The document forecasts that by Q4 2025, there will be 154 million total mobile connections in Nigeria, with a significant increase in mobile internet subscribers of over 10% in five years. It distinguishes between unique subscribers and connections, noting that a subscriber can have multiple connections. The average revenue per user (ARPU) is projected at $3.79.

1. © GSMA Intelligence
NIGERIA : 2025 MOBILE ECONOMY FORECAST
*Forecast of total unique SIM cards (or phone numbers, where SIM cards are not used),
excluding licensed cellular IoT connections, that have been registered on the mobile
network at the end of the period. Connections differ from subscribers such that a unique
subscriber can have multiple connections.
10
20
0
30
60
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40
80
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100
Glo MobileMTN Airtel 9mobile
Million
Q4 2020 Q4 2025
Total Mobile Connections*
$ 3.79 ARPU
ARPU by mobile connection
154 Million
Total Mobile Connections
79.6% Mobile internet subscribers
Increased by more than 10% in five years
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