A first of its kind thought leadership study on the pre-owned car market in India. Seminal in nature, this report should be useful to all stakeholders in assessing the Indian pre-owned vehicle industry both domestically and in the global context.
3. FOREWORD
The Indian pre-owned vehicle industry, though nascent in
development, is rapidly achieving scale. With India expected to
be amongst the Top 5 automotive markets in the world, the
pre-owned vehicle ecosystem is going to be an important
segment of the overall economy, and an important factor in
how the automotive industry and also the overall economy
evolves.
A pre-owned vehicle - in most parts of the world - satisļ¬es one
of the most important family aspirations - ownership of the
ļ¬rst car. We see India evolving similarly, but great strides have
to be made to enable a good buyer & seller experience.
Buyer-seller trust deļ¬cit levels are still very high, with relatively
low levels of consumer protection.
The industry IS changing as it grows. The industry is getting
more organized and also being enabled with technology.
However, little is speciļ¬cally understood about the industry
due to severe paucity of data ā either from private or public
sources. Hitherto, it has been extremely diļ¬cult to even
establish industry volumes at any level of detail with a high
degree of conļ¬dence.
This Year's Report
This report is the result of a collective eļ¬ort by the
IndianBlueBook (www.indianbluebook.com) team and its
partners in India and globally. It has leveraged Indiaās largest
footprint āon the groundā via the Mahindra First Choice
Wheels Ltd. franchise network and signiļ¬cant presence āin the
cloudā with a suite of industry leading online properties
including but not limited to IndianBlueBook and eDiig. We
believe the analysis is seminal in nature and attempts to
āconnect the dotsā better than any report to date both in scope
and detail. With this publication being the ļ¬rst of ongoing
future editions, there is a special section that looks at the
Indian market in the context of two other (important) global
markets ā the U.S. and China.
Over the last 24 months, the pre-owned vehicle industry has
been the subject of much attention from a variety of industry
stakeholders ā Investors, OEMs, Dealers, Financial Institutions
and Consumers. This report should be useful to all
stakeholders in assessing the Indian pre-owned vehicle
industry both domestically and in the global context.
Nagi Palle
MD & CEO
Mahindra First Choice Wheels Ltd.
Summary Insights 1-6
India, China, U.S. Compared
Motorization Levels And Car Parc 7
New And Pre-owned Car Market Sizes 8
Stage Of Development 9
Deļ¬ning Dealer Segments 10
Scale Of Dealer Networks 11
Dealer Segment Penetration In Pre-owned Cars 12
Productivity Of Dealer Networks 13
Dealer Economics 14-15
A Few Other Market Considerations 16
Pre-Owned Car Market In India
Four Major Market Segments 17
Dealer Footprint 18
Dealer Productivity 19
Geographic Overview 20-21
Pre-owned Car Finance Penetration 22
Pre-owned Car Financing 23
Pre-owned Car Value Chain: Journey 24
Characterized By Transactional Friction
People Online 25
Automotive Traļ¬c Online 26
Pre-Owned Car And Consumer Proļ¬le
Proļ¬le Of A Typical Pre-owned Car 27
A Look At Fuel Composition & Car Segments 28
Consumer Insights 29
IBB Index: Relative Pre-owned Vehicle Pricing 30
A Word About Wholesale Markets 31
Sources 32
5. IndianBlueBook
1 2
A MULTI-FACETED INDIAN PRE-OWNED CAR INDUSTRY SCALE: Reached criļæ½cal mass, signiļ¬cant potenļæ½al
MARKET OPPORTUNITIES
& CHALLENGES
SCALE STAGE
STRUCTURE
India is expected to be amongst
the top 5 automotive markets in
the world by 2020
The North zone (36%) represents the largest geography followed by
the West (27%), South (26%) and East zones (11%)
Indiaās internet population at 277 million is ahead of the U.S.
(270 million) and behind China (668 million).
India has amongst the highest number of people online and oļ¬ine
At 3.3 million units, the
pre-owned car market is growing
at over 15% a year (organized
segment growing at 25%+ per year)
Just under half of all pre-owned
cars sold are in metros
Nearly 30,000 dealers engage
in pre-owned car sales
TOP 5
automotive markets 15%+per year
NORTH 30,000dealersleads the pre-owned car
market in India
277
million people online
sold in metros
45%
6. IndianBlueBook
3 4
80%
STRUCTURE: Largely unorganized retail & wholesale STAGE: Pre-owned car market is developed in some ways, nascent in many
Pre-owned car channels are highly fragmented, with four primary market segments
The unorganized sector
accounts for the bulk of the
dealer population (58%) and
19% of the total volume
SUPPLY CHALLENGED: There are no formal wholesale channels for dealers to procure cars
Repossessions account for of wholesale market
Unlike mature markets,
Indiaās market is supply
constrained, with
inventory turns at dealers
under 30 days
SUPPLY
CONSTRAINED
In India, a dealerās license is not required to retail used cars.
Pre-owned car markets are local in nature with signiļ¬cant paperwork
challenges and bureaucracy associated with car ownership moving
across state lines
Like the U.S., Indiaās pre-owned car market is larger than its
new car market. Chinaās pre-owned car market less evolved
compared to that of India at 0.5 times that of the new car
market
U.S. motorization rate is over 800 cars/1000 people and its car parc
is 10X that of India
Unlike the U.S., India is highly
unorganized, but more
organized than China
more organized
than China
INDIAORGANIZED SEMI-ORGANIZED
CONSUMER TO
CONSUMER
UNORGANIZED
Average volume at
market share
12%
16 per month
Average volume at
market share
<3 per month
Average volume at
market share
9 per month
35%
19%
market share
34%
The unorganized sector is
HIGHLY
FRAGMENTED
Pre-owned car market is
vs. traditionally 60+ days
in the U.S.
22 CARS/1000 PEOPLE
Indiaās motorization rate lies at
that of new car market
Pre-owned car market in India 1.2X
Unorganized sector
dominates supporting services
Paper transfer
Finance/Insurance
7. IndianBlueBookPROFILING THE AVERAGE PRE-OWNED CAR & ITS CUSTOMER
Average age at the
time of sale is 4 years
Average ticket
size is `3-4 lakhs
Consumers are browsers
online, but buyers oļ¬ine
For more than half, a pre-owned car
is the ļ¬rst in the family
Average number of
prior owners is 1
Average mileage
is 45,000-50,000 kms
50% of buyers are in the
25-34 years age segment
Aļ¬ordability, followed by value for moneyāprimary reasons why customers consider pre-owned cars
E F
STAGE: Pre-owned car market is developed in some ways, nascent in many
The internet is increasingly becoming a major source
of information for consumers. However, internet
infrastructure remains poor with signiļ¬cant room for
development
Dealer productivity and gross margins make
India a relatively shallow market
(dealer economics)
Not far behind the U.S., much further ahead
of China (66 months)
48 MONTHS
Metros have a higher share of pre-owned car ļ¬nance
(58%) relative to non-metros. Organized sector is
most eļ¬cient for generating loans.
There are over 6,000 approved NBFCs in local
markets that are funding pre-owned vehicles in India
Pre-owned car ļ¬nance penetration
UNDER 15%
LOWEST AVERAGE
INTERNET SPEED
IN APAC
Length of car ownership atSCALE AND
PRICE POINT
are major drivers
5 6
9. IndianBlueBook
Vehicle car parc (million units)
Motorization rate (cars per 1000 people)
India China
U.S.ChinaIndia
25014025
U.S.
22 113 809
Motorization: global rankings
New car market size-2015 (million units)
New car market size
Pre-owned car market size-2015
(million units)
17.5M
21.1M
2.8M
38.3M
10M
3.3M
Pre-owned car market size
U.S.ChinaIndia
U.S.ChinaIndia
Indian market is still nascent,
with signiļ¬cant headroom
for growth
China is the largest new car market in the world
followed by the U.S.
U.S., a very mature pre-owned car market, is
10X
the size of india
However, the Indian pre-owned car
market is amongst the fastest growing at
MOTORIZATION LEVELS AND CAR PARC NEW AND PRE-OWNED CAR MARKET SIZES
U.S.
China
India
15%+ per year
TOP 5
Currently ranked 6th, India is expected to be
amongst the
#4
# 98
# 160
automotive markets
by 2020
7 8
10. IndianBlueBook
Length of ownership
Replacement cycle (in years)
India China U.S.
India China U.S.
4 5.5 3.5
Unlike the pre-owned car markets in the U.S.
and India, the Chinese pre-owned car market is
smaller than its new car market
Indian pre-owned car market is more evolved
than the Chinese market
Pre-owned vehicles : new vehicles ratio
New/Pre-owned vehicle sales volumes
(as % car parc)
2.2
0.5
1.2
India China U.S.
15%
13%
7%
11%
15%
7%
New car sales/car parc ratios indicate growing
motorization in China and India
Pre-owned car sales/car parc ratios indicate
maturity of market with India showing greater
churn vs. China
New car/car parc Pre-owned car/car parc
STAGE OF DEVELOPMENT
äŗęč½¦
Franchise dealers
Independent dealers
Franchise dealersOrganized dealers
Semi-organized dealers
Unorganized dealers
Unorganized dealers
DEFINING DEALER SEGMENTS
Nascent
IndiaChina U.S.
Mature
Dealer maturity scale
9 1 0
11. IndianBlueBook
China and India highly unorganized markets for pre-owned cars; however, India is more organized than China
*Unorganized segment is probably a bit underrepresented given that not all unorganized dealers are perhaps āactiveā every month. Often, multiple
unorganized brokers are involved in a single transaction
Organized dealers represent the minority of pre-owned vehicles
sold in China and India indicative of still evolving markets
Semi-organized dealers
India*
Organized dealers
Unorganized dealers
2,110
10,500
5,000
17,310
Franchise dealers
Independent dealers
U.S.
19,360 19,360
36,000
Unorganized dealers
China
Franchise dealers
Semi-organized dealers
Organized dealers
Unorganized dealers
Franchise dealers
Independent dealersUnorganized dealers
Franchise dealers
17,580
10,550
116,130 46%
54%
U.S.
73%
27%
China
19%
29%
52%
India
Volume of pre-owned vehicles
sold per dealer
per year
U.S.: 533
China: 75
India: 71
SCALE OF DEALER NETWORKS DEALER SEGMENT PENETRATION IN PRE-OWNED CARS
Number of dealers by segment Share of cars sold across dealer segments
Unlike the U.S., most Indian and Chinese new car
dealers donāt engage in pre-owned car retail
U.S. has a very well-organized
automotive retail network
New car Pre-owned car New car Pre-owned car New car Pre-owned car
1 1 1 2
12. IndianBlueBook
India
New Car Pre-owned car
47
16
9
<3
China
New Car Pre-owned car
100
20
5
U.S.
New Car Pre-owned car
75
69
31
The average price of a pre-owned car sold is lower than in other markets
$11,500
$5,500
$15,000
$9,000
$33,420
$19,400
New car Pre-owned car
U.S.ChinaIndia
Average ticket size for franchise/organized dealers (USD)
Number of vehicles sold per dealer per month
India amongst the āleanestā automotive markets in the world,
with 60% of all new cars sold under $12,000
PRODUCTIVITY OF DEALER NETWORKS DEALER ECONOMICS - PART 1
vs. India2x
New car productivity
is highest in China
Organized dealer networks are key to improve productivity across all markets
Semi-organized dealers
Organized dealers
Unorganized dealers
Franchise dealers
Independent dealersUnorganized dealers
Franchise dealers
Organized dealer productivity is
highest in U.S.
3.5X vs. China
4X vs. India
1 3 1 4
13. IndianBlueBook
Additionally, high real estate and
capital costs in India pull down
dealer disposable income
Prior ownership is a signiļ¬cant driver of pre-owned vehicle prices in Indiaāoften leading to delayed
re-registration of vehicles upon change in ownership
$26,630
$2,520
$78,000
$2,250
$249,820
$34,380
Organized dealers / Franchise dealers Independent / Semi-organized / Unorganized dealers
U.S.ChinaIndia
U.S.ChinaIndia
Total gross margin per month - average dealers (USD)
Estimated auto ļ¬nance penetration - new and pre-owned (%)
60%23.6%38.5%
Doesadealerneedalicensetoretail pre-owned cars?
DEALER ECONOMICS - PART 2 A FEW OTHER MARKET CONSIDERATIONS
Organized dealers in India make 9x
monthly gross margin vs. unorganized dealers
9x
High ticket prices and a highly organized U.S. market affords a typical dealer
with signiļ¬cantly higher monthly gross margins compared to India and China
U.S.ChinaIndia
Yes YesNo
Vehicles cannot move across
state lines in India without
signiļ¬cant registration issues
and expense
In order to ease inter city and inter provincial
sales in pre-owned cars, China State Council
introduced new guidance (eļ¬ective 31st May, 2016)
1 5 1 6
15. IndianBlueBook
17 18
FOUR MAJOR MARKET SEGMENTS DEALER FOOTPRINT
12%
35%
34%
45%
35%58%
7%
55%
19%
Pre-owned car market in India
Share of metros vs non-metros
Types of dealers across India
Semi-organized dealersOrganized dealers
Non-metros Metros
Unorganized dealers C2C
Semi-organized dealersOrganized dealers
Unorganized dealers
Dealer count across metros and non-metros
Organized Semi-organized Unorganized
10750
29,920
1310
6520
800
3980
6560
Metros Non-metros Total
Total
Indian market largely unorganized with
consumer to consumer transactions
making up a third of all pre-owned car
transactions
Non-metros account for over half the
pre-owned car volume sold and are
growing faster than the metros
Metros comprise 38% of the dealer
network. Non-metros make up the balance,
however, highly fragmented in nature
25% a year
Organized segment is
growing at over
16. IndianBlueBook
Organized Semi-organized Unorganized
Metros Non-metros
Organized dealer networks are signiļ¬cantly more productive than the unorganized
DEALER PRODUCTIVITY GEOGRAPHIC OVERVIEW - PART 1
6
16 <39
In India, on an average a dealer sells cars per month
19
14
10
8
<4 <3
Average volume per dealer per month across segments - Pan India
Average volume per dealer per month across metros and non-metros
Semi-organized dealersOrganized dealers Unorganized dealers
Tripura
Jammu & Kashmir
Himachal
Pradesh
Uttaranchal
Punjab
Haryana
Delhi/NCR
Uttar Pradesh
Rajasthan
Gujarat Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
Goa
Karnataka
Tamil Nadu
Kerala
Pondicherry
Andhra
Pradesh
Odisha
Jharkhand
Bihar
Sikkim
Assam
Meghalaya
Mizoram
Manipur
Nagaland
Arunachal
Pradesh
West
Bengal
Chhattisgarh
<5000
5001-10000
10001-15000
15001-20000
20001-25000
25001-30000
30001-35000
35001-40000
North & West zones account for over 60% of all
pre-owned car volume sold, with the East zone
being signiļ¬cantly smaller than the other zones
East ā 10.8%Westā 27.4%
North ā 35.5%
South ā 26.3%
Share of total volume by zone (%) Volume per month by state
19 20
17. IndianBlueBook
The organized channel originates approximately half
of pre-owned car loans, enabled by more robust
processes and transparency.
Financing is primarily dealer originated. C2C
transactions predominantly happen via cash
Finance penetration is signiļ¬cantly higher within
the organized channel.
The semi-/unorganized channel is highly
fragmented with higher channel costs for
lenders
Semi-organized/Unorganized dealers
Organized dealers
Semi-organized/Unorganized dealers
Organized dealers
Metros Non-metros
40%
6%
40%
18%54%46%
GEOGRAPHIC OVERVIEW - PART 2 Share of organized and semi-/unorganized segments
Share of total volume by zone (%)
Organized Semi-organized & Unorganized
North & West exhibit more organized channels than the South. East, while more organized, is a
signiļ¬cantly smaller market and also highly concentrated in a few areas
North ā 40%
South ā 17%
Westā 29% East ā 14% Westā 27% East ā 10%
North ā 34.5%
South ā 28.5%
PRE-OWNED CAR FINANCE PENETRATION
Share of pre-owned car ļ¬nance by dealer segment Organized and unorganized
penetration across India
21 22
18. IndianBlueBook
Non-metrosMetros
58% 42%
PRE-OWNED CAR FINANCING
Auto ļ¬nancing penetration - India Share of pre-owned car ļ¬nance
Pre-owned car New car
15%
(Approximately)
65%
$$$$$$`
$$$$$$`
$$$$$$$$$`
$$$$$$$`$$$$$$$$$$$`
Approximately 150,000 new cars and 30,000
pre-owned cars are ļ¬nanced monthly
Pre-owned car interest rates are 4.5%- 6.5% higher than for new cars
In addition to the larger players, there are more than 6,000 approved NBFCs
that are funding pre-owned vehicles in India
Average LTV is between 75%-80%; the average disbursement is `3 lakhs
There is signiļ¬cant headroom for pre-owned car ļ¬nancing, with growth expected in the coming years
vs. pre-owned car
5X
23 24
PRE-OWNED CAR VALUE CHAIN: Journey characterized by transacļæ½onal fricļæ½on
Compare cars
Check reviews
Price check
Locate inventory online
InspectSeller Test drive Negotiate ServicingTrade-In Purchase
WarrantyAnnual
maintenance
contract
Accessories Paper work Finance Insurance
Online
Decision
to buy
Oļ¬ine
`
Classiļ¬eds
People research in the CLOUD
but transact on the GROUND
19. IndianBlueBookPEOPLE ONLINE AUTOMOTIVE TRAFFIC ONLINE
Total visitors per month
(major auto portals - as reported) - in millions
Total visitors per car sold per monthInternet Penetration Internet connection speeds (mbps) - Q4 2015
85%49%22%
U.S.ChinaIndia
4.1
26.7
2.8
21.2
14.2
61.5
22.487.9
Average speed Average peak speed
India China U.S.
India China U.S. India China U.S.
India has amongst the highest number of
people online and ofļ¬ine
India has the lowest average
internet speed in APAC
Enabled by mobile access, automotive
websites have driven large volume of
monthly visitors
Indiaās internet traļ¬c eļ¬ciency (visitors/car sold)
is much lower than U.S. or China
277 Million 668 Million 270 Million
People online
3.1
15
4.8
25 26
21. IndianBlueBookPROFILE OF A TYPICAL PRE-OWNED CAR A LOOK AT FUEL COMPOSITION & CAR SEGMENTS
Proļ¬le of an average
pre-owned car
Average age at time of
sale lies at 4 years-
ļ¬at through FY14-FY16
Average price
approximately `3-4 lakhs-
ļ¬at through FY14-FY16
Average number of prior
owners at 1- ļ¬at through
FY14-FY16
Average mileage (45,000-50,000 kms)
increasing over FY14-FY16,
with a greater share of vehicles
being driven over 60,000 kms
Age
Price
Mileage
Owner
Fuel composition of new car sales
Pre-owned car sales by segment
Fuel composition of pre-owned car sales
63% 52% 42% 47% 52% 56%
37% 48% 58% 53% 48% 44%
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
Petrol (%) Diesel (%)
87% 83% 78% 67% 64% 53%
Petrol (%) Diesel (%)
13% 17% 22% 33% 36% 47%
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
A1: Mini
FY16
FY15
FY14
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
A2: Compact A3: Mid-size
A4: Executive A5: Premium UV
5%
7%
4%
48%
54%
57%
17%
19%
23%
25%
15%
11%
4% 1%
1%
1%
4%
4%
The share of utility vehicles is
increasing but small cars still
account for 80% of the
pre-owned cars sold
The pre-owned car market lags behind the new
car market. Unlike in sales of new passenger
vehicles, diesel penetration in pre-owned cars
has increased over the same period
A sudden shift in preference towards petrol vehicles
amid uncertainty over diesel
27 28
22. IndianBlueBook
IBB price index ā prices indexed to January 2014
CONSUMER INSIGHTS IBB INDEX: RELATIVE PRE-OWNED VEHICLE PRICING
For more than half, a
the family
Affordability, followed by
value for money are primary
reasons why customers
consider pre-owned cars
> 50% of buyers are
working class
The buyer looks for a trusted
source and quality product
to complete his pre-owned
car transaction
50% of buyers are in the
25-34 years age segment
41%
4%
55%
23%
7%
5%
15%
33%
36%17%
2%1%
11%
29%
35%
9%
7%
20%
27%
38%
14%
3%
5%
13%
50%
IBB price index, which tracks relative pre-owned vehicle price changes on a monthly basis across the
country, remained ļ¬at on a month on month basis in May, 2016. Trade-in activity (for car owners aspiring
to upgrade) in the months (July - September) leading up to the festive season in 2015 resulted in a decline
in the index over this period due to the eļ¬ect of supply-side dynamics. Similar expectations, coupled with
favorable fuel prices and interest rates work in favor of the price-sensitive ļ¬rst-time car buyer
0.94
0.95
0.98
1.09
1.06
1.04 1.05 1.05 1.05
1.07
1.01
1.00
1.05 1.05
Jun
15
Jul
15
Aug
15
Sep
15
Oct
15
Nov
15
Dec
15
Jan
16
Feb
16
Mar
16
Apr
16
Apr
15ā ā ā ā ā ā ā ā ā ā ā ā ā
May
15
May
ā16
Cut in lending
rates
Cut in lending
rates
Cut in lending
rates
Festive season
First-time buyer
Multiple car in family
Replacement buyer
Matching requirement
Good experience Others
Product quality
Good price
Trust on brand18-24 years 25-34 years
45-54 years
>54years
35-44 years
Learn driving Others
Value for moneyAļ¬ordable
2nd car in household
Worker
Others
Self-employed professional
Junior executive
Senior executive
Business-owner
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
http://www.indianbluebook.com/ibb-index
Change of year
29 30
23. IndianBlueBookSOURCES
āChina to promote sale of second-hand vehiclesā, March 2016, The Economic Times
āIndia has the largest oļ¬ine population:World Bank reportā, May 2016, Livemint
2016 pre-owned car Market Report, Manheim
2015 Used Vehicle Market Report, Edmunds.com
2015 China Auto Finance Report, January 2016, Deloitte
āSC diesel car ban has pan India sales impactā, April 2016, The Economic Times
āIndia car sales grow fastest since 2010-11ā, April 2016, Livemint
OICA (http://www.oica.net/)
SIAM (http://www.siamindia.com/)
āChina's pre-owned car marketā, January 2014, Gordon's View, Mckinsey China
2014 pre-owned car Industry Report, NIADA
2015 Annual Financial Proļ¬le of America's Franchised New-car Dealerships - NADA
āThe United States of pre-owned carsā, February 2014, The Car Connection
SimilarWeb (https://www.similarweb.com/)
āFourth Quarter, 2015 State of the Internet Reportā, Akamai
āDriving through the urban-pre-owned car marketā, February 2016, Deloitte
āChina's new vehicle market:Prospects to 2019ā, Automotive World
2016 Internet Trends Report, June 2016, Mary Meeker (KPCB)
āChinaās new guidance on second-hand car sales to impact recovery ratesā, May 2016, South China Morning Post
Cox Automotive research, interviews with various ļ¬nancial institutions and other partners
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
Wholesale market by segments
A WORD ABOUT WHOLESALE MARKETS
480,000
(80%)
120,000
(20%)
400,000
(67%)
200,000
(33%)
Others (Salvage, Fleet, Dealers)Repos UnorganizedOrganized
Repossessions account for 80% of the wholesale
market
Commercial vehicles account for
45% of the repo segment
Two-wheelers and four-wheelers
each account for approximately
20% of the repo segment
31 32
24. IndianBlueBook
For further information contact: support@indianbluebook.com
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365 locations
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