The economic outlook remains lackluster with moderate growth expected in the near term and the risk of renewed recession depending on factors like gas prices, developments in Europe, and government policies. Recessions caused by financial crises are more severe and prolonged than typical downturns. While recent economic data is consistent with moderate growth, consumer spending has weakened due to higher food and energy costs reducing real income growth. Lower gas prices may provide more consumer spending boost later if sustained. The job market recovery is slow as seen in past recessions, with businesses reluctant to hire without sustained increased demand. The consumer outlook is mixed with spending not falling sharply but real income growth slowing.