SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 40
Bill
Orlando Code Camp
24-Feb-2024
Bill Wilder
Meet GitHub Copilot
⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯
Your AI Coding Assistant!
co-author x2 courses
author
founder and co-organizer
MS Cybersecurity
adjunct professor
https://meetup.com/bostonazure
https://bit.ly/billbook
12x recipient
William Gibson
author of Neuromancer (1984)
and other works
“The future is already
here — it's just not very
evenly distributed.”
1.Hello, GitHub Copilot
2.Data about AI for devs
3.What the future holds
4.Questions (anytime okay too)
Agenda
Hello, GitHub Copilot
Powered by OpenAI LLM
GitHub Copilot is an AI Coding Assistant
• Install VS Code extension (or other IDEs)
• Log into github account (probably $)
• Start coding
Need github account, but your code can live anywhere*
because the extension operates on your local project
only (e.g., on your laptop)
1. ```mermaid
2. graph TD
3. A[Developer's Editor] -->|Prompt Assembly|
B[GitHub Copilot Plugin]
4. B -->|Sends Prompt| C[GitHub Copilot Server]
5. C -->|Returns Suggestions| B
6. C -->|Returns Informational Response| B
7. B -->|Accepts or Rejects Suggestions| A
8. B -->|Displays Informational Response| A
Let’s look at GitHub Copilot
• Won’t cover all features
• Attempting to show where it shines and where it
struggles
• Demo will use VS Code – which is probably the best
(most advanced) experience among supported IDEs
• LLM based so is non-deterministic
• Conversational
• Error-prone 
• <codex .>
https://xkcd.com/2169/
Ghost text! 
The predictive model
behind GitHub Copilot
is the same one backing
ChatGPT: OpenAI LLM
Keep in Mind
• GitHub Copilot, not GitHub Pilot, not GitHub
Autopilot
• Accountability is one of Microsoft’s Responsible AI Principles
• https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/ai/our-approach
• You are the accountable party!
• Not always right
• See “Copilot, not Pilot, not Autopilot” above
Is my code safe?
Microsoft does not use your (non-public) code for
training
But you can opt in…
• Unless you can use their new service for training from a
github-hosted repo
• But that’s JUST FOR YOUR USE, not going into overall
model
Public code matching
Which languages are supported?
GitHub Copilot - Visual Studio Marketplace
https://marketplace.visualstudio.com/items?itemName=GitHub.copilot
“
Supported languages, frameworks, and IDEs
GitHub Copilot works on any language, including Java, PHP, Python,
JavaScript, Ruby, Go, C#, or C++. Because it’s been trained on
languages in public repositories, it works for most popular languages,
libraries and frameworks. It’s also integrated into your editor, and fast
enough to use as you type.
”
Understanding GH Copilot w/ Scenarios
GH Copilot is…
• Non-deterministic
• Conversional
• Powered by LLM
• Influenced by Prompt
Engineering/Prompt Crafting
• Sends “context window” in
the form of “prompts” from
desktop to server, gets back
”suggestions” (or just
“informational response”)
Example Scenarios…
• “Knows” patterns
• Make me a DTO (stackoverflow)
• “Knows” Syntax
• Generate Unit Tests
• Change Unit Test from X to Y
• e.g., MS Test to xUnit
• Efficiency
• e.g., make prime test faster
• Test data, such as in Spanish
• Explain code
• Look for errors
Productivity Tips
1. Prompt Crafting (aka “Prompt Engineering”) matters
• Ask for what you REALLY want
2. Keep updated
• Extension/plugin ecosystem moves fast
3. Productivity features are coming all the time
• Watch the docs, team demos on YouTube, etc.
Anti-Patterns to Avoid
1. Blindly taking a suggestion (“let copilot drive”)
• Pilot vs. Copilot
• Style (e.g., naming, param structure)
• Substance (e.g., correctness, efficiency, security)
2. Insufficient Context (”mind reading”)
• Context, prompt engineering, multi-shot
3. Asking Copilot to do it all (“hammer mode”)
• Don’t forget about your other tools, including your keyboard
4. Treating inline as chat (“mode confusion”)
• Chat acts on instructions, Inline acts on coding intent
Data about AI for devs
2023 Stack
Overflow
Developer Survey
https://survey.stackoverflow.co/2023/
Dev tool of choice
VS Code
Marketplace
https://marketplace.visual
studio.com/items?itemNa
me=GitHub.copilot
13m downloads
2023 Stack
Overflow
Developer Survey
https://survey.stackoverflo
w.co/2023/#ai-developer-
tools
AI dev tool choices
https://survey.stackoverflo
w.co/2023/#ai-sentiment-
and-usage
Using AI for dev?
Sentiment
2023 Stack
Overflow
Developer Survey
2023 DORA
Report
⚠️ Less flattering…
GitHub research
What does the future hold?
https://github.blog/2023-11-08-universe-2023-copilot-transforms-github-
into-the-ai-powered-developer-platform/
“Just as GitHub was founded on Git, today we are re-founded
on Copilot. Open source and Git have fundamentally transformed
how we build software. It is now evident that AI is ushering in the
same sweeping change, and at an exponential pace. In just a
short period, GitHub Copilot has expanded and evolved GitHub
into the world’s leading AI-powered developer platform.”
“re-founded on Copilot.”
“Let me just kind of give you two anecdotes
and then try to generalize it. On New Year's
Day this year, I just looked in my
newsfeed and I saw this tweet that
Andrej Karpathy, who is the guy at
Tesla who did the autopilot, tweeted
saying 80% of the code he writes today
is being written by GitHub Copilot.”
-Satya Nadella from WSJ interview, Jan 2023
WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 18, 2023
Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella's Big Bet on AI - The Journal. - WSJ Podcasts
https://twitter.com/karpathy/status/1608895189078380544
The Copilot Family
• GitHub Copilot
• Mobile GH App
• PowerApps (more later)
• Azure Data Studio
• Defender
• Microsoft 365
• Word, Excel,
• PowerPoint, Teams,
• Outlook, …
• Windows
• Dynamics
• …
Is Stack Overflow in trouble?
• https://www.wired.com/story/stack-overflow-will-charge-ai-giants-for-training-data/
• Stack Overflow Will Charge AI Giants for Training Data
• The programmer Q&A site joins Reddit in demanding compensation when its data is used to train
algorithms and ChatGPT-style bots
• https://www.theverge.com/2023/10/16/23919004/stack-overflow-layoff-ai-profitability
• Stack Overflow lays off over 100 people as the AI coding boom continues
• / Stack Overflow has laid off 28 percent of its staff over a year after doubling its employee base in a
massive hiring push.
• https://techcrunch.com/2023/10/17/stack-overflow-cuts-28-of-its-staff/
• https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2023/10/after-chatgpt-disruption-stack-overflow-
lays-off-28-percent-of-staff/
• https://www.infoworld.com/article/3708738/generative-ai-forces-stack-overflow-to-
lay-off-28-of-its-workforce.html
Trends for GitHub Copilot, OpenAI
• Token windows
• GPT-3.5-Turbo = 4k token input window
• GPT-3.5-Turbo-16K = 16k token input window
• GPT 4 – up to 128k token input window?
• Training on your code
Thought Experiment #1 – Agile Pressure
• Common Agile (e.g., Scrum)
practice is to build have a
buffer in the backlog
• Sprints of 2-3 weeks are
planned out with stories
• Wash, rinse, repeat
Intra-sprint velocity thrown
out of balance.
What if PO can’t keep up
anymore?
What if QA process can’t keep
up anymore?
Role of Continuous Delivery?
Thought Experiment #2 – VSM
• Value stream mapping
defines cycle time and
lead time
• Cycle time: time coding a
feature/story
• Lead time: getting feature
to customers
• Lead time > Cycle time
What happens to lead time
as cycle time is shortened?
Imagine infinitely fast dev
cuts C/T to 0, exerting max
pressure on CD C/T.
Role of GHC in automation.
Role of automation in lead
time. DORA metrics matter
more.
Thought Experiment #3 – “the dividend”
• Assume more efficient, but
maybe we don’t ”spend it all” on
more speed…
• How will you spend your
“dividend”?
Do same thing faster?
Do same thing more robustly in
same amount of time?
Do more things in same amount of
time? (More features or pay off
tech debt.)
Max developer happiness per
SPACE metrics?
Or do with fewer developers?
Thought Experiment #4 – citizen devs
• Will less skilled coders be
able to build maintainable
software?
• Not clear there’s evidence
GHC will turn a mediocre
dev into a good one (quote
from Andrej Karpathy)
• But what about low/no code
coupled with AI?
Will spaghetti code matter
with AI available to update it?
PowerApps has AI Copilot
• “Build apps through
conversation”
https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/power-apps/maker/canvas-apps/ai-overview
Echos of Visual Basic in 90s?
OWASP Top 10 for LLM Applications
• https://owasp.org/www-project-top-10-for-large-
language-model-applications/
Questions?
Questions?
Bill Wilder
@codingoutloud
codingoutloud@gmail.com
blog.codingoutloud.com
linkedin.com/in/billwilder
Find this
slide deck
here
See you at
Boston
Azure
bostonazure.org
@bostonazure
orlando-codecamp-meet-copilot-24-Feb-2024_pub.pptx

More Related Content

Similar to orlando-codecamp-meet-copilot-24-Feb-2024_pub.pptx

Github github-github
Github github-githubGithub github-github
Github github-github
fusion2011
 
Github for Serious Business Professional
Github for Serious Business ProfessionalGithub for Serious Business Professional
Github for Serious Business Professional
zwheller
 

Similar to orlando-codecamp-meet-copilot-24-Feb-2024_pub.pptx (20)

Introduction to Go
Introduction to GoIntroduction to Go
Introduction to Go
 
Github developing stack
Github developing stackGithub developing stack
Github developing stack
 
Jfokus 2016 - A JVMs Journey into Polyglot Runtimes
Jfokus 2016 - A JVMs Journey into Polyglot RuntimesJfokus 2016 - A JVMs Journey into Polyglot Runtimes
Jfokus 2016 - A JVMs Journey into Polyglot Runtimes
 
Github github-github
Github github-githubGithub github-github
Github github-github
 
[2020 git lab commit] continuous infrastructure
[2020 git lab commit] continuous infrastructure[2020 git lab commit] continuous infrastructure
[2020 git lab commit] continuous infrastructure
 
Github copilot
Github copilotGithub copilot
Github copilot
 
5/ GitHub Inner Source @ OPEN'16
5/ GitHub Inner Source @ OPEN'165/ GitHub Inner Source @ OPEN'16
5/ GitHub Inner Source @ OPEN'16
 
Github for Serious Business Professional
Github for Serious Business ProfessionalGithub for Serious Business Professional
Github for Serious Business Professional
 
Que nos espera a los ALM Dudes para el 2013?
Que nos espera a los ALM Dudes para el 2013?Que nos espera a los ALM Dudes para el 2013?
Que nos espera a los ALM Dudes para el 2013?
 
Github 101 An Adventurer's Guide To Open Source
Github 101   An Adventurer's Guide To Open SourceGithub 101   An Adventurer's Guide To Open Source
Github 101 An Adventurer's Guide To Open Source
 
Kubernetes GitOps featuring GitHub, Kustomize and ArgoCD
Kubernetes GitOps featuring GitHub, Kustomize and ArgoCDKubernetes GitOps featuring GitHub, Kustomize and ArgoCD
Kubernetes GitOps featuring GitHub, Kustomize and ArgoCD
 
Oh the compilers you'll build
Oh the compilers you'll buildOh the compilers you'll build
Oh the compilers you'll build
 
Getting Started with GitHub
Getting Started with GitHubGetting Started with GitHub
Getting Started with GitHub
 
Intro to Git & GitHub
Intro to Git & GitHubIntro to Git & GitHub
Intro to Git & GitHub
 
Delivering Quality at Speed with GitOps
Delivering Quality at Speed with GitOpsDelivering Quality at Speed with GitOps
Delivering Quality at Speed with GitOps
 
Can AI Autogenerate and Run Automated Tests?
Can AI Autogenerate and Run Automated Tests?Can AI Autogenerate and Run Automated Tests?
Can AI Autogenerate and Run Automated Tests?
 
Intro. to Git and Github
Intro. to Git and GithubIntro. to Git and Github
Intro. to Git and Github
 
Why Go Lang?
Why Go Lang?Why Go Lang?
Why Go Lang?
 
Using Git to Organize Your Project
Using Git to Organize Your ProjectUsing Git to Organize Your Project
Using Git to Organize Your Project
 
Smile Gupta - Hacktoberfest Celebration 2020
Smile Gupta - Hacktoberfest Celebration 2020Smile Gupta - Hacktoberfest Celebration 2020
Smile Gupta - Hacktoberfest Celebration 2020
 

Recently uploaded

Histor y of HAM Radio presentation slide
Histor y of HAM Radio presentation slideHistor y of HAM Radio presentation slide
Histor y of HAM Radio presentation slide
vu2urc
 
+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUDHA...
+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUDHA...+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUDHA...
+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUDHA...
?#DUbAI#??##{{(☎️+971_581248768%)**%*]'#abortion pills for sale in dubai@
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Powerful Google developer tools for immediate impact! (2023-24 C)
Powerful Google developer tools for immediate impact! (2023-24 C)Powerful Google developer tools for immediate impact! (2023-24 C)
Powerful Google developer tools for immediate impact! (2023-24 C)
 
Axa Assurance Maroc - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Axa Assurance Maroc - Insurer Innovation Award 2024Axa Assurance Maroc - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Axa Assurance Maroc - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
 
Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
 
GenAI Risks & Security Meetup 01052024.pdf
GenAI Risks & Security Meetup 01052024.pdfGenAI Risks & Security Meetup 01052024.pdf
GenAI Risks & Security Meetup 01052024.pdf
 
How to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected Worker
How to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected WorkerHow to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected Worker
How to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected Worker
 
Handwritten Text Recognition for manuscripts and early printed texts
Handwritten Text Recognition for manuscripts and early printed textsHandwritten Text Recognition for manuscripts and early printed texts
Handwritten Text Recognition for manuscripts and early printed texts
 
Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance Company - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance Company - Insurer Innovation Award 2024Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance Company - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance Company - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
 
Tata AIG General Insurance Company - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Tata AIG General Insurance Company - Insurer Innovation Award 2024Tata AIG General Insurance Company - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Tata AIG General Insurance Company - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
 
Advantages of Hiring UIUX Design Service Providers for Your Business
Advantages of Hiring UIUX Design Service Providers for Your BusinessAdvantages of Hiring UIUX Design Service Providers for Your Business
Advantages of Hiring UIUX Design Service Providers for Your Business
 
TrustArc Webinar - Unlock the Power of AI-Driven Data Discovery
TrustArc Webinar - Unlock the Power of AI-Driven Data DiscoveryTrustArc Webinar - Unlock the Power of AI-Driven Data Discovery
TrustArc Webinar - Unlock the Power of AI-Driven Data Discovery
 
HTML Injection Attacks: Impact and Mitigation Strategies
HTML Injection Attacks: Impact and Mitigation StrategiesHTML Injection Attacks: Impact and Mitigation Strategies
HTML Injection Attacks: Impact and Mitigation Strategies
 
Tech Trends Report 2024 Future Today Institute.pdf
Tech Trends Report 2024 Future Today Institute.pdfTech Trends Report 2024 Future Today Institute.pdf
Tech Trends Report 2024 Future Today Institute.pdf
 
Apidays New York 2024 - Scaling API-first by Ian Reasor and Radu Cotescu, Adobe
Apidays New York 2024 - Scaling API-first by Ian Reasor and Radu Cotescu, AdobeApidays New York 2024 - Scaling API-first by Ian Reasor and Radu Cotescu, Adobe
Apidays New York 2024 - Scaling API-first by Ian Reasor and Radu Cotescu, Adobe
 
The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024
The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024
The 7 Things I Know About Cyber Security After 25 Years | April 2024
 
Histor y of HAM Radio presentation slide
Histor y of HAM Radio presentation slideHistor y of HAM Radio presentation slide
Histor y of HAM Radio presentation slide
 
Strategize a Smooth Tenant-to-tenant Migration and Copilot Takeoff
Strategize a Smooth Tenant-to-tenant Migration and Copilot TakeoffStrategize a Smooth Tenant-to-tenant Migration and Copilot Takeoff
Strategize a Smooth Tenant-to-tenant Migration and Copilot Takeoff
 
🐬 The future of MySQL is Postgres 🐘
🐬  The future of MySQL is Postgres   🐘🐬  The future of MySQL is Postgres   🐘
🐬 The future of MySQL is Postgres 🐘
 
Real Time Object Detection Using Open CV
Real Time Object Detection Using Open CVReal Time Object Detection Using Open CV
Real Time Object Detection Using Open CV
 
+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUDHA...
+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUDHA...+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUDHA...
+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUDHA...
 
Strategies for Landing an Oracle DBA Job as a Fresher
Strategies for Landing an Oracle DBA Job as a FresherStrategies for Landing an Oracle DBA Job as a Fresher
Strategies for Landing an Oracle DBA Job as a Fresher
 

orlando-codecamp-meet-copilot-24-Feb-2024_pub.pptx

  • 1. Bill Orlando Code Camp 24-Feb-2024 Bill Wilder Meet GitHub Copilot ⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯ Your AI Coding Assistant!
  • 2.
  • 3. co-author x2 courses author founder and co-organizer MS Cybersecurity adjunct professor https://meetup.com/bostonazure https://bit.ly/billbook 12x recipient
  • 4. William Gibson author of Neuromancer (1984) and other works “The future is already here — it's just not very evenly distributed.”
  • 5. 1.Hello, GitHub Copilot 2.Data about AI for devs 3.What the future holds 4.Questions (anytime okay too) Agenda
  • 7. GitHub Copilot is an AI Coding Assistant • Install VS Code extension (or other IDEs) • Log into github account (probably $) • Start coding Need github account, but your code can live anywhere* because the extension operates on your local project only (e.g., on your laptop)
  • 8.
  • 9. 1. ```mermaid 2. graph TD 3. A[Developer's Editor] -->|Prompt Assembly| B[GitHub Copilot Plugin] 4. B -->|Sends Prompt| C[GitHub Copilot Server] 5. C -->|Returns Suggestions| B 6. C -->|Returns Informational Response| B 7. B -->|Accepts or Rejects Suggestions| A 8. B -->|Displays Informational Response| A
  • 10. Let’s look at GitHub Copilot • Won’t cover all features • Attempting to show where it shines and where it struggles • Demo will use VS Code – which is probably the best (most advanced) experience among supported IDEs • LLM based so is non-deterministic • Conversational • Error-prone  • <codex .>
  • 11. https://xkcd.com/2169/ Ghost text!  The predictive model behind GitHub Copilot is the same one backing ChatGPT: OpenAI LLM
  • 12. Keep in Mind • GitHub Copilot, not GitHub Pilot, not GitHub Autopilot • Accountability is one of Microsoft’s Responsible AI Principles • https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/ai/our-approach • You are the accountable party! • Not always right • See “Copilot, not Pilot, not Autopilot” above
  • 13. Is my code safe? Microsoft does not use your (non-public) code for training But you can opt in… • Unless you can use their new service for training from a github-hosted repo • But that’s JUST FOR YOUR USE, not going into overall model
  • 15. Which languages are supported? GitHub Copilot - Visual Studio Marketplace https://marketplace.visualstudio.com/items?itemName=GitHub.copilot “ Supported languages, frameworks, and IDEs GitHub Copilot works on any language, including Java, PHP, Python, JavaScript, Ruby, Go, C#, or C++. Because it’s been trained on languages in public repositories, it works for most popular languages, libraries and frameworks. It’s also integrated into your editor, and fast enough to use as you type. ”
  • 16. Understanding GH Copilot w/ Scenarios GH Copilot is… • Non-deterministic • Conversional • Powered by LLM • Influenced by Prompt Engineering/Prompt Crafting • Sends “context window” in the form of “prompts” from desktop to server, gets back ”suggestions” (or just “informational response”) Example Scenarios… • “Knows” patterns • Make me a DTO (stackoverflow) • “Knows” Syntax • Generate Unit Tests • Change Unit Test from X to Y • e.g., MS Test to xUnit • Efficiency • e.g., make prime test faster • Test data, such as in Spanish • Explain code • Look for errors
  • 17. Productivity Tips 1. Prompt Crafting (aka “Prompt Engineering”) matters • Ask for what you REALLY want 2. Keep updated • Extension/plugin ecosystem moves fast 3. Productivity features are coming all the time • Watch the docs, team demos on YouTube, etc.
  • 18. Anti-Patterns to Avoid 1. Blindly taking a suggestion (“let copilot drive”) • Pilot vs. Copilot • Style (e.g., naming, param structure) • Substance (e.g., correctness, efficiency, security) 2. Insufficient Context (”mind reading”) • Context, prompt engineering, multi-shot 3. Asking Copilot to do it all (“hammer mode”) • Don’t forget about your other tools, including your keyboard 4. Treating inline as chat (“mode confusion”) • Chat acts on instructions, Inline acts on coding intent
  • 19. Data about AI for devs
  • 23. https://survey.stackoverflo w.co/2023/#ai-sentiment- and-usage Using AI for dev? Sentiment 2023 Stack Overflow Developer Survey
  • 24.
  • 27. What does the future hold?
  • 28. https://github.blog/2023-11-08-universe-2023-copilot-transforms-github- into-the-ai-powered-developer-platform/ “Just as GitHub was founded on Git, today we are re-founded on Copilot. Open source and Git have fundamentally transformed how we build software. It is now evident that AI is ushering in the same sweeping change, and at an exponential pace. In just a short period, GitHub Copilot has expanded and evolved GitHub into the world’s leading AI-powered developer platform.” “re-founded on Copilot.”
  • 29. “Let me just kind of give you two anecdotes and then try to generalize it. On New Year's Day this year, I just looked in my newsfeed and I saw this tweet that Andrej Karpathy, who is the guy at Tesla who did the autopilot, tweeted saying 80% of the code he writes today is being written by GitHub Copilot.” -Satya Nadella from WSJ interview, Jan 2023 WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 18, 2023 Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella's Big Bet on AI - The Journal. - WSJ Podcasts https://twitter.com/karpathy/status/1608895189078380544
  • 30. The Copilot Family • GitHub Copilot • Mobile GH App • PowerApps (more later) • Azure Data Studio • Defender • Microsoft 365 • Word, Excel, • PowerPoint, Teams, • Outlook, … • Windows • Dynamics • …
  • 31. Is Stack Overflow in trouble? • https://www.wired.com/story/stack-overflow-will-charge-ai-giants-for-training-data/ • Stack Overflow Will Charge AI Giants for Training Data • The programmer Q&A site joins Reddit in demanding compensation when its data is used to train algorithms and ChatGPT-style bots • https://www.theverge.com/2023/10/16/23919004/stack-overflow-layoff-ai-profitability • Stack Overflow lays off over 100 people as the AI coding boom continues • / Stack Overflow has laid off 28 percent of its staff over a year after doubling its employee base in a massive hiring push. • https://techcrunch.com/2023/10/17/stack-overflow-cuts-28-of-its-staff/ • https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2023/10/after-chatgpt-disruption-stack-overflow- lays-off-28-percent-of-staff/ • https://www.infoworld.com/article/3708738/generative-ai-forces-stack-overflow-to- lay-off-28-of-its-workforce.html
  • 32. Trends for GitHub Copilot, OpenAI • Token windows • GPT-3.5-Turbo = 4k token input window • GPT-3.5-Turbo-16K = 16k token input window • GPT 4 – up to 128k token input window? • Training on your code
  • 33. Thought Experiment #1 – Agile Pressure • Common Agile (e.g., Scrum) practice is to build have a buffer in the backlog • Sprints of 2-3 weeks are planned out with stories • Wash, rinse, repeat Intra-sprint velocity thrown out of balance. What if PO can’t keep up anymore? What if QA process can’t keep up anymore? Role of Continuous Delivery?
  • 34. Thought Experiment #2 – VSM • Value stream mapping defines cycle time and lead time • Cycle time: time coding a feature/story • Lead time: getting feature to customers • Lead time > Cycle time What happens to lead time as cycle time is shortened? Imagine infinitely fast dev cuts C/T to 0, exerting max pressure on CD C/T. Role of GHC in automation. Role of automation in lead time. DORA metrics matter more.
  • 35. Thought Experiment #3 – “the dividend” • Assume more efficient, but maybe we don’t ”spend it all” on more speed… • How will you spend your “dividend”? Do same thing faster? Do same thing more robustly in same amount of time? Do more things in same amount of time? (More features or pay off tech debt.) Max developer happiness per SPACE metrics? Or do with fewer developers?
  • 36. Thought Experiment #4 – citizen devs • Will less skilled coders be able to build maintainable software? • Not clear there’s evidence GHC will turn a mediocre dev into a good one (quote from Andrej Karpathy) • But what about low/no code coupled with AI? Will spaghetti code matter with AI available to update it? PowerApps has AI Copilot • “Build apps through conversation” https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/power-apps/maker/canvas-apps/ai-overview Echos of Visual Basic in 90s?
  • 37. OWASP Top 10 for LLM Applications • https://owasp.org/www-project-top-10-for-large- language-model-applications/