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Weekly vs. Monthly
Strangles
The Setup
• May 2011 - Dec 2014 (AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, GS, IBM, SLV, SPY)
• First trading day of the month sell 1 SD strangle closet to 45 DTE
• First day of the week sell 1 SD strangle closest to 5 DTE
• Close trade at 50% profit, 2X loss, expiration whichever comes first
Weekly Monthly Weekly > 50 Monthly > 50
Total Profit $22,544 $18,989 $11,227 $2,141
Average Days Held 3 24 3 21
Total # Trades 832 294 184 50
Avg Profit/Trade $27.10 $64.59 $61.02 $42.83
% Held Expiration 27.4% 4.08% 29.9% 6%
% Held Exp Profitable 61.8% 41.7% 63.6% 66.7%
% All Profitable 82.1% 86.1% 82.1% 86%
% Exit 50% 65.1% 84.4% 63% 82%
% Exit 2X 7.45% 11.6% 7.07% 12%
Max Loss -$1,416 -$2,836 -$1,416 -$2,456
1.  Market Measures:  8-19-13 “Weekly vs. Monthly"
Slides: https://s3.amazonaws.com/tastytradepublicmedia/show/
9/episode/5658/slide_decks/en/
MM081913_Weekly_v_Monthly_.pdf
• Prefer duration to give time to be right
• Theta decay decreases as expiration approaches (OTM)
2.  Market Measures:  9-5-14 “Weekly Strangles"
Slides: https://s3.amazonaws.com/tastytradepublicmedia/show/
9/episode/13623/slide_decks/en/
MM090514Weekly_Strategies_REV1.pdf
• Pros: Binary events, Increased occurrences, calendars
• Cons: Gamma Risk, Not scalable, Liquidity, Adjustment
options
3.  Back to Cool:  6-4-14 “Weekly Strangles or Monthly
Strangles"
Video:  https://www.tastytrade.com/tt/shows/wdis-back-to-cool/
episodes/weekly-strangles-or-monthly-strangles-06-04-2014?
locale=en-US
• Discussion format is different and good for beginning traders
• Looking for opportunity
• Can allow for trades to close prior to earnings dates
Questions?
DISCLAIMER:
The purpose of this material is for education only. You must consider your
own situation and risk tolerance prior to entering into any investment. You
are assuming the entire risk of any and all trades placed in the stock market.
The Mechanical Bear, LLC. is not a licensed financial advisor, registered
investment advisor, registered broker-dealer or FINRA|SIPC|NFA-member
firm. The Mechanical Bear, LLC. does not provide investment or financial
advice or make investment recommendations. The Mechanical Bear, LLC. is
not in the business of transacting trades, nor does The Mechanical Bear, LLC.
agree to direct your commodity accounts or give trading advice tailored to
your particular situation. By using The Mechanical Bear website and
materials, you agree, at all time, to indemnify, defend, and hold The
Mechanical Bear (including and of its respective officers, directors,
employees, agents, or representatives) harmless from and against any and all
claims, actions, demands, suits, losses and costs (including attorney’s fees)
resulting from trades you place in the market. References and links to
content provided by dough, Inc. or tastytrade, Inc. is the property of that
organization and is only referenced for educational purposes. Please refer to
their website for additional details. All credit is given to them for the content
they create.

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March Meeting

  • 2. The Setup • May 2011 - Dec 2014 (AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, GS, IBM, SLV, SPY) • First trading day of the month sell 1 SD strangle closet to 45 DTE • First day of the week sell 1 SD strangle closest to 5 DTE • Close trade at 50% profit, 2X loss, expiration whichever comes first
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. Weekly Monthly Weekly > 50 Monthly > 50 Total Profit $22,544 $18,989 $11,227 $2,141 Average Days Held 3 24 3 21 Total # Trades 832 294 184 50 Avg Profit/Trade $27.10 $64.59 $61.02 $42.83 % Held Expiration 27.4% 4.08% 29.9% 6% % Held Exp Profitable 61.8% 41.7% 63.6% 66.7% % All Profitable 82.1% 86.1% 82.1% 86% % Exit 50% 65.1% 84.4% 63% 82% % Exit 2X 7.45% 11.6% 7.07% 12% Max Loss -$1,416 -$2,836 -$1,416 -$2,456
  • 8. 1.  Market Measures:  8-19-13 “Weekly vs. Monthly" Slides: https://s3.amazonaws.com/tastytradepublicmedia/show/ 9/episode/5658/slide_decks/en/ MM081913_Weekly_v_Monthly_.pdf • Prefer duration to give time to be right • Theta decay decreases as expiration approaches (OTM)
  • 9. 2.  Market Measures:  9-5-14 “Weekly Strangles" Slides: https://s3.amazonaws.com/tastytradepublicmedia/show/ 9/episode/13623/slide_decks/en/ MM090514Weekly_Strategies_REV1.pdf • Pros: Binary events, Increased occurrences, calendars • Cons: Gamma Risk, Not scalable, Liquidity, Adjustment options
  • 10. 3.  Back to Cool:  6-4-14 “Weekly Strangles or Monthly Strangles" Video:  https://www.tastytrade.com/tt/shows/wdis-back-to-cool/ episodes/weekly-strangles-or-monthly-strangles-06-04-2014? locale=en-US • Discussion format is different and good for beginning traders • Looking for opportunity • Can allow for trades to close prior to earnings dates
  • 12. DISCLAIMER: The purpose of this material is for education only. You must consider your own situation and risk tolerance prior to entering into any investment. You are assuming the entire risk of any and all trades placed in the stock market. The Mechanical Bear, LLC. is not a licensed financial advisor, registered investment advisor, registered broker-dealer or FINRA|SIPC|NFA-member firm. The Mechanical Bear, LLC. does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. The Mechanical Bear, LLC. is not in the business of transacting trades, nor does The Mechanical Bear, LLC. agree to direct your commodity accounts or give trading advice tailored to your particular situation. By using The Mechanical Bear website and materials, you agree, at all time, to indemnify, defend, and hold The Mechanical Bear (including and of its respective officers, directors, employees, agents, or representatives) harmless from and against any and all claims, actions, demands, suits, losses and costs (including attorney’s fees) resulting from trades you place in the market. References and links to content provided by dough, Inc. or tastytrade, Inc. is the property of that organization and is only referenced for educational purposes. Please refer to their website for additional details. All credit is given to them for the content they create.