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ASSESSING CANDIDATES




             So Who Have We Really Been Hiring?
                        We make assumptions about the tools we use to hire people.
                            But sometimes, we’re assuming a bit too much.
     By Gary C. Townsend, head of HR Business Integration and Workforce Analytics, Coca-Cola Africa




          easurement as the “scientific” basis of the hiring    zation has to get it right. Everything else is a consequence
M         process is generally unquestioned.The assumption
is that the tools in use have been validated and are generally
                                                                of this choice: coaching, communication, creativity and
                                                                innovation, diversity, empowerment, initiative and risk-
accepted in practice as being statistically sound. As a         taking, mentoring, personal integrity, planning and
consequence, most of the ongoing efforts of recruiters have     organizing, problem solving and decision making, quality
been focused on figuring out how the assessments are            of results, teamwork, technical competency, vision, and the
helping delivery of all these strategies such as “recruiting    list goes on. All said and done, the selection process, more
the best,” “building world-class talent,” “driving diversity    often than not, is really a guesstimate based on interviewer
through creative recruiting strategies,” “finding more          experience, some “timeless” tools (and accompanying
innovative ways to hire the best,” and “building pipelines      assumptions) we inherit with it, the odd gut-feel (often
for leadership talent.”                                         lumped into the “fit-factor”), and the internal politics of the
   Similarly, there’s debate about the transactional aspects    day.
of assessments — should we administer                                              Given the aforementioned, maybe the
                                                         These very
them with paper or online, for example. In                                      recruiting community should pause to
other words, the use of assessments has
                                                   impressive-looking consider the tremendous implications of
become a given. In many ways, the                    manuals, usually           how we construct our assessments and how
perception of the recruiting community is           filled with equally         they can be affected by things that may seem
that it has moved along to bigger and better impressive statistics, trivial or academic. It is often left in the
things, as though the assessment part of the       are often not worth hands of the apparent experts from various
process has been neatly packaged and dealt
                                                   the paper they are outsourced companies to select and
with by virtue   of its historical contribution.                                administer these products because of the
                                                         written on.
The question, however, remains: Are the                                         perceived overly technical nature of this part
assessments we’re using in fact providing the solid             of the recruiting exercise. This is understandable, given
foundation we assume they are?                                  the effort it takes to go through any assessment’s detailed
   While all the inspirational strategies provide most          technical report to validate its proposed accuracy and
recruiters with great material for planning sessions and        applicability. These very impressive-looking manuals,
personal performance-development plans, one cannot but          usually filled with equally impressive statistics, are often not
reflect on where it all points to. What is fundamentally        worth the paper they are written on.
driving all the fanciful models, and more important, what          The truth of the matter is that any interpretation can only
is everyone ultimately attempting to achieve? Once distilled,   be as good as the quality of its measure. Herein lies the
it appears relatively straightforward — measuring for the       fundamental problem we’re facing — that recruiters are
most suitable person for the job — nothing more and             often unaware of how these measures are constructed.
nothing less.                                                   When one considers the diligence exhibited throughout the
   Hiring is the one objective opportunity that every organi-   recruiting processes, the selection of tools and instruments,



©2007 ERE Media, Inc.                                                Journal of Corporate Recruiting Leadership | crljournal.com | JUNE 2007   9
ASSESSING CANDIDATES

                                                                      FUZZY MATH


     and sometimes even the choice of statistical analysis, it        exactly the same score of 9.
     would make sense to focus equally on the primary question           Considering this situation, it is clear that we are making
     of the basis of the measurement construction. It’s               the following assumptions when we add up the rating in this
     impossible to make inferences about who is the better            fashion: 1) that each item contributes equally to the
     person for the job without rigorous measurement. This            measurement of the construct, and 2) that each item is
     has to be the pivotal issue once we decide to use any form       measured on the same scale.
     of psychological assessment as part of the selection battery.       When considering the first assumption, we’re concluding
       So, to the point. If we’re looking for the best, how do we     that each item has exactly the same qualitative value when
     measure for “the best”? And even more important, how             measuring this imaginary idea about what constitutes
     do we know we have a tool that is calibrated to measure the      leadership. However, it is glaringly obvious that each of the
     best in a way that is invariant and can be reproduced            items represented above brings distinctively different
     whenever necessary?                                              qualitative values to the overall leadership measure we’re
       For a bit more clarity, let’s deconstruct this using a typical attempting. Consider items 1 and 3 in Figure 1. It is
     example of how these rating scales are put together when         obvious that a high score on item 1 should carry more
     developing an occupational or personality instrument. First,     weight than an equally high score on item 3. One could
     the researcher would establish a group of items                               argue as well that item 2 also holds a relatively
     intended to measure a specific construct such                                 low standing on this leadership hierarchy
     as leadership. After these items were
                                                          We have to ensure relative to item 1 and possibly a higher ranking
     administered to a selected sample of                      that we are         than item 3. This brings us to the heart of the
     individuals, the responses would in turn be measuring and not discussion. If our items reflect a distinct
     aggregated and presented as a total scale value.      simply counting difference in the levels of endorsement they
     In our example, let’s assume that the                   observations.         bring to the leadership ability we’re seeking to
     researcher is developing a scale to measure                                   measure, then we cannot avoid analyzing our
     leadership, with high total scores representing                               data in a way that distinguishes the value that
     more of the qualities being measured and low scores              each item brings to the measurement of the whole thing.
     indicating less. The items are scored on a five-point Likert     There can be very little doubt that a score of 4 on item 1
     scale: 1 (never), 2 (seldom), 3 (neither most of the time nor    contributes significantly more to leadership than a score of
     seldom), 4 (most of the time), 5 (always). Given this            4 on item 3.
     context, let’s assume that the following represent a few of         The second assumption in turn raises the issue of the
     the items measuring this leadership construct.                   interval scale. By including the five-point Likert scale, we
                                                                                              assume that it represents a uniform
      Figure 1
                                                                                              distribution between each point on
                                                                                              the item scale as well as across all
                                                                                              the items. Let’s consider the first
                                                                                              item in our example. Given the
                                                                                              assumption of each point on the
                                                                                              scale being equidistant, we would
       Let us now assume that the rating-scale response for an        imagine that (N) never is equally far from (S) seldom as
     individual on the three items represented above is 1, 3,         (M) most of the time is from (A) always or (S) seldom is
     and 5, respectively. Traditionally, this person would be         from (NSM) neither seldom nor most of the time, etc.
     assigned a score of 9 on the leadership scale, and this 9        However, considering the item statement Exploits
     would then be used as the measure on all further statistical     information from various constituents to formulate plans
     analyses. Now let’s consider another individual who              for competing in the marketplace, it could very well be
     responded 4, 4, and 1. It is patent that this person receives    possible that (N) never and (S) seldom are psychologically



10   Journal of Corporate Recruiting Leadership | crljournal.com | JUNE 2007                                      ©2007 ERE Media, Inc.
ASSESSING CANDIDATES

                                                      FUZZY MATH


much closer to each other (in the minds of the                  respondent, for example, could have just completed an
respondents), as are (M) most of the time and (A) always.       exercise gathering strategic market-related intelligence.
Let us explore this graphically using item 1 (see Figure 2).    On the other hand, the respondent could be accessing
  Responses based on the assumption of linearity and            information based on similar but more historical personal
equidistance would graphically look something like this (the    actions. These two scenarios could be all that separate the
assumption being that the difference between N and S is the     choice of always from the choice of most of the time!
same as that between S and NSM, and so on).                     However, it’s very unlikely that, given the suggested context
                                                                                              above, the second scenario
Figure 2                                                                                      would result in a tossup between
                                                                                              (NSM) neither seldom nor most
                                                                                              of the time and (M) most of the
                                                                                              time — (c).
  In reality, and as explained above, there’s a very distinct      In much the same way as explained above, this lack of
difference in respondents’ psychological interpretation of      linearity is usually evident across all the items as well. Here’s
the distances between these various options. Respondents        what I mean by that. The psychological distance (value)
to this and other items would find the choice between (M)       between NSM and M — (c) on item 1 may be very different
more often than not and (A) always much easier than             from that of item 3.
between (S) seldom and (NSM) neither seldom nor most               Two prospective applicants with exactly the same psycho-
of the time. (N) never and (S) seldom are also much more        logical style and associated skills being identified by item 1
difficult to choose between in terms of endorsement.            could very possibly view the psychological distinction
  If we were to graphically lay this out, we would note that    between NSM, M, and A very differently.
the relative distances in terms of strength of endorsement         One individual, for example, could feel comfortable
look something like this:                                       selecting M as a response, while another would have no
                                                                                           problem selecting NSM. This
 Figure 3                                                                                  would have minimal impact when
                                                                                           hiring some frontline supervisor,
                                                                                           but when we start dealing with
                                                                                           high-stakes personnel, it can so
                                                                                           easily translate into either an
                                                                                           unqualified success or devastating
                                                                                           failure for the organization. So one
                                                                                           cannot make the assumption that
   This spatial representation of the psychological impact of   the “value” of a move from NSM to M is the same as that
making these choices demonstrates that there’s a large          of a move from M to A.
psychological difference between endorsing A on this               Further, simply tallying raw scores and using them as an
fictitious leadership item and rejecting it N — (d). The        indicator of the strongest candidate on this particular item
decision is relatively definitive — you either exploit          will most definitely result in a bias against the individual who
information from various constituents or you don’t.             selected (M) most of the time as opposed to (A) always.
However, when one considers the psychological shift that           In essence, raw item ratings are unable to factor in this
has to be made in deciding to endorse either (M) more           lack of linearity both within and across the various items
often than not or (A) always, the boundaries start blurring     measuring a specific quality such as leadership. The
considerably — (b).                                             majority of instruments currently in circulation perpetuate
   The choice now becomes more reflexive. This could be         this fundamental weakness in their designs. They confuse
based on a host of psychological precursors. The                counts with measures.



©2007 ERE Media, Inc.                                             Journal of Corporate Recruiting Leadership | crljournal.com | JUNE 2007   11
ASSESSING CANDIDATES

                                                                      FUZZY MATH


        The quantitative observations they use to arrive at a final
     score are grounded in counting observed events or, as in
     this example, leadership properties, whereas for any
     measurement to be meaningful, it must be based on the
     arithmetical properties of the interval scales used. So, before
     we even begin to consider whether one candidate is better
     suited for a particular job than another, we have to be
     assured of this fundamental prerequisite — that
     measurement can only take place once a calibrated
     measure, with a well-defined origin and unit, has been
     constructed in a way that can be consistently and reliably
     used. We have to ensure that we are measuring and not
     simply counting observations.
        To date we have readily accepted the various reports and
     analyses stemming from a host of assessments without any
     reservations. I propose that the next time we pick up the
     phone to call our favorite assessment consultancy or reach
     for one off the shelf, we are able to answer the question,
     Does this instrument allow me to independently estimate
     the measure of the person’s ability or endorsement level
     on the latent trait and the level of difficulty of the various
     items on the same latent trait and yet compare them
     explicitly to one another? After all, how accurate could any
     selection process be if the determining psychological
     construct has never been measured comprehensively in the
     first place?



                   Gary C.Townsend is head of HR Business Integration
                   and Workforce Analytics at Coca-Cola Africa.
                   gtownsend@afr.ko.com
                   Gary Townsend joined Coca-Cola Southern & East
                   Africa Division as part of a team that developed and
                   managed a unique marketing management training
     program for graduates. He was tasked with the curriculum design,
     assessments, recruitment, training, management, and placement.After
     three years, he moved into the role of human resources information
     strategy manager for the Coca-Cola Southern and East Africa
     Division. In 2005, he assumed the role of head of HR Business
     Integration and Workforce Analytics as a member of the Center of
     Excellence for Coca-Cola Africa, with an accountability extending
     across 56 countries. In this role he provides strategic direction and
     thought leadership in supporting the Africa Group and local division
     strategies.




12   Journal of Corporate Recruiting Leadership | crljournal.com | JUNE 2007       ©2007 ERE Media, Inc.

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So Who Have We Really Been Hiring

  • 1. ASSESSING CANDIDATES So Who Have We Really Been Hiring? We make assumptions about the tools we use to hire people. But sometimes, we’re assuming a bit too much. By Gary C. Townsend, head of HR Business Integration and Workforce Analytics, Coca-Cola Africa easurement as the “scientific” basis of the hiring zation has to get it right. Everything else is a consequence M process is generally unquestioned.The assumption is that the tools in use have been validated and are generally of this choice: coaching, communication, creativity and innovation, diversity, empowerment, initiative and risk- accepted in practice as being statistically sound. As a taking, mentoring, personal integrity, planning and consequence, most of the ongoing efforts of recruiters have organizing, problem solving and decision making, quality been focused on figuring out how the assessments are of results, teamwork, technical competency, vision, and the helping delivery of all these strategies such as “recruiting list goes on. All said and done, the selection process, more the best,” “building world-class talent,” “driving diversity often than not, is really a guesstimate based on interviewer through creative recruiting strategies,” “finding more experience, some “timeless” tools (and accompanying innovative ways to hire the best,” and “building pipelines assumptions) we inherit with it, the odd gut-feel (often for leadership talent.” lumped into the “fit-factor”), and the internal politics of the Similarly, there’s debate about the transactional aspects day. of assessments — should we administer Given the aforementioned, maybe the These very them with paper or online, for example. In recruiting community should pause to other words, the use of assessments has impressive-looking consider the tremendous implications of become a given. In many ways, the manuals, usually how we construct our assessments and how perception of the recruiting community is filled with equally they can be affected by things that may seem that it has moved along to bigger and better impressive statistics, trivial or academic. It is often left in the things, as though the assessment part of the are often not worth hands of the apparent experts from various process has been neatly packaged and dealt the paper they are outsourced companies to select and with by virtue of its historical contribution. administer these products because of the written on. The question, however, remains: Are the perceived overly technical nature of this part assessments we’re using in fact providing the solid of the recruiting exercise. This is understandable, given foundation we assume they are? the effort it takes to go through any assessment’s detailed While all the inspirational strategies provide most technical report to validate its proposed accuracy and recruiters with great material for planning sessions and applicability. These very impressive-looking manuals, personal performance-development plans, one cannot but usually filled with equally impressive statistics, are often not reflect on where it all points to. What is fundamentally worth the paper they are written on. driving all the fanciful models, and more important, what The truth of the matter is that any interpretation can only is everyone ultimately attempting to achieve? Once distilled, be as good as the quality of its measure. Herein lies the it appears relatively straightforward — measuring for the fundamental problem we’re facing — that recruiters are most suitable person for the job — nothing more and often unaware of how these measures are constructed. nothing less. When one considers the diligence exhibited throughout the Hiring is the one objective opportunity that every organi- recruiting processes, the selection of tools and instruments, ©2007 ERE Media, Inc. Journal of Corporate Recruiting Leadership | crljournal.com | JUNE 2007 9
  • 2. ASSESSING CANDIDATES FUZZY MATH and sometimes even the choice of statistical analysis, it exactly the same score of 9. would make sense to focus equally on the primary question Considering this situation, it is clear that we are making of the basis of the measurement construction. It’s the following assumptions when we add up the rating in this impossible to make inferences about who is the better fashion: 1) that each item contributes equally to the person for the job without rigorous measurement. This measurement of the construct, and 2) that each item is has to be the pivotal issue once we decide to use any form measured on the same scale. of psychological assessment as part of the selection battery. When considering the first assumption, we’re concluding So, to the point. If we’re looking for the best, how do we that each item has exactly the same qualitative value when measure for “the best”? And even more important, how measuring this imaginary idea about what constitutes do we know we have a tool that is calibrated to measure the leadership. However, it is glaringly obvious that each of the best in a way that is invariant and can be reproduced items represented above brings distinctively different whenever necessary? qualitative values to the overall leadership measure we’re For a bit more clarity, let’s deconstruct this using a typical attempting. Consider items 1 and 3 in Figure 1. It is example of how these rating scales are put together when obvious that a high score on item 1 should carry more developing an occupational or personality instrument. First, weight than an equally high score on item 3. One could the researcher would establish a group of items argue as well that item 2 also holds a relatively intended to measure a specific construct such low standing on this leadership hierarchy as leadership. After these items were We have to ensure relative to item 1 and possibly a higher ranking administered to a selected sample of that we are than item 3. This brings us to the heart of the individuals, the responses would in turn be measuring and not discussion. If our items reflect a distinct aggregated and presented as a total scale value. simply counting difference in the levels of endorsement they In our example, let’s assume that the observations. bring to the leadership ability we’re seeking to researcher is developing a scale to measure measure, then we cannot avoid analyzing our leadership, with high total scores representing data in a way that distinguishes the value that more of the qualities being measured and low scores each item brings to the measurement of the whole thing. indicating less. The items are scored on a five-point Likert There can be very little doubt that a score of 4 on item 1 scale: 1 (never), 2 (seldom), 3 (neither most of the time nor contributes significantly more to leadership than a score of seldom), 4 (most of the time), 5 (always). Given this 4 on item 3. context, let’s assume that the following represent a few of The second assumption in turn raises the issue of the the items measuring this leadership construct. interval scale. By including the five-point Likert scale, we assume that it represents a uniform Figure 1 distribution between each point on the item scale as well as across all the items. Let’s consider the first item in our example. Given the assumption of each point on the scale being equidistant, we would Let us now assume that the rating-scale response for an imagine that (N) never is equally far from (S) seldom as individual on the three items represented above is 1, 3, (M) most of the time is from (A) always or (S) seldom is and 5, respectively. Traditionally, this person would be from (NSM) neither seldom nor most of the time, etc. assigned a score of 9 on the leadership scale, and this 9 However, considering the item statement Exploits would then be used as the measure on all further statistical information from various constituents to formulate plans analyses. Now let’s consider another individual who for competing in the marketplace, it could very well be responded 4, 4, and 1. It is patent that this person receives possible that (N) never and (S) seldom are psychologically 10 Journal of Corporate Recruiting Leadership | crljournal.com | JUNE 2007 ©2007 ERE Media, Inc.
  • 3. ASSESSING CANDIDATES FUZZY MATH much closer to each other (in the minds of the respondent, for example, could have just completed an respondents), as are (M) most of the time and (A) always. exercise gathering strategic market-related intelligence. Let us explore this graphically using item 1 (see Figure 2). On the other hand, the respondent could be accessing Responses based on the assumption of linearity and information based on similar but more historical personal equidistance would graphically look something like this (the actions. These two scenarios could be all that separate the assumption being that the difference between N and S is the choice of always from the choice of most of the time! same as that between S and NSM, and so on). However, it’s very unlikely that, given the suggested context above, the second scenario Figure 2 would result in a tossup between (NSM) neither seldom nor most of the time and (M) most of the time — (c). In reality, and as explained above, there’s a very distinct In much the same way as explained above, this lack of difference in respondents’ psychological interpretation of linearity is usually evident across all the items as well. Here’s the distances between these various options. Respondents what I mean by that. The psychological distance (value) to this and other items would find the choice between (M) between NSM and M — (c) on item 1 may be very different more often than not and (A) always much easier than from that of item 3. between (S) seldom and (NSM) neither seldom nor most Two prospective applicants with exactly the same psycho- of the time. (N) never and (S) seldom are also much more logical style and associated skills being identified by item 1 difficult to choose between in terms of endorsement. could very possibly view the psychological distinction If we were to graphically lay this out, we would note that between NSM, M, and A very differently. the relative distances in terms of strength of endorsement One individual, for example, could feel comfortable look something like this: selecting M as a response, while another would have no problem selecting NSM. This Figure 3 would have minimal impact when hiring some frontline supervisor, but when we start dealing with high-stakes personnel, it can so easily translate into either an unqualified success or devastating failure for the organization. So one cannot make the assumption that This spatial representation of the psychological impact of the “value” of a move from NSM to M is the same as that making these choices demonstrates that there’s a large of a move from M to A. psychological difference between endorsing A on this Further, simply tallying raw scores and using them as an fictitious leadership item and rejecting it N — (d). The indicator of the strongest candidate on this particular item decision is relatively definitive — you either exploit will most definitely result in a bias against the individual who information from various constituents or you don’t. selected (M) most of the time as opposed to (A) always. However, when one considers the psychological shift that In essence, raw item ratings are unable to factor in this has to be made in deciding to endorse either (M) more lack of linearity both within and across the various items often than not or (A) always, the boundaries start blurring measuring a specific quality such as leadership. The considerably — (b). majority of instruments currently in circulation perpetuate The choice now becomes more reflexive. This could be this fundamental weakness in their designs. They confuse based on a host of psychological precursors. The counts with measures. ©2007 ERE Media, Inc. Journal of Corporate Recruiting Leadership | crljournal.com | JUNE 2007 11
  • 4. ASSESSING CANDIDATES FUZZY MATH The quantitative observations they use to arrive at a final score are grounded in counting observed events or, as in this example, leadership properties, whereas for any measurement to be meaningful, it must be based on the arithmetical properties of the interval scales used. So, before we even begin to consider whether one candidate is better suited for a particular job than another, we have to be assured of this fundamental prerequisite — that measurement can only take place once a calibrated measure, with a well-defined origin and unit, has been constructed in a way that can be consistently and reliably used. We have to ensure that we are measuring and not simply counting observations. To date we have readily accepted the various reports and analyses stemming from a host of assessments without any reservations. I propose that the next time we pick up the phone to call our favorite assessment consultancy or reach for one off the shelf, we are able to answer the question, Does this instrument allow me to independently estimate the measure of the person’s ability or endorsement level on the latent trait and the level of difficulty of the various items on the same latent trait and yet compare them explicitly to one another? After all, how accurate could any selection process be if the determining psychological construct has never been measured comprehensively in the first place? Gary C.Townsend is head of HR Business Integration and Workforce Analytics at Coca-Cola Africa. gtownsend@afr.ko.com Gary Townsend joined Coca-Cola Southern & East Africa Division as part of a team that developed and managed a unique marketing management training program for graduates. He was tasked with the curriculum design, assessments, recruitment, training, management, and placement.After three years, he moved into the role of human resources information strategy manager for the Coca-Cola Southern and East Africa Division. In 2005, he assumed the role of head of HR Business Integration and Workforce Analytics as a member of the Center of Excellence for Coca-Cola Africa, with an accountability extending across 56 countries. In this role he provides strategic direction and thought leadership in supporting the Africa Group and local division strategies. 12 Journal of Corporate Recruiting Leadership | crljournal.com | JUNE 2007 ©2007 ERE Media, Inc.