This report provides an analysis of the Bangalore residential real estate market in the first half of 2013. It is divided into three sections. Section one provides a macro-economic overview of factors like interest rates, regulations, and investment trends. Section two analyzes data on ongoing residential projects in Bangalore, including statistics on supply, unsold inventory, prices, sales velocities, and performance by region and location. Key findings include a 10.7% price hike by developers but only a 3% increase in actual apartment prices, and over 60,000 unsold units remaining. Section three contains primary data for each individual project.
Bangalore Residential Real Estate Research Report (Non Subscriber) Q1 2014Idirees Chenakkal
This is our latest research report on Bangalore Residential Market. It details more than 900 ongoing residential projects across the city.
Here you have the Macro level Analysis of its supply and absorption.
for the complete report you can subscribe
contact : research@ljh.in
The research study is based on extensive primary interviews (in-house industry players, market leaders, and experts) and secondary research (a host of paid and unpaid databases), along with analytical tools to predict the forecast analysis for the study period. With the help of these, the hybrid-satellite cellular terminal study provides a broader perspective of the industry.
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A growth corridor with potential-BommasandraVestian
With major industrial development planned here and
projects such as the Bangalore-Chennai Industrial Corridor,
this micro-market is set for an uptrend in realty prices
Bangalore Residential Real Estate Research Report (Non Subscriber) Q1 2014Idirees Chenakkal
This is our latest research report on Bangalore Residential Market. It details more than 900 ongoing residential projects across the city.
Here you have the Macro level Analysis of its supply and absorption.
for the complete report you can subscribe
contact : research@ljh.in
The research study is based on extensive primary interviews (in-house industry players, market leaders, and experts) and secondary research (a host of paid and unpaid databases), along with analytical tools to predict the forecast analysis for the study period. With the help of these, the hybrid-satellite cellular terminal study provides a broader perspective of the industry.
Read the Market Report Overview at: https://bisresearch.com/industry-report/hybrid-satellite-cellular-terminal-market.html
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The major driving factor for the market's robustness will be focused efforts to enable space transportation, emerging start-ups in sub-orbital transportation, and increasing developments in low-cost launching sites.
Read Report Overview: https://bisresearch.com/industry-report/sub-orbital-transportation-space-tourism-market.html
A growth corridor with potential-BommasandraVestian
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projects such as the Bangalore-Chennai Industrial Corridor,
this micro-market is set for an uptrend in realty prices
A sneak peek into Residential Report H1 2016
The real estate residential market in Bengaluru was reluctant to show any progress in the times preceding 2016. It hasn’t revived either in the first half of 2016, it has witnessed a dip in its absorption trend and reached an all-time low Sales Velocity of 1.02%, i.e. a 7.7% decline in the first half of 2016 in comparison to 2015’s second half.
As a negative result of the declining Sales Velocity, Months Inventory is at its highest in the first half of 2016 when compared to the periods following December 2012. An increase of 6.3% is noticed in the Months Inventory of the first half of 2016 when compared to the second half of 2015. The average time required to sell the existing primary residential stock has increased from 31 months in H2 2015 to 33.07 months in H1 2016.
As an outcome of declining Sales Velocity and ever increasing Months Inventory levels, the Average Capital Value of residential development across Bengaluru would have decreased, as a layman would analyze. The truth remains that the average Capital Value remains unchanged in H1 2016 as it remains the same in H2 2015, i.e. INR 5334 per sq. ft.
Bengaluru’s residential market had a net addition of 18,129 units in H1 2016 across developments. This net addition is 40% lower when compared to the net addition of H2 2015, which stood at 29,920 units. Considering the net addition, the total inventory in H1 2016 stood at 125,738 units across developments out of which the incremental sale of 20,169 units (16% of inventory) took place in H1 2016. Incremental Sales in H1 2016 has declined by 17% in comparison to H2 2015.
Apartment development accounts to 81% of incremental sales, whereas Plot, Villa and Row House development sums up to 15.1%, 3.5% and 0.1% respectively of incremental sales in H1 2016.
Apartment development in Bengaluru has a total residential development spread of 399.1 Mn sq. ft. of which unsold inventory stood at 133.1 Mn sq. ft. valuing INR 72,250 crores. The size of unsold inventory of Plot, Villa and Row House stood at 21.8, 17 and 1.5 Mn sq. ft. respectively in H1 2016.
Residential development in its various development forms is spread across Bengaluru- North to South and East to West. The quadrant which witnessed the largest addition to its already existing inventory in H1 2016 is the North-East quadrant. 8,127 units were added to its already existing stock. Also the North-East quadrant performed better than its counterparts in H1 2016 at an incremental sales of 7,569 units i.e. 16.5% sales from the total inventory available. The South-East quadrant follows the North-East quadrant both in terms of large net addition of 7,631 units in H1 2016 and a total incremental sale of 14.7%.
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A sneak peek into Residential Report H1 2016
The real estate residential market in Bengaluru was reluctant to show any progress in the times preceding 2016. It hasn’t revived either in the first half of 2016, it has witnessed a dip in its absorption trend and reached an all-time low Sales Velocity of 1.02%, i.e. a 7.7% decline in the first half of 2016 in comparison to 2015’s second half.
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As an outcome of declining Sales Velocity and ever increasing Months Inventory levels, the Average Capital Value of residential development across Bengaluru would have decreased, as a layman would analyze. The truth remains that the average Capital Value remains unchanged in H1 2016 as it remains the same in H2 2015, i.e. INR 5334 per sq. ft.
Bengaluru’s residential market had a net addition of 18,129 units in H1 2016 across developments. This net addition is 40% lower when compared to the net addition of H2 2015, which stood at 29,920 units. Considering the net addition, the total inventory in H1 2016 stood at 125,738 units across developments out of which the incremental sale of 20,169 units (16% of inventory) took place in H1 2016. Incremental Sales in H1 2016 has declined by 17% in comparison to H2 2015.
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Residential Market Report _Mid year 2013
1. Prepared from information sourced by the Research Department of LJ Hooker India and
compiled by Research & Consulting Department Head Mr Idirees Chenakkal.
FOR COMMENTS AND PRESS PLEASE CONTACT
Mr Alexander Moore Mr Paul Antony
Chief Executive Officer (India) Head – Project Marketing
+91 99803 31580 +91 88844 40131
amoore.pm@ljh.in pantony.pm@ljh.in
2013 - Mid Year Report
RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTATE MARKET
BANGALORE
2. 2 | P a g e
To the Reader,
Welcome to LJ Hooker’s mid-year research report for 2013. This report is compiled to give the
reader an understanding of the general residential market in Bangalore, particularly as it affects
sales volumes and prices.
Our research department tracks sales from over 700 projects across Bangalore and the primary data
forms part 3 of this report. We do not claim that this represents every project, but it is the majority
of major projects that we see as being of significance in the micro market in which they are located.
Should you wish to receive the fully detailed report containing the 26 pages of primary project and
developer details of the 717 projects surveyed please just subscribe to the report by emailing your
details to research@ljh.in . There is an annual cost (for the 2 reports) of Rs.10,000.
In part 2 of the report we analyse the data and in part 1 we look at the general economic conditions
and how it may affect the real estate market.
We hope you find this report to be of interest and would encourage you to make contact with our
team should you wish for a more detailed briefing.
Kind Regards,
Alexander Moore
Chief Executive Officer (India)
This report contains 3 separate and distinct sections for review ;
1. Macro-economic review and predictions
2. Snapshot statistical report of the Bangalore residential market
3. Primary, project by project source data
IMPORTANT NOTES -TO BE READ IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS REPORT
This report is compiled from primary data sourced by the LJH research team from developers, as well as general
market information and previously published works of others (footnoted if used).
LJH do not make any claim as to the completeness or accuracy of this information or its comments provided, and
this information should not be used by third parties or relied upon when making financial decisions.
The reader should at all times rely on their own independent research and information, and use this report as a
guide only.
LJH has taken due care in the collection of the data, however LJH does not warranty the correctness of the
information provided in this presentation.
The presentation is available only on an "as is” basis and without any warranties express or implied. LJH disclaims
all warranties including any implied warranty of merchantability and fitness for any purpose.
Without prejudice to the above, LJH will not be liable for any damages of any kind arising from the use of this
presentation, including, but not limited to direct, indirect, incidental, punitive, special, consequential and/ or
exemplary damages including but not limited to damages for loss of profit goodwill resulting from ;
The incorrectness and/or inaccuracy of the information
Any action taken, proceeding initiated, transaction entered into on the basis of the information available
in this presentation
If you believe there are any omissions or inaccuracies in the report we would ask that you advise us at
research@ljh.in as soon as possible.
3. 3 | P a g e
Table of Contents
PART -1 MACRO-ECONOMIC REVIEW AND PREDICTIONS................................................................... 5
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - MACRO MARKET CONDITIONS................................................................. 5
INTEREST RATES......................................................................................................................... 5
REAL ESTATE (REGULATION AND DEVELOPMENT) BILL - update................................................. 5
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT (FDI) & PRIVATE EQUITY FUND (PE) INVESTMENT ...................... 6
BRIEF PREDICTIONS FOR THE RESIDENTIAL MARKET FOR THE BALANCE OF THE 2013 .................... 7
GENERAL COMMENT ................................................................................................................. 7
LUXURY AND SUPER LUXURY SEGMENTS ................................................................................... 7
PART - II BANGALORE RESIDENTIAL MARKET ..................................................................................... 8
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY................................................................................................................... 8
ONGOING RESIDENTIAL PROJECT SPREAD ACROSS BANGALORE .................................................... 9
BANGALORE RESIDENTIAL MARKET OVERIEW.............................................................................. 10
MARKET DYNAMICS OF NEWLY LAUNCHED PROJECTS ................................................................. 12
COMPARISON OF OLD SUPPLY AND NEW SUPPLY........................................................................ 12
CHANGES IN THE PRICE AND SIZE................................................................................................. 13
PERIOD WISE ABSORPTIONS ........................................................................................................ 14
MARKET PERFORMANCE OLD SUPPLY VS NEW SUPPLY................................................................ 15
TICKET PRICE WISE SUPPLY AND DEMAND................................................................................... 16
APARTMENT MARKET.............................................................................................................. 17
VILLA MARKET ......................................................................................................................... 17
ROW HOUSE MARKET.............................................................................................................. 18
PLOTTED DEVELOPMENTS ....................................................................................................... 18
REVIEW OF MICRO MARKETS BY REGION AND LOCATIONS .......................................................... 18
REGION WISE INVENTORY DETAILS .......................................................................................... 19
REGION WISE PERFORMANCE REVIEW..................................................................................... 21
LOCATIONS WISE MARKET DYNAMICS ..................................................................................... 22
PERFORMANCE CHART FOR THE TOP 20 LOCATIONS ............................................................... 24
RENTAL PRICE VALUE BY AREA – COMPARISON 1ST
QTR 2013 WITH 4QTR 2012........................... 25
PART III – PRIMARY PROJECT BY PROJECT SOURCE DATA................................................................. 27
4. 4 | P a g e
CHARTS AND TABLE
Table 1 - Bangalore Residential Market Overview............................................................................ 10
Table 2 - Changes in the Price of old Supply Vs Changes in the Inventory......................................... 11
Table 3 - Market Dynamics of New Launched Projects..................................................................... 12
Table 4 - Comparison of Old Supply and New Supply ....................................................................... 12
Table 5 - Changes in the Price and Size ............................................................................................ 13
Table 6 - Apartment dimensions average and its cost per unit ......................................................... 14
Table 7 - Comparison of Period wise absorptions............................................................................. 14
Table 8 - Market Performance Old Supply Vs New Supply................................................................ 15
Table 9 - Ticket price wise Inventory Distribution............................................................................. 16
Table 10 - Ticket Price wise Performance of Apartment................................................................... 17
Table 11 - Ticket Price wise Performance of Villa ............................................................................. 17
Table 12 -Ticket Price wise Performance of Row House ................................................................... 18
Table 13 - Ticket Price wise Performance of Plots ............................................................................ 18
Table 14 - Region and its Locations.................................................................................................. 18
Table 15 - Region wise Inventory of Apartments.............................................................................. 19
Table 16 - Region wise Inventory of Plots......................................................................................... 19
Table 17 - Region wise Inventory of Row Houses ............................................................................. 20
Table 18 - Region wise Inventory of Villas........................................................................................ 20
Table 19 - Region wise Performance of Apartment and Plots........................................................... 21
Table 20 - Region wise performance of Row Houses and Villas ........................................................ 21
Table 21 - Top 20 Locations and its Inventory details....................................................................... 22
Table 22 - Location wise Performance comparison (SV = Sales Velocity MI = Months Inventory of
stock) .............................................................................................................................................. 24
Table 23 - Comparison of Rental values ........................................................................................... 25
Table 24 - Rental Variation .............................................................................................................. 26
Table 25 - Review of 11 key rental compounds/buildings................................................................. 26
Chart 1 - Ongoing Residential projects spread.................................................................................... 9
Chart 2 - Supply............................................................................................................................... 10
Chart 3 - Unsold............................................................................................................................... 10
Chart 4 - Inventory Status and Value of Unsold Inventory................................................................ 11
Chart 5 - Status of Unsold Inventory in the Old supply and New supply ........................................... 13
Chart 6 - Unsold inventory Vs Price per unit..................................................................................... 14
Chart 7 - Ticket price wise Supply .................................................................................................... 16
Chart 8 - Ticket price wise Unsold................................................................................................... 16
Chart 9 - Region wise unsold Inventory of Apartment...................................................................... 19
Chart 10 - Region wise unsold Inventory of Plots ............................................................................. 19
Chart 11 - Region wise unsold Inventory of Row House ................................................................... 20
Chart 12 - Region wise unsold Inventory of Villas............................................................................. 20
Chart 13 - Location wise Supply Vs Unsold....................................................................................... 23
Chart 14 - New launches during the last 6 months........................................................................... 23
5. 5 | P a g e
PART -1 MACRO-ECONOMIC REVIEW AND PREDICTIONS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - MACRO MARKET CONDITIONS
INTEREST RATES
In our last report we predicted a fall in the prime rate from 8% to possibly 7% by year end and a lot
will depend on how the rupee performs to see if we get to this target in the next 6 months. As you
can see from the chart below the predicted rate cuts have been taking place to date.
The weakening rupee is making most analysts rethink their expectations of a 4th
straight cut in
India’s benchmark interest rates at June end.
11 of 19 analysts in a recent Bloomberg News survey said that RBI Governor Duvvuri Subbarao will
almost certainly keep the repurchase rate at 7.25 % on June 17. The rest called for a reduction to 7 %
but the currency’s 7.1 % drop versus the USD this quarter (the largest drop in Asia) threatens to
make imports more expensive, which can push inflation higher – giving a disincentive to the RBI for
any further drop in the rate.
Changing expectations on the rate cuts are one reason that Indian government bond prices have
been falling over the last two weeks. However, if inflation data later this month (June) comes in low,
the RBI could still cut rates in the short term.
REAL ESTATE (REGULATION AND DEVELOPMENT) BILL - update
In early June the Union Cabinet approved the draft Real Estate (Regulation & Development) Bill that
calls for the creation of a regulator in the real estate sector.
There is still widespread uncertainty as to the effects of the legislation with many believing that it
could have adverse effects on consumers that will possibly outweigh the positive outcomes. The
usual issues of corruption and bureaucratic process are inevitably cited. There are also still many
unanswered questions as to how the various state governments will respond and how the
implementation will occur.
The bill is as usual attracting a great deal of press, as its implementation will have wide reaching
effects.
6. 6 | P a g e
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT (FDI) & PRIVATE EQUITY FUND (PE) INVESTMENT
The single brand retail format players are starting to jockey for suitable space with most finding
great difficulty in locating land that offers the necessary size, location and available infrastructure
such as public transport, at a price they are happy with.
The local market has seen some major commercial investment plays in the last 6 months with the
largest being the Vrindavan Tech Village with a Rs.1,950 Crore investment by Bangalore based
Embassy Group and their PE partners, led by US group Blackstone. Though Blackstone has
aggressively invested in Indian properties, it has generally adopted a safe approach here, as it has in
global markets. In India most of its investments are in fully-leased, income-generating and low-risk
assets such as information technology (IT) parks and business parks, which are FDI-compliant.
In mid-2011, Blackstone invested $200 million (Rs 1,000 crore) for a 50 per cent stake in a special
purpose vehicle that held three properties (2 of which are in Bangalore) — Embassy Golf Link,
Manyata Embassy Business Park and Embassy Tech Zone in Pune.
Market thought is that the PE funds are playing it safe because there are no development,
construction and occupier risks in these assets, as they are fully leased out. Even in the worst-case
scenario yields are 10-11 % and these are as close as you can get to AAA investments.
There is little appetite by foreign PE players for Greenfield projects (unless with A grade builders) as
the transparency issues and associated risk are generally too great. On the local PE fund front we
saw ICICI who had partnered with Mauritius based fund (Eastspring Investments), exit at a good
annualised return of 30% from their 3 year old investment with a Shriram properties SPV.
Of the major foreign players Blackstone exited their residential investment with Embassy at Lake
Terraces (Hebbal) at an annualised return of around 40%.
In the residential sector the main news has been the attempted exit of Goldman Sachs from the
branded Four Seasons project on Bellary Rd. Goldman’s look to be taking a substantial hit on the
deal with market estimates of their exit bringing less than Rs.570 Crore after an initial investment of
Rs.650Crore. The project has been beset by delays and suffers from being in the super luxury
segment where sales are slow and demand is weak.
As mentioned in our last report the market is hoping to turn around the fall in PE investments into
the Indian real estate markets, particularly by foreign players. The table below shows the decline in
total PE investment since the peak of 2008 and the markets are confident of a turnaround this year.
7. 7 | P a g e
BRIEF PREDICTIONS FOR THE RESIDENTIAL MARKET FOR THE BALANCE OF THE 2013
GENERAL COMMENT
The first 6 months of 2013 have seen steady sales particularly of new stock in the more popular
(affordable) price bands. Generally pricing has been the key issue and buyers have been showing a
preference for newly released stock priced at more attractive rates and with greater buying
incentives.
The overall market has seen price increments of 10-12% whilst the incremental (new) stock has seen
a shift of only 3%. At the low end 10-30 lakh range there continues to be good sales velocity and low
inventory.
Developers have continued to hike prices but buyers have shown a reluctance to come in at the
higher rates, so over the next 6 months something will have to give.
In general we have seen the sales velocities of apartments in particular come right back (50% or
more) showing a softening of the market. Velocity rates of sub 2% are not sustainable.
Interest rates have come back by 0.75% which coupled with a decrease in the average size of
apartments by 11.2% means that the affordability index for buyers has improved by a very
significant 22%. Given this it’s surprising that the sales velocity rates for the period are so low.
Thanisandra Road and Harlur Road were the strong performing locations for the period with a sales
velocity of 6% and 7% and price increment of 8% and 3% over the period. Yeshwanthpur showed the
changing nature of the locality, with new projects driving the areas average price up by a whopping
25%. The eastern side of the city remains the preferred destination with 78% of sales for the period
coming from the north east, east and south eastern regions.
Our prediction for the coming 6 months is a steady market with absorption rates in line with the
numbers seen over the last 6-12 month. Prices are unlikely to move with the existing ‘real’ rise of 3%
more indicative than the developer push of 10% +.
LUXURY AND SUPER LUXURY SEGMENTS
At the higher end of the market we can still see large inventories and mixed sales results for various
developers. As with the comments in our last report buyers have a huge array of choice and are
selecting the products that they feel offer value and that luxury quotient that is so important in this
discerning segment.
Inventories at the top end are still disproportionally high with most price points having well over
50% of total stock still available, and in the super premium sector this can be as high as 90%. This is
particularly the case with apartment stock. Villas are performing better in this sector and buyers are
showing a preference for freestanding homes on private land with facilities via a gated community.
A recent report showing a rise in capital value in the high end sector of 30% YOY is considered to be
a statistical anomaly based on some unproven asking rates as opposed to actual sales values.
There seems little market appetite for expensive service agreements such as that promoted at Four
Seasons on Bellary Rd, where maintenance costs of Rs.20/sft are quoted. Another tough 6 months
ahead for many in this sector.
8. 8 | P a g e
PART - II BANGALORE RESIDENTIAL MARKET
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
KEY POINTS
The residential market saw developers push a 10.7 % price hike in their existing stock during the last
6 months with the apartment stock being pushed up by 12.4%
Conversely the average price for an apartment at Dec 2012 was INR 4,432 and at the close of June
2013 it had increased to INR 4,556 being a rise of only 3%
The above points illustrate a gap between the wishes of the developers and the ability and
willingness of the market to pay the increments they are trying to achieve
The Residential market needs another 16 months to sell its unsold stock of 60,544 units (35,437 Old
data + 25,107 newly added) if the prevailing Sales Velocity of 2% continues.
The market’s overall sales velocity of Old Stock dropped from 4 % to 3 % over the last 6 months with
monthly average sales down from 5,339 units to 3,774 units – a drop in transactions of over 29%.
The sell down time at a Sales Velocity of 4% was 7 months, but at a Sales Velocity of 3% the sell
down time required is now 9 months.
Comparing the sales Velocity of the old Supply to the new launches shows that the newly launched
projects achieve up to 3 times higher sales velocity than the existing stock in the market. This is
clearly due to more competitive prices on the new stock. This shows that the ‘tail’ of unsold stock is
very long and this has a significant effect on builder liquidity.
The average size of an apartment has dropped significantly from 1,753 sft at the time of the last
report to only 1,556 sft for the new launches. Despite this Bangalore still has the highest average
size for apartments in the country.
The value of unsold stock in the market is close to INR 495 billion, of this a value of INR 160 Billion
(32%) is from the unsold inventory launched in the first 6 months of this year.
The Bangalore residential market witnessed a total of 149 new launches during the last 6 months
with total new supply of 57.3 million sft, 34.7 million sft (61%) being unsold at the time of compiling
this report.
SECONDARY POINTS
For this report we have mapped 717 residential projects across Bangalore. There are some 230
projects added since the last published edition in January 2013. Of these 717 projects, apartments
contribute the maximum volume of stock with 63% of the supply, followed by plots, villas and row
houses of 23%, 12%, and 2% of the stock respectively.
Among the mapped residential developments 568 projects were launched before this year and
during the last 6 month the market witnessed 149 new launches.
31% of the apartment projects lie in the price bracket of 30 -50 Lakh followed by 50 -70 lakh (21%)
and 70 lakh – 1 Crore (19%).
Most of the apartment stock is located on the South East of Bangalore with 40% of the total supply
followed by the North east at 30%, the North-west at 17% and the South west at 13%.
Although the central area contributes only 2% of the unsold inventory, it has a value of INR 37.82
Billion, which is 11% of the total value of the unsold stock in the market
9. 9 | P a g e
ONGOING RESIDENTIAL PROJECT SPREAD ACROSS BANGALORE
North West
South West South East
North East
Central
Chart 1 - On-going Residential projects spread
Devanahalli
Kanakpura Road
Sarjapur Road
Hosur Road
Whitefield
Marathahalli
Old Madras Road
Hennur Road
Hebbal
Tumkur road
Mysore Road
Bannarghatta road
Electronic City
10. 10 | P a g e
BANGALORE RESIDENTIAL MARKET OVERIEW
Table 1 - Bangalore Residential Market Overview
Total Apartment Plot Row House Villa
Number of Projects 717 530 93 19 75
Number of Units 182,264 136,280 32,870 1,595 11,519
Unsold Inventory Units 60,544 48,486 6,307 595 5,156
Total Size in Million sft 319 201 74 5 39
Unsold Size in Million sft 108 74 14 2 18
Value of Unsold Inventory (Bn.) 495 352 19 14 110
The Bangalore residential market has witnessed a number of new launches
over the last 6 months. In our last report we mapped 470 projects while for
this edition we have mapped more than 700 projects across Bangalore -
comprising of apartments, Villas, Row houses and plotted developments.
Among the mapped developments apartments contributed 63% of the total
supply followed by Plots at 23%, Villas at 13% and Row houses at 2%.
For the unsold inventory lying in the market apartments contribute 68% of
the total followed by Villas at 17%, Plots at 13% and Row houses at 2%.
Chart 2 - Supply Chart 3 - Unsold
The value of unsold stock in the market is 495 Billion INR, of this total
apartments contribute the highest volume with 71% followed by Villas at
22%.
63%
23%
2%
12%
Supply
Apartment
Plot
Row House
Villa
68%
13%
2% 17%
Unsold
Apartment
Plot
Row House
Villa
11. 11 | P a g e
Chart 4 - Inventory Status and Value of Unsold Inventory
As depicted in the below table the average square foot price for the
Bangalore residential market as of June stands at INR 4,790, this is a 10.7%
rise in price since January 2013.
Both apartments and row houses showed more than a 10% hike in price, the
average sft price for an apartment in the month of June 2013 is INR 4,983
while in the last December 2012 it was INR 4,432 with the average price
moving up 12.4% during this period. Row houses showed the highest change
in the price with a 17.1% increase.
Table 2 - Changes in the Price of old Supply v Changes in the Inventory
Jun-13 Price
Price PSF INR
Dec-12 Price
PSF INR
% Change in
the Price
Old Stock New launch
% Added
to the
Market
Apartment 4,983 4,432 12.4% 418 112 27%
Plot 1,389 1,316 5.6% 71 22 31%
Row House 5,731 4,895 17.1% 15 4 27%
Villa 6,116 5,783 5.8% 64 11 17%
GRAND TOTAL 4,790 4,327 10.7% 568 149 26%
During the last 6 months the market stock increased by 26% as new supply
was added to the market, of this 112 new projects were apartments.
Among the mapped residential developments, 568 projects were launched
before this year and during the last 6 month we witnessed 149 new
launches.
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
Apartment Plot Row House Villa
Billions
x100000
Number of Units Unsold Inventory Units Value of Unsold Inventory (Bn.)
12. 12 | P a g e
MARKET DYNAMICS OF NEWLY LAUNCHED PROJECTS
Table 3 - Market Dynamics of New Launched Projects
Apartment Plot Row House Villa GRAND TOTAL
Number of Projects 112 22 4 11 149
Total units 28,580 5,304 350 1,426 35,660
Total size Million sft 39.2 11.0 1.3 5.8 57.3
Unsold size Million sft 26.6 4.0 0.9 3.3 34.7
Value of Unsold Inventory (Bn.) 127 5 9 18 160
Average Price PSF 4,201 1,140 8,825 5,887 3,998
Average Size 1,556 2,148 3,268 3,664 1,845
The market saw 57.3 million sq ft of new launches during the last 6 months.
Of this 34.7 million sq ft is unsold - this translates into a market value of 160
billion Rupees.
The average price of newly launched apartments was INR 4,201 and the
average size 1,556 sq ft. Whilst the average price and size of a villa was INR
5,887 and 3,664 sq ft.
COMPARISON OF OLD SUPPLY AND NEW SUPPLY
Table 4 - Comparison of Old Supply and New Supply
Apartment Plot Row House Villa
GRAND
TOTAL
TOTAL SUPPLY
Total size in Mn sft 201 74 5 39 319
Total units 136,280 32,870 1,595 11,519 182,264
Unsold units 48,486 6,307 595 5,156 60,544
Old Supply
Total size in Mn sft 162 63 3 33 262
Total units 107,700 27,566 1,245 10,093 146,604
Unsold units 29,689 4,515 364 4,407 38,975
New launches
Total size in Mn sft 39 11 1 6 57
Total units 28,580 5,304 350 1,426 35,660
Unsold units 18,797 1,792 231 749 21,569
As illustrated in the above table 82% of the total market size (262 million sft)
is from the old stock while 18% is new supply.
28,580 units were added to the apartment stock and of this 18,797 units are
unsold.
13. 13 | P a g e
Chart 5 - Status of Unsold Inventory in the Old supply and New supply
CHANGES IN THE PRICE AND SIZE
Table 5 - Changes in the Price and Size
Apartment Plot Row House Villa GRAND TOTAL
New Average Price PSF INR 4,556 1,287 5,583 6,020 4,325
Dec-12 Average Price PSF INR 4,432 1,356 4,895 5,783 N.A
New Average Size in sft 1,643 2,090 3,023 3,462 1,927
Dec-12 Average Size in sft 1,753 N.A 2,831 3,545 N.A
Average Cost of a unit in Lakh 97 29 187 226 104
The average price for an apartment at December 2012 was INR 4,432/sft and
this has increased by 3% to INR 4,556/sft.
Row house witnessed the highest changes in the price with 14% followed by
Villas at 4%.
Interestingly the average size of apartments has dropped 6.2% from 1,753
sft to 1,643 sft.
The decrease in size can be linked to a desire by developers to make their
product more affordable and is a mechanism used instead of a reduction of
the sft rate.
If we take only the average of the new launched projects we see it is only
1,556 sft being significantly less than the average size of the total supply,
meaning sizes are trending downwards.
29,689
4,515 4407
364
18,797
1,792 749 231
Apartment Plot Villa Row House
Unsold Inventory
Old Supply New Launches
14. 14 | P a g e
Table 6 - Apartment dimensions average and its cost per unit
Average 1BHK Size Average 2BHK Size Average 3BHK Size Average 4BHK Size
Average size in sft 672 1,191 1,694 3,545
Min Budget in Lakh Rs 24 43 75 316
The above table depicts the average size and price bracket of apartments in
Bangalore with reference to the number of bedrooms.
The minimum average budget of an apartment starts at 24 lakh for 1 BHK, 43
lakh for 2 BHK, 75 lakh for 3 BHK and a large jump to 3.1 Crore for 4 BHK,
reflecting the market tendency to only build 4 BHK in the luxury and super
luxury segments.
Chart 6 - Unsold Inventory vs Price per Unit
PERIOD WISE ABSORPTIONS
Table 7 - Comparison of Period Wise Absorptions
Apartment Plot Row House Villa
GRAND
TOTAL
Launch to till date
(old stock)
Monthly Sales 3,636 1,206 64 433 5,339
Sales Velocity 4% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Month Inventory 8 2 7 9 7
Over the Last 6 months
(incremental of old stock)
Monthly Sales 2,666 729 60 318 3,774
Sales Velocity 3% 3% 5% 3% 3%
Month Inventory 11 4 8 12 9
Launch to till date
Old + Newly added
(all stock)
Monthly Sales 6,713 2,246 82 541 9,583
Sales Velocity 5% 7% 5% 5% 5%
Month Inventory 7 3 7 10 6
The above table shows the comparison of the sales velocity on the basis of
4,556
1,287
5,583
6,020
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Apartment Plot Row House Villa
Billions
Value of Unsold Inventory Average Price
15. 15 | P a g e
the launch to till current performance, against the last 6 months
performance.
For apartment developments the monthly average sales went down
significantly from 3,636 to 2,666 and the overall sales velocity went from 4%
during down to only 3% in the last 6 month period.
Other development categories also witnessed a reduction in the
performance for the last 6 months, half year sales velocity for plots, row
houses, and Villas dropped to 3%, 5% and 3% respectively.
MARKET PERFORMANCE OLD SUPPLY VS NEW SUPPLY
Table 8 - Market Performance Old Supply vs New Supply
Old Stock New Launches
Monthly Sales
Sales
Velocity
Months
Inventory
Monthly Sales
Sales
Velocity
Months
Inventory
Apartment 3,850 4% 8 2,863 10% 7
Row House 1,420 5% 3 826 16% 2
Villa 54 4% 7 28 8% 8
Plot 380 4% 12 162 11% 5
GRAND TOTAL 5,704 4% 7 3,879 11% 6
The above table helps in understanding the pace of the sales for the initial
sales and launch period against the later stages of the project.
As shown on the table the sales velocity is two to three times higher for
newly launched projects due to the attractive prices and other offers made
to the market at the pre-launch and launch time.
The sales velocity then starts dropping due to the increase in the price by the
developer.
In general it shows that the market is not moving with the price hikes
developers are making.
Chart 7- Period wise Performance Comparison
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Apartment Row House Villa Plot
Old Supply MI New Launches MI Old Supply SV New Launches SV
16. 16 | P a g e
TICKET PRICE WISE SUPPLY AND DEMAND
Table 9 - Ticket Price Wise Inventory Distribution
Apartment Plot Row House Villa
Total
size
Unsold
size
Total
size
Unsold
size
Total
size
Unsold
size
Total
size
Unsold
size
0 - 10 Lakh - - 9.3 1.3 - - - -
10 - 30 Lakh 13.4 4.4 28.2 6.6 0.2 0.1 0.8 0.0
30 - 50 lakh 62.8 23.3 21.1 3.6 - - - -
50-70 lakh 42.7 16.1 1.1 0.2 - - 2.5 1.1
70 Lakh - 1 Crore 39.3 11.1 3.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 3.9 2.0
1 - 1.4 Crore 15.6 6.5 0.8 0.0 0.9 0.3 1.2 0.1
1.4 - 2 Crore 11.5 5.1 10.9 1.3 1.5 0.4 6.0 3.1
2 - 2.6 Crore 5.4 1.8 - - 0.7 0.4 9.1 4.6
2.6 - 3.5 Crore 5.3 2.4 - - 0.1 0.0 6.5 3.9
3.5 - 5 Crore 3.5 1.4 - - - - 3.3 1.0
5 - 8 Crore 0.4 0.2 - - - - 4.4 1.6
8 - 12 Crore 0.6 0.4 - - 0.5 0.4 0.9 0.4
14 - 16 Crore 0.9 0.8 - - - - - -
GRAND TOTAL 201.4 73.6 74.4 14.3 4.6 1.8 38.8 17.8
31% of apartment projects fall in the price bracket of 30 -50 Lakh followed
by 50 -70 lakh (21%) and 70 lakh – 1 Crore (19%).
Among villa development most of the stocks lies in the rage of 1 Crore to 3
Crore while row houses fall in the range of 1 Crore – 2 Crore.
Among the plotted development the highest supply lies in the range of 10 –
30 lakh followed by 30 – 50 lakh with 28.2% and 21.1% respectively.
Chart 8 - Ticket price wise Supply Chart 9 - Ticket price wise Unsold
10 - 30
Lakh
7%
30 - 50
lakh
31%
50-70
lakh
21%
70 Lakh -
1 Crore
19%
1 - 1.4
Crore
8%
1.4 - 2
Crore
6%
2 - 2.6
Crore
3%
2.6 - 3.5
Crore
3%
Supply 10 - 30
Lakh
6%
30 - 50
lakh
32%
50-70
lakh
22%
70 Lakh -
1 Crore
15%
1 - 1.4
Crore
9%
1.4 - 2
Crore
7%
2.6 - 3.5
Crore
3%
Unsold
17. 17 | P a g e
APARTMENT MARKET
Table 10 - Ticket Price Wise Performance of Apartment
Ticket Price range
Mthly Sales
(Overall)
Mthly Sales
(Incremental)
Sales Velocity
(Overall)
Sales Velocity
(Incremental)
Mths Inventory
(Overall*)
Mths Inventory
(Incremental)
10 - 30 Lakh 256 358 3% 2% 8 6
30 - 50 lakh 1,421 1,029 4% 2% 7 9
50-70 lakh 751 464 4% 2% 8 13
70 Lakh - 1 Crore 697 433 4% 2% 8 13
1 - 1.4 Crore 233 147 5% 2% 11 17
1.4 - 2 Crore 135 123 4% 3% 7 8
2 - 2.6 Crore 38 38 3% 3% 12 12
2.6 - 3.5 Crore 41 22 4% 1% 11 21
3.5 - 5 Crore 53 48 5% 6% 5 6
5 - 8 Crore 3 1 4% 1% 27 73
8 - 12 Crore 7 5 7% 4% 11 17
Although the overall sales velocity in the apartment sector has maintained at
an average of 4%, the last 6 months absorption is only at a rate of 2%.
VILLA MARKET
Table 11 - Ticket Price Wise Performance of Villa
Ticket Price range
Monthly
Sales
(Overall)
Monthly Sales
(Incremental)
Sales Velocity
(Overall)
Sales Velocity
(Incremental)
Months
Inventory
(Overall*)
Months
Inventory
(Incremental)
50-70 lakh 37 30 3% 2% 11 14
70 Lakh - 1 Crore 51 29 4% 3% 12 21
1 - 1.4 Crore 22 23 5% 5% 2 2
1.4 - 2 Crore 57 59 6% 4% 13 13
2 - 2.6 Crore 116 71 4% 3% 8 13
2.6 - 3.5 Crore 62 36 7% 2% 10 18
3.5 - 5 Crore 39 28 5% 3% 5 7
5 - 8 Crore 16 10 3% 2% 12 20
8 - 12 Crore 6 7 3% 4% 14 10
The Villa market is generally giving a comparatively good sales velocity with
an average of 4% to 6% in the primary price bracket of 1 - 3 Crore.
The inventory in the 1 – 1.5 Crore price bracket is only at 2 months showing
low supply and high sales velocity (demand).
On current sales volumes there are a couple of price bands showing large
inventories.
18. 18 | P a g e
ROW HOUSE MARKET
Table 12 -Ticket Price wise Performance of Row House
Ticket Price range
Monthly
Sales
(Overall)
Monthly Sales
(Incremental)
Sales
Velocity
(Overall)
Sales Velocity
(Incremental)
Months
Inventory
(Overall*)
Months Inventory
(Incremental)
70 Lakh - 1 Crore 16 12 8% 5% 6 9
1 - 1.4 Crore 12 6 5% 2% 8 18
1.4 - 2 Crore 19 20 5% 5% 6 6
2 - 2.6 Crore 2 5 3% 7% 7 3
2.6 - 3.5 Crore 1 3% 0%
8 - 12 Crore 8 5 8% 4% 9 14
Row houses are giving a better sales velocity with an average 5% and a low
inventory with a total supply of just 4.6 million sft (only 2% of the residential
real estate Market.)
PLOTTED DEVELOPMENTS
Table 13 - Ticket Price wise Performance of Plots
Ticket Price range
Monthly
Sales
(Overall)
Monthly Sales
(Incremental)
Sales
Velocity
(Overall)
Sales Velocity
(Incremental)
Months
Inventory
(Overall*)
Months Inventory
(Incremental)
0 - 10 Lakh 250 311 5% 6% 1 1
10 - 30 Lakh 384 273 4% 3% 4 5
30 - 50 lakh 443 106 6% 2% 2 10
50-70 lakh 14 17 5% 6% 1 1
70 Lakh - 1 Crore 34 12 11% 4% 1 4
1 - 1.4 Crore 6 5 3% 3% 1 1
1.4 - 2 Crore 76 5 5% 0% 3 38
GRAND TOTAL 1,206 729 5% 3% 2 4
Plotted developments are giving a 5% sales velocity on an average basis with
only left with 4 months of inventory. The most common plotted
developments are offered in the sizes of 30*40, 30*50, and 40*60
REVIEW OF MICRO MARKETS BY REGION AND LOCATIONS
To have a better understanding about the Bangalore residential market, we
have categorized the market into micro markets with the region and city
locations detailed in the below Chart
Table 14 - Region and its Locations
Regions Locations
Bangalore - Central
Andree Road, Bellari Road, Brigade Road, Cunningham Road, Frazer Town, Indiranagar, Lavelle road,
Magadi Road, MG road, Palace Road, Richmond Road, Sankay Road, Vittal Mallya Road, Wheeler Road
Bangalore - North East
Banaswadi, Brookefields, CV Raman Nagar, Gunjur, Hebbal, Hennur Road, Horamavu, Hoskote, ITPL,
Jakkur, KR Puram, Marathahalli, Old Airport Road, Old Madras Road, Ramamurthi Nagar, Thanisandra
Main Road, Whitefield
Bangalore - North West
Bellari Road, Chikkaballapur, Devanahalli, Doddaballapur Road, Jalahalli, Magadi Road, Malleshwaram,
Nandi Hills, R.T. Nagar, Rajajinagar, RMV Extension, Tumkur Road, Vidyaranyapura, Yelahanka,
Yeshwanthpur
Bangalore - South East
Anekal, Attibelle, Bannerghatta Road, Begalur, Begur Road, Bellandur , Bidadi, Chandapura, Chandrapura -
Anekal Road, Electronic City, Gunjur, Harlur Road, Hosur, Hosur Road, HSR Layout, Jigani, Koramangala,
Marathahalli, Sarjapur, Sarjapur Road, Varthur Road
Bangalore - South West
Banashankari, Bidadi, BTM Layout, JP Nagar, Kanakapura Road, Kengeri, Mysore Road, Rajarajeshwari
Nagar, Uttarahalli
Since the Bangalore property map looks like a circle few of the locations are
19. 19 | P a g e
shared among the Regions.
The below table show the weight of each suburb in terms of the supply and
its unsold inventory
REGION WISE INVENTORY DETAILS
Table 15 - Region wise Inventory of Apartments
Region Total Units Total size Mn sft Unsold size Mn sft
Value of Unsold Inventory in
billion INR
Bangalore - Central 1,406 3.80 1.54 37.82
Bangalore - North East 40,304 65.35 25.87 119.55
Bangalore - North West 23,112 33.27 11.63 54.17
Bangalore - South East 54,180 73.92 24.58 98.42
Bangalore - South West 17,278 25.06 9.98 42.06
GRAND TOTAL 1,36,280 201.40 73.61 352.01
Chart 10 - Region wise unsold Inventory of
Apartment
Most of the apartment stock is located on the east of
Bangalore with more than 94,000 units, the west of the
city contributes 40,000 units.
As shown on the left side chart 68% of the unsold
inventory lies in the east of Bangalore the western side
has 30%.
Though the central city area contributes only 2% of the
unsold inventory, it has a value of 37.82 billion, which is
11% of the value of the unsold stock in the market
Table 16 - Region wise Inventory of Plots
Region Total Units Total size Mn sft Unsold size Mn sft Value of Unsold Inventory in bn
Bangalore - North East 3,796 10.30 3.04 1.3
Bangalore - North West 3,959 7.35 2.06 5.6
Bangalore - South East 19,292 39.76 6.50 5.8
Bangalore - South West 5,823 17.03 2.70 6.2
GRAND TOTAL 32,870 74.44 14.31 19.0
Chart 11 - Region wise unsold Inventory of Plots
Of the 75 million sft of plotted developments, 19% lies as
unsold, with a value of 19 billion INR.
Most of the plotted developments are seen in the south
east of Bangalore which contributed 46% in the unsold
inventory.
Central
2%
North
East
35%
North
West
16%
South
East
33%
South
West
14%
North
East
21%
North
West
14%
South
East
46%
South
West
19%
20. 20 | P a g e
Table 17 - Region wise Inventory of Row Houses
Region Total Units Total size Mn sft Unsold size Mn sft Value of Unsold Inventory in Bn
Bangalore - Central 72 0.22 0.05 0.4
Bangalore - North East 739 2.57 1.36 10.6
Bangalore - North West 184 0.40 0.17 1.6
Bangalore - South East 530 1.18 0.26 1.1
Bangalore - South West 70 0.21 0.00 0.0
Grand Total 1,595 4.58 1.83 13.7
Chart 12 - Region wise unsold Inventory of Row
Houses
The row house market is very small compared to other
residential development types with limited stock.
It is observed that Row house developments are slow to
gain buyer acceptance in the market, and are taken up
predominantly when villa developments are not available
at the relevant price points.
Table 18 - Region Wise Inventory of Villas
Region Total Units Total size Mn sft Un Sold size Mn sft
Value of Unsold Inventory in
Billion INR
Bangalore - Central 7 0.03 0.01 0.1
Bangalore - North East 1,966 8.59 2.54 18.6
Bangalore - North West 1,821 7.51 3.11 28.8
Bangalore - South East 7,725 22.65 12.10 62.3
Grand Total 11,519 38.78 17.76 109.9
Chart 13 - Region Wise Unsold Inventory of Villas
There is 38.8 million sft of villa developments mapped
that represents 12% of the total residential market. Of
this 17.76 million sft is unsold with a value of 13.7 billion
INR.
Central
3%
North
East
74%
North
West
9%
South
East
14%
North
East
14%
North
West
18%
South
East
68%
21. 21 | P a g e
REGION WISE PERFORMANCE REVIEW
COMPARISON OF INCREMENTAL ABSORPTION WITH OVERALL ABSORPTION
Apartment and Plotted developments
Table 19 - Region Wise Performance of Apartment and Plots
Apartment Plot
Region
SV
(Overall)
SV
(Incremental)
MI
(Overall*)
MI
(Incremental)
SV
(Overall)
SV
(Incremental)
MI
(Overall*)
MI
(Incremental)
Central 2% 1% 11 19 Nil Nil Nil Nil
North East 4% 3% 8 11 5% 4% 3 4
North
West
4% 3% 7 8 5% 3% 4 8
South East 4% 2% 7 11 5% 2% 2 4
South
West
3% 3% 11 11 5% 5% 3 3
Grand
Total
4% 3% 8 11 5% 3% 2 4
Row House and Villa
Table 20 - Region Wise Performance of Row Houses and Villas
Row House Villa
Region
SV
(Overall)
SV
(Incremental)
MI
(Overall*)
MI
(Incremental)
SV
(Overall)
SV
(Incremental)
MI
(Overall*)
MI
(Incremental)
Central 3% 7% 7 3 Nil Nil Nil Nil
North East 5% 3% 10 16 4% 4% 7 7
North
West
5% 4% 9 14 5% 3% 8 13
South East 5% 6% 5 4 5% 3% 10 14
South
West
5% 1% 0 2 Nil Nil Nil Nil
Grand
Total
5% 5% 7 8 5% 3% 9 12
To get better clarity on the absorption data we have mapped the Sales
Velocity (SV) and the Monthly Inventory (MI – how many months inventory is
unsold) and we have compared the overall velocity with velocity in the last 6
months. Overall refers to the average monthly sales from the launch of the
project to till date, and the incremental is the absorption in the last 6 month.
East of Bangalore is at more than 4% in overall sales velocity (all residential
development categories) but the last 6 months it has dropped markedly to
only 2% (for all except row house in south east).
For plotted developments in the south east the overall sales velocity is 5% but
fell to only 3%, with 2 months inventory available.
22. 22 | P a g e
LOCATIONS WISE MARKET DYNAMICS
Apartment Market - Top 20 Locations Based on the Unsold (available) Inventory
Table 21 - Top 20 Locations and its Inventory Details
Location Total units Total size in Lakh sft Unsold size in Lakh sft
% OF TOTAL
UNSOLD
Sarjapur Road 13,283 192.3 63.9 9%
Electronic City 11,702 158.1 57.0 8%
Whitefield 10,346 152.6 56.7 8%
Kanakapura Road 8,097 117.4 52.4 7%
Hebbal 6,486 155.1 51.2 7%
Thanisandra Main Road 5,117 76.0 40.6 6%
Hosur Road 5,933 81.5 34.0 5%
Yelahanka 7,637 109.3 32.7 4%
KR Puram 3,804 60.2 29.8 4%
Hennur Road 3,569 51.4 24.4 3%
Jalahalli 3,990 50.8 19.0 3%
Bannerghatta Road 3,773 59.7 18.2 2%
Marathahalli 3,443 55.0 15.6 2%
Yeshwanthpur 2,132 37.8 14.6 2%
Begur Road 3,687 46.5 14.5 2%
Banashankari 1,836 33.1 14.3 2%
Doddaballapur Road 4,182 44.6 13.5 2%
Jakkur 892 18.0 12.1 2%
Harlur Road 1,483 26.4 11.7 2%
Bellandur 904 16.8 10.4 1%
As shown Sarjapur Road stands on the top of the list with largest unsold
inventory of 9% (some 63.9 million sft) followed by Electronic city,
Whitefield which each have 8% and Kanakpura road at 7%.
The top eight locations on the above table contribute more than 50% of
all unsold inventory.
23. 23 | P a g e
Chart 14 - Location Wise Supply vs Unsold
Chart 15 - New Launches (in total unit numbers) During the Last 6 Months
0
50
100
150
200
250
SarjapurRoad
ElectronicCity
Whitefield
KanakapuraRoad
Hebbal
ThanisandraMainRoad
HosurRoad
Yelahanka
KRPuram
HennurRoad
Jalahalli
BannerghattaRoad
Marathahalli
Yeshwanthpur
BegurRoad
Banashankari
DoddaballapurRoad
Jakkur
HarlurRoad
Bellandur
Devanahalli
Total Supply vs Unsold Inventory
Total size in Lakh sqft Unsold size in Lakh sqft
2,022
2,8372,729
501
1,682
409
888
1,886
972
668
2,115
460 484 392 281 308 368
814
251
SarjapurRoad
ElectronicCity
Whitefield
KanakapuraRoad
Hebbal
ThanisandraMainRoad
HosurRoad
Yelahanka
KRPuram
HennurRoad
Jalahalli
BannerghattaRoad
Marathahalli
Yeshwanthpur
BegurRoad
DoddaballapurRoad
Jakkur
HarlurRoad
Bellandur
New Launches
24. 24 | P a g e
PERFORMANCE CHART FOR THE TOP 20 LOCATIONS
Table 22 - Location Wise Performance Comparison (SV = Sales Velocity, MI = Months Inventory of available stock)
location
SV
(Overall)
SV
(Incremental)
MI
(Overall*)
MI
(Incremental)
Dec 2012
Price
June 2013
price
%
Change
Sarjapur Road 4% 2% 7 11 3,908 4,120 5%
Electronic City 4% 3% 7 8 3,172 3,527 11%
Whitefield 4% 2% 10 18 3,743 4,017 7%
Kanakapura Road 2% 4% 19 12 4,120 4,583 11%
Hebbal 6% 4% 4 7 5,078 5,592 10%
Thanisandra mn rd 5% 6% 10 9 4,140 4,473 8%
Hosur Road 3% 2% 5 13 2,971 3,280 10%
Yelahanka 3% 3% 7 10 3,855 4,078 6%
KR Puram 4% 4% 6 7 4,015 4,181 4%
Hennur Road 3% 2% 14 22 3,921 4,237 8%
Jalahalli 7% 1% 6 23 3,521 3,668 4%
Bannerghatta Road 3% 3% 4 4 4,527 4,705 4%
Marathahalli 4% 2% 4 8 5,060 6,690 9%
Yeshwanthpur 3% 1% 3 9 3,603 4,503 25%
Begur Road 3% 2% 8 14 3,056 3,221 5%
Banashankari 4% 2% 7 19 5,155 5,559 8%
Doddaballapur Road 2% 5% 11 6 3,025 3,235 7%
Jakkur 5% 3% 12 20 3,688 3,913 6%
Harlur Road 7% 6% 7 7 4,330 4,460 3%
Bellandur 3% 2% 13 23 4,483 4,583 2%
Devanahalli 4% 3% 5 8 3,111 3,208 3%
The incremental absorption data showed strong trends in Thanisandra
Road and Harlur Road (6% each)followed by Doddaballapur rd 5%, other
areas like Kanakpura ,Hebbal, KR Puram maintained a Sales Velocity of 4%,
most of the major residential pockets such as Whitefield, Sarjapur road,
Hennur road and Hosur road sales velocity were went down to 2%.
Among the above top 20 locations Jalahalli and Harlur road have the
highest overall sales velocity of 7% followed by Hebbal,Thanisandra 6%,5%
Sarjapur road,Banashankari and KR puram with each of these locations
having an overall sales velocity of 4%.
Over the last 6 months the apartment market has witnessed a price hike of
12.5% of the asking prices but sales have trended towards more
competitively priced new releases. The locations showing the highest
increases were Yeshwanthpur with a 25% hike followed by Electronic city
and Kanakpura Road each of which went up by 11%, and both Hebbal and
Hosur Road increased to 10%, Marathahalli was up by 9%.
25. 25 | P a g e
RENTAL PRICE VALUE BY AREA – COMPARISON 1ST QTR 2013 WITH 4QTR 2012
Table 23 - Comparison of Rental Values
LOCATION
Rental
Range
Last Qtr
PSF price Median
This Qtr
PSF Range
Qtr on Qtr
Change
Arakere 13-14 14 13 -7%
Banashankari 17-18 16 17 6%
Banashankari Stage 3 16-17 16 17 6%
Bannerghatta Road 15-23 17 19 12%
Bellandur 16-17 16 17 6%
Benson Town 20-23 21 22 5%
Bommanahalli 13-16 13 14 8%
Brooke Field 15-16 16 15 -6%
Cookes Town 17-22 21 20 -5%
Cunningham Road 29-37 30 33 10%
Doddaballapur Road 10-11 11 10 -9%
Frazer Town 18-20 17 19 12%
HBR Layout 12-19 14 16 14%
Hebbal 14-16 13 15 15%
Hoodi 14-16 14 15 7%
HSR Layout 17-17 20 17 -15%
Indira Nagar 19-38 31 28 -10%
Jalahalli 12-16 13 14 8%
Kaggadaspura 12-16 13 14 8%
Kaningam Road 22-29 25 26 4%
Koramangala 19-31 23 25 9%
Kundalahalli 15-16 14 15 7%
Mahadevpura 15-17 17 16 -6%
Malleswaram 22-25 22 23 5%
Marathahalli 15-24 16 20 25%
Old Airport Rd 19-50 29 34 17%
Old Madras Road 17-18 17 18 6%
Outer Ring Rd 16-18 18 17 -6%
Richmond Road 24-28 29 26 -10%
Richmond Town 24-28 25 26 4%
RT Nagar 8-28 16 18 13%
Sarjapur Road 15-28 19 21 11%
Thanisandra 10-20 13 15 15%
Ulsoor 10-93 42 52 24%
Whitefield 16-19 19 17 -11%
These comparison figures are taken from rental availability advertised on
the Magic Bricks web portal and demonstrate broad market trends in the
various localities with a reasonably high sample size. Overall the figures
show a significant market rise of 5.1% over the period.
When we analyse the trends we see there has been a slight majority of
areas that exhibited a rise in rates, with 58% of areas rising as opposed to
42% experiencing falls. The falls were generally attributable to drops at the
top end of the rental value range. (as per the next table)
26. 26 | P a g e
Distribution range of Areas showing rises or falls in value Qtr on Qtr
Table 24 - Rental Variation
No Locations % of Total
High Rise (10%+) 11 32% 58%
Rise (0-10%) 9 26%
Fall (0-10%) 10 29% 42%
High Fall (10%+) 4 13%
On a more micro level, the lower table looks at some of the key enclaves
and buildings, with a review of current rental rates against past history,
Whilst new mid-range buildings such as Gateway have seen steady growth
in line with infrastructure delivery, we have seen significant falls in
virtually all high end buildings from the peaks achieved 4-5 years ago, and
the majority of this can be put down to the amount of stock in the market.
When the very high (some would argue unsustainable) rates were
achieved there was little supply and strong expat demand. Over the last
year or more we have seen a significant increase in quality supply coupled
with a lessening of demand as the Euro crisis has deepened and US
companies have been trying to contain expensive expat head counts.
A number of companies have started looking at short term rental solutions
such as serviced apartments. Generally a lot more flexible for them and
without the financial impact of a 10 month rental security bond.
If landlords in this high end sector don’t bring their asking rentals to the
market rates they are seeing very long vacancy periods, and even after
sustaining the vacancy they have to take the reduced rates on offer.
Overall the top end ‘mature’ properties have seen drops of around 20%
from peak.
Table 25 - Review of 11 Key Rental Enclaves/Buildings
* We have considered all stock (old + newly added) while calculating the Month Inventory.
Locations Project Name Size Ranges (sft)
Price Ranges
At Peak
Price Ranges
Current
Cunningham Rd Prestige Exotica 2000 - 3025 1.1 – 2.0 lakh 90,000 - 1.5 Lakh
Dollar's Colony Pebble Bay 2400 - 3000 new 1.25 lakh - 1.75 lakh
Rajaji Nagar Brigade Gateway 1640 - 3500 new 35,000 - 1 lakh
City Sky Gardens 6200 2.5 – 3.5 lakh 2.2 - 2.8 lakh
Whitefield Palm Meadows 1780 -7000 85,000 - 5.0 lakh 55,000 - 3.5 lakh
Whitefield Prestige Ozone 2200 - 4250 90,000 – 3 lakh 65,000 - 2.25 lakh
Whitefield Windmills of the Mind (A) 2500 - 2681 new 50,000 – 90,000
Whitefield Windmills of the Mind (V) 3000 - 4000 new 2 – 3 lakh
Whitefield Prestige Shantiniketan 1418 - 4200 new 30,000 - 1.0 lakh
Yamlur Epsilon Villa’s 5000 - 10000 3.0 - 17.0 lakh 2.5 Lakh - 4.25 lakh
Hebbal Woodsmans Estate 1450 - 2025 new 25,000 - 45,000
Koramngala St. John Woods 1650 - 3500 50,000 – 1.2 lakh 35,000 - 1.0 lakh
27. 27 | P a g e
PART III – PRIMARY PROJECT BY PROJECT SOURCE DATA
This 26 page section detailing all primary data of the 717 projects surveyed is available by subscription
only at an annual once off cost for the two reports of only Rs.10,000.
Contact: research@ljh.in or call Mr Idirees Chenakkal on +91 88844 40135.
The data is segmented by property type then geographical area, with full details of developer, project,
possession date, ticket and sft price, size & inventory.
28. 28 | P a g e
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