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21 st  Century Regulation: Discovering Better Solutions for Enduring Problems Why now? Bruce Yandle Distinguished Adjunct Professor of Economics [email_address]
Federal Register Pages: 1940-2007
Federal Register Pages per $Billion Real GDP 1940-2007
Federal Register Pages per $Billion Real GDP 1940-2007 The 1970s’ imprint.
The 1970s ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What’s changed? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Where are we?
An Information Revolution Occurred after 1970. So what?
 
MICROSOFT in 1978
Wikipedia in 2007
Meet the Innovators’ Dilemma Clayton Christensen.  The Innovators’ Dilemma.  Harvard Business School Press, 1997 .
Totem of Human Talents Source:  Michael Cox. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Human Connectivity Creativity Analytical Reasoning Formulaic Intelligence Manual Dexterity Brute Force
Let’s talk about where people work! And how that has changed.
U.S. Sector Employment: 1970
U.S. Sector Employment: 2007
Knowledge-Intensive Manufacturing So what?
U.S. GDP by Product Group 1970-2006
The Changing Industrial Scene From 1970s Smokestacks to  21 st  Century Knowledge Economy
U.S. Industrial Production Index 1919-6/2008
Production-Based Industry Rankings Source:  Economic Report of the President, 2005, and Federal Reserve Board. 1972 1980 1990 2000 2004 2007 Iron/Steel  Iron/Steel  Printing Comp/Elec Comp/Elec Comp/Elec Apparel Apparel Apparel Autos Autos Aircraft Machinery Paper Plast/Rubber Food Food Food Food Fab. Metal Food Fab. Metal Chemicals Plast/Rubber Paper Paper Chemicals Machinery Iron/Steel  Fab. Metal Fab. Metal Food Iron/Steel  Plast/Rubber Plast/Rubber Elec. Mchry. Chemicals Chemicals Fab. Metal Chemicals Machinery Printing Autos Printing Machinery Printing Fab. Metal Chemicals Printing Autos Plast/Rubber Paper Paper Iron/Steel  Plast/Rubber Plast/Rubber Autos Iron/Steel  Printing Nonmetal minerals
Are all the jobs going to China?
Percentage Change in Manufacturing Employment 1992-2003 Data for The Netherlands and China for 1990-2002 Source: W.A. Ward, Manufacturing Productivity and the Shifting U.S., China, and Global Job Scenes, 1990-2005.  Center for International Trade, Clemson University, Clemson, SC.
Globalization So what?
Growth in Global Markets Changes Rent-seeking Behavior & Places U.S. Regulators in Head-to-Head International Competition
 
Racing to the Top but Struggling with the Bottom So what?
 
Race to the top .
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Kuheli Dutt, doctoral student, Northeastern University, Boston, MA
 
 
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Today’s Plan There are many ideas in today’s papers. But, alas, we must ration. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Three Panels ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
21 st  Century Regulation: Discovering Better Solutions for Enduring Problems Why now? Bruce Yandle Distinguished Adjunct Professor of Economics [email_address]

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Regulatory Conference Yandle Presentation 20080915

  • 1. 21 st Century Regulation: Discovering Better Solutions for Enduring Problems Why now? Bruce Yandle Distinguished Adjunct Professor of Economics [email_address]
  • 3. Federal Register Pages per $Billion Real GDP 1940-2007
  • 4. Federal Register Pages per $Billion Real GDP 1940-2007 The 1970s’ imprint.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. An Information Revolution Occurred after 1970. So what?
  • 9.  
  • 12. Meet the Innovators’ Dilemma Clayton Christensen. The Innovators’ Dilemma. Harvard Business School Press, 1997 .
  • 13. Totem of Human Talents Source: Michael Cox. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Human Connectivity Creativity Analytical Reasoning Formulaic Intelligence Manual Dexterity Brute Force
  • 14. Let’s talk about where people work! And how that has changed.
  • 18. U.S. GDP by Product Group 1970-2006
  • 19. The Changing Industrial Scene From 1970s Smokestacks to 21 st Century Knowledge Economy
  • 20. U.S. Industrial Production Index 1919-6/2008
  • 21. Production-Based Industry Rankings Source: Economic Report of the President, 2005, and Federal Reserve Board. 1972 1980 1990 2000 2004 2007 Iron/Steel Iron/Steel Printing Comp/Elec Comp/Elec Comp/Elec Apparel Apparel Apparel Autos Autos Aircraft Machinery Paper Plast/Rubber Food Food Food Food Fab. Metal Food Fab. Metal Chemicals Plast/Rubber Paper Paper Chemicals Machinery Iron/Steel Fab. Metal Fab. Metal Food Iron/Steel Plast/Rubber Plast/Rubber Elec. Mchry. Chemicals Chemicals Fab. Metal Chemicals Machinery Printing Autos Printing Machinery Printing Fab. Metal Chemicals Printing Autos Plast/Rubber Paper Paper Iron/Steel Plast/Rubber Plast/Rubber Autos Iron/Steel Printing Nonmetal minerals
  • 22. Are all the jobs going to China?
  • 23. Percentage Change in Manufacturing Employment 1992-2003 Data for The Netherlands and China for 1990-2002 Source: W.A. Ward, Manufacturing Productivity and the Shifting U.S., China, and Global Job Scenes, 1990-2005. Center for International Trade, Clemson University, Clemson, SC.
  • 25. Growth in Global Markets Changes Rent-seeking Behavior & Places U.S. Regulators in Head-to-Head International Competition
  • 26.  
  • 27. Racing to the Top but Struggling with the Bottom So what?
  • 28.  
  • 29. Race to the top .
  • 30.
  • 31.  
  • 32.  
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36. 21 st Century Regulation: Discovering Better Solutions for Enduring Problems Why now? Bruce Yandle Distinguished Adjunct Professor of Economics [email_address]