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Introduction
                            Outline
                    Some concepts
               Normative approach
                 Positive approach
           Evidence: Latin America
                     Evidence: EU
                         Conclusion




The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension

                         Pierre Pestieau

                     CORE, CREPP and PSE


                     September 23, 2010

                    Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                                Outline
                        Some concepts
                   Normative approach
                     Positive approach
               Evidence: Latin America
                         Evidence: EU
                             Conclusion


Introduction

   Different approaches in developed and developing
   countries:
      Scarcity of public funds
      Importance of informality
      Role of the family as old age support
   Recent interest for minimum pension in LDC (World
   Bank, ILO)

                        Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                                 Outline
                         Some concepts
                    Normative approach
                      Positive approach
                Evidence: Latin America
                          Evidence: EU
                              Conclusion


Outline

      Introduction
      Concepts and taxonomy
      Normative approach
      Positive approach
      Some evidence. LA and EU
          Old age poverty
          Impact and cost of minimum pensions
      Conclusions
                         Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                                 Outline
                         Some concepts
                    Normative approach
                      Positive approach
                Evidence: Latin America
                          Evidence: EU
                              Conclusion


Some concepts

  A pension system includes both private and public
  schemes, particularly when the private schemes are
  mandatory and subsidized.
     Minimum pension:
         means-tested or unconditional
         family based or individualized
      Old age: when does it start?
         clear impact on the cost
         contingent on longevity

                         Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                           Outline
                   Some concepts
              Normative approach
                Positive approach
          Evidence: Latin America
                    Evidence: EU
                        Conclusion




Pluses and minuses of means-testing versus
universality:
   cheaper
   open to disincentives
   affects family arrangement when based on family
   stigma
Pension formula
   p: the level of pension
   y : the level of lifetime earning
   Ey : the mean value of y
   τ : the flat rate of contribution
   α: the contributiveness (Bismarckian) parameter

                   Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                            Outline
                    Some concepts
               Normative approach
                 Positive approach
           Evidence: Latin America
                     Evidence: EU
                         Conclusion




We can write

               p = τ (α y + (1 − α)E y )
Types of pension system:
   Bismarckian: α =1: pension = private saving
   Beveridgean: α = 0
   Means tested: α < 0




                    Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                     Outline
             Some concepts
        Normative approach
          Positive approach
    Evidence: Latin America
              Evidence: EU
                  Conclusion



p


                                             α =1, Bismarckian




                                                α = 0, Beveridgean


     α < 0, Means tested
                                            y

                 Pension systems

     p = max[τ (α y + (1 − α)y ), 0]
             Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                                 Outline
                         Some concepts
                    Normative approach
                      Positive approach
                Evidence: Latin America
                          Evidence: EU
                              Conclusion


Normative approach


      First question: why to focus on old age?
         Ascending altruism weaker than descending altruism
         Issue of responsibility
         No other way to help.
      Second question: why to focus on poverty and
      not inequality?
         Less costly
         Rawlsian concept of justice


                         Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                                 Outline
                         Some concepts
                    Normative approach
                      Positive approach
                Evidence: Latin America
                          Evidence: EU
                              Conclusion


Political economy

      Observation of individual practices can be
      informative.
      Surveys show that voters are more willing to
      help poor in old age than in working age.
      In general public pensions tend to be more
      generous where they are Bismarckian.
      Voting theory vindicates this view: Programs for
      the poor are poor programs.
                         Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                           Outline
                   Some concepts
              Normative approach
                Positive approach
          Evidence: Latin America
                    Evidence: EU
                        Conclusion




Using the parameters τ for generosity and α for
contributiveness (non redistribution), one
theoretically shows that
   a Rawlsian decision maker would choose a positive α
   if τ is chosen by vote
   τ increases with α.




                   Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                                Outline
                        Some concepts
                   Normative approach
                     Positive approach
               Evidence: Latin America
                         Evidence: EU
                             Conclusion


Evidence: Latin America




                        Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                 Outline
         Some concepts
    Normative approach
      Positive approach
Evidence: Latin America
          Evidence: EU
              Conclusion




         Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                 Outline
         Some concepts
    Normative approach
      Positive approach
Evidence: Latin America
          Evidence: EU
              Conclusion




         Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                 Outline
         Some concepts
    Normative approach
      Positive approach
Evidence: Latin America
          Evidence: EU
              Conclusion




         Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                 Outline
         Some concepts
    Normative approach
      Positive approach
Evidence: Latin America
          Evidence: EU
              Conclusion




         Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                 Outline
         Some concepts
    Normative approach
      Positive approach
Evidence: Latin America
          Evidence: EU
              Conclusion




         Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                                       Outline
                               Some concepts
                          Normative approach
                            Positive approach
                      Evidence: Latin America
                                Evidence: EU
                                    Conclusion


Evidence: EU




   Poverty rates for the elderly population, before and after the universal
   pensions

                               Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                                 Outline
                         Some concepts
                    Normative approach
                      Positive approach
                Evidence: Latin America
                          Evidence: EU
                              Conclusion


Disincentive effects of means-testing and HH approach



      Labor supply
      Saving
      Marriage
      HH formation



                         Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                                 Outline
                         Some concepts
                    Normative approach
                      Positive approach
                Evidence: Latin America
                          Evidence: EU
                              Conclusion


Limits of minimum pension at alleviating poverty




      Take up issue (stigmatisation)
      Sharing with non elderly and poor HH members
      Non financial needs (health and care)




                         Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                                  Outline
                          Some concepts
                     Normative approach
                       Positive approach
                 Evidence: Latin America
                           Evidence: EU
                               Conclusion


Cost is a function of



       age at which benefits are awarded
       prevailing longevity
       generosity of benefits
       efficacity of means testing
       fiscal capacity of the country concerned


                          Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
Introduction
                                Outline
                        Some concepts
                   Normative approach
                     Positive approach
               Evidence: Latin America
                         Evidence: EU
                             Conclusion


Conclusion




      Crucial question: should fighting poverty in old
      age be a priority?
      Other question: means test or universal scheme?




                        Pierre Pestieau   The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension

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The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension

  • 1. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension Pierre Pestieau CORE, CREPP and PSE September 23, 2010 Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 2. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion Introduction Different approaches in developed and developing countries: Scarcity of public funds Importance of informality Role of the family as old age support Recent interest for minimum pension in LDC (World Bank, ILO) Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 3. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion Outline Introduction Concepts and taxonomy Normative approach Positive approach Some evidence. LA and EU Old age poverty Impact and cost of minimum pensions Conclusions Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 4. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion Some concepts A pension system includes both private and public schemes, particularly when the private schemes are mandatory and subsidized. Minimum pension: means-tested or unconditional family based or individualized Old age: when does it start? clear impact on the cost contingent on longevity Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 5. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion Pluses and minuses of means-testing versus universality: cheaper open to disincentives affects family arrangement when based on family stigma Pension formula p: the level of pension y : the level of lifetime earning Ey : the mean value of y τ : the flat rate of contribution α: the contributiveness (Bismarckian) parameter Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 6. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion We can write p = τ (α y + (1 − α)E y ) Types of pension system: Bismarckian: α =1: pension = private saving Beveridgean: α = 0 Means tested: α < 0 Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 7. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion p α =1, Bismarckian α = 0, Beveridgean α < 0, Means tested y Pension systems p = max[τ (α y + (1 − α)y ), 0] Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 8. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion Normative approach First question: why to focus on old age? Ascending altruism weaker than descending altruism Issue of responsibility No other way to help. Second question: why to focus on poverty and not inequality? Less costly Rawlsian concept of justice Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 9. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion Political economy Observation of individual practices can be informative. Surveys show that voters are more willing to help poor in old age than in working age. In general public pensions tend to be more generous where they are Bismarckian. Voting theory vindicates this view: Programs for the poor are poor programs. Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 10. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion Using the parameters τ for generosity and α for contributiveness (non redistribution), one theoretically shows that a Rawlsian decision maker would choose a positive α if τ is chosen by vote τ increases with α. Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 11. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion Evidence: Latin America Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 12. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 13. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 14. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 15. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 16. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 17. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion Evidence: EU Poverty rates for the elderly population, before and after the universal pensions Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 18. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion Disincentive effects of means-testing and HH approach Labor supply Saving Marriage HH formation Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 19. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion Limits of minimum pension at alleviating poverty Take up issue (stigmatisation) Sharing with non elderly and poor HH members Non financial needs (health and care) Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 20. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion Cost is a function of age at which benefits are awarded prevailing longevity generosity of benefits efficacity of means testing fiscal capacity of the country concerned Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension
  • 21. Introduction Outline Some concepts Normative approach Positive approach Evidence: Latin America Evidence: EU Conclusion Conclusion Crucial question: should fighting poverty in old age be a priority? Other question: means test or universal scheme? Pierre Pestieau The Case for Universal Minimum Old Age Pension