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Lesson 11 - 2
Inference about Two Means -
Independent Samples
Objectives
• Test claims regarding the difference of two
independent means
• Construct and interpret confidence intervals
regarding the difference of two independent
means
Vocabulary
• Robust – minor deviations from normality will not
affect results
• Independent – when the individuals selected for one
sample do not dictate which individuals are in the
second sample
• Dependent – when the individuals selected for one
sample determine which individuals are in the
second sample; often referred to as matched pairs
samples
• Welch’s approximate t – the test statistic to compare
two independent means
Requirements
Testing a claim regarding the difference of two means
using matched pairs
• Sample is obtained using simple random sampling
• Sample data are independent
• Populations are normally distributed or the sample
sizes, n1 and n2, are both large (n ≥ 30)
This procedure is robust.
Classical and P-Value Approach – Two Means
Test Statistic:
tα
-tα/2 tα/2
-tα
Critical Region
P-Value is the area highlighted
|t0|
-|t0|
t0 t0
Reject null hypothesis, if
P-value < α
Left-Tailed Two-Tailed Right-Tailed
t0 < - tα
t0 < - tα/2
or
t0 > tα/2
t0 > tα
Remember to add the areas in the two-tailed!
(x1 – x2) – (μ1 – μ2 )
t0 = -------------------------------
s1
2 s2
2
----- + -----
n1 n2
Confidence Interval –
Difference in Two Means
Lower Bound:
Upper Bound:
tα/2 is determined using the smaller of n1 -1 or n2 -1 degrees of freedom
x1 and x2 are the means of the two samples
s1 and s2 are the standard deviations of the two samples
Note: The two populations need to be normally distributed or the sample
sizes large
(x1 – x2) – tα/2 ·
s1
2 s2
2
----- + -----
n1 n2
(x1 – x2) + tα/2 ·
s1
2 s2
2
----- + -----
n1 n2
PE ± MOE
Two-sample, independent, T-Test on TI
• If you have raw data:
– enter data in L1 and L2
• Press STAT, TESTS, select 2-SampT-Test
– raw data: List1 set to L1, List2 set to L2 and freq
to 1
– summary data: enter as before
– Set Pooled to NO
• Confidence Intervals
– follow hypothesis test steps, except select 2-
SampTInt and input confidence level
– expect slightly different answers from book
Example Problem
Given the following data:
a) Test the claim that μ1 > μ2 at the α=0.05 level of
significance
b) Construct a 95% confidence interval about μ1 - μ2
Data Population 1 Population 2
n 23 13
x-bar 43.1 41.0
s 4.5 5.1
Example Problem Cont. part a
• Requirements:
• Hypothesis
H0:
H1:
• Test Statistic:
• Critical Value:
• Conclusion:
μ1 > μ2
μ1 = μ2 (No difference)
Assumed to work the problem
tc(13-1,0.05) = 1.782, α = 0.05
Fail to Reject H0
= 1.237, p = 0.1144
x1 – x2 - 0
t0 = ------------------------
(s²1/n1) + (s²2/n2)
Example Problem Cont. part b
• Confidence Interval: PE ± MOE
[ -1.5986, 5.7986] by hand
(x1 – x2) ± tα/2 ·
s1
2 s2
2
----- + -----
n1 n2
tc(13-1,0.025) = 2.179
2.1 ± 2.179  (20.25/23) + (26.01/13)
2.1 ± 2.179 (1.6974) = 2.1 ± 3.6986
[ -1.4166, 5.6156] by calculator
It uses a different way to calculate the degrees of freedom
(as shown on pg 592)
Summary and Homework
• Summary
– Two sets of data are independent when observations
in one have no affect on observations in the other
– In this case, the differences of the two means should
be used in a Student’s t-test
– The overall process, other than the formula for the
standard error, are the general hypothesis test and
confidence intervals process
• Homework
– pg 595 – 599: 1, 2, 7, 8, 9, 13, 19
Homework Answers
• 4 a) Reject H0 (t0 = -4.393, p = 0.0000268)
b) [1.1, 12.9]
• 6 a) Reject H0 (t0 = 2.4858, p = 0.01746)
b) [-30.75, -11.25]
• 8 example problem in notes

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SullivanLesson 11-2.ppt

  • 1. Lesson 11 - 2 Inference about Two Means - Independent Samples
  • 2. Objectives • Test claims regarding the difference of two independent means • Construct and interpret confidence intervals regarding the difference of two independent means
  • 3. Vocabulary • Robust – minor deviations from normality will not affect results • Independent – when the individuals selected for one sample do not dictate which individuals are in the second sample • Dependent – when the individuals selected for one sample determine which individuals are in the second sample; often referred to as matched pairs samples • Welch’s approximate t – the test statistic to compare two independent means
  • 4. Requirements Testing a claim regarding the difference of two means using matched pairs • Sample is obtained using simple random sampling • Sample data are independent • Populations are normally distributed or the sample sizes, n1 and n2, are both large (n ≥ 30) This procedure is robust.
  • 5. Classical and P-Value Approach – Two Means Test Statistic: tα -tα/2 tα/2 -tα Critical Region P-Value is the area highlighted |t0| -|t0| t0 t0 Reject null hypothesis, if P-value < α Left-Tailed Two-Tailed Right-Tailed t0 < - tα t0 < - tα/2 or t0 > tα/2 t0 > tα Remember to add the areas in the two-tailed! (x1 – x2) – (μ1 – μ2 ) t0 = ------------------------------- s1 2 s2 2 ----- + ----- n1 n2
  • 6. Confidence Interval – Difference in Two Means Lower Bound: Upper Bound: tα/2 is determined using the smaller of n1 -1 or n2 -1 degrees of freedom x1 and x2 are the means of the two samples s1 and s2 are the standard deviations of the two samples Note: The two populations need to be normally distributed or the sample sizes large (x1 – x2) – tα/2 · s1 2 s2 2 ----- + ----- n1 n2 (x1 – x2) + tα/2 · s1 2 s2 2 ----- + ----- n1 n2 PE ± MOE
  • 7. Two-sample, independent, T-Test on TI • If you have raw data: – enter data in L1 and L2 • Press STAT, TESTS, select 2-SampT-Test – raw data: List1 set to L1, List2 set to L2 and freq to 1 – summary data: enter as before – Set Pooled to NO • Confidence Intervals – follow hypothesis test steps, except select 2- SampTInt and input confidence level – expect slightly different answers from book
  • 8. Example Problem Given the following data: a) Test the claim that μ1 > μ2 at the α=0.05 level of significance b) Construct a 95% confidence interval about μ1 - μ2 Data Population 1 Population 2 n 23 13 x-bar 43.1 41.0 s 4.5 5.1
  • 9. Example Problem Cont. part a • Requirements: • Hypothesis H0: H1: • Test Statistic: • Critical Value: • Conclusion: μ1 > μ2 μ1 = μ2 (No difference) Assumed to work the problem tc(13-1,0.05) = 1.782, α = 0.05 Fail to Reject H0 = 1.237, p = 0.1144 x1 – x2 - 0 t0 = ------------------------ (s²1/n1) + (s²2/n2)
  • 10. Example Problem Cont. part b • Confidence Interval: PE ± MOE [ -1.5986, 5.7986] by hand (x1 – x2) ± tα/2 · s1 2 s2 2 ----- + ----- n1 n2 tc(13-1,0.025) = 2.179 2.1 ± 2.179  (20.25/23) + (26.01/13) 2.1 ± 2.179 (1.6974) = 2.1 ± 3.6986 [ -1.4166, 5.6156] by calculator It uses a different way to calculate the degrees of freedom (as shown on pg 592)
  • 11. Summary and Homework • Summary – Two sets of data are independent when observations in one have no affect on observations in the other – In this case, the differences of the two means should be used in a Student’s t-test – The overall process, other than the formula for the standard error, are the general hypothesis test and confidence intervals process • Homework – pg 595 – 599: 1, 2, 7, 8, 9, 13, 19
  • 12. Homework Answers • 4 a) Reject H0 (t0 = -4.393, p = 0.0000268) b) [1.1, 12.9] • 6 a) Reject H0 (t0 = 2.4858, p = 0.01746) b) [-30.75, -11.25] • 8 example problem in notes