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Presented by:




Shuheb I. Sayyad
Laxmikant N. Hatwar
Ajinkya M. Ramteke

ASMs IBMR
MBA First yr









We are going to study about rupee deprecation against
dollar(USD).
Indian currency has depreciated close to 22% in last one
year against dollar(USD).
Indian currency is the biggest loser among the Asian
currency.
It affected different sector like automobile, import export,
FDI, Investment, Transportation etc.
Economic growth in India, in the first quarter (April-June
2013)Slipped down by 4.4%.
To control the rupee depreciation RBI took some effective
step, introduced new rules and regulation and brought the
rupee under control by controlling some dependent
variables.
Some key dates are as follows
Continued Global Uncertainty:


Owing to uncertainty prevailing in Europe and slump in
international market investor refers to stay away from risk
investment.

Current Account Deficit:


Countries total import of goods & services were more than
total export of goods and services. This is the primary
reason for rupee depreciation.

Capital Account Flow:

Deficit countries need capital flows and surplus countries
generates capital out flow.
India needs dollars to finance its currents accounts deficits.

Fiscal Deficits:


The fiscal deficits countries to remain high, the
government projected a fiscal deficits target of 4.6% for
2011-12 but is likely to be much higher on account of
higher subsidies.

Interest Rates Difference:




Higher real interest rates generally attracts foreign
investments due to slowdown in growth there is
interesting pressure on RBI to decrease the policy rate.
Under such condition foreign investors stay away from
investing.

Misuse Of Money & Resources:



During last two year in India there is increase in number of
scams and money corruption(2G & coal scams).
In fact,2G scams telecom license were cancelled and
foreign investors were informed that India can go back on
policy decision.










Price increase of oil, gold and other metals which are
imported.
It makes difficult for the Indian government to reduce
current account deficit since India imports over 80% of its
oil.
Economic growth in India in first quarter (April-June)2013
slipped to 4.4%.
A sharp rise in domestic food price has also put grinding
pressure on the rupee.
Their was low Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) relatively last
one year.












64% people reduce investing stock market, stock market
investment giving poor returns.
70.63% of people have started to save their money.
34.13% of respondents have agreed to the fact that they
now have to pay higher EMIs.
57% of people are strongly affected by higher foreign
education cost.
55.56% of people have agreed that foreign traveling
becoming expensive.
Increasing in unemployment rate by 39%.
Foreign Direct Investment



The duties on the import of Gold, silver, platinum were increase
by 10%.
The FDI limits increased in sectors:
Sectors

74

100

Asset
reconstruction

74

100

Insurance

26

49

Petroleum refining



Change % Rates

Telecom



Past % Rates

20

49

New restriction were imposed on Indian resident seeking to send
money abroad to by property.
Put more effort to increase the export give subsidy and provide
more credit limit and liberalized.










The interest rate limits for deposit for non resident Indian
were liberalize.
The bank have banned from trading domestic currency
future and the exchange trade option market on their own.
The state own oil marketing companies which by dollars to
finance their imports were ask to trade only with single
state own bank.
On August 28,RBI announce Forex swap window for
OMCs. The OMCs will have to return the dollars to RBI at
the later date. By offering this facility to OMCs, the RBI
took away monthly demand of rupees 9 Bn from the
currency market.
RBI increase the interest rate and liquidity tightening to
booster the rupee.



On August 28,Rupee reach new high of Rupee 68.83%
against US dollar.
After introducing new rules & regulations by RBI

On September 19th
On September 20th





63.38 closing
61.78 closing

This was highest strengthening of rupee 2.54% with in one
day in last two years.
The BSE Sensex raised by 3.43% with in one day.
RBI’s special swaps facilities bring $5.6bn in September.
BIG MOVERS in “NIFTY”

Top gainers

Sep 19(rs)

% chg.

YES bank

386.70

22.43

Reliance communication

160.70

12.18

Union bank

139.30

9.86

Punjab national bank

556.80

9.36

Consumption of yellow metal falls 32% in Jully-September.
Demand

2012(tons)

2013(tons)

% growth

Jewellery

136.10

104.70

-23.07

Investment

83.00

43.50

-47.59

Total

219.10

148.20

-32.36

Supply

2012(tons)

2013(tons)

% growth

Net import
Recycled gold

223.00
34.00

85.00
61.00

-61.88
79.41

Other sources

2.00

2.00

0.00

Total

260.00

148.00

-43.08


Using Forex Reserves:

Period/years

Forex reserves (millions of US $)

2010

304,818

2011

294,398

2012

153,075

2013

145,113

Making investment attractive:
RBI can take step to increase supply foreign currency by
expanding market participation to support Rupee.











Key policy reform that should be initiated include Goods
and Services Tax (GST), Direct Tax Code (DTC), FDI in
aviation and retail sector, companies bills and diesel
decontrol.
Higher custom duties on consumer electronic goods which
are not part of IT as per the agreement of WTO.
India should immediately accept Iran’s offer to sell crude
oil entirely in Rupees at terms & conditions. India could
save Rupees 8.5Bn in foreign exchange.
India could begin trading in local currency with BRICS
partner and Asian countries.
Enter into currency swap agreements.
Thank you !

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Study on money management by rbi for rupee depreciation against us dollar for the year 2012 13

  • 1. Presented by:    Shuheb I. Sayyad Laxmikant N. Hatwar Ajinkya M. Ramteke ASMs IBMR MBA First yr
  • 2.        We are going to study about rupee deprecation against dollar(USD). Indian currency has depreciated close to 22% in last one year against dollar(USD). Indian currency is the biggest loser among the Asian currency. It affected different sector like automobile, import export, FDI, Investment, Transportation etc. Economic growth in India, in the first quarter (April-June 2013)Slipped down by 4.4%. To control the rupee depreciation RBI took some effective step, introduced new rules and regulation and brought the rupee under control by controlling some dependent variables. Some key dates are as follows
  • 3.
  • 4. Continued Global Uncertainty:  Owing to uncertainty prevailing in Europe and slump in international market investor refers to stay away from risk investment. Current Account Deficit:  Countries total import of goods & services were more than total export of goods and services. This is the primary reason for rupee depreciation. Capital Account Flow: Deficit countries need capital flows and surplus countries generates capital out flow. India needs dollars to finance its currents accounts deficits. 
  • 5. Fiscal Deficits:  The fiscal deficits countries to remain high, the government projected a fiscal deficits target of 4.6% for 2011-12 but is likely to be much higher on account of higher subsidies. Interest Rates Difference:   Higher real interest rates generally attracts foreign investments due to slowdown in growth there is interesting pressure on RBI to decrease the policy rate. Under such condition foreign investors stay away from investing. Misuse Of Money & Resources:   During last two year in India there is increase in number of scams and money corruption(2G & coal scams). In fact,2G scams telecom license were cancelled and foreign investors were informed that India can go back on policy decision.
  • 6.      Price increase of oil, gold and other metals which are imported. It makes difficult for the Indian government to reduce current account deficit since India imports over 80% of its oil. Economic growth in India in first quarter (April-June)2013 slipped to 4.4%. A sharp rise in domestic food price has also put grinding pressure on the rupee. Their was low Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) relatively last one year.
  • 7.       64% people reduce investing stock market, stock market investment giving poor returns. 70.63% of people have started to save their money. 34.13% of respondents have agreed to the fact that they now have to pay higher EMIs. 57% of people are strongly affected by higher foreign education cost. 55.56% of people have agreed that foreign traveling becoming expensive. Increasing in unemployment rate by 39%.
  • 9.   The duties on the import of Gold, silver, platinum were increase by 10%. The FDI limits increased in sectors: Sectors 74 100 Asset reconstruction 74 100 Insurance 26 49 Petroleum refining  Change % Rates Telecom  Past % Rates 20 49 New restriction were imposed on Indian resident seeking to send money abroad to by property. Put more effort to increase the export give subsidy and provide more credit limit and liberalized.
  • 10.      The interest rate limits for deposit for non resident Indian were liberalize. The bank have banned from trading domestic currency future and the exchange trade option market on their own. The state own oil marketing companies which by dollars to finance their imports were ask to trade only with single state own bank. On August 28,RBI announce Forex swap window for OMCs. The OMCs will have to return the dollars to RBI at the later date. By offering this facility to OMCs, the RBI took away monthly demand of rupees 9 Bn from the currency market. RBI increase the interest rate and liquidity tightening to booster the rupee.
  • 11.   On August 28,Rupee reach new high of Rupee 68.83% against US dollar. After introducing new rules & regulations by RBI On September 19th On September 20th    63.38 closing 61.78 closing This was highest strengthening of rupee 2.54% with in one day in last two years. The BSE Sensex raised by 3.43% with in one day. RBI’s special swaps facilities bring $5.6bn in September.
  • 12. BIG MOVERS in “NIFTY” Top gainers Sep 19(rs) % chg. YES bank 386.70 22.43 Reliance communication 160.70 12.18 Union bank 139.30 9.86 Punjab national bank 556.80 9.36 Consumption of yellow metal falls 32% in Jully-September. Demand 2012(tons) 2013(tons) % growth Jewellery 136.10 104.70 -23.07 Investment 83.00 43.50 -47.59 Total 219.10 148.20 -32.36 Supply 2012(tons) 2013(tons) % growth Net import Recycled gold 223.00 34.00 85.00 61.00 -61.88 79.41 Other sources 2.00 2.00 0.00 Total 260.00 148.00 -43.08
  • 13.  Using Forex Reserves: Period/years Forex reserves (millions of US $) 2010 304,818 2011 294,398 2012 153,075 2013 145,113 Making investment attractive: RBI can take step to increase supply foreign currency by expanding market participation to support Rupee. 
  • 14.      Key policy reform that should be initiated include Goods and Services Tax (GST), Direct Tax Code (DTC), FDI in aviation and retail sector, companies bills and diesel decontrol. Higher custom duties on consumer electronic goods which are not part of IT as per the agreement of WTO. India should immediately accept Iran’s offer to sell crude oil entirely in Rupees at terms & conditions. India could save Rupees 8.5Bn in foreign exchange. India could begin trading in local currency with BRICS partner and Asian countries. Enter into currency swap agreements.