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A different IoT
I o T
Intelligence of Two Systems
2 + 2 = ?
Experience your own 2 systems
17 x 24 = ?
Experience your own 2 systems
Feel how system 2 can control system 1
But often system 2 is not in control
Feel how system 2 can control system 1
Jack’s dad has 3 sons
Hewey, Duey & . . . . .
How does your
brain work?
Subconscious
Fast
Emotional
Impulsive
Conscious
Slow
Rational
Considered
System 1 System 2
At the end of this test,
I ask a question.
Don’t stop and think about it
Answer immediately!
How much is:15 + 63 + 5689 + 212 + 5375 + 2625 + 5263 + 32
I Know! Calculations are hard
work. But it’s nearly over.
Come on, one more…
123 + 5
QUICK!
THINK ABOUT A
COLOR AND A
TOOL!
Thoughts are quickly depleted
Thoughts are quickly depleted
System 1 is automated
Winner
System 1 is automated
BA
Winner
Winner
System 2 needs Focus & Attention
BA
BA
Winner
System 2 often lives in the illusion of control
Subconscious
Fast
Emotional
Impulsive
Conscious
Slow
Rational
Considered
System 1 System 2
Illusions of Thought
Situational Factors
Context
Environment
Emotions
Personal factors
Marketing
Decision
System 1
System 2
Behavior
Context, Emotions, Environment
Internet of Things
Behavioral data has become abundant
Situational data has become abundant
Emotions
Preference
Environment
Context
How to recognize the systems?
Situational factors
Preference A gift History
An expensive product Habit
Context Shopping list app Buying something for yourself
Alone With others
Environment Rainy Sunny
Empty store Busy store
Emotions Slow heartbeat Fast heartbeat
Sad or neutral Angry or extremely happy
(always on)(lazy controller)
System 1System 2
How to recognize the systems?
Situational factors
Preference A gift History
An expensive product Habit
Context Shopping list app Buying something for yourself
Alone With others
Environment Rainy Sunny
Empty store Busy store
Emotions Slow heartbeat Fast heartbeat
Sad or neutral Angry or extremely happy
(always on)(lazy controller)
System 1System 2
How to recognize the systems?
Situational factors
Preference A gift History
An expensive product Habit
Context Shopping list app Buying something for yourself
Alone With others
Environment Rainy Sunny
Empty store Busy store
Emotions Slow heartbeat Fast heartbeat
Sad or neutral Angry or extremely happy
(always on)(lazy controller)
System 1System 2
How to recognize the systems?
Situational factors
Preference A gift History
An expensive product Habit
Context Shopping list app Buying something for yourself
Alone With others
Environment Rainy Sunny
Empty store Busy store
Emotions Slow heartbeat Fast heartbeat
Sad or neutral Angry or extremely happy
(always on)(lazy controller)
System 1System 2
How to recognize the systems?
Example
indicators
User flow Follow ideal paths Are all over the place
Time of day Mornings Afternoon
Day of week Mondays Fridays
Network WiFi 3G / 4G
Conversion rate High base rates Low base rates
Source Direct & Long-tail search Social, Mail, Display,…
Moment Right before paying Scanning and orientation
Decision Important, big decision Small, automated decision
(always on)(lazy controller)
System 1System 2
Subconscious
Fast
Emotional
Impulsive
Conscious
Slow
Rational
Considered
System 1 System 2
Key takeaways
Situational Factors
Context
Environment
Emotions
Personal factors
Marketing
Decision
System 1
System 2
Behavior
Key takeaways
I o T
Illusions of Thought
Thanks!
@joostfromberg
joost.fromberg@onlinedialogue.com
Download these slides?
=>
http://ondi.me/smartsummit17
Course on
Consumer Psychology?
=>
http://WheelOfPersuasion.com/Course
Consultancy on how to apply
Evidence Based Growth?
=>
Joost.Fromberg@OnlineDialogue.com

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Slidedeck smart summit london '17

Editor's Notes

  1. Left the house, turned my Roomba on, knowing that when I get back home my house is dust free. But, I also have a vacuum cleaner and a handy vac, and my appartment isn’t even that big. So why did I really want to have a Roomba? And why did I spend 900 euros on a robot vacuum duster, while going out to party or getting dinner has a whole different perspective? That’s because our thoughts are subjective and quite often irrational. So, today I don’t want to speak about the IoT you’re familiar with, but about a different IoT…
  2. The Intelligence of Two Systems. I experiment on approximately 20M people every month and everyone in this room has two brain systems made for decision-making. There’s no difference in gender, age, race or whatsoever.
  3. So, let’s experience it yourself. What’s the answer to this one?
  4. Vragen naar verschil in proces? Voel je het? Kort uitleg wat er gebeurd. Geen systeem 1-2
  5. Persuasion techniques and principles are key for ecommerce success. It also is an area where we can still improve a lot and where we are not depending on IT/resources or on (high) budgets: it is mainly about copy and design elements.
  6. So, we have two systems. System 1 and System 2. System 1 is always there, responds automatically. Doesn’t think. So when it reads Huey, Dewey it automatically responds Louie. And when it has to read out the color, it automatically reads the words. While System 2 is the lazy controller. It pops up when there are important decisions to be made, but otherwise it prefers to be asleep. You need to know about these two systems, because they require different communication. Is your customer taking a System 1 or System 2 decision? So, let’s see how they influence each other. I’m going to give you a couple of sums, please do the math without speaking. But, at the end I’m going to give you a question and I want you to respond immediately.
  7. And to show you how slow and easily depleted your System 2 is, let’s do a little experiment.
  8. So, we see that when we have System 2 depleted, we go for the automatic respons, the easy response.
  9. Perception-Behavior Link
  10. And Penny responds automatically and follows the lines
  11. And Sheldon needs focus and attention.
  12. Cookie consent? (TMG)
  13. So, this is how our brain works. We have a System 1 and a System 2. And we saw that different decisions, require different systems. System 2 prefers to be asleep, but wakes up when there’s a difficult task at hand. System 2 prefers to be asleep, so we live in this illusion of thought. We think that we think, but in fact we do so much based on our System 1. But, the situation is also very important!
  14. That also holds up for this. If you want people to behave better, and make less of a mess, make your house subtly smell like lemons.
  15. And what do all of these people have in common? We make up stories and the situation is extremely important.
  16. We make up stories, we make up reasons, we even make up thoughts.
  17. Why do I like to be in the digital world? Because we can measure the environment now through IoT. Humanity is unique, individual humans not so much 1) people do not have well- formulated preferences and often construct utilities in the moment (attitudes are imperfect predictors of behavior) people’s decisions can be highly sensitive to situational factors people seem to be relatively insensitive to the impact of these situational factors in shaping their behavior 2) People rely also on their memories of utility for their own past behaviors, inferring that their past actions are good indicators of their utilities. SITUATION IS EXTREMELY IMPORTANT
  18. And with IoT you can measure the environment, and control the situation.
  19. Wearables IoT Implants (0,5 million people) Everyone leaves a digital footprint
  20. Preference: Behavioral History (Data). Gewoonte, wat kocht je eerder. Gewoonte = System 1, geen gewoonte = Systeem 2, moet je eerder nadenken. Context: App (goal-directed). Is dit Not For Me, of Buying For Myself. Is this Top-Down, Bottom-Up. Staat het in het boodschappenlijstje van de app. Kan je ze verleiden iets anders verkopen als het druk is of rustig is in de winkel? Komt iemand hier met voorbedachte rade. Emotions: Wearables. System 1 = Hoge hartslag, System 2 = lage hartslag. Environment: bepaal hoe de omgeving is. Drukte = hoop afleiding, minder System 2. Leidt niemand af met push notifications. Meet of iemands kinderen erbij zijn, of partner? Implants (0,5 million people)
  21. Why do I like to be in the digital world? Because we can measure the environment now through IoT. Humanity is unique, individual humans not so much 1) people do not have well- formulated preferences and often construct utilities in the moment (attitudes are imperfect predictors of behavior) people’s decisions can be highly sensitive to situational factors people seem to be relatively insensitive to the impact of these situational factors in shaping their behavior 2) People rely also on their memories of utility for their own past behaviors, inferring that their past actions are good indicators of their utilities. SITUATION IS EXTREMELY IMPORTANT
  22. So, for me, IoT isn’t Internet of Things.
  23. It’s illusions of thought.