1. Regional carrying capacity in a
small area
(Sellye micro-region)
Csilla FILÓ – Péter ÁCS
University of Pécs

2. Content:
Characteristics of Sellye micro region
• population and comparing more dimension
• gender and age rates
• relationship of activity types
• labour market of Sellye micro region
• Unemployment and rate of emloyee
• rates of income and non income
• education
• families
• gypsy population
• enterprises in the region
• added value
• personal income
• Opportunities, solutions

3. Sellye micro-region charasteristics

4. Population (Hungary, Baranya, Sellye)
1980-2011
The demographic processes:
• Similar to those of the county and national average
• Population decline
Source: KSH Census 2011

5. Gender and age rates 2011
- A higher number of children
- Lower percentage of young people
- The number of older workers is higher
- Less the retirement / health services?
Source: KSH Census 2011

6. Activity rates 2001, 2011
The activity trends have not changed
- The Sellye micro-region indicators are lower than the national and county average
- The decline in employment than on differences
- Dangerous the rate of inactive / all index higher than the national average
Source: KSH Census 2011

7. Source: KSH Census 2011
- The number of employees increased in the region, but the national rate did not change
- The number of inactive people in the region has decreased, but the trend did not change compared to the national
average
- The number of dependents is reduced, but higher than the national average

8. Unemployment rate in Hungary 2011
Source: KSH Census 2011
• The unemployment rate in the region was not
changed
• Continuous high
• In the neighboring regions also increased to a high
level

9. Labour-market Sellye micro-region
- Half of the working age population is economically active
- The crisis has increased the number of unemployed
- A significant number of the low-skilled unemployed
Source: KSH Census 2011

10. Labour-market Sellye micro-region
Source: KSH Census 2011
• More than half of the
unemployed, under-
educated.
• Significant the number of
long-term unemployed
Decline the population
and the number of active,
but rising number of
unemployed!

11. Income – no income rate (2001, 2011)
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Magyarország/Hungary 2001
Magyarország/Hungary 2011
Baranya megye/Baranya County 2001
Baranya megye/Baranya County 2011
Sellyei kistérség/Sellye micro-reg. 2001
Sellyei kistérség/Sellye micro-reg. 2011
active-passive rate
passive/ no income active/ income
Source: KSH Census 2011

12. 0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
year2001 year2002 year2003 year2004 year2005 year2006 year2007 year2008 year2009 year2010 year2011
Munkavállalók aránya / The rate of employees
Hungary Baranya Sellye
Source: KSH 2011

13. Education (2001, 2011)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Hungary 2001 Hungary/2011 Baranya 2001 Baranya/2011 Sellye kt. 2001 Sellye kt. 2011
Education
nincs általános isk. végz./ no school 8 osztály/ elementary school szakmunkás/vocational training érettségi /high school egyetem-főisk / university
Source: KSH Census 2011
• too many unskilled
• too few highly skilled

14. Children in family
Source: KSH Census 2011

15. Rate of Gypsy population
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
Hungary 2001 Hungary 2011 Baranya 2001 Baranya 2011 Sellye 2001 Sellye 2011
rate of Gypsy population (2001, 2011)
Source: KSH Census 2011
Their number has
doubled in the last
10 years!

16. Number of
enterprises /
1000 inhabitants
Source: KSH Census 2011
• The number of enterprises is very low.
• Several settlements, where there is not
business.
• Employment is the only state
administration!
• Only the center of the region is a
sufficient number of companies.

17. Gross added value / person, 2011 (million
HUF)
Source: KSH Census 2011
• Below the national average.
• Very low.
• Influenced to the small number of
businesses.
• Unfavorable corporate structures.

18. Personal income
Source: KSH Census 2011
Permanent low income level
No consumption.
No service sector.
No self-employment.

19. Summary

20. Opportunities

21. Solution?
• EDUCATION
• Raising qualification level
• Creative skills - development of key competencies (include: ICT)
• Instead of benefit to training
• Special local skills (f.e.:agricultural, turism, economic)
• Adequate education for gypsy population (f.e. GANDHI method)
• Vocational trainig, new vocational schools (now, 1 in the region!!!)
• Foreing language learning

22. Solution?
NEW RELATIONSHIPS
New partnership with Croatia in EU
Cross-border cooperation
Duna-Drava National Parc new projects (exhibition places,
ecotourism)
More NGO in the region (trainig, cultural, life-style, sport)
More gypsy advocacy (family education, family farming)

23. Conclusion
This area’s troubles are complex: related with human resource, hygienic, informatics, environmental,
production and traffic problems. The lasting solution of the problems, the sustainable development, a
global approach is needed in the majority of the cases. On the one hand the increase of the qualification
can not be imagined without institution developments and the population’s positive attitude, on the other
hand with in terms of our gentility (Romany) politics applying positive discriminations it is necessary to
create an opportunity for the numerous Gipsy populations living here to get at the trainings. The
population’s involvement is indispensable to the forming of the economic development concepts, which
will be able to decide upon their own fate simply by possessing knowledge and acquaintance. It is
necessary to keep clear of decision mechanics in Sellye micro-region at the beginning of the XXI. century,
that only leaders and experts interfere in the development and decision processes, since this area’s
population has been delivered to this process continuous for half a century already. These processes have
not been applied in the past 10 years. But already there were signs of the lag effect. This is the last
moment. Summary, that the area's carrying capacity is very low. High external resources needed for
sustainable development.

24. Thank you for your attention!
Csilla FILO
fcsilla@gmail.com