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APPLYING CASCADE EFFECT PRINCIPLES
TO MITIGATE WORKPLACE
SAFETY RISKS
Presented by David Patrishkoff
President – E3 - Extreme Enterprise Efficiency®
President – ICER – The Institute for Cascade Effect Research®
CASCADE EFFECT THINKING CONCEPTS CAN IDENTIFY
SELF-INFLICTED SAFETY ISSUES
Negative
Reinforcing
Feedback loops
Identify Tipping
Points
The Perfect Silent
Storm
Address Internal
Systemic Risks
Identify Slow Burn
or Creeping Risks
Negative Causal Loops
Expose Trojan Horse
Risks
Solicit Unspoken
Talk Rules
• Simple Cause and Effect
Thinking cannot
dramatically improve
safety performances
• More effective Cascading
Safety Management
concepts are required to
create breakthrough
safety improvementsIdentify Hyper-
Connected Risks
Facilitate Cascading
War Games
Conduct Cultural
Health Surveys
Bait-Bubble-Burst
Effect
Address Seemingly
trivial but threatening
interconnected issues
ORGANIZATIONAL CASCADES AND
FEEDBACK LOOPS
1) Negative Reinforcing
Downward Spiral
3) Maintain the Status Quo
4) Rapid Positive &
Disciplined Intervention
5) Positive Reinforcing
Virtuous Circle
2) Waste time by just
Addressing the Symptoms
1
2
3
4
5
5 Types of Feedback >>>>>>>
Loops to Leadership >>>>>>>
HOW 56 INTERNAL CULTURAL RISKS AND BEST
PRACTICES CAN IMPACT YOUR SAFETY PROGRAM
Transform
These 56 cultural risks (left) have been at the core of the most serious safety
disasters in history. Each risk can be countered by the appropriate Best
Practice (right). Weak cultures cannot support a healthy safety program.
10 OF THE MANY DISASTERS USED TO ESTABLISH THE
CASCADE EFFECT PRINCIPLES
1. The Iroquois Theater Fire in Chicago, 1903 - 605+ deaths
2. Sinking of the Titanic, 1912 - 1,502 deaths
3. The USS Indianapolis Sinking, 1945 - 880 deaths
4. Banqiao Dam failure, China, 1975 - 171,000 deaths
5. Union Carbide gas explosion, India, 1984 - 3,787+ deaths
6. NASA Space Shuttle Challenger Loss,1986 - 7 deaths
7. Alaska Airlines Flight 261 Crash, 2000 - 88 deaths
8. Petrobras 36 Oil Rig sinking, 2001 - 11 deaths
9. NASA Space Shuttle Columbia Loss, 2003 - 7 deaths
10. Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill - 2006 - 11 deaths
HOW MANY OF YOU FEAR FOR YOUR LIFE BY
GETTING ON A US COMMERCIAL AIRPLANE?
HOW MANY OF YOU FEAR FOR YOUR LIFE WHEN
YOU GO TO WORK EACH DAY?
US COMMERCIAL AIRLINE DEATHS VS. TEXAS
WORKFORCE FATALITIES?
There were more workforce fatalities in Texas, in 2013, than airline
passenger deaths on US Commercial Airlines in the last 15 years,
including the 9/11/2001 high jacking and crashing of 4 commercial
jets.
• 2013 Texas Workforce Fatalities: 508
• 2000 – 2014 (15 years) US Commercial Airline Fatalities: 474
1-5
1 February 12, 2009: Continental Flight 3407 Beech 1900; Charlotte, NC, which killed 51 people in New York
2 August 27, 2006: Delta Connection (Comair) CRJ-100; Lexington, KY: 49 perished
3 January 8, 2003: US Airways Express (Air Midwest) 2009, with 21 fatalities
4 Sept 11, 2001: Four high-jacked and crashed jets, total of 265 airline passengers perished
5 January 31, 2000: Alaska Airlines MD83; near Pt. Mugu, CA with 88 fatalities
Charts: http://www.tdi.texas.gov/wc/safety/sis/fathomepage.html
FATAL OCCUPATIONAL INJURY DATA -
TEXAS
Charts: http://www.tdi.texas.gov/wc/safety/sis/fathomepage.html
FATAL OCCUPATIONAL INJURY DATA FOR 2013 -
TEXAS
• Most fatal work hour: 1-2 pm
• Most fatal day : Mondays & Wednesdays
• Most fatal month: August, then April
• Most endangered age group: 45-54, then 25-34
• Most endangered gender: Males, 20x the # of Females
• Biggest cause: Transport Incidents
NONFATAL OCCUPATIONAL INJURY AND ILLNESS
DATA, AND INFORMATION BLS PROGRAMS
http://www.tdi.texas.gov/wc/safety/sis/nonfatalhomepag.html
2009 to 2013 drop in US private sector injury / illness rate = 8.3% (2.1% / year)
2009 to 2013 drop in Texas private sector injury / illness rate = 10.3% (2.58% / year)
EXAMPLE OF A NEGATIVE TOP-DOWN CASCADE
THAT CAN PROVOKE SERIOUS SAFETY ISSUES
No Learning
Feedback
Loops
NEW USE FOR AN OLD TOOL (THE SWOT):
CASCADING SAFETY SWOT ANALYSIS
• On a top level, a
SWOT (Strengths,
Weaknesses,
Opportunities &
Threats) is a general
tool that yields
general results
• However, it can be
improved to
supplement other
Safety improvement
initiatives
• A SWOT can be
quite effective
when conducted
for each element
of the
organizational
cascade that deals
with Safety
processes
• A Safety Culture is
only as strong as
the weakest link in
the Cascade
SWOT THE HEALTH OF YOUR SAFETY CULTURE
CASCADING SAFETY SWOT ANALYSIS
SWOT THE HEALTH OF YOUR SAFETY CULTURE
• A SWOT analysis should be
conducted at each level in
the organization, candidly
and anonymously
• It’s important to identify
and analyze any
differences in safety
program perceptions at
various levels
• The doomed NASA Space
Shuttle found that
engineers perceived 10X
the risk levels of managers
CULTURAL SAFETY SYSTEM SURVEY
• Part of a 56
question cultural
survey that can
be used to
measure the
health of a safety
program
• This survey
should be
conducted at all
levels and in
different
departments
0
1
2
3
4
5
A1
A2 A3
A4
A5
A6
A7
A8
A9
A10
A11
A12
A13
A14
A15
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
K6
K7
K8
K9
K10
K11
Q1Q2
Q3
Q4Q5
Q6
Q7
Q8
Q9
Q10
Q11
Q12
Q13
Q14
Q15
Q16
Q17
Q18
Q19
Ja1
Ja2
Ja3
Ja4
Ja5
Ja6
Ja7
Ja8
Ja9
Jo1 Jo2
Non-Management Score
Mid-Management Score
Top-Management Score
Target Score
Risk (1) to Best Practice (5)
Brainstorm / Survey Scores
EXAMPLE OF SPIDER CHART RESULTS FOR THE
CULTURAL SAFETY SURVEY
These scores
were quite
different
between the 3
levels of
management
and the
differences
shown here
were statistically
significant (p-
values < 0.05)
VENN DIAGRAM EXAMPLE: AGREEMENT AND
DISAGREEMENT IN THE SAFETY CULTURE WEAKNESSES
• This Venn diagram
shows the differences
and similarities
between 3 different
levels in opinions about
key weaknesses that in
their safety culture
• Such differences in
opinions and risk
perceptions can lead to
an ineffective safety
management efforts
Leadership
Non-Management
Mid-Management
It is not taken
seriously
No
accountability
for procedure
violations
The company
acquisitions did
not integrate
different safety
cultures
Common
Perceptions
No time is
taken for
proper
training
Other priorities
are much
higher than
safety, such as
getting the job
done on time
Different
departments
have different
safety
guidelinesSafety is just a
slogan with few
actions to back
it up
Everyone
thinks it’s just
the safety
managers job
and not theirs
STRESS TEST / WAR GAME YOUR PROCESSES &
CULTURE TO FIND SAFETY BLIND SPOTS
SAFETY PROCESS ISSUE IDENTIFICATION AND
MITIGATION TOOLS
Pictorial Process Risk Analysis
Risk Stream Mapping
A WEAK CULTURE CAN DISABLE THE BEST
SAFETY STRATEGY
• “Culture eats Strategy
for Breakfast,
Operational Excellence
for Lunch and
Everything Else for
Dinner”
• Quote from MIT
Professor Bill Aulet,
derived from the
original quote by Peter
Drucker
Hello, My
Name is
CULTURE
A healthy Work Culture: The best foundation for an effective Safety
Strategy
DON’T BLAME THE PEOPLE!!!
BLAME THE FLAWED PROCESSES & CULTURE
GOOD PEOPLE + BAD PROCESSES AND / OR CULTURE
= BAD RESULTS
• If you put
GOOD PEOPLE
in a BAD PROCESS &
Culture, the process and
Culture wins…
Every time…
• High Reliability
Organizations (HROs)
that put great emphasis
on a high performance
culture, have excellent
safety records
Good People
Bad Processes
and / or
Culture >>>>>
SUMMARY
• Simple Cause and Effect logic cannot create breakthrough safety
improvements
• True safety issue root cause analysis must address “many
seemingly trivial but interconnected issues” and not just 1 or 2
“silver bullets”
• A High Performance Work Culture can help create a safe work
environment
• Measure the cultural health with unique cascading cultural
health surveys and address the weak links
• Common Employee Surveys are too often “Feel good” exercises
that do not address cascading systemic issues
• Address weaknesses in the system and processes that
compensate for human weaknesses and “bad days” at the office

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Applying cascade effect principles to mitigate workplace safety risks

  • 1. APPLYING CASCADE EFFECT PRINCIPLES TO MITIGATE WORKPLACE SAFETY RISKS Presented by David Patrishkoff President – E3 - Extreme Enterprise Efficiency® President – ICER – The Institute for Cascade Effect Research®
  • 2. CASCADE EFFECT THINKING CONCEPTS CAN IDENTIFY SELF-INFLICTED SAFETY ISSUES Negative Reinforcing Feedback loops Identify Tipping Points The Perfect Silent Storm Address Internal Systemic Risks Identify Slow Burn or Creeping Risks Negative Causal Loops Expose Trojan Horse Risks Solicit Unspoken Talk Rules • Simple Cause and Effect Thinking cannot dramatically improve safety performances • More effective Cascading Safety Management concepts are required to create breakthrough safety improvementsIdentify Hyper- Connected Risks Facilitate Cascading War Games Conduct Cultural Health Surveys Bait-Bubble-Burst Effect Address Seemingly trivial but threatening interconnected issues
  • 3. ORGANIZATIONAL CASCADES AND FEEDBACK LOOPS 1) Negative Reinforcing Downward Spiral 3) Maintain the Status Quo 4) Rapid Positive & Disciplined Intervention 5) Positive Reinforcing Virtuous Circle 2) Waste time by just Addressing the Symptoms 1 2 3 4 5 5 Types of Feedback >>>>>>> Loops to Leadership >>>>>>>
  • 4. HOW 56 INTERNAL CULTURAL RISKS AND BEST PRACTICES CAN IMPACT YOUR SAFETY PROGRAM Transform These 56 cultural risks (left) have been at the core of the most serious safety disasters in history. Each risk can be countered by the appropriate Best Practice (right). Weak cultures cannot support a healthy safety program.
  • 5. 10 OF THE MANY DISASTERS USED TO ESTABLISH THE CASCADE EFFECT PRINCIPLES 1. The Iroquois Theater Fire in Chicago, 1903 - 605+ deaths 2. Sinking of the Titanic, 1912 - 1,502 deaths 3. The USS Indianapolis Sinking, 1945 - 880 deaths 4. Banqiao Dam failure, China, 1975 - 171,000 deaths 5. Union Carbide gas explosion, India, 1984 - 3,787+ deaths 6. NASA Space Shuttle Challenger Loss,1986 - 7 deaths 7. Alaska Airlines Flight 261 Crash, 2000 - 88 deaths 8. Petrobras 36 Oil Rig sinking, 2001 - 11 deaths 9. NASA Space Shuttle Columbia Loss, 2003 - 7 deaths 10. Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill - 2006 - 11 deaths
  • 6. HOW MANY OF YOU FEAR FOR YOUR LIFE BY GETTING ON A US COMMERCIAL AIRPLANE?
  • 7. HOW MANY OF YOU FEAR FOR YOUR LIFE WHEN YOU GO TO WORK EACH DAY?
  • 8. US COMMERCIAL AIRLINE DEATHS VS. TEXAS WORKFORCE FATALITIES? There were more workforce fatalities in Texas, in 2013, than airline passenger deaths on US Commercial Airlines in the last 15 years, including the 9/11/2001 high jacking and crashing of 4 commercial jets. • 2013 Texas Workforce Fatalities: 508 • 2000 – 2014 (15 years) US Commercial Airline Fatalities: 474 1-5 1 February 12, 2009: Continental Flight 3407 Beech 1900; Charlotte, NC, which killed 51 people in New York 2 August 27, 2006: Delta Connection (Comair) CRJ-100; Lexington, KY: 49 perished 3 January 8, 2003: US Airways Express (Air Midwest) 2009, with 21 fatalities 4 Sept 11, 2001: Four high-jacked and crashed jets, total of 265 airline passengers perished 5 January 31, 2000: Alaska Airlines MD83; near Pt. Mugu, CA with 88 fatalities
  • 10. Charts: http://www.tdi.texas.gov/wc/safety/sis/fathomepage.html FATAL OCCUPATIONAL INJURY DATA FOR 2013 - TEXAS • Most fatal work hour: 1-2 pm • Most fatal day : Mondays & Wednesdays • Most fatal month: August, then April • Most endangered age group: 45-54, then 25-34 • Most endangered gender: Males, 20x the # of Females • Biggest cause: Transport Incidents
  • 11. NONFATAL OCCUPATIONAL INJURY AND ILLNESS DATA, AND INFORMATION BLS PROGRAMS http://www.tdi.texas.gov/wc/safety/sis/nonfatalhomepag.html 2009 to 2013 drop in US private sector injury / illness rate = 8.3% (2.1% / year) 2009 to 2013 drop in Texas private sector injury / illness rate = 10.3% (2.58% / year)
  • 12. EXAMPLE OF A NEGATIVE TOP-DOWN CASCADE THAT CAN PROVOKE SERIOUS SAFETY ISSUES No Learning Feedback Loops
  • 13. NEW USE FOR AN OLD TOOL (THE SWOT): CASCADING SAFETY SWOT ANALYSIS • On a top level, a SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities & Threats) is a general tool that yields general results • However, it can be improved to supplement other Safety improvement initiatives
  • 14. • A SWOT can be quite effective when conducted for each element of the organizational cascade that deals with Safety processes • A Safety Culture is only as strong as the weakest link in the Cascade SWOT THE HEALTH OF YOUR SAFETY CULTURE CASCADING SAFETY SWOT ANALYSIS
  • 15. SWOT THE HEALTH OF YOUR SAFETY CULTURE • A SWOT analysis should be conducted at each level in the organization, candidly and anonymously • It’s important to identify and analyze any differences in safety program perceptions at various levels • The doomed NASA Space Shuttle found that engineers perceived 10X the risk levels of managers
  • 16. CULTURAL SAFETY SYSTEM SURVEY • Part of a 56 question cultural survey that can be used to measure the health of a safety program • This survey should be conducted at all levels and in different departments
  • 17. 0 1 2 3 4 5 A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6 A7 A8 A9 A10 A11 A12 A13 A14 A15 K1 K2 K3 K4 K5 K6 K7 K8 K9 K10 K11 Q1Q2 Q3 Q4Q5 Q6 Q7 Q8 Q9 Q10 Q11 Q12 Q13 Q14 Q15 Q16 Q17 Q18 Q19 Ja1 Ja2 Ja3 Ja4 Ja5 Ja6 Ja7 Ja8 Ja9 Jo1 Jo2 Non-Management Score Mid-Management Score Top-Management Score Target Score Risk (1) to Best Practice (5) Brainstorm / Survey Scores EXAMPLE OF SPIDER CHART RESULTS FOR THE CULTURAL SAFETY SURVEY These scores were quite different between the 3 levels of management and the differences shown here were statistically significant (p- values < 0.05)
  • 18. VENN DIAGRAM EXAMPLE: AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT IN THE SAFETY CULTURE WEAKNESSES • This Venn diagram shows the differences and similarities between 3 different levels in opinions about key weaknesses that in their safety culture • Such differences in opinions and risk perceptions can lead to an ineffective safety management efforts Leadership Non-Management Mid-Management It is not taken seriously No accountability for procedure violations The company acquisitions did not integrate different safety cultures Common Perceptions No time is taken for proper training Other priorities are much higher than safety, such as getting the job done on time Different departments have different safety guidelinesSafety is just a slogan with few actions to back it up Everyone thinks it’s just the safety managers job and not theirs
  • 19. STRESS TEST / WAR GAME YOUR PROCESSES & CULTURE TO FIND SAFETY BLIND SPOTS
  • 20. SAFETY PROCESS ISSUE IDENTIFICATION AND MITIGATION TOOLS Pictorial Process Risk Analysis Risk Stream Mapping
  • 21. A WEAK CULTURE CAN DISABLE THE BEST SAFETY STRATEGY • “Culture eats Strategy for Breakfast, Operational Excellence for Lunch and Everything Else for Dinner” • Quote from MIT Professor Bill Aulet, derived from the original quote by Peter Drucker Hello, My Name is CULTURE A healthy Work Culture: The best foundation for an effective Safety Strategy
  • 22. DON’T BLAME THE PEOPLE!!! BLAME THE FLAWED PROCESSES & CULTURE
  • 23. GOOD PEOPLE + BAD PROCESSES AND / OR CULTURE = BAD RESULTS • If you put GOOD PEOPLE in a BAD PROCESS & Culture, the process and Culture wins… Every time… • High Reliability Organizations (HROs) that put great emphasis on a high performance culture, have excellent safety records Good People Bad Processes and / or Culture >>>>>
  • 24. SUMMARY • Simple Cause and Effect logic cannot create breakthrough safety improvements • True safety issue root cause analysis must address “many seemingly trivial but interconnected issues” and not just 1 or 2 “silver bullets” • A High Performance Work Culture can help create a safe work environment • Measure the cultural health with unique cascading cultural health surveys and address the weak links • Common Employee Surveys are too often “Feel good” exercises that do not address cascading systemic issues • Address weaknesses in the system and processes that compensate for human weaknesses and “bad days” at the office