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“                                          2020 ”
             26          2554




                  Siam Intelligence Unit

    http://www.siamintelligence.com/
AEC


4



              5

          /       /
AEC


                  /




    (
)             /
AEC
AEC




      /
AEC




AEC
AEC
Asia Decoupling ?




 : ADB June 2009
-10
                                        -8
                                             -6
                                                  -4
                                                       -2
                                                                                                                        0
                                                                                                                            2
                           1970
                           1971
                                                                                                                                % GDP
                           1972
                           1973
                           1974
                           1975




Source: IMF October 2009
                           1976
                           1977
                           1978
                           1979
                           1980
                                                                                                                                        Fiscal Balance




                           1981
                           1982
                                                       World



                           1983
                           1984
                           1985
                           1986
                           1987
                           1988
                                                                                                   Advanced economies




                           1989
                           1990
                           1991
                           1992
                           1993
                           1994
                                                               Emerging and developing economies




                           1995
                           1996
                           1997
                           1998
                           1999
                           2000
                           2001
                           2002
                           2003
                           2004
                           2005
                           2006
                           2007
                           2008
                           2009
                           2010
                           2011
                           2012
                           2013
                           2014
Public Debt




                            10
 Source: IMF October 2009
Contribution to Growth of Global Economy




Source: IMF April 2011
SIU AEC Aug 2011
SIU AEC Aug 2011
SIU AEC Aug 2011
SIU AEC Aug 2011
SIU AEC Aug 2011

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SIU AEC Aug 2011

  • 1. 2020 ” 26 2554 Siam Intelligence Unit http://www.siamintelligence.com/
  • 2. AEC 4 5 / /
  • 3. AEC / ( ) /
  • 4. AEC
  • 5. AEC /
  • 7. AEC
  • 8. Asia Decoupling ? : ADB June 2009
  • 9. -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 1970 1971 % GDP 1972 1973 1974 1975 Source: IMF October 2009 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Fiscal Balance 1981 1982 World 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 Advanced economies 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Emerging and developing economies 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
  • 10. Public Debt 10 Source: IMF October 2009
  • 11. Contribution to Growth of Global Economy Source: IMF April 2011