1. The document discusses Asia's role in globalization and whether Asia can lead the world. It notes Asia's large population and economic growth that has made it an important part of the global economy. 2. However, it also points out challenges Asia faces from issues like an aging population, gender inequality, environmental degradation, and geopolitical tensions that could threaten continued growth. 3. For Asia to take a leadership role in globalization, countries will need to strengthen regional institutions, pursue more intra-regional cooperation, and balance national interests with supporting global governance.

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SimplyBrilliant–HowGreatOrganizationsDoOrdinaryThingsIn
ExtraordinaryWays!
Redefining
Globalization:
CanAsialead
theworld?
19/01/2018

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AboutUpohan
AsiaataGlance
TheGlobalizationConundrum

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unearth
yourstrategy
unlock
yourprocesses
unite
humancapital
uplift
decisionmaking
unlearn
capabilities
Whatdowedo?

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UnitedStatesUnitedKingdomGermany
Mauritius
IndiaNigeria
SouthAfrica
15countriesandcounting…Workhastakenusfarandnear
SaudiArabia
UnitedArabEmirates
EgyptHongKong
Qatar
200 a year
10,000 a year
KM
SingaporeIndonesiaKuwait

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Wehaveworkedacross16citiesinIndia

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Ourconsultingworkspansacrossmultipleindustriesandsectors
ManufacturingAutomotive
Technology
ConsumerGoods&ServicesEducation
InsuranceRealEstateTelecommunication
MediaBankingFinancialServicesTrading

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FromSMEstolargeconglomerates,wehaveworkedwiththemall

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AboutUpohan
AsiaataGlance
TheGlobalizationConundrum

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Asiaisageographic,economicandculturalexpanseof48diverse
countries

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Withabludgeoningpopulationinexcessof4billion,Asiarepresents
nearly60%oftheworld’spopulation
Globalpopulation,ADB2017

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TheAsianeconomicblocofcountriesaccountsforoverathirdofglobal
GDP

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From12%ofglobalGDPinthe1960stoone-thirdtoday,Asia’s
economicgrowthhasbeenfueledbyJapan,Korea,ChinaandIndia
Japanre-established
itselfasaneconomic
powerhousetolead
Asiaintoaperiodof
growthandrecovery
postWorldWar2
TheRepublicof
Koreausheredthe
nextwaveby
pursuingpoliciesto
boostproduction
andexports
China’seconomic
growthtookoffin
the1980swith
domesticmarket
reformsandanopen
tradepolicy
Indiagradually
embracedeconomic
reformsin1991with
tradeliberalization
andabolishmentof
licenserajregime
ShareofGlobalGDP,ADB2017

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Asia’semergenceasaglobaleconomicheavyweightisslatedto
continue,withChinaandIndialeadingthebrigade
RebalancingofChina’seconomicgrowthmodelwilleaseitsgrowthtrajectory
Indiawillsurgeonthebackofreformsthatwillboostinvestmentandproductivity
RealGDPgrowth(y-o-y)

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Asiancompaniesnowmakeup40%oftheFortuneGlobal500list

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TheAsianregionishometosomeoftheeconomieswiththehighest
averagelifeexpectancyintheworld
TodayanewborninAsiaisexpectedtolivefor71years
LifeExpectancy,ADB2017

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However,Asia’srapidlyageingpopulationrunstheriskofgrowingold
beforebecomingrich
Japanissettobecomethefirstultra-agedcountrywith28%ofthepopulationover65yearsage
AfifthofthepeopleinSouthKoreaareexpectedtobe65by2030
Singaporelaboursupplyforecasttodeclineby1.7%inthe10yearsthrough2026

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AnopportunitydoesexisttoboostGDPbyclosingthegendergapinthe
Asianemploymentmarket
JapaneseGDPcanincreaseby9%
SouthKoreanGDPcanincreaseby10%
IndianGDPcanincreaseby27%

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Despitethepositiveindicatorsofeconomicrevival,Asia’sGDPgrowthis
expectedtomarginallydeclinefrom5.9%in2017to5.8%in2018
5.8%
5.9%
5.8%
201620172018

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Ontheflipside,astheregionhasprospered,itsgrowthhascomeata
cost;CO2emissionsfromAsiaarenearlyhalftheglobaltotal
China,IndiaandIndonesiaareguiltyofleadingtheAsianpackinemissions
CO2 Emissions, ADB 2017

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TheAsianjuggernautissurgingforward,butarethekeygrowthdrivers
inplace?
Strongdemographics
Robustmacrofundamentals
Tradeintegration
Geopoliticalstability

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AboutUpohan
AsiaataGlance
TheGlobalizationConundrum

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Theworldisincreasinglybecomingasombreplace,asevidentfromthe
responsestoarecentsurveyof19countriesbyTheEconomist
Doyouthink
theworldhas
gotbetteror
worseinthe
past12
months,or
hasthere
beenno
change?

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Globalizationisadouble-edgedswordandisadominantyet
controversialeconomicforceintheworldtoday

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Inthemidstofthecurrentscepticaltimes,globalizationisawordoft
usedbutlittleunderstood
Globalization1.0was
largelyconfinedtothe
cross-borderexchange
oftangiblegoods
Globalization2.0isfar
broader,including
growingtradeinmany
intangibleservices
GlobalizationhasNOTmadetheworldflat.Theworldmayhavebecomesmaller
butthepeaksandvalleysstillexist…

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…asvalidatedbyTheEconomist’slatestissuewhichprobesintothehole
thatexistsinplaceoftheIndianmiddleclass

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Globalization2.0ischaracterizedbythespeedoftechnologyabsorption
anddisruption

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Asiawillhavetoembracetechnologycautiouslyinitsquestforleading
theworldintoglobalization
Globalsupplychainswillbeadversely
impactedbyroboticsandAI
3DmanufacturingandJITproduction
capabilitiesargueforsmallersupplychains
andde-centralization

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SomebodyforgottoinstructChinatobringdownTheGreat(fire)Wallif
itwantstobetheposterboyforglobalization

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Globalization’srampantspreadwasfosteredbykeyfactorsthatworked
inunison
Migration
Communication
Corporations
Commerce
Energy
ClimateChange

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Globalizationisincreasinglylosingtheplottonationalistpopulism

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Theleaderofthefreeworldissinglehandedlythwartingglobalization

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Globalizationisgettingmiredingeopoliticalshifts
ChinaisassertingitselfinthePacific
MuddlingMiddleEasternevents
TheKoreanquandary
Exodusofrefugees

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Asiaislikelytoremainageopoliticalcauldronintheforeseeablefuture
Hotbedofterrorism
Territorialdisputesbetweenvirtuallyallcountries
Religiousandethnicconflicts
Biggestconcentrationofcurrentandpossible
futurenuclearpowers

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Globalizationisnowwellandtrulyengulfedinanairofsusceptibleand
vulnerablemalaise
Developedcountriesseemmore
intentonbreakinguptheirown
integratingstructuresthan
establishingnewglobalrelationships
Sanctions,cyberwarfare,
proliferationoffakenews,
‘alternativefacts’areall
hurtingglobalizationefforts

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Recenttrendsinglobaltradearealsoflashingwarningsigns
AccordingtotheInternationalMonetaryFund,
annualgrowthinthevolumeofworldtrade
hasaveragedjust3%overthe2009-2016
period–halfthe6%ratefrom1980to2008

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Japanesedeflationarywoesshownosignsofabatement

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TheReminbimayhavebeenincludedinIMF’sSDRcurrencybasketbut
sluggishgrowthanddebtservicinghaveweakenedthedragon’smight

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ThejuryisstilloutonwhetherIndiawillreapanysustainablebenefits
outoftherecentreforms

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Thereisnosingleconception,voiceoridentityofAsia
ConformistAdaptiveRevisionist

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Chinese,IndianandJapaneseforeignpolicieshaveevolvedbuthavenot
ledtogreaterleadershipinglobalgovernance
NationalAspirationsvs.GlobalGovernance

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SowhatcanAsiadototaketheleadandchampionthecauseof
globalization?
InstitutionslikeAIIBandADB
Movefromone-hubglobalizationto
multiple-hubglobalization
Digitalpushforovercominginfrastructure
hurdles

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SowhatcanAsiadototaketheleadandchampionthecauseof
globalization?
IntraregionalFDIinflows
Fightthewarfortalentandinnovation
Governmentintentbackedwithexecution

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ThelargerAsiangiantscantakealeafoutofSingaporegovernment’s
booktolookbeyondvalueaddingtovaluecreationatagloballevel

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Canacompanybeglobalintheabsenceofoffices,customersand
suppliersineverynookandcorneroftheworld?
CultureandDiversity
Thoughts
Processes
Relevance

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Globalizationisafactoflife,butdonotunderestimateitsfragility
REALITY?HYPE?

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ThankYou