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Faculty 3, the Department of Economics I
Course: Bachelor of International Business


                                B27: Financial Markets, Institutions and Investment
                                Winter Semester 2010/11




 The Back-door Nationalisation of Commercial Banks:
Is It a Good Solution? Case Study of Northern Rock plc




Written by:          Juliane Krüger
                     Kristin Salzwedel
                     Hanna Tresselt




Berlin, 03.12.2010
CONTENT


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ......................................................................................................... 3

1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................ 4

2 The recent financial crisis ......................................................................................................... 6

3 The UK government’s intervention in Northern Rock’s crisis .............................................. 8

       3.1 Some background facts and status quo before the intervention............................ 9

       3.2 Evaluation of intervention possibilities .............................................................. 11

4 Nationalisation ......................................................................................................................... 13

       4.1 Disadvantages of nationalisation ........................................................................ 14

       4.2 Advantages of nationalisation ............................................................................. 15

5 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................... 17

BIBLIOGRAPHY ...................................................................................................................... 20

ANNEX....................................................................................................................................... 26
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY


The recent financial crisis (2007-2009) clearly showed the limitations and drawbacks of

today’s financial sector and various depository institutions and highlighted the need of

restructuring them or redefining their roles. Interestingly, the word ‘nationalisation’ re-

appeared in world economic and political discussions with a number of governments taking

their key banks into public ownership. Thus, this paper aims at evaluating the effectiveness

and efficiency of the new strategic tool by comparing it to the other resolution possibilities

while it focuses on the actions taken by the British state to deal with Northern Rock plc.

The bank encountered problems mainly because of its balance sheet composition and high

leverage, which intensified its vulnerability to a decrease in the economy’s monetary base

and made the government intervention a necessity once the bank run began. The British

state had 5 options to solve the problem: the bank’s liquidation; rising new shareholder

capital; takeover by another financial institution; bail-out; and nationalisation. The paper

argues that the state control is the best possible solution because it has fewer drawbacks

compared to the other alternatives. Moreover, it has the best value in monetary terms,

presents an opportunity for reducing the ‘moral hazard’ problem and enables the state to

overlook the bank’s risk-taking practices and make sure that its fiduciary duty is fulfilled.

It is rather difficult to evaluate Northern Rock’s present performance compared to that

before nationalisation because of information asymmetry and because the bank has

recently been split into two parts. But data found in journals and online do suggest that

coordination between supervision and monetary control has turned out to be successful

and resulted in a profitable growth. However, the survey could be further enhanced by

evaluating an alternative of publicly managing commercial banks cost-effectively and

efficiently on a long-term basis rather than privatising them back as soon as possible.


                                             ~3~
1 Introduction


It goes without saying that the recent financial crisis has been the worst and the most

significant one since the Great Depression of the 1930s. It is noticeable not only for its

mere scope but also for its striking feature: immense liquidity problems within the

interbank market. As a matter of fact, some economists argue that the crisis of 2007-2009

defined the latest period in the development of modern financial markets as a result of

their immoderate deregulation since the 1970s – 1980s.1 In fact, many recent global crises

have shown a tendency of primarily affecting and immensely weakening the financial

sector of a country, highlighting the reality of today’s unstable and fragile financial

markets.2 In such unstable market situations, the state’s crucial task and the only option is

to intervene in order to protect the country’s economic system on a broader level.


It is interesting, therefore, to observe the following development: the word ‘nationalisation’,

which has been avoided for a long time, has now re-appeared in economic discussions and

has started to play an important role in the political discourse all over the world. Although

the mainstream viewpoint is still the same, namely that nationalisation in general, and that of

commercial banks in particular, should be avoided as an applied policy option whenever

possible, 3 there have been an immense number of concrete and effective back-door

nationalisation cases of key depository institutions all over the globe.


Thus, the focus of this research is on the legitimacy of back-door nationalisation of

commercial banks when they face financial difficulties as illustrated by the example of

1
  See Crotty (2009), pp. 563-564.
2
  See Cho (2010), pp. 5-6.
3
  See Kitromilides (2010), p. 71.

                                             ~4~
Northern Rock plc, an English bank, one of the first forerunners that indicated the existence

of failures connected with a new business model and modern financial market

developments. The paper examines the main actions taken by the British government and

dwells on the pluses and drawbacks of each one. Furthermore, it considers the option of

back-door nationalisation with the aim to answer the question of whether this is a good

solution and a new effective policy tool that helps to tackle liquidity and regulation problems

in the most efficient and effective way. To deal with the above-mentioned problems and to

answer the above-coined questions the paper draws on various pieces of scientific literature

such as books and journals as well as scholarly, newspaper and journal articles found online.


The first chapter introduces the background facts concerning the recent financial crisis

that underlined the necessity to re-think and re-evaluate all the existing policies when

tackling a global financial calamity. In the second chapter the main weaknesses of

Northern Rock’s business model are diagnosed and consequently the key financial

figures and structures are presented. It further proceeds with discussing and evaluating

the main possibilities the British government had at hand and took advantage of in order

to help the bank in its financial difficulties. The focus of the final chapter is on the

practical solution, namely nationalisation, which occurred in February 2008. This part

discusses the main disadvantages as well as perceived benefits of nationalisation and

tries to assess whether this was the best solution to the problem. Finally, some

conclusions are made and some possibilities for future research are appointed.




                                            ~5~
2 The recent financial crisis


In the past, various financial meltdowns took place in many countries all over the world

including Russia, Korea, Sweden, Great Britain, Japan and the United States. Though

each financial crisis featured own characteristics, they all showed similarities to one

another as they were generally caused by “factors such as an overshooting of markets,

excessive leveraging of debt, credit booms, miscalculations of risk, […] rapid outflows

of capital from a country, unsustainable macroeconomic policies, off-balance sheet

operations by banks or inexperience with new financial instruments”.4


The recent financial crisis that resulted into severe market instabilities is not an exception

to the rule. Although it was originated by various developments, a new financial

instrument, namely, securitisation of assets, particularly (subprime) mortgage debt, into

collateralised debt obligations as response to the boom in housing market in 2004-2006 is

one of the main reasons that caused it.5 The new tool enabled banks to convert loans into

sellable assets and off-load risky loans onto others as well as promised high profits to the

participants.6 Thus, many financial intermediaries had the urge to act without carefully

evaluating the credit risk. Initially, this system created huge profits until home values

deteriorated and mortgage defaults started, consequently bringing down mortgage-backed

securities. Hence, financial institutions that owned these risky assets were no longer able

to sell them to other investors and made enormous losses.7 With an increasing default risk,

incurred losses, existing information asymmetry and growing market instability there were

4
  Nanto (2009), pp. 30-31.
5
  See loc. cit., pp. 3-4.
6
  See Shah (2008), http://www.globalissues.org/article/768/global-financial-crisis. Accessed 14.11.2010.
7
  See Sinn (2010), pp. 35-37; Madura (2010), pp. 21-22.

                                                  ~6~
almost no investors ready to put in new resources in financial institutions and the flow of

funds in the financial markets shrank.8 Finally, the overall financial system destabilised,

which had unprecedented consequences around the world.


Although the recent financial crisis showed an incipient character already in the second

half of 2007, it became particularly vivid in 2008-2009. The world was confronted with

an economic recession that negatively affected various businesses, increased the rates of

unemployment and reduced the states’ revenues due to automatic stabilisers. 9 Stock

markets crashed to unforeseen low values globally, many banks made severe losses and

several large financial institutions went bust or were bought out. 10 Even banks that

seemed to be stable soon faced liquidity problems. Consequently, national states needed

to develop rescue packages and government guarantees in order to support their

economic systems and guard them against deteriorating even further.


In fact, central banks of several countries reduced interest rates in order to stimulate the

national economies. However, this turned out to be insufficient. Furthermore, it was clear

that various weaknesses and limitations showed by the financial system during the crisis

needed to be defined and corrected. Moreover, national governments wanted to control

both potential debts that financial intermediaries would continue to attract as well as their

future investments conducted with the fresh capital received from the state.11


Thus, nationalisation of banking industry institutions became a popular tool to do that. The

list of (part-) nationalisation cases of commercial banks during the recent financial crisis


8
  See Madura (2010), pp. 21-22.
9
  See Sinn (2010), pp. 16-18.
10
   See Shah (2008), http://www.globalissues.org/article/768/global-financial-crisis. Accessed 14.11.2010.
11
   See Cho (2010), pp. 15-17.

                                                  ~7~
ranges from Belgium and the Netherlands (Fortis) to Latvia (Parex Bank), from the USA

(Citigroup) to Iceland (Landsbanki, Glitnir, etc.), from Germany (Commerzbank) to the

UK (Northern Rock, Royal Bank of Scotland, etc.) and so on. 12 All these depository

institutions were nationalised by their governments mainly for one reason: to stop

deterioration and a possible collapse of a country’s financial system by preventing these

banks from ‘infecting’ other institutions. To evaluate the effectiveness of the new tool the

paper will focus on one particular case – Northern Rock, which probably became the first

and one of the most striking European high-profile victims of the recent financial crisis.



3 The UK government’s intervention in Northern Rock’s crisis


In the autumn of 2007 TV and newspaper audience all over the globe was astonished to

see the following images: unending lines of depositors in front of the local offices of one

of the UK banks. People were queuing for hours in order to withdraw their savings from

the UK-based depository institution called Northern Rock. 13 Thus, the aim of this

chapter is to scrutinise the developments that had led to the above-described situation in

order to understand the event itself and the need for the government intervention that

followed in 2007-2008. It further proceeds with presenting all intervention alternatives

in a comparative perspective evaluating advantages and disadvantages of each one.




12
  See Sinn (2010), “Appendix: Chronology of the Financial Crisis”.
13
  It is even more remarkable if one takes into account that the foregoing run on a bank in the UK
happened about one and a half centuries ago, namely in 1866 when the London bank Overend Gurney
defeated its own ends during the 1860s boom (see Shin (2009), p. 101).

                                                ~8~
3.1 Some background facts and status quo before the intervention



The origin of Northern Rock Building Society can be traced back to July 1965 when the

Northern Counties Permanent Building Society amalgamated with the Rock Building

Society. The newly established organisation further merged with more than fifty other

regional building societies before it went public in 1997. 14 Despite Northern Rock’s

comparatively insignificant roots, it had very ambitious goals. During the nine years that

preceded the crisis the bank’s total assets increased by ca. 552% 15, which correlates to a

steady annual expansion of approximately 23.2%. By June 2007, Northern Rock was

ranked the fifth-biggest UK bank in terms of its mortgage assets.16


For the purpose of sustaining such a rapid rise in the bank’s assets, the organisation had

to alter the system of its dept as well as the ratio of the former to the latter. These

arguably turned out to be the main reasons why Northern Rock faced liquidity problems

in 2007. Although there are many causes that contributed to the difficulties experienced

by the bank, one might argue that the composition of its balance sheet and the related

high leverage were the ones that led to a considerable cash outflow in 2007 (see

Appendix 1) and a consequent disaster. To prove the legitimacy of this argument the

following should be taken into account.


First of all, Northern Rock heavily relied on the non-retail sector for its resources and mainly

dealt with mortgages and loans, which constituted ca. 77% of the bank’s total assets.17

Parallel to this considerable ratio of mortgage funds, the bank gradually reduced its

14
   See Rafferty (2008), p. 3.
15
   From £17.4 billion in 1998 to £113.5 billion in June 2007 (see Shin (2009), p. 103).
16
   See loc. cit., pp. 103-104.
17
   See Ndong / Scialom (2008), p. 2.

                                                   ~9~
percentage of household deposits. The latter decreased approximately threefold from ca. 60

in 1997 to about 21 percent in 2007. 18 This mismatch between the sums provided for

borrowers and the amounts brought in by savers was compensated by different types of

nonretail financing facilities, for example, comparatively illiquid covered bonds and

securitised notes as well as liquid interbank deposits (see Appendix 2). The organisation’s

business model of lending on a long-term basis and borrowing short led to the fact that

Northern Rock had to constantly roll over its debt19 and was very vulnerable to liquidity

problems in the money market. Indeed, the bank experienced immediate difficulties when

the money market started to stagnate in 2007 as a result of the beginning financial crisis.20


Secondly, Northern Rock had a very high degree of leverage. Leverage is defined as

“the amount of debt used to finance a firm’s assets”21 or “the ratio of total assets to

equity” 22 . From the very beginning of its public existence, Northern Rock observed

continuous growth in its leverage. In fact, the bank’s common equity gearing was pretty

high in June 2007, standing at 58.2%. It soared even higher to 86.5% by December 2007

due to capital losses 23 (see Appendix 3). This feature further intensified the bank’s

vulnerability to a decrease in the monetary base of the overall financial system and made

the government intervention a necessity once the bank run began.




18
   See Cociuba (2009), http://www.dallasfed.org/research/eclett/2009/el0903.html. Accessed 08.11.2010.
19
   This was not always properly done. For example, in December 2005 the bank had plenty of outstanding
securitized notes. In fact, they accounted for £31.1 billion. It only managed to withdraw about 23% of the
whole sum (namely £7.12 billion) during the following year (see Shin (2009), pp. 107-108).
20
   See loc. cit., pp. 104-107.
21
   Investopedia.com (2010), http://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/leverage.asp. Accessed 07.11.2010.
22
   Cociuba (2009), http://www.dallasfed.org/research/eclett/2009/el0903.html. Accessed 08.11.2010.
23
   Compare: even US investment banks usually have leverage of 25-30 percent (see loc. cit.).

                                                 ~ 10 ~
3.2 Evaluation of intervention possibilities



The UK government had five options for solving the difficulties faced by Northern

Rock. These were: the bank’s liquidation; rising new shareholder capital; takeover by

another financial institution; bail-out; and, finally, nationalisation. Interestingly enough

the British government tried out each alternative in turn apart from the first one.


There is a particular difficulty in liquidating a faulty commercial bank, especially when it

has high financial value as Northern Rock did. Financial intermediaries in general and

commercial banks in particular perform a crucial role of connecting surplus and deficit

units and advancing the flow of funds from the former to the latter. 24 That is why their

role of ‘oiling the economy’ and keeping its motor going is crucial in every single market

and cannot be easily ignored. Moreover, banks and other financial intermediaries are so

closely interrelated that a failure in one link might break the whole chain, i.e. the entire

national system might destabilise or collapse.25 This means that failing a bank is not the

best solution and is only appropriate for small and insignificant financial institutions.

Consequently, this alternative was out of question in the case of Northern Rock.


Seeing the danger of seizing economy most national governments will rarely apply the

previous tool in reality. They would rather advise a bank to attract new shareholder

capital or facilitate its takeover by another depository institution. The arguments in

favour of these alternatives are that a suffering bank will be saved and will stay in the

private sector of economy. The mainstream perceives this as a better option because the

private sector is viewed as being more innovative, entrepreneurial, and more effectively
24
     See Madura (2010), p. 461.
25
     See Lyons (2009), pp. 4-5.

                                           ~ 11 ~
and efficiently meeting rapid market challenges than the public one. 26 The main

disadvantage of the options is that they are mostly available in prospering economic

situations. Moreover, a takeover might lead to monopolistic tendencies in the financial

sphere. In practice, Northern Rock did its best to raise new shareholder capital.

Furthermore, the Financial Services Authority and the Bank of England tried to facilitate

an acquisition by a different commercial bank. Nevertheless, the both actions brought

about no results mostly because of the spreading financial crisis but also due to the

hesitation of the UK financial authorities to invest public money into the matter.27


The next decision tried out by the British government was to provide the state’s

guarantee and a bailout. The latter presupposed the money injection into the failing

bank. Bailout, however, is a very controversial issue, resembling “trying to put out a fire

by pouring gasoline on it”28. Firstly, misjudgement of the necessary monetary amount

could ultimately worsen the whole situation by triggering high inflation. Secondly,

giving banks money whenever they find themselves in crises contains the danger of

‘moral hazard’. Indeed, in most industries the threat of insolvency and collapse controls

reckless conduct and unnecessary risk-taking by individuals. Commercial banks,

however, are aware that a bankruptcy of one institution might bring the whole system

down and totally rely on receiving the state funds in problematic situations. This

understanding may promote their unnecessary risk-taking. 29 Finally, there is a rather

lose-lose situation for taxpayers: on the one hand, the government uses tax revenues to

cover the losses of a defective bank, on the other hand, when the same bank makes a

26
   See Kitromilides (2010), p. 71.
27
   See Shin (2009), p. 102.
28
   Biggs (2009), www.newsweek.com/id/186976. Accessed 16.11.2010.
29
   See Kitromilides (2010), p. 72.

                                             ~ 12 ~
profit later on, the money is redistributed within the institution, and the taxpayers are left

out. Hence, it is not surprising that the UK government was rather reluctant in providing

the bailout money. And even when they were ready to invest the required sum, it was

not enough to solve Northern Rock’s problems. Thus, the only left alternative for the

British government was to nationalise the faulty bank.



4 Nationalisation



The British government nationalised Northern Rock on the 22nd of February 2008. 30

Nationalisation is defined as the act of transferring ownership in distinct segments of

economy from private branches of business to the country’s public area.31 Consequently,

the government’s nationalisation of Northern Rock presupposed that the state guaranteed

support by providing the necessary monetary base and re-arranging control and

supervision regulations. This arguably ensured that the trust in the national fiscal system

did not decrease further and started to recover with commercial banks increasing their

lending to each other and being able to maintain their daily activities.32 While considering

positive externalities of nationalisation, it is still worth evaluating its advantages against its

disadvantages. Thus, this chapter will scrutinise the main benefits and drawbacks of

nationalisation in general and the ones vivid in Northern Rock’s case in particular.




30
   See BBC (2009), http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_depth/business/2008/northern_rock/default.stm.
Accessed 16.11.2010.
31
   See Longman Dictionary of Contemporary English (1995).
32
   See Foley (2008), http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/wall-street-humiliated-by-
nationalisation-of-banks-961397.html. Accessed 16.11.2010.

                                               ~ 13 ~
4.1 Disadvantages of nationalisation



The mainstream viewpoint is that nationalisation in general and that of commercial

banks in particular should be avoided. The negative attitude is rooted in several common

academic and practical opinions, namely, that the public sector is very red-tape and

time-consuming as well as governed by bureaucracy and excessive political limitations.

These features disable a publicly owned institution to promptly meet market challenges

and opportunities, which results into its inefficiency. Furthermore, competition between

employees and, therefore, most of their motivation might dry up. If one takes into

account that exactly these surroundings of competitive environment cause efficiency and

profitability in the banking sector, it becomes clear why nationalisation can result in

negative effects on the overall profit and economic proliferation.33


A further weakness of nationalisation is a potential authority misuse by the government

when it has a commercial bank in its ownership. The situation of power may enable the

state to redefine the banking system to their own advantage in order to improve their

political well-being and stability. This might lead to corruption and fraud within the

financial sector and will have a negative effect on the overall economy.


Moreover, nationalisation presupposes that the state invests huge sums of public money

into the financial system, which might expand their debt and negatively affect the value

and the exchange rates of the country’s currency. 34 In summary, time-consuming

bureaucracy, inefficiency, low motivation, potential misuse of authority as well as the


33
  This is considered to be general knowledge.
34
  See Free Online Articles Directory (2009), http://www.articlesbase.com/banking-articles/disadvantages-
of-bank-nationalizaton-811339.html. Accessed 25.10.2010.

                                                ~ 14 ~
country’s debt expansion and the depreciation of the domestic currency are the main

arguments against nationalisation of commercial banks.


As a matter of fact, the nationalisation of Northern Rock also brought about some negative

developments. For instance, the UK government lacked the internal knowledge and

expertise in the matter of running a financial institution and gave a go-ahead to Northern

Rock’s original business plan in the spring of 2008 without properly assessing it.

Unfortunately, the plan turned out to be too optimistic and incurred more losses than it

was expected.35 Furthermore, the government’s investment of about £100 billion into the

bank expanded the British Debt from 38 percent to approximately 45 percent of the

country’s Gross Domestic Product.36 Moreover, the British currency did fall down after

the government took Northern Rock into the public ownership37 (see Appendix 4).



4.2 Advantages of nationalisation



Although unfavourable attitudes concerning nationalisation do exist and some negative

developments were triggered by the nationalisation of Northern Rock, it is worth

considering advantages of the tool before a conclusion can be drawn. Hence, the following

sub-chapter will provide a short overview of the main benefits of state ownership.

Firstly, nationalisation presents an opportunity for reducing the ‘moral hazard’ problem.

By creating an inside system that is able to regulate and supervise the government can


35
   See House of Commons: Committee of Public Accounts (2009), p. 14.
36
   See Porter / Conway (2008),
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/2784076/Nation-hit-with-100bn-
Northern-Rock-debts.html. Accessed 17.11.2010.
37
   See Free Online Articles Directory (2009), http://www.articlesbase.com/banking-articles/disadvantages-
of-bank-nationalizaton-811339.html. Accessed 25.10.2010.

                                                 ~ 15 ~
recognise, discourage or limit unnecessary risk-taking before it is too late and the

consequences are too acute. Although nationalised depository institutions can also abuse

risk-taking practices and lead to a system failure, the state can arguably stop such acts

more successfully and at an earlier stage than any other existing regulation system.38


Secondly, the recent financial crisis was brought about by sheer greed and competitiveness

within the banking sector. If one takes into account that the present system is the one

where financial institutions can mismanage billions of pounds saved by retailers,

nationalisation is a justifiable tool.39 In fact, the government has more means to make sure

that fiduciary duty overweighs profit-seeking tendencies within the financial sector and

can force depository institutions to lend in the best interest of the people who enable the

mere existence of these commercial banks by depositing their savings.


Finally, all other alternatives of state intervention discussed above lose in comparison with

nationalisation as they arguably have many more drawbacks than the state control itself.

Hence, it is very difficult not to agree with the Committee of Public Accounts of the House

of Commons that stated in The Nationalisation of Northern Rock report: “The Treasury’s

decision to nationalise Northern Rock in February 2008 was based on a comprehensive

assessment of the options available to it. This analysis suggested that public ownership

represented the best alternative in terms of value for money”.40 Moreover, nationalisation is

sometimes the only available opportunity to save the failing banking system in crises.41

Indeed, this argument can be validated by Northern Rock’s case as this option was the only

38
   See Kitromilides (2010), pp. 72-73.
39
   See Business spotlight (2008), http://www.business-spotlight.de/news/head-to-head/should-the-
government-nationalize-all-banks. Accessed 18.10.2010.
40
   House of Commons: Committee of Public Accounts (2009), p.5.
41
   See the Telegraph (2008), http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/telegraph-
view/3562752/Nationalisation-of-banks-should-be-strictly-temporary.html. Accessed 16.11.2010.

                                                ~ 16 ~
one left for the British government to bring the faulty bank back into the system as all other

means had already been unsuccessfully applied before.



5 Conclusion


Any government’s principal task during phases of financial suffering is to maintain the

stability of the national economic infrastructure, which has to cover diverse segments of

its fiscal system. The executive’s job is to address weaknesses and limitations of various

links and to assist in restructuring them or redefining their roles. One of the most

efficient and effective tools in terms of this is arguably back-door nationalisation.

Though this tool is often rejected as a resolution strategy, various cases in numerous

countries show that state intervention on a broad scale in times of crises can be very

successful both for a company or institution (as it is able to regain its economic strength

and will be rescued from insolvency) as well as for most of its employees and customers

(although the effect on investors might differ from case to case).


This paper has discussed the role of the government intervention in a commercial sector in

crisis situations by focusing mainly on the actions taken by the UK government in

connection with Northern Rock. As one can see from the above scrutiny, the British state

had five alternatives for solving the difficulties faced by the bank, but only nationalisation

turned out to be an applicable, most effective and efficient one in terms of money.


However, one should not overestimate the success of the decision: some negative

developments were indeed brought about by the government’s action and there were

some mistakes made at the beginning due to the lack of knowledge and expertise inside

                                           ~ 17 ~
the cabinet. Moreover, the UK government arguably waited for longer than desired

before nationalising the bank. They preferred to try out all other options first and to see

the entire scope of the crisis rather than acting promptly and letting the bank continue its

regular operations earlier and with less losses.


Nevertheless, the comparative analysis presented above proves that a back-door

nationalisation of the commercial bank was the best solution at hand as other options would

have either done more harm or would have not solved the root of the problem. Northern

Rock is a vivid example that publicly-run commercial institutions are perceived as more

sound, trustworthy and stable than privately-owned ones because they are legally protected,

controlled and supervised by the government. Indeed, after Northern Rock’s nationalisation

customers’ confidence in the bank’s safety and reliability grew and more retailers wanted to

have accounts with it.42 Still this increase in trust should not be taken for granted and the UK

government has to build up more internal expertise and know-how in order to run the bank

effectively meeting the challenges and opportunities of the globalising financial market.


It is rather difficult to evaluate the success of Northern Rock’s today’s performance

compared to the times before nationalisation, partly because of information asymmetry but

also because the bank has recently been split into two parts: Northern Rock plc and Northern

Rock (Asset Management) plc – in order to better safeguard the future operations. 43

However, according to the company’s announcements and experts’ evaluations the both

parts keep on gradually developing and improving their performance and growth.44 The ‘bad



42
   See Absolute Astronomy, http://www.absoluteastronomy.com/topics/Northern_Rock. Accessed
02.12.2010.
43
   See loc. cit..
44
   See BBC (2010), http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-10848374. Accessed 28.11.2010.

                                             ~ 18 ~
bank’ even reported a return to profit in the previous half-year. 45 This suggests that

coordination between supervision and monetary control in the process of nationalisation

turned out to be successful and has resulted in a profitable growth.


Nevertheless, seeing the public’s negative attitude towards nationalisation, governments all

over the world rather opt for taking a failing institution into temporary public ownership and

privatising it back as soon as possible. Indeed, the UK government hopes to re-privatise the

two parts of Northern Rock in the upcoming years and to at least get repaid outstanding

loans.46 However, the main disadvantage of such an approach is that it enables commercial

institutions, once privatised, to fall back into the old patterns of extremely risk-taking and

profit-making practices, which might trigger new financial crises in no time.47


In fact, there exists another possibility, namely, to consider a more drastic modification

of a commercial sector where bank nationalisation will be a more permanent and long-

term characteristic. As can be seen in several countries in the world, such a policy can be

successful and can benefit both the state and the public. Although this research question

is beyond the scope of this paper, an attractive possibility for a future scrutiny will be to

evaluate an alternative of commercial depository institutions being managed cost-

effectively and efficiently within the framework of long-term government ownership.




45
   “Pre-tax profit came in at £349.7m for the first six months of the year” (loc. cit.).
46
   See loc. cit..
47
   See Business spotlight (2008), http://www.business-spotlight.de/news/head-to-head/should-the-
government-nationalize-all-banks. Accessed 16.11.2010.

                                                ~ 19 ~
BIBLIOGRAPHY




Books


   1. House of Commons: Committee of Public Accounts (2009), The Nationalisation

        of Northern Rock (thirty-first report of session 2008-09, report, together with

        formal minutes, oral and written evidence). The Stationery Office: GB. – 33 pp.

   2. Longman Dictionary of Contemporary English, 3rd Edition (1995). Longman

        Dictionaries: Spain. – 1668 pp.

   3. Madura, J. (2010), Financial Institutions and Markets, 9th International Edition.

        Cengage South-Western: Australia, etc. – 250 pp.

   4. Sinn H.-W. (2010), Casino Capitalism: How the Financial Crisis Came about

        and What Needs to Be Done Now. Oxford University Press: GB. – 304 pp.

   5. Walters, B. (2008), The Fall of Northern Rock: An Insider's Story of Britain's

        Biggest Banking Disaster. Harriman House: GB. – 176 pp.


Journals


   6. Chick, V. (2008), “Could the Crisis at Northern Rock have been Predicted?: An

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                                          ~ 20 ~
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Online Resources


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      accessed 30.11.2010.




                                         ~ 21 ~
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26. Ndong, S. O. / Scialom, L. (2008), “Northern Rock: The Anatomy of a Crisis –

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                                     ~ 23 ~
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   accessed 02.12.2010.

28. Porter, A. / Conway, E. (2008), “Nation hit with £100bn Northern Rock debts”,

   in: The Telegraph [Online], 8 February. Available at:

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32. YahooFinance.com (2010), “GBP/EUR (GBPEUR=X)” [Online], 22 November.

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   Last accessed 24.11.2010.




                                      ~ 24 ~
Videos


   33. BBC News (2008), “Brown defends nationalisation” [Online]. Available at:

         http://news.bbc.co.uk/player/nol/newsid_7250000/newsid_7250900/7250967.stm

         ?bw=nb&mp=rm&asb=1&news=1&bbcws=1. Last accessed 21.11.2010.

   34. BBC News (2008), “What the Rock nationalisation means” [Online]. Available at:

         http://news.bbc.co.uk/player/nol/newsid_7250000/newsid_7250900/7250936.stm?

         bw=nb&mp=rm&asb=1&news=1&bbcws=1. Last accessed 21.11.2010.

   35. Dixon, P. (2008), “Banks nationalisation in credit crunch. Future after huge

         capital injection by governments in exchange for banking shares. Impact on

         wider economy, global economic crisis and future of banking”, on: Youtube.com

         [Online]. Available at: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EY99vvJkqV4. Last

         accessed 25.10.2010.

   36. Youtube.com (2009), “Dan Gross Mythbuster on Bank Nationalization”

         [Online]. Available at: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IRzkCoJl9uM. Last

         accessed 25.10.2010.

   37. Youtube.com (2009), “The Crisis of Credit – by Jonathan Jarvis” [Online].

         Available at: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oosq3TPgHH0. Last accessed

         22.11.2010.




                                          ~ 25 ~
ANNEX


Appendix 1: Consolidated Cash Flow Statement for the year ended 31 December 2007




Source: Northern Rock plc, Annual Report and Accounts 2007 [Online]. Available at:

http://companyinfo.northernrock.co.uk/downloads/2007_annual_report.pdf. Accessed

02.12.2010.

                                       ~ 26 ~
Appendix 2: The bank’s balance sheet and liability structure, June 1998-June 2007




Source: Bank of England (2007), Financial Stability Report, Issue 22 [Online], October

25. Available at http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/fsr/2007/index.htm.

Accessed 07.11.2010.




                                        ~ 27 ~
Appendix 3: Leverage of Northern Rock from June 1998 to December 2007




Source: Cociuba, S. E. (2009), “Seeking Stability: What’s next for banking

regulation?”, in: Economic Letter – Insights from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

[Online], Volume 4, No. 3, April 2009. Available at

http://www.dallasfed.org/research/eclett/2009/el0903.html. Accessed 20.11.2010.




                                        ~ 28 ~
Appendix 4: GBP/EUR (GBPEUR=X)




Source: YahooFinance.com (2010), “GBP/EUR (GBPEUR=X)” [Online], 22 November.

Available at: http://de.finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=GBPEUR=X&t=5y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=.

Accessed 24.11.2010.




                                     ~ 29 ~

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The Back-door Nationalisation of Commercial Banks: Is It a Good Solution? Case Study of Northern Rock plc (by Juliane Krüger; Kristin Salzwedel; Hanna Tresselt)

  • 1. Faculty 3, the Department of Economics I Course: Bachelor of International Business B27: Financial Markets, Institutions and Investment Winter Semester 2010/11 The Back-door Nationalisation of Commercial Banks: Is It a Good Solution? Case Study of Northern Rock plc Written by: Juliane Krüger Kristin Salzwedel Hanna Tresselt Berlin, 03.12.2010
  • 2. CONTENT EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ......................................................................................................... 3 1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................ 4 2 The recent financial crisis ......................................................................................................... 6 3 The UK government’s intervention in Northern Rock’s crisis .............................................. 8 3.1 Some background facts and status quo before the intervention............................ 9 3.2 Evaluation of intervention possibilities .............................................................. 11 4 Nationalisation ......................................................................................................................... 13 4.1 Disadvantages of nationalisation ........................................................................ 14 4.2 Advantages of nationalisation ............................................................................. 15 5 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................... 17 BIBLIOGRAPHY ...................................................................................................................... 20 ANNEX....................................................................................................................................... 26
  • 3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The recent financial crisis (2007-2009) clearly showed the limitations and drawbacks of today’s financial sector and various depository institutions and highlighted the need of restructuring them or redefining their roles. Interestingly, the word ‘nationalisation’ re- appeared in world economic and political discussions with a number of governments taking their key banks into public ownership. Thus, this paper aims at evaluating the effectiveness and efficiency of the new strategic tool by comparing it to the other resolution possibilities while it focuses on the actions taken by the British state to deal with Northern Rock plc. The bank encountered problems mainly because of its balance sheet composition and high leverage, which intensified its vulnerability to a decrease in the economy’s monetary base and made the government intervention a necessity once the bank run began. The British state had 5 options to solve the problem: the bank’s liquidation; rising new shareholder capital; takeover by another financial institution; bail-out; and nationalisation. The paper argues that the state control is the best possible solution because it has fewer drawbacks compared to the other alternatives. Moreover, it has the best value in monetary terms, presents an opportunity for reducing the ‘moral hazard’ problem and enables the state to overlook the bank’s risk-taking practices and make sure that its fiduciary duty is fulfilled. It is rather difficult to evaluate Northern Rock’s present performance compared to that before nationalisation because of information asymmetry and because the bank has recently been split into two parts. But data found in journals and online do suggest that coordination between supervision and monetary control has turned out to be successful and resulted in a profitable growth. However, the survey could be further enhanced by evaluating an alternative of publicly managing commercial banks cost-effectively and efficiently on a long-term basis rather than privatising them back as soon as possible. ~3~
  • 4. 1 Introduction It goes without saying that the recent financial crisis has been the worst and the most significant one since the Great Depression of the 1930s. It is noticeable not only for its mere scope but also for its striking feature: immense liquidity problems within the interbank market. As a matter of fact, some economists argue that the crisis of 2007-2009 defined the latest period in the development of modern financial markets as a result of their immoderate deregulation since the 1970s – 1980s.1 In fact, many recent global crises have shown a tendency of primarily affecting and immensely weakening the financial sector of a country, highlighting the reality of today’s unstable and fragile financial markets.2 In such unstable market situations, the state’s crucial task and the only option is to intervene in order to protect the country’s economic system on a broader level. It is interesting, therefore, to observe the following development: the word ‘nationalisation’, which has been avoided for a long time, has now re-appeared in economic discussions and has started to play an important role in the political discourse all over the world. Although the mainstream viewpoint is still the same, namely that nationalisation in general, and that of commercial banks in particular, should be avoided as an applied policy option whenever possible, 3 there have been an immense number of concrete and effective back-door nationalisation cases of key depository institutions all over the globe. Thus, the focus of this research is on the legitimacy of back-door nationalisation of commercial banks when they face financial difficulties as illustrated by the example of 1 See Crotty (2009), pp. 563-564. 2 See Cho (2010), pp. 5-6. 3 See Kitromilides (2010), p. 71. ~4~
  • 5. Northern Rock plc, an English bank, one of the first forerunners that indicated the existence of failures connected with a new business model and modern financial market developments. The paper examines the main actions taken by the British government and dwells on the pluses and drawbacks of each one. Furthermore, it considers the option of back-door nationalisation with the aim to answer the question of whether this is a good solution and a new effective policy tool that helps to tackle liquidity and regulation problems in the most efficient and effective way. To deal with the above-mentioned problems and to answer the above-coined questions the paper draws on various pieces of scientific literature such as books and journals as well as scholarly, newspaper and journal articles found online. The first chapter introduces the background facts concerning the recent financial crisis that underlined the necessity to re-think and re-evaluate all the existing policies when tackling a global financial calamity. In the second chapter the main weaknesses of Northern Rock’s business model are diagnosed and consequently the key financial figures and structures are presented. It further proceeds with discussing and evaluating the main possibilities the British government had at hand and took advantage of in order to help the bank in its financial difficulties. The focus of the final chapter is on the practical solution, namely nationalisation, which occurred in February 2008. This part discusses the main disadvantages as well as perceived benefits of nationalisation and tries to assess whether this was the best solution to the problem. Finally, some conclusions are made and some possibilities for future research are appointed. ~5~
  • 6. 2 The recent financial crisis In the past, various financial meltdowns took place in many countries all over the world including Russia, Korea, Sweden, Great Britain, Japan and the United States. Though each financial crisis featured own characteristics, they all showed similarities to one another as they were generally caused by “factors such as an overshooting of markets, excessive leveraging of debt, credit booms, miscalculations of risk, […] rapid outflows of capital from a country, unsustainable macroeconomic policies, off-balance sheet operations by banks or inexperience with new financial instruments”.4 The recent financial crisis that resulted into severe market instabilities is not an exception to the rule. Although it was originated by various developments, a new financial instrument, namely, securitisation of assets, particularly (subprime) mortgage debt, into collateralised debt obligations as response to the boom in housing market in 2004-2006 is one of the main reasons that caused it.5 The new tool enabled banks to convert loans into sellable assets and off-load risky loans onto others as well as promised high profits to the participants.6 Thus, many financial intermediaries had the urge to act without carefully evaluating the credit risk. Initially, this system created huge profits until home values deteriorated and mortgage defaults started, consequently bringing down mortgage-backed securities. Hence, financial institutions that owned these risky assets were no longer able to sell them to other investors and made enormous losses.7 With an increasing default risk, incurred losses, existing information asymmetry and growing market instability there were 4 Nanto (2009), pp. 30-31. 5 See loc. cit., pp. 3-4. 6 See Shah (2008), http://www.globalissues.org/article/768/global-financial-crisis. Accessed 14.11.2010. 7 See Sinn (2010), pp. 35-37; Madura (2010), pp. 21-22. ~6~
  • 7. almost no investors ready to put in new resources in financial institutions and the flow of funds in the financial markets shrank.8 Finally, the overall financial system destabilised, which had unprecedented consequences around the world. Although the recent financial crisis showed an incipient character already in the second half of 2007, it became particularly vivid in 2008-2009. The world was confronted with an economic recession that negatively affected various businesses, increased the rates of unemployment and reduced the states’ revenues due to automatic stabilisers. 9 Stock markets crashed to unforeseen low values globally, many banks made severe losses and several large financial institutions went bust or were bought out. 10 Even banks that seemed to be stable soon faced liquidity problems. Consequently, national states needed to develop rescue packages and government guarantees in order to support their economic systems and guard them against deteriorating even further. In fact, central banks of several countries reduced interest rates in order to stimulate the national economies. However, this turned out to be insufficient. Furthermore, it was clear that various weaknesses and limitations showed by the financial system during the crisis needed to be defined and corrected. Moreover, national governments wanted to control both potential debts that financial intermediaries would continue to attract as well as their future investments conducted with the fresh capital received from the state.11 Thus, nationalisation of banking industry institutions became a popular tool to do that. The list of (part-) nationalisation cases of commercial banks during the recent financial crisis 8 See Madura (2010), pp. 21-22. 9 See Sinn (2010), pp. 16-18. 10 See Shah (2008), http://www.globalissues.org/article/768/global-financial-crisis. Accessed 14.11.2010. 11 See Cho (2010), pp. 15-17. ~7~
  • 8. ranges from Belgium and the Netherlands (Fortis) to Latvia (Parex Bank), from the USA (Citigroup) to Iceland (Landsbanki, Glitnir, etc.), from Germany (Commerzbank) to the UK (Northern Rock, Royal Bank of Scotland, etc.) and so on. 12 All these depository institutions were nationalised by their governments mainly for one reason: to stop deterioration and a possible collapse of a country’s financial system by preventing these banks from ‘infecting’ other institutions. To evaluate the effectiveness of the new tool the paper will focus on one particular case – Northern Rock, which probably became the first and one of the most striking European high-profile victims of the recent financial crisis. 3 The UK government’s intervention in Northern Rock’s crisis In the autumn of 2007 TV and newspaper audience all over the globe was astonished to see the following images: unending lines of depositors in front of the local offices of one of the UK banks. People were queuing for hours in order to withdraw their savings from the UK-based depository institution called Northern Rock. 13 Thus, the aim of this chapter is to scrutinise the developments that had led to the above-described situation in order to understand the event itself and the need for the government intervention that followed in 2007-2008. It further proceeds with presenting all intervention alternatives in a comparative perspective evaluating advantages and disadvantages of each one. 12 See Sinn (2010), “Appendix: Chronology of the Financial Crisis”. 13 It is even more remarkable if one takes into account that the foregoing run on a bank in the UK happened about one and a half centuries ago, namely in 1866 when the London bank Overend Gurney defeated its own ends during the 1860s boom (see Shin (2009), p. 101). ~8~
  • 9. 3.1 Some background facts and status quo before the intervention The origin of Northern Rock Building Society can be traced back to July 1965 when the Northern Counties Permanent Building Society amalgamated with the Rock Building Society. The newly established organisation further merged with more than fifty other regional building societies before it went public in 1997. 14 Despite Northern Rock’s comparatively insignificant roots, it had very ambitious goals. During the nine years that preceded the crisis the bank’s total assets increased by ca. 552% 15, which correlates to a steady annual expansion of approximately 23.2%. By June 2007, Northern Rock was ranked the fifth-biggest UK bank in terms of its mortgage assets.16 For the purpose of sustaining such a rapid rise in the bank’s assets, the organisation had to alter the system of its dept as well as the ratio of the former to the latter. These arguably turned out to be the main reasons why Northern Rock faced liquidity problems in 2007. Although there are many causes that contributed to the difficulties experienced by the bank, one might argue that the composition of its balance sheet and the related high leverage were the ones that led to a considerable cash outflow in 2007 (see Appendix 1) and a consequent disaster. To prove the legitimacy of this argument the following should be taken into account. First of all, Northern Rock heavily relied on the non-retail sector for its resources and mainly dealt with mortgages and loans, which constituted ca. 77% of the bank’s total assets.17 Parallel to this considerable ratio of mortgage funds, the bank gradually reduced its 14 See Rafferty (2008), p. 3. 15 From £17.4 billion in 1998 to £113.5 billion in June 2007 (see Shin (2009), p. 103). 16 See loc. cit., pp. 103-104. 17 See Ndong / Scialom (2008), p. 2. ~9~
  • 10. percentage of household deposits. The latter decreased approximately threefold from ca. 60 in 1997 to about 21 percent in 2007. 18 This mismatch between the sums provided for borrowers and the amounts brought in by savers was compensated by different types of nonretail financing facilities, for example, comparatively illiquid covered bonds and securitised notes as well as liquid interbank deposits (see Appendix 2). The organisation’s business model of lending on a long-term basis and borrowing short led to the fact that Northern Rock had to constantly roll over its debt19 and was very vulnerable to liquidity problems in the money market. Indeed, the bank experienced immediate difficulties when the money market started to stagnate in 2007 as a result of the beginning financial crisis.20 Secondly, Northern Rock had a very high degree of leverage. Leverage is defined as “the amount of debt used to finance a firm’s assets”21 or “the ratio of total assets to equity” 22 . From the very beginning of its public existence, Northern Rock observed continuous growth in its leverage. In fact, the bank’s common equity gearing was pretty high in June 2007, standing at 58.2%. It soared even higher to 86.5% by December 2007 due to capital losses 23 (see Appendix 3). This feature further intensified the bank’s vulnerability to a decrease in the monetary base of the overall financial system and made the government intervention a necessity once the bank run began. 18 See Cociuba (2009), http://www.dallasfed.org/research/eclett/2009/el0903.html. Accessed 08.11.2010. 19 This was not always properly done. For example, in December 2005 the bank had plenty of outstanding securitized notes. In fact, they accounted for £31.1 billion. It only managed to withdraw about 23% of the whole sum (namely £7.12 billion) during the following year (see Shin (2009), pp. 107-108). 20 See loc. cit., pp. 104-107. 21 Investopedia.com (2010), http://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/leverage.asp. Accessed 07.11.2010. 22 Cociuba (2009), http://www.dallasfed.org/research/eclett/2009/el0903.html. Accessed 08.11.2010. 23 Compare: even US investment banks usually have leverage of 25-30 percent (see loc. cit.). ~ 10 ~
  • 11. 3.2 Evaluation of intervention possibilities The UK government had five options for solving the difficulties faced by Northern Rock. These were: the bank’s liquidation; rising new shareholder capital; takeover by another financial institution; bail-out; and, finally, nationalisation. Interestingly enough the British government tried out each alternative in turn apart from the first one. There is a particular difficulty in liquidating a faulty commercial bank, especially when it has high financial value as Northern Rock did. Financial intermediaries in general and commercial banks in particular perform a crucial role of connecting surplus and deficit units and advancing the flow of funds from the former to the latter. 24 That is why their role of ‘oiling the economy’ and keeping its motor going is crucial in every single market and cannot be easily ignored. Moreover, banks and other financial intermediaries are so closely interrelated that a failure in one link might break the whole chain, i.e. the entire national system might destabilise or collapse.25 This means that failing a bank is not the best solution and is only appropriate for small and insignificant financial institutions. Consequently, this alternative was out of question in the case of Northern Rock. Seeing the danger of seizing economy most national governments will rarely apply the previous tool in reality. They would rather advise a bank to attract new shareholder capital or facilitate its takeover by another depository institution. The arguments in favour of these alternatives are that a suffering bank will be saved and will stay in the private sector of economy. The mainstream perceives this as a better option because the private sector is viewed as being more innovative, entrepreneurial, and more effectively 24 See Madura (2010), p. 461. 25 See Lyons (2009), pp. 4-5. ~ 11 ~
  • 12. and efficiently meeting rapid market challenges than the public one. 26 The main disadvantage of the options is that they are mostly available in prospering economic situations. Moreover, a takeover might lead to monopolistic tendencies in the financial sphere. In practice, Northern Rock did its best to raise new shareholder capital. Furthermore, the Financial Services Authority and the Bank of England tried to facilitate an acquisition by a different commercial bank. Nevertheless, the both actions brought about no results mostly because of the spreading financial crisis but also due to the hesitation of the UK financial authorities to invest public money into the matter.27 The next decision tried out by the British government was to provide the state’s guarantee and a bailout. The latter presupposed the money injection into the failing bank. Bailout, however, is a very controversial issue, resembling “trying to put out a fire by pouring gasoline on it”28. Firstly, misjudgement of the necessary monetary amount could ultimately worsen the whole situation by triggering high inflation. Secondly, giving banks money whenever they find themselves in crises contains the danger of ‘moral hazard’. Indeed, in most industries the threat of insolvency and collapse controls reckless conduct and unnecessary risk-taking by individuals. Commercial banks, however, are aware that a bankruptcy of one institution might bring the whole system down and totally rely on receiving the state funds in problematic situations. This understanding may promote their unnecessary risk-taking. 29 Finally, there is a rather lose-lose situation for taxpayers: on the one hand, the government uses tax revenues to cover the losses of a defective bank, on the other hand, when the same bank makes a 26 See Kitromilides (2010), p. 71. 27 See Shin (2009), p. 102. 28 Biggs (2009), www.newsweek.com/id/186976. Accessed 16.11.2010. 29 See Kitromilides (2010), p. 72. ~ 12 ~
  • 13. profit later on, the money is redistributed within the institution, and the taxpayers are left out. Hence, it is not surprising that the UK government was rather reluctant in providing the bailout money. And even when they were ready to invest the required sum, it was not enough to solve Northern Rock’s problems. Thus, the only left alternative for the British government was to nationalise the faulty bank. 4 Nationalisation The British government nationalised Northern Rock on the 22nd of February 2008. 30 Nationalisation is defined as the act of transferring ownership in distinct segments of economy from private branches of business to the country’s public area.31 Consequently, the government’s nationalisation of Northern Rock presupposed that the state guaranteed support by providing the necessary monetary base and re-arranging control and supervision regulations. This arguably ensured that the trust in the national fiscal system did not decrease further and started to recover with commercial banks increasing their lending to each other and being able to maintain their daily activities.32 While considering positive externalities of nationalisation, it is still worth evaluating its advantages against its disadvantages. Thus, this chapter will scrutinise the main benefits and drawbacks of nationalisation in general and the ones vivid in Northern Rock’s case in particular. 30 See BBC (2009), http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_depth/business/2008/northern_rock/default.stm. Accessed 16.11.2010. 31 See Longman Dictionary of Contemporary English (1995). 32 See Foley (2008), http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/wall-street-humiliated-by- nationalisation-of-banks-961397.html. Accessed 16.11.2010. ~ 13 ~
  • 14. 4.1 Disadvantages of nationalisation The mainstream viewpoint is that nationalisation in general and that of commercial banks in particular should be avoided. The negative attitude is rooted in several common academic and practical opinions, namely, that the public sector is very red-tape and time-consuming as well as governed by bureaucracy and excessive political limitations. These features disable a publicly owned institution to promptly meet market challenges and opportunities, which results into its inefficiency. Furthermore, competition between employees and, therefore, most of their motivation might dry up. If one takes into account that exactly these surroundings of competitive environment cause efficiency and profitability in the banking sector, it becomes clear why nationalisation can result in negative effects on the overall profit and economic proliferation.33 A further weakness of nationalisation is a potential authority misuse by the government when it has a commercial bank in its ownership. The situation of power may enable the state to redefine the banking system to their own advantage in order to improve their political well-being and stability. This might lead to corruption and fraud within the financial sector and will have a negative effect on the overall economy. Moreover, nationalisation presupposes that the state invests huge sums of public money into the financial system, which might expand their debt and negatively affect the value and the exchange rates of the country’s currency. 34 In summary, time-consuming bureaucracy, inefficiency, low motivation, potential misuse of authority as well as the 33 This is considered to be general knowledge. 34 See Free Online Articles Directory (2009), http://www.articlesbase.com/banking-articles/disadvantages- of-bank-nationalizaton-811339.html. Accessed 25.10.2010. ~ 14 ~
  • 15. country’s debt expansion and the depreciation of the domestic currency are the main arguments against nationalisation of commercial banks. As a matter of fact, the nationalisation of Northern Rock also brought about some negative developments. For instance, the UK government lacked the internal knowledge and expertise in the matter of running a financial institution and gave a go-ahead to Northern Rock’s original business plan in the spring of 2008 without properly assessing it. Unfortunately, the plan turned out to be too optimistic and incurred more losses than it was expected.35 Furthermore, the government’s investment of about £100 billion into the bank expanded the British Debt from 38 percent to approximately 45 percent of the country’s Gross Domestic Product.36 Moreover, the British currency did fall down after the government took Northern Rock into the public ownership37 (see Appendix 4). 4.2 Advantages of nationalisation Although unfavourable attitudes concerning nationalisation do exist and some negative developments were triggered by the nationalisation of Northern Rock, it is worth considering advantages of the tool before a conclusion can be drawn. Hence, the following sub-chapter will provide a short overview of the main benefits of state ownership. Firstly, nationalisation presents an opportunity for reducing the ‘moral hazard’ problem. By creating an inside system that is able to regulate and supervise the government can 35 See House of Commons: Committee of Public Accounts (2009), p. 14. 36 See Porter / Conway (2008), http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/2784076/Nation-hit-with-100bn- Northern-Rock-debts.html. Accessed 17.11.2010. 37 See Free Online Articles Directory (2009), http://www.articlesbase.com/banking-articles/disadvantages- of-bank-nationalizaton-811339.html. Accessed 25.10.2010. ~ 15 ~
  • 16. recognise, discourage or limit unnecessary risk-taking before it is too late and the consequences are too acute. Although nationalised depository institutions can also abuse risk-taking practices and lead to a system failure, the state can arguably stop such acts more successfully and at an earlier stage than any other existing regulation system.38 Secondly, the recent financial crisis was brought about by sheer greed and competitiveness within the banking sector. If one takes into account that the present system is the one where financial institutions can mismanage billions of pounds saved by retailers, nationalisation is a justifiable tool.39 In fact, the government has more means to make sure that fiduciary duty overweighs profit-seeking tendencies within the financial sector and can force depository institutions to lend in the best interest of the people who enable the mere existence of these commercial banks by depositing their savings. Finally, all other alternatives of state intervention discussed above lose in comparison with nationalisation as they arguably have many more drawbacks than the state control itself. Hence, it is very difficult not to agree with the Committee of Public Accounts of the House of Commons that stated in The Nationalisation of Northern Rock report: “The Treasury’s decision to nationalise Northern Rock in February 2008 was based on a comprehensive assessment of the options available to it. This analysis suggested that public ownership represented the best alternative in terms of value for money”.40 Moreover, nationalisation is sometimes the only available opportunity to save the failing banking system in crises.41 Indeed, this argument can be validated by Northern Rock’s case as this option was the only 38 See Kitromilides (2010), pp. 72-73. 39 See Business spotlight (2008), http://www.business-spotlight.de/news/head-to-head/should-the- government-nationalize-all-banks. Accessed 18.10.2010. 40 House of Commons: Committee of Public Accounts (2009), p.5. 41 See the Telegraph (2008), http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/telegraph- view/3562752/Nationalisation-of-banks-should-be-strictly-temporary.html. Accessed 16.11.2010. ~ 16 ~
  • 17. one left for the British government to bring the faulty bank back into the system as all other means had already been unsuccessfully applied before. 5 Conclusion Any government’s principal task during phases of financial suffering is to maintain the stability of the national economic infrastructure, which has to cover diverse segments of its fiscal system. The executive’s job is to address weaknesses and limitations of various links and to assist in restructuring them or redefining their roles. One of the most efficient and effective tools in terms of this is arguably back-door nationalisation. Though this tool is often rejected as a resolution strategy, various cases in numerous countries show that state intervention on a broad scale in times of crises can be very successful both for a company or institution (as it is able to regain its economic strength and will be rescued from insolvency) as well as for most of its employees and customers (although the effect on investors might differ from case to case). This paper has discussed the role of the government intervention in a commercial sector in crisis situations by focusing mainly on the actions taken by the UK government in connection with Northern Rock. As one can see from the above scrutiny, the British state had five alternatives for solving the difficulties faced by the bank, but only nationalisation turned out to be an applicable, most effective and efficient one in terms of money. However, one should not overestimate the success of the decision: some negative developments were indeed brought about by the government’s action and there were some mistakes made at the beginning due to the lack of knowledge and expertise inside ~ 17 ~
  • 18. the cabinet. Moreover, the UK government arguably waited for longer than desired before nationalising the bank. They preferred to try out all other options first and to see the entire scope of the crisis rather than acting promptly and letting the bank continue its regular operations earlier and with less losses. Nevertheless, the comparative analysis presented above proves that a back-door nationalisation of the commercial bank was the best solution at hand as other options would have either done more harm or would have not solved the root of the problem. Northern Rock is a vivid example that publicly-run commercial institutions are perceived as more sound, trustworthy and stable than privately-owned ones because they are legally protected, controlled and supervised by the government. Indeed, after Northern Rock’s nationalisation customers’ confidence in the bank’s safety and reliability grew and more retailers wanted to have accounts with it.42 Still this increase in trust should not be taken for granted and the UK government has to build up more internal expertise and know-how in order to run the bank effectively meeting the challenges and opportunities of the globalising financial market. It is rather difficult to evaluate the success of Northern Rock’s today’s performance compared to the times before nationalisation, partly because of information asymmetry but also because the bank has recently been split into two parts: Northern Rock plc and Northern Rock (Asset Management) plc – in order to better safeguard the future operations. 43 However, according to the company’s announcements and experts’ evaluations the both parts keep on gradually developing and improving their performance and growth.44 The ‘bad 42 See Absolute Astronomy, http://www.absoluteastronomy.com/topics/Northern_Rock. Accessed 02.12.2010. 43 See loc. cit.. 44 See BBC (2010), http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-10848374. Accessed 28.11.2010. ~ 18 ~
  • 19. bank’ even reported a return to profit in the previous half-year. 45 This suggests that coordination between supervision and monetary control in the process of nationalisation turned out to be successful and has resulted in a profitable growth. Nevertheless, seeing the public’s negative attitude towards nationalisation, governments all over the world rather opt for taking a failing institution into temporary public ownership and privatising it back as soon as possible. Indeed, the UK government hopes to re-privatise the two parts of Northern Rock in the upcoming years and to at least get repaid outstanding loans.46 However, the main disadvantage of such an approach is that it enables commercial institutions, once privatised, to fall back into the old patterns of extremely risk-taking and profit-making practices, which might trigger new financial crises in no time.47 In fact, there exists another possibility, namely, to consider a more drastic modification of a commercial sector where bank nationalisation will be a more permanent and long- term characteristic. As can be seen in several countries in the world, such a policy can be successful and can benefit both the state and the public. Although this research question is beyond the scope of this paper, an attractive possibility for a future scrutiny will be to evaluate an alternative of commercial depository institutions being managed cost- effectively and efficiently within the framework of long-term government ownership. 45 “Pre-tax profit came in at £349.7m for the first six months of the year” (loc. cit.). 46 See loc. cit.. 47 See Business spotlight (2008), http://www.business-spotlight.de/news/head-to-head/should-the- government-nationalize-all-banks. Accessed 16.11.2010. ~ 19 ~
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  • 24. 27. Northern Rock plc, Annual Report and Accounts 2007 [Online]. Available at: http://companyinfo.northernrock.co.uk/downloads/2007_annual_report.pdf. Last accessed 02.12.2010. 28. Porter, A. / Conway, E. (2008), “Nation hit with £100bn Northern Rock debts”, in: The Telegraph [Online], 8 February. Available at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/2784076/Nat ion-hit-with-100bn-Northern-Rock-debts.html. Last accessed 17.11.2010. 29. Rafferty, M. (2008), “Northern Rock plc: A case study in banking policy during times of duress” [Online]. Available at: www.wbiconpro.com/116- Rafferty,M.pdf. Last accessed 30.11.2010. 30. Shah, A. (2008), “Global Financial Crisis”, in: Global Issues [Online] (Updated 30 September 2010). Available at: http://www.globalissues.org/article/768/global- financial-crisis. Last accessed 18.11.2010. 31. The Telegraph (2008), “Nationalisation of banks should be strictly temporary”, in: Telegraph View [Online], 12 October. Available at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/telegraph-view/3562752/Nationalisation- of-banks-should-be-strictly-temporary.html. Last accessed 19.11.2010. 32. YahooFinance.com (2010), “GBP/EUR (GBPEUR=X)” [Online], 22 November. Available at: http://de.finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=GBPEUR=X&t=5y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=. Last accessed 24.11.2010. ~ 24 ~
  • 25. Videos 33. BBC News (2008), “Brown defends nationalisation” [Online]. Available at: http://news.bbc.co.uk/player/nol/newsid_7250000/newsid_7250900/7250967.stm ?bw=nb&mp=rm&asb=1&news=1&bbcws=1. Last accessed 21.11.2010. 34. BBC News (2008), “What the Rock nationalisation means” [Online]. Available at: http://news.bbc.co.uk/player/nol/newsid_7250000/newsid_7250900/7250936.stm? bw=nb&mp=rm&asb=1&news=1&bbcws=1. Last accessed 21.11.2010. 35. Dixon, P. (2008), “Banks nationalisation in credit crunch. Future after huge capital injection by governments in exchange for banking shares. Impact on wider economy, global economic crisis and future of banking”, on: Youtube.com [Online]. Available at: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EY99vvJkqV4. Last accessed 25.10.2010. 36. Youtube.com (2009), “Dan Gross Mythbuster on Bank Nationalization” [Online]. Available at: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IRzkCoJl9uM. Last accessed 25.10.2010. 37. Youtube.com (2009), “The Crisis of Credit – by Jonathan Jarvis” [Online]. Available at: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oosq3TPgHH0. Last accessed 22.11.2010. ~ 25 ~
  • 26. ANNEX Appendix 1: Consolidated Cash Flow Statement for the year ended 31 December 2007 Source: Northern Rock plc, Annual Report and Accounts 2007 [Online]. Available at: http://companyinfo.northernrock.co.uk/downloads/2007_annual_report.pdf. Accessed 02.12.2010. ~ 26 ~
  • 27. Appendix 2: The bank’s balance sheet and liability structure, June 1998-June 2007 Source: Bank of England (2007), Financial Stability Report, Issue 22 [Online], October 25. Available at http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/fsr/2007/index.htm. Accessed 07.11.2010. ~ 27 ~
  • 28. Appendix 3: Leverage of Northern Rock from June 1998 to December 2007 Source: Cociuba, S. E. (2009), “Seeking Stability: What’s next for banking regulation?”, in: Economic Letter – Insights from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas [Online], Volume 4, No. 3, April 2009. Available at http://www.dallasfed.org/research/eclett/2009/el0903.html. Accessed 20.11.2010. ~ 28 ~
  • 29. Appendix 4: GBP/EUR (GBPEUR=X) Source: YahooFinance.com (2010), “GBP/EUR (GBPEUR=X)” [Online], 22 November. Available at: http://de.finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=GBPEUR=X&t=5y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=. Accessed 24.11.2010. ~ 29 ~