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3rd ALIAS Conference Presentation 5-6 October 2015
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Roger Sethsson - insurance perspective on automation and innovation in aviation
1.
2.
Insurance perspective on automation
and innovation in aviation
3.
Agenda • Aviation insurance
exposures • Recent Aviation Accidents • Conclusions
4.
Aviation insurance exposures
5.
Automation is improving
flight safety 0.00% 0.05% 0.10% 0.15% 0.20% 0.25% 0.30% 0.35% 0.40% 0.45% 0.50% TotalLossFactor UWY TL factor 7Y moving average TL factor
6.
Rate development 0,00 0,02 0,04 0,06 0,08 0,10 0,12 0,14 0,16 0,18 0,20 00 01
02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Underwriting Year % FLV 0,00 0,10 0,20 0,30 0,40 0,50 0,60 0,70 0,80 USD / 1000 RPK Hull Liability
7.
San Francisco July
6, 2013 “The pilot must always be the boss” Christopher Hart NTSB”
8.
Bedford, Massachusetts –
May 31, 2014
9.
Java Sea –
December 28, 2014
10.
Conclusions • Automation and
innovation improves safety • Training is an issue! • Future aircraft accident litigations may be even more complex than today • Shift of liability from operators to manufacturers?
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