SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 8
Essay on Trading Personality:
Individual Trading Behaviour and its Recognition,
Trading „Fingerprint”
Comments are Welcome!
essays@drhegyesi.com
lajos@drhegyesi.com
lajos.hegyesi@t-online.hu
this version: January 4, 2016
Please do not cite or distribute.
1. I attempt to study the properties of a „simplified” (which is incredibly complex in reality) theoretical loop from financial
market to actors/traders and back to the financial market.
2. I predict and hypothesize that every actor/trader has Unique Trading Identity and therefore Individual Trading Behaviour in
the real-time interaction with the financial market. This behaviour, and emotional state (somatic marker) are mapped and
manifest it in these real-time (Time Stamped) trading patterns flows. This Individual Trading Behaviour can be formalized and
recognized as Trading „Fingerprint” (Trading Stamp).
3. My assumption is that this Individual Trading Behavior is an integrative paradigm, consisting of personal (e.g., personality
traits, risk intelligence, financial background, biological markers...), contextual variables (stocks/equity, bonds, forex,
derivatives, physical assets…) and emotional management (e.g. euphoria-panic, greed and fear) as well.
Bechara and Damasio (2004) have presented that emotions are important for rational decision making. Decision making requires
emotion related signals, somatic markers.
All emotions can be seen as linear combination of two neurophysiology dimensions valence and arousal (Colibazzi et al., 2010).
4. Common experience suggests what Experimental Economics and Behavioural Trading confirms, that Traders do not decide
identically when faced with the same options, even when the circumstances of decisions with all relevant respects seem to
remain the same.
The core of my argument is that Traders combine/aggregate their Subjective Probability Distribution of Random Variables: as
Trading Personality, risk level, types of markets , emotional states, motivations, with their preferences (Self and Other
Regarding), to choose the „optimal” utility alternative (Subjective Expected Utility) „in the mind” in that dedicated decision.
Therefore an aggregate trading decision is a Subjective Probability Event representing Trader’s Trading Personality in that
dedicated moment.
The set of this dedicated trading decisions is the Trader’s Trading Fingerprint.
5. The Three Dimensional Trading „Fingerprint” Model is shown in Figure 1.,2., and 3.
This model describes the interrelations among:
- Financial Market Events ( Stimuli ),
- Individual Trading Behaviour (Buy/Sell/Hold) and,
- Emotions, Emotional Management, Gut feelings/reactions, behind simultaneously.
6. The financial system in this „simplified” model focus solely the process of individual decision making (e.g., manual
trading), without any computerized assistance.
7. Financial patterns proposed to analyze, are the patterns of „Pattern Day Traders”, making many rapid buy and sell
transactions in the same trading day, hoping to make small but consistent profit.
Individual Trading Behaviour
Pattern
Factor Analysis,
Pattern Recognition,
Regression Analyses,
Trading „Fingerprint„
Generation
Financial Market / Stock Exchange
Financial Behavioural
Biases
PPPersonality Traits
Financial Personality
Traits
Financial Background
Biological Markers
Mean Resting Heart Rate
Real-Time Market Pattern
Figure 1.
Individual Trading
Behaviour and its
characteristic elements.
EMOTIONS
Emotion
regulation
Monitoring
Emotions/Individual
Somatic Markers
Patterns of Somatic Markers
Stimulus event
Arousal
Valence
Stimulus event
Risk Type Compass
Stocks/equity,
bonds, forex,
derivatives and
physical assets
Stimulus Event
Market Pattern
Market Price
Behavior/
Reactions
Emotions
Psychosomatic
Marker
Buy/Sell/Hold
Buy/Sell/Hold
Three Dimensional
Trading „Fingerprint”
Figure 2.
Three Dimensional Trading „Fingerprint” Model Describes the Relations Among Stimulus Event (Market Price Pattern),
Emotion (Somatic Marker Pattern) and Individual Trading Behavior (Buy/Sell/Hold Pattern) Simultaneously.
Emotion Regulation
t3
t1
t2
Direct pathway (fast) D.Kahneman
Indirect pathway (slow) D. Kahneman
Financial
Market
Stimulus Event,
Market Price
Behavior
Sell
Behavior
Buy
Emotion,
Psychosomatic Marker
Dimensions of Trading „Fingerprint”:
Stimulus Event, Emotion and Behaviour
Figure 3.
Hold
Up
DownGreed
Fear
Ad. Financial Behavioural Biases : Hens and Bachmann: overconfidence, loss aversion, disposition effect, herding,…
Ad. Personality Traits: Big Five: openness to experience, consciousness, extroversion, agreeableness, neuroticism
Ad. Financial Personality Traits: The big spender, the futurist, the newbie, the experienced, the avoider
Ad. Financial Background: Age, wealth, marital status, financial literacy, profession, income
Ad. Biological Markers: Left hand: 2D,4D; Right hand: 2D,4D ; Facial masculinity, (testosterone, cortisol)
Ad. Mean Resting Heart Rate : Lower Mean Resting Heart Rate (MRHR) is associated with lower ratings of Arousal and Riskier
Behavior, Faster Responses, Higher Impulsivity (Barbara Schmidt et al., 2014).
MRHR can be considered as Personality Trait (Barbara Schmidt et al., 2014)
Ad. Individual Somatic Markers: Heart Rate Variability (HRV), Skin Conductance Responses (SCR), Pupil Dilation, Eye Tracking, Body
Movement, Cutaneous Electrogastography…,
Ad. Risk Type Compass : Risk Type Compass (Psychological Consultancy Ltd) is an instrument that assesses the different ways in which
individuals perceive risk. An individual’s Risk Type will give an indication of how an individual perceives risk, how much uncertainty they
can cope with, and how they will react when unexpected events or outcomes occur.
There are Eight Risk Types: Prudent, Wary, Intense, Excitable, Carefree, Adventurous, Composed, Deliberate.
The Model is an Approach to Advance our Understanding of :
- The Nature of Emotions/Emotional Management vs. Trading Behaviours,
- Trading Behaviour and Dealing with Uncertainty,
- Background of Highly Successful Traders and Emotional Personality/Personality Traits,
- Behavioural and Emotional Analysis of Losers vs. Winners in the Financial Markets
- Rational/Irrational Attitudes of Traders,
- Nature of High Frequency (noise/impulse) Trading,
- Mean Resting Heart Rate and Trading Personality Trait,
- Mean Resting Heart Rate and Riskier Trading Behaviour.
Lajos Hegyesi Ph.D.,( in Telecommunications )

More Related Content

Similar to Trading personality

Successful financial traders 8
Successful financial traders 8Successful financial traders 8
Successful financial traders 8Lajos Hegyesi
 
Theory of behavioral finance and its application to property market
Theory of behavioral finance and its application to property marketTheory of behavioral finance and its application to property market
Theory of behavioral finance and its application to property marketAlexander Decker
 
How successful sales people read the minds of customers | Professional Capital
How successful sales people read the minds of customers | Professional CapitalHow successful sales people read the minds of customers | Professional Capital
How successful sales people read the minds of customers | Professional CapitalProfessional Capital
 
behavioral finance:theories, issues and challenges
behavioral finance:theories, issues and challenges behavioral finance:theories, issues and challenges
behavioral finance:theories, issues and challenges Kamaljit Singh
 
The Psychology of Investing Understanding Behavioral Finance
The Psychology of Investing Understanding Behavioral FinanceThe Psychology of Investing Understanding Behavioral Finance
The Psychology of Investing Understanding Behavioral FinanceCOIN STREET
 
Options Trading Psychology: The Art of Mastering Your Trading Mindset for Fin...
Options Trading Psychology: The Art of Mastering Your Trading Mindset for Fin...Options Trading Psychology: The Art of Mastering Your Trading Mindset for Fin...
Options Trading Psychology: The Art of Mastering Your Trading Mindset for Fin...Lucky Gods
 
Behavioural Finance Applied
Behavioural Finance AppliedBehavioural Finance Applied
Behavioural Finance AppliedClare Levy
 
D364048
D364048D364048
D364048aijbm
 
I111680 - Leandro Primo Dagostini - Final Dissertation
I111680 - Leandro Primo Dagostini - Final DissertationI111680 - Leandro Primo Dagostini - Final Dissertation
I111680 - Leandro Primo Dagostini - Final DissertationLeandro Primo D'Agostini
 
A Short Guide for Financial Advisors in Helping their Client’s to Better Unde...
A Short Guide for Financial Advisors in Helping their Client’s to Better Unde...A Short Guide for Financial Advisors in Helping their Client’s to Better Unde...
A Short Guide for Financial Advisors in Helping their Client’s to Better Unde...James Orth
 
A Short Guide for Financial Advisors in Helping their Client’s to Better Unde...
A Short Guide for Financial Advisors in Helping their Client’s to Better Unde...A Short Guide for Financial Advisors in Helping their Client’s to Better Unde...
A Short Guide for Financial Advisors in Helping their Client’s to Better Unde...James Orth
 
Behavioral financing
Behavioral financingBehavioral financing
Behavioral financinghegde-rohit
 
A3110109
A3110109A3110109
A3110109aijbm
 
Module 9 risk management & trading psychology
Module 9 risk management & trading psychologyModule 9 risk management & trading psychology
Module 9 risk management & trading psychologyArjun Choudhary
 
Learning spread trading is it worth it
Learning spread trading is it worth itLearning spread trading is it worth it
Learning spread trading is it worth itGE 94
 
Lecture 1 Introduction to Behavioral Finance [Autosaved].pptx
Lecture 1 Introduction to Behavioral Finance [Autosaved].pptxLecture 1 Introduction to Behavioral Finance [Autosaved].pptx
Lecture 1 Introduction to Behavioral Finance [Autosaved].pptxMubashirAli440246
 
Parag_Parikh_Stocks_to_Riches_2005_020719162421.pdf
Parag_Parikh_Stocks_to_Riches_2005_020719162421.pdfParag_Parikh_Stocks_to_Riches_2005_020719162421.pdf
Parag_Parikh_Stocks_to_Riches_2005_020719162421.pdfSumni Uchiha
 
Behavioral finance
Behavioral financeBehavioral finance
Behavioral financePaul Eshun
 

Similar to Trading personality (20)

Successful financial traders 8
Successful financial traders 8Successful financial traders 8
Successful financial traders 8
 
Theory of behavioral finance and its application to property market
Theory of behavioral finance and its application to property marketTheory of behavioral finance and its application to property market
Theory of behavioral finance and its application to property market
 
How successful sales people read the minds of customers | Professional Capital
How successful sales people read the minds of customers | Professional CapitalHow successful sales people read the minds of customers | Professional Capital
How successful sales people read the minds of customers | Professional Capital
 
behavioral finance:theories, issues and challenges
behavioral finance:theories, issues and challenges behavioral finance:theories, issues and challenges
behavioral finance:theories, issues and challenges
 
The Psychology of Investing Understanding Behavioral Finance
The Psychology of Investing Understanding Behavioral FinanceThe Psychology of Investing Understanding Behavioral Finance
The Psychology of Investing Understanding Behavioral Finance
 
Options Trading Psychology: The Art of Mastering Your Trading Mindset for Fin...
Options Trading Psychology: The Art of Mastering Your Trading Mindset for Fin...Options Trading Psychology: The Art of Mastering Your Trading Mindset for Fin...
Options Trading Psychology: The Art of Mastering Your Trading Mindset for Fin...
 
Behavioural Finance Applied
Behavioural Finance AppliedBehavioural Finance Applied
Behavioural Finance Applied
 
D364048
D364048D364048
D364048
 
I111680 - Leandro Primo Dagostini - Final Dissertation
I111680 - Leandro Primo Dagostini - Final DissertationI111680 - Leandro Primo Dagostini - Final Dissertation
I111680 - Leandro Primo Dagostini - Final Dissertation
 
Risk Management Paper
Risk Management PaperRisk Management Paper
Risk Management Paper
 
A Short Guide for Financial Advisors in Helping their Client’s to Better Unde...
A Short Guide for Financial Advisors in Helping their Client’s to Better Unde...A Short Guide for Financial Advisors in Helping their Client’s to Better Unde...
A Short Guide for Financial Advisors in Helping their Client’s to Better Unde...
 
A Short Guide for Financial Advisors in Helping their Client’s to Better Unde...
A Short Guide for Financial Advisors in Helping their Client’s to Better Unde...A Short Guide for Financial Advisors in Helping their Client’s to Better Unde...
A Short Guide for Financial Advisors in Helping their Client’s to Better Unde...
 
Behavioral financing
Behavioral financingBehavioral financing
Behavioral financing
 
A3110109
A3110109A3110109
A3110109
 
Module 9 risk management & trading psychology
Module 9 risk management & trading psychologyModule 9 risk management & trading psychology
Module 9 risk management & trading psychology
 
Learning spread trading is it worth it
Learning spread trading is it worth itLearning spread trading is it worth it
Learning spread trading is it worth it
 
Lecture 1 Introduction to Behavioral Finance [Autosaved].pptx
Lecture 1 Introduction to Behavioral Finance [Autosaved].pptxLecture 1 Introduction to Behavioral Finance [Autosaved].pptx
Lecture 1 Introduction to Behavioral Finance [Autosaved].pptx
 
Parag_Parikh_Stocks_to_Riches_2005_020719162421.pdf
Parag_Parikh_Stocks_to_Riches_2005_020719162421.pdfParag_Parikh_Stocks_to_Riches_2005_020719162421.pdf
Parag_Parikh_Stocks_to_Riches_2005_020719162421.pdf
 
Behavioral finance
Behavioral financeBehavioral finance
Behavioral finance
 
Chapter 6fg
Chapter 6fgChapter 6fg
Chapter 6fg
 

Recently uploaded

Call Girls In Panjim North Goa 9971646499 Genuine Service
Call Girls In Panjim North Goa 9971646499 Genuine ServiceCall Girls In Panjim North Goa 9971646499 Genuine Service
Call Girls In Panjim North Goa 9971646499 Genuine Serviceritikaroy0888
 
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis UsageNeil Kimberley
 
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman LeechRE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman LeechNewman George Leech
 
A DAY IN THE LIFE OF A SALESMAN / WOMAN
A DAY IN THE LIFE OF A  SALESMAN / WOMANA DAY IN THE LIFE OF A  SALESMAN / WOMAN
A DAY IN THE LIFE OF A SALESMAN / WOMANIlamathiKannappan
 
Lowrate Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida ❤️8860477959 Escorts 100% Genuine Servi...
Lowrate Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida ❤️8860477959 Escorts 100% Genuine Servi...Lowrate Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida ❤️8860477959 Escorts 100% Genuine Servi...
Lowrate Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida ❤️8860477959 Escorts 100% Genuine Servi...lizamodels9
 
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service JamshedpurVIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service JamshedpurSuhani Kapoor
 
/:Call Girls In Jaypee Siddharth - 5 Star Hotel New Delhi ➥9990211544 Top Esc...
/:Call Girls In Jaypee Siddharth - 5 Star Hotel New Delhi ➥9990211544 Top Esc.../:Call Girls In Jaypee Siddharth - 5 Star Hotel New Delhi ➥9990211544 Top Esc...
/:Call Girls In Jaypee Siddharth - 5 Star Hotel New Delhi ➥9990211544 Top Esc...lizamodels9
 
Russian Faridabad Call Girls(Badarpur) : ☎ 8168257667, @4999
Russian Faridabad Call Girls(Badarpur) : ☎ 8168257667, @4999Russian Faridabad Call Girls(Badarpur) : ☎ 8168257667, @4999
Russian Faridabad Call Girls(Badarpur) : ☎ 8168257667, @4999Tina Ji
 
BEST Call Girls In Old Faridabad ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In Old Faridabad ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,BEST Call Girls In Old Faridabad ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In Old Faridabad ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,noida100girls
 
Keppel Ltd. 1Q 2024 Business Update Presentation Slides
Keppel Ltd. 1Q 2024 Business Update  Presentation SlidesKeppel Ltd. 1Q 2024 Business Update  Presentation Slides
Keppel Ltd. 1Q 2024 Business Update Presentation SlidesKeppelCorporation
 
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024christinemoorman
 
VIP Call Girls Pune Kirti 8617697112 Independent Escort Service Pune
VIP Call Girls Pune Kirti 8617697112 Independent Escort Service PuneVIP Call Girls Pune Kirti 8617697112 Independent Escort Service Pune
VIP Call Girls Pune Kirti 8617697112 Independent Escort Service PuneCall girls in Ahmedabad High profile
 
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...lizamodels9
 
Call Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableDipal Arora
 
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for SuccessSales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for SuccessAggregage
 
Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.
Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.
Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.Eni
 
Regression analysis: Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression
Regression analysis:  Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear RegressionRegression analysis:  Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression
Regression analysis: Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear RegressionRavindra Nath Shukla
 
Vip Female Escorts Noida 9711199171 Greater Noida Escorts Service
Vip Female Escorts Noida 9711199171 Greater Noida Escorts ServiceVip Female Escorts Noida 9711199171 Greater Noida Escorts Service
Vip Female Escorts Noida 9711199171 Greater Noida Escorts Serviceankitnayak356677
 
M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.
M.C Lodges --  Guest House in Jhang.M.C Lodges --  Guest House in Jhang.
M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.Aaiza Hassan
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Call Girls In Panjim North Goa 9971646499 Genuine Service
Call Girls In Panjim North Goa 9971646499 Genuine ServiceCall Girls In Panjim North Goa 9971646499 Genuine Service
Call Girls In Panjim North Goa 9971646499 Genuine Service
 
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
 
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman LeechRE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
 
A DAY IN THE LIFE OF A SALESMAN / WOMAN
A DAY IN THE LIFE OF A  SALESMAN / WOMANA DAY IN THE LIFE OF A  SALESMAN / WOMAN
A DAY IN THE LIFE OF A SALESMAN / WOMAN
 
Lowrate Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida ❤️8860477959 Escorts 100% Genuine Servi...
Lowrate Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida ❤️8860477959 Escorts 100% Genuine Servi...Lowrate Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida ❤️8860477959 Escorts 100% Genuine Servi...
Lowrate Call Girls In Sector 18 Noida ❤️8860477959 Escorts 100% Genuine Servi...
 
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service JamshedpurVIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
 
/:Call Girls In Jaypee Siddharth - 5 Star Hotel New Delhi ➥9990211544 Top Esc...
/:Call Girls In Jaypee Siddharth - 5 Star Hotel New Delhi ➥9990211544 Top Esc.../:Call Girls In Jaypee Siddharth - 5 Star Hotel New Delhi ➥9990211544 Top Esc...
/:Call Girls In Jaypee Siddharth - 5 Star Hotel New Delhi ➥9990211544 Top Esc...
 
Russian Faridabad Call Girls(Badarpur) : ☎ 8168257667, @4999
Russian Faridabad Call Girls(Badarpur) : ☎ 8168257667, @4999Russian Faridabad Call Girls(Badarpur) : ☎ 8168257667, @4999
Russian Faridabad Call Girls(Badarpur) : ☎ 8168257667, @4999
 
BEST Call Girls In Old Faridabad ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In Old Faridabad ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,BEST Call Girls In Old Faridabad ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
BEST Call Girls In Old Faridabad ✨ 9773824855 ✨ Escorts Service In Delhi Ncr,
 
Keppel Ltd. 1Q 2024 Business Update Presentation Slides
Keppel Ltd. 1Q 2024 Business Update  Presentation SlidesKeppel Ltd. 1Q 2024 Business Update  Presentation Slides
Keppel Ltd. 1Q 2024 Business Update Presentation Slides
 
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
 
VIP Call Girls Pune Kirti 8617697112 Independent Escort Service Pune
VIP Call Girls Pune Kirti 8617697112 Independent Escort Service PuneVIP Call Girls Pune Kirti 8617697112 Independent Escort Service Pune
VIP Call Girls Pune Kirti 8617697112 Independent Escort Service Pune
 
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
 
Call Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for SuccessSales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
 
Best Practices for Implementing an External Recruiting Partnership
Best Practices for Implementing an External Recruiting PartnershipBest Practices for Implementing an External Recruiting Partnership
Best Practices for Implementing an External Recruiting Partnership
 
Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.
Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.
Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.
 
Regression analysis: Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression
Regression analysis:  Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear RegressionRegression analysis:  Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression
Regression analysis: Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression
 
Vip Female Escorts Noida 9711199171 Greater Noida Escorts Service
Vip Female Escorts Noida 9711199171 Greater Noida Escorts ServiceVip Female Escorts Noida 9711199171 Greater Noida Escorts Service
Vip Female Escorts Noida 9711199171 Greater Noida Escorts Service
 
M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.
M.C Lodges --  Guest House in Jhang.M.C Lodges --  Guest House in Jhang.
M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.
 

Trading personality

  • 1. Essay on Trading Personality: Individual Trading Behaviour and its Recognition, Trading „Fingerprint” Comments are Welcome! essays@drhegyesi.com lajos@drhegyesi.com lajos.hegyesi@t-online.hu this version: January 4, 2016 Please do not cite or distribute.
  • 2. 1. I attempt to study the properties of a „simplified” (which is incredibly complex in reality) theoretical loop from financial market to actors/traders and back to the financial market. 2. I predict and hypothesize that every actor/trader has Unique Trading Identity and therefore Individual Trading Behaviour in the real-time interaction with the financial market. This behaviour, and emotional state (somatic marker) are mapped and manifest it in these real-time (Time Stamped) trading patterns flows. This Individual Trading Behaviour can be formalized and recognized as Trading „Fingerprint” (Trading Stamp). 3. My assumption is that this Individual Trading Behavior is an integrative paradigm, consisting of personal (e.g., personality traits, risk intelligence, financial background, biological markers...), contextual variables (stocks/equity, bonds, forex, derivatives, physical assets…) and emotional management (e.g. euphoria-panic, greed and fear) as well. Bechara and Damasio (2004) have presented that emotions are important for rational decision making. Decision making requires emotion related signals, somatic markers. All emotions can be seen as linear combination of two neurophysiology dimensions valence and arousal (Colibazzi et al., 2010). 4. Common experience suggests what Experimental Economics and Behavioural Trading confirms, that Traders do not decide identically when faced with the same options, even when the circumstances of decisions with all relevant respects seem to remain the same. The core of my argument is that Traders combine/aggregate their Subjective Probability Distribution of Random Variables: as Trading Personality, risk level, types of markets , emotional states, motivations, with their preferences (Self and Other Regarding), to choose the „optimal” utility alternative (Subjective Expected Utility) „in the mind” in that dedicated decision.
  • 3. Therefore an aggregate trading decision is a Subjective Probability Event representing Trader’s Trading Personality in that dedicated moment. The set of this dedicated trading decisions is the Trader’s Trading Fingerprint. 5. The Three Dimensional Trading „Fingerprint” Model is shown in Figure 1.,2., and 3. This model describes the interrelations among: - Financial Market Events ( Stimuli ), - Individual Trading Behaviour (Buy/Sell/Hold) and, - Emotions, Emotional Management, Gut feelings/reactions, behind simultaneously. 6. The financial system in this „simplified” model focus solely the process of individual decision making (e.g., manual trading), without any computerized assistance. 7. Financial patterns proposed to analyze, are the patterns of „Pattern Day Traders”, making many rapid buy and sell transactions in the same trading day, hoping to make small but consistent profit.
  • 4. Individual Trading Behaviour Pattern Factor Analysis, Pattern Recognition, Regression Analyses, Trading „Fingerprint„ Generation Financial Market / Stock Exchange Financial Behavioural Biases PPPersonality Traits Financial Personality Traits Financial Background Biological Markers Mean Resting Heart Rate Real-Time Market Pattern Figure 1. Individual Trading Behaviour and its characteristic elements. EMOTIONS Emotion regulation Monitoring Emotions/Individual Somatic Markers Patterns of Somatic Markers Stimulus event Arousal Valence Stimulus event Risk Type Compass
  • 5. Stocks/equity, bonds, forex, derivatives and physical assets Stimulus Event Market Pattern Market Price Behavior/ Reactions Emotions Psychosomatic Marker Buy/Sell/Hold Buy/Sell/Hold Three Dimensional Trading „Fingerprint” Figure 2. Three Dimensional Trading „Fingerprint” Model Describes the Relations Among Stimulus Event (Market Price Pattern), Emotion (Somatic Marker Pattern) and Individual Trading Behavior (Buy/Sell/Hold Pattern) Simultaneously. Emotion Regulation t3 t1 t2 Direct pathway (fast) D.Kahneman Indirect pathway (slow) D. Kahneman Financial Market
  • 6. Stimulus Event, Market Price Behavior Sell Behavior Buy Emotion, Psychosomatic Marker Dimensions of Trading „Fingerprint”: Stimulus Event, Emotion and Behaviour Figure 3. Hold Up DownGreed Fear
  • 7. Ad. Financial Behavioural Biases : Hens and Bachmann: overconfidence, loss aversion, disposition effect, herding,… Ad. Personality Traits: Big Five: openness to experience, consciousness, extroversion, agreeableness, neuroticism Ad. Financial Personality Traits: The big spender, the futurist, the newbie, the experienced, the avoider Ad. Financial Background: Age, wealth, marital status, financial literacy, profession, income Ad. Biological Markers: Left hand: 2D,4D; Right hand: 2D,4D ; Facial masculinity, (testosterone, cortisol) Ad. Mean Resting Heart Rate : Lower Mean Resting Heart Rate (MRHR) is associated with lower ratings of Arousal and Riskier Behavior, Faster Responses, Higher Impulsivity (Barbara Schmidt et al., 2014). MRHR can be considered as Personality Trait (Barbara Schmidt et al., 2014) Ad. Individual Somatic Markers: Heart Rate Variability (HRV), Skin Conductance Responses (SCR), Pupil Dilation, Eye Tracking, Body Movement, Cutaneous Electrogastography…, Ad. Risk Type Compass : Risk Type Compass (Psychological Consultancy Ltd) is an instrument that assesses the different ways in which individuals perceive risk. An individual’s Risk Type will give an indication of how an individual perceives risk, how much uncertainty they can cope with, and how they will react when unexpected events or outcomes occur. There are Eight Risk Types: Prudent, Wary, Intense, Excitable, Carefree, Adventurous, Composed, Deliberate.
  • 8. The Model is an Approach to Advance our Understanding of : - The Nature of Emotions/Emotional Management vs. Trading Behaviours, - Trading Behaviour and Dealing with Uncertainty, - Background of Highly Successful Traders and Emotional Personality/Personality Traits, - Behavioural and Emotional Analysis of Losers vs. Winners in the Financial Markets - Rational/Irrational Attitudes of Traders, - Nature of High Frequency (noise/impulse) Trading, - Mean Resting Heart Rate and Trading Personality Trait, - Mean Resting Heart Rate and Riskier Trading Behaviour. Lajos Hegyesi Ph.D.,( in Telecommunications )