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Quality of Health Care: health
economics versus health politics
       Dr. Gediminas Černiauskas
   Vilnius Mykolas Romeris University
           Zurich 08.09.2010
Objectives
• To examine why politicians and economists are getting “stronger”
  in health care quality related debates

• To indicate what value added economists may provide in quality
  related issues

• To provide insights assuring that “political animals” would remain
  useful for modern societies

• To provide an example of a political project with marginal political
  input but quite outstanding health and economic results


                                                                       2
Politics is the oldest profession of
              human kind
 Hypothesis: politics is the oldest profession of human kind

Proof of the hypothesis: The ape who initiated ‘’Let’s go down from
the tree!” was not a doctor, nor an economist. He or she was a
leader - a politician


Falsification of the proof: what if apes had fallen from the tree by
accident

Counter argument: Someone (politician of course) had said – “Let’s
not go back to the tree, guys!”

                                                                       3
Professions dealing with quality of
               health care
•   Quality of health care and quality related issues have for a long time been
    almost exclusively in the domain of medical professionals

•   Starting from the fall of the nineteenth century politicians stepped in for
    reasons of social stability (Bismarck), grip on power (Semasho), equity and
    solidarity (Beveridge)

•   In parallel to the health sector becoming the major sector of the
    economy, economist followed politicians bringing their concepts of
    marginal costs and utility as well as the principles such as Pareto
    optimality




                                                                                  4
Development of health sector




*According to ILO 18,2 mil. have been employed in health and social services
in US (year 2008). At the same year manufacturing accounted for 15.9 mil.,
construction – 11.0 mil., transport – 6.5mil., agriculture – 2.2mil.        5
Health markets are not perfect




                                 6
Public politics have to correct market
                failures




                                         7
Comparison of European and US
    health systems, 2005




                                8
Quality of health care
Quality of health care has multiple dimensions. Let’s take some
dimensions indicated in „Assuring the quality of health care in the
European Union. A case for action“, WHO 2008



     •   Acces
     •   Safety
     •   Equity
     •   Appropriateness
     •   Health improvement




                                                                      9
Optimal quality
   For economists overall quality of health care or consumer equilibrium is
about achieving highest possible utility. Marginal utility per Euro or Swiss
Franc spend has to be the same for all products (dimensions of quality of
health care). Overall, quality for society will grow if all dimensions of quality
will grow (for example, because of GDP growth). Let’s take 3 time periods (t-
10, t, t+10) with economic growth and corresponding optimal values (3, 5, 7)
for each health care quality dimension




                                                                                10
Why politics is a show?
    Politicians have tools to cope with long term problems by using recourses
    pooled by tax offices to support fundamental science, medical
    universities, help the poor and the elderly. But....

•   they have to face the political cycle

•   to withstand pressures put forth by the medical profession, the industry,
    and patients on the topic of temptation to use public recourses above the
    sustainable levels

•   to resolve “emergencies” created by mass media




                                                                            11
Optimal quality for health politicians
Short time optimum quality for politicians at the time period t will be not 5,
5, 5, 5, 5 but (if unnoticed you are able to misappropriate some resources
from other sectors) 6,6, 5,5,5




                                                                                 12
Suboptimal quality for health
                 politicians
The suboptimal scenario for health politician is 5, 6, 4, 6, 4 (if you are not able
to misappropriate some resources from other sectors but able to shift some
resources from priorities of less vocal consumers of health care for the good
of groups speaking loudly)




                                                                                 13
Checks and balances
•   Medical professionals are against this show (at least because of the
    principal “you should not harm the patient”)

•   Economists are also against such short-term policies (they prefer “boring”
    equilibrium and incremental changes to “bright” new ideas about radical
    reforms or “miracles” created by the welfare state)

•   Both groups of professionals are critical about politicians and this sceptical
    approach creates a rational framework for political show

•   Civil society with free press, NGO’s, elections are instrumental in limiting
    scope of “dirty“ political games




                                                                                   14
An example how to expose
inefficiency of political trics




                                  15
Doctors and economists need each
           other (MTA)
Doctors and economists, while usually suspicions of each other, sometimes
(e.g. medical technology assessment or evidence based medicine) need
mutual exchange of professional expertise




                                                                        16
Good politician: a puppet of professionals, humble
  servant of sovereign citizens, the leader of national
               state or local community?
Politicians and civil servants sometimes are eager to show that they
are not just for “dirty games” and “stupid restrictions”. How to proceed
to be “good”?
•To look for advice. Efficient political interventions may come on the
basis of sound analysis undertaken by professionals but sometimes
this analysis is limited and academic recommendations tailored for the
particular country or period missing
•Get public‘s opinion. Sustainable (in long term) political decisions
have to be supported by the voters. The Swiss referendum system has
not been introduced in majority of the world and opinion pools are far
from providing clear picture on population needs or how to meet
them
•To undertake related risks and rise as a leader...


                                                                      17
Ending road wars: Lithuanian
          experience. The background
•   For many years Lithuania was one of the regional “leaders” with regards
    casualties to on the roads

•   Talks were talked, billions invested in to quality of roads, policemen
    equipped with speed meters but there was no change

                         SDR, Transport accidents, per 100000




                                                                              18
Ending road wars.
    The trigger for the decisive action
• On 7th November 2007 a drunken policeman driving a car
  managed to kill 3 school children age 10 and escaped from the
  scene

• The first reaction of the public was to lynch the bastard on the spot.
  Politicians managed to calm the public, proposed measures to
  tackle the problem and managed to implement the foreseen
  activities




                                                                      19
Ending road wars.
             Implenented measures
• More training for future drivers and 2 year probation period for
  young drivers

• Intensive public awareness campaign

• Shifting some of investments from construction of highways
  towards ”low priority” investments such as roundabouts on
  crossroads, speed bumps. Around 20 million Euros had been spent
  in 2008

• Increase of fines for speeding and non-sober driving


                                                                     20
Ending road wars.
  Health results




                    21
Ending road wars.
               Political results
Percentage of population trusting govermental institutions




                                                        22
Ending road wars.
                Economic assessment I
Assumptions:

•   One life year saved -5000 Euro

•   Number of years saved per one avoided death – 30

•   Costs of treatment per 1 injured – 1000 Euro

•   Discount rate – 10 percent

•   Outcomes and expenditures are constant since 2009 (during first 7
    months of year 2010 aditional 30% decrese of car accidents related
    deaths compared to corresponding period of 2009 have been recorded)


                                                                          23
Ending road wars.
Economic assessment II
   NPV of the project (millions of euro)




                                           24
Conclussions
• Economists and politicians are legitimite
  decission makers what regards Health care
  quality
• Politics is a “tricky” bussines but... “Political
  animals” had been instrumental not just at
  the down of humanity but may be useful in
  the modern age of liberalism and
  professionalism

                                                      25
Thank YOU!


             26

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Quality of Health Care

  • 1. Quality of Health Care: health economics versus health politics Dr. Gediminas Černiauskas Vilnius Mykolas Romeris University Zurich 08.09.2010
  • 2. Objectives • To examine why politicians and economists are getting “stronger” in health care quality related debates • To indicate what value added economists may provide in quality related issues • To provide insights assuring that “political animals” would remain useful for modern societies • To provide an example of a political project with marginal political input but quite outstanding health and economic results 2
  • 3. Politics is the oldest profession of human kind Hypothesis: politics is the oldest profession of human kind Proof of the hypothesis: The ape who initiated ‘’Let’s go down from the tree!” was not a doctor, nor an economist. He or she was a leader - a politician Falsification of the proof: what if apes had fallen from the tree by accident Counter argument: Someone (politician of course) had said – “Let’s not go back to the tree, guys!” 3
  • 4. Professions dealing with quality of health care • Quality of health care and quality related issues have for a long time been almost exclusively in the domain of medical professionals • Starting from the fall of the nineteenth century politicians stepped in for reasons of social stability (Bismarck), grip on power (Semasho), equity and solidarity (Beveridge) • In parallel to the health sector becoming the major sector of the economy, economist followed politicians bringing their concepts of marginal costs and utility as well as the principles such as Pareto optimality 4
  • 5. Development of health sector *According to ILO 18,2 mil. have been employed in health and social services in US (year 2008). At the same year manufacturing accounted for 15.9 mil., construction – 11.0 mil., transport – 6.5mil., agriculture – 2.2mil. 5
  • 6. Health markets are not perfect 6
  • 7. Public politics have to correct market failures 7
  • 8. Comparison of European and US health systems, 2005 8
  • 9. Quality of health care Quality of health care has multiple dimensions. Let’s take some dimensions indicated in „Assuring the quality of health care in the European Union. A case for action“, WHO 2008 • Acces • Safety • Equity • Appropriateness • Health improvement 9
  • 10. Optimal quality For economists overall quality of health care or consumer equilibrium is about achieving highest possible utility. Marginal utility per Euro or Swiss Franc spend has to be the same for all products (dimensions of quality of health care). Overall, quality for society will grow if all dimensions of quality will grow (for example, because of GDP growth). Let’s take 3 time periods (t- 10, t, t+10) with economic growth and corresponding optimal values (3, 5, 7) for each health care quality dimension 10
  • 11. Why politics is a show? Politicians have tools to cope with long term problems by using recourses pooled by tax offices to support fundamental science, medical universities, help the poor and the elderly. But.... • they have to face the political cycle • to withstand pressures put forth by the medical profession, the industry, and patients on the topic of temptation to use public recourses above the sustainable levels • to resolve “emergencies” created by mass media 11
  • 12. Optimal quality for health politicians Short time optimum quality for politicians at the time period t will be not 5, 5, 5, 5, 5 but (if unnoticed you are able to misappropriate some resources from other sectors) 6,6, 5,5,5 12
  • 13. Suboptimal quality for health politicians The suboptimal scenario for health politician is 5, 6, 4, 6, 4 (if you are not able to misappropriate some resources from other sectors but able to shift some resources from priorities of less vocal consumers of health care for the good of groups speaking loudly) 13
  • 14. Checks and balances • Medical professionals are against this show (at least because of the principal “you should not harm the patient”) • Economists are also against such short-term policies (they prefer “boring” equilibrium and incremental changes to “bright” new ideas about radical reforms or “miracles” created by the welfare state) • Both groups of professionals are critical about politicians and this sceptical approach creates a rational framework for political show • Civil society with free press, NGO’s, elections are instrumental in limiting scope of “dirty“ political games 14
  • 15. An example how to expose inefficiency of political trics 15
  • 16. Doctors and economists need each other (MTA) Doctors and economists, while usually suspicions of each other, sometimes (e.g. medical technology assessment or evidence based medicine) need mutual exchange of professional expertise 16
  • 17. Good politician: a puppet of professionals, humble servant of sovereign citizens, the leader of national state or local community? Politicians and civil servants sometimes are eager to show that they are not just for “dirty games” and “stupid restrictions”. How to proceed to be “good”? •To look for advice. Efficient political interventions may come on the basis of sound analysis undertaken by professionals but sometimes this analysis is limited and academic recommendations tailored for the particular country or period missing •Get public‘s opinion. Sustainable (in long term) political decisions have to be supported by the voters. The Swiss referendum system has not been introduced in majority of the world and opinion pools are far from providing clear picture on population needs or how to meet them •To undertake related risks and rise as a leader... 17
  • 18. Ending road wars: Lithuanian experience. The background • For many years Lithuania was one of the regional “leaders” with regards casualties to on the roads • Talks were talked, billions invested in to quality of roads, policemen equipped with speed meters but there was no change SDR, Transport accidents, per 100000 18
  • 19. Ending road wars. The trigger for the decisive action • On 7th November 2007 a drunken policeman driving a car managed to kill 3 school children age 10 and escaped from the scene • The first reaction of the public was to lynch the bastard on the spot. Politicians managed to calm the public, proposed measures to tackle the problem and managed to implement the foreseen activities 19
  • 20. Ending road wars. Implenented measures • More training for future drivers and 2 year probation period for young drivers • Intensive public awareness campaign • Shifting some of investments from construction of highways towards ”low priority” investments such as roundabouts on crossroads, speed bumps. Around 20 million Euros had been spent in 2008 • Increase of fines for speeding and non-sober driving 20
  • 21. Ending road wars. Health results 21
  • 22. Ending road wars. Political results Percentage of population trusting govermental institutions 22
  • 23. Ending road wars. Economic assessment I Assumptions: • One life year saved -5000 Euro • Number of years saved per one avoided death – 30 • Costs of treatment per 1 injured – 1000 Euro • Discount rate – 10 percent • Outcomes and expenditures are constant since 2009 (during first 7 months of year 2010 aditional 30% decrese of car accidents related deaths compared to corresponding period of 2009 have been recorded) 23
  • 24. Ending road wars. Economic assessment II NPV of the project (millions of euro) 24
  • 25. Conclussions • Economists and politicians are legitimite decission makers what regards Health care quality • Politics is a “tricky” bussines but... “Political animals” had been instrumental not just at the down of humanity but may be useful in the modern age of liberalism and professionalism 25