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“ Inventions have long since reached their limit, and I see no hope for further developments” Roman engineer Julius Sextus Frontinus, 10 A.D.  “ Americans have need of the telephone, but we do not. We have plenty of messenger boys” Sir William Preece, Chief Engineer, British Post Office, 1878 “ Everything that can be invented  has already been invented” Charles Duell, commissioner for the US Patent Office, 1899
“ Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?” H.M. Warner, Warner Bros., 1927 “ I think there is a world market  for maybe five computers” Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943 “ Television won't be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of staring  at a plywood box every night”   Darryl Zanuck, 20th Century Fox, 1946
“ The world potential market for copying machines is 5,000 at most” IBM executives to the eventual founders of Xerox, 1959 “ There is no reason anyone would want  a computer in their home” Ken Olsen, founder of mainframe-producer Digital Equipment Corp., 1977
“ No one will need more than 637 kb  of memory for a personal computer —640K ought to be enough for anybody”   Bill Gates, Microsoft, 1981  “ Next Christmas the iPod will be dead, finished, gone, kaputt” Sir Alan Sugar, British entrepreneur, 2005

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Unfortunate Forecasts

  • 1. “ Inventions have long since reached their limit, and I see no hope for further developments” Roman engineer Julius Sextus Frontinus, 10 A.D. “ Americans have need of the telephone, but we do not. We have plenty of messenger boys” Sir William Preece, Chief Engineer, British Post Office, 1878 “ Everything that can be invented has already been invented” Charles Duell, commissioner for the US Patent Office, 1899
  • 2. “ Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?” H.M. Warner, Warner Bros., 1927 “ I think there is a world market for maybe five computers” Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943 “ Television won't be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night” Darryl Zanuck, 20th Century Fox, 1946
  • 3. “ The world potential market for copying machines is 5,000 at most” IBM executives to the eventual founders of Xerox, 1959 “ There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home” Ken Olsen, founder of mainframe-producer Digital Equipment Corp., 1977
  • 4. “ No one will need more than 637 kb of memory for a personal computer —640K ought to be enough for anybody” Bill Gates, Microsoft, 1981 “ Next Christmas the iPod will be dead, finished, gone, kaputt” Sir Alan Sugar, British entrepreneur, 2005