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- 1.
- 2.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-2
Learning Goals
LG1 Differentiate between debt and equity.
LG2 Discuss the features of both common and
preferred stock.
LG3 Describe the process of issuing common stock,
including venture capital, going public, and the
investment banker.
- 3.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-3
Learning Goals (cont.)
LG4 Understand the concept of market efficiency
and basic stock valuation using zero-growth,
constant-growth, and variable-growth models.
LG5 Discuss the free cash flow valuation model and
the book value, liquidation value, and
price/earnings (P/E) multiple approaches.
LG6 Explain the relationships among financial
decisions, return, risk, and the firm’s value.
- 4.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-4
Differences Between Debt and Equity
• Debt includes all borrowing incurred by a firm,
including bonds, and is repaid according to a fixed
schedule of payments.
• Equity consists of funds provided by the firm’s
owners (investors or stockholders) that are repaid
subject to the firm’s performance.
- 5.
- 6.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-6
Differences Between Debt and Equity:
Voice in Management
• Unlike creditors, holders of equity (stockholders)
are owners of the firm.
• Stockholders generally have voting rights that
permit them to select the firm’s directors and vote
on special issues.
• In contrast, debtholders do not receive voting
privileges but instead rely on the firm’s contractual
obligations to them to be their voice.
- 7.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-7
Differences Between Debt and Equity:
Claims on Income and Assets
• Equityholders’ claims on income and assets are
secondary to the claims of creditors.
– Their claims on income cannot be paid until the claims of
all creditors, including both interest and scheduled
principal payments, have been satisfied.
• Because equity holders are the last to receive
distributions, they expect greater returns to
compensate them for the additional risk they bear.
- 8.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-8
Differences Between Debt and Equity:
Maturity
• Unlike debt, equity capital is a permanent
form of financing.
• Equity has no maturity date and never has
to be repaid by the firm.
- 9.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-9
Differences Between Debt and Equity: Tax
Treatment
• Interest payments to debtholders are treated as
tax-deductible expenses by the issuing firm.
• Dividend payments to a firm’s stockholders are not
tax-deductible.
• The tax deductibility of interest lowers the
corporation’s cost of debt financing, further causing
it to be lower than the cost of equity financing.
- 10.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-10
Matter of Fact
How Are Assets Divided in Bankruptcy?
• According to the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission, in bankruptcy assets are divided up
as follows:
1. Secured Creditors – Secured bank loans or secured
bonds, are paid first.
2. Unsecured Creditors – Unsecured bank loans or
unsecured bonds, suppliers, or customers, have the
next claim.
3. Equityholders – Equityholders or the owners of the
company have the last claim on assets, and they may
not receive anything if the Secured and Unsecured
Creditors’ claims are not fully repaid.
- 11.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-11
Common and Preferred Stock:
Common Stock
• Common stockholders, who are sometimes referred
to as residual owners or residual claimants, are the
true owners of the firm.
• As residual owners, common stockholders receive
what is left—the residual—after all other claims on
the firms income and assets have been satisfied.
• They are assured of only one thing: that they
cannot lose any more than they have invested in
the firm.
• Because of this uncertain position, common
stockholders expect to be compensated with
adequate dividends and ultimately, capital gains.
- 12.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-12
Common Stock: Ownership
• The common stock of a firm can be privately owned
by an private investors, closely owned by an
individual investor or a small group of investors, or
publicly owned by a broad group of investors.
• The shares of privately owned firms, which are
typically small corporations, are generally not
traded; if the shares are traded, the transactions
are among private investors and often require the
firm’s consent.
• Large corporations are publicly owned, and their
shares are generally actively traded in the broker or
dealer markets.
- 13.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-13
Common Stock: Par Value
• The par value of common stock is an arbitrary
value established for legal purposes in the firm’s
corporate charter, and can be used to find the total
number of shares outstanding by dividing it into the
book value of common stock.
• When a firm sells news shares of common stock,
the par value of the shares sold is recorded in the
capital section of the balance sheet as part of
common stock.
• At any time the total number of shares of common
stock outstanding can be found by dividing the
book value of common stock by the par value.
- 14.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-14
Common Stock: Preemptive Rights
• A preemptive right allows common stockholders
to maintain their proportionate ownership in the
corporation when new shares are issued, thus
protecting them from dilution of their ownership.
• Dilution of ownership is a reduction in each
previous shareholder’s fractional ownership
resulting from the issuance of additional shares of
common stock.
• Dilution of earnings is a reduction in each
previous shareholder’s fractional claim on the firm’s
earnings resulting from the issuance of additional
shares of common stock.
- 15.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-15
Common Stock: Preemptive Rights (cont.)
• Rights are financial instruments that allow
stockholders to purchase additional shares at a
price below the market price, in direct proportion to
their number of owned shares.
• Rights are an important financing tool without
which shareholders would run the risk of losing
their proportionate control of the corporation.
• From the firm’s viewpoint, the use of rights
offerings to raise new equity capital may be less
costly than a public offering of stock.
- 16.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-16
Common Stock: Authorized, Outstanding,
and Issued Shares
• Authorized shares are the shares of common
stock that a firm’s corporate charter allows it to
issue.
• Outstanding shares are issued shares of common
stock held by investors, this includes private and
public investors.
• Treasury stock are issued shares of common stock
held by the firm; often these shares have been
repurchased by the firm.
• Issued shares are shares of common stock that
have been put into circulation.
Issued shares = outstanding shares + treasury stock
- 17.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-17
Common Stock: Authorized, Outstanding,
and Issued Shares (cont.)
Golden Enterprises, a producer of medical pumps, has
the following stockholder’s equity account on
December 31st.
- 18.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-18
Common Stock: Voting Rights
• Generally, each share of common stock entitles its
holder to one vote in the election of directors and on
special issues.
• Votes are generally assignable and may be cast at
the annual stockholders’ meeting.
• A proxy statement is a statement transferring the
votes of a stockholder to another party.
– Because most small stockholders do not attend the annual
meeting to vote, they may sign a proxy statement
transferring their votes to another party.
– Existing management generally receives the stockholders’
proxies, because it is able to solicit them at company
expense.
- 19.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-19
Common Stock: Voting Rights (cont.)
• A proxy battle is an attempt by a nonmanagement
group to gain control of the management of a firm
by soliciting a sufficient number of proxy votes.
• Supervoting shares is stock that carries with it
multiple votes per share rather than the single vote
per share typically given on regular shares of
common stock.
• Nonvoting common stock is common stock that
carries no voting rights; issued when the firm
wishes to raise capital through the sale of common
stock but does not want to give up its voting
control.
- 20.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-20
Common Stock: Dividends
• The payment of dividends to the firm’s shareholders
is at the discretion of the company’s board of
directors.
• Dividends may be paid in cash, stock, or
merchandise.
• Common stockholders are not promised a dividend,
but they come to expect certain payments on the
basis of the historical dividend pattern of the firm.
• Before dividends are paid to common stockholders
any past due dividends owed to preferred
stockholders must be paid.
- 21.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-21
Common Stock:
International Stock Issues
• The international market for common stock is not as
large as that for international debt.
• However, cross-border issuance and trading of common
stock have increased dramatically during the past 30
years.
• Stock Issued in Foreign Markets
– A growing number of firms are beginning to list their stocks on
foreign markets.
– Issuing stock internationally both broadens the company’s
ownership base and helps it to integrate itself in the local
business environment.
– Locally traded stock can facilitate corporate acquisitions,
because shares can be used as an acceptable method of
payment.
- 22.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-22
Common Stock: International Stock
Issues (cont.)
Foreign Stocks in U.S. Markets
– American depositary receipts (ADRs) are dollar-
denominated receipts for the stocks of foreign companies
that are held by a U.S. financial institution overseas.
– American depositary shares (ADSs) are securities,
backed by American depositary receipts (ADRs), that
permit U.S. investors to hold shares of non-U.S.
companies and trade them in U.S. markets.
– ADSs are issued in dollars to U.S. investors and are
subject to U.S. securities laws.
– ADSs give investors the opportunity to diversify their
portfolios internationally.
- 23.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-23
Matter of Fact
Did Tax Cuts Stimulate Dividends?
• Analysis of how firms responded to the dividend tax cuts
contained in the 2003 Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation
Act found that firms dramatically increased dividends soon after
the law was passed.
• In the quarters leading up to the tax cut, only about 4 firms per
quarter began paying dividends, but in the quarters immediately
following the passage of the new tax law, 29 firms per quarter
announced they would start paying dividends.
• Similar increases occurred in firms already paying dividends, with
nearly 50 percent of all dividend-paying firms announcing that
they would increase their dividend payments by 20 percent or
more after the tax cut became law.
• However, corporate earnings jumped at the same time, which
may have led to the increase in dividends.
- 24.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-24
Preferred Stock
• Preferred stock gives its holders certain privileges
that make them senior to common stockholders.
• Preferred stockholders are promised a fixed periodic
dividend, which is stated either as a percentage or
as a dollar amount.
• Par-value preferred stock is preferred stock with
a stated face value that is used with the specified
dividend percentage to determine the annual dollar
dividend.
• No-par preferred stock is preferred stock with no
stated face value but with a stated annual dollar
dividend.
- 25.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-25
Preferred Stock: Basic Rights of Preferred
Stockholders
• Preferred stock is often considered quasi-debt
because, much like interest on debt, it specifies a fixed
periodic payment (dividend).
• Preferred stock is unlike debt in that it has no maturity
date.
• Because they have a fixed claim on the firm’s income
that takes precedence over the claim of common
stockholders, preferred stockholders are exposed to
less risk.
• Preferred stockholders are not normally given a voting
right, although preferred stockholders are sometimes
allowed to elect one member of the board of directors.
- 26.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-26
Preferred Stock:
Features of Preferred Stock
• Restrictive covenants including provisions about
passing dividends, the sale of senior securities,
mergers, sales of assets, minimum liquidity
requirements, and repurchases of common stock.
• Cumulative preferred stock is preferred stock for
which all passed (unpaid) dividends in arrears,
along with the current dividend, must be paid
before dividends can be paid to common
stockholders.
• Noncumulative preferred stock is preferred stock
for which passed (unpaid) dividends do not
accumulate.
- 27.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-27
Preferred Stock: Features of Preferred
Stock (cont.)
• A callable feature is a feature of callable preferred
stock that allows the issuer to retire the shares
within a certain period time and at a specified price.
• A conversion feature is a feature of convertible
preferred stock that allows holders to change each
share into a stated number of shares of common
stock.
- 28.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-28
Issuing Common Stock
• Initial financing for most firms typically comes from
a firm’s original founders in the form of a common
stock investment.
• Early stage debt or equity investors are unlikely to
make an investment in a firm unless the founders
also have a personal stake in the business.
• Initial non-founder financing usually comes first
from private equity investors.
• After establishing itself, a firm will often “go public”
by issuing shares of stock to a much broader group.
- 29.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-29
Issuing Common Stock:
Venture Capital
• Venture capital is privately raised external equity
capital used to fund early-stage firms with
attractive growth prospects.
• Venture capitalists (VCs) are providers of
venture capital; typically, formal businesses that
maintain strong oversight over the firms they invest
in and that have clearly defined exit strategies.
• Angel capitalists (angels) are wealthy individual
investors who do not operate as a business but
invest in promising early-stage companies in
exchange for a portion of the firm’s equity.
- 30.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-30
Table 7.2 Organization of Venture Capital
Investors
- 31.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-31
Venture Capital:
Deal Structure and Pricing
• Venture capital investments are made under legal
contracts that clearly allocate responsibilities and
ownership interests between existing owners
(founders) and the VC fund or limited partnership
• Terms depend on factors related to the original
founders, business structure, stage of
development, outlook, and other market and timing
issues.
• Specific financial terms depend upon the value of
the enterprise, the amount of funding required, and
the perceived risk of the investment.
- 32.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-32
Venture Capital: Deal Structure and
Pricing (cont.)
• To control the VC’s risk, various covenants are
included in agreements and the actual funding
provided may be staggered based on the
achievement of measurable milestones.
• The contract will also have a defined exit strategy.
• The amount of equity to which the VC is entitled
depends on the value of the firm, the terms of the
contract, the exit terms, and minimum compound
annual rate of return required by the VC on its
investment.
- 33.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-33
Going Public
When a firm wishes to sell its stock in the primary
market, it has three alternatives.
1. A public offering, in which it offers its shares for sale to
the general public.
2. A rights offering, in which new shares are sold to
existing shareholders.
3. A private placement, in which the firm sells new
securities directly to an investor or a group of investors.
Here we focus on the initial public offering (IPO),
which is the first public sale of a firm’s stock.
- 34.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-34
Going Public (cont.)
• IPOs are typically made by small, fast-growing
companies that either:
– require additional capital to continue expanding, or
– have met a milestone for going public that was established
in a contract to obtain VC funding.
• The firm must obtain approval of current
shareholders, and hire an investment bank to
underwrite the offering.
• The investment banker is responsible for promoting
the stock and facilitating the sale of the company’s
IPO shares.
- 35.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-35
Going Public (cont.)
• The company must file a registration statement
with the SEC.
• The prospectus is a portion of a security
registration statement that describes the key
aspects of the issue, the issuer, and its
management and financial position.
• A red herring is a preliminary prospectus made
available to prospective investors during the waiting
period between the registration statement’s filing
with the SEC and its approval.
- 36.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-36
Figure 7.1 Cover of a Preliminary
Prospectus for a Stock Issue
- 37.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-37
Going Public (cont.)
• Investment bankers and company officials promote
the company through a road show, a series of
presentations to potential investors around the
country and sometimes overseas.
• This helps investment bankers gauge the demand
for the offering which helps them to set the initial
offer price.
• After the underwriter sets the terms, the SEC must
approve the offering.
- 38.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-38
Going Public:
The Investment Banker’s Role
• An investment banker is a financial intermediary that
specializes in selling new security issues and advising firms
with regard to major financial transactions.
• Underwriting is the role of the investment banker in bearing
the risk of reselling, at a profit, the securities purchased from
an issuing corporation at an agreed-on price.
• This process involves purchasing the security issue from the
issuing corporation at an agreed-on price and bearing the risk
of reselling it to the public at a profit.
• The investment banker also provides the issuer with advice
about pricing and other important aspects of the issue.
- 39.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-39
Going Public: The Investment Banker’s
Role (cont.)
• An underwriting syndicate is a group of other
bankers formed by an investment banker to share
the financial risk associated with underwriting new
securities.
• The syndicate shares the financial risk associated
with buying the entire issue from the issuer and
reselling the new securities to the public.
• The selling group is a large number of brokerage
firms that join the originating investment
banker(s); each accepts responsibility for selling a
certain portion of a new security issue on a
commission basis.
- 40.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-40
Going Public: The Investment Banker’s
Role (cont.)
Compensation for underwriting and selling services
typically comes in the form of a discount on the sale
price of the securities.
– For example, an investment banker may pay the issuing
firm $24 per share for stock that will be sold for $26 per
share.
– The investment banker may then sell the shares to
members of the selling group for $25.25 per share. In this
case, the original investment banker earns $1.25 per share
($25.25 sale price – $24 purchase price).
– The members of the selling group earn 75 cents for each
share they sell ($26 sale price – $25.25 purchase price).
- 41.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-41
Figure 7.2 The Selling Process for a Large
Security Issue
- 42.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-42
Common Stock Valuation
• Common stockholders expect to be rewarded through
periodic cash dividends and an increasing share value.
• Some of these investors decide which stocks to buy
and sell based on a plan to maintain a broadly
diversified portfolio.
• Other investors have a more speculative motive for
trading.
– They try to spot companies whose shares are undervalued—
meaning that the true value of the shares is greater than the
current market price.
– These investors buy shares that they believe to be
undervalued and sell shares that they think are overvalued
(i.e., the market price is greater than the true value).
- 43.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-43
Common Stock Valuation:
Market Efficiency
• Economically rational buyers and sellers use their
assessment of an asset’s risk and return to
determine its value.
• In competitive markets with many active
participants, the interactions of many buyers and
sellers result in an equilibrium price—the market
value—for each security.
• Because the flow of new information is almost
constant, stock prices fluctuate, continuously
moving toward a new equilibrium that reflects the
most recent information available. This general
concept is known as market efficiency.
- 44.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-44
Matter of Fact
The Value of Speed
• The University of Michigan produces a month survey measuring
consumer confidence, and that survey routinely causes stock
prices to move when it is released.
• In June 2013, various news organizations reported that Thomson
Reuters had a contract that allowed it to distributed information
about the monthly consumer confidence survey to its clients, via
a conference call, 5 minutes before the survey results were
posted on the university’s website.
• The contract contained another provision that allowed Thomson
Reuters to distribute survey results electronically to an elite group
of clients at 9:54:58 a.m., 2 seconds prior to the conference call.
The 2 seconds of lead time over the rest of the market could
allow these clients to trade stocks before most of the market
participants learned about the new information in the survey.
- 45.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-45
Common Stock Valuation:
Market Efficiency
• The efficient-market hypothesis (EMH) is a
theory describing the behavior of an assumed
“perfect” market in which:
– securities are in equilibrium,
– security prices fully reflect all available information and
react swiftly to new information, and
– because stocks are fully and fairly priced, investors need
not waste time looking for mispriced securities.
- 46.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-46
Common Stock Valuation:
Market Efficiency
• Although considerable evidence supports the
concept of market efficiency, a growing body of
academic evidence has begun to cast doubt on the
validity of this notion.
• Behavioral finance is a growing body of research
that focuses on investor behavior and its impact on
investment decisions and stock prices. Advocates
are commonly referred to as “behaviorists.”
- 47.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-47
Focus on Practice
Understanding Human Behavior Helps Us Understand Investor
Behavior
– Regret theory deals with the emotional reaction people experience
after realizing they have made an error in judgment.
– Some investors rationalize their decision to buy certain stocks with
“everyone else is doing it.” (Herding)
– People have a tendency to place particular events into mental
compartments, and the difference between these compartments
sometimes impacts behavior more than the events themselves.
– Prospect theory suggests that people express a different degree of
emotion toward gains than losses.
– Anchoring is the tendency of investors to place more value on
recent information.
Theories of behavioral finance can apply to other areas of human
behavior in addition to investing. Think of a situation in which you
demonstrated one of these behaviors. Share you situation with a
classmate.
- 48.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-48
Basic Common Stock Valuation Equation
The value of a share of common stock is equal to the
present value of all future cash flows (dividends) that
it is expected to provide.
where
P0 = value of common stock
Dt = per-share dividend expected at the
end of year t
Rs = required return on common stock
P0 = value of common stock
- 49.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-49
Common Stock Valuation:
The Zero Growth Model
The zero dividend growth model assumes that the
stock will pay the same dividend each year, year after
year.
The equation shows that with zero growth, the value
of a share of stock would equal the present value of a
perpetuity of D1 dollars discounted at a rate rs.
- 50.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-50
Personal Finance Example
• Chuck Swimmer estimates that the dividend of
Denham Company, an established textile producer,
is expected to remain constant at $3 per share
indefinitely.
• If his required return on its stock is 15%, the
stock’s value is:
$20 ($3 ÷ 0.15) per share
- 51.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-51
Common Stock Valuation:
Constant-Growth Model
The constant-growth model is a widely cited
dividend valuation approach that assumes that
dividends will grow at a constant rate, but a rate that
is less than the required return.
The Gordon model is a common name for the
constant-growth model that is widely cited in dividend
valuation.
- 52.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-52
Common Stock Valuation:
Constant-Growth Model (cont.)
Lamar Company, a small cosmetics company, paid
the following per share dividends:
- 53.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-53
Common Stock Valuation:
Constant-Growth Model (cont.)
Using a financial calculator or a spreadsheet, we find
that the historical annual growth rate of Lamar
Company dividends equals 7%.
- 54.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-54
Common Stock Valuation:
Variable-Growth Model
• The zero- and constant-growth common stock
models do not allow for any shift in expected
growth rates.
• The variable-growth model is a dividend
valuation approach that allows for a change in the
dividend growth rate.
• To determine the value of a share of stock in the
case of variable growth, we use a four-step
procedure.
- 55.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-55
Common Stock Valuation:
Variable-Growth Model (cont.)
Step 1. Find the value of the cash dividends at the
end of each year, Dt, during the initial growth period,
years 1 though N.
Dt = D0 × (1 + g1)t
- 56.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-56
Common Stock Valuation:
Variable-Growth Model (cont.)
Step 2. Find the present value of the dividends
expected during the initial growth period.
- 57.
Copyright ©2015 PearsonEducation, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-57
Common Stock Valuation:
Variable-Growth Model (cont.)
Step 3. Find the value of the stock at the end of the
initial growth period, PN = (DN+1)/(rs – g2), which is the
present value of all dividends expected from year N +
1 to infinity, assuming a constant dividend growth
rate, g2.
- 58.
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Common Stock Valuation:
Variable-Growth Model (cont.)
Step 4. Add the present value components found in
Steps 2 and 3 to find the value of the stock, P0.
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Common Stock Valuation:
Variable-Growth Model (cont.)
The most recent annual (2012) dividend payment of Warren
Industries, a rapidly growing boat manufacturer, was $1.50 per
share. The firm’s financial manager expects that these dividends
will increase at a 10% annual rate, g1, over the next three years.
At the end of three years (the end of 2018), the firm’s mature
product line is expected to result in a slowing of the dividend
growth rate to 5% per year, g2, for the foreseeable future. The
firm’s required return, rs, is 15%.
Steps 1 and 2 are detailed in Table 7.3 on the following slide.
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Table 7.3 Calculation of Present Value of
Warren Industries Dividends
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Common Stock Valuation:
Variable-Growth Model (cont.)
Step 3. The value of the stock at the end of the initial growth
period
(N = 2018) can be found by first calculating DN+1 = D2019.
D2019 = D2018 (1 + 0.05) = $2.00 (1.05) = $2.10
By using D2019 = $2.10, a 15% required return, and a 5%
dividend growth rate, we can calculate the value of the stock at
the end of 2018 as follows:
P2018 = D2019 / (rs – g2) = $2.10 / (.15 – .05) = $21.00
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Common Stock Valuation:
Variable-Growth Model (cont.)
Step 3 (cont.) Finally, the share value of $21 at the end of 2018
must be converted into a present (end of 2015) value.
P2018 / (1 + rs)3
= $21 / (1 + 0.15)3
= $13.81
Step 4. Adding the PV of the initial dividend stream (found in
Step 2) to the PV of the stock at the end of the initial growth
period (found in Step 3), we get:
P2015 = $4.14 + $13.82 = $17.93 per share
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Common Stock Valuation:
Free Cash Flow Valuation Model
A free cash flow valuation model determines the value of an
entire company as the present value of its expected free cash
flows discounted at the firm’s weighted average cost of capital,
which is its expected average future cost of funds over the long
run.
where
VC = value of the entire company
FCFt = free cash flow expected at the end of year t end of
year t
ra = the firm’s weighted average cost of capital
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Common Stock Valuation:
Free Cash Flow Valuation Model (cont.)
Because the value of the entire company, VC, is the
market value of the entire enterprise (that is, of all
assets), to find common stock value, VS, we must
subtract the market value of all of the firm’s debt, VD,
and the market value of preferred stock, VP, from VC.
- 65.
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Common Stock Valuation:
Free Cash Flow Valuation Model
Dewhurst, Inc. wishes to determine the value of its
stock by using the free cash flow valuation model. The
firm’s CFO developed the following data:
Table 7.4 Dewhurst, Inc.’s, Data for the Free
Cash Flow Valuation Model
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Common Stock Valuation:
Free Cash Flow Valuation Model (cont.)
Step 1. Calculate the present value of the free cash
flow occurring from the end of 2021 to infinity,
measured at the beginning of 2021.
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Common Stock Valuation:
Free Cash Flow Valuation Model (cont.)
Step 2. Add the present value of the FCF from 2021 to infinity,
which is measured at the end of 2020, to the 2020 FCF value to
get the total FCF in 2020.
Total FCF2020 = $600,000 + $10,300,000 = $10,900,000
Step 3. Find the sum of the present values of the FCFs for 2016
through 2020 to determine the value of the entire company, VC.
This step is detailed in Table 7.5 on the following slide.
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Table 7.5 Calculation of the Value of the
Entire Company for Dewhurst, Inc.
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Common Stock Valuation:
Free Cash Flow Valuation Model (cont.)
Step 4. Calculate the value of the common stock.
VS = $8,626,426 – $3,100,000 – $800,000 =
$4,726,426
The value of Dewhurst’s common stock is therefore
estimated to be $4,726,426. By dividing this total by
the 300,000 shares of common stock that the firm
has outstanding, we get a common stock value of
$15.76 per share ($4,726,426 ÷ 300,000).
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Common Stock Valuation:
Other Approaches to Stock Valuation
• Book value per share is the amount per share of
common stock that would be received if all of the
firm’s assets were sold for their exact book
(accounting) value and the proceeds remaining
after paying all liabilities (including preferred stock)
were divided among the common stockholders.
• This method lacks sophistication and can be
criticized on the basis of its reliance on historical
balance sheet data.
• It ignores the firm’s expected earnings potential
and generally lacks any true relationship to the fir
m’s value in the marketplace.
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Common Stock Valuation: Other
Approaches to Stock Valuation (cont.)
At year-end 2015, Lamar Company’s balance sheet
shows total assets of $6 million, total liabilities
(including preferred stock) of $4.5 million, and
100,000 shares of common stock outstanding. Its
book value per share therefore would be
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Common Stock Valuation: Other
Approaches to Stock Valuation (cont.)
• Liquidation value per share is the actual amount
per share of common stock that would be received
if all of the firm’s assets were sold for their market
value, liabilities (including preferred stock) were
paid, and any remaining money were divided
among the common stockholders.
• This measure is more realistic than book value
because it is based on current market values of the
firm’s assets.
• However, it still fails to consider the earning power
of those assets.
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Common Stock Valuation: Other
Approaches to Stock Valuation (cont.)
Lamar Company found upon investigation that it could
obtain only $5.25 million if it sold its assets today.
The firm’s liquidation value per share therefore would
be
- 74.
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Common Stock Valuation: Other
Approaches to Stock Valuation (cont.)
• The price/earnings (P/E) ratio reflects the amount
investors are willing to pay for each dollar of
earnings.
• The price/earnings multiple approach is a
popular technique used to estimate the firm’s share
value; calculated by multiplying the firm’s expected
earnings per share (EPS) by the average
price/earnings (P/E) ratio for the industry.
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Common Stock Valuation: Other
Approaches to Stock Valuation (cont.)
Lamar Company is expected to earn $2.60 per share
next year (2016). Assuming a industry average P/E
ratio of 7, the firms per share value would be
$2.60 7 = $18.20 per share
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Focus on Ethics
Psst! Have You Heard Any Good Quarterly Earnings Forecasts
Lately?
– Beginning in the 1980s, companies used earnings guidance to
lower analysts’ estimates; when the actual numbers came in
higher, their stock prices jumped.
– The practice reached a fever pitch during the late 1990s when
companies that missed the consensus earnings estimate, even by
just a penny, saw their stock prices tumble.
– In March 2007 the CFA Centre for Financial Market Integrity and
the Business Roundtable Institute for Corporate Ethics proposed a
template for quarterly earnings reports that would, in their view,
obviate the need for earnings guidance.
What temptations might managers face if they have provided earnings
guidance to investors and later found it difficult to meet the
expectations that they helped create?
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Matter of Fact
Problems with P/E Valuation
– The P/E multiple approach is a fast and easy way to
estimate a stock’s value. However, P/E ratios vary widely
over time.
– Therefore, analysts using the P/E approach in the 1980s
would have come up with much lower estimates of value
than analysts using the model 20 years later.
– By 2012, the average stock had a P/E ratio of about 20,
which is close to the long-run average.
– In other words, when using this approach to estimate
stock values, the estimate will depend more on whether
stock market valuations are high or low rather than on
whether the particular company is doing well or not.
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Decision Making and Common Stock
Value: Changes in Expected Dividends
• Assuming that economic conditions remain stable,
any management action that would cause current
and prospective stockholders to raise their dividend
expectations should increase the firm’s value.
• Therefore, any action of the financial manager that
will increase the level of expected dividends without
changing risk (the required return) should be
undertaken, because it will positively affect owners’
wealth.
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Decision Making and Common Stock Value:
Changes in Expected Dividends (cont.)
Assume that Lamar Company announced a major
technological breakthrough that would revolutionize
its industry. Current and prospective stockholders
expect that although the dividend next year, D1, will
remain at $1.50, the expected rate of growth
thereafter will increase from
7% to 9%.
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Decision Making and Common Stock
Value: Changes in Risk
• Any measure of required return consists of two components:
a risk-free rate and a risk premium. We expressed this
relationship as in the previous chapter, which we repeat here
in terms of rs:
• Any action taken by the financial manager that increases the
risk shareholders must bear will also increase the risk
premium required by shareholders, and hence the required
return.
• Additionally, the required return can be affected by changes in
the risk free rate—even if the risk premium remains constant.
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Decision Making and Common Stock
Value: Changes in Risk (cont.)
Assume that Lamar Company manager makes a
decision that, without changing expected dividends,
causes the firm’s risk premium to increase to 7%.
Assuming that the risk-free rate remains at 9%, the
new required return on Lamar stock will be 16% (9%
+ 7%).
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Decision Making and Common Stock
Value: Combined Effect
If we assume that the two changes illustrated for
Lamar Company in the preceding examples occur
simultaneously, the key variable values would be D1 =
$1.50, rs = 0.16, and g = 0.09.
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Review of Learning Goals
LG1 Differentiate between debt and equity.
Holders of equity capital (common and preferred stock)
are owners of the firm. Typically, only common
stockholders have a voice in management. Equityholders’
claims on income and assets are secondary to creditors’
claims, there is no maturity date, and dividends paid to
stockholders are not tax-deductible.
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Review of Learning Goals (cont.)
LG2 Discuss the features of both common and
preferred stock.
The common stock of a firm can be privately owned, closely
owned, or publicly owned. It can be sold with or without a par
value. Preemptive rights allow common stockholders to avoid
dilution of ownership when new shares are issued. Some firms
have two or more classes of common stock that differ mainly in
having unequal voting rights. Proxies transfer voting rights from
one party to another. The decision to pay dividends to common
stockholders is made by the firm’s board of directors.
Preferred stockholders have preference over common
stockholders with respect to the distribution of earnings and
assets. They do not normally have voting privileges. Preferred
stock issues may have certain restrictive covenants, cumulative
dividends, a call feature, and a conversion feature.
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Review of Learning Goals (cont.)
LG3 Describe the process of issuing common stock,
including venture capital, going public, and the
investment banker.
The initial nonfounder financing for business startups
with attractive growth prospects typically comes from
private equity investors. These investors can be either
angel capitalists or venture capitalists (VCs).
The first public issue of a firm’s stock is called an initial
public offering (IPO). The company selects an investment
banker to advise it and to sell the securities. The lead
investment banker may form a selling syndicate with
other investment bankers. The IPO process includes
getting SEC approval, promoting the offering to
investors, and pricing the issue.
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Review of Learning Goals (cont.)
LG4 Understand the concept of market efficiency
and basic stock valuation using zero-growth,
constant-growth, and variable-growth models.
Market efficiency assumes that the quick reactions of
rational investors to new information cause the market
value of common stock to adjust upward or downward
quickly.
The value of a share of stock is the present value of all
future dividends it is expected to provide over an infinite
time horizon. Three dividend growth models—zero-
growth, constant-growth, and variable-growth—can be
considered in common stock valuation. The most widely
cited model is the constant-growth model.
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Review of Learning Goals (cont.)
LG5 Discuss the free cash flow valuation model and the
book value, liquidation value, and price/earnings
(P/E) multiple approaches.
The free cash flow valuation model finds the value of the
entire company by discounting the firm’s expected free cash
flow at its weighted average cost of capital. The common
stock value is found by subtracting the market values of the
firm’s debt and preferred stock from the value of the entire
company.
Book value per share is the amount per share of common
stock that would be received if all of the firm’s assets were
sold for their exact book (accounting) value and the
proceeds remaining after paying all liabilities (including
preferred stock) were divided among the common stock-
holders.
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Review of Learning Goals (cont.)
LG5 Discuss the free cash flow valuation model and
the book value, liquidation value, and
price/earnings (P/E) multiple approaches (cont.)
Liquidation value per share is the actual amount per
share of common stock that would be received if all of the
firm’s assets were sold for their market value, liabilities
(including preferred stock) were paid, and the remaining
money were divided among the common stockholders.
The price/earnings (P/E) multiple approach estimates
stock value by multiplying the firm’s expected earnings
per share (EPS) by the average price/earnings (P/E) ratio
for the industry.
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Review of Learning Goals (cont.)
LG6 Explain the relationships among financial
decisions, return, risk, and the firm’s value.
In a stable economy, any action of the financial manager
that increases the level of expected dividends without
changing risk should increase share value; any action
that reduces the level of expected dividends without
changing risk should reduce share value. Similarly, any
action that increases risk (required return) will reduce
share value; any action that reduces risk will increase
share value. An assessment of the combined effect of
return and risk on stock value must be part of the
financial decision-making process.
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Chapter Resources on MyFinanceLab
• Chapter Cases
• Group Exercises
• Critical Thinking Problems
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Integrative Case: Encore International
Encore is an international retailer of casual-wear.
Jordan Ellis, the founder, believes that the company
can maintain a constant annual growth rate in
dividends per share of 6% in the future, or possibly
8% for the next 2 years, and then 6% thereafter.
Ellis based his estimates on expansion into European
and Latin American markets. Venturing into these
markets was expected to cause the risk of the firm,
as measured by the risk premium on its stock, to
increase immediately from 8.8% to 10%. Currently,
the risk-free rate is 6%.
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Integrative Case: Encore International
(cont.)
In preparing the long-term financial plan, Encore’s CFO
has assigned a junior financial analyst to evaluate the
firm’s current stock price, asking him to consider the
conservative predictions of securities analysts and the
aggressive predictions of the company founder, Jordan
Ellis.
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Integrative Case: Encore International
(cont.)
a. What is the firm’s current book value per share?
b. What is the firm’s current P/E ratio?
c. What is the current required return for Encore stock? What will be the
new required return for Encore stock assuming that they expand into
European and Latin American markets as planned?
d. If the securities analysts are correct and there is no growth in future
dividends, what will be the value per share of the Encore stock? (Note:
use the new required return on the company’s stock here)
e. If Jordan Ellis’s predictions are correct, what will be the value per share
of Encore stock if the firm maintains a constant annual 6% growth rate
in future dividends? (Note: Continue to use the new required return
here.) If Jordan Ellis’s predictions are correct, what will be the value per
share of Encore stock if the firm maintains a constant annual 8% growth
rate in dividends per share over the next 2 years and 6% thereafter?
f. Compare the current (2015) price of the stock and the stock values
found in parts a, d, and e. Discuss why these values may differ. Which
valuation method do you believe most clearly represents the true value
of the Encore stock?