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Work Audit
April 2012




Work
Age, gender, and
the jobs recession



Audit
John Philpott, Chief Economic Adviser
Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development
Work Audit
                                                                                                            April 2012
                                         Age, gender, and the jobs recession

It’s well known that young people aged 16–24 have been hit         surprisingly, the number of men performing this kind of
relatively hard by the jobs recession that began four years        semi-skilled white-collar work has increased, the net fall
ago. A previous Work Audit has also highlighted the relative       in male employment resulting from substantial job loss in
impact of job losses and rising unemployment on men and            skilled and semi-skilled blue-collar occupations – skilled
women. However, less attention is given to what’s happened         trades and plant, process and machine operation – and
to men and women across the age spectrum, which as this            unskilled work.
Work Audit finds, sheds further light on the way in which
people will have experienced the prolonged weakness in the         Age, jobs and unemployment
labour market since the start of 2008.                             Two broad age groups have clearly fared better than others
                                                                   in the jobs recession (Table 4). The number of 25–34-year-
Gender, jobs and unemployment                                      olds in employment has increased by 249,000 (4%) and the
Comparing the labour market situation at the outset of the         number of people aged 50 and over by 392,000 (4.9%).
recession with the latest available official data shows that       Both these age groups have seen an increase in the number
men overall have fared less well than women (Table 1).             of people participating in the labour market. In the case
                                                                   of 25–34-year-olds this is likely to have been driven by
By the start of 2012 there were 387,000 fewer men in               inward migration, while for the over 50s the driving force
work (a net fall of 2.4%) than in the first quarter of 2008.       is a combination of population ageing and fewer workers
By contrast the number of women in work was only 8,000             wanting to retire early, either for financial reasons or
(0.05%) lower.                                                     because of a broader desire to prolong their working lives.

The number of unemployed men has increased by 600,000              The age groups to lose out are not only16–24-year-olds but
since 2008. The number of unemployed women has also                also the early middle aged 35–49-year-olds, though for the
increased substantially, by almost half a million, to reach a      latter this is partly due to fewer people in the demographic
record level of 1.12 million, although this is not primarily       group. Unemployment levels and rates have increased in
due to fewer jobs for women but instead to a relatively            every age group. However, for the 25–34-year-olds and the
large rise of 438,000 in the number of women participating         50 and over group, higher unemployment is associated
in the labour market.                                              with rising employment and a larger number of people
                                                                   participating in the labour market. The older people get, the
Even accounting for this, the gender unemployment gap              more likely it is that they will remain out of work for longer
(that is, the difference between the male and female               when unemployed, although long-term unemployment
unemployment rate) has increased from 0.8 percentage               rates have increased more for younger than older people
points to 1.3 percentage points. However, compared with            since the start of the jobs recession.
2008 women account for a larger share of total long-term
unemployment (up from 31% to 36%).                                 Gender, age, jobs and unemployment
                                                                   Comparisons across gender and age highlight two stand-out
The relatively stronger employment outcome for women               groups, women aged 50–64 and women aged 65 and over
is the result of a substantial rise of 172,000 (16.3%) in          (Table 5). There are 271,000 (8%) more women aged 50–64
the number of women in self-employment (Table 2). The              in the labour market than at the start of the recession and
number of women working full-time as employees has fallen          200,000 (6.2%) more in work. The number of men in this
by 220,000 (3%), partly offset by a small rise in part-time        age group in work is broadly unchanged but a 122,000 (3%)
employment (0.1%). For men the pattern is rather different,        increase in the number participating in the labour market
with a relatively large fall in full-time employees (552,000, or   has raised their unemployment rate relative to that of their
4.7%), a relatively larger rise in part-time employees (9.7%)      women contemporaries.
and a relatively smaller rise in self-employment (2%).
                                                                   Women aged 50–64, and men and women aged 65 and over
Available comparable data for the final quarter of 2007 and        are the only age groups to have registered an increase in
the final quarter of 2011 indicate that compared with men,         both the number in work and employment rates since the
women have seen relatively strong net employment growth            start of the jobs recession and also registered the smallest
in managerial, professional and technical occupations but          increases in unemployment.
have done less well in traditionally feminised occupations.
                                                                   Men have much higher rates of long-term unemployment
The number of women in administrative, secretarial, sales          than women in every age group although the share of
and customer services roles has fallen by almost 400,000           women who are long-term unemployed has increased in all
since the start of the recession (Table 3). Somewhat               age groups (Table 6).




                                                    Work Audit Issue 43                                                             2
Work Audit
                                                                                                                            April 2012
                                                  Age, gender, and the jobs recession


Table 1: Net change in UK employment, unemployment and economic activity and inactivity by gender, January–March 2008
to November–January 2011–2012 (seasonally adjusted)
                            Employment                         Unemployment                    Activity                         Inactivity
                          000s       %                        000s       %             000s                %             000s                %

Men

2008                    15,959               67.0              939          5.6       16,897               70.9          6,923               29.1

2012                    15,572               63.3             1,540         9.0       17,112               69.5          7,502               30.5

Change                     –387              –3.7             +601         +3.4        +215                –1.4          +579                +1.4



Women

2008                    13,552               53.9              680          4.8       14,231               56.6         10,891               43.4

2012                    13,544               52.6             1,126         7.7       14,669               57.0         11,087               43.0

Change                     –8.0              –1.3             +446         +2.9        +438               +0.4           +196                –0.4

Source: Office for National Statistics, Labour Force Survey




Table 2: Net change in full-time and part-time UK employment by gender, January–March 2008 to November–January
2011–2012 (seasonally adjusted)
                                                              Employees                                           Self-employed
                                                Full-time                 Part-time                Full-time                      Part-time

Men (000s)

2008                                             11,696                     1,341                    2,416                           393

2012                                             11,144                     1,472                    2,383                           482

Change (000s)                                       –552                    +131                          –33                        +89

Change %                                            –4.7                     +9.7                     –1.4                          +22.6



Women (000s)

2008                                              7,295                     5,095                         515                        535

2012                                              7,075                     5,139                         581                        641

Change (000s)                                       –220                     +44                          +66                       +106

Change %                                            –3.0                     +0.9                    +12.8                          +19.8

Source: Office for National Statistics, Labour Force Survey




                                                               Work Audit Issue 43                                                                  3
Work Audit
                                                                                                                             April 2012
                                                  Age, gender, and the jobs recession


Table 3: Net change in UK employment by occupation and gender, October–December 2007 to October–December 2011
(not seasonally adjusted)
                                                                                   Men                                    Women
                                                                   change (000s)         change (%)            change (000s)   change (%)

Managers and senior officials                                            +95                +3.3                      +99           +6.4

Professional occupations                                                 –57                –2.3                      +95           +5.7

Associate professional and technical occupations                         –17                –0.8                     +122           +5.6

Administrative and secretarial occupations                               +55                +7.7                     –254           –9.4

Skilled trades                                                          –184                –6.1                       –5           –1.9

Personal services                                                        +79               +20.1                     +153           +7.7

Sales and customer services                                              +32                +4.2                     –137           –9.1

Process, plant and machine operatives                                   –239               –12.7                      –39          –15.1

Elementary occupations                                                  –106                –5.4                      +34           +2.2

Source: Office for National Statistics, data not seasonally adjusted




Table 4: Net change in employment, unemployment, activity and inactivity by age, January–March 2008 to November–
January 2012
                                          Employment                     Unemployment                     Activity             Inactivity
                                        000s      (pp)                   000s     (pp)             000s              (pp)   000s         (pp)

16–17                                  –211            –11.7             +42       +15.2           –169              –8.0   +55            +8.0

18–24                                  –419             –8.5            +313        +8.0           –106              –3.3   +227           +3.3

25–34                                  +249             –2.7            +263        +3.4           +515              –0.1   +82            +0.1

35–49                                  –406             –1.2            +230        +2.1           –176          +0.7       –123           –0.7

50–64                                  +206             –0.3            +187        +2.3           +393          +1.2        –23           –1.2

65+                                    +106             +1.2             +10        +0.8           +196          +1.4       +558           –1.4

All                                    –395             –2.5           +1,048       +3.2           +653              –0.3   +775           –0.5

Note: pp refers to percentage point change in rate
Source: Office for National Statistics, Labour Force Survey




                                                               Work Audit Issue 43                                                                4
Work Audit
                                                                                                                April 2012
                                                   Age, gender, and the jobs recession


Table 5: Net change in employment, unemployment, activity and inactivity by age and gender, January–March 2008 to
November–January 2012
                            Employment                         Unemployment                Activity                 Inactivity
                          000s      (pp)                      000s      (pp)     000s                 (pp)   000s                (pp)

16–17

Male                      –124             –13.7              +19      +17.6     –105             –10.3      +45            –10.3

Female                     –88             –10.0              +24      +13.2         –64              –5.5   +11             +5.5



18–24

Male                      –267             –10.3              +200      +9.6         –66              –3.7   +122            +3.7

Female                    –152              –6.7              +113      +6.1         –39              –3.0   +106            +3.0



25–34

Male                     +134               –0.4              +141      +3.3     +275                 –1.0   +67             +1.0

Female                   +116               –1.6              +122      +3.4     +238                 +1.1   +15                 –1.1



35–49

Male                      –208              –1.3              +118      +2.1         –91              +0.6    –46                –0.6

Female                    –198              –1.1              +112      +2.2         –85              +0.7    –77                –0.7



50–64

Male                        +3              –2.1              +118      +2.7     +122                 –0.1   +46             +0.1

Female                   +202               +1.4              +69       +1.7     +271                 +2.6    –69                –2.6



65+

Male                       +75              +0.7               +5       +0.7     +80                  +0.8   +347                –0.8

Female                   +111               +1.7               +5       +1.0     +117                 +1.8   +211                –1.8

Note: pp refers to percentage point change in rate
Source: Office for National Statistics, Labour Force Survey




                                                               Work Audit Issue 43                                                      5
Work Audit
                                                                                                   April 2012
                                                  Age, gender, and the jobs recession


Table 6: Long-term unemployment by age and gender
                             LTU Nov–Jan 2012                  % age group LTU      %all LTU   %all LTU Jan–Mar 2008
                                  (000s)

16–17

Male                                    22                          19.2              2.6               2.0

Female                                  14                          14.1              1.6               1.0



18–24

Male                                   151                          29.0             17.7              18.7

Female                                  66                          21.7              7.8               5.8



25–50

Male                                   246                          39.1             28.8              32.0

Female                                 171                          30.3             20.0              18.2



50+

Male                                   127                          46.8             14.8              16.0

Female                                  57                          36.6              6.7               6.3

Note: LTU refers to people unemployed for more than a year
Source: Office for National Statistics, Labour Force Survey




                                                              Work Audit Issue 43                                      6

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UK CIPD Report On Age Gender And The Jobs Recession in the uk

  • 1. Work Audit April 2012 Work Age, gender, and the jobs recession Audit John Philpott, Chief Economic Adviser Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development
  • 2. Work Audit April 2012 Age, gender, and the jobs recession It’s well known that young people aged 16–24 have been hit surprisingly, the number of men performing this kind of relatively hard by the jobs recession that began four years semi-skilled white-collar work has increased, the net fall ago. A previous Work Audit has also highlighted the relative in male employment resulting from substantial job loss in impact of job losses and rising unemployment on men and skilled and semi-skilled blue-collar occupations – skilled women. However, less attention is given to what’s happened trades and plant, process and machine operation – and to men and women across the age spectrum, which as this unskilled work. Work Audit finds, sheds further light on the way in which people will have experienced the prolonged weakness in the Age, jobs and unemployment labour market since the start of 2008. Two broad age groups have clearly fared better than others in the jobs recession (Table 4). The number of 25–34-year- Gender, jobs and unemployment olds in employment has increased by 249,000 (4%) and the Comparing the labour market situation at the outset of the number of people aged 50 and over by 392,000 (4.9%). recession with the latest available official data shows that Both these age groups have seen an increase in the number men overall have fared less well than women (Table 1). of people participating in the labour market. In the case of 25–34-year-olds this is likely to have been driven by By the start of 2012 there were 387,000 fewer men in inward migration, while for the over 50s the driving force work (a net fall of 2.4%) than in the first quarter of 2008. is a combination of population ageing and fewer workers By contrast the number of women in work was only 8,000 wanting to retire early, either for financial reasons or (0.05%) lower. because of a broader desire to prolong their working lives. The number of unemployed men has increased by 600,000 The age groups to lose out are not only16–24-year-olds but since 2008. The number of unemployed women has also also the early middle aged 35–49-year-olds, though for the increased substantially, by almost half a million, to reach a latter this is partly due to fewer people in the demographic record level of 1.12 million, although this is not primarily group. Unemployment levels and rates have increased in due to fewer jobs for women but instead to a relatively every age group. However, for the 25–34-year-olds and the large rise of 438,000 in the number of women participating 50 and over group, higher unemployment is associated in the labour market. with rising employment and a larger number of people participating in the labour market. The older people get, the Even accounting for this, the gender unemployment gap more likely it is that they will remain out of work for longer (that is, the difference between the male and female when unemployed, although long-term unemployment unemployment rate) has increased from 0.8 percentage rates have increased more for younger than older people points to 1.3 percentage points. However, compared with since the start of the jobs recession. 2008 women account for a larger share of total long-term unemployment (up from 31% to 36%). Gender, age, jobs and unemployment Comparisons across gender and age highlight two stand-out The relatively stronger employment outcome for women groups, women aged 50–64 and women aged 65 and over is the result of a substantial rise of 172,000 (16.3%) in (Table 5). There are 271,000 (8%) more women aged 50–64 the number of women in self-employment (Table 2). The in the labour market than at the start of the recession and number of women working full-time as employees has fallen 200,000 (6.2%) more in work. The number of men in this by 220,000 (3%), partly offset by a small rise in part-time age group in work is broadly unchanged but a 122,000 (3%) employment (0.1%). For men the pattern is rather different, increase in the number participating in the labour market with a relatively large fall in full-time employees (552,000, or has raised their unemployment rate relative to that of their 4.7%), a relatively larger rise in part-time employees (9.7%) women contemporaries. and a relatively smaller rise in self-employment (2%). Women aged 50–64, and men and women aged 65 and over Available comparable data for the final quarter of 2007 and are the only age groups to have registered an increase in the final quarter of 2011 indicate that compared with men, both the number in work and employment rates since the women have seen relatively strong net employment growth start of the jobs recession and also registered the smallest in managerial, professional and technical occupations but increases in unemployment. have done less well in traditionally feminised occupations. Men have much higher rates of long-term unemployment The number of women in administrative, secretarial, sales than women in every age group although the share of and customer services roles has fallen by almost 400,000 women who are long-term unemployed has increased in all since the start of the recession (Table 3). Somewhat age groups (Table 6). Work Audit Issue 43 2
  • 3. Work Audit April 2012 Age, gender, and the jobs recession Table 1: Net change in UK employment, unemployment and economic activity and inactivity by gender, January–March 2008 to November–January 2011–2012 (seasonally adjusted) Employment Unemployment Activity Inactivity 000s % 000s % 000s % 000s % Men 2008 15,959 67.0 939 5.6 16,897 70.9 6,923 29.1 2012 15,572 63.3 1,540 9.0 17,112 69.5 7,502 30.5 Change –387 –3.7 +601 +3.4 +215 –1.4 +579 +1.4 Women 2008 13,552 53.9 680 4.8 14,231 56.6 10,891 43.4 2012 13,544 52.6 1,126 7.7 14,669 57.0 11,087 43.0 Change –8.0 –1.3 +446 +2.9 +438 +0.4 +196 –0.4 Source: Office for National Statistics, Labour Force Survey Table 2: Net change in full-time and part-time UK employment by gender, January–March 2008 to November–January 2011–2012 (seasonally adjusted) Employees Self-employed Full-time Part-time Full-time Part-time Men (000s) 2008 11,696 1,341 2,416 393 2012 11,144 1,472 2,383 482 Change (000s) –552 +131 –33 +89 Change % –4.7 +9.7 –1.4 +22.6 Women (000s) 2008 7,295 5,095 515 535 2012 7,075 5,139 581 641 Change (000s) –220 +44 +66 +106 Change % –3.0 +0.9 +12.8 +19.8 Source: Office for National Statistics, Labour Force Survey Work Audit Issue 43 3
  • 4. Work Audit April 2012 Age, gender, and the jobs recession Table 3: Net change in UK employment by occupation and gender, October–December 2007 to October–December 2011 (not seasonally adjusted) Men Women change (000s) change (%) change (000s) change (%) Managers and senior officials +95 +3.3 +99 +6.4 Professional occupations –57 –2.3 +95 +5.7 Associate professional and technical occupations –17 –0.8 +122 +5.6 Administrative and secretarial occupations +55 +7.7 –254 –9.4 Skilled trades –184 –6.1 –5 –1.9 Personal services +79 +20.1 +153 +7.7 Sales and customer services +32 +4.2 –137 –9.1 Process, plant and machine operatives –239 –12.7 –39 –15.1 Elementary occupations –106 –5.4 +34 +2.2 Source: Office for National Statistics, data not seasonally adjusted Table 4: Net change in employment, unemployment, activity and inactivity by age, January–March 2008 to November– January 2012 Employment Unemployment Activity Inactivity 000s (pp) 000s (pp) 000s (pp) 000s (pp) 16–17 –211 –11.7 +42 +15.2 –169 –8.0 +55 +8.0 18–24 –419 –8.5 +313 +8.0 –106 –3.3 +227 +3.3 25–34 +249 –2.7 +263 +3.4 +515 –0.1 +82 +0.1 35–49 –406 –1.2 +230 +2.1 –176 +0.7 –123 –0.7 50–64 +206 –0.3 +187 +2.3 +393 +1.2 –23 –1.2 65+ +106 +1.2 +10 +0.8 +196 +1.4 +558 –1.4 All –395 –2.5 +1,048 +3.2 +653 –0.3 +775 –0.5 Note: pp refers to percentage point change in rate Source: Office for National Statistics, Labour Force Survey Work Audit Issue 43 4
  • 5. Work Audit April 2012 Age, gender, and the jobs recession Table 5: Net change in employment, unemployment, activity and inactivity by age and gender, January–March 2008 to November–January 2012 Employment Unemployment Activity Inactivity 000s (pp) 000s (pp) 000s (pp) 000s (pp) 16–17 Male –124 –13.7 +19 +17.6 –105 –10.3 +45 –10.3 Female –88 –10.0 +24 +13.2 –64 –5.5 +11 +5.5 18–24 Male –267 –10.3 +200 +9.6 –66 –3.7 +122 +3.7 Female –152 –6.7 +113 +6.1 –39 –3.0 +106 +3.0 25–34 Male +134 –0.4 +141 +3.3 +275 –1.0 +67 +1.0 Female +116 –1.6 +122 +3.4 +238 +1.1 +15 –1.1 35–49 Male –208 –1.3 +118 +2.1 –91 +0.6 –46 –0.6 Female –198 –1.1 +112 +2.2 –85 +0.7 –77 –0.7 50–64 Male +3 –2.1 +118 +2.7 +122 –0.1 +46 +0.1 Female +202 +1.4 +69 +1.7 +271 +2.6 –69 –2.6 65+ Male +75 +0.7 +5 +0.7 +80 +0.8 +347 –0.8 Female +111 +1.7 +5 +1.0 +117 +1.8 +211 –1.8 Note: pp refers to percentage point change in rate Source: Office for National Statistics, Labour Force Survey Work Audit Issue 43 5
  • 6. Work Audit April 2012 Age, gender, and the jobs recession Table 6: Long-term unemployment by age and gender LTU Nov–Jan 2012 % age group LTU %all LTU %all LTU Jan–Mar 2008 (000s) 16–17 Male 22 19.2 2.6 2.0 Female 14 14.1 1.6 1.0 18–24 Male 151 29.0 17.7 18.7 Female 66 21.7 7.8 5.8 25–50 Male 246 39.1 28.8 32.0 Female 171 30.3 20.0 18.2 50+ Male 127 46.8 14.8 16.0 Female 57 36.6 6.7 6.3 Note: LTU refers to people unemployed for more than a year Source: Office for National Statistics, Labour Force Survey Work Audit Issue 43 6