution-services business model protected by innovative worldwide patents Durable Franchise Value in Boring and Resilient Patient Monitoring Device – and a Quiet, Powerful Cost Consolidator Microlife’s manufacturing technology platform has enabled it to build a global durable franchise in the niche patient monitoring device market that has stable resilient growth and yet is experiencing potential disruptions led by Microlife’s new innovation in blood pressure monitoring protected by worldwide patents. Microlife has the potential to consolidate the market further. Worldwide Patents in Algorithm- Technology in Afib and MAM blood pressure measurement Microlife’s worldwide patents in algorithm-technology in blood pressure measurement has been commercialized into the WatchBP product series that is at the heart of its total solution service business model. This valuable intangible asset is not factored into long-term valuation. Potential Takeover Target by Omron, J&J Microlife’s long-term terminal value and downside risk will be protected by giants such as Omron, J&J (LifeScan), Bayer, Abbott etc who wish to swallow it up to possess its valuable manufacturing technology platform and worldwide patents. 41 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Why is Microlife underappreciated still? Valuable Process IP/Know-How and (LifeScan), Bayer, Abbott Global #1 Market Share (Digital Thermometer) 50% Worldwide Patents in Algorithm- Technology in Afib and MAM The innovative WatchBP with the Afib detection and MAM technology are not merely additional features; it “forces” the clinical community to adopt them as the standard, which in turn helps drive home-use penetration. It transforms the BPM product into a unique strategy. Worldwide Patents in Afib and MAM Total Solution Service Business Model Incorporates software development to create value-added services for health monitoring and collaborating with hospitals and governments on tele-healthcare Microlife’s ROE 21% (Why?) projects. Global #2 Market Share (Digital Blood Pressure Monitor) 17-18% Quiet, Powerful Cost Consolidator Reliable manufacturing platform for over 30 years with in-house capabilities to combine Swiss design, high-precision electronics with clinical healthcare to produce world-class products with cost competitiveness. Sticky ODM Partner to Reputable Customers Diversified customer base to customers such as Wal- Mart, Costco, CVS, Walgreen’s; none accounts for >10% of sales. US #1 Market Share (Electric Flexible Heating Blankets) 50% 91% of Sales in Developed Markets (54% US, 37% Europe) EV/EBIT 9.7x EV/EBITDA 8.8x Dividend 5.6% Net Cash 23% MV (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 43. Bamboo nnovator 42 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Table of Contents Executive Summary Price Chart, Market Statistics and Financial Summary Part 1: The Business Model Patient-monitoring device (PMD) industry Microlife’s major products Microlife: Background and tipping point Microlife: Revenue breakdown Microlife’s electrical flexible heating blanket business in America Microlife: Why wide moat? The fundamental dynamics behind it s21% ROE (1) Powerful cost consolidator; (2) Steady ODM partner; (3) Total solution-service (4) WatchBP as the potential disruptive technology Corporate developments and future roadmap Microlife Might Strike Potential Partnerships in Unconventional Channels Part 2: The Context: Why Now? Part 3: The Management Conversation with founder and chairman KY Lin Part 4: Valuation & Potential Risks Appendix “Alarm fatigue” from inaccurate blood pressure measurements Atrial fibrillation and stroke prevention WatchBP formally recommended by leading healthcare authority NICE Microlife’s other products Snapshot of Omron’s Healthcare Business Taiwan Bamboo Innovators 79 3-4 5-6 7-18 19-21 22-34 35-37 38-44 “There’s big knowledge even in this seeming simple and boring digital and infrared thermometer products… As these techniques involve specialized knowledge and industry secrets, they are protected by patents. Microlife is one of the rare few in the whole world to have the capability to produce models with read time of 1 to 60 seconds. This is something that the rest of our rivals can never match… For infrared…It involves high-precision parts and complicated configuration and calculations before reaching an accurate standard. Thus, the barrier to entry is not low.” (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 44. Bamboo nnovator 43 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Executive Summary Microlife (GTSM: 4103 TT) is the world’s largest manufacturer of digital thermometer with 50% global market share (20% under its own brand Microlife), the world’s #2 maker of blood pressure monitors with 17-18% market share (60% under its own brand Microlife) and the largest maker of electric flexible heating blankets in US with 50% market share. Founded in 1981, Microlife was listed on the GTSM (GreTai Securities Market) on Mar 2001 and it has 2,400 employees. Key rivals include Japan’s Omron (6645 JP, MV $9.6bn), Germany’s medium-sized family-owned Beurer GmbH. 1) What Makes It a Wide-Moat Business? Quiet, Powerful Cost Consolidator: It’s not easy to manufacture quality digital thermometers and blood pressure monitors with cost competitiveness. There’s big knowledge even in these boring and seemingly simple patient monitoring devices. Microlife’s reliable manufacturing technology platform for over 30 years has enabled it to build a global durable franchise in the niche patient monitoring device market that has stable resilient growth and yet is experiencing potential disruptions led by Microlife’s new innovation. A secret to Microlife’s success is its in-house capabilities to combine Swiss design, high-precision electronics and sensors components with clinical healthcare to produce world-class products with cost competitiveness. Microlife has competitive technology and patents especially its core competence of having an algorithm to allow fast reading/filtering of signals and outputting the accurate results in a short period of time. Microlife has the potential to consolidate the market further. Sticky ODM Partner to Reputable Customers, Yet Is Able to Build Its Own Brand, Demonstrating Bargaining Power: Microlife has a diversified customer base as the ODM partner to reputable companies including Wal-Mart, Costco, CVS and none of the customers account for more than 10% of Microlife’s sales. Microlife has demonstrated that it has bargaining power over its powerful customers with the ability to build its own brand since 1998 (44% of sales in DT/BPM, 62% of overall sales). Worldwide Patents in Algorithm-Technology in Afib and MAM to Support the Total Solution Service Business Model: Microlife’s worldwide patents in algorithm-technology in blood pressure measurement has been commercialized into the WatchBP product series that is at the heart of its total solution service business model. This valuable intangible asset is not factored into long-term valuation. The innovative WatchBP with the Afib detection and MAM technology are not merely additional features; it “forces” the clinical community to adopt them as the standard, which in turn helps drive home-use penetration. It transforms the BPM product into a unique strategy that incorporates software development to create value-added services for health monitoring and collaborating with hospitals and governments on tele-healthcare projects. 2) Genesis of the Idea – and Why It’s Featured This Month Long-term correlation with Omron: Microlife share price performance was closely correlated to Omron over the long-term until Abenomics in 4Q13 resulted in Omron to outperform Microlife by over 50% despite Microlife gaining stronger growth momentum in its patented WatchBP Afib technology. The New Taiwan Dollar did not appreciate much against the Japanese Yen, with the range between TWDJPY 3.3-3.4 since Abenomics. Seasonality kicker: Microlife’s sales is traditionally the strongest during 3Q. The peak season for digital thermometers and blood pressure monitors is July-Oct and Aug-Oct for electric flexible heating technology blankets. Recent correction: Microlife is down nearly 20% from its recent high in end March 2014 on profit-taking by short-term investors. Share price is back to May 2013 level, representing an attractive opportunity to take position in this long-term durable franchise which has wide-moat from its manufacturing technology platform and know-how developed for over 30 years and is now seeking to disrupt the industry with its new algorithm-based innovation in blood pressure measurement that’s protected by worldwide patents. (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 45. Bamboo nnovator 44 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Executive Summary 3) Why Is It Undervalued? Why Can It Double Over 4-5 Years? Microlife Vs Omron: In terms of EV/EBIT, Microlife is trading at 9.7x which is about 28% lower than Omron which is more diversified in industrial automation and electronic components. Omron’s lucrative healthcare business contributes around 11.5% to group sales and operating income. Both Microlife and Omron are attractive in their valuations given their resilient business model and growth profile. Microlife, however, has a far superior ROE at 20.9% that is nearly double that of Omron at 10.7%. When we compare EV/EBIT relative to ROE and ROA, Microlife is cheaper by as much as 120-150% when compared to Omron. Short-term downside protection with 5.6% dividend yield and healthy net-cash balance sheet to provide fillip to share reduction program: Microlife has an attractive dividend yield at 5.6% and a strong balance sheet with net cash as percentage of book equity at 47%. Note that net cash in FY13 has grown from $47M to $65M in 1Q14. Microlife has undertaken the unusual capital management program to retire 12.2m shares (10% of its shares outstanding) in Sep 2012 to boost capital efficiency by utilizing the comfortable net cash position. Share price has since spiked up over 25%. The proactive shareholder-friendly stance backed by its strong net cash position should limit any downside in share price. Long-term downside protection in terminal value as takeover target: Microlife’s long-term terminal value and downside risk will be protected by giants such as Omron, J&J (LifeScan), Bayer, Abbott etc who wish to swallow it up to possess its valuable manufacturing technology platform and worldwide patents in algorithm-technology in Afib and MAM blood pressure measurement. 4) Summary Investment Thesis The stable long-term shareholdings and patient capital by the founder KY Lin and the management team who together own around 48% of the equity has enabled Microlife to adopt a very long-term approach to building its business and cultivating new growth areas. While KY may sometimes be slightly over-optimistic and thinking too far ahead with his long-term opinions, this idealistic engineer-visionary-philosopher has done a fantastic job in continuously defying the odds of many skeptics by growing Microlife from a small startup into one of the world’s leading patient monitoring equipment company. KY is the rare Asian entrepreneur who was persistent in building his own brand despite the threat of offending his ODM customers. KY was also early in cultivating and coordinating a global network with high-tech component, R&D and manufacturing in Taiwan, manufacturing, assembly and packaging in Shenzhen, China and medical R&D and clinical testing and accreditation lab center in Europe, including making the difficult decision to establish a direct marketing sales force in Europe and North America given the high cost. Unlike most Asian business owners whose interest and focus in the core business starts to wane due to complacency from growing personal wealth and the inability to scale the core business, KY is genuinely passionate in the company’s ability to add value to the patients and society. The idea of the innovative WatchBP actually came from an in-depth conversation between European hypertension specialist Professor George Stergiou and KY. Microlife can effectively run without KY with the long-term corporate culture and management system in place, yet KY can inject great value as the steward in new innovations; we believe that this combination is rare for an Asian company and deserves a valuation premium. Patient monitoring device (PMD) will be a niche resilient growth segment with the rise in aging population and chronic malady. Patients are increasingly aware of the need to manage their own health and home-use of BPM will be a long-term growth trend. Nearly half of hypertensive patients are inaccurately diagnosed and accurate blood pressure measurement is increasingly difficult due to the complexities of modern diseases. Standard BPM are increasingly not effective. Microlife’s unique WatchBP has the potential to disrupt the market with the adoption led by the clinical community and possibility to spread to home-use as patients seek a consistent and integrated healthcare experience. (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 46. Bamboo nnovator 45 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Microlife 10-Year Price Chart Microlife breaks into Wal-Mart Tipping Point: WatchBP soft-launched in Switzerland and Europe Sep: Reduce share capital by 10% to boost capital efficiency Oct: New MAM series in blood Anti-dumping saga in US against Chinese imports. Sales of Microlife’s Made-in-China Biddeford was affected and Microlife shifted its production facilities to Philippines. Sales from Microlife brand exceeded OEM/ODM business Microlife is listed in GTSM (GreTai Securities Market) on Mar 29, 2001. Source: http://investing.businessweek.com/research/stocks/charts/charts.asp?ticker=4103:TT pressure monitors UK’s NICE announces WatchBP to be used in hospitals; 10th consecutive A award for Most Transparent, Best Disclosure listed company; Frost & Sullivan award. WatchBP sales growth accelerated from 50,000 in 2011, 100,000 in 2012 to 250,000 in 2013. (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 47. Bamboo nnovator 46 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Market Statistics and Financial Summary: PE 13x, EV/EBIT 9.7x, EV/EBITDA 8.8x, Dividend Yield 5.6% Financial Summary YE Dec, TWD mil 2010 2011 2012 2013 US$M Sales 5,622.9 5,124.4 5,367.8 5,896.7 196.7 GP 2,067.8 1,794.9 2,005.9 2,201.5 73.4 EBIT 582.3 464.1 676.0 705.9 23.5 EBITDA 636.4 507.5 721.5 778.0 26.0 Net Income 430.2 468.8 557.2 633.6 21.1 CFO (Op Cashflow) 230.1 321.0 769.0 677.0 22.6 Capex -92.9 -74.3 -41.0 -60.6 -2.0 Profitability GP Margin 36.8% 35.0% 37.4% 37.3% EBIT Margin 10.4% 9.1% 12.6% 12.0% EBITDA Margin 11.3% 9.9% 13.4% 13.2% Net Margin 7.7% 9.1% 10.4% 10.7% GP/TA 46.4% 41.0% 44.4% 42.2% ROA 9.6% 10.7% 12.3% 12.1% CFO/Total Asset 5.2% 7.3% 17.0% 13.0% ROE 16.3% 16.9% 19.9% 20.9% Market Stats Date: Jun 24, 2014 Share Price: TWD 74.2 Market Cap: US$272m Shares Outstanding: 110m FX Rate: USDTWD 30.0 Daily Liquidity: $0.3m 52 Week: TWD 73.4-91.9 Valuation Summary P/E (FY13): 13.1x P/Book (FY13): 2.73x P/Sales (FY13): 1.40x P/CFO (FY13): 12.2x EV/EBIT (FY13): 9.7x EV/EBITDA (FY13): 8.8x ROA (FY13): 12.1% ROE (FY13): 20.9% Div Yield: 5.66% Cash vs Accruals 2010 2011 2012 2013 Capex% Sales -1.7% -1.4% -0.8% -1.0% AR Day 77 100 99 112 Inventory Day 48 55 49 59 AP Day 74 68 62 80 CCC 51 87 86 91 Leverage Mkt Value (TWD mil) 7,211 6,111 6,490 8,943 Shares Outstanding 122.2 122.2 110.0 110.0 Net Debt -1,424 -1,268 -1,371 -1,405 Debt/Book Equity -53.9% -45.8% -49.0% -46.3% R.E.S.-ilence Factors in Value Creation R = “Rootedness” in innovative culture? E = “Emptiness” in business model durability & scalability? (1) Indestructible intangibles in know-how and trust and support from community? (2) Core-periphery business model via technology and empowerment? (3) Open innovation business model? S = “Sheath” leadership/ management quality? Ownership Management & family 46.9% Foreign investors 14.4% (Franklin Resource 11.1%) Domestic funds & fin 12.5% Risk Factors Industry dynamics Business transparency Accounting quality Corporate governance Catalysts/ Tipping point Valuations Liquidity  Microlife’s ROE has been steadily increasing from 16.3% to 20.9% due partly to better profit margin contribution from its innovative WatchBP products and rising net cash position.  Microlife has undertaken the unusual capital management program to retire 12.2m shares (10% of its shares outstanding) in Sep 2012 to boost capital efficiency by utilizing the comfortable net cash position. Share price has since spiked up over 25%. The proactive shareholder-friendly stance backed by its strong net cash position should limit any downside in share price.  Note that net cash in FY13 has grown from $47M to $65M in 1Q14  1Q04 sales +4.6% but OP -1.2% with GP margin maintained at 37.7-37.9%, mainly due to a 8.6% increase in selling and marketing expenses. During 1Q14, Microlife forex gain has fallen to $0.5m from $16m in FY13. It also suffered a hedging loss of $0.9m as opposed to a gain of $0.3m in FY13. Overall, other income has dropped from $2m profit in FY13 to -$0.2m in 1Q14 http://emops.twse.com.tw/server-java/t16sn02_e1?TYPEK=otc&step=current&co_id=4103 (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 48. Bamboo nnovator 47 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Part 1: The Business Model (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 49. Bamboo nnovator The global patient monitoring device (PMD) market is expected to grow from nearly $14.7 billion in 2013 to reach nearly $21.0 billion in 2018, a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.4% for the period of 2013 to 2018. Factors behind the resilient growth of PMD: A decrease in the physical size of monitoring devices; enhanced utility, performance and sensitivity; usability and portability of devices; and increasing availability of remote/ wireless patient monitoring equipment and systems are factors leading to the growth of PMD. Other contributing factors include growth of aging population and that chronic malady has replaced infectious disease as the most common ailment faced by the populous. Digital thermometers: 55m digital thermometers are sold, of which 7m are infrared. The continued threat of SARS/MERS, malaria and dengue fever makes the boring and seemingly simple digital thermometers a critical must-have product in a stable-yet-growing market. Environmental initiatives such as the decision of the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and the American Hospital Association (AHA) to phase out the use of mercury diagnostic equipment by 2005 have resulted in a growing demand for infrared ear and pen-type digital thermometers. Infrared thermometers are increasingly popular due to their quick response, accuracy, safety and easy use as they are less invasive as compared to oral or anal procedures and are widely used by doctors and hospitals. Blood pressure monitors (BPM): In 2013, 45m BPM are sold (N America 16m, Europe 15m, Asia 14m). ISH estimates that the CAGR of BPM is 6.7% as the number of people with hypertension will keep rising and home-use of BPM will be a long-term growth trend. Accurate blood pressure measurement is increasingly difficult due to the complexities of modern diseases. Standard BPM are increasingly not effective. 48 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Patient-Monitoring Device (PMD) Industry Nearly half of hypertensive patients are incorrectly diagnosed! Market for Blood Pressure Monitors Types of PMD Blood pressure monitors; Digital thermometer Asthma monitoring device; Cardio monitoring device COPD device (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease) Blood gas analyzers; Glucose monitoring devices Respiratory and sleep disorder monitoring devices Fetal monitors; Neonatal monitors; Neuromonitors; Anaesthesia monitors “Over 70m adults are affected by hypertension or obesity, costing the U.S. economy an estimated $170bn in lost productivity and medical expenditures. Less than 40% of hypertensive patients are under control and nearly 30m hypertensive patients are incorrectly diagnosed and are either over or under medicated.” (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 50. Bamboo nnovator 49 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Microlife: Major Products OBM = Own Brand Manufacturing = 44% of sales in DT/BPM, 62% of overall sales Sales 36.6% Sales 24.4% Global #2 (17% m/s) Global #1 (50% m/s) Sales 34.2% US #1 (50% m/s) OBM 20% OBM 60% (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 51. Bamboo nnovator Microlife’s 30-Years Journey to Become Global #1 in Digital Thermometer and #2 in Blood Pressure Monitor 1981 1985 1995 2000 2008/10 Founded by KY Lin Digital thermometer; US FDA 1998 2001 2005 2012 2013 Microlife brand; BP received US FDA approval Digital blood pressure monitor began and received CE Mark Infrared ear thermometer gets FDA; 1- second infrared ear gun ERP system; IPO on GTSM 2002 Acquires electric flexible heating blanket Biddeford in US; launched asthma monitoring device Obtain certification to manufacture blood pressure monitors in Japan, the first non-Jap firm. Launch of iCare WatchBP soft-launched in Switzerland Sep: Reduce share capital to boost efficiency Oct: New MAM series in blood pressure monitors UK’s NICE announces WatchBP to be used in hospitals; 10th consecutive A award for Most Transparent, Best Disclosure listed company; Frost & Sullivan award 2004 Sales from Microlife brand exceeded OEM/ODM business 2006 Microlife breaks into Wal- Mart Microlife is the world’s largest manufacturer of digital thermometer with 50% global market share (20% under its own brand Microlife), the world’s #2 maker of blood pressure monitors with 17-18% market share (60% under its own brand Microlife) and the largest electric flexible heating blanket company in US with 50% market share (Microlife competes with Sunbeam which used to have 80% market share). Founded in 1981 by KY Lin, Microlife was listed on the GTSM (GreTai Securities Market) on Mar 2001 and it has 2,400 employees. Key rivals include Japan’s Omron (6645 JP, MV $9.6bn) whose healthcare business has FY13 sales of $810m and operating profit $68m, and Germany’s medium-sized family-owned Beurer GmbH (FY12 sales $208m) founded in 1919. Tipping Point in 2008/10 in launching the innovative WatchBP: The WatchBP is the world’s first blood pressure monitor that is able to detect atrial fibrillation (Afib) based on an embedded algorithm that calculates the irregularity index depending on the intervals between heartbeats, with the diagnosis further confirmed by performing an ECG. Hypertension with Afib is shown to be the most important risk factors of stroke development and heart disease. Microlife owns the worldwide patent for WatchBP and Afib detection. Microlife has managed to penetrate deeper into the institutional clients in hospitals, clinics and pharmaceutical companies such as Germany’s BI (Boehringer Ingelheim) and Bayer, Spain’s Lacer, Japan’s DS (Daiichi Sankyo), and France’s Servier, etc., who use the devices for improving clinical services. WatchBP was soft-launched in Switzerland in 2008 and the initial years were slow in sales with 50,000 units sold in 2011. With continued educational push and endorsement by reputable organizations to add credibility to the product and enhance its band value, sales have climbed to 100,000 units in 2012 and 250,000 units in 2013. Microlife’s “goal is like Intel to have ‘Powered by Microlife’ WatchBP solutions developed in partnership with the healthcare providers and regulators.” 50 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Microlife: Background and Tipping Point (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 52. Bamboo nnovator 51 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Digital Blood Pressure Monitor, 36.58% Others, 4.80% Digital Thermome ter, 24.43% Electric Flexible Heating Blankets, 34.19% US, 54% Other Countries, 7% Europe, 37% Taiwan, 1% Microlife: Revenue Breakdown Revenue (by product segment and geography) Sales GP Market Share OBM Share OBM Digital Blood Pressure Monitor 36.6% 40% 17% 60% Microlife Electric Flexible Heating Blankets and Green Products 34.2% 40% 40% (US) >90% Biddeford Digital Thermometer 24.4% 25-30% 50% 20% Microlife Others 4.8% Overall 37.3% - Product segment: Blood pressure monitor (BPM) contributes the most to revenue and profits at 36.6% of group sales with a GP margin of around 40% and its own brand Microlife accounts for 60% of BPM sales. The electric flexible heating blankets business, sold mainly in America under the brand name of Biddeford, accounts for 34% of sales with comparable GP margin of 40% (more on this later). Digital thermometers contributes 24% of sales with GP margin of 25-30%. With the rising sales of the innovative and higher-margin WatchBP series of products, overall margin is expected to be maintained or rise. OBM = Own Brand Manufacturing = 44% of sales in DT/BPM, 62% of overall sales - Geography: 91% of sales are in developed markets – US 54%, Europe 37%. Sales to other countries such as Asia and Middle East is 7%; Taiwan 1%. Microlife has been strong in the developed markets where the penetration rate of home-monitoring devices are higher due to higher health-consciousness and greater self-care. More importantly, Microlife has been successful in penetrating as the ODM partner for top retailers in America such as Wal-Mart, Costco, CVS, Walgreen’s etc. In Europe, Microlife sells its products both under ODM and their own brand. In contrast, Microlife is weak in emerging markets where Omron dominates, particularly in the vast China market in which Omron is very aggressive in offering high rebates to their customers. In the developed markets, Microlife is comparable to Omron: Omron’s sales in US and Europe are $127m and $177m vs Microlife’s $106m and $73m respectively. (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation
  • 53. Bamboo nnovator 52 R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》 Microlife’s Electric Flexible Heating Blanket Business in America The steady demand: In America, the demand for electric blankets is estimated at 3.6-4.2m units every year; in Europe, 2m pieces; in China, 10m. Background on how Microlife break Sunbeam’s dominance: Microlife entered the electric flexible heating blanket market in 2002 after acquiring its bankrupt customer Biddeford Blankets for $2.5m and invested a further $5.7m in plants and equipment. However, the business lost $7.8m in 2002 with a $1.5m inventory write-off plus a $6.3m operation loss and another $5m loss in 2003. Microlife changed the cost structure of the company by shifting its production base from US to China in 2004 and competed head-on with Sunbeam whose market share plunged from 80% to 40%. Sunbeam is owned by Jarden Corp (JAH US, MV $7.8bn). Biddeford now has the #1 brand in US with 50% market share and sales of $67m and gross profit of $27m. The anti-dumping saga in 2010 and the shift in manufacturing facilities to Philippines: An anti-dumping saga on China imports in 2010 hit Biddeford. Microlife made the bold decision to relocate the plant to Philippines, registering losses in 2010. The first year of operations in 2011 was modest. Since then, things are back on track with two good years of performance. Biddeford has plans to grow in Europe and China after achieving stable growth. Why this simple small business has high barriers to entry: Biddeford is promoted as an energy saving alternative and supplement to the heater. They are designed with users’ safety in mind and have built-in temperature controllers that shuts off the heating coil and sensor wire automatically when a certain heat level is achieved. The key components in temperature controllers and sensor wire are manufactured in-house by Microlife and they are protected by patents, representing high barriers-to-entry and a wide moat. Even if one possesses the technology and cost efficiency, it’s not easy to penetrate into the supply chain of Wal-Mart and Costco and customer trust in the brand and safety is critical. Seasonal risk: Note that the sales are highly seasonal and geared towards the autumn months in US (Sep to Nov) in order for customers to receive their inventory in winter. (1) Mental Model: Bamboo Innovator (2) The Idea: Taiwan Microlife (4103 TT) (3) Biggest Mistake (4) Book Recommendation