This document discusses various headwinds and tailwinds facing Oregon's economy. It notes that while Oregon has a comparative advantage in the technology sector, the growth of start-ups presents some risks. A tailwind is migration, while headwinds include a rising population, a shortage of affordable housing, job polarization, geographic economic disparities, and challenges facing public finances. The presentation concludes by providing contact information for the presenter.

1. Oregon’s Headwinds
and Tailwinds
May 15th, 2018 Oregon Office of Economic Analysis
Josh Lehner
Disclaimer: The views expressed here are
solely those of the presenter, they do not
necessarily represent official State of
Oregon policies or positions.

2. Oregon Office of
Economic Analysis
2

3. Oregon Office of
Economic Analysis
3
Oregon’s Comparative
Advantage in Tech

4. Oregon Office of
Economic Analysis
4
Software: Tailwind with Risk

5. Oregon Office of
Economic Analysis
5
Are Start-Ups a Headwind?

6. Oregon Office of
Economic Analysis
6
Headwind: Natural Increase

7. Oregon Office of
Economic Analysis
7
Tailwind: Migration

8. Oregon Office of
Economic Analysis
8
Headwind: Housing

9. Oregon Office of
Economic Analysis
9
Headwind: Job Polarization

10. Oregon Office of
Economic Analysis
10
Issue: Geographic Disparities

11. Oregon Office of
Economic Analysis
11
Cities with High
Levels of Upward
Mobility Have:
- Less residential
segregation
- Larger middle
class
- Strong families
- Greater social
capital
- High quality
public schools

12. Oregon Office of
Economic Analysis
12
Headwind: Public Finances
•Risk vs Return

13. Oregon Office of
Economic Analysis
13
joshua.lehner@oregon.gov
(503) 378-4052
www.OregonEconomicAnalysis.com
@OR_EconAnalysis
Questions and Contact