Observing Networked Politics ______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Theoretical and empirical investigations of power and participation  in the networked environment Sciences Po 26 May 2009 Yochai Benkler  [email_address]
http://web.archive.org/web/20021202092031/www2.diebold.com/solutions/election/default.htm
 
 
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Diebold
 
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Diebold Diebold response Media Exposure Maryland-required studies; modifications
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Diebold
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Diebold Diebold DMCA
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Diebold
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Diebold
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Diebold
Overnet ______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Diebold
Overnet ______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Diebold One year later
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Politics and Power  in Networked Environment Technical-economic-cultural shift at the foundation of the new shift Theoretical divisions about what matters and what is happening over relevant domains of politics and power New empirical context: the transcript is the interaction More effective observation using old models of historical analysis New automated techniques of observation With advantages and disadvantages
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Networked Information Economy The most important inputs, into the core economic activities, of the most advanced economies, are widely distributed in the population Material Computation and communications resources Sensing and capture Human  Creativity, intuition, experience, and motivation Social capabilities to manage processes
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ The most important inputs, into the core economic activities, of the most advanced economies, are widely distributed in the population Behaviors once on the periphery: social motivations, cooperation, friendship,  decency, mobilization, hatred, move to the very core of economic life in the most technically and economically advanced societies Networked Information Economy
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Commons-based production Individual or collaborative Commercial or noncommercial increases the diversity of actors, motivations, transactional forms,  Important because it decentralizes  authority  to act, paralleling what technology/economy has done for practical  capacity  to act
Peer Production  Peer production  Large scale cooperation among human contributors  without price signals  or managerial commands ______________________________________________ ______________________________________________
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Apache market share 1995-02/2008 Source: Netcraft Survey December 2008 Free/Open Source Software
 
Price-system Firms Government; Non-profits Market-based Non-market ______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Four transactional frameworks
Price-system Firms Government; Non-profits Market-based Non-market ______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ '90s Market-based reforms
Price-system Firms Social sharing & exchange Government; Non-profits Market-based Non-market ______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Four transactional frameworks
Price-system Firms Social sharing & exchange Government; Non-profits Market-based Non-market ______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Second industrial  divide loosened
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Consumers/Producers => users Authority Quality, accreditation Capital as a proxy for authority, quality, accreditation destabilized Practices of skeptical reading “ how can you trust what you see on the Net” leads to skeptical reading;  “ trust the NYT” leads to Iraq WMD coverage Maybe erosion of “there's nothing I can do about it” Destabilized categories of power
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ 20 th  Century rise of democracy Our experience is largely with a mass mediated public sphere We will begin to learn what it means to have social production in the public sphere
citizens professional values: journalism; universities public sphere The Mass Mediated Public Sphere commercial funding: The power  of money government influence (funding; access; threats) The power  of power parties
commercial funding: The power  of money citizens professional values: journalism; universities public sphere The  Networked  Public Sphere government influence (funding; access; threats) The power  of power parties?
Russ Kick, The Memory Hole, April 2004
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ An emerging new ecosystem A few large commercial/professional news organizations, with global reach Distributed social action: politically mobilized peer production platforms; a new party press system on a volunteer model (dailyKos) Individual research and expression in networked clusters of mutual linking Low cost, low profit commercial models, engaged with peer producers (TPM) Nonprofit increased efficacy because of lower costs and capacity to leverage distributed social action (Sunlight)
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ “ Internet democratizes” & critique “ Everyone a pamphleteer”
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ “ Internet democratizes” & critique “ Everyone a pamphleteer” First Generation Critique Babel Objection (Sunstein) Fragmentation : The “Daily Me”: public sphere disappears Theoretically: heavy focus on “deliberation” and rational decision making; emphasizing common goals and shared fate; not much discussion of organization, salience, conflict; none of power Empirically: armchair anthropology/media studies
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Still in the armchair... New observation tools... “ Internet democratizes” & critique “ Everyone a pamphleteer” First Generation Critique Babel Objection (Sunstein) Fragmentation : The “Daily Me”: public sphere disappears The culture of Web speech mutual linking “ see for yourself” aggregation and search capabilities (e.g. Digg; Technorati; Google News) power law distribution of links
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ physics CS poli-sci “ Everyone a pamphleteer;”  First Generation Critique Second Generation Critique Power law distribution of links, implies attention  ( Shirky) You can talk, but no one will hear Barabasi Glance and Adamic Hindman:  Very little attention paid to politics at all What there is, highly concentrated and mainstream media still garners massive portion of it Who speaks in the blogosphere at the high end is  every bit as elitist as the op-eds “ Internet democratizes” & critique
What is a power law?
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Network Topology 1999:  Barabási and Albert Power laws characterize degree distributions in many diverse network phenomena Preferential attachment: “the rich get richer” Adamic & Huberman: intrinsic growth rate:  Interest? Money? Quality?
Glance and Adamic Political Blogosphere Small number of highly connected nodes accounts for majority of inlinks
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Network Topology 1999:  Barabási and Albert Power laws characterize degree distributions in many diverse network phenomena Preferential attachment: “the rich get richer” Adamic & Huberman: intrinsic growth rate:  Interest? Money? Quality? How do we explain the reality that a website launched on a Monday to rally for a political cause may have hundreds of thousands of participants by the end of the week? Intuitively trivial: people who care about the same thing will pass messages to each other, and congregate on an action platform  Theoretically non-obvious given power law distribution of links as a proxy for attention
Bursty relevance and salience: Even in the domain of opinion polls, where reputation is so important, Nate Silver becomes  a major source in the span of 6 months
 
 
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Network Topology Clustering Content-related sites cluster—interlink much more densely than random links on the web
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ computer scientists political scientists Network Topology Clustering At sufficiently small scale clusters, the body becomes moderate; the long tail turns out to be a little fat Pennock: universities; companies—still long right tail, but lots of moderately connected sites Chakrabarti—same is true for narrower topical clusters Drezner & Farrell—among political blogs in smaller interest areas
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ What is a moderate body?
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Self-organizing  networked public sphere Topical clusters At small scales, moderate visibility bodies with high visibility tails Many entry points for discussion Mechanism for “peer review” of claims, arguments, observations Intense interest is core value “ Superstars” serve as “broadcasters” across clusters Huge, interconnected “strongly connected core” with many redundant paths among clusters
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ More democratic, after all Not “everyone a pamphleteer”; but we are also not all intellectual lemmings Structured web offers more visibility, to more people, in accreditation and filtration clusters Relatively free of financing constraints on speech Emphasizing what is intensely interesting to active users who link and read; not what moderately interested passive consumers New observation methods do not obviate interpretation; they provide new sources of insight and require new rounds of interpretation But difficult to engage without familiarity with, and use of, newer techniques
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ “ Everyone a pamphleteer”  First Generation Critique Babel Objection Fragmentation Polarization Does mainstream discourse polarize? Sunstein experimental work – Yes; Fishkin, No E.g. Adamic & Glance “ Internet democratizes” & critique
 
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ “ Everyone a pamphleteer”  First Generation Critique Babel Objection Fragmentation Polarization But: Linking counteracts polarization Adamic & Glance: ~ 1:6 to 1:7 of the links on top liberal/conservative political blogs link across the ideological divide Gallo, Kane, Hargittai – strong internal linking, but no clear polarization over time; cross linking ~ half substantive or “go read” rather than “can you believe these idiots” Farrell, Lawrence, Sides: blog readers more partisan; left and cross-divide readers participate in voting and politics more than those on the right “ Internet democratizes” & critique
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Note: New, mixed techniques;  link analysis plus more traditional content analysis “ Everyone a pamphleteer”  First Generation Critique Babel Objection Fragmentation Polarization But: Linking counteracts polarization Adamic & Glance: ~ 1:6 to 1:7 of the links on top liberal/conservative political blogs link across the ideological divide Gallo, Kane, Hargittai – strong internal linking, but no clear polarization over time; cross linking ~ half substantive or “go read” rather than “can you believe these idiots” Farrell, Lawrence, Sides: blog readers more partisan; left and cross-divide readers participate in voting and politics more than those on the right “ Internet democratizes” & critique
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Kelly and Etling, 2008 Mixed observation techniques
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Link analysis provides overall shape and structure of the network; relative weight of different loci Structured observation with human readers to add nuance Current efforts to scale up and generalize harnessing human effort Web based interface provides individual coders with a questionnaire Directs them to a URL, open in a pane, with questions Data collected Currently working on integration with Amazon Mechanical Turk to provide large numbers of contributors, for small payments Early efforts toward distributed translation Mixed observation techniques
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ “ Everyone a pamphleteer;”  First Generation Critique Babel Objection Fragmentation Polarization Who will be the watchdog? Netanel; Starr 2009 Peer-production of watchdog function Time, research on the Net, and organized action Diebold & Stolen Honor Dan Rather Being there with distributed sensing and ubiquitous communication Macaca “ Bomb Iran” “ Internet democratizes” & critique
 
Macaca Bomb Iran
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ “ Everyone a pamphleteer;”  First Generation Critique Second Generation Critique Elements of an answer Drezner & Farrell (2004): bloggers can set agenda through mainstream media informing itself about views on the cheap Benkler (2006) Sites themselves have become discursive platforms on a significant scale An attention backbone building on topical clustering, speakers on the periphery can be identified by major sites and broadcast iteratively to higher-level visibility Greater affordances for directed action by mobilized groups “ Internet democratizes” & critique
 
 
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Participation platforms
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Participation platforms
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Left/Right divergent practices
~10,000 participants in  a platform with visibility  roughly equivalent to  TNR complicated to call this simply elitism; imperfect to call it fully egalitarian participation
 
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Benkler, Shaw, and Stodden 155 top political blogs Structured observation Link analysis to select high- impact sites Complemented by structured observation =>still small scale   increasing capacity   using online recruitment   and management tools Left/Right divergent practices
Adamic & Glance 2005
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Benkler, Shaw, and Stodden 155 top political blogs Structured observation Link analysis to select high- impact sites Complemented by structured observation =>still small scale   increasing capacity   using online recruitment   and management tools Left/Right divergent practices
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ No single effect Symmetry is overstated Different cultural/historical reception Consistent with stable claims about social psychology of left/right Individualist/hierarchist vs. egalitarian/communitarian? Consistent with story anchored in state of government, media outlets (talk radio; Fox News), and churches on right; no equivalents on left push to adoption of a workaround platform Left/Right divergent practices
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Participation, visibility, and agenda setting Developing new, text-based tools New theoretical question How do we think of a more active and visible large elite?  New visibility of academics? How do we think about BarbinMD, and about Farrell et al, that bloggers are more politically knowledgeable and activated A new “elite” of information haves able to speak around mass media pathways New party dynamics? Cultural power and participation Beyond deliberation/fragmentation
Economics
 
 
 
Media Cloud
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fox News Jan 1-20, top five stories on googlenews search
New York Times Jan 1-20, top five stories on googlenews search
Informed Comment Jan 1-20, top five posts on google blog search Both for “ethnic cleansing” and “ethnic nationalism”
Media Cloud
 
 
 
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Benkler, Shaw, and Stodden 155 top political blogs Structured observation Link analysis to select high- impact sites Complemented by structured observation =>still small scale   increasing capacity   using online recruitment   and management tools Left/Right divergent practices
 
 
“ Stolen Honor” ______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Kerry campaign DNC FCC FEC
“ Stolen Honor” ______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Kerry campaign DNC FCC FEC
“ Stolen Honor” ______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Kerry campaign DNC FCC FEC
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ 19 18 15 13 12 20 11/3 First report of “stolen honor” LA Times=>Talkingpointsmemo  Boycott organized Democratic establishment vows action Ad cancellations  begin; first media reports  Lehman warning Sinclair declares will not air “stolen honor” Intense debate on multiple blogs; actions proposed and debated First attempts; Tactical discussions feedback; lots
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ More democratic, after all Not “everyone a pamphleteer”; but we are also not all intellectual lemmings Structured web offers more visibility, to more people, in accreditation and filtration clusters Relatively free of financing constraints on speech Emphasizing what is intensely interesting to active users who link and read; not what is moderately interested passive consumers Fostering investigation and irreverence
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ More democratic, after all Not “everyone a pamphleteer”; but we are also not all intellectual lemmings Structured web offers more visibility, to more people Strong “see for yourself” ethic and peer accreditation Reading as skeptical investigation, rather than a search for authority Greater practical capacity to organize to act on politically salient issues Not always through established, not even necessarily legal, pathways
 
 
______________________________________________ ______________________________________________ More democratic, after all Not “everyone a pamphleteer”; but we are also not all intellectual lemmings Structured web offers more visibility, to more people Strong “see for yourself” ethic Greater practical capacity to organize Critical culture; emerging folk cultures At a minimum, an expanded elite Is a shift from several thousand to a few million out of 300 million significant?
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Yochai Benkler - inauguration médialab Sciences Po