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UNITAB 33rd Congress
             Budapest – October 18-19, 2010



        EU tobacco
in the world market scenario

        Orlando Astuti
        Director - Fetratab
        Managing Director - Deltafina SpA
Cigarette World Production
Cigarette World Production                                      2.427
                                                                                 2.379
                                                                         2.294
                                                                 2.222
                                                         2.142
                                                 2.023
                                         1.942
                                 1.874
                         1.789
                 1.723
Billion sticks




                                                                                                 China




                 2002    2003    2004    2005    2006    2007    2008    2009    2010    2011
Cigarette World Production
                 3.946    3.943   3.972   3.976   3.991   3.998   4.010
                                                                          3.917   3.882   3.867
Billion sticks




                                                                                                  Others




                 2002     2003    2004    2005    2006    2007    2008    2009    2010    2011
Cigarette World Production
                      2011 vs 2010
   Country    Billion sticks               Country       Billion sticks

China                  + 47             Japan                      - 26
Bangladesh             + 14             US                           -8
Indonesia              + 11             Ukraine                      -7
Poland                 + 8              Russia                       -7
Vietnam                + 4              Paraguay                     -7
Philippines            + 3              Netherlands                  -4


                         Region         Billion sticks

              Americas                             -16
              Europe & CIS                          -7
              Middle East - N. Africa               +2
              Africa                                -6
              Asia (no-China)                     +10
              China                               + 47

              Total World                        + 32
Cigarette World Production
  Breakdown by Manufacturers Group
100%
                                               17,7%   17,5%   16,7%   16,2%
90%            24,5%   22,3%   21,0%   20,3%
       26,2%
80%

70%
                                               35,7%   36,9%   38,0%   38,6%
                       32,8%   33,6%   34,9%
60%    31,1%   32,0%
                                                                               Others

50%                                                                            CNTC
                                                                               Multinationals
40%

30%
               43,5%   44,9%   45,4%   44,8%   46,6%   45,6%   45,3%   45,2%
20%    42,7%


10%

 0%
       2003    2004    2005    2006    2007    2008    2009    2010    2011
Tobacco World Production




                Note: Orientals and EU origins data
                are one crop back
Tobacco World Production – Flue Cured




                       Note: EU origins data are one crop back
Flue Cured Production – Exporting Countries




                          Note: EU origins data are one crop back
World Unsold Stocks - Flue-Cured
                                                (on June 30)

                    200

                    180

                    160

                    140
Million strips kg




                    120

                    100
                                  187
                    80     151                                       146
                    60                                        113
                                          98
                    40                           72                          66
                    20                                  35

                      0
                           2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012
Tobacco World Production – Burley




                     Note: EU origins data are one crop back
World Unsold Stocks - Burley
                                              (on June 30)

                    90

                    80

                    70

                    60
Million strips kg




                    50
                         85
                    40
                                72
                    30
                                                                     48
                    20
                                       29
                    10                                 20     21            21
                                                9
                     0
                         2005   2006   2007    2008   2009   2010   2011   2012
UNITAB 33rd Congress
         Budapest – October 18-19, 2010



     Future trends

of world tobacco markets
UNITAB 33rd Congress
                Budapest – October 18-19, 2010



European tobacco: towards a new era

     From subsidies to market,
   from price to certified quality

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O astuti presentation

  • 1. UNITAB 33rd Congress Budapest – October 18-19, 2010 EU tobacco in the world market scenario Orlando Astuti Director - Fetratab Managing Director - Deltafina SpA
  • 3. Cigarette World Production 2.427 2.379 2.294 2.222 2.142 2.023 1.942 1.874 1.789 1.723 Billion sticks China 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
  • 4. Cigarette World Production 3.946 3.943 3.972 3.976 3.991 3.998 4.010 3.917 3.882 3.867 Billion sticks Others 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
  • 5. Cigarette World Production 2011 vs 2010 Country Billion sticks Country Billion sticks China + 47 Japan - 26 Bangladesh + 14 US -8 Indonesia + 11 Ukraine -7 Poland + 8 Russia -7 Vietnam + 4 Paraguay -7 Philippines + 3 Netherlands -4 Region Billion sticks Americas -16 Europe & CIS -7 Middle East - N. Africa +2 Africa -6 Asia (no-China) +10 China + 47 Total World + 32
  • 6. Cigarette World Production Breakdown by Manufacturers Group 100% 17,7% 17,5% 16,7% 16,2% 90% 24,5% 22,3% 21,0% 20,3% 26,2% 80% 70% 35,7% 36,9% 38,0% 38,6% 32,8% 33,6% 34,9% 60% 31,1% 32,0% Others 50% CNTC Multinationals 40% 30% 43,5% 44,9% 45,4% 44,8% 46,6% 45,6% 45,3% 45,2% 20% 42,7% 10% 0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
  • 7. Tobacco World Production Note: Orientals and EU origins data are one crop back
  • 8. Tobacco World Production – Flue Cured Note: EU origins data are one crop back
  • 9. Flue Cured Production – Exporting Countries Note: EU origins data are one crop back
  • 10. World Unsold Stocks - Flue-Cured (on June 30) 200 180 160 140 Million strips kg 120 100 187 80 151 146 60 113 98 40 72 66 20 35 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
  • 11. Tobacco World Production – Burley Note: EU origins data are one crop back
  • 12. World Unsold Stocks - Burley (on June 30) 90 80 70 60 Million strips kg 50 85 40 72 30 48 20 29 10 20 21 21 9 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
  • 13. UNITAB 33rd Congress Budapest – October 18-19, 2010 Future trends of world tobacco markets
  • 14. UNITAB 33rd Congress Budapest – October 18-19, 2010 European tobacco: towards a new era From subsidies to market, from price to certified quality